AUD/USDi'm looking for a small continuation to the down side then back up from here.
also forward for the market to respect the bullish trend but anything else is also possible
red horizontals are daily support and resistance
green horizontals ate 4hr support and resistance
Yellow horizontals are 1hr support and resistance
Mondayfunday
Monday Funday: CAI Pennant Pop; Strong Risk-Reward (8:1)This is one of my favorite trades. A clear pennant forming which will be looking to break around 2/3's the way through the triangle(that's my general rule of thumb, the more it trades into the apex the less decisive and powerful the break). Easy to read upside, a nice tight stop, with a good risk-reward. In addition the stock is relatively small and nimble, and lacks incessant news coverage which tends to dull technical patterns.
How to trade it?
- I would buy in half at $24.00, with a stop in at $23.54 below any solid support/50 ma. Roughly a 2.2 risk-reward into the upper resistance. Stochs look oversold and ready to turn around.
- A break here and I would buy in my second half, confident with my cushion below me. Be sure to look for a surge in volume to break the volume downtrend and confirm the break. Don't be surprised if it comes back down to retest as support. A full measured move of the base takes CAP to $27.60 for a whole trade ratio of about 8.1
- Given a breakout, a liberal trailing stop would be a good idea. $3.60 up to $0.45 down in a perfect world, cant beat that.