FMG / Fortescue holding supportFortescue has been in a steady downtrend since the drop of iron ore prices in August. Since October, however, it was able to hold support at around 14 over and over again. With the recent drop in SGX:FEF1! this especially notable.
I am fundamentally bullish on Fortescue due to its fundamentals (balance sheet, green hydrogen ambitions, autonomous hauling) but it's hard to find a good entry point with iron ore prices plunging this rapidly.
Miners
Vox Royalty continues towards C$5 million revenue targetTORONTO, CANADA – November 2, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”), a high growth precious metals focused royalty company, is pleased to announce that it has realized preliminary quarterly royalty revenue of C$1,558,800 (US$1,223,400)(1) for the three-month period ended September 30, 2021.
Quarterly revenue benefitted from record royalty-linked gold production by Karora Resources Inc. (TSX: KRR) from the Hidden Secret and Mousehollow deposits at Higginsville covered by the Dry Creek royalty and record royalty-linked iron ore production volumes by Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) at Koolyanobbing, and consistent royalty revenues from each of the Company’s Janet Ivy gold royalty and Brauna diamond royalty. Royalty revenues relative to Q2 2021 were in line in spite of a significant reduction in realised iron ore pricing at Koolyanobbing.
Quarterly, year to date, and annual revenue guidance figures are summarized in the below table:
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “We are pleased to announce another quarter of strong royalty revenue and multiple royalty-linked production records at Higginsville and Koolyanobbing. The Vox portfolio remains on track to deliver revenue at the higher end of our expectations, even in light of revenue guidance doubling in July 2021. Further, we anticipate the first royalty revenue from our Segilola asset during Q4/Q1, following the achievement of commercial production at Segilola in October. The coming quarters present even more value accretive developments for Vox shareholders to look forward to, as we continue our industry-leading organic growth trajectory from 5 to 10 producing assets by late 2023.”
OLB is Micro MinerOLB is a micro cap miner. Their market cap is <$40m while it *should* be 5-7x this per other miner valuations like MARA, RIOT, BITF, HUT, etc. They have 600 rigs in operation and it will go grow to 1000 by the EOY. SDIG who recently just went public has 3000 miners operating and has a market cap of $500M… OLB is 1/3 the rigs but greater than 1/10th the market cap. OLB has 24000 rigs that they are ordering soon per their releases - they aren’t going to own the hash rate but they are going to hodl, have an underlying e-commerce business, and are growing their mining capacity and aggregate hash as their data centers get built. I am long this security long term until bitcoin pulls back. x
GDX looking for higher lowGDX have been so beaten for so long, and every previous attempt was not ready for that consolidation nor higher low. After a recent and decent break above the 55EMA, the Gold miners GDX ETF is retracing hard (as expected) and is now looking for a higher low, in about a week or two.
And with that, then we know the next run would be more robust.
Trading Range Breakout - Vox Royaltylooking back over 2021 the share price of this royalty company has done it all. We have seen a sell-off that culminated in massive volume (for this company) putting in a base. We then carved out a trading range before catching a bid to new 52 week highs. The recent breakout was welcomed, but the pullback to previous resistance on low volume, which is now acting as support, is crucial. Assuming the bull move is not over and buyers buy into value, the measured move of the trading range breakout would take us up to C$5.00
in the last 7 days Vox is up 5.1%
1 year up 34.2%
Oct 01 - Vox Provides Recent Development and Exploration Updates from Royalty Operating Partners Gold Standard Ventures, Genesis Minerals Limited, Metalicity Limited, Black Cat Syndicate Limited and Norwest Minerals Limited
July 29 - simplywall.st
MARA looking like Angelina Jolie from 200720% gap between BTCUSD nav performance and MARA. I believe that gap will close.
So she's looking fine as hell, a beaut.
Partnership with Beowolf should yield a 38% decline in electricity/power costs.
I believe MARA is going to be the winner out of the pack of bitcoin miners because they have been reinvesting in efficiency and growth heavily.
Their sales per employee are nearly double that of RIOT showing that they can do more with less, and if you can stomach no P/E for a decent period of time, their major investments in growth will pay off in the long run versus appearing profitable in the short-term.
Vox Royalty - channel breakout progressTechnically this share price is making higher swing highs and higher swing lows, within a descending channel. Descending channels tend to break in the opposite direction of travel.
What is required is a breakout and retest of the upper bound of the channel, so investors know where the next level of support lays.
Unique, defensible intellectual property
Strong weighting to precious metals royalties
Exceptionally strong M&A pipeline
Track record of investing in royalties with significant growth or expansion catalysts
Built in diversification - Exposure to a portfolio of projects
Exceptional operating margins - No debt
-----
Construction commenced at Janet Ivy expansion project Binduli North by Zijin Mining subsidiary Norton Gold;
Scoping study begins on underground mining scenarios at Bowdens silver project by Silver Mines;
45% increase in total mineral resource estimates at Pitombeiras by Jangada;
A$10M drill program underway and final project approvals targeted in 2022 for the Sulphur Springs project by Venturex;
and
Continued drilling and permitting update at Lynn Lake (MacLellan) by Alamos.
Riaan Esterhuizen, Executive Vice President – Australia stated, “The last month has delivered a significant number of value
enhancing organic developmentsfor our royalty properties, most notably the commencement of construction at the A$462M Binduli
heap leach expansion project by Norton Gold. This Binduli expansion was the key near-term catalyst that Vox management
anticipated when we acquired the Janet Ivy royalty in March 2021. Additional engineering study progress at Bowdens and
Pitombeiras, combined with drilling success across numerous properties capped off a very exciting month for our royalty projects.”
URA to the Moon (Uranium)Uranium will be entering a breakout over the coming years.
Demand for energy will skyrocket as problems began to surface in current infrastructure.
The technology has advanced by leaps and bounds. Going Nuclear will continue to be the narrative driving Uranium demand and mining companies.
See you in the future of energy.
Buyers are stepping in on first Gold pour for Thor and VoxFirst gold pours at the Segilola Gold Mine in West Africa by Thor Exploration.
July 30th operators completed the first gold pour. Thor is transitioning into the operating phase of the project, which means they are moving towards full-scale steady state commercial productions in September.
They are targeting 80-85,000 oz per annum, which will equate to around 45k/oz by the end of this year, and then they are looking to ramp up towards 100k/oz next year.
This royalty means good news for Vox as they receive cash flow into the portfolio alongside the other 3 production stage royalties.
The revenue generated from this mine for Vox should be 5x the initial investment over the next 3 years which was C$900k. The potential C$4.5 from Segilola has given Vox confidence to up their revenue forecasts for this year towards
C$5 million revenues which is double their previous announcement at the end of Q1. There will obviously be a lot more news coming in the next 3 years so it will be interesting to see how the other production stage assets fair and which new ones up the revenues and by how much.
Vox Royalty is protected from the challenges that occur taking a mine into production as they have no exposure to CapEx. That is not to say the mine should it fail to find the necessary materials, machinery and other COVID related disruptions, would not hinder the revenues being projected. The good news is the mine's operators are doing a sterling job so far and have an amazing track record.
Strong underlying momentum in Precious MetalsMy 5-7 year outlook. Amazing fundamental and technical picture for precious metals and for the gold & silver mining companies. They are very undervalued relative to the underlying metals they mine and the fundamental picture gets better and better. They're growing cash flows and making very large margins of over 35% on average. Inflation is here and the Federal Reserve & Government are trapped with rates near zero as the economy is beginning to roll over. Large debts of over 130% Debt/GDP necessitates interest rates remaining capped (Fed funds below 2% for at least 6-10 years). Fiscal spending to grow the economy with yield curve control and currency devaluation to devalue the debt load with ignite a commodities and precious metals bull market and cycle that hasn't been seen since the 1970s.