Momentumstrategy
4H/1H AUD/CAD POSSIBLE TO SELL MOMENTUMThis is my outlook at AUD/CAD will be an momentum to go short because there are several reason.
1. The price reject the resistance level and now will be come back to the bottom.
2. There are several news on Tuesday, June 21 2022 and my analysis, the price will go down for a long time.
This is my analysis rn, i hope it will happened as i see.
WATCH $MMCBearish
Fundamental
- Funds are distributing
- Top industry group
- Top position in sector
- Positive returns
- Negative PEG
TA
- Bearish divergence on the momentum theory indicator
- Momentum is diving
- Long pin bar rejection
- Price broke 2 years upward trend line
- Double tops
- Price below neckline major S/R
REVIEW $ABBBearish
Fundamental
- Funds distributing
- Weak industry group
- Not sector leader
- Decent earning
TA
- Price rejected 2 years upward trend line
- Double tops formed
- Momentum theory forming bearish divergence ( first sign of warning )
- Price rebound at 0.5-0.6 fibo = strong trend to the downside
- Price falls below double top neck line
REVIEW $TAIEXBearish
Fundamental
- $Taiex bigcap are mostly semi-con whereby most are over-valued during the pandemic
- Now that demand are declining, there will be a surplus of supply > demand and looking at the coming recession / stagflation in the US. Taiwan being US semi-con partner. It will not go well with the GDP
TA
- Broke of major upward trend losing momentum
- Form a rising wedge and broke down
- Divergence in momentum theory indicator
- Price did a rebound and unable to clear 0.5 fibo goes to show that this down trend is pretty strong
Love Taiwan
But will see a big decline in their economy in the coming 2-3 years. It will show in the country GDP as a big part of their economy depends on Semi-con
WATCH $PWRBEARISH
Fundamental
- Funds have been distributing
- Negative P/FCF
- Negative PEG
- Overvalued
TA
- Momentum Theory divergence on the way up ( clear sign of pump dump )
BULLISH
- Top industry
- Leader in its group
- Still within uptrend channel
* will wait for more confluences before entry trigger !
Watch $ABCL Potential Inverse H&S formationBullish
- Stage 1
- Decent sector position within 50%
- No longer making lower lows on the weekly
- Broke out of downward trend line
- Potential inverse H&S formation
- Gaining momentum on the upside seen on the Momentum Theory Indicator
- Smart money have been accumulating
- Decent sales
Bearish
- Great if better P/FCF ratio
- Great if lower PEG ratio
- Bearish macro environment
Entry trigger : For members only