Morganstanley
MS: Medium term bears!Morgan Stanley
Short Term - We look to Sell at 87.23 (stop at 89.69)
The medium term bias remains bearish. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance. Further downside is expected. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 80.98 and 79.00
Resistance: 92.40 / 109.00 / 120.00
Support: 81.00 / 72.50 / 53.00
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BNTC Gene Therapy Penny StockBTC Benitec Biopharma is sitting now at a key support from which we can expect a bounce.
We know that earlier this year they had a 7.5mil offering price to the public of $4.25 per share and that Morgan Stanley has a 5.2% stake in the genetic drug company.
Benitec's "proprietary platform, called DNA-directed RNA interference, or ddRNAi, combines RNA interference, or RNAi, with gene therapy to create medicines that facilitate sustained silencing of disease-causing genes following a single administration.
Market Cap 22.472Mil
My price targets are 4.70 and 5.70 usd.
Morgan StanleyHello Traders,
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Fractal dynamics analysis of commodities by CRB INDEXFractal dynamics analysis of commodities represented by the CRB INDEX in fractal relationship with the Morgan Stanley stock moved forward by 90 months, this road map detects the similarity of the Wyckoff phases and becomes a binoculars on the future of the direction of the commodity price , this study highlights a long-term future bullish trend in commodities.
INSTITUTIONAL TRADE: Long USDCAD – MORGAN STANLEYMorgan Stanley recommends a buy in USDCAD.
Rationale:
We think global reflation is largely in the price, leaving limited room for global growth to surprise to the upside.
US growth outperformance relative to Canadian growth (and higher US real yields) are consistent with USD/CAD gains. We think oil prices will struggle to rally above $70bbl, weighing on CAD, and investors are currently positioned short USD/CAD.
Key catalysts:
The BoC’s taper pace and output gap projection, oil prices, US Fed policy guidance. Over the next few months, we expect CAD to soften as the recent acceleration in global growth hits a slower inflection point, domestic growth meets (but does not exceed) market expectations and US real yields rise as a Fed taper approaches.
We think Brent is unlikely to rise above $70bbl in the near term, 2y yield differentials no longer exert downward pressure on USD/CAD, and investors are already positioned for CAD strength.
Positioning:
Investors maintained long USD/CAD positions for much of 2020 despite the grind lower in the pair. However, following CAD outperformance year-to date in 2021, CFTC data suggest that investor positioning has now flipped to being most long CAD among all G10 currencies.
That switch reflects two changes: a rise in long CAD positions among asset managers to decade highs, and a paring back of leveraged funds short CAD positions. Long CAD positions, therefore, mostly reflects net positioning among long-term investors.
While long CAD positioning mostly reflects wagers made by long-term investors, backtesting reveals that both leveraged fund and asset manager positioning have historically been contrarian indicators, rather than momentum indicators. A contrarian indicator means that long positioning means poor forward returns, and vice versa.
A similar picture emerges in other positioning data. A key trader survey (the daily sentiment index) indicates that investors are bullish CAD. While this survey has historically been a momentum indicator when investors are extremely bearish on CAD (i.e., bullish USD/CAD), it can be a contrarian indicator when investors are extremely bullish on CAD (i.e., bearish USD/CAD).
Risks:
The risk is that the USD continues to broadly depreciate amid lower US real yields and wider breakevens, which would likely push USD/CAD below 1.20 to a meaningful degree.
BNTC Benitech Biopharma we bought the dipMorgan Stanley disclosed in an SEC filing that it had increased its stake in the company by around 5.2%!
Don`t worry, it has still upside potential, despite the 130% increase in the Pre-Market.
Market Cap of only 15.37M
This is a 5X stock, Not trading advice as you know! :)
This was a private call from my trading group and one of my top picks for March.
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BURGERFI BUY IDEANASDAQ:BFI
What do Americans love the most? The good ol' hamburger!
The Numbers: (2019 Financials)
- $18.40 average transaction
- $13.01 average per person check
- 44.75% Prime Margin
- Adjusted EBITDA = $3,690 (In thousands)
Projections:
- 2021 Expected Revenue ~ $160 million
- 2021 Expected EBITDA ~ $10.5 million
Current Partnerships:
- Expansion of "Ghost Kitchens", 25 committed kitchens by December 31st, 2021
- US Air Force, planned bases in Arizona, Colorado, Alaska, Georgia, and Nebraska (For 2021/2022) Potential of more branch partnerships
Big Names invested:
Lion Point Capital - 2,745,938 shares
Morgan Stanley - 205,329 shares
All in all, whether this be a long term hold or a swing trade, the value area to buy into is zoned on the chart. Point of Control is located around $13.
Once entered into the trade, be sure to take profits if previous highs are taken out. If the value area fails, I plan to hold below it since the majority of shares were accumulated at $10.
Reference:
d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net
Morgan Stanley path and direction Hello everyone
Morgan Stanley has broken two uptrend trend line
It is not safe to go long however there is a gap up to be filled as show in the chart
the best place to go long in my opinion is the two gaps below that need to be filled
any question feel free to ask :)
Trump attacks Fed, UBS expects pound to riseUnfortunate week for oil buyers. Following the news about a possible increase in supply and weak demand growth in the future, as well as Morgan Stanley's forecasts about a 25-30% reduction in market prices.
Another disappointing news. The agency’s World Energy Outlook (WEO), published that oil demand peaks within the next 10 years. Recall that this week Saudi Aramco gave the oil market 20 years. According to IEA analysts, the current growth in oil demand will last for 5 years maximum, and then we will see a significant slowdown.
We are talking about long-term forecasts, so now oil may well ignore these estimates. But in general, the future of the oil market looks rather unsightly.
As for yesterday’s oil growth, it was largely due to verbal interventions by the OPEC Secretary-General, who tried to smooth out the effect of the above-mentioned news. In particular, he said that in 2020 growth in oil demand could beat forecasts, oil supply from non-OPEC producers could decline sharply soon. Despite the growth of oil yesterday, taking into account current prices in the market, we continue to recommend selling the asset.
Also, despite the strengthening over the last couple of weeks, we recommend selling the dollar. The further fate of the Fed rates is still in limbo, but the further decline will be a strong hit to the dollar. In this light, Trump's next attack on the Fed was quite remarkable. The US President accused the Central Bank and Powell of slowing down the economic development in the States. The Fed, unlike other leading central banks, did not want to divert rates into the negative zone, which harmed the US economy.
Such information at a time of the impeachment procedure, Trump gives reasons for the sale of the dollar. Moreover, you can sell it against euro, pound or Japanese yen. Also, the Canadian dollar in the region of 1.33 seems to be a good candidate for buying USDCAD (we are talking about the sales of this pair).
The British pound is another excellent candidate for purchases against the dollar. We have already noted that in conditions of an almost complete absence of risks of a “no-deal” exit, the current prices for the pound seem to us underestimated by at least 500-1000 points. According to the updated forecasts from UBS, our estimates are still very conservative. Since bank analysts see the pound paired with the dollar in the region of 1.54 over the next three years. Since we are interested in the time horizon in months, not years, the achievement of 1.40 with GBPUSD will completely satisfy us.
Returning to the situation with the dollar, we note that yesterday's data on consumer inflation in the US as turned out to be rather neutral and did not change the existing situation in the foreign exchange market.
Today we are waiting for GDP data in the Eurozone and Germany, as well as for retail sales in the UK. Besides, the attention of the markets will be riveted to the speech of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to the US Congress.
Morgan Stanley warns, Powell & inflation under scrutinyThe current week is full of informational events around the oil market. Which continues to play into the hands of sellers. Yesterday, for example, Morgan Stanley analysts warned that if OPEC + participants at their next meeting on December 5 do not announce a higher reduction in production (current volumes of 1.2 million barrels), then Brent quotes will drop to $ 45 (now the price is around 62). That is, the scale of the fall will be about 25-30%.
The chances of a new agreement are small, since countries that are not members of OPEC + are increasing production, so it’s not worth counting on the fact that Cartel members will aloud another loses. Accordingly, the downward pressure on oil quotes in December may increase sharply. Recall that this week we revised our intraday asset position and again recommend oil sales.
And a few words about the oil market, but in the context of our recommendation to sell the ruble. According to Saudi Aramco, the cost of producing a barrel of oil in Russia exceeds $ 40, two times more compared with Saudi Arabia, and in general, is one of the highest rates in the world (even higher than in the UK and the USA). That is, Russia is one of the most vulnerable countries in the world for falling oil prices. That is why we recommend the sale of the Russian ruble.
Meanwhile, ZEW data for the Eurozone as a whole and Germany, in particular, show that economic expectations are still pessimistic, so yesterday's downward pressure on the euro is understandable.
The pound reacted quite positively to the statistics on the labour market in the UK, but yesterday there were no strong movements in pound pairs. We continue to wait for news from the Brexit, but for now, there is none - we work with the pound without obvious preferences on the intraday basis - you can buy or sell it, also use the oversold/overbought time zones as guidelines.
Today, the reason for the pound volatility jump may be inflation statistics. Given that at the last meeting of the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee, two members spoke out in favour of lowering the rate, weak inflation data could well trigger a pound decline. We recommend using this for cheaper purchases.
Also, data on consumer inflation will be published in the United States. It will be interesting in the context of the fact that in the evening Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will speak to the Congress. The markets are now very concerned about what the Fed is going to do next. The current consensus is a pause in the Fed's actions. But any Powell's allusions to the possibility of an early rate cut will almost certainly provoke a dollar sale in the foreign exchange market.