Microsoftlong
Buying MSFT break of recent high.Microsoft - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 253.11 (stop at 243.98)
Prices have reacted from 213.43.
Posted a Double Top formation. 250.58 has been pivotal.
The previous swing high is located at 253.00.
A break of the recent high at 253.00 should result in a further move higher.
Short term momentum is bullish.
The bias is to break to the upside.
Our profit targets will be 274.98 and 279.98
Resistance: 250.00 / 260.00 / 267.00
Support: 235.00 / 220.00 / 210.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Agressively buying Microsoft.Microsoft - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 251.11 (stop at 241.98)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Our profit targets will be 274.98 and 279.98
Resistance: 250.00 / 260.00 / 267.00
Support: 235.00 / 220.00 / 210.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Longing Microsoft. MSFTIn conjunction with the uptrend on the major indices (locally), we are seeing a recovery in this major stock. It remains to be seen what exactly we are to paint out - a zigzag, triangle and its many varieties. Momentum is upgoing on SPX, which gives us confidence to see more growth in the tech sector.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Microsoft pulling back?Microsoft
Short Term
We look to Buy at 273.34 (stop at 266.24)
Previous resistance at 275.00 now becomes support. Choppy price action seen. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 292.57 and 303.00
Resistance: 293.00 / 315.00 / 320.00
Support: 275.00 / 250.00 / 200.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Microsoft: No Mo Lo´s!This massive impulsive reaction to the FED´s rate hike is a clear indicator for tus that the low has been completed. Accordingly, the Mircosoft stock should now seek to extend gains. In the turquoise target zone on the top, we expect a turnaround for another corrective move, though we do not think that new lows will be reached. Here, we might enter a position or two 👀
MSFT beating analysts' expectationsAdj EPS: $2.22 vs $2.19 expected
Revenue: $49.4 billion vs $49 billion expected
Cloud: $19.05 billion vs $18.9 billion expected
Revenues for Azure, its flagship cloud offering, rose 46% from last year.
My price target fo MSFT this year is $307.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Microsoft at Key SupportMicrosoft
Short Term - We look to Buy at 273.03 (stop at 269.68)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. A higher correction is expected. Previous support located at 280.00. 280.00 continues to hold back the bears. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 302.57 and 309.50
Resistance: 300.00 / 315.00 / 350.00
Support: 280.00 / 260.00 / 250.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Microsoft Buy SetupMicrosoft - Short Term - We look to Buy at 303.35 (stop at 296.56)
We look to buy dips. Previous resistance, now becomes support at 300.00. Trading has been mixed and volatile. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 325.34 and 336.10
Resistance: 320.00 / 340.00 / 350.00
Support: 300.00 / 270.00 / 250.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Microsoft: Buy at Crucial Support Microsoft - Short Term - We look to Buy at 279.24 (stop at 272.73)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. A higher correction is expected. Previous support located at 280.00. 280.00 continues to hold back the bears. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 299.23 and 309.50
Resistance: 300.00 / 315.00 / 350.00
Support: 280.00 / 260.00 / 250.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MICROSOFT LONGHi there,
As you can see it is following the channel well. Back in 2020 it dropped then over the next 6 months, it went up 50% more than the previous peak. Since it is at the lower end of the channel and the BULLISH uptrend since 2007, we can expect MICROSOFT to bounce back.
HOWEVER, we shall WAIT for the CLOSURE of the candle when MARKET opens and we SHALL wait further to let it BREATH then enter the trade and let it ROLL for a nice LONG SWING.
Kind regards
Microsoft (MSFT) | The safest place to buy🔥Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
It is better not to talk about the general nature of this wave and only explain the counted part of the wave.
Based on the counting of the first wave 1 and 2, it has ended in a very normal state and now we are inside the third wave.
From wave 3, waves 1, 2, and 3 are completed, and now wave 4 is formed. As we previously thought, wave 4 was formed in the form of a flat, and from this flat, waves a and b are completed, and the structure of wave c is formed.
Wave c is at the end of its trend, both in terms of the number of waves and the ratio between waves a and b of the flat, as well as the ratio of the depth of this correction to wave 4, but the probability of correction to Fibo will be 0.38 and then the wave starts breaking the green circle. 5 is approved.
This analysis is also fielded if the trend moves beyond the resistance indicated by the warning sign.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
Microsoft (MSFT) | The best scenario for climbing📝Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
It is better not to talk about the general nature of this wave and only explain the counted part of the wave.
Based on the counting of the first wave 1 and 2, it has ended in a very normal state and now we are inside the third wave.
From wave 3, waves 1, 2, and 3 are completed, and now wave 4 is formed. We assume that wave 4 is formed in the form of a flat, and two waves are needed from this plate to complete, and the end point of this wave can be rough due to wave 2, which is deep. 0.23 and 0.38, and it is better to start the upward movement for wave 3 by hitting the trend line and breaking the upper side of the channel.
The target for Wave 3 is a multi-fibo collision.
If the warning sign fails, the field analysis will not go down, but will return to normal.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
MSFT - STOCKS - 18. OCT. 2021Welcome to our Weekly V2-Trade Setup ( MSFT ) !
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4 HOUR
Overall bullish market structure..
DAILY
Great fundamentals and technicals.
WEEKLY
Nice long setup!
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STOCK SETUP
BUY MSFT
ENTRY LEVEL @ 304.18
SL @ 291.89
TP @ Open
Max Risk: 0.5% - 1%!
(Remember to add a few pips to all levels - different Brokers!)
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
Microsoft | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...Microsoft's stock price reached an all-time high after the tech behemoth published its first-quarter earnings report last Tuesday. The company's revenue increased 22% year-over-year to $45.3 billion, beating analysts' forecasts by $1.3 billion. Adjusted earnings surged 25% to $2.27 per share, $0.19 above expectations.
For the second quarter, Microsoft management expects revenue growth of 16% to 18% year-over-year, which also beat analysts' expectations of 14%.
Microsoft's performance is majestic, but some investors may not crave to buy its stock after its price has already risen almost 50% in 2021. Let's look at a few reasons to buy Microsoft stock, as well as one argument for selling it, to see if it is still an attractive investment at these prices.
First and foremost, of course, is the growth of Microsoft Cloud Computing.
Microsoft's dramatic growth over the past seven years has been booste by the expansion of its cloud services, particularly Azure, Office 365, Dynamics, LinkedIn, and other cloud software. The business records the performance of these businesses together as "Microsoft Cloud."
In the first quarter, Microsoft Cloud's revenue grew 36% year over year to $20.7 billion, matching the 36% growth rate in the fourth quarter.
Revenue from Azure, the most thoroughly supervised segment of Microsoft Cloud, grew 48% on a constant currency basis. That represents an acceleration from Azure's 45% growth on a constant currency basis in the fourth quarter and should allay fears of a possible slowdown.
Azure's share of the global cloud infrastructure market also grew from 19% to 21% between the third quarters of 2020 and 2021, according to Canalys. That puts it in second place behind Amazon Web Services (AWS), whose year-over-year market share was unchanged at 32%.
Microsoft probably could not have achieved this growth without Satya Nadella, who took over as third CEO in 2014 and aggressively expanded these services with his mantra "mobile first, cloud first."
Second, we should not forget the recovery of favorable trends.
Over the past few years, Microsoft has become a fast-growth company again, but it continues to return tens of billions of dollars to its investors.
During the pandemic, several Microsoft enterprise services, including Office 365 Commercial, Dynamics 365, and LinkedIn Marketing Solutions, were disrupted as businesses closed.
However, as businesses resumed operations, those factors eased. In the first quarter, Office 365 and Dynamics 365 provided an acceleration in growth on a constant currency basis, and LinkedIn Marketing continued to grow.
The growth of these "resurgent" segments, along with the continued growth of Azure and other cloud services, is offsetting the slowdown in Microsoft's Surface and Xbox units, which suffered from chip shortages and other supply chains constraints in the first quarter.
Finally, it's returning a lot of cash to shareholders.
In the fiscal year 2021, Microsoft spent more than $39 billion on dividends and stock buybacks, accounting for about 70% of free cash flow (FCF). The company will spend another $10.9 billion, or 58% of FCF, on both activities in the first quarter of 2022.
Microsoft's forward dividend yield of 0.8% won't drag serious investors, but the company has reduced its stock by nearly 10% over the past seven years, offsetting the dilution from stock-based compensation plans.
Still, there is one single reason to sell Microsoft: its valuation.
Today Microsoft is worth $2.4 trillion, about eight times its market value of $300 billion when Satya Nadella became its CEO.
The company's stock currently trades at 13 times this year's sales forecast and 35 times its earnings forecast. Those estimates are slightly overstated compared to analysts' expectations for sales growth of 14% and earnings growth of 9% this year.
Massive market capitalization and high valuations could make it tough for Microsoft to repeat its multiple growth over the past seven years.
Microsoft stock is priced very high, but bears have been sounding the alarm about th is for years while the company's stock has been soaring. Still, most would agree that Microsoft deserves such a high valuation because it is still a perfect long-term investment that will continue to profit from the expanding cloud services market.
MICROSOFT:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION & NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔Microsoft released its fourth-quarter results on July 27. The company's revenue rose 21% year over year to $46.2 billion, beating forecasts by $1.9 billion, and earnings rose 49% to $2.17 per share, beating expectations by $0.25. Commercial cloud revenue - which comes primarily from Microsoft 365 (formerly Office 365), LinkedIn, Dynamics CRM, and the Azure cloud infrastructure platform - rose 36% from a year ago to $19.5 billion.
That represents an acceleration from the 33% growth in the commercial cloud segment in Q3, but Azure's 45% year-over-year revenue growth in constant currency slowed down from the 46% growth in the third quarter. However, Azure revenue still grew 51% in the period, compared to 50% growth in the previous quarter, so it profited from favorable currency factors.
Azure's growth rate still looks strong, but Microsoft's unwillingness to disclose any further numbers on the cloud platform is discouraging. Let's look at three reasons why Microsoft should finally open the curtain.
First, it is one of Microsoft's most significant businesses.
Azure is the main growth engine of the commercial cloud division. It has consistently grown faster than Microsoft/Office 365 and Dynamics 365 and remains the second-largest cloud infrastructure platform in the world after Amazon Web Services (AWS).
According to Canalys, Azure controlled 22 percent of the global cloud infrastructure market in the second quarter of 2021. It is behind AWS at 31%, but well ahead of Alphabet's Google Cloud, which is in third place with an 8% share.
Disclosing the exact amount of Azure's revenues and profits would let investors know whether Microsoft has pricing power in this competitive market, or whether it is simply trading margins for market share.
Second, consider that Amazon and Google don't hide their cloud metrics.
In 2015, Amazon began reporting accurate data on AWS revenue and operating profits. Google followed suit, reporting accurate Google Cloud revenues in 2019 and then disclosing the division's operating losses in 2020.
Last year, Amazon's AWS revenue grew 30% to $45.4 billion, or 12% of total revenue. Segment operating income rose 47% to $13.5 billion and accounted for 59% of operating income. In other words, Amazon can support the development of its low-margin retail business at the expense of its higher-margin cloud business, giving it an advantage over other online and offline retailers.
Revenues at Alphabet's Google Cloud unit rose 46% to $13.1 billion in 2020, a 7% increase. The division's operating loss increased from $4.6 billion to $5.6 billion, but Alphabet's total operating income still rose 20% to $41.2 billion. These numbers suggest that Google Cloud is offering lower prices than AWS to expand its market share, but the company can afford to stick with this losing strategy since it can compensate its losses from cloud computing with higher advertising revenue.
As for Azure, investors still don't know how much the cloud platform boosts Microsoft's revenues and how much it reduces profit growth.
Finally, no more vague hints about Azure's margins.
Microsoft executives mention Azure dozens of times during every conference call, but only hint a few times at the platform's actual gross margin. During Microsoft's third-quarter conference call in April, CFO Amy Hood said Azure's gross margin is growing, but the "shift in sales mix toward Azure" is still reducing the overall gross margin of the commercial cloud segment.
In the fourth quarter, Microsoft said that commercial cloud gross margins "increased 4 points to 70% despite the shift in revenue mix toward Azure," and the 14% year-over-year increase in operating expenses was mostly "driven by investments in Azure" - but we don't know exactly how much was spent.
These indefinite comments tell us three things about Azure: it makes far less profit than Microsoft's other commercial cloud businesses, it offers customers lower rates to keep up with AWS and Google Cloud, and it is constantly expanding with new investments and services.
Giving accurate revenue and operating profit data would clarify things and show investors how much money Microsoft is losing (or perhaps making) on one of its fastest-growing businesses.
Former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer recommended the management to reveal cloud revenue, margins, and profits six years ago, but his successor, Satya Nadella, did not follow the advice. Nadella's position made sense then, as Microsoft was just beginning its transition, but today it doesn't make much sense-particularly after Amazon and Google have laid all their cards on the table.