Moneymanagement
Compound Interest - A Trader's Secret WeaponIn this video I give you a perspective that traders often neglect - Compound Interest.
Compounding is probably the most important part in terms of becoming a trader that survives in the long run. Social media is filled with traders nowadays, and some of them are pretty good at trading. However, shortsightedness gets to them as they forget about the one thing that ensures longevity in this game. It is way easier dig yourself into drawdown than it is increase your wealth, it is just math. The technique that greatly rewards the disciplined and patient trader is COMPOUNDING.
As Albert Einstein said according to some sources although not verified is that "Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world".
- R2F
TYPES OF MARKET ANALYSIS1) Fundamental analysis.
fundamental analysis focus mainly on micro and macro event that will control market situations in the present and in the future. it includes various events in economic calendar like PPI CPI NonFarm Payroll, Interest rate decisions, and geopolitical senarios like election war climate issues etc
2) Technical analysis.
Technical analysis mainly focus on indicators chart analysis volume analysis, various analysis like following candle stick pattern, trading strategies based on indicators
3) Market sentiments
Market sentiments focus mainly on how the crowd anticipate wheich direction will market go, like when xauusd reached at its all time top everyone believed it will have a retracement from that zone
like share and follow us for more such informative contents
Premium Crypto idea $$$$ #ENSUSDTENSUSDT is facing resistance, indicating a potential selling opportunity for day traders. The price has failed to break above this level, suggesting a reversal may be imminent. The overbought conditions on the RSI further support the idea of a short-term price decline. Day traders may consider selling ENSUSDT to profit from this potential downside movement. It is important to set appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk effectively.
Entry: 14.786
SL: 14.885
Target 1: 14.426
Like share and comment for more
Click the follow button
#crypto #daytrading #signal #analysis #moneymanagement
Trade God out
Next Premium Gold idea $$$$Gold is currently facing resistance at key levels, making it challenging for prices to push higher. Factors such as a strong US dollar, rising interest rates, easing geopolitical tensions, and bearish technical indicators have all contributed to the pressure. While the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, the current resistance zone suggests that the metal may struggle to break out in the near term. Investors should closely monitor price action to determine if gold can overcome this resistance and resume its upward trajectory.
Entry: 2322.64
SL: 2331.18
TP1: 2312.15
#xuausd #gold #signal #analysis #daytrading #forex #pips
Like share and comment
Trade God out
Aditya birla fashion -- Bullish -- CE350Very bullish chart
Buy Now at market price
Option traders and equity trader hold is key
Equity trader hold till 1 year 2x return
Option trader take CE call as strike price you want market go upside and very bullish
Target 1st 350 in short long term
Target 2nd All time high 1000rs in 2 years
For more chart analysis comments me in this post
CAKE Basic trend. Working with reversal zones. Money management.Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Major trend. Combined education and potential trade in ideas.
Pivot zones from key liquidity zones.
The main idea and meaning of this idea is to show the logic of working with reversal zones from key resistance support levels, which will determine the further development of the trend. I have shown all possible scenarios of secondary trend development from more probable and logical to less probable, but which have the right to be realized. You should always keep even unlikely scenarios in your mind, even if you do not believe in them. Few people calculate different variants of trend development ahead of time. In most, as a rule, there is one scenario of price movement, but it is built in most cases on the desire that it was exactly as profitable.
This is how this trend looks like on a line chart.
Exchanges and surprises. Money management.
CAKE (PancakeSwap) is a decentralized exchange (DEX) token on the Binance Smart Chain, launched by anonymous developers
The coin as an example of similar crypto of the third liquidity group, which lose capitalization, that is, people's faith in the project itself - "the faith of the community is killed". It is quite possible that at one moment the faith in anonymous developers will be "killed" and they will use the existing liquidity for the last time.
I emphasize what blockchain the token is made on and how many bad triggers (FUD and not only) in the info space, not only with the designation “4”.
The idea (long-term trend) is more educational than trading because of the degree of risk (liquidity, “ugly chart” for the future, large depreciation, breaking a long horizontal channel at a very large %). My desire is to trace on a live chart how the fate of two exchanges will be reflected on the price of this token in the future. Liquid, popular, reliable and conditionally decentralized with “anonymous developers”.
Local trend. Work in it (only in it and nothing else). Risk Management.
But, in the local trend at the moment, this coin is interesting to work, especially since the triangle is almost formed and soon the dénouement. Stops will be quite short in the direction of the breakout, that is work. I will post an idea for local-medium term work below.
Take a local profit (maybe substantial) and forget once and for all about crypto fantasies and what will happen to the price next. No regrets if you took a relatively small profit and further development of the trend showed an order of magnitude more. In the end, it may be the other way around, you will be the lucky one who “made it” before the “sunset”. Learn to take profit from the market, it is better to take a little bit at a time, limiting risks, than to take a potentially large profit (which is what most “sectarians” are waiting for).
In the long run, I highly recommend not getting involved with this or other similar cryptocurrencies. You will be playing casino, and not so much with risk management (risk/profit ratio in trading) but with money management (money management in general, places to store and trade). So stops can be useless in some not quite trading situations.
Note how I've written a lot of information that doesn't really apply to this cryptocurrency directly, but only indirectly, as a potential consequence of more global yet equally potential events .
Observe money management and risk management in trading, diversify where you trade and store crypto assets, this will guarantee a sound sleep in the future. .
Secondary trend + local work. Time frame 3 days. 08 2023
The final few liquidity grabs before the big dropBitcoin will not be seeing 45,000 any time soon as this “bullish” move has extinguished. Bitcoin’s all time highs are usually parabolic and unusually unpredictable but this chart reads clear as day that the trend formed has a limit.
Rejecting off of key levels with volume supporting the move down, big money is opening positions below 44,000 and the vol oscillator on the daily is sustaining that move. There’s no major money being put on above 44,000, which is why we’re seeing a small grind up and prices oscillating between ranges. All of this combined is confirming a bearish consolidation.
On the fundamentals side, Bitcoin is suffering from an extreme case of greed much like the stock market. It’s getting to a point where anything opposite of bull is met with difficulty. This kind of psychology is ripe for manipulation and rug pulls. Just the other day, I saw advertisements on YouTube of professional Bitcoin related businesses telling people to buy it. I don’t even search for Bitcoin related news on YouTube or Google so this is also what’s setting the alarm bells off.
I don’t believe in fundamentals too much but I trade what I see on the technicals and it’s not looking good for longs, so I’m going to wait to get in. I don’t know how long it’ll take to get to my target but from mid 20,000 to 30,000 I see this reaching before any meaningful support with volume.
AUDUSD-Money managementHi friends, After the previous signal reached all the set targets, today I would like to share my opinion about money management and how to manage open positions. In my opinion, in the first 2 years of trading on each position, a maximum of 3 to 5% of the total account balance should be involved. Second, convert the money into several parts for a signal or one idea, for example, Two or three to 0.01 lot.
Risk-Free:
The important thing is when to do risk free? For do Risk-Free (change the stop loss to the entry point) after the price reaches 50% of the forecast or primary idea.
For this trade, I risk-freed after the price reached TP2.
3 Risk Actions to take in a Sideways Market
“Do you have any risk or money management rules you take, during a Sideways Market or Twilight phase? I want to be more cautious with my trading.”
These actions, no doubt, will help us protect and preserve our trading accounts.
Action #1: Drop your risk even more
If you’re feeling uneasy with the markets, as many have – drop your risk.
You can even drop your risk to a range of 0.5% to 1% per trade, as opposed to the usual 2%.
This will keep you in the game, so you don’t miss out on any moves.
Action #2: Hegde your portfolios
I consistently employ hedging strategies, both Longs and Shorts.
For example, you can go long stocks and short gold as a hedge.
Or you can go long Bitcoin and short Ethereum as a hedge.
As long as your losses are smaller than your winners, then your winners will outweigh.
And this will help keep your portfolio in check.
Action #3: Diversify
The JSE ALSI 40 isn’t the be all and end all of trading.
You need to learn to diversify into other markets.
I’m talking about Forex like EUR/USD, Indices, and even intraday trades.
SQ goin up.
As you can see here, we are coming up on a demand zone area from back in March 2020. We are touching the bottom line of the Bollinger bands and the bands are opening up meaning there could be volatility for a big move. We are also oversold on the RSI as well. I would wait for a big move off of the band with high volume and target the upper Bollinger band. The analyst on TradingView and most of the recent ideas on here suggest we are going to make a reversal soon.
IMPORTANT - 14 Risk and Money Management RulesOver the past 20+ years, I've only mentioned a few money management rules.
But then I thought about it, and realised there are so many more I use when I trade.
So with this TradingView platform, I’m going to share my 14 most essential risk management rules I’ve ever come across.
RULE #1: The 2% Rule – Limit Your Risk
You might have seen this risk rule from me before, but there are new TradingView members everyday.
Here’s how it works…
Never risk more than 2% of your total trading capital on a single trade.
No matter how good the trade looks, this rule will help you safeguard your portfolio from the impact of a single trade's outcome.
The reason is, you will enter a losing streak.
You will most likely take from five to seven losing trading in a row.
But with the 2% rule, you’ll only be down 10% to 14% of your portfolio compared to if you risked 5% to 10% per trade.
RULE #2: The Probability Rule – Assess Trades
When you buy or sell trades, there are three types that can line up according to your trading strategy.
I like to categorise these trades as.
High, medium, or low probability.
For high, medium, and low probability trades, risk 2%, 1.5%, and 1% of your portfolio respectively.
If my trading criteria matches all the right elements to buy or sell – this is considered a high probability trade.
That’s where I will risk 2% of my portfolio per trade.
If my trading criteria has one or two elements that are showing conflicting signals – this will be considered a medium probability trade.
In this case, I’ll only risk 1.5% of my portfolio.
Other cases, there’ll be a time where the system will line up but the market environment is in a choppy and volatile range.
This is where the trade will be a low probability trade. And so, I’ll only risk 1% of my portfolio per trade.
Identify the probabilities and you’ll be able to adjust your risk accordingly.
RULE #3: 20% Drawdown Rule – Pause After Losses
There could be a time, where your portfolio is in the slums.
This is where you could be down 14% to 20% of your portfolio.
What then?
Well you need to protect your capital.
I have a simple rule where, once my portfolio is down 20% of my portfolio – I will pause my trading.
During a drawdown, I’ll then switch to paper trading until conditions improve.
If the market resumes in favourable territory and I feel more confident that the system will work better – I’ll then resume trading with 1% risk.
RULE #4: Never Risk Unaffordable Money
This one is a given, and one I often preach.
With trading you should NEVER risk any money you can’t afford.
If you’re using your only savings from retirement or you have any money that you’ll be emotionally attached to - Avoid trading all together.
This is not only dangerous for your financial situation but it will also lead to a rollercoaster of emotions trading during both winning and losing streaks.
RULE #5: The Time Stop-Loss Rule – Time-Based Limits
If a trade doesn't meet its profit target (or hits the stop loss) within a specific timeframe, close it.
I have a 7 week (35 business days) rule.
It doesn’t matter when, what level or if the trade is in the money or out the money.
You want to close the trade, after a certain period of time has elapsed, for three reasons.
1. You’re a short-term trader and don’t want to turn it into a long term investment
2. There are costs you are paying daily which is leading you to incurring a higher loss or less profits.
3. You don’t want to feel married to any specific trade.
Either you’ll bank a lower loss than you planned. Or you will bank a lower profit than planned.
This prevents capital from being tied up in stagnant trades.
RULE #6: The Trailing 1:1 Rule – Protect Profits
This rule, will help you secure your profits when a trade is moving in your favour.
Here’s how it works.
Once a trade hits a 1:1 risk-reward ratio (and has moved in my favour).
It gives the opportunity to move the stop loss up to just above break even.
This way you’ll will bank a minimum gain, should the trade turn against you.
Also, it will increase your win rate and emotionally you’ll feel it’s much easier to hold a trade with nothing to lose.
RULE #7: Half Off Rule – Secure Gains
Sometimes, you don’t want to move your stop loss.
Instead you want to lock in profits, while the market is moving in your favour.
So the rule is simple.
When the trade reaches the risk to reward of 1:1, this might be the best time to close half your position.
This will lock in some profits while leaving room for further gains.
RULE #8: The 5% Margin Rule – Control Leverage
This rule is more applicable to those who have a MUCH larger account of R25,000 and up.
Remember, with trading you’re buying and selling on margin.
If the gearing is 10 times this means if I hold 1% of my account, I am risking 10% of my portfolio if the trade heads to zero.
So, the trick is to never risk more than 5% of your account on a single trade.
This approach reduces exposure to risk and aids risk tracking in volatile markets.
RULE #9: The Intraday Stop Rule – Daily Loss Limit
Not all traders like to hold overnight.
You get intraday traders who buy and sell trades within the day.
If you are one of them, then this rule is for you.
Make sure you set a daily loss limit or a maximum number of losses.
For example, if you’re down 3 to 4 trades in the day – that might be your que to stop trading for the day. There are a few reasons for this including:
• The market environment is not conducive to continue.
• You need to protect your capital.
• Your emotions might run out of control having taken too many losses in a day.
• This could result in impulsive and revenge trading to try make up for your losers.
RULE #10: Forex NEWS Rule – Avoid High-Impact News Events
I mentioned this in the last Trading Tips Q&A, but I’ll say it again.
If you’re a Forex trader and you want to avoid volatile times when certain news events come out.
You can stay out or avoid trading during high-impact news events.
These events include CPI, NFP, PPI, and FOMC releases.
Such events can increase trading risks and lead to unpredictable market movements. (Especially in the Forex market!).
RULE #11: The Risk-Reward Rule – Favor Positive Ratios
Whenever I take a trade, I always want my gains to be bigger than my losses.
To do this I set my risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
This means, I am only willing to risk one in order to bank two times more.
Do this enough times and you’ll almost guarantee your potential gains will outweigh your potential losses in the medium term.
And having a risk to reward of at least 1:2 means you’ll factor in the costs, brokerage and other fees with your trade.
RULE #12: The 20% Golden Rule – Diversify and Limit Exposure
You always need to have capital within your portfolio.
Not only to trade, but to protect the current trades that you’re holding at any one time.
So this rule is golden.
Here’s how it works. I never expose more than 20% of my total investment portfolio to trading.
This means, I’ll always be holding at least 80% of my portfolio.
Remember, with margin (leverage) trading, it magnifies gains and losses.
Having only 20% of your total investment portfolio will help you to always have more money in your portfolio to account for more trades, losses, costs and for you to diversify and manage your risk better.
RULE #13: The Hedgehog Rule – Balance Long and Short Positions
I love this rule.
In trading you can buy (go long) when the market moves up.
Or you can sell (go short) when the market moves down.
But sometimes, you might feel you’re over exposed to the long side even though the market is moving up.
So instead you can hedge your positions by balancing longs and shorts.
If the market turns down, then at least you’ll have some shorts in the mix to make up for the losses with your longs that are going against you.
I always try to avoid overcommitting to a single direction.
This way I am able to protect my portfolio from sudden market reversals.
RULE #14: Multi-Account Rule – Separate Markets
I find markets all move differently and yield results at different rates.
So what I like to do is open different trading account for different markets (e.g., Forex and stocks).
I like to track and trade Forex for one account and stocks for another.
You’ll find if you trade too many different markets in one account, it will most likely skew the portfolio and your track record.
This is because of the way they all move sporadically from each other.
So, diversify your portfolios across different asset classes and markets to manage your risk.
Final words.
I trust this 14 Risk management Rules Lesson will help guide you to your trading goals.
If there’s one thing you should do is print, or save this guide and keep them close for reference.
These rules will undoubtedly prove valuable in your trading endeavors.
16 Golden Risk Management Rules for TradersTo build your portfolio.
You need to learn to manage your risk.
And over the last 16+ years, I’ve given you maybe five ideas on how to do it.
Well, today I have 16 of the most essential Risk Management rules I could come up with in just one seating.
They might not all apply to you.
But most of them I believe will definitely resonate with you, your portfolio and with your risk profile.
So, I have taken the time, energy and effort to jot down the 16 most powerful Risk management rules, you can apply to your trading.
Starting today…
Here they are…
RULE #1:
The 2% Rule
Never risk more than 2% of your total trading capital on a single trade.
This rule will help you to limit the impact of any single trade on your portfolio.
RULE #2:
The Probability Rule – Classify trades as high, medium, or low probability
This depends on your trading strategy.
If you know how to spot a:
High probability trade (HPT) (good chance of winning).
Medium probability trade (MPT) (lower chance of winning).
Low probability trade (LPT) (very low chance of winning).
I have a very simple rule.
With a HPT, risk 2% of your portfolio.
With a MPT, risk 1.5% of your portfolio.
With a LPT, risk 1% of your portfolio
Only risk according to the state of the probabilities of the trade – right?
RULE #3:
20% Drawdown Rule – Halt trading at a 20% loss to avoid deeper slumps
If that inevitable Drawdown kicks in.
And your portfolio drops 5%, 10% and then down to 20%.
Halt trading. Don’t stop!
Instead, move over to paper trade your account until the conditions turn up and the system works again.
And when you do start, only start risking 1% at a time until you are confident again with your strategy and with your frame of mind.
This rule alone, you’ll save you from blowing your account.
RULE #4:
NEVER risk money you can’t afford to lose
If you feel emotionally tied to your money.
Or you need the money for daily living expenses or retirement savings.
Don’t trade with it.
You will feel like a wreck. Instead of enjoying the trading journey and process.
Trading will be an emotional rollercoaster during both winning and losing streaks.
RULE #5:
The Time Stop-Loss Rule – Apply a time-based stop-loss rule to limit losses
If a trade doesn’t reach its profit target within a specific timeframe – Close the trade.
I have a 7 week time stop loss before I consider closing trades.
Either you’ll bank a lower loss than you planned. Or you will bank a lower profit than planned.
This prevents capital from being tied up in stagnant trades.
NOTE: There are times where I might NOT implement a time stop loss. For example, when I short (sell) a trade which earns interest income each day.
RULE #6:
The Trailing 1:1 Rule – Use a 1:1 trailing stop-loss to protect profits
Once a trade hits a 1:1 risk-reward ratio.
I might trail my stop loss up to just above break even.
This way I will bank a minimum gain, should the trade turn against me.
My win rate will go up, for the portfolio.
And emotionally it’s easier to hold a trade where you’ve secured a minimum profit.
RULE #7:
Half off Rule – Take half your profits early to secure gains
If the trade is moving nicely in my favour.
And it reaches a R:R of 1 to 1. Sometimes I’ll close half my position.
I’ll then trail my stop loss to above breakeven.
This way I’ll bank a decent profit.
And I would have left room for the market to continue rallying to my initial take profit.
This rule alone is God-sent.
RULE #8:
The 1% Margin Rule – Limit margin use to 1% of your account to control risk
For those who are worried about HIGH leveraged instruments.
This one is for you.
The rule is, if you’re trading on margin (leverage).
Never risk more than 1% of your trading account on a single trade.
This way:
You’ll have majority of your portfolio to trade with.
You’ll have less money exposed to risk in any one trade.
You’ll be able to track your risk better, for if the market gaps.
RULE #9:
The Intraday Stop Rule – Set an intraday rule to know when to stop trading for the day
If you take on an intraday trade i.e. Smart Money Concepts trading a Forex Pair or index.
Set a daily loss limit or a maximum number of losses.
If you reach this amount, stop trading for the day to prevent your portfolio from spiralling into more losses.
Come back the next day, to slay.
RULE #10:
Forex NEWS Rule – Stay off the market during high-impact news events
This happens during high-volatile events.
And this applies with mainly Forex!
If there are any high impact news events such as major economic announcements.
It can significantly increase trading risks.
When these days come, I don’t take any Forex trades.
Here’s are the main High-Impact-News events:
CPI (Consumer Price Index) news report days
CPI measures the changes in prices of a basket of goods and services over time as a measure of inflation.
NFP (Non Farm Payrolls)
A monthly report released (on the 1st Friday of the month) by the US
Department of Labor. It shows the number of jobs added or lost in the non farm sector. This is a measure of the health of the US economy.
PPI (Producer Price Index)
A measure of the average change over time in the prices that domestic producers
receive for their goods and services. This is another measure of inflation and economic growth.
First with CPI and then with PPI.
FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee)
When the FOMC the US Federal Reserve meets to set monetary policy, (decision on interest rates and the money supply).
RULE #11:
The Risk-Reward Rule – Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:1.5
If you do NOT see a trade with a Risk to Reward of at least 1:1.5.
It is NOT a good idea to trade.
Anything less than 1:1.5, and your risk will be similar to what you are looking to gain.
And remember, you still need to cover costs, brokerages and daily interest charges.
It’s not worth buying and selling trades with a R:R of 1:1.5.
I prefer to trade with risk to rewards of 1:2 instead.
That way, even with a 40% win rate, I’ll be profitable.
RULE #12:
The 20% Golden Rule – Never expose your portfolio to more than 20%
Trading is a risky biscuit.
So, even though you have money in your account.
Doesn’t mean you should have all of your money in different markets.
I like to limit my capital to a maximum of 20% of my total investment portfolio.
Remember, you are gearing up when you trade.
While leverage can magnify gains, it can also magnify losses.
It’s crucial to know how to use leverage effectively.
Also, it’s our job to and avoid taking on more debt than we can handle.
Because when you trade on margin (leverage), you’re exposing yourself to MORE than what you deposit.
So protect most of the capital at a time in your portfolio.
RULE #13:
The Hedgehog Rule – Don’t be too long or too short – Hedge your positions
I like to say hedge your positions.
Don’t HOG on too many longs. Or too many shorts.
When a main index is showing strong signs of moving in a certain direction (up or down).
You may feel the absolute need to buy as many stocks as possible, to ride the trend.
However, you need to remember the market can change the trend direction just as fast.
And your winning positions can instantly turn to losers.
So, when you are holding a high number of longs, make sure you trade a couple of shorts.
When you are holding a large number of shorts, make sure you trade a few longs.
This way you can hedge your positions in case the market does make a turnaround.
Effective hedging strategies can protect your portfolio from market volatility.
RULE #14:
Multi-Account Rule – Use different accounts for different markets
Every market acts differently.
Forex works differently to stocks.
So, I like to have two different accounts for each.
I like to track and trade Forex for one account and stocks for another.
Having too many eggs in one basket, will skew the portfolio and your track record – due to the sporadic and different movements with each set of markets.
So, diversify your portfolios across different asset classes and markets to manage risk.
RULE #15:
Check Up Rule – Regularly monitor your portfolio’s performance
The markets are always changing including:
Algorithm
New volume being injected in the markets
Dynamics of demand and supply
This causes a shift in different market environments and echoes into the financial world.
Therefore, you need to regularly review your portfolio.
This will help you to realign it with your goals, statistics, drawdown & reward management as well as your risk tolerance and goals.
RULE #16:
Correlation Rule – Understand and monitor the correlation between assets
Markets are generally positively correlated.
This means, they tend to move in the same direction.
If you see a large bank company going up in price and you go long, the chances are good that other banking companies are also going up in price (within the main stock market).
When you understand correlation between stocks, forex, indices, commodities etc…
You can find more high probability trades which will better diversify your portfolio, reduce your risk and you’ll be exposed to other market opportunities in similar markets.
Told you it will be worth it!
Save this, print it out and keep it by you.
These are the most important money management rules I believe are necessary to know as a trader. Below is the summary of them again, with the subheading.
If you found this helpful, please send let me know in the comments.
16 Most NB* Money Management Rules
RULE #1: The 2% Rule – Never risk more than 2% of your trading capital
RULE #2: The Probability Rule – Classify trades as high, medium, or low probability
RULE #3: 20% Drawdown Rule – Halt trading at a 20% loss to avoid deeper slumps
RULE #4: NEVER risk money you can’t afford
RULE #5: The Time Stop-Loss Rule – Apply a time-based stop-loss rule to limit losses
RULE #6: The Trailing 1:1 Rule – Use a 1:1 trailing stop-loss to protect profits
RULE #7: Half off Rule – Take half your profits early to secure gains
RULE #8: The 1% Margin Rule – Limit margin use to 1% of your account to control risk
RULE #9: The Intraday Stop Rule – Set an intraday rule to know when to stop trading for the day
RULE #10: Forex NEWS Rule – Stay off the market during high-impact news events
RULE #11: The Risk-Reward Rule – Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:1.5
RULE #12: The 20% Golden Rule – Never expose your portfolio to more than 20%
RULE #13: The Hedgehog Rule – Don’t be too long or too short -Hedge your positions
RULE #14: Multi-account Rule – Use different accounts for different markets
RULE #15: Check Up Rule – Regularly monitor your portfolio’s performance
RULE #16: Correlation Rule – Understand and monitor the correlation between assets
GBPCAD LONGA trade with the best entry point, the best R:R (1:13), the lowest risk and in the direction of the market trend.
In terms of fundamentals, due to the drop in oil prices and the impact on the Canadian currency, Mithian predicted that the British pound would become stronger.
Technical and fundamental shows growth.
Good luck.
Guard Your Funds: Only risk what you can afford to lose.🎉 Risk Management tip for Vesties and @TradingView community! 🚀
😲 We all know the saying "only risk what you can afford to lose," but do you know the powerful impact it can have on your trading journey? 🤔
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency and futures trading, one fundamental principle stands as the cornerstone of profitable and sustainable trading journeys: Only risk what you can afford to lose. Embracing this essential concept is crucial for preserving capital, maintaining emotional stability, and cultivating a disciplined approach to risk management. In this article, we will delve into the significance of operating money and risk within the confines of one's financial capacity and explore the key pillars that underpin this approach.
Understanding Risk Tolerance and Capital Allocation:
1. Assessing Individual Risk Tolerance:
To truly understand one's risk tolerance and establish a robust risk management strategy, traders are encouraged to engage in a thought exercise that involves imagining potential losses in tangible terms. Visualize throwing money into the bin or burning it completely, purely to experience the feeling of losing money. This exercise may seem unconventional, but it serves a crucial purpose: it helps traders gauge their emotional response to monetary losses.
During this exercise, consider the two extreme scenarios: the first being the largest amount of money you can lose without causing significant distress, and the second being the maximum amount of loss that would completely devastate you financially and emotionally. These two amounts represent your Fine Risk and Critical Risk , which reflects the sum you are willing and able to lose over a specific period of time without compromising your financial well-being.
👉 The next step involves breaking down the Fine Risk into smaller, manageable parts. 🔑 Divide the Fine Risk into 10 or even 20 equal parts, each representing the risk amount for every individual trade. This approach is designed to create a safety net for traders, especially when they encounter unfavorable market conditions.
For instance, imagine a scenario where you face five consecutive losing trades. With each trade representing only a fraction of your Fine Risk, the cumulative loss remains relatively small compared to your risk capability, providing emotional resilience and the ability to continue trading with confidence.
By splitting the Fine Risk into smaller portions, we can safeguard their capital and ensure that a string of losses does not result in irreversible damage to our trading accounts or emotional well-being. Additionally, this approach promotes a disciplined and structured trading mindset, encouraging us to adhere to their predefined risk management rules and avoid impulsive decisions based on emotions.
Remember, risk management is not solely about avoiding losses but also about preserving the means to participate in the market over the long term.
2. Establishing a Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The risk-to-reward ratio is a critical metric that every trader must comprehend to develop a successful trading system. It is a representation of the potential risk taken in a trade relative to the potential reward. For a well-balanced and sustainable approach to trading, it is essential to ensure that the risk-to-reward ratio is greater than 1:1.10.
A risk-to-reward ratio of 1:1.10 implies that for every unit of risk taken, the trader expects a potential reward of 1.10 units. This ratio serves as a safety measure, ensuring that over time, the profits generated from winning trades will outweigh the losses incurred from losing trades. While there is a popular notion that the risk-to-reward ratio should ideally be 1:3, what truly matters is that the ratio remains above the 1:1.10 mark.
Maintaining a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:1.10 is beneficial for several reasons. Firstly, it allows traders to cover their losses in the long term. Even with a series of losing trades, the accumulated profits from winning trades will offset the losses, allowing traders to continue trading without significant setbacks.
Secondly, a risk-to-reward ratio higher than 1:1.10, combined with proper risk management and a well-executed trading system, enables traders to accumulate profits over time. Consistently achieving a slightly better reward than the risk taken can lead to substantial gains in the long run.
3. Determining Appropriate Position Sizes:
Once you have a clear understanding of your risk amount and risk-to-reward ratio, you can proceed to calculate appropriate position sizes for each trade. To do this, you can use a simple formula:
Position Size = (Risk Amount per Trade / Stop Loss) * 100%
Let's take an example to illustrate this calculation:
Example:
Risk Amount per Trade: $100
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Stop Loss: -4.12%
Take Profit: +8.26%
Using the formula:
Position Size = ($100 / -4.12%) * 100%
Position Size ≈ $2427.18
In this example, your calculated position size is approximately $2427.18. This means that for this particular trade, you would allocate a position size of approximately $2427.18 to ensure that your risk exposure remains at $100.
After executing the trade, let's say the trade turned out to be profitable, and you achieved a profit of $200. This outcome is a result of adhering to a well-calculated position size that aligns with your risk management strategy.
By determining appropriate position sizes based on your risk tolerance and risk-to-reward ratio, you can effectively control your exposure to the market. This approach helps you maintain consistency in risk management and enhances your ability to manage potential losses while allowing your profits to compound over time.
Emotions and Psychology in Risk Management:
A. The Impact of Emotions on Trading Decisions:
Emotions can significantly influence trading decisions, often leading to suboptimal outcomes. Traders must recognize the impact of emotions such as fear, greed, and excitement on their decision-making processes. Emotional biases can cloud judgment and result in impulsive actions, which can be detrimental to overall trading performance.
B. Recognizing and Managing Fear and Greed:
Fear and greed are two dominant emotions that can disrupt a trader's ability to make rational choices. By developing self-awareness and recognizing emotional triggers, traders can gain better control over their reactions. Implementing techniques to manage fear and greed, such as setting predefined entry and exit points, can help traders navigate turbulent market conditions.
C. Developing a Disciplined Trading Mindset:
A disciplined trading mindset is the bedrock of successful risk management. This involves adhering to a well-defined trading plan that outlines risk management rules and strategies. By staying committed to the plan and maintaining a long-term perspective, traders can resist impulsive actions and maintain discipline during times of market volatility.
D. Techniques for Avoiding Impulsive and Emotional Trading:
To avoid impulsive and emotional trading, traders can employ various techniques. Implementing cooling-off periods before making trade decisions allows traders to gain clarity before acting. Seeking support from trading communities or mentors provides valuable insights and helps traders stay grounded. Utilizing automated trading systems can reduce emotional interference and ensure trades are executed based on predefined criteria.
In the world of cryptocurrency and futures trading, the fundamental principle of "only risk what you can afford to lose" remains the cornerstone of successful trading. Embracing this concept is essential for preserving capital, maintaining emotional stability, and cultivating a disciplined approach to risk management.
Understanding individual risk tolerance and breaking down total risk into smaller portions allows traders to navigate unfavorable market conditions with resilience. Maintaining a risk-to-reward ratio above 1:1.10 ensures that profits outweigh losses over time, while determining appropriate position sizes enables effective risk control.
Emotions play a significant role in trading decisions, and managing fear and greed empowers traders to make rational choices. Employing techniques to avoid impulsive trading, like cooling-off periods and seeking support, reinforces a disciplined trading mindset.
In conclusion, adhering to the principle of only risking what you can afford to lose leads to sustainable success in the dynamic trading world. By implementing effective risk management practices, traders enhance their chances of achieving profitability and longevity in their trading journeys.
📝👋 Feedback is super important to us! 😊
We would absolutely love to hear your thoughts and comments about the article. 🧐
Did you find the information helpful and well-explained? 🤔
Your feedback means a lot to us and will help us improve our content to provide better insights in the future. 😇
Thank you so much for taking the time to share your thoughts! 🙏 We're excited to hear from you! 💬
HOW TO START BUILDING A STRATEGY?As it is said, A strategy is a reflection of a trader’s character . Whatever sentiments/emotions you have, reflect in your trading decisions. At first, people think that, ‘I will use xyz indicator and buy here and sell there’, thinking it’s easy to have a method that is simple. But when reality hits, all the simplicity runs out of the window with your money. Trading is not for those who take it lightly. You have to respect the market before coming up with a strategy that suits your personality/mindset/character.
One might ask, what does personality have to do with trading? And that’s where all the secrets are. Newbie traders often run after YouTube channels, Twitter handles of some high MTM traders and try to copy them. They keep hopping from one setup to another. Because in the beginning, traders do not have the knowledge of risk management, importance of back testing etc. You should test your strategy for at least 100 trades before scrapping it. And that’s where they lack. But in my experience, you may learn the method from another trader but you cannot learn the mindset . You have to develop that on your own. There are certain ways of self-assessment when it comes to finding the right approach towards trading. Just because some day trader is making a killing in the market every day, doesn’t mean you can replicate the same performance too. You might be well suited for positional/swing trading. Just like that if someone is better in swing trading, you may be crafted for long term investing if not that even for scalping. There is a vast array of segments to choose from. From intraday to swing and scalping to options writing.
You can decide any segment as per your patience level. The only goal should be to make money. You are not here to be right or wrong. You are here to make a living.
Choosing a trading style is completely based on your patience level. If you are a patient trader then you can go for short to long term trading. Find the good setups, take the trade and sit tight. Your actions should be either target or stop loss. You can manage the trade as per your style e.g. , pyramiding or averaging.
If you are an adrenaline junkie, then intraday, scalping & F&O trading is your cup of tea. But remember that the lesser the trade duration, more the chances of losses . Because these segments are much more risky than those of others. You need the skill of a sniper & the eye of an eagle to execute such trades and come out of it profitably.
Now the question is how to decide? There are some ways you can shorten the learning curve, some of them are as follow…
1.Mentor👨🏫:
Mentor is the person who is willing to share his experience to those who seek to shorten the learning curve. Warren Buffet had Benjamin Graham, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala had Radhakishan Damani . Everyone needs a mentor, be it in the form of books or a person . Learning what not to do is more important than learning what to do? And that is the biggest lesson I’ve learned from my mentors . A mentor teaches you that in the most practical ways by showing some real-life examples. He will also tell you when to trade and when not to. Because compulsive trading is one of the major reasons why traders lose big. So, finding a good mentor should be your priority.
2.Self-Learning🎓✍️:
There are some successful self-made traders who learned from trial and error. But you need to check the time they took to be successful. It’s not impossible but it’s time consuming. Also, you need to have lots of patience and money as well. Because self-learning is like flying a plane by reading manuals. You have to do all the work from developing a strategy to back testing it and it's too lengthy process to start with. You can self-learn trading, but be ready to give it time.
3.Books📚:
Aahh books… the first love of any trader. For me it still is. I read as much as possible. The very foundation of my trading journey is based on reading. I read many books in my initial days. Some of them still help me today. But textbook knowledge is not sufficient in real time trading . You can learn patterns such as triangle, channel, cup and handle and head and shoulders. But textbook patterns are so rare that it’s exhausting to spot them on charts let alone trade them, unless you have a knack for them. It’s a good start but not the best process.
Above information should give you some perspective on how to approach the market and build your strategy. Strategy doesn’t just mean a trading setup (Entry & Exit). It includes everything from trade setup to your mindset. Find the best possible way, stick to it and follow the path. Eventually you will reach the destination.
Keep learning, keep growing…!! 💗✨
Support TradingView✌️
Agnc Investment Corp Price Prediction! To The Upside Here We Go!• Price Created The Bullish Continuation Pattern (Falling Wedge) Starting 2nd February 2023 Till 25th May 2023.
• While Creating This Pattern, The Price Reacted & Bounced Back From 0.786 Fibonacci Level 26th May 2023 Suggesting The Retracement Been Completed.
• 30th May 2023 The Price Broke The Falling Wedge Trendline Followed By Minor Correction On 1st June 2023.
• I Prefer To Enter It On 1st June 2023 Opening & Since Then Price Move Upwards & Reached Its Peak On 27th June 2023 Simultaneously Completed The Double Top Pattern Signalling/Hints A Potential Reversal To The Downwards. I Sees It As A Minor Correction Before The Price Goes Higher
• During The Downwards Movement, Price Reacted & Bounced Back From 0.618 Fibonacci Level. If You Entered On 6th July During The Retracement, Potential Gain Of 9.32% @ Usd 0.88 Been Achieved
• Now The Price Is Testing The Previous Double Top Pattern & Successfully Breaks It Only By A Shadow On 13th July 2023.
• Nevertheless, The Downside Risks Always Exists. Always Trade With A Proper Risk Management & Stop-Loss Intact.
Trading Strategy:
Entry At Usd 9.17 (1st June 2023 Opening Price)
Take Profit Price:
-Tp 1 : Usd 10.86 @ 18.54 % Of Potential Profit/Return
-Tp 2 : Usd 12.22 @ 33.26% Of Potential Profit/Return
Cut-Loss : Usd 8.57 @ 6.54 % Of Potential Losses
Entry At Usd (7th July 2023 Opening Price)
Take Profit Price:
-Tp 1: Usd 10.86 @ 15.01 % Of Potential Profit
-Tp 2: Usd 12.22 @ 29.18 % Of Potential Profit
Cut-Loss : Usd 9.05 @ 4.33% Of Potential Profit
-]Always Trade With Your Stop-Loss Intact!
-Trade At Your Own Risk (T.A.Y.O.R.)
Lets Continue To Monitor The Price Movements Together & Share Your Thought Below!
Preserving Your Capital Like A ChampIn the world of trading, effective trading capital management can mean the difference between success and failure. We cannot stress enough how critical this aspect is to long-term success. Today we will delve into the importance of managing your trading capital, the various strategies employed by many successful traders, and how you can implement these techniques to safeguard your investment and maximize profits.
Understanding the Importance of Trading Capital Management
Trading capital refers to the amount of money allotted for the purpose of trading your desired market. Proper management of trading capital is crucial for traders, as it helps them minimize losses and in turn, maximize profits. In essence, trading capital management is all about striking the right balance between taking risks and preserving your hard-earned money.
One key aspect that differentiates successful traders from gamblers is their mindset. Gamblers tend to chase big wins, hoping for a life-changing payout, while traders focus on consistently generating small, predictable returns over the long term. Don’t get us wrong, big wins can and do happen, and they feel great when they do. Think of trading as a really long boxing match. It's rare and impractical for a boxer to believe they can knock out their opponent by flying out of a corner with no defense and going straight for a haymaker each time. The foundation for success takes many consistent jabs, and an unwavering defense, much like trading. Traders who want to be long-term successful will prioritize risk management and capital preservation, ensuring that they can continue trading even after incurring losses so they can pursue consistent profits.
The Struggle is Real For New Traders
New traders often find difficulty in managing their trading capital effectively. This is primarily due to their focus on making profits rather than minimizing risks. The desire to make money can lead to taking unnecessary risks, which can result in significant losses. It is crucial to remember that every loss must be recovered through a profitable trade to regain lost ground. So why not implement strategies that mitigate that lost ground in the first place?
Strategies To Adopt for Long-Term Success
So, what are some of the techniques that successful traders use to optimize their chances of consistent profits in the markets? Here are a few suggestions to improve your trading capital management:
Implementing Stop-Loss Orders
Always trade with a stop-loss. There are countless ways to implement a stop-loss, and we covered this in great detail in a previous article that is linked below. A stop-loss order allows you to specify a price at which your trade will be automatically closed if the market moves against you. This is the most practical and easily enactable capital management technique you can use. Some would consider trading without a stop-loss to be one of the cardinal sins of trading, as it prevents you from managing risk effectively.
Utilizing Reward Risk Ratios (RRR)
Every trade carries the risk of making a loss. Successful traders assess their potential trade risk and potential reward before entering a position. Utilizing reward-to-risk ratios may seem complicated, but it doesn't have to be. Many traders will often aim for a reward that is twice their risk or a ratio of 2 to 1. So in theory for every $1 you risk you aim to make $2 in profit. Your RRR can also help you understand what your theoretical minimum win rate would need to be a profitable trader.
Utilizing this information is very handy when backtesting and forward-testing your strategy. In the early stages of a trader's journey, we highly recommend to keep a trading journal to keep track of these metrics. Keeping track of your wins and losses and keeping your RRR consistent offers deep insight into whether you are on the right path to consistency.
Managing Your Money
How much capital are you risking per trade? It's difficult to predict which trades will be profitable, but it's essential to risk a consistent amount on every trade. Coupled with an appropriate risk-to-reward ratio, this approach can help protect your trading account. For example, consider risking only 1-2% of your total trading portfolio on each individual trade with a maximum overall of 10% among your trades. This may not seem like much, but if you can remain disciplined with your stop losses and RRR you greatly increase the odds of success. If you have a small account don’t sweat it. It will help you grow that account size and compound those gains in a stable fashion that would outlast the method of throwing your entire account into each trade.
Hedging
Holding long and short positions on various assets in different sectors can help protect against any aggressive moves that affect the market as a whole. For instance, if there was a sudden 'flash crash,' the traders who solely went long would experience a loss or a potentially significant loss without proper risk mitigation. However, if you held both long and short positions, you could have made profits to offset the losses. Obviously, market events are hard to account for, but hedging can be a useful capital preservation strategy.
Focusing on a Single Asset to Limit Risk Exposure
Some traders prefer to concentrate on trading one asset to minimize risk exposure. This can be effective, especially when the trader has in-depth knowledge of the specific asset being traded. The potential downside is that this can limit your trading opportunities, but we highly advise this approach for new traders. Focusing on one asset can help you grow your experience and hone your strategy through a rigorously disciplined approach.
Consistency in Risk and Money Management
There is no one-size-fits-all approach to trading, and that's part of the beauty of it all. A strategy that works for one trader may not work for another. The key to improving your trading strategy is to adopt a disciplined approach to risk and money management. While this approach may not be as flashy as some in the trading community portray, consistently minimizing risk is an essential aspect of enhancing overall profitability and is a massive attribute to long-term success.
Final Thoughts on Trading Capital Management
Effective trading capital management is crucial for success in the world of trading. By adopting a disciplined approach to risk and money management, traders can minimize losses, maximize profits, and safeguard their investments. The techniques discussed – implementing stop-loss orders, utilizing reward-to-risk ratios, managing money, and diversifying trades – are all essential components of a successful trading capital management strategy.
Remember, the key to success in trading lies not in chasing the knockouts but rather by consistently landing the jabs while maintaining a stout defense. By following these strategies adopted by long-term, successful traders and focusing on preserving capital, you can improve your chances of obtaining that same long-term success in the markets.