Weak Technical Patterns Ahead of EarningsFor now, NYSE:GS the largest of the Financial Services companies left, is struggling a bit. Trading activity in this stock is well below its average at this time. No pre-earnings run patterns have developed yet. There is some rotation recently, with lower money flow.
Moneyflowindex
Island Gap Potential, Dark Pool Buy Zone, HFTsThis stock has the potential to form an island gap, which are caused by High Frequency Trading activity that triggers on news. The gap down was too huge, so fundamentals are above the current price. This would be a gap UP potential at this point, to create the island gap.
The lows have been established clearly, so selling short this stock is not wise. But smaller funds and retail may try, as they tend to sell short stocks within a Dark Pool buy zone. Chaikin Osc and Money Flow Index are moving upward but the angle of ascent on price is steeper. The faster price ascent could be rapid accumulation from derivative developers.
UIPath creates software for Robotic Process Automation. It was one of the stocks discussed in the Case Study I did with my students in the summer of 2022 on the disruptive new technologies to watch over the next decade.
When $ETH Money Flow Index turns green, new ATH! CRYPTOCAP:ETH has scaped the downward channel, but is still inside the horizontal channel (both in yellow)
Note the blue diamond from Detonator A Indicator forming now, indicating a possible local end of trend
Price will need to retest the support of downward channel first, as it coincides with both EMA200 (green tick line) and MA200 (red line)
After that retest, price will follow to the upper resistence level of the horizontal channel as the ATH box is a attractor for price because former trends have targets over the ATH box (those purple arrows)
When MFI (Money Flow Index, below pannel) turns green again, you know we will reach new heighs!
Buybacks vs. Rotation: JPM and AAPLMany companies are flush with cash right now, so buybacks are going to increase. Buybacks can create plenty of swing trading opportunities.
Buybacks are used by the Board of Directors to drive price upward, or at least maintain price at a certain level. They also remove outstanding shares from public exchanges. The Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions (PSHI) is based on outstanding shares. So with fewer shares outstanding, it can help PSHI hold at a certain level. The Buy Side has been lowering inventory this year. See red arrows on the JPM chart.
In 2018, Buybacks boosted the index components and kept the market from continuing a bear market, which was already underway--a minor bear not a major one. Then in 2019, buybacks surged as the government cut corporate taxes massively. The cash on hand was enormous for most companies so they did mega buybacks, leading the move upward for index components that year. Then, in 2020 the pandemic stock market collapse completed that very odd delayed bear market.
Buyback candles are frequently solid white without wicks or tails. Buybacks often initiate strong swing-style runs, such as they have in $NYSE:JPM. See the blue arrows.
NASDAQ:AAPL also announced a huge buyback program in early May. This gives the Buy Side Institutions the opportunity to lower inventories of AAPL too, without disturbing price much, if at all. AAPL is in a sideways trading range, which is a tough pattern to trade since there is no consensus about what the company is doing to fuel future growth.
JUBLI FOODS – Confirming Reversal and ready to move higher?The stock after making a high of 586 last December has been going down. It has been making lower highs and lower lows with each price wave was getting lower. After reaching a bottom of 421 it started reversing. Then it started making higher highs and higher lows and each price wave was getting higher and higher. Now it has crossed above the 3 short-term moving averages and today it moved above the 200 DMA as well. You can see that the volumes for each wave was getting higher. The money flow had remained positive from April onward and in May the relative strength also turned positive. The stock also exhibited strong momentum in May. Recently the delivery volumes have also increased indicating interested buyer stepping in. Now the stock is likely to teat the previous high of 586. 520 levels could offer some resistances.
EXIDE INDUSTRIESThe stock after a good up move has been re-accumulating for almost a month and half. Now the stock is on the verge of breaking out from this re-accumulation zone. The relative strength is turning positive and the money flow is also on the verge of reversing. Momentum which was weak has started picking up. The volume in the last two sessions has been high. The delivery volumes is also increasing. A good close above today's high, that is a good close above 500 will take the stock to the next orbit and it will move much higher.
We had caught the earlier breakout from the Rejection zone at 280 as well.
GENERAL INSURANCE CORPORATIONThe stock after facing price rejection around 440 to 467 levels came back to below 50 DMA levels. It has been consolidating since then for almost 3 months now. Finally, today we saw it breaking out of the consolidation zone. We saw a widespread bar on very high volume. The relative strength is also turning positive. The money flow has been positive for the last few sessions. We can also see a reversal in the momentum to the positive side. If the stock sustains above the high of today's bar, we can see the stock testing the previous price rejection zone at 440 to 467 levels. Now the only point of caution here is today's very high-volume bar, it is like a BC bar which can cast a shadow of supply bringing the stock down back into the consolidation zone. So that is why we need to have positive close above the shadow of the BC bar for the stock to move higher. So, it is a stock worth watching.
DEEPAK NITRITEIn early January, the stock faced rejection around 2520 levels and it retreated to sub 200 DMA levels. From there, it recovered. In early May, it made an attempt to take out the price rejection zone. There was a move on very high volume. Unfortunately, that move did not succeed and it was pushed back below into the supply shadow of the BC bar which happened on the April 24th. Now, again it is attempting to move above the shadow of the BC bar and the price rejection zone. The relative strength is still positive but the money flow is lacking and also the volume is very low. The momentum has also dropped. So, once this stock succeeds in taking out the price rejection zone and goes above the shadow of the BC bar, the stock is likely to move up higher. We also see a very nice consolidation pattern almost like a cup and handle pattern. So, we need to wait and watch for the volume to increase and the money flow to be positive and the momentum also to come in. So, this is a stock worth watching
EDELWEISSThe stock is trying to move out of the price rejection zone after nearly four months of sideways move. The relative strength and the money flow are also positive. The volume has been increasing in the recent past and the volume adjusted momentum is also turning positive. All the conditions are favoring the stock to take out the price rejection zone. Once we have a good close above 88, we can see the stock moving up much higher.
NMDC :: Iron Ore Rebounds?NSE:NMDC
- Script sees a breach of Monthly Bearish GPZ alongside Quarterly Bearish GPZ making it a "HOT PIVOT LEVEL" to keep on radar!
- Money Zones are marked alongside in 3 different shades as per the analysis from FUNDFLUX .
- This "Pivot & Price" action is been seen as iron ore prices have rebounded after 2weeks of down-fall and are further expected to rise on the hope of rate cuts from the West and fresh stimulus from China.
- If the trajectory remains strong supported by the anticipated news that this script can see a potential upside of 15-30% on upper levels of 255/280/310.
News Article is provided below -
www.moneycontrol.com
MCD: Buy on the dip risk for selling shortThis stock has dipped and slid through its support, which was not a strong support level. There is minimal support nearby. And the support above is now a moderate resistance level.
There was some mild rotation in the Volume Oscillator and Money Flow indicator patterns followed by pro traders selling.
The reversal candlestick pattern failed.
However, the risk for selling short is the retail investors and their investment group gurus advising to buy on the dip.
Today's candle has buy on the dippers in the mix.
NVDA at the CES Ahead of Earnings Next MonthNASDAQ:NVDA moved up on the excitement around AI at the Consumer Electronics Show. We can see that Professional Traders were anticipating a breakout.
The stock should be able to begin some pre-earnings runs soon, as long as revenues and earnings continue to improve.
Volume Oscillators and Money Flow Indicators have been improving as Derivative Developers continued to increase inventory.
How to See Fundamental Improvement in Technicals, $VRNT ExampleStocks that are forming bottoms right now are completing faster due to the improvement of their fundamentals in the current quarter.
For example, NASDAQ:VRNT is moving out of the extreme dump by HFTs and retail groups. This is a common pattern that indicates shifting sentiment in a bottom formation.
The candlesticks stairstep upward as Pro Traders get in the mix of Dark Pools buying at bargain prices.
The largest Institutional investors who use Dark Pools to accumulate huge positions over time are the first to buy in a long-term uptrend, at bargain prices. It can be a very early signal, but these are the savviest fundamentals-driven investors in the market, so it pays to learn their footprints in stock charts.
MSFT Showing Strength on Retest Ahead of EarningsPercentage of Shares Held by Institutions is a bit low at 69% for NASDAQ:MSFT stock right now. However, the indicators are showing some strength as it retests the lower level of resistance above its current price.
NASDAQ:MSFT reports earnings next week on Tuesday. Microsoft has focused on AI for small businesses, the market niche that helped move it out of its 16-year slump until 2016, and during the pandemic. The pandemic anomalies in revenues should be patterned out this earnings season.
The stock has ample support at the most recent lows. It is a heavily weighted component of all 3 indexes, so an important report for Q3.
Dark Pool Buy Zone Signals: AEISNASDAQ:AEIS was one of the darlings of the '90s. So much fun to swing trade this stock. It is now moving up to test the all-time highs of 2021. Electronic Components are cyclical stocks typically with huge revenues ahead of holidays, school openings and summertime. The cycle is starting again.
Notice that Volume Oscillators and Money Flow indicators are rising from the bottom of the chart. This pattern has been very reliable in determining the end of the run down this year. Many stocks have this pattern at the moment. This signals the Buy Zone.
Can Chainlink (LINK) Achieve a New Annual Peak?Chainlink (LINK) has witnessed a substantial surge in the past two weeks and is now approaching the prospect of a new yearly high.
Both weekly and daily timeframe analyses exhibit bullish tendencies, which is supported by the price action MFI.
How Far Can Chainlink's Uptrend Continue?
Looking at the weekly technical analysis, LINK's price has been on the rise since June, recovering from a low of $4.75. This ascent resulted in the reclamation of the $5.80 horizontal support zone, which has been held since April 2022.
Moreover, this upward trajectory was accompanied by a bullish divergence in the MFI. The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a momentum indicator for traders to gauge market conditions, identify overbought or oversold levels, and inform buy or sell decisions.
Readings above 50 coupled with an upward trend indicate a bullish trend, while readings below 50 suggest the opposite. A bullish divergence arises when the MFI shows a lower value while the price is higher.
The daily timeframe paints a bullish picture. Additionally, the MFI is holding strongly above 50.
If the uptrend continues, LINK may reach the yearly high of around $8.80, which is 20% higher than the current price. However, given that the overall market is not bullish whatsoever, at this moment it is unlikely to make any significant breakthrough.
Looking Ahead: Despite the current trend LINK is unlikely to rise significantly over the yearly high at $8.80. On the other side, if the price starts descending, the $5.80 support level will be the next target to the downside.
Wait... What! but Why???What's going on here?
Probably nothing
Everything is just fine...
Zero-sum game
15b vs 300m
David vs Goliath
Follow the money...
I have 0 clue what's going on! that's pure abstract imagination! Do your own research!
Look First/ Then Leap
Dark Pool Buy Zone Patterns: BA ExampleA corporate aggressive stance to accelerate Boeing's recovery from the pandemic created buying activity during the index sell down over the past few days.
BA is one of the few companies on the Dow moving up while the majority of components were being sold down.
This is an example of how quickly a stock can reverse from selling down to resumption of its trading range or bottoming action. This is a range-bound run up. The technical pattern has some pro traders in the mix. The run is above the accumulation level for Dark Pools.
Positive Divergences: NVDA, SYNH, ZMPositive Divergences are developing in many stocks as they reach strong support levels.
NVDA, SYNH and ZM are examples that showed signs of the run down ending as volume indicators diverged upward against the decline. This is an early buy to cover signal for short positions.
BTC Go Ahead 26000 Resistancehello my friends.
i think we broke a pattern last day and now we can retest it
(and also 200 day MA).
our Money Flow Index approch to overbought area and
according to our trend (Bearish) we can go down after touch
this strong support level.
be careful friends we are in a contraction condition yet.
inflation grows and today we saw the news about TESLA
that sold about 75% of its BTCs.
this news can affect markets for short term
but in longterm no problem! :)))
take care of yourself and your money.
manage your risks.
the first step is protect our capital and the next step is profits.
hope you all have good trades.
thank you all for reading my opinion.
please share me your opinion in comments.
!!!NOTE!!!
MY POSTS ARE NOT TRADING AND INVESTING ADVISE
SO TRADE ON YOUR OWN STRATEGY AND CONSIDER MARKET RISKS.
strategy over next 3 weeks should be profitable (volatility)INTRO
15 year old trader in England comment your ideas want to know what u think
Over the next 3 weeks I believe if you wait for volatility peaks or volatility consolidation trading sideways basically and then take a short or long position depending on economic data coming over this week this will create vol in the markets which will help the strategy create the ideal market conditions to take a position. This week many economic events are happening meaning markets will correlate to these events meaning there will be a reason behind the madness meaning before the data is released equites could trade sideway and then react to the data released going long or short. This strategy should be profitable while taking other fundamental and technical factors into account
IS THE STRATERGY GOING TO BE SUCCESFUL
volatility should increase over this week because traders will want to trade the economic data coming in this week which will mean either two things equites will consolidate or there will be a burst of liquidity over this week which could be crushed if the fed decide to hike rates even further which will cause liquidity to deuterate even further causing markets to consolidate. this means extended high volatility periods are inevitable which could mean a hard week for traders as there is no liquidity for them to exit their positions. the strategy i have outlined could be affected by this but by taking the money flow index into account before taking a trade it will mean if there is a extended period of volatility liquidity should follow but we could be trading sideways for the next few week. as i have shown here their are so many possible outcomes this week because of the pure amount of variables but if I believe this strategy will mean all of these possible situations will be tradable meaning it could be profitable over the next 3 weeks
MAIN ECONMIC EVENTS THAT WILL IMPACT THE STRAT
Over the next week we have the producer price index data this measures the change in input price of goods and services, it measures the input costs. if the input costs rises it will mean a decrease in profit margin for business and rising costs for the customer and if it falls decreasing costs for the customer and increasing profit margins for the business. this will impact the strategy because if the data is better investor confidence will increase in the current health of the business which will mean and increase of buyers providing liquidly to the market and of course the opposite for if the data is worse than we expected. as well as the core retail sales date which basically measures the sales at the retail level in the us which will be impacted by current consumer spending with credit spending be very high at the moment the forecast is higher than the previous. but it should be the opposite because of recessionary fears which shows a slight bit of compliancy by the American consumer. if the forecast is positive as expected it should be bullish for equites especially retail stocks such as WMT. As well as large decisions coming from the fed with the interest rate decision coming in which could completely change the markets liquidity and direction in addition to the FOMC economic projections which will affect investor confidence for the good or bad we will see. all off these factors will affect the market deeply. which will be a perfect condition for the strategy to operate
BTC BearishSince the fear of extraordinary high inflation and the corresponding provisions against it are shocking investor's sentiment, I want to warn from "unexpected happenings" in the near future.
I would not believe, that current levels will be held. We might see a continuation of up's and down's for a few weeks, but after March (point of time where the FED will stop its balance sheet expansion), I can't see prices being sustained at this level.
The Money Flow Index is near it's overbought range, which indicates a broader top-ish area, as well as we are still below the Cloud.
Passiveness is recommended.