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MOEX

MOEX Rebounds: Domestic Power Overcomes Geopolitical HeadwindsThe MOEX Index in Russia exhibits surprising resilience, recovering to pre-war levels in May 2024. This upswing stems from a confluence of factors: * **Shifting Investment Landscape:** Western sanctions have curbed foreign participation, but a surge in domestic retail investment and capital inflows from allied countries has mitigated the impact. * **Robust Corporate Performance:** Energy companies, buoyed by high global prices, report strong financials. Increased revenue and profitability allow for continued investment and dividend payouts, attracting domestic investors. * **Renewed IPO Activity:** Tentative signs of a revival in domestic IPO activity suggest a cautious return of investor confidence in the Russian market. However, challenges remain: * **Sanctions and Foreign Investment:** The full impact of sanctions is yet to be determined. Restricted foreign investment limits market liquidity, potentially hindering future growth. Additionally, sectors reliant on foreign technology may face long-term constraints. * **Geopolitical Uncertainty and Military Spending:** The ongoing war in Ukraine and associated geopolitical tensions continue to weigh on the Russian economy. While increased military spending benefits some sectors in the short term, it could strain the treasury in the long run. **Turkey's Potential Role in Sanctions Busting:** The article discusses a concerning development: Turkey's potential role in facilitating the re-export of Russian oil products to Europe. This practice, if confirmed, could undermine sanctions aimed at limiting Russia's war chest. Further investigation and potential enforcement actions may be required. **Trade Idea: Long MOEX** This analysis suggests a long position on MOEX. * **Entry:** 3535.87 * **Target Profits (T.P.):** 3724.67, 3992.71, 4300.33, etc. (as listed in your original article) * **Stop Loss (S.L.):** 3079.14 **Conclusion:** The MOEX recovery is a fascinating case study. While domestic factors drive the market in the short term, the long-term trajectory hinges on the evolving geopolitical landscape, the effectiveness of sanctions, and the overall health of the Russian economy. The potential for Turkish involvement in sanctions circumvention adds another layer of complexity.
RUS:IRUSLong
by signalmastermind
$QIWI proposes to be one of the good performersAs you can see, there is divergence on the downward MOEX:QIWI moving on the 1D graph with a high overselling. I'm expecting turning around and preparing of the baseline for the future leaps. Goal number 1 is 490, which can bring more than 100% during 1-1.5 years. Does not constitute a recommendation. #furoreggs #investing #stocks #shares #idea #forecast #trading #analysis If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view.
RUS:QIWILong
by furoreggs
$VTBR is accumulating power for the possible leap up.MOEX:VTBR is moving inside the narrow enough channel to the bottom of the triangle. Now is time to touch this bottom line. After that I expect to watch a well-done movie with an example, how to jump x2 higher the place, where you are in. Does not constitute a recommendation. #furoreggs #investing #stocks #shares #idea #forecast #trading #analysis If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view
RUS:VTBRLong
by furoreggs
$POLY - everything shows that time has comeIndicators shows - MOEX:POLY is ready to start moving upstairs. Oversold instrument will lure investors' money. 2. Two crossing channels - main downward and local upward. Both for now stays higher, than an actual price. It should return back to any channel and continue moving inside till the top board of one only or both. Two channels and levels inside will be magnetized for the line. 3. Creating reversed double bottom pattern will be one more fundamental issue to warm an interest. 4. Good potential for the growth for 2 years (x4). The company shared information recently that the current owner is going to sell 100% of the nearest time. Stay careful and be attentive in any decisions.
PLong
by furoreggs
$YNDX went outside triangle. Time to be prepared for the growthMOEX:YNDX rally is going to start. Company shown, that all the previous negative news have been worked out and it has a good fundament to wonder investors with the jumps. I propose two scenarios of the future moving. Both are based on the Fubo levels for the last ubnormal drop. Scenario 1: MOEX:YNDX ::2097->3000::50%::Aug 2023. Scenario 2: MOEX:YNDX ::2097->4300::90%::Aug 2023 - can be independent plot as well as a prolongation of Scenario 1 in the future. Does not constitute a recommendation. #investing #stocks #idea #forecast #furoreggs Please, subscribe and challenge my point of view )
RUS:YDEXLong
by furoreggs
MOEX Moscow testing the All Time Highs.Pullback before breakout?The Moscow Exchange (MOEX) is about to test today the 192.50 All Time High (ATH) made on May 10 2021. It was a similar Higher Lows rally that led to the ATH as this year's dashed Higher Lows Support. The current bullish leg has completed +80% since the last Higher Low, similar to the February 27 High (+79%). Ahead of a 1D Golden Cross, this strong Resistance combination (+80% and ATH) calls for a technical pull-back. In the last 4 years, the minimum such correction has been -12.93%. A decline repeat of such magnitude gives us a 167.50 target, exactly on the Higher Low trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
RUS:MOEXShort
by TradingShot
2
IMOEX Marco technical - One more massive correction or...? My macro work on Russian MOEX Index illustrates how ElliotWave in conjunction with major fibonacci retracements can be useful in providing the context or the operational frame work for every investor and trader to operate and execute one's strategy. Starting from the market Oct'98, we may observe how the price structure has accurately finished its cyclical five wave move lasting almost exactly 23 years to Nov'21 finishing its run just 2.5% bellow an proper (though extended) target for the cyclical wave "V". The EW theory, first elaborated by Ralph Nelson Elliott in 1930s, and later perfected to the most practical investing/trading principals by Avi Gilburt from elliottwavetrader.net, states that most of corrective structures develop in three waves: A-B-C. After finishing what I consider to be first cyclical macro five wave advance in Nov21, the price moved into deep and abrupt correction, straight to the ideal golden ratio (0.618) support zone where it is most typical for any correction (macro and micro) to establish a bottom. That was not particular to average character of the three wave corrective structures (being so abrupt), but the support parameters were met. Never the less in my global technical thesis, I still lean towards the macro correction from the Nov'21 highs NOT being complete and the price is yet to start its third wave decline to 1650 (double bottom) or even 930 zone. I am 55/45 on that regard. That being sad, I cannot completely rule out the possibility of price to have established long-term macro bottom on Feb22 and that we may be already in the very early process of the new (generational?) bull-cycle. As strange as it may sound in today's global political landscape, new macro generational potential for IMOEX, could be very much considered in the realms of several important circumstances happing in Russia: 1. Currency devaluation (bullish for equities); 2. Inflation (typically bullish for equities); 3. Internal barriers to withdraw capital (indirectly bullish); 4. Redomiciliation of large corporations and their capital; 5. Record interest of citizen to local stock market, resulting in record breaking numbers of new accounts opening on Moscow Stock Exchange. 6. Perspective budget deficit that will result in point #1 (bullish for stock) Macro parameter to differentaite between Macro-Bearish and Macro-Bullish scenarios is simple: until price is bellow 3700 area, macro-bearish case cannot be rule-out. The Mid/Short-Term Analysis Until price decisively breaks 2800, I cannot consider the mid-term bullish advance in either cycle wave "B" (macro bearish case), or wave (3) (in generational-bullish case) toped and expect at least one more wave up to 3370-3650 area in Q4 or Q1'24. It is yet early to consider that price has finished its Sep's correction at 3000 area and until price is bellow 3220 resistance zone, I expect one more decline to 2800. If price moves above 3200, than I will shift to yellow/green alt. scenario that wave 4 correction has finished and the price is on its wave to new 2023 highs.
RUS:IRUSLong
by artemfedorov
Russian Gas monopolist is facing it's downfall?☝️What happened? After taking decision not to pay dividents this year, Gazprom stock dropped almost 40% in the moment. ☝️Why they didn't pay dividents? Also, prices on gas soared up high, company still decided that it needs spare money in case of unpredictable future problems. There is a theory that one of such problems could be complete stop of gas supply to europe that russian government can take in the near future. ☝️What's next? From technical point of view we formed triangle and as volatility gets lower, it more likely that we will break it down and fall more. I want to remind you that currently Gazprom doesn't supply gas to Europe as they are completing planned technical services until 22.07. I expect further fall to the closest strong level at 160.00 What do you think of this idea? What is your opinion? Share it in the comments📄🖌 If you like the idea, please give it a like. This is the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profit in parts. Withdraw profits in fiat and reward yourself and your loved ones
RUS:GAZPShort
by Artem_Dishel
8
MOEX reopens after 1 month haltedImportant restrictions as Moscow's Exchange reopens 4 hours a day: - Short-selling banned - Selling of shares banned for foreign investors - Only 33 stocks available for trading After being halted for 1 month, the Russian market reopens with important restrictions. Also, many institutional brokers from the EU and other NATO countries banned trading on Russian assets. From the technical analysis perspective, it's impossible to assess accurate price movement with so many restrictions and market manipulation by the Russian Federal Bank that is trying to avoid a market crash. So far, the measures have been successful and the aim is to keep holding the market until this crisis is resolved. The downtrend though, it's still there with an important resistance line, even with short-selling banned and other restrictions, Russian investors could panic and sell at market. This is absolutely historic.
RUS:IRUS
by alvaromroo
1
MOEX Russia Index reopens after one month Short-selling on stocks are banned. Foreign investors can`t sell stocks or OFZ ruble bonds until April 1. i think that is the reason why it went up +4.37% today. The index is now $2578 while in the Covid lockdown it went to $2080. And the world was at peace back then. I don`t see how the price of the index wouldn`t touch the $2080 level again. In fact, if the trading restrictions will be lifted after April 1st, then i think it can go down to $1550 and $1220 eventually.
RUS:IRUSShort
by TopgOptions