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BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription: This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan: Analysis: Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Zones and Liquidity: Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance. Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity. Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower. Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend. Confluences for Short Entry: Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point. The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control. Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias. Trade Plan: Short Entry Setup: Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone). Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs). Take Profit Levels: TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level. TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity. TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward. Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling. Additional Notes: Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character). Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision. Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Short
by CryptoTrustCapital
2
DXY SINGLING DANGER!Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen! With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming. Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian Currency Crisis. Russian ruble & economic collapse is now a certainty! Russia has lost the war no matter what they are trying to do on the battlefield it is irrelevant as the economy is now suffering from Dutch Disease. (So Much for the BRICS fantasy!) Most Americans believe a strong dollar is good. They are wrong. Here are a few things to know about a strong US Dollar. 1. A strong dollar weakens exports, costing American jobs as everything America made becomes more expensive to the rest of the world. 2. US Imports increase as everything internationally made becomes cheaper. 3. Acquiring USD as foreign reserves becomes much more difficult and expensive. As exporters to the US have to produce more for less $s. 4. US investment in international currency collapses, forcing inflation, rates higher making borrowing/investment in foreign economies weaker. Leading to a snowball effect. 5. Commodities are traded in USD. As such energy/food to many poor nations will become a problem as they are net importers with already limited access to NYSE:S it will be magnified. 6. Finally (I could go on but I won't you get the point) when everyone leans on one side of the boat it capsizes. Meaning when everyone is running to invest in the US & the dollar. Techanically how high can the USD go? -120 is likely. (hopefully not much more) -Longer term if things get bad enough it can break all-time highs of 165 as we have this massive bottoming inverse HEAD & SHOULDERS in place. CARNAGE! - What I hope will happen is that it hits previous recent highs of 115 and that will be it for the upside. HOWEVER! We do have a rising structure that needs to be corrected. As such when it does correct there is a good possibility it tests previous lows. For now, if you live in the US. enjoy dollar strength and think about how much worse inflation would have been if the $ was weakening. ))
TVC:DXYLong
by RealMacro
$BTC Long long term Short Short term seems like its following VHi all how are we!? hope spirit are well stay strong! This is update to my first of this idea the same idea I posted at the line it started. Its slowly moving to a LL Low low currently shaping a HL high low. When it swaps into a LH Low High that is confirmation of bullish sentiment between the LL nd HL. Basically a prime time to buy if other signals and analytics tell you to make a buy/long position. Never go of what I or anyone in Ideas say ALONE.. or reddit soil even Bloomberg or Forbes.. Anyway share your input o we can all learn more and grow as the Bitcoin Community!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk
1
USDJPY Analysis Here's a bullish channel setup on USDJPY! The pair is respecting the ascending trendline, and we’re seeing signs of potential upside movement. 🚀 🎯 Targets: Take Profit 1: 158.451 Take Profit 2: 158.825 Take Profit 3: 159.154 📉 Stop Loss: 157.582 (below the channel support). The pair is currently trading near the channel’s lower boundary, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio. Keep an eye on this one—it could deliver solid gains! 💰 Let’s see how this plays out! 💹
Long
by Charts_M7M
$BITF - Bottom In?Hello Friends, For those of you looking to capitalize on NASDAQ:BITF you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time. Posting a fresh idea here for NASDAQ:BITF now that the bottom should be in. Keeping with the Bullish narrative of CRYPTOCAP:BTC we can assume NASDAQ:BITF will once again see another projection higher back to its 2024 ATH (All Time High) of $3.91. I will post further Exit/ TP objective as we see NASDAQ:BITF move out of its current consolidation.
NASDAQ:BITFLong
by WolfAdams
[Education] Why You Can't Break Free From Get-Rich-Quick TrapYou already know the get-rich-quick mindset is killing your trading career. You read the books. You understand that consistent profits come from proper risk management and patience. Yet somehow, you still find yourself hoping for that one trade that will change everything. I understand that feeling. I spent 5 years trapped in this cycle. Let me share something embarrassing. I was previously managing a $200,000 funded account. My strategy was making a consistent 1-2% monthly. I got greedy. I saw a "perfect" setup and decided to risk 5% instead of my usual 1%. "Just this once. This setup is different.” That one decision wiped out my profits and I lost that account in a single trade. The Psychology Behind Our Self-Sabotage Here's what makes this mindset so dangerous. We can intellectually understand it's wrong while emotionally believing we're the exception. It's like knowing fast food is unhealthy but convincing yourself that this one burger won't hurt. The truth is our brain is wired for quick rewards. Whenever we see those trading “gurus” posting screenshots of their profits, or a picture of them partying, driving sports car, and flying first class, we can sense that they are fake. However, our emotional brain lights up with possibility. "What if it's real? What if we're missing out?" This creates an internal battle in our mind. We know we should focus on consistent execution and proper risk management. We have to play the long game. But our emotional side keeps whispering, "Just one big trade. Just this once." The Hidden Influence of Social Media We're surrounded by images of instant success. Traders posting five-figure profit days. Twenty-somethings with Lamborghinis claiming they made it trading crypto. Even though we know these are likely fake or cherry-picked results, they affect us more than we realize. I remember sitting at my desk when I was in my audit job, scrolling through trading contents on Instagram during lunch breaks. Every post showed massive profits. Nobody was posting their losses, their blown accounts, or their struggles. This created an unrealistic benchmark in my mind. My 2% monthly gain felt insignificant compared to these supposed overnight millionaires. This distorted perspective leads to a dangerous form of self-sabotage. We start taking larger risks, not because our strategy dictates it, but because our normal profits feel "too small" compared to what we see online. We “need” more profits. The Compound Effect of Impatience The most insidious part of the get-rich-quick mindset isn't that it makes us take bigger risks. It's that it makes us unable to appreciate the power of compound growth. Let me show you what I mean. When I first started trading properly, I was making about 3% per month on a $10,000 account. That's $300 a month. It felt painfully slow. I kept thinking, "At this rate, it'll take forever to reach my goals." But here's what I didn't understand then. Consistent 3% monthly returns, when compounded, turn $10,000 into $43,891 in five years. In ten years, that becomes $192,577. Add in regular deposits from your salary, and the numbers become even more impressive. Instead of appreciating this mathematical certainty, we chase the fantasy of turning $10,000 into $100,000 in a month. The irony? This pursuit of faster growth usually leads to account blow-ups that set us back years. The Real Cost of "Just This Once" We all know the phrase "just this once" is trading's version of "one last drink". It's never just once. Each time we break our rules and survive, or worse, profit, we reinforce the behavior. Our brain logs it as a successful strategy, making it harder to stick to proper risk management in the future. I learned this lesson the hard way with prop firm challenges. I'd be up 5%, nearly passing the challenge, and then decide to take a larger position to "speed things up." Almost every time, this decision led to failing the challenge. What's worse, even when it worked, it reinforced bad habits that would eventually cost me more money. Breaking Free From The Cycle The solution isn't just knowing better. You already know better. The solution is building systems that make it impossible to act on these impulses. When I finally became consistent, it wasn't because I found better self-control. It was because I removed my ability to make emotional decisions. I created rules that were specific and inflexible: My position sizing is calculated before the market opens. No adjustments are allowed during trading hours. Every trade must be pre-planned with exact entry, stop loss, and target levels. No deviation from my trading plan is allowed. I only opened my trading platform during specific hours that I’m allowed to trade. These rules might seem extreme, but they protect me from myself. They make it impossible to act on those "just this once" impulses that we all feel. The Professional's Perspective Want to know what real professional trading looks like? It's boring. Mind-numbingly boring. I now manage multiple six-figure funded accounts, and most of my trading days are completely uneventful. I take 2-3 trades per week. Each risk is exactly 1% of my account. My average winner makes 2R. Some months I make 5%. Some months I make 1%. Some months I lose money. But over time, the consistency compounds. This is what trading success actually looks like. No excitement. No massive winning days to screenshot. Just steady, consistent execution of a proven process. Embracing The Slow Path The hardest part isn't learning to trade properly. It's learning to be satisfied with "boring" profits. It's learning to celebrate a 2R winner instead of feeling disappointed it wasn't 10R. It's learning to find pride in perfect execution rather than profit size. This shift requires a complete redefinition of trading success. Instead of measuring success by profit, measure it by how well you followed your rules. Instead of comparing your returns to Instagram traders, compare them to bank interest rates or index funds. The Path Forward You already know the get-rich-quick mindset is destructive. The question is: Are you ready to embrace the boring path to success? This means accepting that: Your first year of proper trading might only make you a few thousand dollars. You'll have to watch other traders post bigger profits than you (real or fake). Some days you'll do absolutely nothing but watch setups fail to materialize. Success will come so gradually you might not even notice it at first. The choice is yours: Continue fighting this battle alone, or get the support you need to finally break free.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
Bayer AG Analysis: Growth Potential and Positive Buying SentimenThe history of Bayer AG shares goes through many key moments and events: Foundation and early years: Bayer was founded in 1863 by Friedrich Bayer and Johann Wagner in Germany. The company initially dealt with the production of chemicals and textile dyes. Development of aspirin: In 1897, Bayer synthesized aspirin, which became one of the most recognizable drugs in the world. This is considered one of the key moments that established the profile of the company. World War I: During World War I, most of Bayer's assets were confiscated by the Allies, and the company was forced to reorganize. World War II and post-war period: Bayer, like many German companies, went through significant changes after World War II. A few years later, Bayer joined the newly formed chemical group "Fritz Haber" and focused on innovation. Diversification and Growth: In the 1970s and 1980s, the company began to diversify into areas such as pharmaceuticals, agronomy, and biotechnology. Acquisitions and New Products: Bayer AG acquired companies that strengthened its portfolio, including Monsanto in 2018, which provided significant advances in agronomy. Recent Challenges: In recent years, the company has faced legal challenges and disputes related to its products, particularly glyphosate, the active ingredient in Roundup. Key Points Oakmark International fund manager David Herro sees growth potential for Bayer. The company's agricultural cycle is showing signs of bottoming out. Bayer AG operates in three main segments: Crop Science, Pharmaceuticals, and Consumer Health. The Crop Science segment focuses on sustainable agriculture through seeds and crop protection. The Pharmaceuticals segment offers prescription products, particularly in the areas of cardiology and women's health. The Consumer Health segment includes nonsteroidal dermatology products and health supplements.
XETR:BAYNLong
by ForexCompany
$COIN - Update: Buy + TPHello Friends, For those of you looking to capitalize on NASDAQ:COIN you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time. My original post: UPDATED IDEA: NASDAQ:COIN moving nice with CRYPTOCAP:BTC in this 2024-2025 Bull Run! Remember, NASDAQ:COIN basically mimics CRYPTOCAP:BTC so we want to trade them in a similar fashion. As you can see NASDAQ:COIN is still trading below the $368.90 High & the ATH of $429.54. I am expecting those levels to be traded to as CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues higher. The chart showing "Swing Protection TP 1" based on our current swing we left ($283-$149) is giving us a projection of $419.61. That being said, if you wish to add to your NASDAQ:COIN holdings at ~$318 (or lower), you have upside available to take profits. Please note: $429.54 ATH is a good objective. Will NASDAQ:COIN go higher with this bull run? IT all depends on when CRYPTOCAP:BTC tops out - I will update you then or follow along with my CRYPTOCAP:BTC exit strategy... Check out this link for my BTC Exit Strategy :
NASDAQ:COINLong
by WolfAdams
XRP/USDT - (25-12-2024) G-Money's short version analysis based BTC/USDT 2H G-Money's short version analysis based purely on technical analysis only, no nonsense or "BS". I do totally ignore any fundamental analysis, technical analysis only BTC/USDT - please pay an attention, It has a 2 take profit levels. What do you think? Chart is itself explaining. Kept a "KISS" approach all the way ( "Keep It Simple, Stupid") & beginners friendly... ;) I do hope that nobody ignoring SL ( Stop Loss) ! Without it, It is a fastest way to loose hard earned money... ;) Trade safe & don't do "gambling". In the end it never pays, not worth it to risk loose all your $... PS: above technical analysis is done for the community & educational purpose only! It is not a financial advice. Just share my very own insight to it. Merry Christmas to ALL !
Long
by G-money2022
XRP - History Repeating Itself... Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📔I find the OKX:XRPUSDT 4H chart interesting. Previous post: Do you notice a pattern here? is XRP doing again? 🔄 If history will repeat itself, a break above the green zone around $2.7 is needed to signal the start of the next bullish movement. 🎯Once the setup is activated, $3 will be the short-term target, and then $5. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
10
ETH Chart updateHey, The Ethereum chart which I was raving on about in my last post.. I'm happy to see that my bias was right. ETH managed to reach the 2024 high level at $4090 to the dot and is now rejecting is level on the BTC pullback. I have a very high conviction that the ATH price at $4870 is being reached within a matter of time. One thing backing this statement up is the ETH ETF inflow data since last week. These numbers are just insane and it's showing a rotation of capital into ETH just like we expected.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by newcapitalfx
BTC Under $100k, Where Do I Buy?Hello Friends, For those of you looking to capitalize on Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time. While we are currently in consolidation under $100,000 USD, note the current Dealing Range we are in (chart). Below that Fib 50% Dealing Range, we can look for Buys. I also want us to consider the possibility of losing that +OB (Bullish Orderblock), we can expect lower prices - based on Daily/ Weekly chart. Should that occur - Start looking to accumulate/ Buy sub $86,760. My ideal entry will be at $85,158.42 Check out this link for my BTC Exit Strategy:
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by WolfAdams
2
Cat/UsdtMEXC:CATUSDT 🚨 **CAT Price Analysis** 🚨 - **Current Price**: 0.000431 - **Resistance Levels**: - **First Resistance**: 0.000480 - **Second Resistance**: 0.0005600 - **Support Levels**: - **First Support**: 0.000408 - **Second Support**: 0.00003123 - **Third Support**: 0.0002345 🔑 **Key Points**: - **Resistance**: If CAT breaks above the **0.000431** level, the next resistance areas to watch are at **0.000480** and **0.0005600**. A successful break and hold could indicate further upward movement. - **Support**: If CAT fails to hold at **0.000431**, it could test the support levels at **0.000408**, **0.00003123**, or even **0.0002345**, where it may find a rebound. 💡 **What to Watch**: - **Price Breaks Above Resistance**: A break above **0.000431** could lead to tests of the next resistance levels at **0.000480** and **0.0005600**. - **Price Falls Below Support**: If the price falls below **0.000431** and tests support, keep an eye on the **0.000408**, **0.00003123**, and **0.0002345** levels for potential reversals. ⚠️ **Not Financial Advice**: Please do your own research and trade carefully.
Long
by Wolftrader1337