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Moshkelgosha

Bears are stronger than ever (Post pandemic Era)The SPDR S&P 500 trust is an exchange-traded fund that trades on the NYSE Arca under the symbol. SPDR is an acronym for the Standard & Poor's Depositary Receipts, the former name of the ETF. It is designed to track the S&P 500 stock market index. This ETF has the highest trading price volume among all the publicly traded assets in a year..! In 2022, the 5-day price-volume average increased at least 60%, and SPY depreciated -by 7.57%..! Interestingly, the price volume has increased to the level of the pandemic crash in 2020..! This phenomenon clearly shows this can not be the same as the previous 5 or 6 corrections with the v-shape recovery. Do not forget the previous corrections that happened during QE, and there will be a QT in the near future..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Moshkelgosha
6
Safe heaven means ..!The year today performance of Gold, S&P 500, Nasdaq100, and bitcoin Clearly shows: It is Gold that is the best Hedge for High inflation and Bearish Markets..! The gold market cap is almost 12 trillion dollars..! Bitcoin Market cap is 800 billion, Technically it can not be the safe heaven for big money..! TradingView Pattern recognition: Show Gold is just at the beginning of a decent rally..! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Moshkelgosha
7
New Forecast: 30K or lower in 3 Weeks..!This is just my observation do whatever you want..! Bitcoin is nothing but the battlefield of algorithms..! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BITMEX:XBTShort
by Moshkelgosha
6
Bump and Run Reversal Pattern!This is my observation compared to the School chart article: As the name implies, the Bump and Run Reversal (BARR) is a reversal pattern that forms after excessive speculation drives prices up too far, too fast. Developed by Thomas Bulkowski. Bulkowski identified three main phases to the pattern: lead-in, bump and run. Lead-in Phase: The first part of the pattern is a lead-in phase that can last 1 month or longer and forms the basis from which to draw the trend line. During this phase, prices advance in an orderly manner and there is no excess speculation. The trend line should be moderately steep. If it is too steep, then the ensuing bump is unlikely to be significant enough. If the trend line is not steep enough, then the subsequent trend line break will occur too late. Bulkowski advises that an angle of 30 to 45 degrees is preferable. The size of the angle will depend on the scaling (semi-log or arithmetic) and the size of the chart. It is probably easier to judge the soundness of the trend line with a visual assessment. Bump Phase: The bump forms with a sharp advance and prices move further away from the lead-in trend line. Ideally, the angle of the trend line from the bump's advance should be about 50% greater than the angle of the trend line extending up from the lead-in phase. Roughly speaking, this would call for an angle between 45 and 60 degrees. If it is not possible to measure the angles, then a visual assessment will suffice. Bump Validity: It is important that the bump represent a speculative advance that cannot be sustained for a long time. Bulkowski developed what he calls an “arbitrary” measuring technique to validate the level of speculation in the bump. The distance from the highest high of the bump to the lead-in trend line should be at least twice the distance from the highest high in the lead-in phase to the lead-in trend line. These distances can be measured by drawing a vertical line from the highest highs to the lead-in trend line. An example is provided in the chart below. Bump Rollover: After speculation dies down, prices begin to peak, and a top forms. Sometimes, a small double top or a series of descending peaks forms instead. Prices begin to decline towards the lead-in trend line and the right side of the bump forms. Volume: As the stock advances during the lead-in phase, volume is usually average and sometimes low. When the speculative advance begins to form the left side of the bump, the volume expands as the advance accelerates. Run Phase: The run phase begins when the pattern breaks support from the lead-in trend line. Prices will sometimes hesitate or bounce off the trend line before breaking through. Once the break occurs, the run phase takes over, and the decline continues. Support Turns Resistance: After the trend line is broken, there is sometimes a retracement that tests the newfound resistance level. Potential support-turned-resistance levels can also be identified from the reaction lows within the bump. As you can see all the criteria are present! You can also find the same pattern in AMD: Reference Article: school.stockcharts.com You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Moshkelgosha
7
Tickets to the Moon have been cancled for a Foreseeable Future!Attention please, Attention please, All the Tickets to the Moon have been canceled by the Federal Reserve for the foreseeable Future..! If you have long positions on a margin account, be careful, you may get washed out sooner than you think..! If you have invested in small caps, the washout process will be accelerated..! The target levels in the charts could be the next stop, but they might not be the last..! Doctors in the Emergency room try to stop the bleeding wounds first to prevent the deterioration, and then they try to resuscitate the patients, Do the same to your portfolio..! Best, Dr.Moshkelgosha M.D. DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Moshkelgosha
11
Be ready for a very Agressive Federal reserve..!The real economy slows down according to Fed chair Jerome Powell since November 2021..! Inflation is at a record high in the past 4 decades and could become double-digit (above 10%) in 2022 if the Federal Reserve keeps pumping liquidity in the system..! If you review my articles about inflation since May 2021, you will see how this pattern was detected before it happens..! Current situation: we have passed the gate of Hyperinflation thanks to the passive Fed, Now we should wait and see how aggressive Fed will act??? When the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) changes the interest rate, it impacts both the economy and the stock markets because borrowing becomes either more or less expensive for individuals and businesses. Any impact on the stock market to a change in the interest rate changes is generally experienced immediately, while, for the rest of the economy, it may take about a year to see any widespread impact. Higher interest rates tend to negatively affect earnings and stock prices (with the exception of the financial sector). For further information read the below article: www.investopedia.com Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
FRED:CPIAUCSLEducation
by Moshkelgosha
22
How do you enterpret this observation?These are my observations: 1- MSFT correction in January 2022, was the biggest and sharpest correction since March 2020. (Post pandemic) 2- Highest Price-volume ever..(295 Billion) + Biggest negative monthly return since 2016. 3- Making a dome shape Top, after a sharp bullish move in November 2021, Some call this pattern Bump and Run. The bump and Run chart pattern is a remarkable reversal pattern that will help you spot the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one. What do you think??? For further information you can read this article: (interesting content, I can not share because of copyright) Zheng, Yuechu & Si, Yain Whar & Wong, Raymond. (2021). Feature extraction for chart pattern classification in financial time series. Knowledge and Information Systems. 63. 10.1007/s10115-021-01569-1. Extracting shape-related features from a given query subsequence is a crucial preprocessing step for chart pattern matching in rule-based, template-based, and hybrid pattern classification methods. The extracted features can significantly influence the accuracy of pattern recognition tasks during the data mining process. Although shape-related features are widely used for chart pattern matching in financial time series, the intrinsic properties of these features and their relationships to the patterns are rarely investigated in the research community. This paper aims to formally identify shape-related features used in chart patterns and investigates their impact on chart pattern classifications in financial time series. In this paper, we describe a comprehensive analysis of 14 shape-related features which can be used to classify 41 known chart patterns in the technical analysis domain. In order to evaluate their effectiveness, shape-related features are then translated into rules for chart pattern classification. We perform extensive experiments on real datasets containing historical price data of 24 stocks/indices to analyze the effectiveness of the rules. Experimental results reveal that the features put forward in this paper can be effectively used for recognizing chart patterns in financial time series. Our analysis also reveals that high-level features can be hierarchically composed of low-level features. Hierarchical composition allows the construction of complex chart patterns from features identified in this paper. We hope that the features identified in this paper can be used as a reference model for future research in chart pattern analysis. You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by Moshkelgosha
4
How many years need to recover???Do you think these stocks will b able to get back to their all-time high once again? While Inflation getting high and soon we will see rate hikes and they are burning cash instead of generating ??? According to the current data, they are not profitable and will not be in the next 3 years. Moreover, RIVN has less than a 1-year cash runway..! This means sooner or later RIVN shareholders will be diluted..! They both experience a -58 and -54% drop after the last time I compare them..! I would like to finish with Charlie Munger's quote: “Capitalism without failure is like religion without hell.” Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
8
In which phase do you think small caps are?What would be the point of publishing something without making the audience think about it? Questions: 1- Do you think there is a similarity between this chart and the picture below it? 2-If you think there is a similarity, which phase do you think small-caps are in? 3- do you want to learn more about this type of analysis? if your answer is yes, you can read the free articles: www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com www.investopedia.com Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:RUTEducation
by Moshkelgosha
6
A Trendless Market..!After that fast and fury market in January 2022, in February market is calm and trendless..! If you are looking at Tesla as the asset with the highest liquidity in the market, it is locked up in a 6% range and has no 2 green days in a row..! NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 are experiencing the same situation..! According to the Bank of America Global Research : The YTD SPX correction from early January into late January was 9.8% on a daily closing price basis. The midterm year data suggest the risk for more downside to come. 17 out of the prior 21 midterm years (80%) had SPX corrections greater than 9.8%. 15 out of these years (71%) had corrections of 15% or more. Nine out of the 21 midterm years (43%) had corrections of at least 20%. So this means we are in the silence before the storm phase..! Because March 15-16 is the next FOMC and they are going to decide about interest rate ..! Everyone looking forward to a rate hike, how much that would be??? No one knows..!
NASDAQ:NDX
by Moshkelgosha
5
The Apocalypse of Facebook!Today, tesla breached below the January 2020 level..! I remember many years ago Warren Buffet once said: "Facebook is a fantastic business, but I do not invest in Facebook because I don't know if it exists in 10-15 years". It seems the old guy knows things that others don't, it just needs time to prove how right he is..! Interestingly, all those clowns who said that have total faith in Zuckerburg before the earnings, now talking about Meta as a company with a poor long-term outlook! A Social media company that losing 1 million users/Day will not exist in less than 8 years, although it has 2.9 billion users today..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by Moshkelgosha
16
Bubble or no bubble that is a question???In this article, I do not provide my analysis..! I just present my observation and provide a glimpse of an article: Asset Bubbles Through History: An asset bubble occurs when the price of a financial asset or commodity rises to levels that are well above either historical norms, the asset's intrinsic value, or both. The problem is that since the intrinsic value of an asset can have a very wide range, a bubble is often justified by the flawed assumption that an asset's intrinsic value has skyrocketed, meaning the asset is worth much more than it fundamentally is. Some bubbles are easier to predict than others. When it comes to the stock market, traditional valuation metrics can be used to identify extreme overvaluation. For example, an equity index that is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio that is twice the historical average is likely in bubble territory, though more analysis may be needed to make a conclusive determination. (Investopedia) for further reading: www.investopedia.com The P/E data source NASDAQ website! My observations: 1- P/E trend is downward since June 2021 when we reached 45.65, 3x of the historical mean/median! 2- current P/E is below the pre-pandemic crash level of 26.42..! 3- Althogh big companies beat their expected earnings, they are trading below their all times high..!(except 5 oil and gas companies) The answer to this question is up to the audience..! Hint: Understanding Reflexivity The reflexivity theory states that investors don't base their decisions on reality, but rather on their perceptions of reality instead. The actions that result from these perceptions have an impact on reality, or fundamentals, which then affects investors' perceptions and thus prices. The process is self-reinforcing and tends toward disequilibrium, causing prices to become increasingly detached from reality. Soros views the global financial crisis as an illustration of the theory. In his view, rising home prices induced banks to increase their home mortgage lending and, in turn, increased lending helped drive up home prices. Without a check on rising prices, this resulted in a price bubble, which eventually collapsed, resulting in the financial crisis and Great Recession. (Investopedia) Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
TVC:SPXEducation
by Moshkelgosha
4
The similaries between bubbles!On the right side, you see Workhorse and Arrival, two EV makers (with commercial purposes) that lost 92-93% of their value in the past trading year! On the left side, you see Rivian which lost 71% of its value in the past 70 days..! I think there is a high chance Rivian go down to 15(-90% from its top) in a year or so..! current price is 60 which means you may lose 75% of your investment in less than a year! A bubble is an economic cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets. This fast inflation is followed by a quick decrease in value or a contraction, which is sometimes referred to as a "crash" or a "bubble burst." Bubbles are typically attributed to a change in investor behavior, although what causes this change in behavior is debated. (Investopedia) www.investopedia.com If you want more examples: SOLO, GOEV, NKLA, and RIDE..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
Cliff jumping..!Cliff jumping is jumping off a cliff as a form of sport. When done without equipment, it may be also known as tombstoning. I may not be the best person to talk about this sport when we have world-class athletes on the platform, but let's see my observation about the markets' situation in the past 3 weeks and see if it has any similarities with Cliff jumping! To eliminate the noise I use monthly charts: NFLX: AMZN: AMD: NVDA: Disney: SHOP: PYPL: BABA: PTON: COIN: ADBE: CRM: MRNA: RBLX: SQ: LRCX: NOW: SBUX: AFRM: UPST: ROKU: SNAP: TWTR: PINS: OKTA: NKE: CRWD: BLK: PLTR: RIVN: DOCU: TOTAL: Bitcoin: Ethereum: After these 35 examples, you should have no doubt about what we are dealing with in the Tech sector! While everyone is waiting for important financial data and interest rates this week, I think the market has already jumped off the cliff because of the fear of QT (Quantitative Tightening) and the possibility of rate hikes! The big question is if markets have a parachute, is it working? and how would be the landing? In the past 3 weeks, Big names like Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Tesla have shown resistance but what would happen if they join the jumpers? In the past month, 89.5% of stocks traded had negative returns! Reviewing my 2022 forecast: 1-The Energy and Banks sector could continue their rally in January 2022..! 2-Tech stocks especially those which still burn cash, will experience a hard time in 2022, and any positive must be considered as transitory! 3-Small caps may experience lower prices and even Negative returns in 2022. 4-SPX, NDX, and DJI could have 10-15% returns in 2022. 5-Keep in mind that 12 monthly rates of change decreased by half in the past 10 months for SPX , NDX, and DJI which means expected market ROI should be lower in 2022 in comparison to 2021 and 2020! 6-For small caps this phenomenon is even worse, they lost 85% of their gains, and continuation of this phenomenon could lead to a negative return in 2022. ( Fundamentals also support depreciation of unprofitable business in high inflation era) 7- 2022 will be the year for those who know how to handle high volatility! A year for aggressive portfolio management strategies! I will provide updates for this analysis as needed. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Moshkelgosha
15
The next 5 months..!I think what we experienced in the first month of 2022, was just the first half and there will be more correction in the next 5 months, however, the coming correction will be slower and more Tortuosity ! This is my analysis at the moment, however, the market is a dynamic phenomenon and anything could happen in the market! Keeping more cash and benefiting from sell opportunities after sharp bullish moves (like what happened in the first 3 days of this week) could help you have a better position in the first half of 2022! In 2022 market will test your patience..! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NDX
by Moshkelgosha
13
The biggest negative day in the past 513 days..!This is just my observation: Today NASDAQ 100 plummeted 4.22%, which is the biggest drop in the past 513 days (355 trading days) This has happened while, January 2022 was the hardest month in the past 3 years for NASDAQ 100 and ends with -8.52%. The significance of this event will increase if you know we did not have any positive candle with above 4.22 % in a single day in the past 14 months..! So far all the gains in the past 6 months have been wiped off and the 6 monthly return is -4.48%..! I think we should be very cautious to open long positions..! and those who approach the market with patience have the chance to buy at good bargains ..! What are the objectives that support my idea: 1- Getting out of the Bullish regression channel in the weekly chart: 2- Lower high and Lower Low Pattern in the weekly chart: 3- Bear power dominated after 93 weeks..! ( Bull Bear Power indicator) 4- The highest level of ATR in the past 5 weeks, which is comparable to the Pandemic crash in early 2020..! I invite you to think about it, and make the best decision for yourself..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Moshkelgosha
6
The Biggest Red Candle Ever..!Meta (Facebook) experienced the biggest red day in its history..! After today's -26.45 decline Meta is now officially in the Bear Market and 38.6% away from its all times high..! When All the gains of the past 18 months are wiped out in less than 5 months, this can not be a correction, But this is a very strong Bear market..! Read this Article once again..! What companies will join this red part in the coming days??? Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:META
by Moshkelgosha
9
ARK effect..!Assume you have invested your money and the fund manager keeps buying these stocks in the past few months..! ARKK in its best days had never reached NET NET fund performance! but at the end of the story will be the same..! The NetNet Fund, which is focused on Internet stocks, ballooned from about $10 million in assets in 1997, a year after its inception, to about $12 billion. The Munder NetNet Fund gained 176% in 1999, which attracted more than $1 billion in assets. The fund then dropped 90% in the following three years before it was merged out of existence. The 2008 story will be repeated soon..! No one is able to fight Mr.Composite..! If you are looking at these charts and see the same price pattern it is because the people with the same mentality trade the same asset with the same outlooks..! Lets review my analysis for these 4 stocks: Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:SKLZShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
Amazon Wyckoff Market Cycle..!Legendary technician Richard Wyckoff wrote about financial markets at the same time as did Charles Dow, Jesse Livermore, and other iconic figures in the early decades of the 20th century. His pioneering approach to technical analysis has survived into the modern era, guiding traders and investors on the best ways to pick winning stocks, the most advantageous times to buy them, and the most effective risk management techniques. His observations on price action coalesced into the Wyckoff Market Cycle that outlines key elements in trend development, marked by periods of accumulation and distribution. Four distinct phases comprise the cycle: accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown. Smart money taking profits and heading to the sidelines. In turn, this leaves the security in weak hands that are forced to sell when the range fails in a breakdown and new markdown phase. This bearish period generates throwbacks to new resistance that can be used to establish timely short sales. The slope of the new downtrend measures the markdown phase. This generates its own redistribution segments, where the trend pauses while the security attracts a new set of positions that will eventually get sold. Wyckoff calls steeper bounces within this structure corrections, using the same terminology as the uptrend phase. Markdown finally ends when a broad trading range or base signals the start of a new accumulation phase. Do you see any similarities between the Amazon chart and the picture shared below it? Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by Moshkelgosha
10
What is the common feature between PayPal, Block, and DocU?The simple answer is ARK invest and social media Fools ..! When on February 28, 2021, I wrote the article: The Social Media Trading Bubble comes to its end..! These kids (generation Z) called me PERMA BEAR..! After 339 days you can read that and if I were right or wrong..! I think most of them are now Near Margin Call if they have not been wiped out yet..! I am pretty much confident that this phenomenon will be called the "Social Media Bubble" in the future..! Do not be angry with me, be angry with those who offered these and promised you a trip to the Moon..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:PYPL
by Moshkelgosha
4
NASDAQ 100 and Total Cryptocurrency market index!This is just my observation in the past 50 days..! This correlation is so significant that is hard to ignore..! It seems we can use crypto as a leading indicator for tech stocks..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NDX
by Moshkelgosha
6
Indicision in the market..!If you are looking at the biggest name in the Tech world, you see they all made Dojis today..! After 2 wild days, doubt about the continuation of this upside move grows in the market! However, this is the first time since December 27, 2021, that we see 3 Green candles in a row in the Nasdaq and S&P500 chart..! Big tech beat their earnings estimates, but none has passed their all-time high in December so far..! Which could be considered a warning sign..! But for short-time traders, the story is different, they can be benefitted from this volatile market! The question is: How much volatility are you able to handle? I published this analysis Before the market opening this week (It was not public):
NASDAQ:NDX
by Moshkelgosha
7
The past 24 trading days..!I do not want to publish my analysis today, but I want to ask you a couple of questions and let you do the analysis yourself..! 1- How many red and green candles do you see? 2- How many consecutive red or green candles do you see? 3- How many consecutive higher highs do you see? (Nasdaq reaching a new high in the next trading day in comparison to the previous day) 4- How many consecutive lower lows do you see? (Nasdaq reaching a new low in the next trading day in comparison to the previous day) 5- What is the net outcome of January 2022? You can look at the performance table in the right upper corner and see what has happened..! Answering all these questions will help you plan for the near future..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by Moshkelgosha
8