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Moshkelgosha

Still in the neutral zone!Google has made a flat bottom triangle! Fluctuating between 2800-3040 is the most probable situation for the next few weeks! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Enjoy the holiday season, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:GOOG
by Moshkelgosha
A Bearish Channel or A bullish Flag???Bulkowski believes any pattern above 3 weeks is a channel or rectangle, not a flag..! having said that any price above 1100 USD could be another good short opportunity! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Enjoy Holidays, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Moshkelgosha
8
A portfolio of 25 stocks for a possible January EffectHistorically, some days or months have tended to be better or worse for stocks. These so-called market anomalies challenged theories of efficient markets. However, research shows that as these anomalies became more well-known and trading became more automated, these have largely all disappeared. The January Effect is the perceived seasonal tendency for stocks to rise in that month. Since 1938, 29 out of 30 years of gains seen in January-February resulted in an average yearly S&P 500 advance of 20%. The January Effect is theorized to occur when investors sell winners to incur year-end capital gains taxes in December and use those funds to speculate on weaker performers. Like other market anomalies and calendar effects, the January Effect is considered by some to be evidence against the efficient markets hypothesis. In the below charts you can see the monthly performance of the Major indexes in the past decade! Golden squares show the monthly performance of the Januaries in the last 10 years! S&P500: Nasdaq100: Dow Jones: Russell 2000: Academic evidence suggests that any patterns in market timing where one is able to consistently generate abnormal returns are generally short-lived, as these opportunities are quickly arbitraged away and markets become more efficient as traders and investors increasingly learn about the patterns. The January Effect seems to affect small caps more than mid or large caps because they are less liquid. Since the beginning of the 20th century, the data suggests that these asset classes have outperformed the overall market in January, especially toward the middle of the month. Conclusion: I think based on the chart evidence and Data, Increasing the weight of smaller caps could be the best choice for the next 3-5 weeks! My 25 picks for the next 3-5 weeks would be in the following watchlist: www.tradingview.com You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. Reference articles: www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Moshkelgosha
3
Santa did his job..!S&P 500 has reached above 4700 level, 8 times since early November but could not hold above this level..! Let's see if Santa has enough energy to push hold this level..! The Santa Claus rally refers to the tendency for the stock market to rally over the last weeks of December into the new year. Theories for its existence include increased holiday shopping, optimism fueled by the holiday spirit, and institutional investors settling their books before going on vacation. You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Enjoy the holiday season. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. Reference article: www.investopedia.com
TVC:SPX
by Moshkelgosha
5
Long set-upEntry: 4050 Stop loss: 3900 Reward/Risk: 3 Target range: 4500 Time Frame: 4wks Possible gain: 11% Possible loss: 3.7% Position size: 5% of trading capital You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Moshkelgosha
4
WedgeWhat Is a Wedge? A wedge is a price pattern marked by converging trend lines on a price chart. The two trend lines are drawn to connect the respective highs and lows of a price series over the course of 10 to 50 periods. monitor for reactions to the red and green lines! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Enjoy Holidays, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Moshkelgosha
4
Falling wedges Facebook changed the name to Meta but it did not change the trend of the stock price! The market did not buy the Metaverse so far..! monitor for reactions to the red and green lines! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Enjoy Holidays, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:META
by Moshkelgosha
1
Flat Bottom triangleMost probable scenario: fluctuating between 318-350 for a while! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Enjoy Holidays, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Moshkelgosha
1
Descending broadening wedge?Monitoring AAPL's reaction to these 2 lines is important! At this time it does not seem Bulls have enough power to break the resistance! Neutral..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Enjoy Holidays, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Moshkelgosha
1
Choppy crypto market..!In the past 2 weeks, you barely find 3 candles of the same color in a row..! A choppy market refers to a market condition where prices swing up and down considerably, either in the short term..! or for an extended period of time. A choppy market is often associated with rectangle chart patterns and volatile periods where a trend is not present (or the trend is difficult to trade). A choppy market is one where the price makes little overall progress up or down; instead, it oscillates back and forth. A choppy market can occur during any timeframe and in any market. A choppy market can occur because participants are awaiting a catalyst, buyers or sellers are in balance, or the price is whipsawing due to conflicting reactions and opinions on a news event. A risky approach could be: Buy after 2 red days and sell after 2 green days! until we see a clear trend! Reference article: www.investopedia.com
BITMEX:XBT
by Moshkelgosha
2
where is the next support level for Twitter?Twitter underperformed and breaks the support line! the next support level could be 53-50-49 levels in the coming months! I think it may go down to 49-50 by the end of 2021. Do not forget this is the first day it gets out of the consolidation pattern! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor nor a certified financial analyst nor an economist nor a CPA nor an accountant nor a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:TWTRShort
by Moshkelgosha
7
This could be the end of Rainy days for Twitter!After 50% correction in the past 9 months, TWTR has made a Bullish AB=CD pattern..! You can also consider an ABC correction you like wave analysis! A review of yesterday post: Yesterday's trade set up which generates +60% in 1 day..! Option walls: 42-45 max pain 45 Buy call 42, Dec 23,2021 at 1.28, Stop loss 0.89 and target 2.7-3. Capital size: 3% Education: What Is Max Pain? Max pain, or the max pain price, is the strike price with the most open options contracts (i.e., puts and calls), and it is the price at which the stock would cause financial losses for the largest number of option holders at expiration. The term max pain stems from the maximum pain theory, which states that most traders who buy and hold options contracts until expiration will lose money For max pain: You expect his hedging activity to drive the stock price to that point. Open Interest walls or OI walls are a similar concept to max pain. Both rely on the option writer, which is the market maker, hedging the options he wrote. An option wall refers to a large delta-adjusted open interest on a certain strike. It is simply the open interest for that strike multiplied by its delta. It is important because it tells us how many shares market makers need to buy or sell to remain delta neutral. Market makers typically make money by harvesting exchange rebates or by performing arbitrage trades. As such, most do not have a directional bias in the market and strive to remain hedged or flat. The mechanic of delta-neutrality is simple. For instance, if a market maker sells a call option on SPY with a delta of 0.90, it will need to buy 90 SPY shares to remain delta neutral. As the delta-adjusted open interest builds up, so does the number of shares held by market makers. When close to expiration, a large number of these call options will be sold by investors, forcing, in turn, market makers to sell their shares. Therefore, if the market is above a large call option wall, it will create selling pressure as expiration approaches. This will preclude the price from freely moving upwards. The same goes for put option walls, but they instead create buying pressure. You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:TWTRLong
by Moshkelgosha
3
There’s no such thing as the goose lays the golden egg forever!“There’s no such thing as the goose that lays the golden egg forever.”– Jim Simons I want to start this post with my last Bullish analysis for NIO on January 2nd, 2021 which is by far one of my best analyses ever: Then my Short analysis when it was 57, January 30, 2021: And reviewing the Crash forecast for EV makers in February 2021: The challenge with no winner, June 30, 2021, when the price was 55: looking at the NIO performance table you see: 16% weekly, -26% monthly, -19% quarterly, -36% in the past 6 months, and -42% loss in the past trading year! In other words, anyone who bought the stock in the past year and hold has made a loss..! My new Target for NIO is 10-12 USD/share in the next 6-12 months! It may sound crazy, But not for those who follow my NIO analysis in the past trading year..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:NIOShort
by Moshkelgosha
9
Tesla,Lucid, or Rivian..?Tesla is the biggest EV maker, Lucid is a Luxury EV maker, And Rivian makes EV trucks that loses 62% of its range if it tows..! And it did not deliver anything so far..! They just manufactured 154 pickups so far! I believe shorting RIVN could be the most profitable in the next few months..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
12
Consolidarion after the sharp declince...!Major cryptocurrencies experienced a 27-40% decline in the past 3 weeks and now they made a consolidation pattern! Interestingly, they made 2 positive days followed by 2 negative days of small cycles, and they barely move in one direction for 3 days in a row in the past 12 days! This shows weakness and in the decision in the market! Conclusion: Neutral until we see a breakout! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITMEX:XBT
by Moshkelgosha
1
2100 is the most important support level ..!This is the most important week of the year for small caps! If Russell 2000 closed below 2100 this week, this must be considered as a rectangular top in the weekly chart! and we are less than 1% away from the 2100 level! The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap stock market index that makes up the smallest 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 Index. The Russell 3000 Index is a capitalization-weighted stock market index that seeks to be a benchmark of the entire U.S stock market. You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:RUT
by Moshkelgosha
2
Omicron could push Oil lower..!US oil price could drop to 62 once again losing its bullish channel after 82 weeks! Support level: 62 Resistance: 73 You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:USOILShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
Possible scenario for Dow Jones in the coming days..!Currently, DJI is below the 36565.73 (All-Time High) making a broadening formation. Broadening formation is a neutral pattern that shows random disagreement between buyers and sellers and high volatility! Scenarios based on highest probability: Scenario 1: It could be followed by a contracting formation with lower volatility. Scenario 2: Breakout and decline to the target level. Scenario 3: Breakout and increase to the target level. I would rather wait at this stage! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:DJI
by Moshkelgosha
8
Dogecoin and AMC ..!There are incredible similarities between the 2..! One is a meme stock and the other is meme crypto! Weekly chart: I think Dogecoin soon will be 10cens or lower! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
FTX:DOGEUSDShort
by Moshkelgosha
4
Apple New Target!It seems with the current market situation The conservative target of the past analysis has a higher chance to be valid: The above analysis is based on a Weekly chart and in the Long term has more validity! AAPL could correct to 160 in the next 2 weeks! Note: correction is a normal process in a bullish long-term trend! This analysis is for short time traders/Option traders! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Moshkelgosha
4
Shorting Tesla with low risk!Entry: 1175 Stop loss: 1243.50 Reward/Risk: 3.46 Target range: 938 Time Frame: 6 wks Possible gain: 20% Possible loss: 5.83 % Position size: 5 % of trading capital You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Moshkelgosha
17
Energy stocks for high inflation era..!it seems Energy stocks are ready to finish their correction and started a new rally! Keep them in your portfolio during high inflation times! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:XOMLong
by Moshkelgosha
1