Wall Street Bets Rank :2WSB tries to squeeze this one: 35-43 could be the target, however, they could push this even higher..!(limited trading volume )
Market Cap: 2.66 B
Shares Outstanding: 93.8 M
Average Trading Volume (10 days): 1.83 M
Shares Short: 8.7 M
Short Interest(%): 9.47
Days to cover: +4
Change in Short Interest: +20%
Ownership Breakdown:
Institutions: 13.2
General Public:25.5
Hedge Funds: 57.8
Individual insiders: 3.5
Sum: 100%
Option profile:
Total OI:
Put Call Ratio:0.39
Put OI:
Call OI:
Highest Put:25
Highest Call:30
Max Pain: 27.5
Open Int (30-Day): 195K
Moshkelgosha
Bitcoin runs out of steam once more!It depends on the time frame you are looking for, but it seems correction is more likely than the breaking above the resistance level.
Looking at the weekly and monthly chart makes it more clear!
Weekly:
Monthly:
Pay attention to resistance and support levels, closure below 50EMA will enhance more bearish case!
Short Squeeze will be likely in the next 3 weeks.Market Cap: 939 M
Shares Outstanding: 122.5 M
Average Trading Volume (10 days): 1.9 M
Shares Short: 27.9 M
Short Interest(%): 22.8%
Days to cover: 4
Change in Short Interest: -3%
Ownership Breakdown %:
Institutions: 83.2
General Public: 13.6
Hedge Funds:
Individual insiders: 3.2
Sum: 100
Option profile:
Total OI:
Put Call Ratio:0.64
Put OI:
Call OI:
Highest Put:6
Highest Call:8
Max Pain: 7
Open Int (30-Day): 150 K
short sellers will hurt bad in this one!Market Cap: 370 M
Shares Outstanding: 28.2M
Average Trading Volume (10 days): 451K
Shares Short: 28 M
Short Interest(%): 31.4%
Days to cover: 15.4
Change in Short Interest: -35
Ownership Breakdown:
Institutions: 93.1%
General Public:
Hedge Funds: 5.6%
Individual insiders: 1.3%
Sum: 100%
Option profile:
Total OI:
Put Call Ratio:0.63
Put OI:
Call OI:
Highest Put:20
Highest Call:17.5
Max Pain: 17.5
Open Int (30-Day): 20.3K
With zero general public ownership, this will be a battle of hedge funds when they want to cover their shorts..!
I wonder how they will cover the 30% short interest when 93.1% belongs to institutions???
Potential short squeeze!Market Cap: 2.47B
Shares Outstanding: 260 M
Average Trading Volume (10 days): 2 m
Shares Short: 8.5 M
Short Interest(%): 2.57
Days to cover: 5
Change in Short Interest: +6%
Ownership Breakdown:
Institutions: 59.4%
General Public:34.2%
Hedge Funds:
Individual insiders: 6.4%
Sum: 100%
Option profile:
Total OI:
Put Call Ratio:0.26
Put OI:
Call OI:
Highest Put:10
Highest Call:15
Max Pain: 10
Open Int (30-Day): 417K
You can find the trading Setup on the chart!
Why BABA will not go down more, at least in the near future!BABA experienced more than 52% correction in the past trading year!
Between August 16-23, we see a huge increase in the trading volume, and so far August 2021 has had the highest trading volume since November 2014.
BABA's short interest after an 11% decrease is 1.69%, which means no one thinks BABA is a short opportunity at this price!
I believe it could easily experience a rebound to 180-200, however trade war can cause stagnation, but a more bearish case is very unlikely..!
Why did this happen to ROOT???It is easy to talk about it when it is ranked 2nd mentioned ticker on WSB, but it is not easy to talk about it 18 days before it happens..!
You must study WSB strategies very well to discover these hidden patterns!
ROOT is one of the most shorted assets in the market: short interest: 21.96%, and recently this is increased 205 from 15.8M shares to 19.08M shares!
Now it is time to cover for short-sellers, and because of low trading volume, they need to fight each other in the long position to cut their loss, which causes crazy price movement..!
Check my analysis on August 12, 2021, when ROOT was 5.51:
Be careful this type of price movement will not last long..!
AMD on its way to follow NVDAI believe AMD can follow the NVDA price pattern and retest its previous highs and it also has the chance to break above it.
Short Interest(%): 5.82%, recently decreased from 89 M to 70M(-21%) which means a less bearish outlook..!
You can find the trade setup on the chart..!
Gamma Squeeze..!Based on the trading volume today could be the last day for this stock!
Market Cap: 477 M
Shares Outstanding: 24.2M
Shares Short: 6.18M
Short Interest(%): 25%
Avg. Volume (10 days):
Days to cover: 0
Ownership Breakdown:
Institutions: 65%
General Public:18%
Hedge Funds:5.5%
Option profile:
Total OI: 222,473
Put Call Ratio: 0.84
Put OI: 106K
Call OI: 115K
Highest Put: 7.5
Highest Call: 30
Max Pain: 11
Open Int (30-Day): 239,528
I strongly recommend closing your long positions!
A Non-Random Pattern..!Jim Simons: we should try to trade patterns that happen on a non-random basis..!
Now with higher confidence, we can say Wall Street bets are predictable..!
NYSE:AMC with a 22 billion market cap gained more than 20% in a single day!
Today's price*volume: 9.9billion second to BABA and 10% above Tesla..!
Why this is important? because the last time this phenomenon happened it was the start of a Gamma squeeze..!
I will not surprise to see it ranked first tomorrow!
To learn more about it please read my previous post:
August 23-24, 2021:
Max Pain or Short squeeze?
Is there hidden rationality beyond irrationality?
Short Squeeze or Gamma Squeeze that is the question?
August 20, 2021:
This is called WSB effect..!
In the past few days, I published posts about Wall Street Bets and how they conquered the market!
They are not just a group of "Apes" unlike what many think, there is a master puppeteer and a core behind this phenomenon who know market mechanics top to down, the power of social media, data analysis.
The master puppeteer has learned to survive in life and career with a false identity many years ago from his grandmaster..!
To wrap it up, do not take an opposite position this could last for a while..! Today was the largest gain and trading volume since last "Quadruple Witching" June 18, 2021..!
Is there hidden rationality beyond irrationality?Gama Squeeze Happens between Quadruple Witching Dates
When stock prices experience rapid shifts, the conditions may be ripe for a squeeze. In this scenario, investors may find themselves buying or selling shares of stock outside their normal trading pattern in order to minimize losses. A gamma squeeze is an extreme example of this, in which investor buying activity forces a stock’s price up. Gamma squeezes are often associated with options trading and they can be problematic for investors who don’t fully understand how they work.
A short squeeze is a specific type of stock squeeze. With a short squeeze, an increase in stock prices can force people who shorted the stock to buy back their shares.
How a Gamma Squeeze Works
Certain conditions have to be met for a gamma squeeze to manifest in the market. It starts with investors making assumptions about a particular stock’s price. Specifically, they assume that the stock will rise in price.
This leads to buying short-dated call options in the stock on a large scale. A call option’s value increases when the underlying stock it’s associated with increases in value. Meanwhile, this puts the institutional investors selling the options in a short position.
If this pattern continues with investors sinking more money into call potions, that can force institutional investors to buy more shares of the stock. This is a necessary step for hedging against the short position they now find themselves in.
The gamma squeeze happens when the underlying stock’s price begins to go up very quickly within a short period of time. As more money flows into call options from investors, that forces more buying activity which can lead to higher stock prices. Investors who purchased call options and sell when stock prices are high can reap sizable profits but the institutional investors who had to cover their short positions might see significant losses. (1)
Now lets review 10 famous example in 2021:
1- NYSE:GME
2- NYSE:AMC
3- NYSE:BB
4- NASDAQ:BBBY
5- NYSE:NOK
6- NASDAQ:CLOV
7- NASDAQ:SOFI
8- NASDAQ:WKHS
9- NYSE:FSLY
10- NASDAQ:NAKD
As you see all these spike patterns happened between Quadruple Witching Dates!
What Is Quadruple Witching?
Quadruple witching refers to a date on which stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures expire simultaneously. While stock options contracts and index options expire on the third Friday of every month, all four asset classes expire simultaneously on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
Quadruple Witching Dates 2021
March 19, 2021
June 18, 2021
September 17, 2021
December 17, 2021
I believe a new round of Squeezing has just started and VLDR and GOEV, two of the most shorted stocks are just the tip of the iceberg.
GOEV: Short Percent of Float 32.48 %, 32.3M, 10 days to cover..!
VLDR: Short Percent of Float 16.06 %', days to cover 4.5
Do you know Which stocks have the potential to be the next Short or Gamma squeeze???
Reference Article:
www.yahoo.com
www.investopedia.com
Falling Knife of Alibaba..!What is a Falling Knife?
A falling knife is a colloquial term for a rapid drop in the price or value of a security. The term is commonly used in phrases like, "don't try to catch a falling knife," which can be translated to mean, "wait for the price to bottom out before buying it." A falling knife can quickly rebound - in what's known as a whipsaw—or the security may lose all of its value, as in the case of bankruptcy.
What a Falling Knife Tells You
The term falling knife suggests that buying into a market with a lot of downward momentum can be extremely dangerous—just like trying to catch an actual falling knife. In practice, however, there are many different profit points with a falling knife. If timed perfectly, a trader that buys at the bottom of a downtrend can realize a significant profit as the price recovers. Likewise, piling into a short position as the price falls and getting out before a rebound can be profitable. Moreover, even buy and hold investors can use a falling knife as a buying opportunity provided they have a fundamental case for owning the stock.
Highest trading volume in a week since 2014..!
WSB : Number 3 on Their mentioned list!
Possible quick reversal to 190-200???
This is called WSB effect..!The goal of this article is to explain the Wallstreet Bets methods.
I believe all the market participants should be aware of their effects on the market and how they could derail any asset from a normal movement.
Let's look at some of their manipulations first:
1- NASDAQ:MVST
2- NASDAQ:WISH
3- NYSE:SPCE
4- NYSE:NIO
5- NASDAQ:FORD
6- NASDAQ:AMD
7- NASDAQ:MRNA
8- NASDAQ:NVDA
9- NASDAQ:TSLA
10- NASDAQ:AAPL
11- NYSE:PFE
At this point, you must be able to see the similarities between charts and also group them into 2 different categories!
Cluster 1: Small caps
Cluster 2: Big caps
In cluster 1: they usually target 100% or above
In cluster 2: The bigger the market cap of that company the smaller the wave they could push.
The big question is Are they predictable?
I believe their movement especially on the Topside could be predicted with acceptable accuracy if you know how to monitor their money injection.
Let's review some of my published analysis about their plays:
August 17, 2021, one day before manipulation ends:
NYSE:PFE
August 10th, 2021, right at the last day!
NASDAQ:MRNA
August 4th, right at the last day..!
AMD
Defining the hypothesis:
1-The Wall Street Bets phenomenon could be a very smart Algorithmic Trading Platform that creates bullish and bearish rallies by smart money injection or withdrawal, and it is not a group of "Apes".
2- Their target prices could be predictable using Option trades data
3- Their pattern of behavior is not Pump and Dump, but it is "Dump-Pump-Dump"
4- Most of their plays were in the ARK Invest's ETFs weeks or months ago.
I do not want to make this post very long, so I encourage my followers to read this article and looking at the charts carefully.
I will share my findings of WSB in future posts.
Moshkelgosha
Unreasonable Effectiveness of MathematicsThe Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics in the Natural Sciences" is a 1960 article by the physicist Eugene Wigner
Wigner begins his paper with the belief, common among those familiar with mathematics, that mathematical concepts have applicability far beyond the context in which they were originally developed. Based on his experience, he writes, "it is important to point out that the mathematical formulation of the physicist's often crude experience leads in an uncanny number of cases to an amazingly accurate description of a large class of phenomena". He then invokes the fundamental law of gravitation as an example. Originally used to model freely falling bodies on the surface of the earth, this law was extended on the basis of what Wigner terms "very scanty observations" to describe the motion of the planets, where it "has proved accurate beyond all reasonable expectations".
Another oft-cited example is Maxwell's equations, derived to model the elementary electrical and magnetic phenomena known as of the mid-19th century. The equations also describe radio waves, discovered by David Edward Hughes in 1879, around the time of James Clerk Maxwell's death. Wigner sums up his argument by saying that "the enormous usefulness of mathematics in the natural sciences is something bordering on the mysterious and that there is no rational explanation for it". He concludes his paper with the same question with which he began:
The miracle of the appropriateness of the language of mathematics for the formulation of the laws of physics is a wonderful gift which we neither understand nor deserve. We should be grateful for it and hope that it will remain valid in future research and that it will extend, for better or for worse, to our pleasure, even though perhaps also to our bafflement, to wide branches of learning.
I feel like I'm walking in a very very big Casino and I'm one step away from cracking its codes..!
My family name "Moshkelgosha" in English means Someone who solves problems..!
Reference Article:
en.wikipedia.org
Decision making week ahead..!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL increased 74% in the past 4 weeks, but still 24%v below its highest level!
In April 2018, the same things happened!
Now the question is what is going to happen in the next 30-33 weeks?
I believe the most probable case is going down, and this analysis will become obsolete only if we see numbers higher than 2.577 trillion dollars!
Do not forget Elon Musk's credibility decreased a lot among crypto fans..!