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The Bitcoin Manipulation Trick - How They Lure You Into the Trap📉 Bitcoin spends more time in deep drawdowns than at its peaks. Historically, BTC has spent over 80% of its existence trading 80-90% below its all-time highs, yet people keep falling for the illusion of wealth. 🧐 Here’s how the cycle works: 1️⃣ They drive up the price to make it enticing for new buyers. 2️⃣ You FOMO in at the highs, believing in the "next big wave." 3️⃣ Then they crash it, wiping out weak holders. 4️⃣ They keep it suppressed for years, forcing everyone out, via margin calls, financial strain, or sheer exhaustion. 5️⃣ When enough have capitulated, they restart the cycle. 📊 Historical Evidence: - 2013 Crash: Over 400 days down 80%+ before recovery. - 2017 Crash: Nearly 3 years below 80% of ATH. - 2021 Drop: More than a year stuck 75% below peak. 🔎 If you’re buying now, be ready to: ⛔ Lose access to your money ⛔ Keep covering margins ⛔ Wait years for recovery, if it ever happens … They play the same trick, every time. If you don’t recognize it, you’re just another part of the cycle. 🚀🔥 INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:DXY NASDAQ:HOOD NYSE:CRCL
SWISSQUOTE:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
3
2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor2️⃣ Who's Next? Or: Operation: "Saving Private Saylor" ❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To fully and completely understand what is being discussed here, please refer to the root idea via the link: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents 📰 Forbes: Your Cover – Our Margin Call. Saylor, Get Ready! You've heard it, haven't you? Those stories about Forbes covers and the subsequent fall of crypto empires? It's no longer a superstition; it's, damn it, statistics: Changpeng Zhao (CZ), Forbes, February 2018: "Binance's Crypto King!" – the headlines screamed. And what then? He served four months in prison. Well, not immediately, of course, but the "seed" of the curse was sown. Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), Forbes, October 2021: "The New Warren Buffett of Crypto!" – the fanfares shrieked. And what was the result? He's sitting pretty now, enjoying prison romance. And now, our incomparable Michael Saylor enters the stage! Forbes puts him on the cover in January 2025 "Michael Saylor: The Bitcoin Alchemist"! Why a Forbes cover is not glory but a warning for Michael Saylor (and a signal for the US government): This is not just a coincidence; it's a systemic pattern. Forbes, whether out of naivety or, conversely, subtle calculation, acts as an unwitting harbinger. They choose those who are at the peak of hype, those who have "believed in themselves" and are ready to tell the whole world about their "brilliant" strategy. And the peak of hype, as we know, is the beginning of a fall. And this is where it gets interesting. The US government, which carefully reads such magazines (after all, they write about "financial stability" and "national interests" there), sees Michael Saylor on the cover and thinks: 💭 "Well, well, this guy has accumulated half a million Bitcoins. And he's currently at the peak of self-admiration. Excellent! Get ready for 'Operation: Coercion to Stability'!" ❌ Why this cover for Saylor is not just a photoshoot, but a "liquidation marker" for the US government: "The Forbes Curse" as a "Market Overheat" Indicator: For our financial strategists from the Treasury and the Fed, Saylor's appearance on the cover is not just a signal of "overheating"; it's a green light for activating the "Crypto-Reserve" plan. They see: "Oh, this guy got too relaxed. He has too much 'digital gold' at an average price of $74,000. And we love to buy at a discount, especially if the discount can be 'arranged'!" Recession and Crash as "Natural Selection": Remember that TBAC in its documents constantly reminds us of Bitcoin's "volatility" and the "necessity of hedging." The perfect storm for Saylor is an "unexpected" recession in the US and a sharp stock market crash. At this moment, Bitcoin, which has always historically behaved as a "high-beta" asset (DA&TM, p. 5), will fall even faster. When BTC is in the range of $30,000 - $40,000, this will not just be a "loss" for Micro Strategy – it will be absolute financial hell for their leveraged positions, which they so "cleverly" accumulated. Margin Calls: Music to Regulators' Ears: Saylor's average purchase price of $74,000, and Bitcoin has fallen to $30-40k? This is not just "oh, we're in the red" . These are massive margin calls and the threat of liquidation of MarginCallStrategy MicroStrategy's positions, which mortgaged its shares and Bitcoin itself to buy even more Bitcoin. The banks holding them as collateral (and which are, of course, "friendly" with the Fed) will start to get nervous. And then, as if by magic, the "saving hand" of the government will appear. "Humanitarian Aid" (at a Bitcoin price of $30-40k.): They won't come waving checkbooks to buy Bitcoin for $100,000. They will come when Saylor is on the verge of collapse, and they will say: 💬 "Michael, we see your pain. To avoid 'systemic risk' and 'protect investors' (who are in your fund because you bought so much Bitcoin), we are ready to 'help'. We will 'acquire' your Bitcoin at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price) to 'stabilize' the situation. Naturally, this is not a purchase, but 'crisis prevention'." Bitcoin in the "Crypto-Reserve": Mission Accomplished! Thus, the government, without directly buying a "speculative asset," will receive half a million BTC at a "bargain" price, using market crashes and financial pressure. And then they will be able to proudly declare: "We have 'digital gold' that will protect our financial system from external shocks. And yes, it is now in our hands, not some 'Alchemist's'." ✖️ The Forbes Curse: When a Magazine Becomes a Catapult for Crypto-Kings The cover of Forbes magazine is not just paper and ink; it's the financial equivalent of an "X" on your back, appearing exactly when "Big Brother" decides you've gotten too big for your "digital gold" britches. Let's recall the chronicles of this "curse" to understand what awaits our Michael Saylor: 1. CZ (Changpeng Zhao), Binance: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Feb. 2018. Headlines trumpeted "crypto-king." ▫️ BTC Price: $11,500. The entire crypto-brotherhood rejoiced, thinking the moon-run was endless. ▫️ What happened next: By the end of 2018, Bitcoin plummeted to $3,000. A -73% drop. And Changpeng, after several years of legal battles, eventually ended up behind bars for 4 months. 2. SBF (Sam Bankman-Fried), FTX: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Oct. 2021. "The Billionaire Saving the Crypto World!" indeed. ▫️ BTC Price at the time: Around $60,000. The market was at its peak; everyone was talking about $100k, "diamond hands," and a "new financial era." ▫️ What happened next: A year later, by the end of 2022, Bitcoin was already around $16,000. A -75% drop. And Sam? Sam is enjoying government cuisine and the company of cellmates, sentenced to 25 years (but according to recent data, the term may be reduced by 4 years). 3. Michael Saylor, Micro Strategy: ▫️ Forbes Cover: Jan. 2025. Our "Alchemist" Michael, with brilliance and faith in his eyes, has concocted somewhere around half a million bitcoins and has finally received this "honor." ▫️ BTC Price: As of today, around $100k. Imagine the hype! Saylor tells everyone that "we've only just begun," that Bitcoin is "financial sovereignty" and "the future of humanity," whose price is about to fly to $500k without you! Buy now, don't miss out! ▫️ What will happen next (according to the "Big Brother" scenario): If history is not just a collection of boring dates, but a cyclical performance with notes of tragicomedy, then the following awaits us. A year after the Forbes cover, by early 2026, the price of Bitcoin in this scenario could plummet by -70% from its ATH. This means Bitcoin would be in the range of $30-40k. dollars. And what about Michael? I don't want to jinx it, but if CZ served four months, Sam will likely serve 4 years, then how long will our BTC-prophet and "crypto-Moses" get? Forty? In conclusion: The Forbes curse is not magic; it's a harbinger of a systemic blow. So, when you see another crypto-hero on the cover of Forbes, don't rush to rejoice for him. Most likely, it's the last call before the "system" begins its complex, multi-step plan for "coercion to cooperation." So, let's dream. No, not about flights to Mars, but about much more down-to-earth, but far more probable scenarios, where Washington finally gets its hands on "digital gold." After all, as stated in DA&TM, Bitcoin is "a store of value, aka 'digital gold' in the decentralized world of DeFi" . Well, since it's "gold," it should be in our "gold reserve," right? But to buy it directly? Oh no, that's a "speculative asset," it's "volatile" ! But "acquiring" it at a discount – that's a whole different song. 📝 The "Digital Couping" Scenario (or how to take Bitcoin without buying it on the open market): ◻️ Phase 1: Deflation of the US Stock Market Bubble ▫️ "Recession? Stock market crash? Perfect time for 'healing'!" The government and banksters will always find a way to "help" the market. If the American economy, as many are whispering now, faces a serious recession, and the stock market tumbles, then Bitcoin, as a "high-beta" asset, may well follow suit. Remember how Bitcoin reacted to "crashes" in 2017, 2021, 2022 (DA&TM, p. 5, chart). If Michael Saylor's average purchase price is $74,000 today, then a drop into the $30,000 - $50,000 range is not just a "correction"; it will be an absolute financial hell for his margin positions, which he so "cleverly" accumulated. ▫️ Margin-call for Micro Strategy. Michael Saylor didn't just buy Bitcoin; he bought it with borrowed funds, collateralizing his shares and even Bitcoin itself. In the event of a deep market downturn and, consequently, a fall in BTC's price, Micro Strategy will face serious problems servicing its debt and maintaining collateral. The banks that issued them loans (and these are, most likely, banks very "friendly" to the government) will start to get nervous. And then the most interesting part will begin. ◻️ Phase 2: "Operation: Buyout" ▫️ "An offer you can't refuse." When Micro Strategy is on the verge of default or bankruptcy due to its Bitcoin positions, "saviors" will appear on the scene – perhaps some specially created "Digital Asset Stability Fund" or even directly "government-friendly" large financial institutions that have received a "green light" and, possibly, even funding from the Fed (naturally "to ensure financial stability"). ▫️ "We are not buying; we are 'stabilizing'!" They won't say: "We are buying Bitcoin." They will say: 💬 "We are preventing systemic risk! We are providing liquidity to the market during a crisis, buying back their 'high-beta' asset at a 'fair' price (which, of course, will be significantly lower than Saylor's purchase price)." And this is where the "digital gold" narrative, which has already permeated even official documents (DA&TM, p. 2), will come into play. "It's gold, and gold should be in the state reserve, shouldn't it? " ◻️ Phase 3: Nationalization of 'Digital Gold' and control over the narrative ▫️ "Congratulations, Michael, you've become a 'pioneer'!" After most of Saylor's Bitcoins are "saved," they will end up in the hands of, say, a "special depository" or a "strategic digital asset reserve." At the same time, the government will not "own" them in the traditional sense, but will "manage" them for "national interests." ▫️ "Now we have 'digital gold,' and it will work for us!" With this significant reserve of Bitcoins (576k "taken" from Saylor + 200k "confiscated" Bitcoins earlier – that's no joke), the US government suddenly becomes the largest sovereign holder of an asset that they will now officially recognize as "digital gold." This will allow them to: ▫️ Influence the market: If necessary, they will be able to use this "crypto-reserve" to "stabilize" prices, intervening in the market (for example, by selling small portions to curb too much growth, or conversely, by buying if the market falls sharply, but through their affiliated structures). ▫️ Legitimize "digital gold": If the US government has a Bitcoin reserve, then it's no longer "speculative nonsense," but part of the official financial system. This will open doors for broader institutional adoption, but on their terms. ▫️ Pump capitalization through stablecoins for national debt: A crucial strategic step will be to use this new "digital gold standard" to address the growing national debt. By aggressively legitimizing Bitcoin as "digital gold" and creating controlled mechanisms for its storage and trading (e.g., through regulated ETFs and tokenized assets), the US government will create a powerful incentive for capital inflow. In parallel, by strengthening regulation and encouraging the growth of fiat-backed stablecoins, collateralized by short-term US Treasury bonds (T-Bills), a colossal "cushion" of demand for US national debt will be created. The larger the capitalization of stablecoins, the greater the need for T-Bills to back them. The goal is to first build up a large BTC reserve, then, by boosting stablecoin capitalization, inflate the overall crypto market capitalization and the price of Bitcoin itself, to ultimately create a new powerful tool for "monetizing" or, at least, facilitating the servicing of US national debt. This will look like a brilliant financial maneuver, turning "wild" cryptocurrency into a tool for strengthening US financial stability and national security. ◽️ A rescue that looks like a robbery. So the scenario is not that the US government will "pump" Bitcoin by buying it expensively; the scenario is that they will create conditions and wait for the market to "drown" the most ambitious hodlers, and then come to the rescue to "save" their assets. And this "help" will look like the acquisition of a strategic asset at a bargain price, using existing market pressure mechanisms and crisis phenomena. This is a classic "good cop, bad cop" game, where the "bad cop" is an "unexpected" market recession, and the "good cop" is the government that "saves" assets to then use them for its geopolitical and financial interests. And all this under the guise of "financial stability" and "national security," of course. After all, who better than the government can manage your "digital gold"? Of course, no one! ❗️ Disclaimer: This idea is only a part of an article with a forecast for Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for 2025-2028. To learn more, refer to the root idea via the link: 1️⃣ Main Idea: Analysis of US Treasury Documents
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by T_A_R_A_S
1
Tesla vs. BYD: The Market’s Greatest IllusionIntroduction: The Tale of Two Companies You don’t need to be an economist to see it. Just compare Tesla and BYD. BYD: Founded in 1995, Chinese, over $107 billion in revenue. Tesla: Founded in 2003, American, with less revenue—but a market cap six times bigger. The reason? Because one sells cars, and the other sells dreams. And Wall Street loves a good dream. The Illusion Economy: When Hype Outweighs Reality Tesla’s valuation isn’t tied to assets, production, or profits. It’s a ritual of collective belief—a performance act where branding replaces substance, and expectation outweighs reality. It’s the same logic behind a $1,000 jacket that costs $100 to make. Put a fancy logo on it, and suddenly, it’s not overpriced—it’s "premium." You're not just buying a product; you're investing in a lifestyle. Sure. Keep telling yourself that. Tesla is the $1,000 jacket. BYD is the actual tailor shop. Tesla vs. BYD: The Numbers Tell the Story Tesla’s market cap is over $1 trillion, while BYD’s is under $200 billion. Yet, BYD outsells Tesla globally, especially in China, where it dominates the EV market. Tesla’s valuation is built on brand perception, future promises, and speculative optimism, while BYD’s is grounded in actual production and revenue. Financial Storytelling Over Business Reality Tesla isn’t just a car company—it’s a financial illusion. Markets rise not on performance, but on promise. Stock prices reflect not what a company is, but what a hedge fund feels it might become. It’s not a business model—it’s mood swings with decimal points. BYD’s Competitive Edge Production Power: BYD manufactures more EVs than Tesla annually. Battery Innovation: BYD’s Blade Battery is safer, lasts longer, and is cheaper than Tesla’s. Affordability: BYD’s EVs are significantly cheaper, making them more accessible to global consumers. Market Reach: BYD dominates China, the world’s largest EV market, while Tesla struggles with pricing and competition. The Consequences of Buying the Dream Tesla’s valuation isn’t creating better cars. It’s just creating dumber investors. Investors who think they’re visionaries because they bought into the hype. Consumers who think they’re elite because they bought the label. Boards who think they’re gods because someone inflated their stock ticker. But every illusion has an expiration date. Every bubble has its needle. And when dreams are sold on credit, reality always comes to collect. Reality Always Comes to Collect This isn’t growth. It’s speculative theater funded by your retirement account. Real value doesn’t need hype. It appears in supply chains, production lines, tangible goods, and on profit sheets that make sense even without a TED Talk. So next time you see Tesla’s trillion-dollar valuation, ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CassianDrake
2
Strategy Set To Drop —Selling Bitcoin?If you knew a stock was going to crash but this stock is related to Bitcoin and always moves with Bitcoin but now is about to detach, would you tell others? Bitcoin is already trading at a new All-Time High and six weeks green. Ok, let's forget about Bitcoin because this is about MicroStrategy (now Strategy). The MSTR stock is bearish now. Very bearish. The top happened in November 2024. 9-May 2025 we have a long-term lower high. Days at resistance and this lower high is confirmed. A scandal is about to be uncovered? A change of "strategy"? Hah, nice play on words. Is strategy going to have a change of strategy? This change of strategy obviously will end up screwing everybody who holds this stock? I don't know... I mean, who knows. Here is what I know. The chart signals are pointing down. Bearish confirmed so, down we go. Namaste.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by MasterAnanda
12
$MSTR quick phone idea for 5/23; Short 0DTEThis name seems to have lost steam. I’m all for Saylor and what he believes in but currently this feels set up for a nasty short. Strategy has had numerous monster days to the downside and upside. This thing had a $150 intraday swing off its $550 high. Tomorrow, 5/23, I am going to enter a possible 5-7% short that expires 5/23. Just a quick idea here as I can’t post charts from phone into minds section. Check you guys tomorrow and I’ll be sure to update this. $375, $380, $385.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by wallstreetloser001
GOLD - The Timeless Standard Bitcoin Can Only Dream Of ✨💰 1/ Bitcoin’s Aspirations vs. Gold’s Reality Bitcoin proclaims to be “digital gold” , promising decentralization and stability. But the truth is clear: while Bitcoin is shaken by extreme wealth concentration and constant media hype, gold has built a centuries-long reputation for trust and enduring value. 🔥🏆 2/ The Digital Gold Revolution Gold isn’t a relic—it's evolved! 🚀 Today, through blockchain tokenization, you can own digital gold that’s 100% backed by physical gold safely stored in vaults. 🏦🔐 This fusion of ancient value and modern tech shows that gold means business, while Bitcoin just tries to copy its legacy. 3/ Concentration vs. Distribution Check this out: over 90% of Bitcoin is hoarded by a few whales 🐋, leaving everyday holders with crumbs. In contrast, gold’s market has naturally spread out over centuries of global trade. 🌍📈 This organic distribution reinforces stability and genuine market confidence. 4/ Liquidity, Custody & Security 🔹 Gold Is Easy to Custody Gold is already stored securely in banks and reputable vaults all over the world, and its ownership transfers digitally. You can withdraw or trade anytime without relying on untrustworthy crypto exchanges or wallets vulnerable to hacks . 🔓💼 Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s security is often subject to risks and platform issues. 5/ Real-World Utility vs. Speculative Hype Gold isn’t just an asset—it’s a workhorse! ⚙️ From use in electronics to medicine and aerospace, gold’s real-world applications generate organic demand. No aggressive, 24/7 hype machine is needed here. In contrast, Bitcoin runs on media-fueled life support, with bots and influencers relentlessly (and tediously) pushing its narrative . 😴📢 6/ Stability You Can Count On Gold has weathered economic storms with calm resilience 🌪️➡️☀️, proving itself as the ultimate safe haven. Bitcoin, however, is notorious for its wild 80%+ price crashes, making it a volatile bet for long-term wealth preservation. 🏛️💚 7/ Finite Supply: Strength or Vulnerability? Bitcoin’s fixed supply is often touted as a key advantage. Yet this scarcity makes it vulnerable to manipulation by a few major holders. 😬 Gold, on the other hand, sees a natural and gradual expansion through mining, ensuring a balanced, organic market flow. ⚖️🌿 8/ Institutional Adoption: Not the Magic Fix State and corporate Bitcoin deals are usually quiet, behind-the-scenes OTC transactions that rarely impact open market prices. 🤫 Gold’s widespread institutional acceptance is built on centuries of trust and real-world use—no constant screaming into the void required. 📣🚫 9/ Gold: No Need for Hype, Just Legacy Gold stands proudly without the constant need for promotion. 🌟 Its legacy of stability, digital adaptability, and secure custody speaks volumes. Bitcoin, burdened by relentless crypto spam and hype, can only watch from the sidelines. 🎭🗣️ 10/ Invest in Timeless Security When it comes to long-term wealth preservation, gold is your steadfast asset. It offers proven security, with both digital tokenization and secure physical storage, ensuring smooth withdrawals and trades every step of the way. 🏦🔐 Bitcoin, by contrast, survives on a steady diet of media noise and desperate promotions. 🚑🤖 Gold remains the reliable, time-tested choice in today’s fast-paced world of trends and fleeting hype. Whether you’re safeguarding your wealth or seeking an asset that seamlessly bridges digital innovation with physical security, gold’s enduring legacy is the real deal. 🌟💎 If you’d like to explore how tokenized gold is revolutionizing traditional finance or uncover more about its industrial applications and secure custody mechanisms, there’s always another layer of brilliance waiting to be discovered. 🚀🔍 TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:COIN CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
TVC:GOLD
by CassianDrake
8
MICROSTRATEGY Can $2000 be its next High?Microstrategy (MSTR) followed the exact trading pattern we suggested on our last analysis (December 27 2024, see chart below) as it made its technical correction December through March and rebounded aggressively in April: Back then we called this a shift to a new paradigm and is no different than the April 1999 bounce than led to the eventual massive rally that made the Dotcom Bubble burst. Since the recent All Time High (ATH) broke above the (blue) 23-year Channel Up, we applied the Fibonacci Channel levels all the way from its March 2000 Dotcom High. The fractal we mentioned before shows that the stock's next Target, and possibly this Cycle's High, can be on the 0.618 Fib at $2000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by TradingShot
11
MICROSTRATEGY: Big 1W MA50 rebound targeting $845 at worst.MicroStrategy is on excellent bullish technicals on its 1D outlook (RSI = 67.412, MACD = 25.350, ADX = 58.097), capitalizing on the double bottom rebound on the 1W MA50 four weeks ago. Technically that was also a HL bottom on the 2 year Channel Up. The minimum rise it delivered on a bullish wave was +263.38%. Based on that, the trade is long, TP = $845. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by InvestingScope
1
MSTR–Institutional Bitcoin Proxy with Conviction and Leverage ₿Company Snapshot: MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR remains the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, positioning itself as a leveraged equity proxy for BTC exposure—while still operating a profitable enterprise software business. Key Catalysts: Massive Bitcoin Treasury Strategy 💰 Recently acquired $1.42 billion in BTC, reinforcing commitment Total holdings exceed 200,000 BTC, making it the most visible and transparent institutional crypto holder Acts as a high-beta vehicle for Bitcoin bulls, especially as ETF flows drive demand Financial Engineering = Firepower for More BTC 🚀 $722 million in refinanced fixed-income notes, lowering costs and extending maturity Provides capital flexibility to accumulate BTC at opportunistic levels Reflects strong capital market access and investor confidence BTC ETF Tailwind + Institutional Validation ✅ Bitcoin ETFs provide broader adoption and liquidity, indirectly benefiting MSTR MSTR offers a regulated, equity-based alternative to direct BTC ownership Ideal for funds restricted from holding digital assets directly Dual Business Model Stability ⚙️ Core enterprise software business contributes revenue and operational stability Reduces perceived risk relative to pure-play crypto companies Investment Outlook: ✅ Bullish Above: $325.00–$326.00 🚀 Upside Target: $490.00–$500.00 🔑 Thesis: High-conviction BTC accumulation + balance sheet optimization = leveraged upside for Bitcoin-focused investors 📢 MSTR: The go-to equity for institutional Bitcoin exposure—with built-in leverage and transparency. #Bitcoin #MSTR #CryptoStocks #DigitalAssets #MichaelSaylor #InstitutionalCrypto
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Richtv_official
MSTR Strategy Incorporated Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSTR Strategy Incorporated prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 390usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-9-19, for a premium of approximately $81.30. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MSTRLong
by TopgOptions
$MSTR sub $200 before $1000+?NASDAQ:MSTR looks pretty bearish here. We're trading under a key support and it looks like it wants lower. I think if the next candle turns red, then we're likely to see a large selloff all the way down to the lower supports. If we can make it back up above this support level at $363, and close above it, it would be a trigger long. Then I think we're likely to see a large run all the way up to the upper resistances to 1000+. Let's see how the price action unfolds here.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by benjihyam
2
MicroStrategy To $370?Hello friends! I'm back with an analysis of MSTR. As we can see, the price had a significant drop of 57% from November 2024 to March 2025. The price is highly correlated with Bitcoin, and said cryptocurrency is in a wave 4 within an Elliott wave pattern. Therefore, Bitcoin will be returning to test $110,000. Therefore, MSTR, holding 499,096 bitcoins, will see a very significant rise in its price. In the short term, MSTR will be going to test its luck at $370 per share. However, it is highly likely that it could return to $410 per share. MSTR has many technical and fundamental indicators in its favor to be a highly profitable value asset. The best buying zones are below $300 per share. Disclaimer: This is only an opinion; it should not be used as investment advice or recommendation.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by GustavoCastaneda1
Strategic $MSTR Accumulation: $340 Break for Macro ContinuationDecided to start buying back some $MSTR. I’ve been waiting since late December to begin accumulating, and I initially thought it would stay above $300, forcing me to jump back in. Now that it's in an optimal buy area with enough confluence on the weekly timeframe, I’m accumulating under $250. I’ll add the last chunk once it breaks above $340. Just keep in mind there’s a strong weekly downtrend in play, but it’s already hit the first target, so I expect a bounce. If it reclaims the POC at $340, it would invalidate the downtrend. So, I'm taking my chances on a possible invalidation and a continuation of the macro trend.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by ZelfTrade
BTC, Fibs, Market Psychology, and You: A Primer The Setup I've identified a compelling technical setup that suggests BTC could be heading toward the $9,000-$9,850 range. This isn't just another bearish call - it's based on a rare convergence of multiple technical factors that I've rarely seen align so perfectly in my 18 years of trading markets. Technical Confluence Zone What makes this setup particularly compelling is the convergence of multiple independent technical factors around the same price zone: 1. Unfilled CME Gap : The Bitcoin futures chart shows a persistent unfilled gap from 2020 between $9,655 and $9,850. This gap has survived multiple market cycles without being filled, making it increasingly significant. 2. Key Fibonacci Level : The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level sits at $9,024.11, remarkably close to the lower bound of the CME gap when accounting for the typical futures premium over spot. 3. Elliott Wave Structure : The current price action suggests we're in Wave 4 of a larger Elliott Wave pattern. Wave 4 corrections often retrace to previous Wave 1 territory, which aligns with this target zone. 4. Fibonacci Time Cycles : The time component is equally important - Fibonacci time extensions suggest we're approaching a potential inflection point in the current cycle. Market Context Supports the Technical Picture The technical setup doesn't exist in a vacuum. Several market conditions increase the probability of this scenario playing out: 1. Market Saturation : The crypto ecosystem has expanded dramatically, with thousands of tokens diluting liquidity that was once concentrated in major cryptocurrencies. 2. Retail Exhaustion : Retail investors who entered during previous hype cycles feel unrewarded despite price recoveries, leading to diminished enthusiasm and buying pressure. 3. Institutional Distribution: Wall Street and institutions have made their presence known, which historically signals they've distributed their high-priced holdings to retail while preparing short positions. 4. Concentrated Leverage Risk : MicroStrategy's position of 499,500 BTC at a $66,000 average purchase price, funded almost entirely by massive debt issuance, creates a significant systemic vulnerability. A move toward our target zone would put extreme pressure on their balance sheet. Broader Market Context This analysis also coincides with what looks to be a tired stock market following the 2024 US presidential election. With Donald Trump winning his second term, we have seen significant policy shifts that are actively impacting both traditional and crypto markets. Historically, markets often experience increased volatility during transitions of power, and the confluence of this political shift with our technical setup creates an even more compelling case for caution. Additionally, price precedes news. The news is created on price. If you're hearing about an event, the trade has already been made. There is too much talk of unprecedented institutional participation. This is another sign that retail is being distributed to for the next meltdown. Bags were already offloaded. It's time to drop the anchor. Historical Perspective Having traded through multiple market cycles since 2007 I've seen this pattern before. Large players often target overleveraged positions to acquire assets at distressed prices. Michael Saylor experienced a leveraged meltdown once before during the dot-com crash - history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. Saylor is a designated whipping boy. A patsy. He will be rewarded well for his participation in fleecing you, so don't worry about what kind of skin he has in the game. With that said, I believe an undetermined Black Swan event will be necessary to complete the rug pull. What that is, I cannot know. Trading Implications This analysis suggests several potential trading strategies: 1. Risk Management : Reduce exposure to Bitcoin and high-beta altcoins until this technical target is reached or invalidated. 2. Opportunity Preparation : Build dry powder positions to capitalize on what could be an exceptional buying opportunity if BTC reaches the $9,000-$9,850 zone. 3. Watch for Triggers : Monitor for breakdowns below key support levels that could accelerate the move toward our target zone. 4. Time-Based Entries : Use the Fibonacci time cycle extensions to refine entry timing if the price approaches our target zone. Conclusion While Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain strong, the confluence of technical factors pointing to the $9,000-$9,850 range suggests a significant correction may occur before the next sustained bull run. The catalysts to reach what should be a $250k range this cycle simply do not exist, and with waning macroeconomic strength, the odds of this cycle being anything other than a massive bulltrap are low. This setup represents one of the strongest technical cases I've seen. I also don't care to share my ideas often, but with everyone expecting a typical crypto market cycle, I feel compelled to offer my take on a public forum--for whatever it may be worth. I am not shorting this market. I have removed my capital and taken an observant position. While I feel strongly about my idea--Clown World has fully taken hold and I don't dare test its resolve to break me. Remember that no analysis is guaranteed - always manage risk accordingly and be prepared to adapt as the market evolves. *Disclaimer: This analysis represents my personal view of the markets based on technical analysis and market observations. It should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.*
INDEX:BTCUSD
by greedyboi
1
Can MicroStrategy Save Bitcoin's Destiny?MicroStrategy’s dramatic stock decline has become a bellwether for the broader digital asset market. As its share price plunges, the company’s deep ties to Bitcoin spotlight a precarious balance between corporate strategy and the volatility inherent in the crypto space. This unfolding scenario challenges investors to reconsider the intertwined fates of traditional finance and digital innovation. The company’s approach to using Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve has been revolutionary and risky. Aggressive accumulation strategies, including debt financing and Bitcoin-backed loans, have magnified the impact of market fluctuations. With critical support levels now under threat, the risk of forced asset sales looms large—an event that could cascade through the crypto ecosystem and undermine confidence in digital currencies. Amid these challenges, MicroStrategy is also pursuing bold financing initiatives to stabilize its operations. Plans to raise $21 billion through a preferred stock offering signal a dual objective: securing necessary capital and further investing in Bitcoin. This move reflects an ongoing commitment to a Bitcoin-centric strategy, even as recent transactions have resulted in significant unrealized losses. In parallel, the cryptocurrency landscape faces unprecedented headwinds from regulatory pressures, geopolitical tensions, and emerging technological vulnerabilities. Financial professionals are compelled to balance risk with opportunity, rethinking investment strategies amid an environment where innovation meets uncertainty at every turn. The looming threat of quantum computing adds another layer of complexity. As quantum technologies advance, their potential to break current cryptographic standards—on which Bitcoin’s security fundamentally relies—poses a significant risk. Should quantum computers overcome encryption protocols like SHA-256, the very foundation of blockchain technology could be compromised, forcing the industry to adopt quantum-resistant measures rapidly. This challenge not only underscores the volatility of the digital asset market but also inspires a deeper exploration into safeguarding the future of decentralized finance.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by UDIS_View