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Momentumstrategy

thenexxtrade Alpha portfolio Annualized Return : 17.9% Sharpe Ratio : 1.27 Sortino Ratio : 2.67 Max DD : -11.4% Volatility : 10.5% In October 2023, we want to update you on our current investment strategy. We've been maintaining an 80% cash position over the past few months, a decision you can verify by visiting our Twitter account. Our approach involves rebalancing on a monthly basis, steering clear of shorter time frames that often resemble gambling. We're integrating the returns generated by our proprietary system, compounding our gains with the alpha it produces. Watch this space. We will bark when it time to allocate 100%. Those who said don't time the market are those without the Alpha.
AMEX:SPY
by nexxtrade
Unlocking GBPUSD Bearish Potential: Triangle Breakdown📉🔒Traders, brace yourselves for an intriguing setup on the 1-hour timeframe for GBP/USD that you can't afford to miss: 📌 Technical Analysis Highlights 📌 🔽 Descending Triangle Breakout: The recent price action has delivered a convincing breakout from a descending triangle pattern, laying the foundation for a trend continuation setup. 📈 Moving Average Resistance: To further bolster the case for a trend continuation, the moving average is acting as a steadfast resistance, combining forces with the descending triangle breakdown. 📈 Trade Strategy 📈 This setup isn't just an opportunity; it's a smart move in line with the prevailing trend. Trading with the trend is consistently more rewarding than attempting countertrend strategies. 💼 Risk Management: Mitigate risk effectively by placing your stop loss above the resistance zone. 🎯 Take Profit Targets 🎯 1️⃣ First Target: 1.21350 2️⃣ Ultimate Target: 1.20500 Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if you want more qualitative insights like this one 🌊🚀
Short
by Thomas_Zito
🐻📉 GBPUSD Alert! Head and Shoulders Pattern(ultra bearish)📉🐻🚨 Brace yourselves for a trend reversal! The GBPUSD forex pair is showing a compelling bearish setup with the formation of a head and shoulders pattern. This classic yet highly reliable pattern has a proven track record of success. Technically, the head and shoulders pattern materializes as the price forms a lower high and breaks through the initial support level, transforming it into a formidable resistance. This signifies a shift in the market sentiment and sets the stage for a potential downtrend. Excitingly, we are now witnessing a crucial development in this setup. The neckline of the pattern has been broken, followed by a successful retest. This presents us with an excellent opportunity to join the ongoing bearish momentum and capitalize on the potential downward move. Our target for this bearish trade will be around 1.20500 with several take profits along the way, aligning with the expected continuation of the downtrend. Stay ahead of the game and make the most of this bearish breakout on GBPUSD! 📉💪 Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🚀
Short
by Thomas_Zito
8
Advanced Analysic for GBPAUD! BUY HERE!My analysis of the GBPAUD forex pair is as follows: Market Structure: I have identified the MINOR wave structure, marked in BLUE on the chart. The corrective wave structure, labeled 0A-BC and marked in RED, is also evident. By employing additional techniques, I anticipate that the correction will conclude at the designated point C. Price Action Momentum Channel: On the chart, I've identified a bearish momentum channel. I anticipate that the price will reach the lower boundary of this channel, and this could present an opportunity for buyers to enter the market. Fibonacci Analysis: I've identified significant price reaction zones using Fibonacci analysis. In conjunction with other analytical methods, I predict that the price will react notably at two critical levels, particularly in the presence of substantial economic news. SUPPLY & DEMAND BLUE MINOR STRUCTURE: ~ Fibonacci 0.618 reversal. Other Secrect analysic. Thank you for considering this analysis.
Long
by KC_Trader77
Eurusd New Month .. New Lows to 1.07? 🛎️Traders! (≖_≖ ) we haven't seen a steady trend like this with 7 weeks of the same candles since June 2020. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:35 Weekly timeframe 5:13 Daily timeframe 7:25 4hr timeframe 9:46 1hr timeframe 11:30 Bias Hello traders. Yes, we did just create a daily support today at 1.0773. However, this support was created during a Bank Holiday and if you've hung around the block long enough in forex you know that Bank Holiday's have low volume and we should acknowledge them accordingly. If we do end up curling back to the upside here on Eurusd we do have 2 clean ranges on the 1hr and 4hr timeframes so long as we get above 1.08. With that said, the market is not random and we must act accordingly as we may coninue to descend into the depths below as we have been for nearly 2 months now. It is important to be flexible at times this . Bulls and Bear got thrown around last week with a early in the week Bullside push followed by a continuation of higher timeframe momentum to end the week, that also coincided with decent NFP data that was released better than expected. It is possible that we will soon touch into the next daily support level 1.0744. Momentum is still prevalent and so we must allot to it our due diligence.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
📈🚀 Seize the Moment: Epic Buying Opportunity on S&P 500! 📈🚀Hey traders, get ready to ride the wave of profits with an exciting setup on the S&P 500! 🌊📊 A golden opportunity has surfaced, and it's time to capitalize on a potential bullish rally. In the 4-hour timeframe, we're witnessing the stars aligning for a buying spree that could lead us straight to the coveted 4570 target. 🎯🦅 The Double Bottom Delight: Hold tight as the price action unveils a mesmerizing double bottom formation. This pattern is like a green light for bullish momentum, signaling a potential upward surge. 🚀 The beauty lies in the symmetry, and we're ready to ride this pattern to its fullest potential. Harmonic Bat Pattern: Point D in Sight! 🦇🎯 Prepare for some harmonic magic! The stars of the show are aligning as we approach the mesmerizing point D of the harmonic bat pattern at 4570. Brace yourself for a journey towards this target, riding the wave of pattern completion and potential profits. Candlestick pattern: Doji Breakout! 🕯️🚀 The magic continues with a "long-legged Doji" candlestick, signaling a breakout like no other. This is the ultimate call to action – a signal to buy this dip and ride the upward momentum. 📈🕯️ Moving Average Mastery: Crossover Confirmation! 📈✨ Get ready for a symphony of confirmation! The moving averages are about to cross over, a sign that amplifies our scenario. This crossover is like a nod from the universe, signaling that it's time to jump on board and enjoy the ride. MACD Marvel: Bullish Momentum Amplified! 🚀💥 The MACD indicator joins the party, forming a fresh crossover to the upside. This is the stamp of approval we've been waiting for – a clear signal that bullish momentum is skyrocketing. 📈💪 The Game Plan: Entry: Buy around 4420 Stop Loss: Below 4407 Target: 4470 (with partial profit-taking along the way) Remember, smart trading involves not only the entry but also the exit strategy. Keep an eye on those partial profit-taking points as we journey towards the 4470 target. 🎯💰 Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🌊🚀
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Thomas_Zito
16
Weekly Candle closure suggests Upside / AudJpy 🛩️Hello Traders! A different post today as we are talking about AudJpy when we usually share our thoughts on EurUsd. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:53 Weekly timeframe 6:35 Daily timeframe 8:52 4hr timeframe 12:30 1hr timeframe Yen pairs have a bit of a different personaility then when it comes to trading Eurusd. The moves can be alot more harsh and unrelenting. For example trading a yen pair it may be the case that we don't recieve a retest when in the process of breaking out. Versus on Eurusd we may see a retest and price will respect level's in a more clean fashion. AudJpy previous weekly candle closed bullish above the previous weekly resistance level created during the 2nd week of August at 94.107. This confirms a change to bullish market structure and potential upside this week back to 94.69 Daily resistance zone and 95 4hr resistance zone. Our previous weekly resistance level at 94.119 which we closed above last week may now turn into a weekly support level and facilitate a move to the upside. Other key level's include Daily support level 93.559, and 4hr support level's 93.9 and 93.73. Aud Interest rates have been increasing since May 2022 but observing the Weekly timeframe, not much has happened with regard to the strength of the AUD on this pair. Interest rates are anticipated to be released tomorrow 4 hours after asian session open and it may act as a catalyst to observe a continuation back up towards structural highs at 95. Otherwise we may observe a decrease back towards 93.559 and a failed breakout to the upside on the Daily/Weekly timeframes.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Messy Monthly Candle close😾🐱Just look at this ruthless pullback breaking hearts during this monthly candle close. 0:0 Monthly Timeframe and previous Long Call 2:14 Weekly timeframe 3:34 Daily timeframe 7:10 4hr timeframe 9:50 1Hr timeframe 12:01 Fundamentals If you've been around long enough, you would understand that the monthly candle close in forex can be tricky. Price pulled up during this previous daily candle close and that was probably the most straightforward move in the market that've I've seen in months. The 1.086 move towards 1.093 was very easy to anticpate. That was like the 1 trade a month sort of trade. Tbh I don't see a whole lot occuring prior to NFP data during friday NY session. We've already moved up a decent amount on the week. Tbh we've already hit my Weekly bullish targets being 1.093 and 1.09. With NFP, ohh mann, what a wild close to the week if we retrace towards 1.10 with a continued sentiment , Risk on , Sell USD
by ShrewdCatfx
📉 Seizing Opportunity: USDCAD 1H Double Top Breakdown 📉USDCAD presents a compelling selling chance! 🛑 A prominent double top formation has emerged, punctuated by a neckline breach, a successful retest, and a resounding rejection at this pivotal juncture. The stars align for a favorable entry to ride the downside momentum. 🧭 Leveraging the strength of the moving average and neckline, there is a confluence of resistances to strategically position our stop loss above above 1.35770 and trade safely. 🎯 Aiming for success, my take profit is located at 1.34200, while my target lies at 1.34700. Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🌊🚀
Short
by Thomas_Zito
9
Eurusd Momentum 🐻-> Probabilities Suggest Flexibility over the Rigid Ego wins. Trading with the trend Eurusd? 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:35 Weekly timeframe 4:50 Daily timeframe 6:30 4hr timeframe 7:36 1Hr timeframe Hey everyone. A new week and a new opportunity to master our emotions and skills in the markets. Experience suggests to me that we will sell a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. However, and similar to last week we may see a 30 pips - 70 pips pullback prior to a push towards Daily support level 1.07455 and Weekly support level 1.07. Those are my weekly targets for Eurusd. If Eurusd decides it's a week to pullback then we may observe an increase back towards Daily resistance level at 1.0895. Otherwise, we sit in a range right now between 4hr support 1.07941 and 4hr resistance 1.08161. Be adaptable and flexible with regard to a change in market conditions. If we do decide to do a continuation to the support level's mentioned above, be ready to hold on to some runners to maximize profits. No Red folders news to begin the week here on monday.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
NVDA ~ Long-Term Buyers ZoneNvidia ~ A beast of a company & Leader in the Semi-Conductors and Computer industry NVDA Stock has fallen nearly 60% with the recent market downturn. Nvidia has came to levels now attractive to buyers and is finding some Long-Term Support dating back to TrendLines from Years ago & Previous Resistance Zone in the Fall / Winter of 2020/2021. Though Nvidia had some bad news recently which has pushed it further in to this zone, long term outlook from the company has not changed one bit. As the Price of NVDA falls the value behind the stock only increases, with the p/e falling to near 35. Earnings are continuously growing annually, and this company is a monster in Tech. Long Term outlook here is strong, and the Risk/Reward near these levels are optimal for Long-Term investors. If NVDA Breaks Below its current demand Zone which I expect it to consolidate in, we could see a run down to $100 and then Pre-Pandemic Levels. TTM_Squeeze also indicates bearish momentum fading on the stock. Overall, my thesis for NVDA Long-Term (3-5 years) is strong and bullish for new fresh ATHs.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ZachSap
1
Inherent risks in selling the Low/Psychology Supersedes🔨 Not already positioned ? then careful about sharp liquidity grabs 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:54 Weekly timeframe 3:26 Daily timeframe 6:02 4hr timeframe 9:40 1hr timeframe I've found that often times in the market the best thing to do is often the hardest thing to. Going against human nature is not an easy task. It take time months if not years of consistent conditioning to master this concept. Thinking about where other market participants are positoned can contribute to your edge in the market. With all this said, we currently have clean traffic on the Daily and 4hr down to 1.0747 Daily support zone. I've been talking about this price point for weeks (go back on my publishings) ever since the July monthly candle failed to close above 1.1025 key level. This bias was confirmed when Inflation data failed to be the catalyst to take us above 1.1025. I wouldn't be surprised to see a harsh correction with London prior to a continuation of towards 1.0747 which we will tap into today or next week probabilities suggest.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
4
Engulfing candles = ⬆️ Probabilities of MomentumZooming out and observing EU price behavior so far thus year, we discover that each time the Exchange rate pulls back down, it begins to turn back to the upside at about 500 Pips 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:14 Weekly timeframe 3:52 Daily timeframe 8:50 4hr timeframe 13:35 1hr timeframe Hey Everyone, a longer analysis today. Omg it took me like nearly 2 hours to upload this one today after having issues with uploading due to internet connection. Hope you enjoy have a good trading day. In the previous publishing, I was anticipating EU to rise from 1.088 back to 1.09 before contiuing the downward trend. Why 1.09 you may ask? Well 1.09 is the weekly support level created in June/July . The weekly candle last week failed to respect this 1.09 weekly support level. In the market, Support level's become Resistance level's and vice versa. So knowing this, I was able to captilize on the downside push today and was not surprised to see it occur. Observing the daily candle today, we can see that the Daily candle closed below our daily support level at 1.0853. Similarly, we now may anticpate this previous support level to now faciliate a selloff and continuation to the downside. Because I enjoy following the trend. You can be a contrarian, and that is fitting to some personalities. The Daily candle signaled quite a strong selloff after it hit the previous daily candle highs, grabbed liquidity , then teared lower & breaking hearts finishing the day down .45% and closing below all candles to the left hand side. 1.07452 or 1.07 asking too much by end of August Eurusd?
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
All moves to the upside are --> Relief Rallies? 🤨Market sentiment people, that's what we are trading at this point. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:05 weekly timeframe 3:30 Daily timeframe 5:50 4hr timeframe 9:11 1hr timeframe 11:40 recap of recent trade Combining technicals and fundamentals. Technicals clued us in the last few days of July. Fundamentals confirmed out thoughts on Aug 10th. The market is trending to the downside. Do you think we have more to give? Probabilities are there but you can be right and still lose. Waiting on confirmation after a retracement to 1.09 weekly level would be most ideal but we might just drop without a retest. I think it's possible that we can probe further into the daily support zone at 1.0853 Critical thinking and rational has helped me be on the right side since late July. Check the publishing linked below from July 31st.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Looking 2 weeks out / EurusdThe Weekly candle last friday closed below 1.1024. After today July 31st, we can also observe the monthly candle just closed below 1.1024. The monthly candle left a very large top wick but ultimately closed below 1.1024. 1.1024 is our May Monthly resistance zone as well as our weekly resistance zone. The market has now confirmed a fakeout on the Daily timefrmae and has created a resistance with the most recent Daily bearish candle. The Bearish candle retested and rejected the top of the range being 1.1024. I'm anticpating that Eurusd will now head towards the bottom of the range around 1.09 weekly support level and 1.085 daily support level.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
5
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 10/08/2023BUY ABOVE - 19620 SL - 19580 TARGETS - 19680,19730,19765 SELL BELOW - 19580 SL - 19620 TARGETS - 19530,19470,19430 MAJOR TREND LINE BREAKOUT Completed.... personally I'm Expecting nifty gives a big up move Previous Day High - 19620 Previous Day Low - 195470 Watch that major trend line... after breakout that trend line only we can expect buying chance in the market I am sharing NIFTY levels this levels acts as important support & resistance for intraday. if you want to trade with this levels wait for 15 min Candle closing above that levels. You can trade with breakout and reversal both. In this channel, I share my expertise in trading strategies, technical analysis, and market trends to help you make informed decisions in your trading ventures. Stay tuned for daily updates, in-depth market analyses, and real-time trading scenarios to witness firsthand how we transform from Zero to Hero in the trading world. My Only aim is to empower you with the knowledge and skills necessary to navigate the complexities of the financial markets successfully. Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:NIFTY
by Jagadheesh_JP
14
BANK NIFTY ANALYSIS FOR 10/08/2023BUY ABOVE - 45100 SL - 44930 TARGETS - 45270,45470,45630 SELL BELOW - 44770 SL - 44900 TARGETS - 44550,44280,44070 I am sharing BANK NIFTY levels this levels acts as important support & resistance for intraday. if you want to trade with this levels wait for 15 min Candle closing above that levels. You can trade with breakout and reversal both. In this channel, I share my expertise in trading strategies, technical analysis, and market trends to help you make informed decisions in your trading ventures. Stay tuned for daily updates, in-depth market analyses, and real-time trading scenarios to witness firsthand how we transform from Zero to Hero in the trading world. My Only aim is to empower you with the knowledge and skills necessary to navigate the complexities of the financial markets successfully. Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day. Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move. Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Jagadheesh_JP
Fortinet FTNT Overreaction - What now?Slightly after earnings Fortinet Gapped down. Which are my favorite kind of stocks to trade because 9 times out of 10 Gaps close. Fortinet had many analyst reiterate Bullish price targets some up to $70. I'm looking for a retest at $60. Forecasting out to nov 2nd. The next earnings should be interesting. Williams, MACD, & RSI are all showing Oversold in this situation. This could be a solid entry for someone to start a small position. This is not financial advice. Trade Responsible, #TradeTheWave 🏄🏽‍♂️🌊
NASDAQ:FTNTLong
by FinesseTheWave
VALE a junior miner can rise on the Gold bullrunNYSE:VALE as a junior miner could be reaosnably expected to follow spot gold. The bottom line is quite simple. With fixed costs to mine gold, VALE can easily expect to increase its margins when stop gold rises will above the breakeven on a spreadsheet. The 2H chart shows price has descended into the support of the long term anchored mean anchored VWAP line after a VWAP breakdown. The PMO and ZL MACD are confirmatory for a consolidation sitting on dynamic support. Overall, the analysis is that of VALE setup to make a reversal for a bullish move reflecting the gold run at large. I will take this trade long now.
NYSE:VALELong
by AwesomeAvani
2