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Moshkelgosha

A possible forecast for the next 8 months!This is a weekly chart, I usually use weekly charts for the long-term forecasts! My approach may seem very odd at the very first glance, but if you are looking at the symmetric pattern of exponential upward and downward moves, it becomes clear that this approach could explain the possible price pattern in the chart much better! As you see pattern 1 is completed and pattern 2 will be finished in 6-8 weeks! Pattern 3 is pure speculative which must be considered after pattern 2, however, there is always a chance deviation in the forecasts! If you are trading bitcoin this chart may help you make better trades in the direction of the most probable longer-term pattern! If you like this chart, you can make this set-up yours by pressing the three dots below the chart, and then save the chart layout for yourself! I will update this chart as needed! * In a short time frame we always have some positive days between negative days! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by Moshkelgosha
4
Reevaluate your position means..!I published this post 2 hours ago: Entry: 136 Stop loss: 130.59 Reward/Risk: 2.67 (it is not Ideal) Target range: 150.44 Time Frame: 2 wks Possible gain: 10.62% Possible loss: 3.98% Position size: 5% of trading capital Jim Simons: We make our forecast. Then, shortly thereafter, we re-evaluate the situation and revise our forecast and our portfolio. We do this all day long. We're always in and out and out and in. So we're dependent on activity to make money." You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Moshkelgosha
19
Bull Flag or Downward channel that is the ???All the information you need about tesla analysis is provided in the previous analysis..! Tesla is the best EV automaker but its stock price is a different story..! Its volatility increased these days! Quant Funds and investment banks are ready to slaughter those who were bitten by FOMO..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. *You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!(Based on Option wall data) **Yellow line Shows Maximum Pain level.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Moshkelgosha
11
Target level for AffirmOn August 2, 2021, I published my first analysis about NASDAQ:AFRM when it was 64.71: Now it is on the WSB's list (rank 9 in today top mentioned) I believe this business model "Buy now Pay Later" could be expanding very fast in the future. A successful Australian Model "Afterpay" shows huge potential in this field. Affirm could reach a new all-time high and surpass the previous one..! and the gap in the chart may not fill in the near future..!
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by Moshkelgosha
3
What is going on in the market..?All major indexes have reached new lows today and bounced back a little, Which shows sellers are strong..! on the other hand they bounce back a little and none of them even touched the middle of yesterday's candle, which shows buyers are not strong enough! I think any trader in order to be successful should have a predefined plan for trading! That plan must look like an algorithm code: a combination of 0,1, and, if, or..! It means: IF A, B, C... happened I will open the position! But he should not forget to monitor his position! So, IF X, Y, Z, ... happened, I will close my position! But, What if A, B, C, .. do not happen for a while? The answer is I will sit calmly and wait for the next opportunity..! In other words, A, B, C to happen! One of the biggest trading mistakes is not defining a "No-Trade Zone"! I think we are at the highest level of uncertainty in the market, in other words, "No Trade Zone". One question: Did you define your A, B, C,...X, Y, Z??? Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:RUTEducation
by Moshkelgosha
11
ARKK forecast in the next 1-2 months..!10 months ago when I published my views about ARKK, I received so many bad comments..! I did not change my mind and never published a Buy analysis on ARKK, Why? Because I studied ARK invest at least for one year and I read the CEO background and her track record from the beginning! So many people who believe in ARK invest just looking at the last 5 years, but CEO has a fascinating story in 2008..! "Worst Performance" in 2008 and she did repeat it in 2021: -24% (40% from all-time high) in a year all indexes were positive between 13.7% to 27%..! Now the question is what is her big plan for 2022??? This year will be much more difficult..! I think her position as CEO of ARK invest will be challenged sooner or later in 2022..! She was wrong about Energy and Financial sectors and paid the price for that..! I think ARKK will go down to 70 in the first quarter of 2022..!
AMEX:ARKKShort
by Moshkelgosha
6
A review on my Rivian analysis..!November 16th, 2021: I think we are 1-3 days away from top formation! November 17th, 2021: Game Over! December 5th, 2021: Stock market bubbles don't grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception. December 9th, 2021: I think the RIVN chart pattern is very similar to HOOD and it could follow the very ae pattern and experience a sharp constant drop to 60-40 in a Bearish case..! December 20th, 2021: I believe shorting RIVN could be the most profitable in the next few months..! In less than 3 weeks it is 20-30% down! Recommendation: Please read George Soros's book: "The Alchemy of Finance" if you want to avoid such disastrous trades! Unfortunately, people just listen to those who talk to the moon..!
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
5
Tesla Option data could be more important than price patterns!Please pay attention to the details..! What is the difference between forecasting and prediction? Image result for forecast vs prediction A forecast refers to a calculation or an estimation that uses data from previous events, combined with recent trends to come up with a future event outcome. On the other hand, a prediction is an actual act of indicating that something will happen in the future with or without prior information. Based on the option data in the next 4 weeks, I think TSLA could climb over 1200 tomorrow and then bounce back to 1100-1050 territory! I will wait for a reversal pattern between 1250 - 1200..! The last 2 Short analyses: ( they both touched their targets) Previous analysis: Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. *You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!(Based on Option wall data) **Yellow line Shows Maximum Pain level.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Moshkelgosha
30
Rectangle Pattern!A rectangle occurs when the price is moving between horizontal support and resistance levels. The pattern indicates there is no trend, as the price moves up and down between support and resistance. The rectangle ends when there is a breakout, and the price moves out of the rectangle. Some traders like to trade the rectangles, buying near the bottom and selling or shorting near the top, while others prefer to wait for breakouts. (Investopedia) Double Top Scenario: Correction Wave Scenario: Conclusion: NFLX will go down to 575-580 in the next 10 trading days or sooner! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
This joke will be end soon!It may sound ridiculous now, but Doge has the potential to go down to 0.009-0.008..! I talked about it in May 2021, when it was 0.484 you can check the link of the idea..! it is now 75% lower, and I am 99.99% confident there will be no future for those who think Elon will give them a Tesla or a ticket to Mars and charge them with DogeCoin..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. *You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
FTX:DOGEUSDShort
by Moshkelgosha
12
Impending correction in Luna!It could experience a 15-20% correction soon! 85-80 could be the target in the next 2 weeks! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
LShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
The next 3 days..!Happy new year everyone, and Thanks for following me in 2021. The current Bitcoin price pattern is very similar to the price pattern during the correction between April-June 2021. In both cases, we see a sideway after a sharp drop. I think there is a good chance we see price action to 45.5 K in the next 1-5 days and then a 10-15% increase in the price up to 52K. This analysis will be updated in the next few days! Do not rush to open a long position! wait for a proper reversal pattern! Wish you a year full of success and prosperity! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITMEX:XBTLong
by Moshkelgosha
3
Banks could experience a bullish rally..!it seems Banks stocks have finished their correction and started a new rally! Keep them in your portfolio during high inflation times! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:BACLong
by Moshkelgosha
6
10-15% correction is possible..!All the information you need for entry, stop loss, and target is provided! Reward to risk ratio 2! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:SNOWShort
by Moshkelgosha
2
Using option data to forecast the underlying asset priceTesla will end the week between the Red and yellow lines! What Is Max Pain? Max pain, or the max pain price, is the strike price with the most open options contracts (i.e., puts and calls), and it is the price at which the stock would cause financial losses for the largest number of option holders at expiration. The term max pain stems from the maximum pain theory, which states that most traders who buy and hold options contracts until expiration will lose money For max pain: You expect his hedging activity to drive the stock price to that point. Open Interest walls or OI walls are a similar concept to max pain. Both rely on the option writer, which is the market maker, hedging the options he wrote. An option wall refers to a large delta-adjusted open interest on a certain strike. It is simply the open interest for that strike multiplied by its delta. It is important because it tells us how many shares market makers need to buy or sell to remain delta neutral. Market makers typically make money by harvesting exchange rebates or by performing arbitrage trades. As such, most do not have a directional bias in the market and strive to remain hedged or flat. The mechanic of delta-neutrality is simple. For instance, if a market maker sells a call option on SPY with a delta of 0.90, it will need to buy 90 SPY shares to remain delta neutral. As the delta-adjusted open interest builds up, so does the number of shares held by market makers. When close to expiration, a large number of these call options will be sold by investors, forcing, in turn, market makers to sell their shares. Therefore, if the market is above a large call option wall, it will create selling pressure as expiration approaches. This will preclude the price from freely moving upwards. The same goes for put option walls, but they instead create buying pressure .
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Moshkelgosha
9
Could Elon Musk surprise you this weekend?I will not be surprised if bad news comes out for Tesla or another silly tweet wipes out another 100 Billion dollars of Tesla's market cap..! Tesla Put/call OI: 0.87 (anything above 0.7 is significant) Next week Put/call OI: 1.17 (is very significant!) A couple of billion dollars bet against tesla with less than 10 days expiration, is not a retail trader's job..! It could be done by master market manipulators..! Read my November 5th analysis, one day before Elons historical poll! It seems some people know about the poll in advance: Put/Call ratio>2.29 in the next 2 weeks and 1.3 for the next 30 days! (November 5th analysis) Thank you so much for your dedication to making the platform better @TradingView I like the new feature "Idea" very much! Enjoy Holidays, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Moshkelgosha
12
The good days hve been past long time ago..!9 months ago, I published this analysis: the first target could be 97..! however, This time it could go down more? You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
AMEX:ARKKShort
by Moshkelgosha
5
Learning from the Alchemist of financial markets "George Soros"“Consider the statement, ‘it is raining.’ That statement is true or false depending on whether it is, in fact, raining. Now consider the statement, ‘This is a revolutionary moment.’ That statement is reflexive, and its truth value depends on the impact it makes.” (George Soros) What separates George Soros from the rookie traders who are gunning the market right now? Soros knows how to manage a trade. He knows how to take profits and he isn't just going to sit and hope when the market turns. That doesn't mean this is an easy game. The risk is high and so is the reward and if you are undisciplined or lazy you will pay a high price. I wonder what would be the grade of this analysis if George Soros would score these 5 analyses??? A friendly recommendation: Read George Soros Book The Alchemy of Finance if you have time..! It will help you to know the difference between stages of a bubble! Soros bubble theory: 1. At first, the market slides slowly upwards over time in a rational manner before the positive feedback loop accelerates the market 2. The market goes through a test where it drops significantly. If the positive feedback loop is sufficiently strong, the market will overcome the test and continue its climb. At this point, the market will start to disconnect from underlying fundamentals in a big way. 3. The market will continue its climb farther and farther away from the fundamentals. For an equity index, this may be represented by an increase in pricing multiples not warranted by probable future earnings growth. 4. At some point in time, the market will reach a twilight zone where more and more investors become skeptical and bearish. The disconnect between asset prices and fundamentals recognized by some investors will slow down the market appreciation rate. 5. At some point, for some reason, triggered by anything, the positive feedback loop will reverse and become a negative feedback loop. The negative feedback loop will quite swiftly develop into a frantic panic. Best, Moshkelgosha
NASDAQ:FCELShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
A review on December 15 analysis..!I received lots of interesting comments for the previous analysis: Some called me a certified gambler, some people believe folks see what they want to see, and some others said I'm completely lost..! but let's review the previous analysis..! Entry: 136 Stop loss: 130.59 Reward/Risk: 2.67 (it is not Ideal) Target range: 150.44 Time Frame: 2 wks Possible gain: 10.62% Possible loss: 3.98% Position size: 5% of trading capital My conservative approach (moving stop loss to entry(136) after 8% move to 2 days) closed the trade in 5 days! but the primary setting reached its target at 12 days..! I have a question for those who write that comments: who is lost? who knows when to gamble? and who can't see the obvious price patterns? You have no chance in today's market if you do not update the old technical rules! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by Moshkelgosha
8
Tesla target Price for the coming week!Tesla could go down to 980-1000 once again! the next support level would be 880-900..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Moshkelgosha
3