September 3, 2016 Golden Dawn Minerals- Stairway to heaven?Golden Dawn Minerals GOM seems to be on the verge of a massive breakout as it is pushing against resistance of $0.40 which was last priced back in 2008. There has been a recent volume spike (open buying interest) since the company started jockeying for a piece land which is also of interest to powerhouse major Kinross Gold Corporation K . Since GOM is traded on the Canadian Venture exchange it is not widely covered by major analysts so it has stealthily moved up under the radar. Full disclosure, I own shares in GOM .
Miningstocks
McEwen Mining Inc. The Dividend Paying Junior MinerMUX is run by the same person who founded GoldCorp GG, and he has a 25% stake in the company that bears his namesake. McEwen Mining also pays a dividend while you wait for the price of XAUUSD to rise, and that is a rarity for a junior miner. Full disclosure, I dollar-cost-averaged into this company at around $2.00/share. My feeling is that when gold breaks $1400 this stock is going to run. The NI43101 looks solid as well. More information can be found at SEDAR .
September 2nd Non Farm Numbers, What's The Story Here?Looks like a lot of traders are going to get hacked to bits between the potential range of $1290 to $1325 because the Fed is doing what it does best, fear mongering about a rate hike. This is only helping the Fed play the longs into their hand by forcing them to give up their positions in gold. A close under $1308 after Friday’s Non Farm numbers will increase the likelihood of traders believing that a break below $1300 is possible.
IF the Fed hikes in September (I doubt that they will), this will inevitably lead to QE. From what I can see in the charts right now, gold is experiencing a consolidation pullback that is typical during the summer months, and should be completed in the early part of September. A close over $137X will challenge for a quick breakout towards the $1410-$1420 range. Don’t get caught with your pants down because it’s going to be lightening fast when it happens.
Discovery in MexicoWeekly chart of Almadex this week after discovery in Mexico.
Almadex Discovers Gold-Rich Porphyry System at Norte Target, El Cobre Project, Mexico
Newmont Mining ( NEM ) - weekly chart overbought.NEM is one of the darlings of gold mining stocks, it has seen a phenomenal run-up, but I expect a retracement soon. Tighten stops if you are long, new would-be buyers should wait for a better entry.
SPY/XME/USO/GLD/SLV Ratio 4/18/2016 (Short-Term View)Watch the lines. This chart tells us when to switch from bubble assets to contrarian assets.
SPY/XME/USO/GLD/SLV Ratio 4/18/2016 (All-Time View)Watch the lines. This chart tells us when to switch from bubble assets to contrarian assets.
GDX DAILY CHART -- MINERS BREAKOUT, CASH WONT BE KING FOR LONG With all the NIRP's and ZIRP's flying around in an economy based off fraud and debt, this was expected, and now we have the start of the technical indicators to back it up :)
I was expecting it to retrace down to the 17 area to "fill the gap"
Instead it created a bull flag / pennant , and then in 3 days , broke out of our channel and above price action
All very bullish signs, even with the 50 and 200 ma quite far behind
Tomorrow (April 12th) I will be looking for a retracement of 22.16, which if it can hold, is where I buy more miners
- If it doesn't retrace at all I will simply buy in before the day ends, as I'm a firm believer in price action
Feel free to comment with questions or ideas :)
Happy Trading!
Vale @ R$3 ???VALE5's Fibbonachi looks horrible!!!! Projection at R$ 3 pretty soon. Who share this ???
Gold Miners Run Up to Key ResistanceGold mining stocks have been trending higher, along with the overall U.S. equity market, of late. The recent support in gold prices allowed the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) a strong close last week, pushing 15 percent off the November 18 low.
Gold mining stocks really get a pass from traders, and it is still early to determine whether the move will last or not. And, this could depend largely on whether or not the Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy for the first time since 2006. If the Fed does hike rates, gold prices could suffer.
Currently, GDX has been able to close around the 50 percent Fib. retracement on the October 15 high. The daily candle closed near the top of its range on strong volume. The ADX is ticking upwards with a concurrent upward movement in + DMI, and this can garner stronger upside potential.
Conversely, the GDX could see resistance at the 50 percent Fib. level, which also coincides with trend resistance (broken support). A reversal at current levels could send the mining ETF $14.20/00, while deeper price support lies at $13.38.
Further upside momentum would cause the GDX to test the larger, downside trend line between $15.50 and $15.75. If the Fed fails to hike rates in a mere week, the GDX will retest the 200-daily EMA.
Stock pickers could find undervalued gems in the mining space. Meera Shawn, Market Realist, points out that some miners have down quite well this year: Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM), up 11.2 percent; Centerra Gold (CG), up 31.2 percent and Alacer Gold (ASR), up 8.4 percent versus a 23 percent decline in GDX as a whole. It is important when choosing commodity producers to look for strong balance sheets and low operation costs. This helps producers whether pricing declines
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DUST looking good for a trend upside moveDUST looks to be in trend mode with a near term target 22 with outside chance of 28. The gold price is about to fall down the rabbit hole and likely take the miners with it. Is gold oversold? yes, but bearish long term trend remains.
This could be the finale that leads to the final washout low in gold.
So in the meantime scalp opportunities in DUST seem wise.
