UPDATE: Mondi showing strong upside once it breaks the resistancW Formation & Ascending Triangle formed on Mondi as I stated before...
The price has continued to move up on a strong trajectory trend line.
It looks like momentum will continue up and we'll get a ver nice buy signal once it breaks above the neckline.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target remains at R364.88
Mondi
Mondi setting itself for amazing upside W Formation & Ascending Triangle has formed on the daily time frame.
There is an impenetrable resistance right now at R318.00.
Once we break above it, it could be a fantastic trade for upside.
Until then, we'll add it to our watching and waiting list.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target R364.88
Mondi PLC MNDI short MNDI Stock Overview
Mondi plc engages in the manufacture and sale of packaging and paper products in Africa, Western Europe, Emerging Europe, North America, South America, Asia, and Australia.
I am currently Short selling this stock because of several reasons though they are also some good facts about the company. As TradeFollower my technical analysis and trading system logic forced me to rule my emotions,and that was a very good decision as you can see. Nevertheless this is my personal opinion and the following technical and fundamental analysis is just educatable. Always use stop and proper money and risk management.
REWARDS
Price-To-Earnings ratio (6x) is below the UK market (14.3x)
Earnings grew by 118.4% over the past year
Trading at good value compared to peers and industry
RISK ANALYSIS
Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 18.7% per year for the next 3 years
Unstable dividend track record
Large one-off items impacting financial results
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MNDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the peer average (15.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MNDI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MNDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (6.7x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MNDI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MNDI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MNDI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MNDI (£12.43) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£8.2)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MNDI is trading above our estimate of fair value.
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
UPDATE Mondi showing strong upside still to R330W Formation formed on Mondi.
We then had a comfortable retracement back to the neckline where the price tested and showed strong demand and buying.
Now it's waiting for the JSE ALSI to push up before we have the next upleg.
7>21 - Bullish
Price<200 - Bearish
RSI>50 - Bullish
Target remains at R330.00
MONDI looking great on paper to R330.00W Formation is forming clearly on the daily.
We need the price to close above and for the price to open above the breakout level.
There are mixed signs with indicators (but this is normal during a change in trend)
7>21 - Bullish
Price<200 - Bearish
We need the price to move above 200MA to ensure upside to come.
RSI>50 - Bullish
R330.00
SMC:
Below the W Formation, we see strong Sell Side Liquidity Order Blocks. This is where Smart Money has swept the selling from dumb money, bought into it and hence the price has pushed up.
MNP - ShortJSE:MNP is showing all of the signs for a good short move. The stochastic and MACD both turned downwards and the 3 and 15 EMAs have crossed eachother in a downward direction. We are looking to reach a target at the 251 level which coincides nicely with previous significant lows from March this year.
Mondi hit our profit target at R325.00Mondi hit our take profit at R325.00.
We have been monitoring it and it's been forming a somewhat Rectangle Formation lately.
I think once the box has formed and the price breaks out, we'll get out next trade entry.
We are bullish still but out of the trade for now...
MNP - Heading back into channelI recently posted an idea for a short on JSE:MNP and it went in our favour for a few days, but didn't last long. In the meantime, it has formed a bullish engulfing candle and has retraced all the way to the bottom of the channel again. It may find some resistance before entering the channel again but if it breaks through, we could see an upward move towards the top of the channel.
MNP - out of upward trendJSE:MNP has broken out through the bottom of an upward channel that it has been trading in since the end of April. My expectation in a previous idea is that it would bounce off the bottom of the channel and return upwards, but it has, in fact, broken through and is on its way down. It is currently on a support level and if it breaks through, I will consider a short position.
Channel on MNPJSE:MNP has been trading in a parallel channel since mid April and it seems to be heading toward the bottom of the channel for a possible bounce upward. If it fails to break through the bottom of the channel and bounces off support, I will consider entering a long position on the move up to the bottom of the channel. I will wait for confirmation first before entering.
Possible ascending triangle breakout imminent on MNPJSE:MNP looks like it could be breaking out of a symmetrical triangle chart pattern very soon.
My sentiment is that it will most likely break downwards, as the resistance level at the top of the triangle is very strong and has been intact since mid April. Once it breaks and closes below the level of the triangle I will consider a short.
Inverted H&S forming on Mondi PLCJSE:MNP is in the process of forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern on the day chart.
We could see a longer term upward move if the price breaks through the neckline at around the 33100 level. This might take a few days before it breaks this level, so I am just keeping an eye on it for now.
MND - Bullish Engulfing at supportJSE:MND is showing a bullish engulfing at support. This is confirmed by the breakout and close above the descending resistance. Looking good for a long if it confirms above Monday's high.