Get started

Moneymanagement

EXPECTANCY: The Golden Key StatisticWhat is Expectancy? Expectancy is the one of the most important statistics in trading. Expectancy is how much you expect to make per trade. If you have an expectancy of 0.3 that means you make 30% of your average risk per trade. If you risk $1000 per trade, then you would receive $300 on average for EVERY time you took a trade. The baseline for a worthwhile & profitable strategy for most traders is an expectancy of 0.25 or higher. Anything more than 0.5 is outstanding. How do you calculate expectancy? A few different ways: (gross profit/# of trades)/Avg. Risk or ((Win%*Avg. Win)-(1-Win%*Avg. Loss))/Avg. Risk The table on the chart breaks down the required Win% and Profit/Loss ratio needed for an expectancy greater than 0.25. As you can see there are multiple ways to build a profitable strategy. What does Expectancy tell you? Expectancy is a crucial stat for traders because it lets them know if their strategy is valuable. The only way to know your expectancy is to track your trades! Tracking your trades is an essential part of the job as a trader yet many fail to do so. It can be done for free with some simple spreadsheet formulas and a bit of time. Track your trades, review your stats, improves your trades. Rinse & repeat. Thanks for reading, follow @Jlaing for more educational post about Money Management, Trading Stats, and more. I also stream a stock day trading chat room every morning at 9:15 EST right here on TradingView, come check it out and say what's up.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by JLaing
5 Ways to make Money OnlineThe Internet is one of the world's most revolutionary inventions. Not only because it puts all the world's information at your fingertips, but also because it provides opportunities that previous generations only dreamed of. One of them is the freedom and opportunity to make money through the Internet. However, the only remaining question is how to make money on the Internet and what all you need to do it. 1. Start blogging and monetize your blog Understandably, in any list about how to make money online, blogging shouldn't be missing. In particular, the important thing when you start blogging is monetizing your blog. The truth is that blogging as such won't earn you a lot money, because nobody will ever pay you for the articles you publish on your site. But, there are important things that you will earn. For example, it’s selling your own products and services. This is what will primarily earn you money when blogging. All you will need is to come up with a product or service that is in demand and sells well over the internet. You can also sell advertising space. This is one of the oldest ways of earning since mass media has existed and you can also use it because your blog can be a highly visited medium with a specific target audience. This means that companies interested in reaching that target audience could pay you for advertising space. You can also use affiliate marketing. Yet you don't only have to sell your own products/services, but also products/services of other companies as long as you get a certain commission for them. Last thing that you can do is sell premium content. If you have something to write about and can provide valuable information, you don't have to give it all away for free. Actually, you can make specific advice, techniques or advanced strategies available to paying customers whether in the form of subscriptions, online courses or ebooks. When selling, however, be aware that some forms of earning will earn you more, some less, and some not at all. You can take inspiration from abroad, but not everything has to work equally well for you. 2. Become an influencer An influencer is a person who has the power to influence people's buying decisions because of many reasons. For example, some of them are their authority, knowledge, position or the relationship they have built with those people. Influencers often have their own platform (blog, YouTube channel, fanpage with a large number of subscribers) and their fans trust them enough to give them a recommendation. Compared to traditional (mass) forms of marketing, influencers have the advantage of being able to reach a targeted group of people. Thus they increase the effectiveness of the marketing activities of various companies that approach them with an offer to collaborate. The sectors that are most worthwhile for you are: fashion, beauty, fitness, travel, lifestyle. As an influencer, you can make a lot of money. For instance, for one Instagram post, influencers routinely charge between €100 and €400. If you're in demand, you can get 5000+ euros for bigger collaborations. 3. Adsense advertising Adsense is Google's advertising system where you can show Google advertising on your website, blog or YouTube channel. Of course, Google will pay you money for it. However, it's important to note that you won't earn much with this form of monetization. This is unless you have a huge amount of traffic to your site or viewership of your YouTube channel. And by huge, I mean in the hundreds of thousands to millions of views per month. 4. Selling your services (freelancing or consulting) Compared to other forms of making money online, this is the fastest, easiest and can be quite profitable. You can even make money from home this way. You just need to create a website, put subpages of your services on it, promote it a bit and hope to get your first clients. You don't have to create a physical product, as the service primarily depends on your know-how and expertise. Actually, you can tailor it to the needs of a specific client. It can be anything, for example online marketing consulting, website development, coaching, interior design or wedding planning. If you're starting from scratch or miss portfolio samples or a website, try to compensate with an interesting way to reach them. Don't be afraid to do something for free to get started. 5. Affiliate marketing If you have your own site with good traffic or a database, affiliate marketing will help you monetize your website. This involves recommending products or services of other companies, for which you receive a certain commission. The amount of commission can be either individually agreed or determined by the company in its affiliate program. So, if you want to get started with affiliate marketing, you basically need: - an overview of web development and traffic generation (SEO, PPC, email marketing) - search for affiliate programs and choose the appropriate area Something will work for you more, something less, something not at all. The important thing is to quit what is just a sucker for your money as soon as possible and strengthen what works. If something works less, that doesn't mean you should stop it. Even smaller earnings, such as from Adsense advertising, can be used to fund your effective marketing activities and not just be taken as a form of earnings. I hope you found this publication interesting and 5 ways that we pointed out will be useful for you to make money during the bear market so that you can make a life changing investments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by vf_investment
AUDUSD Short (based on potential rate increase)16/11/2022 | 04:34 The price of gold stabilized near a three-month high on Wednesday as signs of cooling U.S. inflation boosted bets for lower rate hikes as markets waited for more. clarity regarding reports of Russian missiles killing two people in Poland. = traders are betting on a rate cut, so gold goes up and the dollar goes down "Gold is still largely pinned on the Fed....We can see gold continuing to climb from last week's peak, but it hasn't really found a terrific follow-up," Ilya Spivak said. , currency strategist at DailyFX. = Gold peaks and enters a dwell zone waiting for the next meeting “Needless to say wild card type factors may exist, like some kind of more aggressive and more immediate escalation in Ukraine, you could see gold turn reactive.” = Gold remains sensitive to Ukrainian news Data released on Tuesday showed that U.S. producer prices rose less than expected in October, further evidence that inflation is beginning to subside. The data, which follows October's weaker-than-expected increase in consumer prices last week, bolstered hopes that the US Federal Reserve may slow its interest rate hikes going forward. = Fed may be tempted to cut rates, traders say However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he saw little evidence that aggressive monetary policy tightening was slowing inflation, predicting more hikes would be needed to bring inflation back down. Fed's 2% target. = Monetary policy makers stick to their guns despite the numbers While gold is used as a safe investment in times of political and financial uncertainty, rising interest rates tend to tarnish bullion's appeal, as the metal earns no interest. = If the Fed continues to raise rates, the dollar will rise again and gold will fall
Short
by thefrenchsniper
Double position on OILNov 10 WTI crude has fallen sharply recently as US crude inventories have risen more than expected. = Lots of oil => falling prices Fresh Covid outbreaks in China, the main importer of crude, have raised fears that the Chinese government will stick to the zero-Covid policy, dashing hopes for a gradual economic reopening and a rebound in oil demand. energy. = Restrictive measures => economic slowdown => fall in oil demand => fall in prices Uncertainty about China's outlook has added to fears that an aggressive tightening campaign by central banks in advanced economies could push the world into a recession. = Increase in rates (west) => increase in currencies => fall in production Nov 11 China has reduced the time new arrivals to the country and close contacts of infected people must spend in quarantine. The country has relaxed a total of 20 of its Covid-19 rules, although its zero Covid policy which has disrupted its economy and lowered demand for oil remains in place. = Reduction of Chinese coercive measures => increase in global demand => rise in prices According to the FedWatch tool, interest rate futures markets have now priced an 81% chance of a 50 basis point hike in December. The Fed has already raised rates by 375 bps since March. = strong chance that the dollar will appreciate following the rate hike next month Nov 13 Mozambique has officially started exporting liquefied natural gas amid an energy crisis in Europe sparked by Russia's war in Ukraine, President Filipe Nyusi announced on Sunday. = possible increase in the production of Nat Gas Nov 14 China's Russian oil purchases are 'completely consistent' with Western countries' plans to keep Russian crude on the global market Beijing will benefit from the new price cap mechanism to be imposed in December, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Monday. Ms Yellen told reporters that China and other buyers of Russian oil will have more leverage to negotiate lower prices. "We see the price cap is something that benefits China, India and all buyers of Russian oil," Yellen said. = attempt to limit the increase in the price of crude oil The Tokyo Stock Exchange started down, landing after a euphoric session at the end of last week thanks to the sharp slowdown in US inflation in October, which could lead to less aggressive monetary tightening in the future in the United States. = slowing rate increase Shares of some of Australia's biggest mining stocks surged on Monday on hopes of improving demand for commodities after China reported an easing of pandemic restrictions and a reversal of its clampdown on the real estate sector. Shares of BHP Group Ltd., the world's largest miner by market value and a major producer of iron ore and metallurgical coal, have recently risen. Likewise for rival Rio Tinto Ltd. = optimism about the Chinese economy, growing energy companies 1. We identify economic cycles marking the alternation of growth and decline phases of the market. 2. Smoothed MA acting as a support for then the rebound on the Fib 0.5 extension. 3. Eliott's Corrective Waves started (Wave C missing) 4. High bearish volume between $88 and $86. 5. Fibo 0.38 could initiate an upward price rebound 6. Double top initiated in H1
TVC:USOIL
by thefrenchsniper
Making MORE Money 🤑 Side Hustle Ideas Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Times are tough. With forever increasing inflation comes forever increases prices of gas, food and other inescapable living expenses. Although the cost of things keeps on rising, our salaries unfortunately, do not. So today I've done something a little different, and pulled up a table on things you can do part time to make additional money. Please remember to hit like to show your appreciation for the efforts that went into this post :-) Let's break it down: 1) TRADING 📈 📉 Speculating markets can be challenging no doubt, but if you do it right and have the patience, you can most definitely make more than the basic savings cost the bank offers you (which is 3% - 5% per year, depending on your capital). Remember that these are ideas to make extra money . So don't go quitting your full time job and sell your house to trade, even the guys on Wall Street earn a basic. 2) TUTORING 📚 Tutoring can be a great source of additional income. The only catch with this, naturally is you would need some sort of education in the subjects that you are tutoring. The field for tutoring is wide. You could teach online, or at a student's house. Tutoring doesn't only mean math or science. Can you speak a foreign language apart form English? This could be an opportunity for you to tutor a foreign language! 3) HANDYMAN 🔨🔌 People need handymen for all sorts of reasons. Perhaps an old lady needs help putting up curtains, or the man next door can't figure out how to change his plugs. Maybe your cousin wants to paint the house, or build a shed... If you have a few tools, this could be a lucrative extra income. 4) MUSIC 🎭🎶📯 Can you play a musical instrument? Or sing really well? Many people would love to learn. Teaching them what you've learned can be a great additional income, and if you're good at it, high paying as well. 5) GARDENING 🌻🌼🌷🌲 Gardening is like pineapple on pizza - you either love it or you hate it. Luckily, this makes for an excellent opportunity if you enjoy gardening. If you're knowledgeable on plants, you could either offering landscaping advice or even put together a small team of workers to redo a garden. You could even stem plants, grow them and sell them... pure profit ! 6) CLEANING 🧼🧺 I have a friend who started a cleaning company when her children left the house... she now makes more money than her husband, who has a corporate job. She has a team of ladies who clean houses before people move into a new place or as they leave. But the options are endless. 7) RETAIL ⌚🎁👓 Perhaps the most common way to earn a profit, is to hunt bargains and sell products on an online platform for a higher price. The options here are also endless, just keep in mind import taxes and fees for listing on the platform. There are many more ideas to earn additional income on top of your salary, these are a few that came to the top of my mind. I hope you enjoyed this post today! _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
by CryptoCheck-
28
💲Amount of Return Necessary to Restore to Original Equity Value💲In today's educational post, I would like to share with you a post on: Amount of Return Necessary to Restore to Original Equity Value 10% - 11.1% 20% - 25% 30% - 42.85% 40% - 66.66% 50% - 100% 60% - 150% 70% - 233% 80% - 400% 90% - 900% 100% - ☠️ 💲Remember, never risk more than 0.5%-2% of your capital on one positions 💲Never lose money you can't lose 💲Take care of yourself and your capital <3
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by InvestMate
5
🏆 10 Trading Rules For Success 🏆🏆 Accept the losses . Losses are inherent in trading. There is no earning trader who will not suffer a loss from time to time. In the case of trading, a mistake involves a loss of capital, which can be painful at the very beginning of learning, but as you develop your skills and expand your range of competencies, you begin to understand that it is impossible to successfully win against the market without occasionally incurring a cost for this struggle in the form of losing trades. 🏆 Don't Risk Money You Can't Lose . Playing the financial market involves constant risk in which the most at risk is our capital which we trade. We can't afford to bet with money we can't lose, by which I mean money meant for living, savings, family money, selling usable items to fund an account with a broker. There is always the temptation that if only we had a bigger trading account we would play better and take less risk, which is of course nonsense. No matter how much money we trade with, whether it's hundreds, thousands or even hundreds of thousands we will always be tempted to play with even more money to make profits even bigger, unfortunately, most likely the only thing that increases is the loss on the trading account. Each of us must find the right amount of money for him, I would suggest at the very beginning to operate with money that we are able to recharge the broker in a few weeks, for some it will be 10% and for some 30% of monthly income. 🏆 Treat Trading Like a Business . Trading is such a business venture of ours, starting with the capital we have to put up to get into it, then developing a strategy that will bring us profits, after protecting ourselves from losses, including costs such as (cost of opening a trade, swap, spread), taxes. We can't treat trading as a hobby or as a job from 8-8. Profits on the financial market are not so predictable that we can say with a clear conscience how much we'll earn next month, and what's more, it may turn out that instead of earning, we'll lose. As for the fact that trading should not be considered a hobby, I can only add that trading requires much more focus and commitment than typical hobby activities, inherent in it is the theme of making and losing money, which for most is a very emotional subject. 🏆 Control Your Emotions . Control of emotions is a key issue in any field if we talk about the master level, from many interviews of professionals in their fields we can repeatedly hear about how control of emotions is of great importance in their field especially on the results they get. As trading is a competitive field. Someone wins someone loses. As our earned money is at stake, I don't need to stress that this doesn't make the whole thing any easier. The most important thing is to realize that emotions will occur and instead of suppressing this fact we should accept it. In order to control emotions, the most important element is to realize that we are under its influence. Because taking action under the influence of some extreme emotions is simply a mistake and it is best in such a case to step away from trading for a day and sometimes even a week to simply cool down. One of the best ways to reset your emotions is to sleep, take a nap and even meditate, and for all those who think that meditation is not for them, but only for tree huggers, I would like to introduce you to one of the famous personalities from the world of investment, which is Ray Dalio, who since 1985 has served as co-head investment director of the world's largest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates. Whose fortune amounts to $19.1 billion and has repeatedly mentioned that transcedental meditation was the best investment he made in his life. 🏆 Manage risk . Such a broad topic that I will prepare a separate post for it, in short, we need to determine what % of capital we can devote to one concluded transaction, in my opinion we should not risk more than 1 to 2% of capital per position. In my opinion, we should not risk more than 1 to 2% of capital per position. We must also take into account the possibility of correlation, because what does it matter if we open 10 transactions with a rate of 2% if all of them are concluded on correlated markets such as forex or stocks. Then our risk is no longer 2%, but in the worst case 20%. 🏆 Stay disciplined . Learning to trade should be perceived more as a marathon rather than a sprint, on our way we will meet many disappointments and failures that are inherent in learning any field, we must not give up, we must remain disciplined and focused on the final result, in trading there is no room for distraction and making decisions on the spur of the moment. Markets are not forgiving of any mistakes or distractions, sometimes one moment of absentmindedness can affect the state of our portfolio. As traders, we must remain in a constant circle of learning and acquiring new skills. We will not achieve any results if we approach trading once a quarter. Taking up trading should be considered in the category of a future source of income about which we want to learn as much as possible. 🏆 Know your strategy . We need to know and understand perfectly the reasons and the way to trade, we need to be 100% aware of when to take trades and when we are remote from the market. We need to know what risks we can take on a given taransaction when we close it and what we will have to do (if). 🏆 Forget The Holy Grail . Just forget about it, if you are still looking for an idle indicator that will only give you profitable signals with your only right parameters, forget about success. Trading is something much more broad and deep than just the intersection of two moving averages. There are so many factors at work on traders' decisions that affect price movement that we can't even comprehend with our brains. I'm not saying here that it's not worth using indicators or fundamental data. I mean only not to base your decisions on them and not to get stuck in a vicious circle of testing a new strategy every week. 🏆 Trend is Your Friend . I'm not going to elaborate here. You simply have a higher probability of success playing with the trend and that's it. 🏆 Never stop learning . Never but never stop learning, read everything that falls into your hands and you find valuable at any given time. Watch, listen read about trading meet other traders ask questions and never stop learning. Remember follow my profile fits perfectly into the circle of continuous learning :D 🏆 Like the post? Follow my profile for more!
Education
by InvestMate
5
Vivendi long long terme BUYFundamental: Currently, we know that the Vivendi breach exposed consumers’ names, addresses and financial account information. On October 24, 2022, Vivendi Ticketing sent out data breach letters to all individuals whose information was compromised as a result of the recent data security incident. While the total number of people affected by the breach remains unknown at this point, there are reportedly 92,074 victims in Texas alone. Given this information, it is likely that the number of affected parties is in the hundreds of thousands. Apple on Monday announced price increases on all of its services in its key markets, including Apple Music. The price goes in France to 10.99 euros per month, against 9.99 euros previously and the family subscription to 16.99 euros against 14.99 euros. Apple's decision benefits Universal Music Group (UMG) on the stock market, with the major winning 8.4% on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange. Vivendi SE on Thursday posted higher third-quarter revenue led by growth at Gameloft and its advertising and public-relations business Havas. The media conglomerate steered by the family of French billionaire Vincent Bollore said revenue climbed to 2.58 billion euros ($2.52 billion) for the quarter ended in September, from EUR2.48 billion last year. The result represents a 0.6% increase on an organic basis. Organic revenue growth--a closely watched metric--refers to the change in net revenue excluding the impacts of acquisitions, disposals and currency fluctuations. Revenue at Canal+ Group, the pay-TV business that accounts for the lion's share of Vivendi's top-line, slipped to EUR1.42 billion from EUR1.47 billion. Gameloft reported a 45% increase in organic revenue growth, thanks to the Disney Dreamlight Valley game launched in September. Havas's revenue rose 3.2% organically. Lagardère benefited in the third quarter from a rebound in its retail business in stations and airports, with overall sales up 35.5% to 2 billion euros, according to a press release. The activity of the “Travel Retail” branch increased by 61% to 1.1 billion euros, and “virtually returns to its 2019 level” before the health crisis. France, Europe and the Americas are growing strongly thanks to the resumption of travel, while the Asia-Pacific region remains down (+6.1%) due to the zero-Covid policy in China. The Hachette Livre branch, the other activity of the Lagardère group now majority-owned by the Vivendi group, for its part rose by 12% (or 4% on a like-for-like basis), to 780 million euros. Revenue from other activities increased over the period by 3.6% to 178 million euros (or 4.4% like-for-like). For its part, media activity (Paris Match, the JDD, and Europe 1) is down 6.6% due to a “sluggish” advertising market. On the outlook side, in an unstable environment marked by inflationary tensions, China's zero-Covid policy and Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Lagardère is continuing its efforts to control costs, optimize its revenues, and controlling its cash flow. "Given the performance of Lagardère Travel Retail, the Group is revising its overall outlook for 2022 slightly upwards," the statement said. Lagardère Publishing's consolidated revenue is expected to be stable in 2022. Profitability should be affected by a less favorable market trend in a context of inflationary pressures on costs, in particular for paper and energy: Lagardère Publishing thus expects an operating margin of close to 11% for the year 2022. TF1 also pointed to a loss of digital advertising revenue after the sale of Livingly Media and Gofeminin.de. The group's advertising revenue over the period fell to 327.9 million euros (327.7 million) against 360 million a year earlier. Consolidated revenue amounted to 553 million euros in the third quarter, up nearly 6% compared to the previous year, strongly boosted by the sales of Newen, the television production subsidiary of TF1, at the origin of programs such as "Versailles" and "Plus belle la vie". The group's parent company, Bouygues, worked for more than a year on a plan to acquire a majority stake in France's second-largest private television channel, M6, before TF1 and M6 pulled out last month. Their proposed merger, intended to stave off the rise of US streaming platforms, was driven by antitrust demands that made the deal moot, they said at the time. TF1 appointed Rodolphe Belmer as CEO just a week after the deal fell through. Belmer, former boss of Canal Plus (Vivendi) and satellite operator Eutelsat, will lead the television group at a time when competition from companies like Netflix and Disney is becoming more and more acute, the platforms interested in streaming ad-supported video. The group did not provide financial targets for the year. European Union antitrust regulators will decide by Nov. 30 whether to clear French media company Vivendi's (VIV.PA) proposed acquisition of French peer Lagardere, a European Commission filing showed on Tuesday. Vivendi put in a request for EU approval on Monday, according to the bloc's competition enforcer. The deal, which would combine France's two biggest publishing groups, Lagardere's Hachette and Vivendi's Editis, has already drawn criticism from French independent publishers, including its most famous one, Gallimard. Technical: High volume on 8.500 € level indicating the high increase potential. Standard Deviation indicator confirming the low impact of volatility on the market. Reversed head and shoulders pattern noticed and neckline reached. Support MMA20 leading the price to a higher level, over 0.382 Fib' level and probably 0.5. ADX indicator confirming the current strength of the trend. Money management: RRR: 3 Aim: +7.38% Risk: -2.41%
EURONEXT:VIVLong
by thefrenchsniper
✍️WEEKLY QUOTE: EXECUTE DO NOT PREDICT✍️..Why would you break your money management rules by trading too large a position relative to your equity or emotional tolerance to sustain a loss, if you weren't positive that you had a sure thing? If you really believed in a random distribution between wins and losses, could you ever feel betrayed by the market? If you flipped a coin and guessed right, you wouldn't necessarily expect to be right on the next flip simply because you were right on the last. There is always a point at which the odds of success are greatly diminished in relation to the profit potential. At that point, it's not worth spending any more money to find out if the trade is going to work. If the market reaches that point, I know without any doubt, hesitation, or internal conflict that I will exit the trade. The loss doesn't create any emotional damage, because I don't interpret the experience negatively. To me, losses are simply the cost of doing business or the amount of money I need to spend to make myself available for the winning trades. If, on the other hand, the trade turns out to be a winner, in most cases I know for sure at what point I am going to take my profits. (If I don't know for sure, I certainly have a very good idea.) The best traders are in the "now moment" because there's no stress. There's no stress because there's nothing at risk other than the amount of money they are willing to spend on a trade. They are not trying to be right or trying to avoid being wrong; neither are they trying to prove anything. If and when the market tells them that their edges aren't working or that it's time to take profits, their minds do nothing to block this information. They completely accept what the market is offering them, and they wait for the next edge. As traders, we can't afford to indulge ourselves in any form of "I know what to expect from the market." We can "know" exactly what an edge looks, sounds, or feels like, and we can "know" exactly how much we need to risk to find out if that edge is going to work. We can "know" that we have a specific plan as to how we are going to take profits if a trade works. But that's it! If what we think we know starts expanding to what the market is going to do, we're in trouble. And all that's required to put us into a negatively charged, "I know what to expect from the market" state of mind is for any belief, memory, or attitude to cause us to interpret the up and down tics or any market information as anything but an opportunity to do something on our own behalf.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Yelli_trades
28
GOLD & US10YFundamental: 10/17/2022 | 06:28 The price of gold rose on Monday after falling more than 1% in the previous session as a pause in the dollar's rally eased pressure on green-priced bullion, although looming U.S. rate hikes have limited additional earnings. The Dollar Index remained stable, while benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields eased away from the 14-year high hit last week. "Gold has rallied slightly from Friday's low, but buyers are lacking conviction, which looks more like a technical repositioning," said City Index analyst Matt Simpson. “The US Dollar and yields will be a key driver for gold, and if they continue to rise, then a move and test of $1600 is likely only a matter of time.” Consumer sentiment improved further in October, but inflation expectations deteriorated a bit, keeping expectations of another 75 basis point rate hike intact. Gold is very sensitive to rising US rates, which increases the opportunity cost of holding non-performing gold. Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 3.18 tonnes on Friday, their biggest one-day outflow since September 26. US retail sales held steady in September, against all expectations. Gold is very sensitive to rising US rates, which increases the opportunity cost of holding non-performing gold. Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 3.18 tonnes on Friday, their biggest one-day outflow since September 26. Australian stocks fall on recession fears and lower commodity prices. 10/17/2022 | 08:40 Australian stocks fell during Monday's session amid recession fears and falling oil and metal prices. Gold prices gave up their gains as the US dollar remained resilient. Technical: Temporisation area between 0.32 and 0.23 Fib and large sales volume over 1665.0$. Decreasing ADX and under 25.0 (16.30) + Bearish divergence on Momentum + Stochastic over 80.0 (overbought asset) + MMA50 tending to cross MMA 20. There's a positive correlation between BOND PRICE and GOLD PRICE (safe-haven assets) but a negative correlation between BOND YIELD and GOLD PRICE because of opportunity costs. US10Y is reaching the 3.957% point which could lead to a rebound on the resistance resulting on the increase of the price targeting (at least) the 4.000 %. Money management : 1 position BUY on US10Y 1 position SHORT on GOLD
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by thefrenchsniper
S&P 500 & US10YFundamental : 10/21/2022 | 19:24 US equities surged mid-day on speculation about the extent of monetary policy tightening (thus media speculation about the path of interest rates after November). Treasury (bond markets) yields fell following a Wall Street Journal report that some Federal Reserve officials are no longer comfortable with the pace of interest rate hikes. The Fed has raised its target funds rate by 300 basis points since it began tightening policy this year. The probability of the Fed raising rates in November by 75 basis points is over 92%, according to the CME's FedWatch tool. “Hope that the Fed can temper or take their foot off the accelerator slightly helps the market,” said Andre Bakhos, managing member at Ingenium Analytics. The US Dollar Index depreciated 0.8% to 112. The greenback weakened 2% against the Japanese yen to 147.27, falling from its highest level in about three decades. 10/21/2022 | 22:50 The S&P 500 index is up 4.7% weekly as positive third-quarter results drive strong gains, particularly in the energy, technology and materials sectors. This week's advance was driven by quarterly earnings that beat analysts' average estimates. Even as companies report challenges such as inflation and supply chain issues, many show they have still managed to beat street consensus estimates. That contributed to a relief rally after stocks fell in the weeks leading up to the results on worries about the impact of macro issues including inflation. All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 rose this week, led by an 8.1% jump for energy, 6.5% for technology and 6.1% for materials. Other strong gains included consumer discretionary, up 5.6%, and communication services, up 5%. The smallest increase was recorded by utilities, up 1.9%. 10/21/2022 | 22:50 Wall Street ends higher driven by hopes of a slowdown in monetary tightening. Some Fed officials have signaled their willingness to debate whether and how to signal a plan for a smaller rate hike in December, according to the WSJ. San Francisco Regional Fed Chair Mary Daly said the Fed should avoid pushing the US economy into an "unprovoked downturn" by tightening monetary policy too much. Stocks rise on Friday as the media report fuels optimism that the Fed's stance is easing. Technics: Range and MMA20/MMA50 broken on the rise this Friday 21st by 4 candlesticks (on a 4H vision) then rebound at the $3820.0 level. The Average Directional Index is below 25 which indicates a slide in the price of the asset in the short term (ADX based on a MA of a 14-day range), but is in the process of increasing. Bearish short-term momentum pointing to an upcoming temporization zone, an idea reinforced by a Stochastic indicator above 80 (indicating an overbought zone). In addition, there is high Volume at levels below the new support line ($3730.0), although this volume is mostly representative of the buying force. Money management: 1 position BUY on US10Y 1 position BUY on S&P 500
CME_MINI:ES1!
by thefrenchsniper
QNT//USDT Simple rules of risk management and trading strategiesCoin in the Coinmarket: Quant This coin is for work as an example no more, now there are many similar ones with similar trading situations. On the chart showed the trend, the figures that are formed, the support / resistance levels. The figures show the potential entry points in case of a breakthrough or holding the support/resistance zones depending on your trading strategy. I cannot know how you trade or what strategy you use. You have to adapt my information to your trading strategy and first of all to your risk management. Some simple tips for your work: 1) I advise you not to be like everyone else and not to expect super target. The target must be adequate. The smaller you set target, the more you will earn at a distance. When the price of a coin is rising through most of the volume, it is advisable to work locally up to +80%, so you will always have money to re-buy from the profits. 2) Complex % (using volatility) does its job. It can be used (the principle) not only on one coin (accumulation), but also on several coins without paying attention to the name of the coin (to accumulate profits from coin to coin). They should not be very many. 3) Remember—the level is not a line, but a zone. It is rational to work with a grid of orders. 4) If possible, protect your profits with a trivial stop loss. But do not place it too close to the main intraday volatility zone. 5) Do not work with a large number of coins, there is no need, they are all the same. Their rise in price depends primarily on the general situation on the market and in the world. 6) Take into account the phases of the market, including local character. Creators of individual crypto-funds will not raise the price against the general trend if people are afraid to buy at that time. Playing against the trend is more the exception to the rule. There is a time to buy, a time to sell, and a time to watch. The third phase should take you the longest. Most people are only in phase one, regardless of the overall trend. Don't be like that… 7) Trade with your thought-out algorithms (trading strategy + risk management + experience), not with emotions. Those who lose money in the market—trade with emotions and ill-considered fantasies – desires. The basis of your profit is your trading strategy and compliance with risk management based on your experience Recommendations for trading strategies: 1) If you work in shorts, be sure to put stops and use adequate minimum leverage. Margin trading is a nightmare for an inexperienced and very greedy market participant. 2) When working in the spot on medium liquid coins, it is more rational to wait for a breakthrough in the downtrend and on the pullback after the momentum with a significant (important) buyer volume to enter the market. It's better to buy a bit more expensive, but with more confidence that the trend has changed. But, it is not a panacea, can after a breakthrough and holding the price a certain time—the continuation of the downtrend. Options for solving the problem: a) stop loss. b) Money cushion. c) The first and second options in place. 3) If you really want to buy some crypto-coin before the break of a trend (you are afraid of not having enough time or you "know the exact future”), then don't buy with all the amount allocated to this coin. The first purchase (especially before a trend break) should not have a big % of the main planned volume. a) If the price goes against your initial purchase and decreases—work martingale from the specified levels (in addition to the position) to average the average purchase. b) If the price rises strongly by impulse, and you bought a small planned amount, then there are two options in this case: 1) Wait for a pullback and on the pullback to finish (but still not for the whole amount, you should have at least 20-30% cache at any pumping). 2) the second option, if the price has strongly increased and there is no substantial rollback—work with the volume, that is, and the rest of the money allocated to similar coins, which have not had time to grow in price.
Education
by SpartaBTC
17
JPY RIP?Last week was particularly rare week for the USDIndex. On Friday, the DXY gained 1.5% in the best 24hrs since march 2020. The probability of such event occurring was 0.01%. The USD has clearly been on an impressive winning streak as of late, is there more growth to be had? The Bank of Japan was lackluster as expected , but the ministry of finance surprise intervention caught FX Markets off guard, sparking a huge turnaround in the JPY. The efforts of the ministry of finance efforts are unlikely to produce a lasting reversal in the Yen, so long as the BOJ's QQE with Yield curve control policy remains in place. While the BOJ's interest rate decision went & came with out much kerfuffle, It was Japans Ministry of Finance that sparked a rally in the JPY. GBP/JPY fell by -4.73% while EUR/JPY fell by -2.94%, AUD/JPY & NZD/JPY rates suffered as well, falling by -2.49% & -3.85% .The standout pair was the USD/JPY, buffered by the FED, adding 0.28%. Intervening in FX Markets to support the Yen for the first time since 1998, the ministry of finance helped the JPY crosses their best weekly overall performance since the end of February . Now that the ministry its willingness to step into the market, the next question is has the weakness in the Yen come to an end? The answer is likely not , the ministry of finance's efforts are clear sign that the bank of Japan wont be relenting anytime soon. With all the other central banks hiking rates to combat inflation wile the BOJ continues to pursue QQE with yield curve control policy, the interest rate gap between the Yen & other major currencies will persist. I most definitely see USDJPY heading towards 150.000 , A +4.47% ( 642.4 pips) from markets current position.
Long
by xavierNF