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Momentumstrategy

27.5$ Top Wick and 25$ Candle Body 🫣 -> Rejection of HighsEthereum is Creating Lowr Lows and Lower Highs as it descends away from our Weekly Supply level $1,915. Price ran into th Weekly Supply level last wednesday and ever since then we have been unable to identify a push to create a Higher high on the Intraday timeframes. Instead price is retracing and it appears to be stepping down stairs in a calculated fashion. As the Monthly candle comes to a close price, we will be able to identify a bearish candle if price closes below $1,873. Price would have to increase +1.6% from the current price to end Break even on the month. If the Monthly candle closes bearish then Bears have established a Resistance. We may then anticipate further downside to fill at least part of the previous monthly candle's bottom wick with momentum carried over. This is the idea behind this Short publishing. First TP $1,828 Daily Support Level 2nd TP $1,800 Psychological Level 3rd TP $1,723$ Weekly Support Level Monthly timeframe Outlook : Idea is that we will go to fill at least part of this month's bottom wick with momentum carried over to the next monthly candle
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
Eurusd ; more downside squeeze? 💀The Monthly candle has been pulling back from monthly resistance at 1.10255 since intitially tapping into it last Thursday. The Weekly candle is bearish and is rejecting weekly resistance zone 1.094. The Daily timeframe has confirmed a bearish breakout to the downside since it recently closed below Daily support level 1.0891. This Daily support level has now tunred into a Daily S/R Zone and may act as a resistance area for more downside potential. As stated on Tuesday's publishing " Momentum from Last week , Eurusd whats cooking? " I mentioned this statement --> "Downside target for week is 1.081 4Hr Support zone" . This would be 51 pip drop from the current daily candle and similar to the 49 pips drop that we saw today with GDP and unemployment claims data. Tomorrow we have Core PCE data. Now A few things could happen. 1) We move up prior to news then drop with news 2) We move down to our weekly target 1.081 before news and then shoot up with news 3) We consolidate, then increase back into the Daily range between 1.0891 Support and 1.096 Resistance with bad USD PCE data tomorrow. ** Also we must be aware that the monhtly candle is coming to a close. This could cause some very irrational volatility. It's the end of the week as well. It could be a freaky friday. I'm lowering size and wider SL. I may not even trade we'll see.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Momentum from last week ↘️ // Eurusd what's cooking? 👨‍🍳We have a fair share of news events this week to shake things up. These news events will be a catlayst for a coniuation of momentum or the cause for a reversal in the short term here. Now the Monthly candle is closing at the end of this week and we must keep in mind that it is closing bullish. I don't anticipate this weekly candle to drop 222 pips but it's not impossible. The Weekly candle from last week closed bearish rejecting Daily Resistance Zone 1.098 and Weekly resistance zone 1.1024. The top wick rejection was larger than the body of the candle denoting a good amount of sell pressure on Eurusd. The Friday daily candle closed bearish taking out all the lows from earlier in the week. Ideally for this week we would like to see the previous weekly candle's bottom wick (Approximately 48 pips ) be filled with momentum carried over from the prior week. 1.09160 is a Daily and 4hr S/R Level and may act as an area for price to distribute and take us to lower prices. If price gets a close above there we have clean traffic back up to 1.09564 4hr resistance zone. Otherwise if price can get a solid candle close below 1.08845 4hr Support zone then we have a nice 30 pip clean traffic range to decrease back to the low of last week at 1.0848 4hr Zone. Downside target for week is 1.081 4Hr Support zone If wrong, then expecting a range and possible eventual increase back to highs at 1.09875 Daily Resistance Zone.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Momentum Points South 🐻 We can observe the 4hr candle jsut closed below 1.0882 4Hr support Zone. Price also doesn't seem to care too much about our Daily support level 1.08915. Price retraced during London Session and gathered some liquidity while touching into weekly level 1.094 before coinciding with a drop with better than expected USD news. Also upon the 4hr candle close, it printed an engulfing candle and a siginficant top wick. All signs are screaming more downside to come. It may be after a deeper retrace to around 1.0882 and 1.08915 area but probabilities suggest lower prices to 1.0847 4hr support zone. This zone also happens to be the previous weekly candle bottom wick that we are now going to fill with momentum leftover from last week? we'll see if we get the push and fill the 33 pip range with clean traffic to the left down to 1.0847.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Ethereum Short at the Lows 🏴 (More Risky) / Momentum ↘️This Short Idea begins at a 1Hr Support Zone & let me explain my thoughts. The Idea for the trade stems from the fact that the Weekly candle is Bearish. Daily candle is bearish. 4Hr Market Structure is bearish and descending away from our Weekly Supply level at $1,915 ( Published in a previous idea). We are shorting the breakout to the downside in anticipation that the Daily candle will continue to pull down into the close of the candle in 5 Hours. We have clean candles to the left /clean traffic on the 1Hr timeframe down to $1,816. 2 Ways to approach this. 1) Short at the lows anticipating volume to come into the market as we transition into the new daily candle. 2) Wait for a pullback to what was our Daily support level and may now because a Resistance level at $1,860$.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
💭 Daily Tf Key Level plays Important Role ( 1.0918 )This week 1.0918 Daily Support/Resistance Zone will likely play an important role in the direction of this week's price behavior. This was a Major Support during last week's price action may very well act as a resistance level for the new week's price action. The new weekly candle gapped up but at the end of New York trading we can observe a hold of 1.0918 Daily S/R Zone. We are currently in a tight range to begin the week between this mentioned level and the 4hr support zone 1.0886. If Sellers fail to hold below 1.09180 then entry upon break and retest above it with targets at 1.0958 4hr Zone and the previous week's high at daily resistance zone 1.0986. Otherwise with Sells here we may continue to anticpate momentum to return to the downside. Our weekly target for sells remains at 1.081. More Analysis : Started off the week taking Sells from our Daily S/R Zone 1.0918 . Earned +.5% on the account about after commissions. It turned out to be the high of the day. Being pro-active with your trading plays an important role in profitability. Trade where it is most uncomfortable and you will likely see your results improve. Not Financial advice this has been and will always be education.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
Eurusd Shaking out Weak hands?Trading is not complicated once you have a good understanding of whatever your technical approach is to the markets. After that good understanding is achieved you will have reasonable expectations about where price can go and will rarely be surprised. However, trading can become difficult when you throw trading psychology in the mix. Positive trading psychology is the sum of your mindset, discipline, and patience. This is why it's the most fragile and significant portion of your bottom line. Listening to the great traders and reading about their stories it's often mentioned as the most important piece of the puzzle when it comes to long term & consistent returns. It requires inner reflection and a good amount of attention from time to time. I have run into one of these occasions as I have strayed from my bread and butter. I have nonetheless created a rule on my trading plan to save me from any future occasions.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
A different way to identify momentum with MACD (BABA)Before coming up with this idea I asked myself the following question: is there a way to visualize whether sellers or buyers are in control during a certain move/period of stock price action? In order to achieve this, I decided to connect the moves with the associated changes on the MACD histogram bars and try to plot the "area's" on the Histogram bars as a form of "accumulative momentum". With BABA, it can be seen seen that a "change of character" has occurred since march of 2022 where for the first time the area above the 0 line between the histogram bars became larger than the area below it. Is this further evidence that the stock has been in accumulation mode ever since? Time will tell!
NYSE:BABALong
by NQunlocked
3
Olema Pharmaceuticals: Enjoy!Olema is currently developing a "cancer" drug that suppresses the body's production of Estrogen. Now this could be useful for breast cancer treatment but the real target audience, in my opinion, is hormone replacement therapy for gender transition. I don't necessarily endorse this kind of product but given the corporate and governmental policies surrounding the issue, I believe it could definitely be a very good financial opportunity. I charted this about a month ago and it has moved even more aggressively than I expected. This could be because this type of product, I imagine, would have to be developed under the current administration. Olema Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery and development of targeted therapies for women's cancers. It also focuses on developing therapies for the treatment of breast cancer. Olema Pharmaceuticals was founded by Cyrus L. Harmon and Peter J. Kushner on August 7, 2006 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA. The listed name for OLMA is Olema Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
NASDAQ:OLMALong
by Goontata84
🪙📉 Gold: Double Top Breakdown - Get Ready for a Bearish Ride! Attention, traders! We have an enticing bearish setup in the Gold market on the daily timeframe. The key to this setup lies in the formation of the double top pattern, where price establishes two prominent peaks at approximately the same level. This pattern serves as a robust bearish reversal signal, indicating a potential downtrend ahead. As price stagnated below the neckline, which acted as a strong resistance, the bearish sentiment intensified. During this period of consolidation, a trend continuation triangle has taken shape. This triangle formation further reinforces the bearish bias, suggesting that the downtrend is likely to continue. As traders, we can leverage this setup and seek opportunities to profit from the downward movement. Looking at the indicators, the moving averages continue to show a bearish momentum. These averages not only act as resistance levels but also validate the bearish bias. The convergence of these factors further supports the bearish outlook, providing additional conviction for traders to consider entering a short position on Gold. With all these elements in place, it's time to seize the moment and enter a short position on Gold. The initial take profit level can be set around 1910, where we can secure partial profits and capitalize on the downward momentum. However, our ultimate target lies around the 1855 area, aiming to capture the potential continuation of the downtrend. As you navigate this trade, remember to take significant profits when approaching the target area, as it represents a crucial support zone. Please respect money management, dont place more than 2% on that trade also. Lets trade the trend ! happy trading !📉🪙 And don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🚀💪
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Thomas_Zito
8
Bullish Flag pattern 🏺Anticipating Eurusd Bulls to arrive sometime midweek during Powell's speeches. It's simply too difficult for me to not imagine some resurgence of bulls and Market optimism with risk-on buying back up to the 1.096 1Hr Zone Highs from the previous week. The Monthly candle has 11 days left in it and is now a solid bullish candle. I'm anticipating an upside push after a +1% Bullish weekly candle on Eurusd. It was a rather large weekly engulfing last week that was printed and the largest bullish close on said timeframe since the 2nd week of the year. As stated in the May 24th publishing and roughly 1 month ago, " Bull targets for the month of June are - a return to 1.1024 weekly level - a push towards 1.14655 Weekly level. " This remains as we have 9 trading day's remaining in June 23'. It is quite possible we may just range for some time before probing more towards the weekly level 1.1024. Must plan for Bullish and Bearish scenarios. Our most recent Daily S/R Zone stands at 1.0781. It is possible we may go back and test here but like this to be the least probable. Have a great trading week following the probabilities. Also cutting your losses short and letting your profits run. Bearish Target on Week 1.08146 Bullish Target on Week 1.10
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
News Speeches Stir the pot 🕊️// Eurusd We would like to see the Daily candle close above 1.0945 as this will confirm a breakout to the upside. The candle at that point will close above the daily resistance zone created by last friday's daily candle. The idea is that we have momentum leftover from last week and will see the curretn weekly candle push deeper into the Daily/Weekly zones above. Wild trading day for me but besides that Eurusd has seen a resurgence of bullish volume that we were anticipating after last weeks Weekly candle closure. We were anticipating a continuation of momentum this week and I mentnioned in my previous Eurusd publishing that we may pullback and conolisdate early in the week as the markets sets up. The market needs time to gather liquidity before it makes significant moves. It does that by causing alot of volatility and commotion in the short term in order to get traders on tilt and stir up the pot. Moving forward I'm looking towards a retest of the extreme 1Hr Zone 1.096 and eventually an increase to the next daily resistance level 1.0982 during the next london session.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Range until Upside on Thursday 📞Eurusd did quite a nice job of Holding 4hr support zone 1.09132. We are currently in a range with the resistance at 1.094. The Daily resistance level at 1.0945 held quite well during tuesday's London session. The NY session 4hr candle on Tuesday wicked beneath 4Hr support 1.09132 -> 15-18 some odd pips but closed back inside after buyers showed up and said not today. It is not odd to see the market pullback against the trend from the previous week on Monday/Tuesday as it has done here. The Size of the current " Bearish push" has been 1/8 the size of the Bullish push from the previous week. During the upcoming sessions I can observe a retest of 1.094 4Hr Resistance zone. We have 2 upcoming red folder speeches by Fed chair Jerome Powell which will impact USD strength. Unemployment claims on Thursday and Manufacturing data on Friday to wrap up the week. Unemployment data is supposed to be about flat from the prior week which I see as favorable for a continued ascent on Eurusd Weekly timeframe. Manufacturing data on Friday is forecasted to be mixed. Thinking we can give a good push back to the highs 1.096 1Hr Zone prior to red folder news on friday. The Market Moves Major pips on thursday's. This is because early on in the week the market is setting up. It's setting up for the trend move later on in the week. The Week Matures around Wednesday and Thursday. These are the days when it is especially a good idea to " Let your winners run" .
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD to make its 4H higher highI believe the daily momentum for this pair is still bullish. The 4H retraced to the 38.2% fib and presented a Volume bullish engulfing on top of a trendline . While I do believe the Euro is getting weaker, one more higher high or bullish push would make perfect sense considering the fact that its beneath a major resistance and had been rejected there prior. Its approaching an untested breakout zone while these daily candles aren't very strong.
Long
by DesharedPierreJr.
🐂📈 Seizing the Double Bottom: GBPUSD Bulls Ready to Charge! Our journey begins with the formation of a double bottom pattern, a powerful reversal pattern signaling a shift in market sentiment. Now, as price prepares to break the neckline, a prime opportunity arises to enter a long position with a tight stop loss. Keep a close watch for inside bar breakouts, where candlestick patterns offer a clear entry signal. Adding strength to this setup, the exponential moving averages (EMAs) are acting as solid support levels, with a potential crossover imminent. This convergence of technical indicators reinforces the security of our bullish thesis. But that's not all! Yesterday's bullish news on Sterling has further strengthened the probability of a bullish scenario. The release of the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) revealed positive figures, indicating a robust economic performance for the UK. This positive development adds to the fundamental support for a potential rally in GBPUSD. Profit targets are a crucial aspect of any successful trade. In this case, I suggest taking partial profits when price reaches the neckline, located at 1.24500. This level holds significance and may introduce some resistance. However, our ultimate target aligns with the completion of a harmonic bat pattern, specifically point D, projected to be around 1.25200. Harmonic patterns offer valuable insights into potential price movements, enhancing the probability of a successful trade. Keeping an eye on the broader picture, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) further bolsters our bullish stance. Breaking above the 50 level and sustaining around this zone, the RSI indicates a continuation of the rally, supporting the case for an upward move. So, join the bullish ride and seize this exciting opportunity on GBPUSD! Dont forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful 🐂📈💪
Long
by Thomas_Zito
25
Virgin Galactic - SPCE outlook showing signs of strengthLooking a the SPCE chart from a birds eye view it shows the company is overdue for a run. For months it's been trading sideways. It almost looks like it's break out of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Until recently a spike caused by bullish news sending the stock from around 4.04 to 6.50. On the run up it rejected the 6.50 price and came back mid day to the 4.50 level. The Fixed range volume profile showed from 4.04 to 6.50 on the initial the point of control was shifted to 6.50 where most volume was traded at the top. It showed a new level of support based on the visible range volume profile after it was rejected in the 4.81 - 4.63 range which to me was a buy zone. Even if it drops a little bit im okay with the risk to reward ratio with calls out to July 7th. I wanted to get in it but I wasn't going to buy in at the top. The visible range volume profile showed me that most the volume came from these price levels. The fixed So I took the trade and look for a momentum run up in anticipation of the commercial flight between june 27th and june 30th. The blue horizontal lines represent my take profit levels with the first retesting the 6.50 level. If price moves agressive I'm looking for it to close gaps from the prior months. The closer to launch date I can see it running up because people don't want to miss the run and a lot of buying pressure should be coming in up to these dates. Not to mention there's another flight shortly after in July I believe if there are no delays. We will see how this plays out. My calls don't expire until July 7th after the first flight if there are no delays. Thanks for taking the time out to read this. Trade responsible, Jay #TradeTheWave
NYSE:SPCELong
by FinesseTheWave
AUDUSD BUY SETUPHere are my reasons for the bullish outlook on AUDUSD Weekly: -we broke structure to the upside, clearing through the consolidation zone between 0.66000 and 0.68000 -the weekly candles (last three candles) indicate a strong bullish momentum currently dominating the market -current weekly highs of interest are at 0.68997 and 0.69207 H4: -we have been on a strong bullish assault on this time frame -current market phase has been the retracement before we can stage a continuation to the upside -the pair has simply slipped to the downside to, most potentialy, collect more institutional orders off the 0.68000 level before we dump price to the upside -the weekly levels at 0.68997 and 0.69207 form strong attractions of liquidity for the pair Midrange: -we have retraced to the area between the 61.8% and 78.6% fib levels -we have dipped down into a recent order zone as signaled by multiple H4 wicks to the downside where we picked up orders as we soared to current market highs around 0.69000 -H4 levels at 0.67900 and 0.64950 as well as the key daily level at 0.67850 form strong levels where price is to find support -the pair has offered a strong wick candle on M15 in favor of the upside. This is sufficient signal for an entry. Disclaimer: this is just my opinion on the movement of the pair and should not be construed as financial advice. Kindly do your own analysis and make your own conclusions on the same.
Long
by lovinmulika
The Resurgence. A Fake-Breakout on Ethereum The Weekly candle suggests that it may be closing as a Hammer candle in 29 hours. In anticipation of this, we are anticpating more bullish volume as we move into the next week of trading. Bulls have carried price back inside our 4Hr Range on Ethereum. Price returned to the top of the 4hr range around 1765. We have since returned to the bottom of the range where I can observe a good reward/risk idea. This is known as a Fakeout or Fake-Breakout with regard to price action analysis. It occurs frequently in the market in which price will "Breakout" and candles close outside a range. Soon enough though, price closes back within the range after capturing enough liquidity from the other side. As a consequence we may see a burst of momentum going the other way. A useful belief that has served me well in the markets has been " Anything can happen" Therefore, have reasonable expectations and cut losses short and manage risk if the market doesn't go our way. 1708$ is our SL ( a 20$ Loss or -1R ) Take Profit 1 is 1765$ ( a 36$ gain or a 1.8: 1 Reward/Risk ) Take Profit 2 is 1805$ ( a 77$ gain or a 3.5 : 1 Reward/Risk ) Take Profit 3 is 1842$ ( a 114$ gain or a 5.7: 1 Reward/Risk )
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Post-Interest Rates... 🏁--> Momentum Push? USD Interest rates helped to pull EURUSD back for better prices. Euro interest rates was the catalyst for a +1% increase in the EURUSD currency pair. The WeekIy candle can push a bit more to end off the week. We usually have a bunch of liquid just past extreme highs and that is what I am explaining on the chart. This is a price action concept. took buys at the beginning of the move and took my humble 14 pips. Anticipating a continuation of price to the upside with consumer sentiment tomorrow. It is expected to improve over the prior data point two weeks ago for the USD. Given the massive buy volume it is difficult for me to visualize that the current daily candle will not attempt at lease so some of push towards the next daily level 1.098 Daily Resistance Level.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Buyers are we Stretching the Luck? 🫢- Weekly Candle is Bullish and has pushed past the previous week's high creating a nice breakout of 77 pips - The 3 Daily candles this week have been Bullish - The Previous Daily candle increased by 70 pips in total ( 31 Pip Body and 40 Pips top wick ) - The previous daily candle's top wick was larger than the body of the candle itself. - The 4hr timeframe has closed two large engulfing bear candles in the time since Interest rates - The Market has punished late buyers with Interest rates data ( I called this out check previous post) - The market has seen a change of character and this has known to be a frequent occurrence with interest rate releases. - I don't think a randomness bias is associated with this Short Idea after we have seen 3 Bullish daily candles in a row ( The evidence above ) - The Market is Beast and representation of the psychology of all of it's participants. Follow your understanding of the price behavior and execute with only good Risk/Reward Ideas.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
[ BTC ₿ ] Set for a Pullback? ↘️- BTC Monthly candle is set to close in 6 Days and it appears to be closing as an engulfing candle - This current weekly candle has 4 days left to close. We have confirmed momentum already as the 3 previous weekly candles are bearish - The weekly timeframe is rejecting the June 6th,2022 Weekly Resistance Level at ( 30,000$ ) - Our Last Daily Level 26,749$ has just seen a large Daily engulfing candle close strongly below it -We may observe here on the line chart that the price is dribbling downwards and the bears appear to be in charge at least in the short term here - The first target for shorts being ( 24,309 $ ) Daily Zone & Weekly S/R Zone - Shorts target for June is ( 22,009 $ ) Weekly Zzone
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by ShrewdCatfx
3
Sustainable Trend? / Eurusd Longs 🐂As price rejects our weekly Level 1.066 which began on May 31st, we map a possible scenario in which we may jump on the train with long positions. I am anticipating the new weekly candle to pullback first and create a bottom wick as most weekly candles contain. Price has arguably been in a range for the past 2 weeks. The Last 2 red folders news events last week assisted in the increase of price. I am anticipating the same sort of price action this week with CPI ( which is expected to decrease and in theory pump risk assets liek EUR) and Interest rates to be catlalysts for a further increase in price. I idea is that the general consensus for interest rates being held at the same rate supports our preceding trend to the upside. Because it will be priced in and the status quo maintains. The trend is developing to the upside and some news releases will act as a catalyst for a continuation or an excuse to pullback for lower price opportunities. If this bias blows over we may simply obersve a contiued rnage on Eurusd between Support level 1.06902 Daily Support level and 1.0776 (averaged) Daily resistance level. This range scenario or descent on Eurusd will occur if we observe risk off sentiment as crypto continues to plummet and we observe a correction on the U.S. stock indices. Institutions and other large players will crowd into buying the dollar and our ascent to 1.078 will look nothing more than a pump to lure in Late long liquidity as we fall back to 1.066 weekly level.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2