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Moshkelgosha

Market SentimentIt was February 18th,2021, I talked about big trouble in tech-heavy Nasdaq, most big tech companies experience a horrible month and they lost more than 30% of their value, yet struggling to take back the lost glory but no one can see any sign of momentum. Money changed its way from growth stocks toward underperformed sectors and industries like Banking, Airlines, Steel companies, and cash cows. Although in the past 3 weeks these underperformed stocks have gained momentum and experienced a 20-60% gain, today's first sign of exhaustion showed up while many celebrated a new all-time high in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones just touched its resistance. It is interesting that No one asks why Amazon, Facebook, Oracle, Apple, Microsoft, and...etc. with solid performances goes down instead of reaching new highs??? Don't forget, all markets start their pass to correction and crash just the day after their all times highs..! and it is one of the boldest features of the Bear market, that no good news could prevent stocks from losing their value!!! Please review my analysis(related links) in the past 4 weeks, it may save you lots of money!!! Moshkelgosha
TVC:SPXShort
by Moshkelgosha
13
Perfect time to short..!Potential price drop: 30-40% Reward/Risk:3 Timeframe: less than 1 months I always try to present the charts in a simple comprehensive format to prevent any confusion. This is just my technical view, neither a fundamental comment,nor a recommendation to trade..! Please review my track record and calculate the odds for yourself..! You’re likes and comments encourage me to continue this. Stay tuned great live stream and quality content videos coming soon..!
NASDAQ:CANShort
by Moshkelgosha
10
How Fragile ARKK is?Those who investing in ETFs and Funds, are usually cautious investors! But the question is how safe ARKK could be for the storm ahead..? ARKK, rewarded the investors 384% in less than a year, but lost 34% of its value in 13 days!?!? I believe after breaking its yearly trend line ARKK has a hard path ahead to reach new highs again, specially when Tesla the biggest portion of its portfolio does not perform well! Since ARKK heavily invested in growth stocks, its worst days has yet to come. Although it could go up to 135-140, but we have to wait and see if there will be a new all time high in coming weeks??.
AMEX:ARKKShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
Another bubble is about to burst in next week!FCEL is about to experience a huge down gap after its earnings next week. Almost no fundamental analysis supports a 5.6 Billion market cap for a company with a 17 million revenue/quarter. Forecast to become profitable in the next 3 years! 1- Almost 22000% gain in 20 months for a company without any significant change in revenue and EPS. 2-Similar price correlation with SFIX. SFIX experience a 28% down gap after earning calls. correlation study between these two shows a bigger bubble in FCEL. I believe FCEL makes a perfect case for a huge down gap after earning cal. it is better to insure your stocks with put options please read my analysis on November 19, 2020, for FCEL with the title of do you believe in HYPE? I put its target at 29.88 when it was just 5.36..! FCEL touched 29.44 on 10 Feb 2021, then experienced a drop to 11.07. please be mindful of the risk involved in options trading if you want to buy puts! Moshkelgosha
NASDAQ:FCELShort
by Moshkelgosha
13
It is an undeniable reality! Complacency phase!While newbies were hoping for markets recovery, those who have plans made themselves ready to benefited from BEAR market. If you look at the SQQQ weekly chart you will soon notice the reversal in trend and huge increase in trading volume, almost 10 times in comparison to 6 months ago. No need to say we see huge decrees in trading volume of stocks, and EV makers as front runners of the market since February 16. Please read my analysis on February 17, 2021, and see that I mentioned correction seems inevitable..! That day NIO holds price tag of 56, and Tesla was 794. I started writing bearish views from mid February 2021, and asked my followers to cut their exposure every week and use tight stop loss, 3 weeks ago I asked them to sit on their cash and just watch, no regrets so far! I started shorting the hyped and overhyped stocks and asked my followers to do that! There is a comment below my WKHS short analysis that one follower thanked me for 2000% gain shorting workhorse..! Two weeks before that people trashed me because of bearish views on workhorse. They forgot the I was putting my target on 40-42 when WKHS was 20-22. Past is Passed, let’s talk about current situation. We are at the beginning of a new era, yet most traders/investors are in the Complacency phase. They tell each other we should cool of and wait for the next bullish rally. Most of them think 1.9 trillion stimulus package will be their savior. Now let’s look at the reality, what happened in the market from March 2020 to mid February 2021 was the absolute definition of Melt up phenomenon. What Is a Melt-Up? A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly by a stampede of investors who don't want to miss out on its rise, rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy. Gains that a melt-up creates are considered to be unreliable indications of the direction the market is ultimately headed. Melt ups often precede meltdowns.(investopedia) The definition of meltdown will show up soon..! Moshkelgosha
NASDAQ:SQQQLong
by Moshkelgosha
16
What is the main reason behind a rally???Many people justified their claim for Tesla's share price with stories about its future! They are right, Tesla technology is unbeatable..! I believe Elon Musk is one of a kind Super Human..! But when I looking at trade volume, I see money started getting out of Tesla, and it started weeks ago! Look at the trading volume, 20 days average trading volume 2021 is 1/4 of 2020..! It shows me there is no money influx, not any more..! and it has changed to outflux! The real reason behind any share price movement is not how good a company is, but it is MONEY..! Money rules..!and if you think otherwise, sooner or later you will be washed out ..! Do not try swimming against the current, soon you will be exhausted and drown easily. In any market, your first obligation is to find the most emerging current..! look at my analysis of EV makers in February.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Moshkelgosha
18