BTC current candlestick patterns: Morning star vs. Bull PennantHi all,
I've been getting a few DM's and emails on what I think of the current price action. In past videos and written publications I have said that things got into extreme overbought territory on the shorter time frame charts. I mentioned that things could trade sideways and be a little choppy for a few days while momentum rolls back to neutral territory. If the bulls step up you'll see reactivation of the trend as momentum neutralizes before the next push.
I wanted to put out a quick educational content on two candlestick patterns and how to handle them. On the daily chart you can see a risk of Bitcoin forming a bearish morningstar reversal. However, on the 2 hour you can see a Bull Flag. So which is it? Are the bulls or bears winning?
Classical Chart Patterns:
1. Morning star Pattern - this can be a bull or bear reversal pattern. The current situation is perfectly setup for a reversal if the bears capitalize. It's a 3 candle chart pattern, which I have highlighted below. #1 - You have a bull impulse candle, followed by #2 a doji and then 3rd candle has to break below more than 50% of the bull candle #1. The doji candle looks like a star in this case and signals that the market has uncertainty where it's going as momentum is neutral. So the morning star reversal is confirmed if BTC were to break below the level I have highlighted in the chart. Which happens to be our buy zone. Now of course worst case scenario is that you put your stop loss just under this level and the market reverses only to stop you out and reverses back to a bull. This is where you need to pick a side and accept the fact that you maybe wrong and manage your capital losses. I'm keeping my stop at $3300 for now until I see further breakdowns below the market mainly because I can afford to take such a loss (less than 2% draw down on my portfolio). However you need to do the math and figure out what is the maximum hit you can handle without going over 2% draw down. Depending on your trade size maybe you can afford to keep your stop in safe territory with me because you didn't take on too much risk or you might have to keep it around that $3,500 level. Do the math and figure it out.
2. Bull Pennant Many of you already know the Bull Flag and Pennant pattern here. On the BTC 2 hour chart frame you can see this bull pennant forming. Ideally BTC is supported at $3,600. The way you measure the profit zone on such a pattern is measuring the length of the flag pole and then adding that back on top of the flag. This puts us right at $4,000. Bear flags you do the reverse.
Please do your own research and google these patterns and more to build out your knowledge base as a technical trader.
Regards,
Bobby
Morning Star
Possible long Setup. Breakout$DXR Looking like a good Long due to the breakout and it could continue past previous highs
if so then long it. but wait until the pattern shows it self.
Morning Star Candlestick Pattern EducationMorning star candlestick patterns can be strong reversal signs, but need to be traded safely as they are not always reliable, try to only use them at areas that are likely to be a “bottom” of a trend.
They consist of the first candle being bearish and large bodied, the second candle being a doji, usually tiny with a two distinct wicks and the 3rd candle being bullish, large bodied and surpassing 50% of the value of the first candle.
A shooting star is the oppiosite of a Morning Star.
I will be posting excerpts from a new in depth crypto trading guide every week on my discord:
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30% EDGE profit potental!Nice opportunity to profit from EDGE.
Price has rejected the lower trendline boundary creating a nice morning star signal.
Now we are in a strong downtrend still so we do want to proceed with some caution. Therefore I recommend taking profits at the 38% fib retracement level as this could very well be a turning point. That's still a nice 17% profit!
Second level will be the upper channel coundary around 3600 (30% profit).
Entry: up to 2800
TP1: 3340
TP2: 3600
EURUSD breakout?The price has failed to move above the previous high and has now moved back down, the price has managed to just about break the channel and move below the support level. A morning star has appeared just outside the channel, this may be a signal that the price is going to move back into the channel and this breakout will fade, if the price bounces at this point there is a chance that we may see further bearish moves. The RSI is currently in a bearish position and looks like a breakout may take place at this level.
My thoughts on DBXCurrently I'm in July $33 and August $32 calls just waiting patiently through the whipsaw. But technically speaking it looks like DBX needs to clear the 33.23 area in order to really gain some momentum to the upside.
The candle on July 11, 2018 could quite possibly be a morning star reversal if DBX can break out of its triangle. Line in the sand is obviously losing the low of July 11th's candle and/or the lower trend line.
Let's see what she does! Would be nice if DBX was bought out in the next 1-2 months ;)
BTC Bearish & Bullish UpdateLike i said in the morning - if we want to be bullish again we need a breakthrough right away from this area with another strong candle - we did it, almost!
Pushed through with a sloppy "Morning Star" candlestick pattern and are heading to test "FLAG" bottom trendline!
If today closes around $8400 then BTC forms in daily candle "Hammer" candlestick pattern (which is another bullish sign) and hopefully finally Consensus kicks in!
But if we just retest flag bottom trend line and find from there bearish price action then we are bearish again!
Good Luck!
BTC shows us BULLISH signs!Here is pretty good trade opportunity! We bounced from $9000 and there was a lot of criteria to meet:
1. 4h Chart Morning Star Candlestick Pattern
(Wait candle close confirmation)
2. Resistance Becomes Support
3. Round number $9000
4. Trendline bounce
Trade cautiously!
Best regards!