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Microsoft

Microsoft | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...Microsoft's stock price reached an all-time high after the tech behemoth published its first-quarter earnings report last Tuesday. The company's revenue increased 22% year-over-year to $45.3 billion, beating analysts' forecasts by $1.3 billion. Adjusted earnings surged 25% to $2.27 per share, $0.19 above expectations. For the second quarter, Microsoft management expects revenue growth of 16% to 18% year-over-year, which also beat analysts' expectations of 14%. Microsoft's performance is majestic, but some investors may not crave to buy its stock after its price has already risen almost 50% in 2021. Let's look at a few reasons to buy Microsoft stock, as well as one argument for selling it, to see if it is still an attractive investment at these prices. First and foremost, of course, is the growth of Microsoft Cloud Computing. Microsoft's dramatic growth over the past seven years has been booste by the expansion of its cloud services, particularly Azure, Office 365, Dynamics, LinkedIn, and other cloud software. The business records the performance of these businesses together as "Microsoft Cloud." In the first quarter, Microsoft Cloud's revenue grew 36% year over year to $20.7 billion, matching the 36% growth rate in the fourth quarter. Revenue from Azure, the most thoroughly supervised segment of Microsoft Cloud, grew 48% on a constant currency basis. That represents an acceleration from Azure's 45% growth on a constant currency basis in the fourth quarter and should allay fears of a possible slowdown. Azure's share of the global cloud infrastructure market also grew from 19% to 21% between the third quarters of 2020 and 2021, according to Canalys. That puts it in second place behind Amazon Web Services (AWS), whose year-over-year market share was unchanged at 32%. Microsoft probably could not have achieved this growth without Satya Nadella, who took over as third CEO in 2014 and aggressively expanded these services with his mantra "mobile first, cloud first." Second, we should not forget the recovery of favorable trends. Over the past few years, Microsoft has become a fast-growth company again, but it continues to return tens of billions of dollars to its investors. During the pandemic, several Microsoft enterprise services, including Office 365 Commercial, Dynamics 365, and LinkedIn Marketing Solutions, were disrupted as businesses closed. However, as businesses resumed operations, those factors eased. In the first quarter, Office 365 and Dynamics 365 provided an acceleration in growth on a constant currency basis, and LinkedIn Marketing continued to grow. The growth of these "resurgent" segments, along with the continued growth of Azure and other cloud services, is offsetting the slowdown in Microsoft's Surface and Xbox units, which suffered from chip shortages and other supply chains constraints in the first quarter. Finally, it's returning a lot of cash to shareholders. In the fiscal year 2021, Microsoft spent more than $39 billion on dividends and stock buybacks, accounting for about 70% of free cash flow (FCF). The company will spend another $10.9 billion, or 58% of FCF, on both activities in the first quarter of 2022. Microsoft's forward dividend yield of 0.8% won't drag serious investors, but the company has reduced its stock by nearly 10% over the past seven years, offsetting the dilution from stock-based compensation plans. Still, there is one single reason to sell Microsoft: its valuation. Today Microsoft is worth $2.4 trillion, about eight times its market value of $300 billion when Satya Nadella became its CEO. The company's stock currently trades at 13 times this year's sales forecast and 35 times its earnings forecast. Those estimates are slightly overstated compared to analysts' expectations for sales growth of 14% and earnings growth of 9% this year. Massive market capitalization and high valuations could make it tough for Microsoft to repeat its multiple growth over the past seven years. Microsoft stock is priced very high, but bears have been sounding the alarm about th is for years while the company's stock has been soaring. Still, most would agree that Microsoft deserves such a high valuation because it is still a perfect long-term investment that will continue to profit from the expanding cloud services market.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by FOREXN1
2
Tesla [TSLA] - BULLISH. BUY The Dips!!!This is why I am Anti-DCA. Not saying you wouldn't still be up on Tesla if you did it. Just saying, you'd made 5-10x more profit if you bough the dips. The only question is... HOW do you find the dips? As a technical analyst, that's what I do. Feel free to check my charing history on TradingView. :) If you are DCAing right now into Tesla, you may experience what happened to investors in January. I'd hold my money personally and wait for a dip.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TraderFromTheNorth
13
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NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by hadimozayan
Drawn trendline + LR on QuisCharts are an amazing tool. Been an amazing 1.5 years having control of my money to learn about technical analysis. I have been meaning to take a look at quis technically on this uptrend, Linear Regression I find is a great tool to price gain further context on longer time frames. I started this chart by inputting my own support and resistance trend lines. It follows that as you map out a line acting as resistance and one as support, you are going to find alot of the stocks price action in between. This price action acts as data to be inputted into a Linear Regression model. Utilizing 3 regression lines set from Standard Deviations -3 to +3, we capture 99.7% of data-price, for Quis. Quis over the past week has again started tightening up. Trading well below its daily average today into last weeks session. I have to admit I was off on the last tighten up around earnings. stock slipped up and went the other way for a week. these weeks candles and volume will be very telling to me on Quis being ready to go. Catalysts on the near term horizon include Visa end point certification for LedgerPay. LedgerPay is the first payment processing solution that is built on cloud technology, Microsofts Azure Cloud to be specific. You may have seen news out that Amazon is looking to build its own payment platform for retail business. Its to be able to take in all the data on AWS network and make AWS more valuable. Microsoft in a battle forever now on cloud with Amazon got here first by working with Quisitive, a premier partner of microsoft. Microsoft expects to punch back here with Quis as its boxer, this is due to the product offering and funcationality of Ledgerpay and its data intelligence arm and those capabilities. Further to certification, I think a contract being landed (guidance given on last earnings call Q&A that customers for Ledgerpay would likely be signing contracts before or shortly after LP is fully commercialized with Visa end point cert. It is on news of these contracts I feel the stock can push up to an area in the +2-+3 SD Channel. CEO Mike Reinhart represented Quis on an gateway investor webinar last week and guided that an uplist in Canada to the TSX was foundationally in place, and that US uplist was near as well. $QUISF currently trade on the pinks OTC. Quis also just filed an updated and amended SBP, as i note in my DD pieces, dilution is part of the game here and a risk to upside movement. Given the last two raises made by quis came after moves up, I think it follows that this will will too, but that may not align with acquisition opportunity forcing it to come earlier. In any case please always do your DD, feel free to check out my substack lebellechart for my own DD, and follow your own trading & investing rules. Cheers, Luke
TSXV:QUISLong
by LeBelleChart
MSFT Short position Microsoft Corporation is an American multinational technology corporation which produces computer software, consumer electronics, personal computers, and related services. From mid-May, we can see an increasing trend of the Microsoft Corporation. However, according to the MACD indicator that shows a bearish confirmation, we expect a decrease in the stock price. Also, RSI recently reached 70 and is showing a decrease these days. Moreover, the price hit an upper boundary of the Keltner channel. Position: SHORT Stop-loss $302.81 Entry range: $299.93-$302.81 Target I: $286.88 Target II: $274.82 As soon as target I is reached, we recommend repeating the test again and deciding whether to continue with a short position hence, to target II, or to go a long position.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by vf_investment
1