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Benchmarking a trend with a moving average (Example: Gold)They say a bad workman blames his tools. Quite often, good work means using the right tools. In a trend you need to use trend-following tools - and the most famous indicator is the moving average. When it's a fast-moving trend, you need to use averages taken over shorter periods (e.g. 20 day SMA > 200 day SMA). Likewise a slower trend needs averages taken over longer periods (e.g. 20 week > 50 day). Gold has just bounced off the 20 week moving average for the fourth time. The market is clearly benchmarking this trend according to this specific average. So while the price is above this moving average the trend is intact - and when it eventually breaks below it will be an important signal that the strength of the trend has weakened - and could be about to reverse. On the daily chart a rising trendline has broken but we would argue the reason the rebound off the low has been so strong is because the price rebounded off the 20 week moving average. For now our bias is bullish but there are no good risk:reward opportunities to buy and it remains unclear whether the short term uptrend can continue after the trendline break
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by jasperlawler
7
Analysis of Moving average stock (26/Nov/2024)Analysis of Moving average stock (25/Nov/2024) follow for more updates and information Understanding and analysing moving averages is vital when executing technical analysis on stocks and finding ideal stocks to invest in that match the investment strategy. However, finding stocks that fulfil the set moving average criteria is difficult as it requires taking stocks individually and determining if their moving average matches the criteria included in the investment strategy. The process is highly time-consuming and may lead to manual errors, forcing investors to make the wrong investment decisions. A moving average screener is an ideal tool that assists investors in filtering thousands of stocks based on their moving averages to produce a list of stocks that have the same moving averages as the criteria set by the user. Investors can customise moving average stock screeners to meet specific criteria based on the trader's or investor's preferences. For example, some traders may use moving average crossovers to identify entry and exit points in a trade, while others may use moving average trends to identify long-term investment opportunities. However, investors must use the screeners along with other technical indicators and tools to make informed investment decisions.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by ARROWINDEX
Gold Intraday Tues.12NOV.24: Price struggling to bounce on 1HRThe Gold price downward move is taking a breather. But I see that a recent 1HR bounce on the RSI did not gain any momentum from the bulls. The 4HR chart is also stalling re the same. 2 charts from 1 link are enclosed and attached. So any significant move up by Gold on the 4HR chart (left) I would be watching the 200EMA which coincides with an important Fib level to see if price gets rejected, which I would expect to occur. But I don't think price will bounce that far up. In other words, a further move down is more likely. We see on the Daily chart that price is now just under the 50EMA, so Gold-bears are moving on this, but we have an even greater bearish view of Gold once price moves under the 200EMA, which is really not that far down from current price (right of screen). Thanks for reading. Monitor closely any Short-trading in Gold with stop losses, as sentiment can quickly change bullish, especially on economic news generally at the start of the NY session, but also remember that Bitcoin is not the only one in a bull-market, the same can be said that Gold continues in a Bull-market-run and what we are witnessing is a healthy correction, where price temporarily falls, for example from 2 days to 2 months. This is why price can easily bust to the upside again 'at the drop of a hat', because that is the path of least resistance.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
How to Use Exponential Moving Averages?The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is one of the most popular technical indicators for traders, known for its sensitivity to recent price changes and ability to reveal trends in real-time. This is certainly not a 100% grail or a super indicator! But I would recommend not to ignore EMA during backtests What is the Exponential Moving Average (EMA)? The EMA is a moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, allowing it to react faster to price changes compared to the SMA. This quality makes EMA especially valuable in volatile markets like cryptocurrencies, forex, and stocks. Typically, traders use the EMA to smooth price data, making it easier to spot trends and reversals. Key EMA Timeframes: Short-Term: 10-20 EMA (for quick trades and scalping) Medium-Term: 50 EMA (commonly used to gauge trend direction) Long-Term: 100-200 EMA (used to assess overall market sentiment) Why Use EMA in Trading? The EMA helps traders identify the trend direction, evaluate market momentum, and recognize possible reversal points. Because the EMA adjusts quickly to price changes, it is effective for day trading, intraday trading, and even longer-term investing. Its responsiveness is particularly useful for: Trend Confirmation: The EMA helps traders confirm if a trend is upward or downward. Multiple EMAs used in combination can highlight potential crossovers that signal trend shifts. Entry and Exit Signals: EMA crossovers and support/resistance levels can serve as effective entry and exit points. Momentum Assessment: Short-term EMAs provide insight into current momentum, while longer-term EMAs reveal broader market sentiment. Pros and Cons of Using EMA in Trading Pros: Reactiveness: EMA adjusts quickly to new price movements, helping identify trends sooner than SMA. Versatility: Suitable for various timeframes, from scalping to swing trading. Clear Signals: Effective in trending markets for capturing entry and exit points. Cons: Sensitivity to Noise: EMA is more susceptible to market “noise” or erratic price swings, leading to potential false signals in choppy markets. Not Ideal for Ranging Markets: EMA is less effective in sideways or consolidating markets. Tips for Trading with EMA Use EMA in Trending Markets: EMA performs best when there is a clear trend. In ranging markets, signals are less reliable. Combine EMA with Other Indicators: Use indicators like RSI or MACD to confirm EMA signals and reduce the chances of false breakouts. Stick to Risk Management Rules: EMAs, while effective, are not foolproof. Always set stop-loss levels and use proper position sizing to manage risk effectively. Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. --- • Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ • For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Education
by Crypto4light
2
WBD bottoming in process, turnaround soon? Target 70 USD +Following WBD for quiet a few years, and we could witness now a bottoming process, where either we have the lows already in, or we should be near to it. On the several year-prospect we had already a wave 1 (or A wave) to the upside, with a wave 2 several year pullback as either as a-b-c (with an overshooting b wave to the upside), or a WXY structure. Yellow route is the alternative route for now, which highlights one more bigger swing lows arriving (and that currently we might be in yellow wavecounts, where price action SHOULD hold the 8.30-8.40 USD mark and not break below comfortably. (Secondary scenario) Primary scenario where I watching primary a bottoming process is the white route where the white big wave (2) is already in at ~8.80 USD. As the weekly and daily MACD/RSI showing bullish divergence, and also the runup having clearly impulsive characteristic from that bottom, I am leaning towards this scenario. Be aware, yellow is still not invalidated though. I am re-publishing the idea, since the previous one got flagged for house-rule-violation.
NASDAQ:WBDLong
by tommtajlor
29
CHFJPY in important resistance area; yen to strengthen?CHFJPY in important resistance area on daily chart; yen to strengthen? The Swiss franc and Japanese yen currency pair (CHFJPY) has maintained a steady uptrend on the daily chart since 2020, consistently trading above the 200-period Moving Average. However, in September, CHFJPY dipped below the SMA200 for the first time, signaling a potential increase in selling pressure and indicating a stronger appreciation of the yen against the franc. This yen appreciation aligns with Japan’s recent shift in monetary policy – the Bank of Japan had kept interest rates in negative territory since 2016. On July 31, Japan raised its key interest rate for the second time in 2024, bringing it to 0.25%. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has consecutively lowered interest rates during its last three meetings. Technical indicators point to potential downward pressure on CHFJPY From a technical perspective, after breaking below the SMA200 on the daily chart, CHFJPY retested it from below, suggesting that the SMA200 may now act as a level of resistance. The price also reached the 50% retracement level of the bearish Fibonacci on the daily chart, which could serve as potential resistance. A double top pattern is also forming in the same Fibonacci region. From a technical standpoint, a confluence of factors can be seen: 1. The SMA200 was broken, previously acting as support, and could now serve as resistance. 2. A retracement to the 50% level of the bearish Fibonacci, which could also act as resistance. 3. A double top forming on the daily chart. From a macroeconomic perspective, the following is affecting CHFJPY: 1. A shift in Japan’s monetary policy with two interest rate hikes this year. 2. Monetary easing in Switzerland – the SNB has cut the policy rate three times in 2024. It currently stands at 1% – the lowest level since early 2023. These factors create a context where a potential short opportunity could become more apparent if the price breaks below 171.30. If that occurs, CHFJPY could decline to the 167.10 level within a few days, where it may encounter some support. Disclaimer: 76.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
Litecoin - LTC Free Fall to $60 ??Although Litecoin did not make the Top Altcoins for 2024 list - it is an old timer. And by this, I basically mean that it can (and will) still be traded. From the 4h, we see some beautiful swings that can be very profitable trades, with the right entry points. It seems the entire market is turning down following BTC. This however, could result in some good entry points and lower buying orders being filled. Getting in at the RIGHT price is one of Warren Buffet's key investment strategies. Find out more on that, here: ____________________________ BINANCE:LTCUSDT
Short
by CryptoCheck-
Bitcoin and Moving Averages - Are they worth using ?Bitcoin Daily and Weekly Charts with SMA ribbons - 2 stories This is the channel BTC has been in since Jan 2023. We broke out of it on Feb 2024 and returned into it in July 2024 The main image is the weekly chart and we can see how, as a result of this Long term Rise since Jan 2023, The SMA's have begun crossing Bullish with the 100 (blue ) just recently regaining ground above the 200 ( yellow) . This is despite the Long Term Range we are currently in and shows the strength the PA Has Had. The 50 ( RED) was the first to recover and it is that that is currently offering support to PA as is shown by the bounce off it just 3 weeks ago. However, the Long Term range just mentioned has yet to fully appear in these SMA's So, lets look at the Daily The Daily shows us the battle taking place between the 50 (red ) and the 100 ( blue ) The Bullish order for these SMA's is , from top to bottom, 50 ( red) 100 ( blue) 128 ( green and 200 ( yellow ) What worried a lot of people was, on the 8 August, we saw a "Death Cross", where the 200 crossed above the 50. this is considered a bearish sign but I will say, we saw this on a few occasions in 2020 - 2021 nad PA recovered. We can see how PA has tried to recover recently and, in fact, made a slightly higher high and it even got through the 200, that tried to be resistance.... But we failed to hold that and now, just today, we have found support on the 50 again. We need to hold this but we may not. For me, I think we will see 58K , FEAR will set in again and we will have to wait and see how things play out. The problem with Moving Averages and using them as Tools for understanding the market , is how laggy they are. They take so long to react. The Weekly Looks fine.... Very bullish, 100 crossing over the 200 - everything looks LOVELY but the real story is below that, the Daily, all hell is breaking Loose. And the lower down the time frames we go, the worse it gets but the nearer to the real time data we get. I Look at MA's, I do my business with other Tools. A Death Cross, for instance, only shows us what has happened ALREADY and any decent trader will already have seen that signal elsewhere, like in the PA for instance ! But, they do have thrie uses.........But there are better tools for a Fast moving asset like Crypto Just my opinion
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
3
Cup and Handle Formation Spotted On GBTCWe want to share an interesting pattern on the monthly GBTC – Grayscale Bitcoin Trust chart. It’s a nice bullish cup and handle pattern, where the handle is supported by a 20-month moving average. Cup and Handle is a bullish pattern that can push GBTC, Bitcoin and the whole Crypto market higher at the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025. The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern in technical analysis. It looks like a cup with a handle on a price chart. The cup is U-shaped, indicating a period of consolidation followed by recovery. The handle is a short period of consolidation after the cup, leading to a breakout above the handle's resistance level, signaling a potential continuation of the uptrend. Not only cup and candle, but even Elliott wave path suggests price can resume up, not to mention risk-on flows and bearish Dollar.
AMEX:GBTCLong
by ew-forecast
Swing Trade Set UPA simple, Swing Trade Set UP. Often it is simple trade setup that make lots of money. This is one such set up. Here trend is captured with alignment of MA's . 3 MAs are plotted EMA-10, EAM-21 and SMA 50. To pick the trend, first condition is EMA-10 > EMA-21 > SMA 50. Second condition is price above all these MAs. In the chart it is marked wherever this occurred. Now to make entry you have to wait till the stock out performs the Index. It can be captured through plotting a indicator named RS or Relative strength. use Bench mark index as #NIFTY50 or #CNX500. You can see that there are areas where MAs aligned but RS was negative and trend failed. But when all these aligned price moved up nicely. You can exit the trade on deceive break of EMA 21 or SMA 50. Try this on many charts and lean the nuance before making actual trade.
NSE:DEEPAKFERTEducation
by Vasu_devan
$ELF Bouncing Past the 9 & 21 Day Moving AverageNYSE:ELF On average, technical analysts often observe that when a stock crosses above both the 9-day and 21-day moving averages, there is approximately a 60-70% chance that the upward trend will continue. Conversely, when a stock crosses below both averages, there is about a 60-70% chance that the downward trend will persist. Here are some general figures: Bullish Continuation: 65% probability that the stock will continue an upward trend after crossing above both the 9-day and 21-day moving averages. Bearish Continuation: 65% probability that the stock will continue a downward trend after crossing below both the 9-day and 21-day moving averages. These figures are generalized estimates based on typical market behavior and may vary depending on specific stock characteristics and broader market conditions. Always consider conducting specific #backtesting and analysis for the particular stock or market you're interested in for more accurate predictions.
NYSE:ELFLong
by montiai
1
#BTC: A BULLISH RETEST??Hey everyone! Appreciate a like and follow if this analysis helps! Bitcoin is currently trading near the $61.6k level. Following a breakout from an ascending triangle, it's now retesting the triangle's resistance. The 200MA acts as additional support. A bounce from this retest is anticipated. However, a failure to hold the retest level and a subsequent close back within the triangle would invalidate the bullish pattern. In this scenario, we could see a potential pullback towards the $56k-$57k range. Potential Targets: Breakout: A successful breakout could lead to a rally towards FWB:65K -$68k. Stronger Breakout: A more decisive breakout could target $70k-$75k. What are your thoughts on Bitcoin's current price action? Share your analysis in the comments!
Long
by CoreCrypto1
1
Dogecoin Long $0.1080 to $0.11 and TP $0.36 Before ChristmasI firmly believe that Dogecoin is oversold on the 4 hour and daily timeframes. This is the 2nd accumulation for longs, with target take profit of $0.36 before December, 2024 Christmas time. My first trading idea from the $0.068 to $0.2145 range already filled successfully. This is our second big entry now for the swing traders. Elon Musk Optimist robots could net $200T in revenue over the next few years, and with the November election swinging in I see plenty of room for Dogecoin memes to conquer the X platform. Remember, Elon Musk could always post a picture of a Dog and the price could run up over 5 to 10%. BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
Long
by tametheark