The GDX Could Be The Next Great Trade In 2014 Recently, the gold and gold mining stocks have surged higher over the past three weeks. The highly followed Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX) jumped higher by more than $4.00 a share since May 29th, 2014. Today, the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF is trading lower by 0.37 cents to $25.90 a share. The GDX is now overbought on a daily chart, so a pullback over the next couple of days to weeks should be somewhat expected. While a pullback is possible, traders and investors must now keep an eye on the weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern that is forming on the chart. A weekly chart close above $26.00 a share on the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF would trigger a buy signal for the pattern. The target for the bullish inverse head and shoulder pattern indicates a move up to the $35.00 area.
Leading gold mining stocks such as Royal Gold Inc (NASDAQ:RGLD), and Goldcorp Inc. (NYSE:GG) also have the same weekly chart head and shoulders pattern as the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX).
Please understand that these patterns have not yet triggered, so until they do these equities could still be somewhat volatile in the near term.
Nick Santiago
Chief Market Strategist
www.InTheMoneyStocks.com
Miners
Gold Miners $GDX may be heading for a reversal A Gartley and a Cypher pattern is pointing to the same exact destination for a sell reversal. We have previous structure at $31.31 & $29.38 coupled with confluence with two 1.27 extension ratios. $29.95. and $28.96 at the .786 retracment will be our kill zone.
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GG broken out of retracment box, Is it still bullish?With the gold miners stocks tend to have a very volatile behavior. They correlate with the equities market as well as physical gold. Hence they tend to gap up and down. That's just its personality. Looking at the long term view, it still looks bullish and the inverse head and shoulder is still intact. Possible morning star reversal forming if it if gaps up tomorrow. (Other miners like GDX, SLW also have the same reversal pattern and have respected the retracement levels). For the miners to be bullish from this point onwards, the equities market and physical gold has to become bullish.( or physical gold has to be more bullish that the equities market, if the recent selling and market correction is to persist. Ignore intra-day volatility and focus on the long term view. Swing/ position trading