Get started

Millennials

CHWY: The Covid Re-Opening Is Not Going To Stock This Tail WagChewy has taken a breather since it hit it's ATHs in mid Feb. This is a secular drawdown due to the recent rise in rates that has hit all high growth stocks. There is also a perception on this name that it is a "Covid Play" and that it won't continue to gain market share and grow at the same rate during Covid. Yes- CHWY did get incremental growth from Covid lockdowns, however new pet owners who have always used CHWY are not going to start going into Petco to get their food, toys, medicine and other pet related items. They will stay with CHWY. I think CHWY has developed a strong support level at ~$100 and any dips below that should be bought. I am tracking an $97 support level as well from it's low to start the year. If it broke that $87 level I would re-evaluate the situation. My 6-Month PT is $125.
NYSE:CHWYLong
by RobertTheTrader
Lemonade is the future of insuranceLMND is my favourite investment stock lately, as it has a lot of potential, it's going to disrupt the insurance market with it's totally new and innovative strategy and operation method. This is the fintech in banking (like Revolut or N26) or a Tesla in cars or the smartphone itself in communication! Seriously, I'm not hyping the stock, do some research and as you understand, you'll get convinced pretty quick. So definitely disruptive and much much more efficient and way smarter than the whole insurance industry in and out. Read about it and you'll see. It's not a trading setup, but a long term investment idea (3-5 years for me at least) but would be better for 10+ years. Might take time to spread worldwide but investors and the whales too might discover it soon and you'll find yourself in the "I'm late again" situation as it was with Tesla and NIO with lots and lots of investors. So, Lemonade is going to be huge. I have an entry point of $47 but I could accumulate 2 times so far @ $86, @ $118 and @$107 just now at this current pull back again, but if you are thinking long term, you can buy any time when it's a red day or whenever you have spare money, don't even bother with technicals, as I said, it's a long term investment and it can brake out abruptly. My experience tells me that even though I know how to do technical analysis, the fundamental analysis is much much more important in investing (and I'm not talking about day trading here). Because if I didn't do any trades during this year, but only investments according to my original ideas I would have much more profit by now, even after a year, such short period of time (as of today my performance for this past exactly 12 months is +209% and I'm in a correction just now). So no, I'm complaining, because I'm not, but just saying if I didn't work at all, but only invest according to my ideas, I would have about 3x more profit just now (better not count). Oh and I never got lucky so far. Not even once during these several hundreds of trades. Quite the opposite, whenever I did something out of sentiment or by a gut feeling, I lost on it. Can you imagine? So, technical analysis pays out but investing pays more if you know the right time for the right stock. Not easy, so I give you some insight below if interested. Here's below my little summary so you get the picture about my thinking. Also I show all my ideas with numbers so you see how I did and would invest in such environment: Probably I’ll post this text several times (under each ticker) that I mention below, as the meaning of the writing necessitate it. Introduction and the mindset: 8-10% of my wealth is in the US stock market, other almost 90% in real estate in Europe. As for the stocks, you got to have a diversified portfolio in my opinion. As my experience tells me you can be lucky sometimes and you also gonna be unlucky at any given time (and unexpected all the time). So one can not count on luck and/or feelings (I call it being on Hope-ium). This is the reason for the need of diversification, especially in this unprecedented (word of 2020, right?) environment. Lots of analysts say the market is overvalued, stock prices are overstretched (the SPY and tech at least). I think this is partially true and it does matter sometimes, it does not matter too much other times and/or instances as you’ll see soon below. OK, too much talk already, I will show you my portfolio and talk about my ideas with numbers, entry points, targets and even risks. My past fundamental ideas (as for reputation, not a bluffer): In 2019 I only had 2 ideas, both based on my fundamental analysis and they were for investment (so, not for short term trade ideas). Tesla and Bitcoin. For TSLA my entry plan and buying advice was @ $426 in December (pre-split price, so if you are new, divide it by 5). For BTC I stated that I recon we have to wait for the beginning of 2020 (according to my plan it was most likely for about February) and buy the expected dip - according to my readings - at $5500. Of course Covid came and things got crazy, but we didn’t expect that. Lots of losses and learning, but here I share some useful thoughts and ideas. I learned technical analysis, but these fundamental ideas born according to my own research, also I didn’t know any known influencer back then. My recent/actual ideas and how to do it: I divide my stock portfolio for 5 sectors in a way that if even 3 or 4 of them fails, the other 1 or 2 will pay out so much, I wouldn’t mind and never lose. My sectors watched: 1.REIT (they will pay dividends) 2.Energy (they will recover) 3.Commodities (we need them whatever happens) 4.Biotech (necessity too) 5.Insurance (self explanatory). The SPY is driven by tech, so I left it out for now (with a small exception), as no need to risk now, because tech is a bit overstretched at the moment and even if it’s going way higher, my ideas will too. But if tech is not going higher, I will still make profits (hence the so called ‘K-shape recovery’). Not easy to do this in such overvalued levels but not everything is expensive and also note, that not every cheap stock is going to die off, so the main buying habit of mine is what George Gammon likes also: “I buy a dollar for fifty cents” if I may quote him here. This idea means that I buy according to the actual (and my own) valuation, plus the current stock price of the company and not according to the momentum or the horde, in other words the ‘best performers’ according to popular Youtubers, similar influencers (or the mainstream media for that matter), as history shows that the majority loses and the minority wins (at least during those crazy unprecedented times like now when soon everyone is in the stock market examples I analysed: 1929, 2000, 2008). Doesn’t that tell you that it would be wiser to be on the side of Michael Burry during the 2008 stock market rally instead of everyone else? Yeah, I know, it’s not easy and also, “this time will be different” :D But jokes aside, I believe at least in a way this time it actually could be different, the task is to understand fundamentals, think a lot and make smart decisions based on your own research. And the more you read and think, the closer you might get to some advantage and solution that will pay off highly likely in every possible scenario in the future. Why and how? A simple enough hint of mine for example is, if a stock is a ‘top performer’ that fact might actually mean it already did what we expected from it to do (otherwise why the term?), so you kind of could already be late, but you would never know. This is when FOMO comes in to play, beware! Sure, you can be lucky and participate in a bubble just like how it was with Yahoo in 1999-2000 but only afterwards (years later) could you for sure realize that it wasn’t a good idea to buy in around 1999 as you didn’t sell at the top (2nd of January, 2000) did you? Even though the “long term fundamentals” that they talked about back then, they all turned out to be 100% true, because tech went higher for sure, Apple is still a winning company, we are surrounded with computers, smartphones and it's all tech and internet and websites, we still use yahoo mail every day and listen to yahoo finance and so on. Tech is cool and king. Still, the dot com bubble was bad and painful for the majority. See, everyone was right except for the ones who bought in at the high prices because of FOMO. As you see now, those ‘top performers’ worked very well for those who bought in at the bottom or even half way to the top for swing trades (but that was just before you heard about them and not really any time later). So, the problem is that no one ever knows when is the top of a bubble or any kind of run up that is driven by sentiment if it’s not a slow and steady growth corresponding both the fundamentals and financials in other words the real growth of a company. So the solution is to better find one that is trusted and/or have future and not going bankrupt soon and is beaten down to the ground. That’s when you buy in. Warren teaches this too, but this is my own thinking and just a coincidence that the old man says it too. So, I reveal here all my stocks and investment picks that I either bought and/or had planned or advised to buy so far with my first entry prices during 2020 (not placed in order of any sort, but just random). The majority is investment for 3-5 years the exceptions are the swing trades (I mark them “swing trade” as they are not investments): TSLA again @ $358 (pre split); NYMT @ $1; IVR anywhere below $4; NIO anywhere below $5 (swing trade); HEXO @ $0.74 (pre split); ASTC @ $1.82 (swing trade); CDEV @ $1; LMND @ $47; TXMD @ $1.2; LXRX @ 1.93; GNW @ $3.26 (swing trade); WPG @ $1 (pre split); CRSP @ $60; gold below $1700; AAL @ $10 (swing trade); AMC @ $2.84 (swing trade); BTC @ $5500 for investment (and was swing trade too, from $7000 to $9000 because I had to pay property tax and did it from the profit).
NYSE:LMNDLong
by janfoux
ROOT - Root helps Global 2000 companies around the world with strategic change management and digital transformation to solve critical organizational challenges. It is also a parent company of the millennial As long as $14 hold, I am playing it. Looks like could be a replay of Upwork chart. Great company, great story - shitty price action. I like it. Not enough data to "analyze" it but looks good enough. I like the inverted head and shoulders on RSI and double bottom (as long as its not breached, otherwise there is no floor). Good luck out there!
NASDAQ:ROOTLong
by bossmodetrader
Covid Crash - Wave Two - The Great Boomer RunWith an ~ 50% recovery in asset prices since the first selloff, rational baby boomers will liquidate their holdings now and through the summer. Fall will likely bring a second wave of Covid; with it the masses will pull out of equity markets all at once. Dow will cascade down to 10K as all buyers step to the side. Millennials, strapped with debt, won't be able to provide much liquidity. Student loans will be forgiven, that freed capital will begin a true recovery in 2021 when the younger generation is allowed to possess assets for the first time. A second baby boom will occur. The 20's will roar.
TVC:DJIShort
by scottybfx
100% SPX - 60/40 - 80/20 - Portfolio Performance - GOLDBelow are three charts, the first depicts what i call the "Robinhood Investor" or the "Millennial Investor" which consists entirely of long equities, in this case the SPX. The second chart depicts a classic "60/40" allocation to stocks and bonds (in this case TLT, which i will come to in a moment). The final chart visualizes a portfolio of 80% equities and 20% physical gold. 100% SPX 60/40 SPX/TLT 80/20 SPX/GOLD The first thing you will notice is "well, look at that the classic 60/40 portfolio, glad i listened to my financial adviser, yes it isn't as good as the 80/20 portfolio, but heck, 157% is pretty dang good!" Well...yes and no... As i said, the bond component of the 60/40 portfolio was TLT for simplicity. BUT, not all bonds are created equal, and unless 40% of your portfolio consisted entirely of long-dated US treasuries, you did not get that return. In fact, you may in fact be underwater in some of your bond holdings, depending on what variety they are. Broad Bond performance Above we have a variety of bond options, TLT (Long-dated US Treasuries) , HYG (high yield "junk" bonds), LQD (Investment grade bonds) and BND (global bond index fund). It is true that TLT has done incredibly well of late up over 103%, but HYG is DOWN over 23% since 2008! BND is up around 16% and LQD is up 2nd only to TLT at 28%. A 60/40 portfolio would most likely hold LQD, or something akin to it, a more aggressive portfolio may even hold HYG, and most would likely hold some kind of bond benchmark, such as BND. Therefore, the 60/40 portfolio performance is HEAVILY skewed in favor of bonds. Yet still fails to best Gold. 80/20 SPX/GOLD The 80/20 portfolio achieved returns of over 173%, but more importantly, note the "Robinhood" performance, there are significant periods of draw-down, in fact, there are 13 YEARS during which the portfolio failed to do anything! 100% SPX I don't know about you, but having you money do NOTHING for 13 years seems like poor financial management. So what are the take aways of this exercise? Firstly, blindly "buying and holding" equities over the long run is not a good idea (i am waiting for the FAANG fanboys to show up, what i have to say to that crowd is, if you think you can pick the next moonshot stock, please hit me up, i have some magic beans to sell you). Secondly, the 60/40 portfolio does perform better than 100% equities, but you will sacrifice gains as a result, largely because bonds tend to do very little most of the time, therefore the 40% capital allocation to them, in my opinion, is better used elsewhere, i would even prefer to you that capital, or some of it, to hedge a long equity portfolio and go to cash rather than buy and hold during a downturn. Finally, the best performer, the 80/20 SPX/Gold portfolio, this portfolio did experience more volatility than the 60/40 portfolio. But that should not scare anyone off, the period of draw-down from 2000 to 2005 was more to do with the time period i selected (post tech wreck) and the subsequent fall in the 80% of the portfolio that was long equities, NOT the 20% of Gold which had the portfolio consistently in the green from November 2005 to today. -TradingEdge
SP:SPX
by Profit_Link
6
Is Beyond Meat Roasting the Bears?The bulls and the bears have taken their turns feasting on plant-based food maker Beyond Meat . First the bulls, then the bears … and now the bulls may be back. BYND initially flew higher after its May 2019 IPO, ripping from $25 to over $220. It then fizzled out and crashed all the way back down into the $70s. Buyers came back with an appetite in 2020 and drove it back over $100. The heavily-shorted stock soon formed a bullish flag and volatility began to fade. Back-to-back inside days occurred on February 5 and 6. That signaled its wild swings were calming down. Technicians watch for this kind of pattern because breakouts usually follow price contractions. Since the initial move was higher, it created an opportunity for classic trend following to the upside. The confirmation came the next session with a high-volume candle and BYND's highest close in February. That put some pressure on the bears and started squeezing the shares higher. Now they've got about two months until earnings to sweat it out.
NASDAQ:BYNDLong
by TradeStation
1
Millennials vs. Boomers effects on S&P 500Millennials and Boomers have opposite effects on stock market during years 2018 to 2030. The Value-Based Forecast for S&P 500 shows stock market hovering above 3000 during years 2018 to 2028. play.google.com As the last Boomers hit retirement, their drag on the stock market should end when Millennial consumption and investing is still growing until year 2035. If there is a Technical Singularity at that time, then the Nasdaq could shoot up like the dot-com bubble, or more.
SP:SPXLong
by bryonss
1
The $BTC Moon Mission has completed Base of Operations. A further developed theory of previous publication. I'm sorry bears, chances are you have found yourselves in disbelief. Follow the trend, don't be the guy that short's this thing all the way through 100k. We haven't even started, Bitcoin's mission to Namek is the final story of a world economy ready to collapse and if you play your cards right, collect the rubble at the end of it all and rebuild a world desperately in need of a generational transfer of wealth. The Climate is changing, the banks are frankly crediting, citizens are over-borrowed on their homes and investment properties and Amazon needs to be broken up. NASA is building a moon base like come on the writing is on the wall... I dream of a day money is simply a tool to re-shape and help envision a better world for the kids that will be at war with the selfish decisions of their grandparents. Did I mention f**k Exxon Mobil? F**k Exxon Mobil.
BITMEX:XBTUSD.P
by CryptoHicks