Microsoft Corporation, Daily Chart Analysis 10/14Technical Analysis and Outlook
Bulls bounced off the Mean Support $104.40 with crescendo signaling that higher interim prices are possible by targeting Mean Resistance $112.30 (Stage For the Bulls). Once the tech stock extends by ascending higher and closure over Mean Resistance $112.30 would validate a short-term bullishness towards Key Resistance $115.60.
Bears can keep an eye on the freshly created Mean Support $105.90 (Stage For the Bears) confirmed on Oct 12 as well as awaiting Mean Support $101.20 and 'VERY MAJOR' Key Support $97.50 .
Microsoft
MSFT: A SYMPHONYHi guys how y'all doing?, today I'm going to talk about the beautiful Microsoft also about happened for the last week as always.
"She's sexy even when she bearish" - I just want to start with this quote 'by me' about MSFT to say how this stock moving alway in the right way with no noise, fewer surprises, non-random moves.
alright so as we can see in the chart that the price have no challenges or difficult levels to break for the next week.
we can see the candlestick in Daily timeframe at 11 Oct "18 ended as a Doji the next day (Friday) the pre-market price has a big amount of volume what push the price higher and make a Gap up so we can clearly see that we have a (Morning Star Pattern).
Also, the price now starts showing some good sign of a revers while the price moving up from the Oversold area. the last candle closed above the 80MA and my 'personal perspective' i see that when 80MA act as a support or resistance it will be hard break it.
Now of course there's has to be challenges for Microsoft like any other stock, and that's right, the main challenge for MSFT to start to show some correction is to break the first resistance level at $110.82 and I don't really think that this would be a problem for Mircosoft for the next week.
So yeah, this is "my thought" about Microsoft for the Next week, To the Next Sunday, have fun.
Was the end of 2017, crypto's .com bust?There is a lot of talk about how crypto is only in it's infancy. But as we know the faster tech moves, the faster cycles come and go.
Could it be that we have already seen the ".com" bust of crypto, and that we are now moving through what Gartner calls the trough of disillusionment. Certainly ICO fatigue has set in as evidenced by the massive fall in ETH prices, and it might take a while for blockhain technology to stabilise and prove itself before seeing significant growth.
It took me a while to find a chart that looks similar to what we are seeing in Bitcoin now, but I finally found one.
This is Microsoft as we went through the .com bubble. Notice that it took almost a decade for this stock to recover and go to new heights (Almost due for another collapse). It's is eerily familiar. An end of year collapse, followed by a downwards wedge, with lower highs, but a constant support line at the bottom. And when we came to the end of that?...
... well it just kept going straight for a while waiting for a new generation of tech investors to forget about the bubble.
MSFT: EXPECTED MOVEHey everyone hope y'all had a great weekend, alright so today I just wanna talk about Microsoft and what happened last week.
In my last idea that I've been written about MSFT which called "MICROSOFT: NO CONFIRMATION" I said that "...but I can tell about price current position that the next move has to be down so it can hit one of two powerful support's, after hitting one of these supports it makes sense for the price to go up." - and we can see this is exactly what happened.
alright now, the price last week drops to $110.82 levels and for me, this is a normal movement to happened after price fly for months and after making higher highs I was waiting for it to pullback like this.
But how did I know where the price will get rejected?
will it's not hard you can see in the chart that the price on 26 Jul '18 hit the same levels for the first time ($110.82). If you were watching Microsoft for a while you'll find the point. Now after the price hit that level he got rejected and we see the price fall to make a support at ($105.94) before back to going up and break ($110.82) resistance levels and switch it to a support level.
And the same thing happened in '19 sep "18' when the price tried to back down but he got rejected from the ($110.82) support level. So technically when we see level hard to break up or down we must know how the price will act in the same situation in the future.
Now, Last week if we take a look at the stochastic we'll found that the price is basically overbought and this is what makes me waiting for this movement.
What's going to happen next:
If you take a look at the lower line of the Bollinger band, it's trying to go upside and the Upper-line trying to back down, what we understand that may squeeze will happen and this is will make the price stay flipping between ($110.82) and ($116.18).
But why I said that the price will keep moving between these two levels, take a look at the last Candle, its Morning Star right? and we know that 'Morning Star' means the price willing to make a reverse upside.
also, 90% of the conditions of this reverse come true.
The 6 Generally Rules for Evening Star Candlestick:
1. Downtrend (happened)
2. Bearish Candle (happened)
3. Gap Down (the last candle open at $112.63 and the previous candle closed at $112.79, the gap down = 0.16. So it's happened)
4. Small Bullish/Bearish Candle (happened)
5. Gap Up (should happen tomorrow)
6. Bullish Candle (should happen tomorrow)
So yeah, this is "my thought" about Microsoft for the Next week, To the Next Sunday, have fun.
Microsoft Corporation, Daily Chart Analysis 10/4Stock Analysis, Implications and Outlook
Microsoft stock rosed 0.02% in the Wednesday trading session, closing at $115.17. The stock price has risen steadily over since Sept 24 and is up by 3.11% over the last two weeks.
MSFT stock holds a sell (exit positions) from a short-term perspective due to completing outer Stock Rally $116.30 . On the correction side, there is currently relatively weak Key Resistance $115.60 , which could offer shorts exit points: Mean Support $113.90, 111.70 and very significant Key Support $108.20.
The MSFT stock is generally traded at a high volume, together with small daily changes, the risk level is recognized as low to modest for either short-term oriented longs or shorts.
Microsoft Corporation, Daily Chart Analysis 9/27Stock Analysis, Implications and Outlook
The stock lies under venerable Key Resistance $115.20 of a strong rising short-term trend and a further rise within the pattern is expected towards outer Stock Rally 116.30. On the corrective downside, there is Mean Support at $111.70.
MSFT: MONSTER OF VOLUMEHello, everyone! a lot of traders wondering (what the hack that makes Microsoft green while other stocks suffering in red like Google or Amazon)? The answer is clear, take a look at the Avg. volume.
Average Volume Last 10 days:
Amazon = $4.66M+
Google = $1.8M+
Microsoft =$26M+
Also, we know the amount of news that appears daily about Microsoft is much lower than Amazon and Google so know we know that News is not a key element in Microsoft's daily stock movement. but the main element is the amount of Liquidity that this company has when it comes to the Stock market.
the price going now so smoothly no crazy movement no noise no random movement.
MICROSOFT: SAFE SIDEMicrosoft these days playing in the safe side.
we have on the chart 4 simple lines (whats make clear price movement) the channel lines and Support & Resistance. So, the price has 2 spikes (what mean it broke the resistance 2 times) and it's not that hard to tell that the next price step is going Down if you look to the Stochastic but you'll be confused if you look at the Bollinger Bands, which give a signs for an Up movements And that's why you should NEVER depend on Indicators. Anyway. Aftermarket open, I expect for the price to back down.
the last candlestick format shows "Evening Star Candlestick Pattern" 50% valid, why not 100%? because "Evening Star" needs 6 conditions to be confirmed:
1) Uptrend ~ Check.
2) Bullish Candle ~ Check
3) Gap Up ~ Check
4) Small Bullish Candle ~ Check
5) Gap Down ~ In progress (aftermarket open)
6) Bearish Candle ~ In progress (aftermarket open)
I don't believe $110.82 levels will be strong support because as I said the price alright Overbought so the movement down will break this support level easily.
MICROSOFT: NO CONFIRMATIONSame with Google the same with Microsoft, last Jul the price move up until it hit the Upper-line of the channel and then it back downward, but if we zoom out the chart we can find that the price goes now as a sideways (flat), now the price in the middle so it's hard to guess the next move where it going to be (especially when market close). but I can tell about price current position that the next move has to be down so it can hit one of two powerful support's (the lower-line of the channel / the support line in 105.9 levels), after hitting one of these supports it makes sense for the price to go up.
MSFT (SHORT)Whats up Guys -
Simple and to the point 0-0
Microsoft Looks Short Term Bearish (mInor scalp)
I feel we are getting some good Down pressure on the market right now, and if the markets start to retrace recess, i expect MSFT will be hit pretty solid so that leaves a trade like this with low risk and high reward.
SL at 113
TP around the EMA / SMA on the chart, but possibly lower. Will reanalyze later .
Something positively suspect about this cyber-security stock Intercede is a software and service company specialising in identity, credential management and secure mobility. After 20 years of delivering solutions to high profile customers, from the US and UK governments to some of the world’s largest corporations, telecommunications providers and information technology.
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However Intercede IGP finds its stock at an All Time Low ATL after losing more than 90% of its value from its peak in 2014. What happened in the last five years?
Well revenues have increased since but that has been outweighed by a substantial increase in operating expenses for “strategic investment to exploit new market opportunities”. That statement is true because IGP and their MyID Credential Management System is seen competing against and working alongside some big names such as:
-Intel
-Microsoft
-Symantec Corp
-ARM limited (bought by SoftBank Group Corp)
Their clients now officially include:
-The UK, US, Australian Governments
-Airbus & Boeing
-Barclays, Wells Fargo, ANZ and Swedbank
HOWEVER, the bulk of IGPs clients (no names mention) and subsequent revenue comes from:
-Major military organisations
-Global defense corporations
-Government agencies
-Crypto-currency and finance exchanges
The contracts are rolling in...
The technicals dont confirm much and we cant conclude from the discussion above that this company will succeed. What we can conclude is that cyber-security has incredible investment potential in the future and companies that own software are tools to control and protect identities are in a good position to benefit financially.
I wouldn't be surprised if we saw buy-out in future.
MICROSOFT to bleed more than half its value: wave 3 completionThis is a W1 chart of Microsoft.
The purpose of this post is to follow major companies whose share price affect the general financial market in order to anticipate the depression/recession that is to come.
This analysis is based on EWP in combination with fibonacci levels, and some reversal candle stick formation in the end.
After the correction of 2008-2009, MSFT began to develop wave 3 of a larger degree (Starting from Sep2019).
All wave count is on the chart and we now have a completed 5 wave structure to make wave 3.
This wave three structure took approximately 9 years to build, and it fits fibonacci levels perfectly!
Wave 2 is .5 ret of wave 1.
Wave 4 is .382 ret of wave 3.
Wave 3 is a 1.618 ext of wave 1-2.
Wave 5 is a 2.618 ext of wave 3-4.
Although fifth wave extension is uncommon in equity market, we cannot discard the possibility of this scenario with clear wave structures.
Wave 5 extension personality: it often retraces to the wave 2 region of the extended fifth wave (labelled with blue dotted lines.) ***This region coincides with .618 retracement of the entire wave 3 structure of one larger degree.
Candlestick:
Reversal pattern is in print with: a spinning top (2 weeks ago as I am writing this); a shooting star (last week as I am writing this, with its upper wick landing right on the 2.618 ext of wave 3-4!!).
And now, we have a hanging man in print (Have to wait for week to close).
In summary, all the stars are in line for MSFT to suffer a correction.
Using knowledge of wave personalities, it is extremely possible that MSFT may lose more than half of its current share value within the coming years.
Trading Strategy for Parabolic Markets [Part 2]In Part 1 I outlined an approach that I have been working on that's aimed towards trading parabolic markets. Now we look at some trades!
Amazon
Daily
Notes: Hyperwave Phase 4 if it supports throwback to prior ATH’ | 10 MA > 50 MA > 200 MA | Daily ADX recently crossed 25 | Weekly ADX = 37 and is currently crossing +DI | Daily RSI = 61.46 & Weekly RSI = 74.78 | Cluster of support at $1,720 from: prior horizontal resistance, 50 day MA, phase 4 hyperwave, the weekly and daily TDST levels, weekly Tenkan-Sen and the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
Q-2 Earnings Report: Expected earnings per share: $2.49 vs $5.07 actual earnings per share for a +103% surprise.
Time Analysis: Horizontal meets trend on 8/6/18
Possible Entries: Blind order at $1,720 | Buying consolidation at horizontal + trend + 50 MA + cloud support | Waiting for green 2 to trade above green 1 on the daily
Microsoft
Weekly
Notes: If it supports throwback to prior ATH’ then phase 3 is confirmed | 10 MA > 50 MA > 200 MA | ADX > 25 | Weekly RSI = 71.14 | Daily RSI = 59 | Cluster of support at $102 from: prior horizontal resistance, 50 day MA, phase 4 hyperwave, daily and weekly TDST levels, weekly Tenkan-Sen and the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
Q-2 Earnings Report: Expected earnings per share: $1.07 vs $1.13 actual for a +5.61% surprise.
Time Analysis: Trend meets horizontal support on 8/10
Possible Entries: Blind order at $103 | Buying consolidation at horizontal + trend + 50 MA + cloud support | Waiting for green 2 to trade above green 1 on the daily.
Risk: 5.31%
Potential Return: +92.5%
Risk:Reward = 18.5:1
Alphabet
Notes: Tyler Jenks said that he is waiting for new ATH, throwback and new ATH to confirm phase 4 of the hyperwave (pink dotted) | 10 MA > 50 MA > 200 MA | Support cluster at $1,196 from: prior horizontal resistance, phase 4 of the hyperwave, daily and weekly TDST level, weekly Tenkan-Sen & Kijun-Sen and daily cloud.
Q-2 Earnings Report: Expected earnings per share: $9.45 vs $11.75 actual earnings per share for a +24.34% surprise. Better than expected earnings despite $5B fine. $32.66B in Q-2 revenue vs $26.01B during Q-2 of 2017. Expected: $6.7B income on $25.6B in revenue. $8.27B in revenue and $4.54 earnings per share.
Time Analysis: Horizontal support meets hyperwave on 9/17 | Green 3 > Green 2 on the weekly indicates 6 weeks left to the upside.
Possible Entries: Blind order at $1,198. Buy consolidation with reversal candles at support cluster. Wait for green 2 to trade above a green 1 on the daily.
Risk: 10.5%
Potential for return: +92.5%
Risk:Reward = 8.8:1
The Boeing Company
Notes: Hyperwave phase 4 | 10 MA > 50 MA > 200 MA | ADX < 20 while price consolidates inside triangle | Currently getting support from daily cloud and 50 day MA | Weekly RSI = 64 | Daily RSI = 55.61
Q-2 Earnings Call: Expected earnings per share: $3.45 vs $3.33 actual earnings per share for a -3.48% surprise. $4.7B of operating cash and repurchased $3.0B of Boeing stock. Paid $1B in dividends, reflecting a 20% increase from last year. Q-2 Revenue = $24.3B with a higher volume of commercial deliveries and a favorable mix of services and defense contracts.
Time Analysis: Triangle will be 66% completed on 10/30 and that is the most likely time for a breakout to occur.
Possible Entries: Breakout of $380 that is supported by volume | Throwback to $380 on decreasing volume | Green 2 > Green 1 after breaking out from $380
Risk: 9.16%
Potential Reward: If triangle is a bull flag and 9/5/16 to 2/12/18 is the pole then the target = $617 or +64.53%
Risk:reward = 9.16%:64.53%
Saved the best for last and ran out of room. Will have to make this a three part post.
Microsoft [Long term analysis]Elliot Wave analysis.
Paths listed:
- Extended wave 5: Retrace (wave 4) at 161.8% to around 38.2%-50%, followed by an extended wave 5 to either 100%, 161.8% or 261.8% 0-3. Expect 61.8% retracement after of entire structure.
- Extended wave 3: Blows past 161.8% toward 261.8%, followed by a 38.2%-50% retracement after making contact with 261.8%, followed by wave 5 which should be 100%, 161.8% or 261.8% 0-1. Expect 61.8% retracement after of entire structure.
- Strong Extended wave 3: Blows past 161.8% and 261.8%, makes contact with 423.6% and then retraces 38.2%-50%, followed by wave 5 which should be 100%, 161.8% or 261.8% 0-1
Paths not listed: Leading diagonal, truncated fifth.
Microsoft - Consolidation and BOOM!Hey guys , microsoft has a really strong momentum going on , i see there is a correction coming for it , i'll try to find a good spot to long it.
It has a series of extensions on thirds and fifths and very hard to count so i'll have to try few times probably until i get the right guess of what degree the correction is.
After spending a lot of time in this asset i see this scenario playing out , it's a very strong momentum , please do not short.
Goodluck!
MSFT : New highest peaks comingMSFT Monthly chart
New highest peaks coming!
It continues to move in the bollinger upper band for five years on monthly indicators, will continue to rise and will form new peaks
Indicators and oscillator averages are positive, there is not any reason for to rise.
Hourly charts may have ups and downs
What matters is the general trend and general trend is rising
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
I'm sorry for the impaired expression..Just watch the chart, not what I write. :)
PS make sure you give me a like, If you LIKE this analysis .... If you like most of my analyzes, FOLLOW me .
MSFT H2 chart
Double/triple top: MSFT falls first to $77, then eventually $70?Well, sure looks to me that Microsoft (MSFT) has made a double top (and if you count the first peak a triple top).
The confirmation will be if MSFT falls below $87.
A few characteristics of a double top reversal (as published on stockcharts.com's description):
1. Prior Trend: Check.
2. First peak marks highest point of current trend: Check.
3. Trough--decline of at least 10%: Check.
4. Second Peak: Low volume (declining), meets resistance of previous high, and about 1 month passes between peaks: Check, Check, and Check.
5. Decline from peak: Expansion in volume and or accelerated descent: Pending/underway...looking to earnings on 4/26 to provide this gap down stimulus on significant volume (even with a beat, most companies are currently experiencing selling pressure post earnings).
6. Support break: Confirmed when MSFT breaks below about $87. New target at this point will be $77.
If the triple top pattern is in play here, then the next target after $77 (likely after an interval move to test the $87 line of support turned resistance at some point) will be about $70.
$70 would align well with my Elliott Waves and serve as a touch to the trend line where wave 4 that MSFT is currently forming would be complete.
Potential good news for the bulls is that if the above plays out, and they are still in their position at $70, I am looking for a 5th wave up after the trend line touch around $70. I will certainly plan to be going long for a period if MSFT gets to $70!