Metals - FVANModel has given entry signals for First Vanadium Corp.:
- First Vanadium Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Canada and the United States. The company's flagship property is the Carlin Vanadium project, which comprises 150 unpatented mineral claims covering an area of 2,608 acres located in Elko County, Nevada. It also explores for copper, silver, and gold minerals.
- Vanadium is critical in basic materials.
- We are very excited about opportunities in the commodities and basic materials sectors, as we believe a macro turn is approaching in the nearest future.
- Technically in a bull flag at the end of a Wyckoff accumulation structure with a spring, possibly testing the channel top.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Miners
Metals - VONEModel has given entry signals for Vanadium One Iron Corp.:
- Vanadium One Iron Corp. explores for base and precious metals in Canada. It holds a 100% interest in the Mont Sorcier iron ore and vanadium project located in Quebec, Canada.
- Iron and Vanadium are key metals for industrials.
- We are very excited about opportunities in the commodities sector, as we believe a macro turn is approaching in the nearest future.
- Technically in a cup and handle, with a Wyckoff accumulation structure on the handle, possible breakout.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
New position, MP materials LONG!After due diligence, I really like this company and it' future expansion plans and current execution.
My PT is 45-47 so there is a lot of potential with this one.
Hoping for more short term weakness to build a position (I am not expecting all my buy limits to get it, but if they do, even better. After position has been built, I'll let them roll until PT is hit.
What do you guys think of MP materials?
Seeing it from a risk-reward perspective for the long-term I am really liking this company!
Let MARA come down, then buyI watched a very encouraging interview that CEO Merrick Okamoto did, and I must say I am pleased with the direction that this company is heading.
After the rip from yesterday, we now know that retail investors are prepared to break all-time highs, without the same-day regression.
I love this company long, so I will be buying once my first support limit is triggered, and again at low support.
This stock is highly tied to the price of bitcoin, so if you think that is only going up from 58k, buy now!
If you like the concept of bitcoin mining, nobody in North America does it at this scale.
My personal belief is that Bitcoin needs to come down below 50k in order for the market sentiment to shift on the 50-60k level. People need to realize that it's either worthless or worth a hell of a lot more than 58k.
This stock will break the $100 level again in the next 3 years. If you want a long-term hold that you don't have to look at every day (you may stress yourself out), then hold this.
Let it come down and then I recommend having a close look, or buy now and enjoy the profits long-term.
*Not a financial advisor.
**Don't judge me on my winners. Judge me on my losers, because there are so few.
WPM - It's Do-or-Die TimeFor WPM , it's getting very close to do-or-die time.
A break above the red resistance range (with at least one daily close) would be SUPER bullish for WPM and the whole precious metals sector. However, should WPM break below the green support range (with at least one daily close), we would expect a lot more downside pressure to come to the precious metals sector. Which direction will it be? Are you prepared?
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Recent gold moves resemble the 2012-2013 topWith bonds rallying a bit, it's possible we will see gold break upward out of its recent downtrend. I can't help but compare gold's recent moves to the 2012-2013 top in gold. We look to be making a very similar pattern, but on a compressed time scale. Long term this comparison implies that gold will move downward from here, but short term, if the comparison holds, we could see a rally through the first resistance line to at least make a test of the second resistance line.
Personally, rather than buy gold directly, I've bought some Barrick Gold. I figure if I'm going to bet on gold, I might as well get a stock with a dividend. (I'm also just better at placing valuations on equities than on metals, so I usually prefer to bet on metals indirectly by buying stocks.) I should note that buying miners works a little differently than directly buying metals, because geopolitical events that are good for gold are sometimes bad for miners because they negatively impact production. In any case, Barrick has been in a downtrend along with gold, and may also make an upward break through resistance:
I have bought in anticipation of a breakout, but another way to play is to set an alert on the resistance line and buy after a breakout has occurred.
LLKKFLake broke down, I sold at .33c entry was .22c so nice win & this trade strayed up through the entire stock market correction. This was my only profitable trade over the stock market correction I used the funds to. buy every dip down to 3780. I think Lake will come back from here and I would buy at these levels and look for .49c
GDX, is this a forgotten treasure?Hello everyone,
So Gold is finally back in a buy/accumulation zone, even though DXY may have more room to run I doubt this will translate in to heavy downside for gold. 1650 maybe? However, the stars look alligned once again to buy gold, or in this case GDX (Gold miners ETF). You can see the trade parameters in the chart. But this is definetely an opportunity like no other, whilst everyone is still lookin at Bitcoin, or Stocks, nobody is expecting a resurgence from gold at this point. However as we see volatility is not dead and gold does like volatile times. Even though this trade will take patience, and most likely won't payoff like crypto. The optimal upside is around a 150%, and in a mania case 400-600%. And the risk is -25%, I mean, it's a casual day in crypto or even stocks these days... Buying now is like buying BTC at 10k. Which BTW i've also advised in doing heavily. It's the same mantra as always - Buy low, sell high. However, most will do it the other way around.
Also check out my other ideas, even though I don't post often. When I do it's usually when things are CHEAP or EXPENSIVE.
As always, stay safe and stay liquid.
Global Quad 2I want to apologize for my lack of activity the past few months. A lot has changed in the markets and a lot has evolved in my approach to reading and navigating the markets. When it comes to my process, I have added the use of multiple lenses beginning first with a fundamental macro overlay called the GIP (Growth, Inflation, Policy) Quad Model, which give us 4 possible macroeconomic environments on a rate of change basis that we are in and could be headed towards. This model protected investors in advance of the 2020 crash with big positions in cash, bonds, and puts and it had its users in Gold and TLT from 3Q2018 until 3Q20. This model also has its users begin shorting USDs and buying commodities and Emerging markets beginning in May 2020. It is impossible to be perfect in markets and the model has made mistakes but overall it has convinced me it is a model worth using and paying attention to.
Currently the GIP Model is showing the global economy already in Quad 2 and headed towards a Deep Quad 2 topping out by the 2nd quarter of 2021. Quad 2 is the macroeconomic environment where both economic growth and inflation are accelerating simultaneously. What many equity bears, bond bulls, and gold bulls are missing is that in 1Q20 the global economy hit rock bottom and there is only one direction out of an absolute rock bottom. Whether that's going sideways, a slow grind higher, or a better than expected recovery, all of those outcomes give us something that is better than what the economy was in the March of 2020. It is all about the Rate of Change, this is what the market cares about. Yes, we are in a recession, but the direction the economy is headed right now is different than the direction it was headed in at the start of 2020.
On the Margin, a Biden-Kamala administration means:
- Less trade war with both allies and foes. A move away from nationalism and isolationism.
- Continued push for more stimulus
- Giving the Federal Reserve the power to spend not just lend. Retail Central Bank accounts with digital currency stimulus checks etc..
- Possible stimulus directly from the executive branch
- Republicans forget that Biden and Kamala are corporatists first and foremost and not nearly as far left as Fox news says.
So, this means $DXY continues its downtrend, potentially hitting 80, 70, and maybe a new all-time low over the next 4 years.
In the short-term, DXY's trend range is 91-88. Many Gold Bulls are confused why Gold and Silver haven't rallied to new highs despite DXY dropping to new lows, and the reason is because yields have risen alongside expectations for slightly better growth in 2021, higher growth expectations means investors will want to take on more risk in stocks and commodities over yield-sensitive safe havens like bonds and precious metals. AT THE SAME TIME, I still think silver miners and junior miners can do alright in Quad 2 even as the metals themselves stagnate because the amount of money the miners are making is pretty ridiculous. The miners that are well-positioned to expand production into an elevated gold price environment will have accelerating earnings which makes their stock attractive. An example of such a stock is $AUMN Golden Minerals.
You really can't go wrong with anything in the commodities. Since the election energy, materials, and industrials have been great places to be. I think energy will continue to be a strong winner. That includes USOIL, Natural Gas, and Uranium. I think the agriculture complex can surprise to upside, including oranges, cocoa, coffee, and cattle. And the Covid losers, in general, will continue to outperform the Covid winners if yields continue to rise (study the US10Y) which is spurred by increases in expectations for future growth and inflation. This is why Copper has been smoking gold lately. Another way to play the steepening yield curve, is $IVOL, which is a low volatility and asymmetric way to play interest rates if you think bonds are overpriced.
So to summarize: Bearish on bonds until Q2 of 2020, Bullish on global equities, Bearish on the US Dollar, Bearish on VIX, and on the margin bearish gold and neutral on silver, but bullish on some of the well-positioned gold and silver equities. Once this Quad 2 growth peaks in Q2, or maybe the model output pulls the probability forward of growth peaking in late Q1, whenever that point ends up being we will pivot towards being long gold and silver and shorting Chinese stocks, Oil, Russell 2000, Nasdaq, Financials, etc. but that will be later in 2021 with a Quad 3 or 4 environments (Quad 3 rising inflation falling growth, Quad 4 Falling inflation falling growth).
Basically the bullish case is this:
- Economy hit rock-bottom in March
- Fed overshot monetary policy by a mile
- Fiscal stimulus was like 10x the 2009 Fiscal stimulus
- A lot more stim is on the way with Biden-Kamala
- Biden-Kamala also means more global trade, less volatility in foreign policy
- Travel restrictions become loosened as vaccine distributions take place
- Highly unlikely that most of the USA and most of the world ever sees anymore covid shutdowns
GDX... still in bear modeGDX... no change in trajectory - bearish.
Previously, called and exited near the top in August 2020 and expected this bearish tones.
Noted BRB Buy Signal triggered as well as the RPM attemping to turn bullish.
Otherwise, MACD is clearly heading down and GDX gapped down to break two support levels in one candle.
More downside seen, at least to 30. possible maximum stretch to 26.
$ANXGF BreakoutReacting great on this breakout and some positive metal prices today. Lot of upside potential here. $ANXGF - Anaconda Mining
Backing Up The TruckIt seems silver is heating up. Better shine up your bullion and get ready for some crypto-like swings. From a macro perspective it looks very similar to the bullish cupping pattern on many other charts. Starting with the Fibonacci extensions measured out from the past major bull run it looks like once again, price clings to the levels like a magnet.
During the 2003-2011 bull market the most notable swings range from 65 to over 100%. The pullbacks sometimes just as violent. The 50 week EMA looks like it was a relatively solid support level and will likely remain so in the future.
Silver has already made it's first 75% move from off the 50 week EMA and has pulled back to the 0.236 fib. It looks like that could be the floor for now. Another 75ish% move would put it up between the 0.5 and 0.618 level around $40.
It will likely take some time to get there with a lot of chop. There is still a risk of the DXY having a technical relief rally especially if new starts rolling out of 'stimulus' disappointments. This is how I've been playing it considering these risks...
After it broke $20 - accumulating bits and pieces on dips, building a core long term position. Trimming and booking some profits into the larger swings.
Fib targets to watch for now:
0.382 --- 31.50
0.5 --- 37.45
0.618 --- 43ish
Trading is risky, don't do it.
Long (6% of portfolio)
Silver bullion and coins
SLV, PSLV, CEF
$BKLIF / OTC $BKMT / TSXV is going to Explode #Minter #BitcoinBitcoin is being noticed by both retail and institutional investors so much more these days. Minter allows anyone to mine Bitcoin from their PC's while surfing the net.
Do your own DD at www.blockmint.ai
Currently BlockMint has very low volume. Once volume comes in the price will increase dramatically.
Get your position at a great price while you still can! Buy the breakout
Cycle is up for the Aussie. Cycle is up for silver.Check the related idea for USDRUB. It is a very similar story but the Australian dollar has an even stronger correlation to silver. Longer term cycle turned up in March. And now inside a topping medium term cycle there is a rising smaller cycle - which is up until mid April - same as silver. Upside price target is 0.85 for AUD. Remember futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
Hummingbird Resources set to bounce from channel's bottomHummingbird Resources LSE:HUM is a gold miner, which stocks are traded on the London Stock Exchange.
It benefits from a very low valuation with a PER of less than 4 at the time of publishing.
After a lengthy consolidation inside a descending channel the stock price now hits the lower channel's boundary in a super oversold condition.
It is time for a bounce in direction of the upper channel boundary, before expecting a channel's break to the upside.
ASX:PLS Pilbara Minerals Ltd - all eye on growth ?ASX:PLS
Pilbara Minerals is positioned to become a low-cost, long-term, sustainable lithium producer.
During the period the Company increased its cash balance by $41.97M to $105.5M at 31 December 2019 (30 June 2019: $63.6M).
a net cash inflow of $107.6M, (net of fees) related to the successful equity raising completed during the period
need to follow the demand for the minerals that PLS operate in otherwise stock can correct from here.