SKX - Cup & HandleSKX has trended above it's 200 day moving average since 11 Nov 2022 and began to consolidate in a mini cup pattern ("handle" if we look at the monthly timeframe) for the last 3 months. It has just broken above this mini cup neckline @ 49 strongly after earnings beat and is now heading towards a more significant neckline (54 - 56 zone). If it is able to break and stay above this major neckline, then there is room to go higher as it begin a new up trend.
Ideally we would like to see a minor pullback shortly after the breakup to retest and affirm that the neckline has become the new support. However this may or may not happen and we should manage the trade with trailing stops (usually placed at near term pivot lows, gap fill or some fib levels).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management (ie postion sizing, stop loss etc) is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Moving_average
A Post-event look at Daisin Retail Trust (CEDU)Based on simple TA indicators on Monthly Chart
note : Monthly Chart can be seen as long term view, but may not as long as 5~10 years ba long long term
1. price chart
2. 20 month SMA, quite a long-term Moving Average to break or reverse
3. RSI, like price chart, using previous High/Low as resist/support and trendline to determine breakout/breakdown
4. Volume may be ignored if too many irregular high volume months seen (maybe due to married deal)
1st part:
RSI falls below L1 in Aug 2019, falls below 20 SMA too which signal a bearish sign. Since this was found in monthly chart, we can assume that something went wrong.
(a decision point where investors still consider to hold onto or trim their position)
2nd part:
RSI further falls below 40 in Feb 2020, stock continues to trade below 20 SMA, somethings' getting more wrong than right (investors seriously consider to hold onto or trim position)
3rd part:
RSI bouncing around level 40 to form a Triangle with leveled support. Hugh breakdown below support in Jun 2021 is the final warning that the stock is in trouble. By now, 20 SMA has been trending down for nearly two years! ( long term to break or reverse as mentioned above )
AMZN - inverted Head & ShouldersAMZN went through a complex Wckyoff Distribution that began from Sep2020, lasting more than a year before succumbing to the bear market of 2022.
Finally in Dec 2022 it dipped into a long term support area (80-84) and began to find support. The recovery since then has been choppy and an inverted head and shoulders (bottoming) formation began to take shape in this process.
Last Friday, AMZN finally broke above the neckline (zone 104-105.50) to close 106.96. Could this be another "false" breakup as it had happened earlier on 2nd Feb this year? We will not know for sure however the odds have improved with the formation of an inverted H&S formation (a bullish reversal pattern with good odds of success, though nothing is 100%).
With earnings expected on the 27th Apr, there is some risk taking a position now. However any dip going forward might find support around 95-06 region and could be opportunity to accumulate.
Let's see what happens after earnings!
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! "Let winners run and cut losses short". Take care and Good Luck!
ONON - Still TrendingONON exhited strong price action since it's gap up after it's last earnings call on 21 Mar23 (pullbacks not withstanding). Volume continued to be good for the past 4 weeks with relative strength (relative to SPX) continuing to improve.
However one can consider to ride this stock managing with trailing stops (pivot lows, fib retracement levels, moving average etc) to see how far it can bring us.
Earnings is expected on 5 May, if it continues to run up till then, there is a possibility it could sell off after announcement (even on good news). Hence do be mindful of volality around then.
Dow Inc – DOW – Wait to step inLeft chart – daily chart / 1 year
• Resistance from the price gap formed mid-January 2023 at USD 56.58/57.02
• Resistance from 76.4% Fibonacci Retracement at USD 56.64
• Support from the price gap formed mid-November 2022 at USD 50.02/50.90
• It looks like that the MACD-Line is crossing the Signal line from the top to the bottom
• If there is another negative day, the share price will cross the 100-day MA
Right chart – weekly chart / since inception
• Resistance from the price gap formed June 2022 at USD 60.58/61.86
• Resistance from the 100-week MA
This doesn’t look like an entry point. The stock is trading between the price gaps from the short-term chart (left chart). The financial are coming out in 2 days. I would wait to invest and see an entry point at around USD 50.00
DKNG - breaking out form base DKNG has been forming a (double dip) base for almost a year now, ticking off a number of criteria that could increase it's odds of being a successful medium term trade going forward:
1. Series of higher hi's (HH) and higher lo's (HL) since hitting the low on 28 Dec2022.
2 Golden cross on 28 Feb2022
3. It's 200 day MA has begun to turn up
4. Every dip (since hitting the low in Dec) did not violate it's 50 day moving average, signs of strength.
It just broke above the base formation neckline (on average volume however) last Friday. It is possible for it to slip back below this neckline in the near term. I will be interested to stake any dips going forward (provided the dip is within 50% fib retracement of it's most recent mini upswing).
Earnings is expected on 5 May hence do be mindful of volatility around then.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NFLX - uptrend NFLX fell 77% from it's peak before finding bottom @ 162.71 on 12 May 2022. It began to trade sideways for the next few months until it propelled out of this range on 20 July after earnings beat. After this, it again traded sideways in this new higher range for the next 3 months until another earnings beat on 19 October that finally propelled it above a rather significant neckline @ 251.
1 week+ after the breakup. it began a steep pullback that brought it all the way back to the neckline before rebounding strongly from there.
By now, it is clear that NFLX has turned the corner and is in fact now above it's 200 day MA (potential Golden Cross on the horizon).
Buy the dips going forward and trail protective stops up accordingly. Expect some resistence as it approach a major gap fill @322 area.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
AUDJPY: Possible upward continuationThe AUDJPY currency pair has rebounded after touching a yearly ascending trendline on the weekly chart. Current indicators suggest that the uptrend is still intact, but a price level of 91.10 must be surpassed for confirmation.
On the 4-hour chart, the price is moving above the 100 and 200 moving averages and forming higher peaks within an ascending channel. The price has now reached a support area due to touching the ascending trendline and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the 100 moving average.
The expectation is that the price will continue to rise beyond the current resistance level.
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NKE - CUP (& handle?) in the makingA "CUP" formation (with or without the "handle") is usually a consolidation period after the stock has run up.
NKE ran 60% since its capitulation low @ 81.74 on 3rd Oct 2022 to a high of 130.92 on 2nd Feb23 before it began to "consolidate" for the past 2.5 months.
It looks like it could attempt to retest the last high @ 130.92 in the coming days. Once it reaches this level however, whether it would break up soon after or instead begin another smaller consolidation (to form a "handle") remains to be seen. With earnings expected only in late June, it is possible a breakup above 130.92 may not happen so soon.
Those who are invested need to remain patient as the longer term trend is still looking good.
Short term trader would wait for a confirmed breakup of the neckline 2 @ 130.92 to initiate a Long trade.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Fantom outperform Bitcoin?Hello
I'll start to make once per week update from some chart now on, so better stay tuned.
Fantom looks really good against Bitcoin as long as price stays on top of that key level which I marked clearly with arrows .
You can see from the chart what happened last time it broke that level.
If we can't hold the level I let my risk managment do the work and look for new opportunity if the price comes back on top
We can also break and retest the level which actually happens quite often if you stay patience
Ethereum has also been outperforming Btc for 2 weeks now so that would support this and maybe move some money to alts. Everything depends of the Bitcoin Dominance chart.
Let's check some bigger time frame also
Not financial advice
If you do take trades always use stop loss!
1st mistake novice traders do I don't use them and their ass burned!
Check out my previous work "I think bottom is in"
-Palén
GBPUSD expected to bounce off support levelsThe GBPUSD has experienced a rapid decline from the upper edge of the ascending price channel to the lower edge, where it settled at 1.24128. It is also currently above the weekly support line, Fibonacci level of 38.20%, and a rising trendline. Additionally, the price is only 20 pips above the 100-period moving average for the 4-hour timeframe.
It is expected that the price will respond to the local weekly resistance, the rising trendline, the moving average, and the Fibonacci level by moving upwards to make a correction towards 1.24470, possibly reaching 1.24585. However, if it continues to drop and breaks the rising trendline, and then confirms the break by going below the 100-period moving average, it is likely to continue the decline towards 1.2325.
The idea of a potential decline is supported by the existence of a divergence between the last two price peaks, indicating a lack of strength and momentum to support further upward movement.
NQ - update: Within "normal" correction (so far)A "correction" can be very much expected after every few days of running up.
The bull is very much intact if NQ can stay above 12,800, with Potential resistence-turned-support @ 12,850.
(worst case support @ 12,500, the most recent pivot low).
The 200 day Moving Average is slightly curving up now too.
As long as one isn't a short term / day trader, just stay the course unless we see a break down of near term supports. So Let's see.
Picking the right stocks is important too, unless the market gets euphoric and every Tom, Dick and Harry stocks starts to run.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
DKS - ready to climb again into ATH?Many stocks have been climbing the "wall of worry" in a choppy fashion. But the fact remains that many of these stocks are still climbing.
It is also important to try to pick stocks that are already showing some positive attributes (eg those that were breaking out of a base formation or already started to move above the 200day moving average etc). Whether to sit tight through steep retracements or to swing in and out depends on one's entry level and risk tolerance.
Despite being choppy with retracements of at least 50-60% of each mini upswings, DKS has been on the uptrend since Nov last year, trading not only above it's 200 day MA but also above it's upward sloping 50day MA since 27 Dec.
It eventually broke above a longer term horizontal resistance @ 137 on 7 March (after earnings beat) but soon started yet another steep retracement. This time all the way back down below this "resistance turned support" level, just to fill the gap @ 133 and then started to rebound yesterday.
A bullish divergence (between price and RSI) is now apparent. Hence, it is probably ripe to long this recent pullback as soon as price starts to go above yesterday's candle high @ 139 with initial stop loss just sllghtly below the recent pivot low at 133.
Let's see if this "resistance turning support @ 137" is going to hold this time as DKS begins it's journey into ATH (all-time-high). Manage with trailing stops.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
GOLD Bearish SignsHello Traders
I think the Gold price Stabilized under 1880 area and its time for more decreases.
As you can see on my chart we Broke 1880 support Area with a Long Red Belt candle.
and after pullback to this area now its time for a few crash.
I thnik the Gold price decrease till area created by 38.2% Fibo Retracement of last long leg
(yellow channel above) and a strong support level around 1800 and 1820.
Also the price Breaks 50EMA and Retest it too.
JUST...
If you take a TRADE , DONT FORGET TO SET A REASONABLE STOPLOSS.
Thank you all for reading my idea.
please teach me something in comments.
XAUUSD :Gold double top bearish patternOANDA:XAUUSD
Hi , Trader's , price made double top today at 2000$ area
Double top is perfect bearish pattern ,it's a reversal pattern
price breakout from neckline at 1985 area and candle closing below indicate that bearish are active
After unrealistic rally after svb bank news , price action now tend's to cool down
For going further up Gold need's to gather some liquidity
Price targeting 1951 area in 1hr TF
CRM - approaching neckline @ 195CRM had been basing for about 10 month now (since last May), the first sign that the worst could be over was when it broke above the 200 day movving average on 27 Jan, then a retest of this MA a month later on 27 Feb which validated the 200 day MA as the new "support".
Several days later on 2nd Mar, it gapped up strongly on earnings beat, stopping right at a significant neckline around 195. Then proceeded to pullback and almost closing the entire gap in the coming days. While the stock has been staging a recovery since hitting the low in Dec last year, it also experienced steep pullbacks on the way up. Buying the dips would certainly had been a better option in this chopping conditions.
Despite the volatility, what is clear however is that the stock is still on it's way to recovery, forming higher hi's (HH) and higher lo's (HL), with RSI staying at 50 or higher since early Jan, and a Golden Cross since 10 Mar.
It could attempt to break the neckline @ 195 again in the coming days and if and when it is finally able to break and stay above this level, then we could (hopefully) see more a more steady rise with pullbacks that are less steep (ie within 50% fib retracement of each mini up swing). And the next target could be around 220.
We can "predict" price targets but it is important to manage our risk with trailing stop losses and see what the market gives us.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
#UK 10Y Yield tests it 200-day maYet another example of a market mean reverting to its long term 200-day ma at 3.13 and attempting to stabilise.
We have seen SVB collapse and UBS take over Credit Suisse and during this market turmoil, as at other times, we are likely to see markets mean revert to their long term moving averages - particular attention should be paid to the 200 and 55 week moving averages.
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