Time for a pirate adventure!Ever dream of being part of a swashbuckling pirate adventure in the search for the 'X' on the map? I have an inkling that this year marks the day where we could get lucky. I've marked the initial 'X' on this map but there could be much greater treasures to find for the courageous. Look to the traditional treasures this year, silver, gold, miner's and a fortune might be found. Trade safe.
(On a technical note, observe silver's explosion in volume and RSI strength. It appears to be at least a weekly candle degree move to this pirate, possibly even monthly).
Miners
GLD Bugs are back!With the devaluation of currencies globally and negative interest rates plaguing over 25% of sovereign government interest rates, Gold has come back in favor breaking their resistance of $129.00. Broad indexes are at all time highs and fear of devaluing currencies will create a run for a "store of value" trade which can also be perpetuated by a "fear trade" where Gold performs historically well. $143, then $154, and finally can test $172. We'll see.
Yamana Gold outlook still strong after guidance updateGold stocks are expensive right now due to the extremely high price of gold. One of the more affordable stocks is Yamana Gold, which has been in a long-term downtrend until it broke trendline resistance a couple days ago.
Last week I reported on an upgrade of Yamana's productivity guidance. That guidance upgrade turned out to be a little too optimistic, and yesterday Yamana moderated it somewhat. However, the outlook for Yamana still looks good.
Production at the Minera Florida mine is returning to normal after interruptions due to labor disputes, and production at the Jacobina mine is increasing and expected to continue to increase for the next three years. The Chapada mine--which has been a bit of a drag on the company's bottom line--beat records for productivity this year, and the company just sold it for $800 million.
With rising productivity and a history of earnings beats, this looks like one of the stronger gold plays in the market right now. Yamana should get some analyst upgrades in the coming months, providing further upside catalysts. Unless gold prices suddenly collapse, I suspect that AUY will hold above the trendline.
A big year ahead for gold minersGood day folks,
This is a comparison I made based on my GLD forecast for the next 12 months. I expect GLD to rise by 5 to 10% before year end. I calculated a few ratios and it appears that GDX moves exponentially with gold price (not a discovery I know). Basically, I wasn’t unable to use a distinct ratio, so I just compared their corresponding prices at the corresponding time.
I concluded that if GLD was raising by approx. 5-10% to my price target of 128 to 134.5, GDX would rise from 26.5 to 28. This is an upside potential of approximately 29 to 37% on the current price!
I am long.
Thank you,
ABN:TSXV - Aben Resources: tested support at $0.24 and trendlineABN:TSXV - Aben Resources: a test of support at $0.24 which proved resistance previously, held the up-trending line drawn a few weeks ago now. Watching for the bulls to step up and set a higher daily high after the last 6 sessions have seen lower daily highs, $0.255 is the level to watch. Gold spot prices are breaking back out above $1400USD after a week of consolidation, this could help full the miner/explorers higher than previous years, and could also see some first drill results coming in the next couple weeks which fuel continued upward momentum, last year gold spot prices pulled in heavily in the middle of July, which fuelled a correction in ABN's share price, this year with gold prices strong I'd anticipate a different trend/pattern to form. #GOLD #goldentriangle $ABN.V
Near term Catalysts:
Drilling commenced on June 10, nearly a month earlier than last year, this drilling season is working on last years very promising finds that propelled the stock up 100%+ up near 50c. This drilling season should see similar results and will be reflected in the stock price the golden triangle is proving to be very position for gold exploration and with the price of gold testing multi-year highs these could be very profitable and gain lots of attention.
TSXV:ABN
GLDN:TSXV - Golden Ridge Resources: trend-line test, curling upGLDN:TSXV - Golden Ridge Resources: a slight equilibrium pattern setting up after the recent high of $0.195 was set back on June 24, and so far $0.165 & $0.17 have shown their support while $0.185 has been resistance. The daily and weekly charts have had great consolidation on the move up. Gold spot prices are breaking back out above $1400USD after a week of consolidation, this could help fuel the miner/explorers higher than previous years. Could also see some first drill results coming in the next couple weeks which, may fuel continued upward momentum, last year gold spot prices pulled in heavily in the middle of July, which fuelled a correction in GLDN's share price, this year with gold prices strong I'd anticipate a different trend/pattern to form. #GOLD #goldentriangle $GLDN.V
Near term Catalysts:
Drilling commenced on June 14, nearly a month earlier than last year, this drilling season is working on last years very promising finds that propelled the stock up 200% into the 50c range. This drilling season should see similar results and will be reflected in the stock price, the land they own was previously Barrick Gold's which sat un-explored for 20 years. Speculatively, In the future this could be bought back.
TSXV:GLDN
LONG GLDN:TSXV - Golden Ridge Resources: Grinding Upward.GLDN:TSXV - Golden Ridge Resources: After some heavy buying this morning pushing us up to $0.195. The range $0.19 - $0.195 had a bit of history as resistance back in October from the larger down move. That said the chart is still very bullish and with Gold ripping to 5 year highs there are nice tailwinds for continuation. The 50dma is about to cross the 200dma tomorrow, giving us a golden cross of the averages. #GOLD #goldentriangle $GLDN.V
Near term Catalysts:
Drilling commenced on June 14, nearly a month earlier than last year, this drilling season is working on last years very promising finds that propelled the stock up 200% into the 50c range. This drilling season should see similar results and will be reflected in the stock price, the land they own was previously Barrick Gold's which sat un-explored for 20 years. Speculatively, In the future this could be bought back.
TSXV:GLDN
ABN:TSXV - Aben Resources: breaking out with volume confirmationABN:TSXV - Aben Resources: Bulls stepped up, with Gold breaking out to 5 year highs, gold miner bulls, had nice tailwinds to push over resistance. Break out with volume confirmation, after pulling briefly into $0.225 support last week with declining bear volume. The chart is set up beautifully for some continuation upwards. Level 2 has limited orders up till $0.30. Watch levels on the chart at $0.265 and $0.28 before reaching $0.30 #GOLD #goldentriangle $ABN.V
Near term Catalysts:
Drilling commenced on June 10, nearly a month earlier than last year, this drilling season is working on last years very promising finds that propelled the stock up 100%+ up near 50c. This drilling season should see similar results and will be reflected in the stock price the golden triangle is proving to be very position for gold exploration and with the price of gold testing multi-year highs these could be very profitable and gain lots of attention.
TSXV:ABN
Gold's direction stay LONG I'm thinking that pullback (blue arrow) was either a 1/2 cycle low or the end of the 1st DC. If its the 1/2 cycle low we should move higher towards $1390 as the top. If its the later we are on day 2 of the 2nd DC. The first DC was 34 days long which is right in line with the previous cycles. If I am right we should blow past the previous high at $1348 easily. If we get resistance and start going side ways then it may be the end of the 1st DC and we get that notorious heavy sell off. IMHO
Don't Trust Today's Upturn in GoldIn my last post I mentioned that JNUG performs better when it closes above the Hull Moving Average . Today it moved decisively above the Hull, which I'd usually take as a bullish indicator. However, on this occasion, I don't trust it.
The price of gold tends to move opposite the market. The market is down today for reasons of seasonality . Today (June 12) is what the Stock Trader's Almanac designates a "bear day"-- a day of the year on which the market has historically declined more than 60% of the time. However, it's an isolated bear day. Seasonality favors an upturn in the market tomorrow (June 13) and Friday (June 14). Friday is a "bull" day-- a day when the market has historically risen more than 60% of the time. There are several more bull days next week. I expect weakness in the price of gold as the market rebounds.
Gold also tends to move opposite the dollar. The dollar is showing weakness today, breaking downward through some critical support levels. But in my experience, market movements on isolated bear and bull days can't be trusted for purposes of charting. I usually ignore moves through support or resistance on these days. The dollar may rise back above its supports tomorrow.
If you're feeling lucky, you could even try shorting gold by buying the Junior Gold Miners' Bear fund (JDST). I'd only try a one-day short play, however, because even if the dollar does move upward tomorrow (an uncertain prospect), it may soon return to weakness ahead of the Fed meeting.
As always, this is just an idea and does not constitute investment advice.
$J150 JSE Gold miners index, ready to be accumulated once more?Think the chart says it all - a very important level of support here on the jse gold miners index. Also a 61.8 retracement of Nov/Dec low & Feb High. Perhaps a very decent area to accumulate gold miners once more. Ties in nicely with gold spot price breaking out its wedge #Bullish - #anglogold #sibanyegold #harmonygold #goldfields