Vox Royalty - channel breakout progressTechnically this share price is making higher swing highs and higher swing lows, within a descending channel. Descending channels tend to break in the opposite direction of travel.
What is required is a breakout and retest of the upper bound of the channel, so investors know where the next level of support lays.
Unique, defensible intellectual property
Strong weighting to precious metals royalties
Exceptionally strong M&A pipeline
Track record of investing in royalties with significant growth or expansion catalysts
Built in diversification - Exposure to a portfolio of projects
Exceptional operating margins - No debt
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Construction commenced at Janet Ivy expansion project Binduli North by Zijin Mining subsidiary Norton Gold;
Scoping study begins on underground mining scenarios at Bowdens silver project by Silver Mines;
45% increase in total mineral resource estimates at Pitombeiras by Jangada;
A$10M drill program underway and final project approvals targeted in 2022 for the Sulphur Springs project by Venturex;
and
Continued drilling and permitting update at Lynn Lake (MacLellan) by Alamos.
Riaan Esterhuizen, Executive Vice President – Australia stated, “The last month has delivered a significant number of value
enhancing organic developmentsfor our royalty properties, most notably the commencement of construction at the A$462M Binduli
heap leach expansion project by Norton Gold. This Binduli expansion was the key near-term catalyst that Vox management
anticipated when we acquired the Janet Ivy royalty in March 2021. Additional engineering study progress at Bowdens and
Pitombeiras, combined with drilling success across numerous properties capped off a very exciting month for our royalty projects.”
Miners
URA to the Moon (Uranium)Uranium will be entering a breakout over the coming years.
Demand for energy will skyrocket as problems began to surface in current infrastructure.
The technology has advanced by leaps and bounds. Going Nuclear will continue to be the narrative driving Uranium demand and mining companies.
See you in the future of energy.
Buyers are stepping in on first Gold pour for Thor and VoxFirst gold pours at the Segilola Gold Mine in West Africa by Thor Exploration.
July 30th operators completed the first gold pour. Thor is transitioning into the operating phase of the project, which means they are moving towards full-scale steady state commercial productions in September.
They are targeting 80-85,000 oz per annum, which will equate to around 45k/oz by the end of this year, and then they are looking to ramp up towards 100k/oz next year.
This royalty means good news for Vox as they receive cash flow into the portfolio alongside the other 3 production stage royalties.
The revenue generated from this mine for Vox should be 5x the initial investment over the next 3 years which was C$900k. The potential C$4.5 from Segilola has given Vox confidence to up their revenue forecasts for this year towards
C$5 million revenues which is double their previous announcement at the end of Q1. There will obviously be a lot more news coming in the next 3 years so it will be interesting to see how the other production stage assets fair and which new ones up the revenues and by how much.
Vox Royalty is protected from the challenges that occur taking a mine into production as they have no exposure to CapEx. That is not to say the mine should it fail to find the necessary materials, machinery and other COVID related disruptions, would not hinder the revenues being projected. The good news is the mine's operators are doing a sterling job so far and have an amazing track record.
Strong underlying momentum in Precious MetalsMy 5-7 year outlook. Amazing fundamental and technical picture for precious metals and for the gold & silver mining companies. They are very undervalued relative to the underlying metals they mine and the fundamental picture gets better and better. They're growing cash flows and making very large margins of over 35% on average. Inflation is here and the Federal Reserve & Government are trapped with rates near zero as the economy is beginning to roll over. Large debts of over 130% Debt/GDP necessitates interest rates remaining capped (Fed funds below 2% for at least 6-10 years). Fiscal spending to grow the economy with yield curve control and currency devaluation to devalue the debt load with ignite a commodities and precious metals bull market and cycle that hasn't been seen since the 1970s.
Vox Royalty Just Doubled 2021 GuidanceFor those of you who haven't been following along, this is what was said in May at the end of Q1 2021.
GEORGE TOWN, CAYMAN ISLANDS – May 25, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”) is
pleased to announce its operating and financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2021. All amounts are in U.S. dollars
unless otherwise indicated.
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “The first quarter of 2021 marked another milestone for Vox as it reported record
revenues. The Company is well on track to achieve its previously announced 2021 royalty revenue guidance of C$1.7M to C$2.5M.
The embedded organic growth in our portfolio of 50 royalty assets continues to build. Every month our shareholders are benefiting
from exploration successes, fast-tracking of development and production increases on our royalty properties. The coming quarters
have strong potential to be the most productive in Vox’s seven year history.”
This is where they are end of Q2 2021
VOX ANNOUNCES RECORD REVENUE IN Q2 2021 AND INCREASES 2021 REVENUE GUIDANCE BY +100%
TORONTO, CANADA – July 27, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”), a high growth precious
metals focused royalty company, is pleased to announce that it has realized record preliminary quarterly royalty revenue of
C$1,628,600 (US$1,314,000)
for the three-month period ended June 30, 2021. During the quarter, the Company recognized inaugural royalty revenue from its Janet Ivy gold royalty, acquired on March 29, 2021, which is an uncapped A$0.50 per tonne royalty.
Quarterly revenue benefitted from increased royalty-linked production by Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) at Koolyanobbing, increased production by Karora Resources Inc. (TSX: KRR) from the Hidden Secret deposit at Higginsville covered by the Dry Creek royalty, inaugural royalty revenues earned from the Janet Ivy royalty, and increased production by the operator of the Brauna royalty.
Vox has successfully grown quarterly revenue figures exponentially since Q3 2020, which is summarized in the below chart:
Three months ended June 30, 2021
Royalty revenue (C$) == $1,628,600
Royalty revenue (US$) == $1,314,000
Royalty revenue % growth == 143%
# of producing assets == 4
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “This is the continuation of an exciting period in Vox’s growth as revenue and
profitability metrics start to reflect the true earnings power of the Vox royalty portfolio. We have consistently updated the market
with operator updates concerning our royalty assets and noted that our portfolio continues to grow ahead of expectations. The
coming quarters and years should continue to reflect a robust increase in revenues from both in production assets and development
stage projects we expect to come online.”
GDX - the beginning of the endThe GDX Gold Miners is one of my personal favourite, and I have had been following it closely over the last couple of years. Since August 2020, where 95% of position was cleared, there was hardly any sustainable long term rally, albeit the March to June 2021 rally that I actually missed. Since then, it pulled back, and is about to revisit the last major lows. This is the beginning of the end... as in, the bearishness is ending. Now, this could take months to pan out and perhaps about 5% downside risk to go.
The daily chart had prices at a lower range having gapped down early in the week. Unlike equities, the recovery was mild, if at all, with Friday gapping down instead. In the form of a megaphone, the range is now going to widen, but am expecting more downside to the target of about 31.50-32.00.
Technicals support the weakness, albeit not extremely weak... just not strong. Looking for a higher low, with MACD bullish divergence in the month to come. Would not be surprised if it breaks down of the megaphone and then breaks back in again to be super bullish.
Until then... I am sitting on my hands.
Inflation surprise + no Fed policy change = GoldGold has jumped above its exponential moving averages on both the daily and weekly charts after inflation numbers came in red-hot yesterday and today. Despite the hot inflation numbers, Federal Reserve chairman Jay Powell signaled this morning that the Fed will stay the course on easy monetary policy and still expects inflation to be temporary. That means that more inflation surprises could lay ahead, and traders may look to inflation hedges like TIPS, crypto, and gold. All three popped today, with the iShares TIPS bond ETF making a new all-time high.
Gold's got potentially a lot of upside in the horizontal channel here. Note that August tends to be seasonally the strongest month for gold, perhaps because traders rotate to the relative safety of gold as a hedge against the weakest months of the year for stocks (August and September). I also like gold miners right now, with the P/E on GDX at about 17 and the P/FCF at just over 8 making this a relatively inexpensive sector.
I will say as a caveat that this is not a high-conviction trade for me, so I'm not going in very heavy. I've been a little underwhelmed by the intraday price action lately, with lots of strong opens and weak closes. But given the news headlines and the seasonality here, I've decided it's worth taking a position.
Vox Royalty - R2 PivotOn the daily pivots, the R2 is the game-changer.
A rise in share price above there and we're in a new bull trend on the higher time frame.
Volume increases are needed as is revenue that gets above CAD$3million and with the NSR's and Royalties coming into production over the coming year or so, that revenue goal will be exceeded. May be doubled.
VOX Royalty - Gold revenueVox Royalty Corp (CVE:VOX) (OTCMKTS:VOXCF) has noted that its royalty partner Thor Explorations Ltd (CVE:THX) (LON:THX) (OTCMKTS:THXPF) (FRA:T2X) has begun commissioning its gold processing plant at the Segilola gold project in Nigeria and will pour the first gold bar there before the end of the month.
Vox Royalty, which has a 1.5% net smelter return (NSR) royalty on all products mined from the property, estimates it will receive pre-tax royalty revenues of C$4.4 million within the first two full years of production.
"Based on production guidance from Thor, we expect that this royalty has the potential to generate revenue almost five times Vox's initial investment of C$900,000 within a span of three years,” Vox Royalty executive vice president of corporate development Simon Cooper said in a statement.
$1800 for Gold could be major support$1800 for the gold bugs seems to be a Goldilocks number. Recent support has been tested several times but a break out from the recent downtrend at first looked like a false breakout. If we were to take that swing high on this latest bullish move, the consensus target of $2000 should be easily met, even $2100 is doable.
For the likes of a royalty company the fluctuations in the metals is less relevant but a higher precious metal market does bring outside interest back into these assets, so the likes of Vox Royalty will be benefiting from the current appreciation in the yellow metal. They both have shown a swing low buy the dip from mid-June, so some correlation currently on show.
VOX Royalty up 13% since Mid-JuneVox Royalty (CVE:VOX) has been down despite a constant news flow including, entering into binding agreements to purchase a 0.633% net smelter returns royalty and associated advance minimum royalty payments of over C$120,000 per annum on part of Gold Standard Ventures Corp's (CVE.GSV) Railroad-Pinion Gold Project, located on the prolific Carlin Trend in Elko County, Nevada, for US$1,980,000.
The price action over the last few days has been positive and is opening up the possibility of further gains as technically we're entering into higher highs and higher lows
Recent News Flow - Vox Royalty
The Silicon Review
"The company is currently evaluating more than $500 million in royalty deals and should continue to lead the industry in growth as it has for the last two years."
Electric Royalties Ltd.
TORONTO, CANADA – July 5, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it has entered into definitive transaction documentation with Electric Royalties Ltd. (TSXV: ELEC) (“Electric Royalties”) for Electric Royalties to acquire a portfolio of two graphite royalties from Vox for C$2,850,000 in shares of Electric Royalties and a C$50,000 cash non-refundable exclusivity payment (the “Transaction”), as announced in a prior press release dated May 18, 2021.
Vox has now closed above the 2.56 level and is showing strength with daily swing of higher highs and higher lows. When the share price closes above the 2.88 level, the corrective cycle will have a higher probability of returning to an impulsive move higher.
GDXJ Arc indicates low risk entry with 250% upside The fun side of the arc in the junior miners is currently playing out. At the moment, we reside at the edge of the arc, which presents a very low risk high reward entry. Completion of the arc would indicate a gain of around 250% + overshoot, in an 18 months timeframe.
A Turn in the Platinum Miners? Part 2 - NHMGiven the weakness in the platinum miners and resource stocks in general in the last few weeks, it takes some bravery/optimism/fondness for punishment to start nibbling at long positions.
Some resource stocks, and platinum miners in particular, are tilting bullish. Same as the related idea on JSE:IMP , with JSE:NHM :
- Golden cross & bullish confirmation on 1D MACD
- Start of bullish divergence on weekly MACD
- On Weekly: Crossed 5EMA and heading towards 15EMA
- On Daily: Crossed 5EMA & 15EMA, and 5EMA is threatening 15EMA cross.
What do you think - bottom in? Looks like a reasonable risk reward trade if you keep your stops tight. I'm looking to enter at R226 (i.e. waiting for slightly more directional confirmation before entering) with a stop at R217, target R253 ... 3:1
UC
A Turn in the Platinum Miners? Part 1 - IMP JSE:IMP Given the weakness in the platinum miners and resource stocks in general in the last few weeks, it takes some bravery/optimism/fondness for punishment to start nibbling at long positions.
Some resource stocks, and platinum miners in particular, are tilting bullish. on JSE:IMP :
- Golden cross & bullish confirmation on 1D MACD
- Bullish divergence on weekly MACD
- On Weekly: Crossed 5EMA and heading towards 15EMA
- On Daily: Crossed 5EMA & 15EMA, and 5EMA is threatening 15EMA cross.
What do you think - bottom in? Looks like a reasonable risk reward trade if you keep your stops tight. I'm looking to enter at R246 with a stop at R239, target R271 ... 3.5:1
UC
BTC lost over $60 Billion mkt cap in 24 hours- China's crackdownAny feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :)
Quick glance: As of now, BTCUSD seems to be on under massive selling pressure Traders are looking closely at the $30k level.
Our previous analysis on BTCUSD correctly predicted the slippery slope BTC was at, and should the support be broken, there could be a massive downtrend.
Market in the last 24hrs
China's regulations on Bitcoin miners seem to have a major toll on the entire crypto spectrum. BTC is under serious selling pressure.
Today’s Trend analysis
Three black crows is a major bearish pattern, formed by three adjacent candles. This pattern is usually a reliable confirmation of the bear market, wherein each candle closes below the previous candle. As of now, $30k mark would a strong psychological support zone for BTCUSD.
Price volatility remained extremely high at approximately 12.8%, with the day's range between $31700.00 — $35763.80.
Price at the time of publishing: $32535.84
BTC's market cap: $610.85 Billion
Out of 11 Oscillator indicators, 6 are neutral, and 1 indicates to a bearish outlook, and 4 point to a 'BUY' signal.
Out of 15 Moving average indicators, 13 indicate a bearish outlook, 1 is 'NEUTRAL' and 1 gives out a bullish view.
Indicator summary is giving a 'SELL' signal on BTCUSD .
Volumes have remained high in the past 24 hours.
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The analysis is based on signals from 26 technical indicators, out of which 15 are moving averages and the remaining 11 are oscillators. These indicator values are calculated using 4Hr candles.
Note: Above analysis would hold true if we do not encounter a sudden jump in trade volume .
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Any feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :)