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SPY still isn't looking strong. SPY Fundamental AnalysisThis fundamental analysis is very speculative, please do your own research before shorting/going long. So as we can see, nothing looks good right now, oil prices are scary, coronavirus still isn't over, and the political situation isn't too great right now with the Turkey conflict in Europe. NY declared a state of emergency, which is obviously where NYSE and Wall Street are based. We'll see what happens, but this could be one of the worst days for the stock market. I think it is unlikely that we will see many buying the dip, as everything looks grim right now. Thanks for reading, leave your opinions below.
AMEX:SPY
by tonite
2
Technical Analysis Update: Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) - SaudSummary • TASI / KSA break out of bull head & shoulders bottom trend reversal pattern. • Indicates continuation of long-term upward sloping trend channel. • Key Fibonacci zone targets marked on enclosed charts. Bullish reversal is indicated as the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) (Saudi Stock Market) breaks out of a head & shoulders bottom reversal pattern at the start of the week. The pattern formed following the completion of a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the near-term downtrend. A continuation of a long-term uptrend channel can be anticipated with an eventual rally back to the top of the channel. Fibonacci retracement and projection levels are marked on the enclosed charts to identify potential near and long-term price targets. Nevertheless, a decisive daily close below the head at 7,396.60 is a failure of the above bullish scenario, while a daily close below the right shoulder at 7,808.54 puts the bullish scenario at risk and requires a new assessment. Investors in US markets can access the iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) ETF for exposure to the Saudi Arabia stock market. An upside breakout in KSA occurred this week as price closed above $30.56 on a daily basis. Support at the bottom of the right shoulder of the head and shoulders bottom reversal is at $28.97, while the bottom of the head is at $28.04. Fibonacci target levels for KSA are noted on the weekly chart below.
TADAWUL:TASILong
by BrucePowersCMT
UK Verdict, our recommendations and plansA new version of the Brexit deal has been agreed between the EU and the UK. The pound added about 500 points by the end of the week, bringing the account of its achievements to almost 1000 points. Recall that the UK and the EU, as we predicted, were able to agree on the terms of the deal at the last moment. As a result, at the EU summit on Thursday, this deal was approved by Europe. Another problem appeared - Johnson does not have a majority in Parliament. Accordingly, he had pretty high chances to repeat the fate of his predecessor, Theresa May, who also agreed on the deal, but could not pass it through Parliament. On Saturday, a vote took place, following which the British Parliament ordered Johnson to ask for a 3-month postpone so that parliamentarians could bring its legislation into line with the new realities. Johnson, who says more than once that there will be no postpone. Thus, he was put in a rather uncomfortable position. In general, there is a feeling that such a vote is rather an attempt to publicly humiliate Johnson, rather than a really necessary thing to do. Nevertheless, Johnson sent an unsigned letter to the European Union on Saturday requesting a Brexit delay. At the same time, he sent a couple of letters to the EU (which he did not forget to sign), in one of them he says that he is against the postponement. This week we will continue to look for points for its purchases because the Brexit issue has not been solved yet. Therefore there is still potential for the pound to grow. It is worth noting the weak statistics for the United States and China, which only confirmed what has been clear for a long time: trade war cause real harm to everyone. No breakthroughs were observed regarding the end of them. In this regard, we recommended focusing on finding entry points for the purchase of safe-haven assets. Given the state of financial markets at the beginning of the week, we see no reason to revise our recommendations and this week we will continue to look for points for buying gold and the Japanese yen. As for the euro. Technically you need to buy EURUSD, we recommend doing it with an eye on Thursday. The ECB will announce its decision on the parameters of monetary policy in the Eurozone on Thursday. Most likely, there will be no changes, but given the general weakness of the Eurozone economy, we will not be surprised at the “dovish” comments from the Central Bank or even the expansion of measures to soften the monetary policy, which may well provoke euro sales. The oil market was relatively calm last week. And although the Middle East continues to resemble a powder keg (Turkish military operation in Syria, an attack on an Iranian tanker, etc.), so far the markets are trying to ignore it. Last week, reserves increased by almost 10 million barrels - the maximum value since April 2019. Saudi Aramco has postponed the launch of its long-awaited initial public offering on Sunday. And although there is no direct connection between this event and the state of the oil market, in general, this is a rather bearish signal. As for our position, it is generally unchanged, while oil (WTI brand) is higher than 51.20, we tend to buy oil.
Long
by Trade24Fx
Keeping the peace in a troubled world, IMF forecastsEven though yesterday in Japan, the USA and Canada was a day off on the financial markets we cannot but call that day like a calm one. As it was expected, a mini pound bubble burst. The lack of new positive drivers forced the most impatient to take profits of about 500 points. Plus, fears that the deal will fail again remains relevant. In particular, the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, said that the current version of the deal lacked detail, which could lead to potential time pressure (there is too little time to discuss all the important points - the summit will be held on Thursday). Our recommendation is to buy the GBP remains relevant. Remember about stop loss, because the potential of the pound growth is far from exhausted. It can still grow by 500 or even 1000 points. Today we are waiting for statistics on the UK labour market to come out, which may well trigger a surge of volatility. This should be taken into account when making trading decisions. Safe-haven assets remain relevant yesterday and the recommendation to buy the yen proved its worth. Indeed, there are many reasons for buying safe-haven assets. It would seem that the agreements between the United States and China have somewhat relieved the tension, but if you look at what is happening from another side, facts side, then nothing has been signed, and in general, we are talking only about the first phase of the agreement. That is, mass exiting safe-haven assets on such news would be at least illogical. As for the Middle East. Turkey’s ground military operation in Syria, the attack on the Iranian tanker - although these are links of different chains, they only emphasize how explosive the region is. Against this background, reassuring investors would look very strange. So today we will not only continue to buy the Japanese yen but will also restore our recommendation to buy gold. The reason for the growth of safe-haven assets today may be the IMFforecasts publication on the growth rate of the global economy. If (when) the Fund again lowers its forecasts, the demand for safe-haven assets will have to rise as well as the prices of gold and the Japanese yen. We draw our readers' attention to excellent points for entering a short position on the EURJPY. In this light, our position on oil purchases looks problematic. However, the tension in the Middle East and concerns about the oil supply on the market may well balance the weak forecasts for the growth of the global economy and, accordingly, the fears of weak oil demand in this regard. So while oil above 51.20 we will look for points for its purchases with a target of 55-56 (WTI brand).
Long
by Trade24Fx
USOIL Bearish Cypher +Divergence +Fib resistance +StochasticsUSOIL Bearish Cypher +Divergence +Fib resistance +Stochastic USOIL crude has a confluence of quite a few bearish indicators. In the H4 and daily we see the near completion bearish cypher, along with bearish divergence to the RSI in the H4, stochastics looking tired in overbought territory and Fib resistance 0.5 of the decline from october 2015 high and 0.38 of the decline from june 2015 high. I expect only a short firework in the markets from recent ECB and upcoming FED decisions, which might lead the price for USOIL crude back below 30 US$ per barrel, unless rising geopolitical tension in the middle east might in some way affect the oil supply from the peninsula. I hope you find this analysis useful and see it as an extension to your own studies. Please leave a FOLLOW or LIKE. twitter.com
FX:USOILShort
by SinatraFX