MSFT: MONSTER OF VOLUMEHello, everyone! a lot of traders wondering (what the hack that makes Microsoft green while other stocks suffering in red like Google or Amazon)? The answer is clear, take a look at the Avg. volume.
Average Volume Last 10 days:
Amazon = $4.66M+
Google = $1.8M+
Microsoft =$26M+
Also, we know the amount of news that appears daily about Microsoft is much lower than Amazon and Google so know we know that News is not a key element in Microsoft's daily stock movement. but the main element is the amount of Liquidity that this company has when it comes to the Stock market.
the price going now so smoothly no crazy movement no noise no random movement.
Microsoft
MICROSOFT: SAFE SIDEMicrosoft these days playing in the safe side.
we have on the chart 4 simple lines (whats make clear price movement) the channel lines and Support & Resistance. So, the price has 2 spikes (what mean it broke the resistance 2 times) and it's not that hard to tell that the next price step is going Down if you look to the Stochastic but you'll be confused if you look at the Bollinger Bands, which give a signs for an Up movements And that's why you should NEVER depend on Indicators. Anyway. Aftermarket open, I expect for the price to back down.
the last candlestick format shows "Evening Star Candlestick Pattern" 50% valid, why not 100%? because "Evening Star" needs 6 conditions to be confirmed:
1) Uptrend ~ Check.
2) Bullish Candle ~ Check
3) Gap Up ~ Check
4) Small Bullish Candle ~ Check
5) Gap Down ~ In progress (aftermarket open)
6) Bearish Candle ~ In progress (aftermarket open)
I don't believe $110.82 levels will be strong support because as I said the price alright Overbought so the movement down will break this support level easily.
MICROSOFT: NO CONFIRMATIONSame with Google the same with Microsoft, last Jul the price move up until it hit the Upper-line of the channel and then it back downward, but if we zoom out the chart we can find that the price goes now as a sideways (flat), now the price in the middle so it's hard to guess the next move where it going to be (especially when market close). but I can tell about price current position that the next move has to be down so it can hit one of two powerful support's (the lower-line of the channel / the support line in 105.9 levels), after hitting one of these supports it makes sense for the price to go up.
MSFT (SHORT)Whats up Guys -
Simple and to the point 0-0
Microsoft Looks Short Term Bearish (mInor scalp)
I feel we are getting some good Down pressure on the market right now, and if the markets start to retrace recess, i expect MSFT will be hit pretty solid so that leaves a trade like this with low risk and high reward.
SL at 113
TP around the EMA / SMA on the chart, but possibly lower. Will reanalyze later .
Something positively suspect about this cyber-security stock Intercede is a software and service company specialising in identity, credential management and secure mobility. After 20 years of delivering solutions to high profile customers, from the US and UK governments to some of the world’s largest corporations, telecommunications providers and information technology.
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However Intercede IGP finds its stock at an All Time Low ATL after losing more than 90% of its value from its peak in 2014. What happened in the last five years?
Well revenues have increased since but that has been outweighed by a substantial increase in operating expenses for “strategic investment to exploit new market opportunities”. That statement is true because IGP and their MyID Credential Management System is seen competing against and working alongside some big names such as:
-Intel
-Microsoft
-Symantec Corp
-ARM limited (bought by SoftBank Group Corp)
Their clients now officially include:
-The UK, US, Australian Governments
-Airbus & Boeing
-Barclays, Wells Fargo, ANZ and Swedbank
HOWEVER, the bulk of IGPs clients (no names mention) and subsequent revenue comes from:
-Major military organisations
-Global defense corporations
-Government agencies
-Crypto-currency and finance exchanges
The contracts are rolling in...
The technicals dont confirm much and we cant conclude from the discussion above that this company will succeed. What we can conclude is that cyber-security has incredible investment potential in the future and companies that own software are tools to control and protect identities are in a good position to benefit financially.
I wouldn't be surprised if we saw buy-out in future.
MICROSOFT to bleed more than half its value: wave 3 completionThis is a W1 chart of Microsoft.
The purpose of this post is to follow major companies whose share price affect the general financial market in order to anticipate the depression/recession that is to come.
This analysis is based on EWP in combination with fibonacci levels, and some reversal candle stick formation in the end.
After the correction of 2008-2009, MSFT began to develop wave 3 of a larger degree (Starting from Sep2019).
All wave count is on the chart and we now have a completed 5 wave structure to make wave 3.
This wave three structure took approximately 9 years to build, and it fits fibonacci levels perfectly!
Wave 2 is .5 ret of wave 1.
Wave 4 is .382 ret of wave 3.
Wave 3 is a 1.618 ext of wave 1-2.
Wave 5 is a 2.618 ext of wave 3-4.
Although fifth wave extension is uncommon in equity market, we cannot discard the possibility of this scenario with clear wave structures.
Wave 5 extension personality: it often retraces to the wave 2 region of the extended fifth wave (labelled with blue dotted lines.) ***This region coincides with .618 retracement of the entire wave 3 structure of one larger degree.
Candlestick:
Reversal pattern is in print with: a spinning top (2 weeks ago as I am writing this); a shooting star (last week as I am writing this, with its upper wick landing right on the 2.618 ext of wave 3-4!!).
And now, we have a hanging man in print (Have to wait for week to close).
In summary, all the stars are in line for MSFT to suffer a correction.
Using knowledge of wave personalities, it is extremely possible that MSFT may lose more than half of its current share value within the coming years.
Trading Strategy for Parabolic Markets [Part 2]In Part 1 I outlined an approach that I have been working on that's aimed towards trading parabolic markets. Now we look at some trades!
Amazon
Daily
Notes: Hyperwave Phase 4 if it supports throwback to prior ATH’ | 10 MA > 50 MA > 200 MA | Daily ADX recently crossed 25 | Weekly ADX = 37 and is currently crossing +DI | Daily RSI = 61.46 & Weekly RSI = 74.78 | Cluster of support at $1,720 from: prior horizontal resistance, 50 day MA, phase 4 hyperwave, the weekly and daily TDST levels, weekly Tenkan-Sen and the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
Q-2 Earnings Report: Expected earnings per share: $2.49 vs $5.07 actual earnings per share for a +103% surprise.
Time Analysis: Horizontal meets trend on 8/6/18
Possible Entries: Blind order at $1,720 | Buying consolidation at horizontal + trend + 50 MA + cloud support | Waiting for green 2 to trade above green 1 on the daily
Microsoft
Weekly
Notes: If it supports throwback to prior ATH’ then phase 3 is confirmed | 10 MA > 50 MA > 200 MA | ADX > 25 | Weekly RSI = 71.14 | Daily RSI = 59 | Cluster of support at $102 from: prior horizontal resistance, 50 day MA, phase 4 hyperwave, daily and weekly TDST levels, weekly Tenkan-Sen and the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
Q-2 Earnings Report: Expected earnings per share: $1.07 vs $1.13 actual for a +5.61% surprise.
Time Analysis: Trend meets horizontal support on 8/10
Possible Entries: Blind order at $103 | Buying consolidation at horizontal + trend + 50 MA + cloud support | Waiting for green 2 to trade above green 1 on the daily.
Risk: 5.31%
Potential Return: +92.5%
Risk:Reward = 18.5:1
Alphabet
Notes: Tyler Jenks said that he is waiting for new ATH, throwback and new ATH to confirm phase 4 of the hyperwave (pink dotted) | 10 MA > 50 MA > 200 MA | Support cluster at $1,196 from: prior horizontal resistance, phase 4 of the hyperwave, daily and weekly TDST level, weekly Tenkan-Sen & Kijun-Sen and daily cloud.
Q-2 Earnings Report: Expected earnings per share: $9.45 vs $11.75 actual earnings per share for a +24.34% surprise. Better than expected earnings despite $5B fine. $32.66B in Q-2 revenue vs $26.01B during Q-2 of 2017. Expected: $6.7B income on $25.6B in revenue. $8.27B in revenue and $4.54 earnings per share.
Time Analysis: Horizontal support meets hyperwave on 9/17 | Green 3 > Green 2 on the weekly indicates 6 weeks left to the upside.
Possible Entries: Blind order at $1,198. Buy consolidation with reversal candles at support cluster. Wait for green 2 to trade above a green 1 on the daily.
Risk: 10.5%
Potential for return: +92.5%
Risk:Reward = 8.8:1
The Boeing Company
Notes: Hyperwave phase 4 | 10 MA > 50 MA > 200 MA | ADX < 20 while price consolidates inside triangle | Currently getting support from daily cloud and 50 day MA | Weekly RSI = 64 | Daily RSI = 55.61
Q-2 Earnings Call: Expected earnings per share: $3.45 vs $3.33 actual earnings per share for a -3.48% surprise. $4.7B of operating cash and repurchased $3.0B of Boeing stock. Paid $1B in dividends, reflecting a 20% increase from last year. Q-2 Revenue = $24.3B with a higher volume of commercial deliveries and a favorable mix of services and defense contracts.
Time Analysis: Triangle will be 66% completed on 10/30 and that is the most likely time for a breakout to occur.
Possible Entries: Breakout of $380 that is supported by volume | Throwback to $380 on decreasing volume | Green 2 > Green 1 after breaking out from $380
Risk: 9.16%
Potential Reward: If triangle is a bull flag and 9/5/16 to 2/12/18 is the pole then the target = $617 or +64.53%
Risk:reward = 9.16%:64.53%
Saved the best for last and ran out of room. Will have to make this a three part post.
Microsoft [Long term analysis]Elliot Wave analysis.
Paths listed:
- Extended wave 5: Retrace (wave 4) at 161.8% to around 38.2%-50%, followed by an extended wave 5 to either 100%, 161.8% or 261.8% 0-3. Expect 61.8% retracement after of entire structure.
- Extended wave 3: Blows past 161.8% toward 261.8%, followed by a 38.2%-50% retracement after making contact with 261.8%, followed by wave 5 which should be 100%, 161.8% or 261.8% 0-1. Expect 61.8% retracement after of entire structure.
- Strong Extended wave 3: Blows past 161.8% and 261.8%, makes contact with 423.6% and then retraces 38.2%-50%, followed by wave 5 which should be 100%, 161.8% or 261.8% 0-1
Paths not listed: Leading diagonal, truncated fifth.
Microsoft - Consolidation and BOOM!Hey guys , microsoft has a really strong momentum going on , i see there is a correction coming for it , i'll try to find a good spot to long it.
It has a series of extensions on thirds and fifths and very hard to count so i'll have to try few times probably until i get the right guess of what degree the correction is.
After spending a lot of time in this asset i see this scenario playing out , it's a very strong momentum , please do not short.
Goodluck!
MSFT : New highest peaks comingMSFT Monthly chart
New highest peaks coming!
It continues to move in the bollinger upper band for five years on monthly indicators, will continue to rise and will form new peaks
Indicators and oscillator averages are positive, there is not any reason for to rise.
Hourly charts may have ups and downs
What matters is the general trend and general trend is rising
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
I'm sorry for the impaired expression..Just watch the chart, not what I write. :)
PS make sure you give me a like, If you LIKE this analysis .... If you like most of my analyzes, FOLLOW me .
MSFT H2 chart
Double/triple top: MSFT falls first to $77, then eventually $70?Well, sure looks to me that Microsoft (MSFT) has made a double top (and if you count the first peak a triple top).
The confirmation will be if MSFT falls below $87.
A few characteristics of a double top reversal (as published on stockcharts.com's description):
1. Prior Trend: Check.
2. First peak marks highest point of current trend: Check.
3. Trough--decline of at least 10%: Check.
4. Second Peak: Low volume (declining), meets resistance of previous high, and about 1 month passes between peaks: Check, Check, and Check.
5. Decline from peak: Expansion in volume and or accelerated descent: Pending/underway...looking to earnings on 4/26 to provide this gap down stimulus on significant volume (even with a beat, most companies are currently experiencing selling pressure post earnings).
6. Support break: Confirmed when MSFT breaks below about $87. New target at this point will be $77.
If the triple top pattern is in play here, then the next target after $77 (likely after an interval move to test the $87 line of support turned resistance at some point) will be about $70.
$70 would align well with my Elliott Waves and serve as a touch to the trend line where wave 4 that MSFT is currently forming would be complete.
Potential good news for the bulls is that if the above plays out, and they are still in their position at $70, I am looking for a 5th wave up after the trend line touch around $70. I will certainly plan to be going long for a period if MSFT gets to $70!
MSFT 5-Day-Ahead Prediction - 04/11-04/17 PeriodArtificial Intelligence/Deep Learning Enabled 5 Day Ahead Predicted values for Microsoft Corp. ( MSFT ) have been plotted on the chart.
The method used in this prediction is Deep Learning based, and using complex mathematical models/methodologies to extract hidden time series features in vast amounts of MSFT related data.
The expected 5 Day Change is 0.54 %
Predictability Indicator is calculated as : 0.792
Predicted 5-Day Ahead Prices are as follows:
Wed Apr 11 Thu Apr 12 Fri Apr 13 Mon Apr 16 Tue Apr 17
93.058 93.171 93.255 93.328 93.381
Please note that outliers/non-linearities might occur, however our Artificial Intelligence/Deep Learning Enabled predictions indicate the softened/smoothed moving direction of the stocks/commodities/World indices/ETFs/Foreign Currencies/Cryptocurrencies.
Feel free to contact us for your questions.
Tech BuBBLE ? Looks Familiar YeS or NO ? This Time Different ?Look at the price action.
Nearly same man. Come on.
But when we look at the other tech stocks microsoft not like x10 price. This is more natural. Same tech shares x10 man. Come on. If something rise x10 this is bubbleeeeee.
Big rise big decline. There is something going on. -1500 dow jones sell of is the begining of the bubbbleee Bang...
BiG SHorT Coming I GUesss...
Sorry MAN. BUBBLEE.