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IWM - joining the bull party soon?Bull cycles usually start with heavy weight stocks (especially those in technology and discretionary) taking the lead, with small-caps usually joining the party at a later stage and when this happens, the bull run will be a lot more obvious by then. The IWM (tracking 2000 small-cap stocks) had been stuck in a wide-ranging wedge since hitting a low in June 2022 and with this we experienced huge volatility when we attempted to long these stocks despite that they looked to have bottomed out. A look at the monthly chart showed that the MACD is about to switch into the positive territory for the IWM, a significant indicator that it's longer-term outlook is starting to look bright(er). On its daily chart, the 200-day moving average has even begun to exhibit a subtle upslope. Hence, I am hopeful that the IWM will be breaking out of the wedge above 198 in the near future (perhaps within a few weeks if not days). It is no surprise that more and more of the smaller stocks are beginning to break up, despite that some still experienced a lot of volatility that could be difficult to sit tight. However, having a clearer vision of its longer-term outlook should give some confidence to dip our toes in for stocks with the right technicals and even if we were shaken out, the confidence to retest our entry when the technicals line up again. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
AMEX:IWMLong
by Juliac
🔥 Bitcoin Bear Market Officially OVER - Golden Cross PartyIn this analysis I want to take a look at the 50-period and 200-period moving averages, plotted on the 3-day chart of BTC. Historically, golden crosses (50-period crossing over 200-period) has always officially signaled the end of the bear market, meaning that there's no new lows to be made. This would mean that 15,500$ was the low of the current bear market and that a new bull-cycle has started. The blue and white line haven't crossed yet, but it won't take more than a couple of weeks. I'm aware that this analysis has missed the bottom, but that's often the case with lagging indicators such as moving averages. This analysis is a confirmation of another analysis I made back in January where I argued that the bear-market bottom was most likely in. See below. On the other hand, macro conditions are now vastly different compared to the other two golden crosses, so a new low is not to be excluded. Nevertheless, I think that the most likely scenario would be that 15,500$ was the bottom and that we're going to trade within a 20,000-40,000 range for another year or so. Do you think the bottom is in? Are we going to make new lows? Explain your thoughts in the comments 🙏
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FieryTrading
27
GNRC - trending upAnother typical example of a stock breaking up (into a new uptrend) after forming a base: 1. Broke out of the neckline and did a classic retest of this neckline a few days later, affirming the neckline as the new support 2. trading above it's 200 day moving average 3. Golden cross for additional confirmation that the stock is in "recovery" Recent volume was not exceptional though, hence how far the stock could rise remains to be seen. Initial stop loss just under 131 (below most recent pivot low @ 131.35). Watch out for earnings expected around 26 July. Might be prudent to take some profits off prior to earnings release. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:GNRCLong
by Juliac
1
CRWD - opportunity to buy this dipCRWD broke up both above its neckline @ 139 as well as it's 200 day moving averge on 18 May. Traded to a hgh of 162.25 before retracing all the way to retest it's neckine. It formed a mini pin bar right at the neckline, affirming that the neckline is now the "support" in the near term. This is a 2nd opportunity to long if we had missed the breakup, with an initial stop loss just slightly below the neckine of $139. Expect some resistences should it able to rise towards old supply zones around 167,181,195 and 205 etc). Take partial profits and also trail stops up along the way according to one's risk appetite and trading style (short or longer term). Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:CRWDLong
by Juliac
EDITAS bottoming in process, turnaround soon, target min ~22 USDEDITAS could be in the bottoming process, I am watching it for a few years now. We have a falling broadening wedge, on which we had a breakout already. This is part of a bigger falling wedge (blue). It is techincally possible, we had put in the lows at 6.35 as a wave 5 (as an ending diagonal), which is part of wave V as a last wave, of the biggest Wave (II). This would indicate, for quiet a few years we have the lows. Now, it is possible (~20%) that the wave(II) can extend, and that currently what we are forming is just a wave(IV) as a bigger ABC correction, but we should NOT ignore this good opportunity. In the primary scenarion (bottom is in place): we already had a 5 count up (sorry for the inconsistency in the colors and the letterd counts) as a diagonal, completing the orange wave I (or wave A) up, and now, alongside with the news that shares are issued, we are having the orange wave II as an abc pullback. Due to the impulsiveness, this is certanly an a wave down, and it does not seem finished yet. It will be followed by a b wave up, and then agan a c wave down. I have marked the turnaround/support boxes. Possibly, with the abc we could form a head and shoulders (but target wont be reached). We would like to have the turnaround optimally in the green box. It could have a deeper pullback, so chances are, it will drop to the orange box. (I am scaling in) Under the orange box is what I call the "danger" zone; it COULD still turn around, but more often than not, it is just not playing out, and being extremely risky, signaling, that possibly new lows are coming I have already made 3 positions opened between 8-9 USD from previous months (accumulation) Strong support (which will be my scale in zones for further accumulation): ~8.80 ~8.40 ~7.75 I am also swing trading it(several days->weeks, shorting/buying) on a short frame based on elliott counts/luxalgo/support zones/MA's. (i.e.: if a wave seems done, put in a hedged long for 3 counts up for b wave, then short it down hedged till .618 OR 5 counts down) On the daily: RSI is cooling down from overbought levels, and MACD possibly diverging (already converged) 200 day MA is rejecting us,180 as well. 15day SMA, 21day EMA, 9day SMA rejected us. 50/52 day SMA is below us, but with the bottoming/pullback likely we will sip below that (but converging upwards) On the weekly: we getting rejected for a while on the 9.85 levels, indicating a pullback for many weeks now (again, my primary scenario it wants just a wave 2 pullback in) RSI is pulling back, but have not diverged with the trendline, and possibly will not, i expect to provide support MACD is coming up nicely to the base level, but deccelerating. Invalidation for the setup is the brushed yellow line.
NASDAQ:EDITLong
by tommtajlor
3
Long post on goldHello, my dear friends, as in the previous tutorials about channel strategy and moving average. at this point of time is $1,914 per ounce of gold, and as you can see in the chart, in the area of 1895-1900, we have overlapping support from the channel and moving 20 in weekly time. I will take a long position in gold at the price of 1,895. I wanted to share this idea with you with a maximum of 15 dollars and target above 2075, and I would be grateful if you could give me a suggestion or criticism about this idea or strategy.
TVC:GOLDLong
by amir1qaz2wsx3edc
1
USDJPY uptrend scalp to higher highThe daily closed bullish but with some buy exhaustion which led me to believe that there still some bullish momentum but not much. The 1H made a clear higher high and decided to hold at its lows but created some bullish reversal signals on top of support. The moving avergae plays as support as well. Upon the breach of a 30min correction trendline. I believe price is on its way back to test its high or create a new one. Afterall, this is an overall uptrend.
Long
by DesharedPierreJr.
1
SCIB stock time to shineSCIB (Sarawak Consolidated Industries Berhad) Sector : Industrial Products & Services Market : Main On 8 May 2023, the price manage to breakout the 200-Days MA. This indicate the stock moving toward a positive long term uptrend. Supported with huge volume 93M. Currently the volume still highest, we assume next week(19-23 May) will occur some pullback or profit taking. The Mansfield RSI show that the price is trading at positive area (above 0) indicate that a buying interest already on mood. We optimist based on the Fibo the price will continue rising area 0.715 - 0.810.
MYX:SCIBLong
by NazrinAzmir
4
TCS BULLISH DIVERGENCE TRADE SIGNAL - BUY(a) TCS has formed a strong bullish divergence pattern on the daily chart indicating bullish movement (b) It has also CROSSED OVER 200 SMA recently making the likelihood of the bullish movement even more stronger (c) On top of that it has also broken out of the resistance NECKLINE of the recently formed HEAD & SHOULDER pattern which it had earlier respected & had tested a few days ago (d) All these above mentioned patterns are indicating that tcs is ready for a ride upwards
NSE:TCSLong
by peace_lover
U - buy the dipsSince last November, Unity had been whipped in a wide range between 24 to almost 43 at least twice and now looks to retest $43 again in the coming days (weeks). The odds of a successful break out of this range has increased with the announcement on 5th June by AAPL of it's partnership with Unity on the Apple Vision Pro. Volume was great after the annoucement and although the stock started to sell off by the next day, it eventually found support at the 38.2% fibonacci retracemnt of it's most recent AB upswing. This forms the near term pviot which is a good place to place an initial stop (at least 50cts below) for those initiating a long trade now. While the 42-43 might still pose some headwinds in the near term, I suspect that the next retracement from there will be "shallow" and not going to bring it right back to the range low at 24+ (as had happened several times in the last 7 months. This is because dynamics of the overall market sentiment has been changing to more bullish now. However, a trailing stop will help if this speculation is wrong. p/s with FOMC round the corner, the market could sell off after, and if it does, it could provide a much needed breather before trend resumption. Hence I would view any near term pullback as opportunity to long stocks that are looking technically attractive. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:ULong
by Juliac
ROKU - waiting for the breakA number of small stocks have been rising of late and some have started to break out of their bases. ROKU has been forming a Base since late last year and began to cross above it's 200 day moving average steadily since 2nd June. It is now trading right at a basing neckline @ 75 and a break up is probably only a matter of time now. Whether the break will come 1) in the very near future or 2) at least one more pullback from here (up to 50% of it's recent AB upswing) before a successful breakup remains to be seen. Volume is still light at the moment (except for a strong day on 7th June) hence the odds could favour scenario 2 at the moment. Ideally, I would prefer to see stronger than average volume for at least a week (or longer) rising into a breakup. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:ROKU
by Juliac
8
TSLA - turned the corner?TSLA had been on a wild ride down since peaking on 4th Nov 2021, with many strong bear rallies in between. It finally hit the bottom on 6th Jan this year and began a rather strong rally until early Feb where it started to churn violently for the next 2.5 months, shaking out any weak bulls. A sustainable rally emerged again from 27 Apr and more signs have been emerging that the longer term trend have changed to bullish (short term pullbacks not withstanding): 1. a close above the 200 day moving average on 31 May and continued to propel higher for more than a week now 2. a break above a longer-term neckline in the region of 200-215 this week and 3. RSI line on it's MONTHLY chart has crossed above the 14 SMA line (signifying the likely emergence of a longer-term bullish trend). However, TSLA has been traditionally a volatile stock, hence it is safer to wait some dips to go long. Any retracements in the near term should preferably not breach the neckline support (200 - 215), although it is not up to us to decide how far it would pull-back . Wait to see the stock finding possible support (after a retracement) to go long (with stop loss below the most recent pivot low). Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may have an opinion but I do not hope. Cut loss (sooner rather than later) and move on if wrong. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Juliac
TAP - start of bullish trend?TAP bottomed in Sept 2020 and began to move higher till 7 Jun2021, after which it made no further progress and pretty much churned sideways in a wide range for the next 11 months. Finally, on 2nd May this year, it began to propel strongly above the neckline due to positive earnings surprise. However, it then began to pullback over the following few weeks, all the way close to the neckline before staging a strong rebound. This is a classic breakup and retest that affirms that the neckline (formerly a strong resistence) is now the new "support". The stock appears to be poised to began an uptrend that could last a while. The next strong resistence could be around $75. However, it is just a level to look out for and nothing is cast in stone. Trade management (which varies according to one's trading style and temperament) is required to see how far one is able to ride a trend. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:TAPLong
by Juliac
BASE - Inverted Head & ShouldersFor the past 3 weeks, BASE has seen higher volume (accumulation) leading it to break out of an inverted Head & Shoulders Formation (bullish) last week. With earning expected on 6th June, it is likey that it's earnings could be positive. However, whether the recent up move has already factored in a positive earning (and then "sell on news") remains to be seen. If it started to sell off on "news" after earnings is announced, it could present good entry opportunity to long if it remains supported above the 50% retracement of it's recent upswing AB. However, if it gaps up after earnings, then we need wait and see if it begins to consolidate before looking for signals to long (bullish patterns, divergence, fib support, gap close etc). This inverted H&S basing formation had formed over 12 months+ and looks to be credible for longer term upside, not to mention it is also now above it's 200 day MA (although it could be risky to long in the short term due to earning announcement risks). Let's see what happens after earnings and whether opportunity to long present itself after. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:BASE
by Juliac
NCR road to around 30The decline seen in the stock in April and early May was halted by the 30 level of the 14-day RSI (purple line) and better-than-expected news. Currently, it is on an upward trajectory, crossing the 50-day EMA (gray line) and retesting this level. This provides support for attempting to surpass the 200-day EMA (turquoise line) at around 25.5. The question is whether we can sustainably stay above it. In the first instance, the target price is $26, and if it successfully retests the 200-day moving average, it could strengthen up to $30 by the end of June. In the analysis, the yellow line represents the 20-day BB (Bollinger Bands).
NLong
by BostonTrendLab
📉🐻 Cracking the Code: EURUSD Bearish Setup 📉🐻Traders, get ready for an enticing opportunity as we unveil a compelling bearish setup on the EURUSD pair, observed on the 1-hour timeframe. It's time to crack the code and capitalize on a potential sell signal, driven by the breakdown of an asymmetrical triangle pattern. Our journey begins with the recognition of this pattern, characterized by lower highs and a relatively horizontal support line. The recent breakdown of this triangle pattern signals a shift in market dynamics, with the bears taking control. For optimal entry, we suggest waiting for a retest of the previous support level, now turning into resistance around the 1.07000 mark. This retest presents a favorable opportunity to join the downtrend at an optimal price level. To manage risk effectively, it is recommended to set a stop loss above 1.07100, safeguarding against unexpected market fluctuations. With risk under control, we can focus on our profit targets. The first target lies at the minor resistance level of 1.06545, providing an opportunity to secure gains along the way. The ultimate target is set at 1.06200, aligning with the bearish sentiment and offering further potential for profit realization. Trading with the trend can significantly enhance the probability of success, and in this case, the trend continuation pattern of the breakdown presents a high probability opportunity. Additionally, the bullish momentum observed in the dollar index further strengthens the case for a bearish bias on the EURUSD pair. Get ready to ride the momentum and embrace this bearish setup. Stay attuned to market developments and adapt your strategy accordingly as the trade progresses. Don't forget to press the like button if you think this insight was helpful !📉🐻💪
Short
by Thomas_Zito
1
XAU/USD Swing Trade PlanHello Guys. Hope you have good times and great trades too! Today i'm going to explain why GOLD will fall to at least 1930 in coming days. First of all as you can see in my chart we see a strong Bearish Divergence Between RSI and price in Daily TF , that i show them with white lines. Next , We can see a Evening Star Pattern in this strong Resistance level(2050 $). After that we pass through 20 and 50 MA 's and according to Pullback to MA50 , I personally predict we can continue downside. as you can see we have a trendline base don the pervious two bottoms. And this Trendline Overlap with MA100(Green line). So i think this is the first Target for the price in the way of going down. For later happenings we should follow chart and see what candles shape in this area. But Don't forget to SET a Good Stoploss in Lower timeframe , if you want to catch this Fish :) Hope you Enjoy my opinion and PLEASE Share me your idea in comments , Let me Learn something from you. THANKS all my friends. Good Luck.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by TraderAmin-KZ
6
Stop Losses: A Trader's Best DefenseIn a perfect world, every trade would go our way, but alas this is usually not the case. A stop loss is a risk management tool used by traders and investors to minimize their losses when trading. It is a predetermined price level at which a trader's position will automatically exit the market, causing the loss to be realized. Stop losses are crucial to any trading strategy, as they help traders limit their losses and stay disciplined. In this blog, we will look at what stop losses are, why they are important, how to set realistic stop losses, and five different examples of stop losses with a description of how to set the stop loss. What are Stop Losses? A stop loss is an order to sell a security when it reaches a particular price. It is a predetermined price level at which a trader's position will automatically exit the market, causing the loss to be realized. This means that if the price of the security falls to the stop loss level, the trader's position is automatically closed, and any losses incurred are limited to that level. Stop losses are essential because they help traders limit their losses and stay disciplined. Why are Stop Losses Important? Stop losses are important because they help traders limit their losses and stay disciplined. In trading, it is easy to become emotional and let your losses run. Stop losses help traders avoid this situation by automatically exiting the market when the price reaches a predetermined level. This ensures that losses are limited, and traders can move on to the next trade without being emotionally affected by the previous loss. Setting Realistic Stop Losses Setting realistic stop losses is crucial to any trading strategy. A trader needs to consider the volatility of the security, the trading style, and the risk-reward ratio when setting stop losses. The stop loss should be set at a level where the loss is acceptable but not too close to the current price level, as this may result in the stop loss being triggered prematurely. A stop loss should also not be set too far away from the current price level, as this may result in the trader losing more than they are willing to risk. Stop Loss Examples Below we will list five examples of setting effective stop losses. For consistency, we are going to use the same long stop loss example, but these same examples can be set for stop losses for short positions as well. Percentage-Based Stop Loss: A percentage-based stop loss is a stop loss that is set at a specific percentage below the purchase price. For example, if a trader wants to place a long at $0.088602 and sets a 0.5% stop loss, the stop loss would be triggered at $0.88160. For a short stop loss at 0.5%, you would add the value instead and have a 0.89035 stop loss. To set a percentage-based stop loss, the trader needs to determine the percentage they are willing to risk and place the stop loss order at that level. ATR-Based Stop Loss: An ATR-based stop loss is a stop loss that is set based on the average true range of the security. The average true range is a measure of volatility and is calculated by taking the average of the high and low prices for a particular period. To set an ATR-based stop loss, the trader needs to determine the number of ATRs they are willing to risk and place the stop loss order at that level. For a long stop loss, you would subtract the ATR times its multiplier from the current price. For a short-stop loss, you would add the ATR times its multiplier to the current price. The unique upside to this stop-loss style is the ATR accounts for market volatility which can aid your risk management and help set more appropriate stop losses. Using Moving Averages or Super Trend: Moving averages and super trend are technical indicators that can be used to set stop losses. Moving averages are calculated by taking the average price over a specific period, while the super trend is a trend-following indicator that uses the average true range to calculate the stop loss level. To set a stop loss using moving averages or super trend, the trader needs to identify the period and place the stop loss order at the appropriate level. The Moving Average or Supertrend can then act as a moving stop loss as it trails the price. 1. Moving Average: 2. SuperTrend: Donchian Channels: Donchian channels are a technical indicator that can be used to set stop losses. Donchian channels are created by taking the highest high and lowest low over a specific period and plotting them on a chart. To set a stop loss using Donchian channels, the trader needs to identify the period and place the stop loss order at the appropriate level. In the example below we use a more standard 20-period Donchian level to identify areas of lowest low interest that would be a good place for a stop loss. If we were setting a short order we would look to recent highest highs as potential stop-loss areas Conclusion Stop losses are crucial to any trading strategy, as they help traders limit their losses and stay disciplined. When setting stop losses, traders need to consider the volatility of the security, the trading style, and the risk-reward ratio. Stop losses can be set using many different techniques, including percentage-based, ATR-based, using moving averages or super trend, and Donchian channels. By setting realistic stop losses, traders can minimize their losses and stay disciplined, which is essential for long-term success in trading.
MEducation
by LeafAlgo
40
JKS - It's a challenging uphill battle!Breaking the recent downward trend will be a challenging task, despite our strong support. Currently, we are below both the 200-day moving average (turquoise line) and the 50-day moving average (gray line), and we also need to surpass the RSI 50 level to initiate a strengthening. If the upward movement begins, we will face resistance at the 50-day moving average around 47, the upper Bollinger Band at 48.5, and the 200-day moving average and RSI 70 level at 50.50 (three red circle). Since the $50 price level is also a psychological barrier, I don't believe we can rise above it without a strong catalyst. Despite robust revenue growth, any potential issues with US authorities could force the stock to trade sideways within the range of 42-50.
NYSE:JKS
by BostonTrendLab
AMZN - a short short is coming?In recent times, the stock price has been increasing exponentially, but it appears that the RSI level of 70 (purple line) has halted the upward momentum. If the uncertain market sentiment continues, the stock may weaken towards the lower Bollinger Band (orange line) and the 50-day moving average (gray line), reaching approximately 107-108 (green circle). It is important to note that during this period, the 200-day moving average around 104 (turquoise line) and later the lower RSI level, in the case of a steady decline, at approximately 100, could provide support for the stock price. However, everything can be overridden by the debt ceiling agreement and the FOMC meeting, of course.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by BostonTrendLab
UPST - will it succeed in breaking up?UPST formed a double bottom base over the last 6 months with a horizontal neckline at 26 The odds of a successful breakup has increased this time owing to the overall market strength. A daily CLOSE above could be significant as it has not been able to so for the past 6 months. Other factors increasing optimism (of a successful break in the near future) is some strong volume accumulation since it's earnings beat on 10th May, gapping up strongly and only partially filled before propelling higher. Most likely this is a breakaway gap - signifying trend reversal (ie, from down to up) that will not be filled anytime soon. Also, it's 200 day moving average has already flattened out and the stock is now trading well above it. Bear in mind that stocks priced below $50 could have a lot more volatility on it's daily movement (both ways) and trailing stops need to cater for that. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by Juliac
$BTC #Bitcoin Quarterly Moving AveragesUnfortunately, despite what I would personally love to believe and what you might believe, we are still very much in a bear market. You can see in this chart that in any bull market, we remained above the 720 Day MA. As of now we have not been able to get back above it. The positive note here is that the lower timeframe MA's have all begun to cross upward, to hopefully move back above the 720D, but until price and the lower timeframe MA's move above it, we will not be in a true bull market and can expect a revisit of the lows. IMO NFA DYOR #AirCoin
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DoozerInvest