Uptrend in Play or Drop Incoming? Key Price Zones!OANDA:GBPJPY
Current Price: 195.150
Chart Timeframe: 1-Hour
Bullish Outlook:
The price tested the Ascending Channel’s lower trendline as support and is now heading toward the 196.049 target.
Minor resistance at 195.714 may cause a pullback to 195.339 before the price resumes its move toward the 196.049 target.
Alternatively, if the price breaks below the channel’s lower trendline, it could lead to a decline towards 193.708.
Resistance Levels:
• 195.714 (Minor resistance)
• 196.049 (Primary target)
Support Levels:
• 195.339 (Expected pullback level)
• Lower trendline of the Ascending Channel (Current support)
• 193.708 (If the price breaks below the channel)
Happy Trading!
Movingavarage
Head and Shoulders with price retestA drastic dip occurred with week buy action. FTM value has been reset to the low 0.60 zone. I expect a price bounce from the head and shoulder retract. I called a head and shoulder earlier this week on the XRP chart, and FTM has also followed that trend. 20MA and 200MA are still playing the break for all long positions. The moving average holds uptober excitement, but we will have to wait and see if it will hold strength and value next week.
Support - 0.56
Resistance - 0.65
Momentum - Low
Volume strength - Sell
Fear & Greed Index - Greed (73)
Fundamental analysis—With new price discoveries, it has been a rough week for all cryptocurrencies. I've noticed that the world crisis events will determine crypto price bounces. A lot of selling occurred with whale accumulation.
XRP LongXRP is finally having its rally. Saturday, 9/28, hit a milestone as it broke its previous high (resistance). It will most likely retest with a pullback balancing itself between 0.62 and 0.67 in the coming days. On the weekly chart, a golden cross formed on Monday, 9/15. 200 MA is playing the break. Resistance - $0.74 Support - $0.50
Will UKOIL continue its decline?The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced that global oil demand will reach a higher level this year, while noting that the increase in production will be lower than previously forecasted. Additionally, the EIA reduced its price forecast for Brent crude oil in 2024 by 2.4%, from $84.44 per barrel to $82.80 per barrel. As a result, Brent crude oil prices fell to the $70.0 level.
Technically, if the 69.30 support level is broken, further declines toward 67.50 and 65.60 are possible. On the upside, if the 71.50 resistance is surpassed, buying momentum could accelerate toward the 73.0 and 74.30 resistance levels.
“The Nasdaq Index Extends Losses”In the U.S., the JOLTS job openings decreased by 237,000 in July compared to the previous month, dropping to 7.673 million. This marks the lowest level since January 2021. Following this data, expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce the policy rate by a total of 125 basis points across its three remaining meetings this year. Additionally, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting has risen to 45%.
The release of U.S. macroeconomic data, which has triggered recession concerns, has led to increased selling pressure on the indices.
Technically, the Nasdaq index, which has retreated to the 18,780 level, could experience further selling pressure, potentially reaching the support levels of 18,450 and 17,900. In the event of a potential buying movement, if we see a close above the 18,900 level, the upward trend could extend to the resistance levels of 19,520 and 19,970.
EURCAD → A change in sentiment to bearish. MA-200 breakdownFX:EURCAD breaks trend support and spills to the downside as funds increase long positions on the Canadian dollar, whose rise is directly linked to the fall in DXY.
On D1, we see the currency pair returning to the range (1.5040 resistance) after a deep false breakdown. Accordingly, after the short-squeeze the market has potential - liquidity located at the bottom. Accordingly, in the nearest future the market may test 1.497, then 1.493.
BUT! On H4 there is a strong zone of 1.498 ahead. There is a high probability of a false breakdown and correction before a further fall, because below this zone there is a huge pool of liquidity, which will not let the price pass the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.506, 1.5085
Support levels: 1.498, 1.49
The 200&50 SMAs act as resistance, which indicates the current market sentiment. If the market is weak, a correction may not happen, bears may break the level quite quickly. In any case, it is worth watching the price reaction at 1.498
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURCAD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
12/08/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $62,761.55
Last weeks low: 49,017.27
Midpoint: $55,889.41
Quite the week in crypto just gone. From our first sub $50,000 BTC since mid February thanks to the JPY rate hike , a single day decline of -16% on Monday to then a strong recovery of +28%, a lot of volatility.
The two peaks for the week coincide with the 4H 200EMA resistance level , which is a problem for the bulls as now that the final hours of Sunday trading dipped price below the 1D 200EMA , Bitcoin has a difficult week ahead to break back above those moving averages.
A big news event week coming up could continue the high volatility we've seen in recent weeks:
- US PPI 13th
- US & UK CPI 14th
- JPY & UK GDP 15th
For this week I will be looking closely at the news events that could cause volatility and perhaps give a sign of trend direction going into the September FED rate cut .
War is a Racket | DFEN | Long at $28.00The war machine keeps turning. Profits will reign. Direxion Aerospace and Defense 3x AMEX:DFEN never fully recovered from pandemic lows, but world peace is (unfortunately) far from reach. The uptrend in the chart has commenced. Personal entry point at $28.00.
Target #1 = $37.00
Target #2 = $50.00
Target #3 = $64.00
BTCUSD H4: First rise, then fallBTCUSD H4
H4: In the short term, the price has a greater chance of rising below the moving average MA168 first. It is recommended to place a short position below MA168.
Strategy:
Sell Zone @ 63500 - 65800
SL: 300 - 600
TP: 1200 - 3600
Sell Stop @ 58500 - 60000 (positive)
SL: 150-250 TP: 300-600
Buy Zone @ 55000 - 5750
SL: 200 - 500
TP: 600 - 150
4K Full Pic
How to use Moving Averages like a proIn this video I describe how I use Moving Averages to trade and to stay in sync with the market. Popular Moving averages include the 9, 21, 50, or 200. Feel free to use Simple Moving averages or Exponential moving averages, both works fine, and I like to use the EMAs because they are a little quicker to respond to price movement. I also go over a trading strategy for going long or short in the market once the 50 EMA starts to change directions, I will take a position in that direction. So, if the 50 EMA goes down for a long time, I will take a long once it starts to point up. Thank you for watching!
XAUUSD (Gold): Create long position when the price fallsXAUUSD (Gold): Create long position when the price falls
Weekly: The price of gold is currently trying to challenge the previous high and is about to break through the closing price of $2,426 in the week of May 24.From the weekly time frame we should open long positions when prices fall.
Daily: According to the recent remarks of the FED Chairman and data from CME WatchTool, it is currently confirmed that there is more than 90% chance of a one-point interest rate cut on September 18, which will make the price rise of gold. This caused the previously predicted descending triangle pattern to be "broken upward", and the triangle pattern has invoid. Judging from the trend of interest rate cuts, gold prices will continue to rise, and investors should establish long positions when gold prices fall.
H4: The three moving averages present an "uptrend sequence" which suggests create long position when the price falls.
Strategy (H4)
Buy Zone @ 2360 - 2395 (positive)
SL: 20-30, TP: 40-80
Buy Stop @ 2420 - 2440 (short term)
SL: 10-15, TP: 20-40
Sell Zone @ 2460 - 2490 (negative)
SL: 15-20, TP: 30-50
H1: (Short-term Strategy)
Buy Zone @ 2384 - 2405 (short term)
SL: 15-20,TP: 30-60
Sell Zone @ 2440 - 2460 (negative)
SL: 10-15, TP: 20-30
Full Time Frame 4K UHD Pic (TradingView):
A Shining Year for Gold: Geopolitical Risks and Economic DynamicThe year 2024 may be a bright year for gold, but it coincides with a period of increasing geopolitical risks. Global political and economic uncertainties, while unsettling investors, may boost demand for safe-haven assets such as gold.
Another notable feature of this year is the decline in inflation and interest rates. It is expected that inflation will be kept under control, and central banks will opt for interest rate cuts. The -0.75% interest rate reduction can be considered as part of efforts for economic recovery.
Gold has traditionally been a sought-after investment in environments characterized by low inflation and interest rates. Therefore, the anticipated interest rate cut in 2024 may support gold prices. However, the persistent presence of geopolitical risks remains another crucial factor influencing the value of gold.
Investors will carefully monitor the performance of gold in 2024, taking into account both geopolitical developments and economic indicators in this complex and dynamic environment. In the face of potential risks, a diversified investment strategy may provide a more secure position.
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When I look at the gold mining index, I see a very positive increase.
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The graph of gold in 12-6-3 month time frames gives very positive clues that the price will rise.
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My Goals for 2024
- 2200
- 2500
- 2700
QQQ Thursday Gap Up ReversalShort-term & small sample, but an interesting pattern nonetheless...
If we look back at similar events to Thursday's action, they've all been short-term tops in the market. We're looking at: (1) Gap up open on a Thursday; (2) Bearish reversal closing near the lows of the day; (3) Increased Volume from the prior day(s); (4) Preceded by a good run in the market.
I think it's worth noting, although I'm not sure the market dynamic behind it, that these recent short-term tops have all occurred on a Thursday. So seeing similar-type action this past Thursday is sending up a short-term cautionary signal, especially after such a strong runup over the last few weeks. I want to emphasize 'short-term' though, because the long-term trend is still very much in tact. It may also be worth noting the lack of breadth under the hood as an additional short-term cautionary sign, although there are certain areas and groups that have been participating... it's been very much a stock picker's type of environment.
Will EURUSD Drop Again ?I see EURUSD in the 1.08172-1.07836 area, there is a base area (DBD), as a supply area for UERUSD, and there is an EMA 200, with the trend formed by EURUSD being a downtrend, based on the above it is very realistic to determine a SELL plan in the Supply area with SL above the supply zone and TP 2R is very possible to achieve.
Hopefully I'm right and luck comes my way.
Note: this idea is not a recommendation for making your trading decisions. All losses and profits are not our responsibility. Happy Trading keep safe.
NIFTY DAILY - 5/6/2024Nifty opens gap up and bulls were struggle to survive into the markets and made days low 21791 level.
Afterwards bulls came back into action and made days high which is 22670 with 735 points up which is almost 3.36% up.
Nifty has formed a big bullish candle on daily chart with long lower shadow which indicates participants were buying from day’s low.
Candle is trading below 19 Days Moving Average Line.
Further levels for nifty can be 22794 level which is resistance and support will be 22400 level.
Bank Nifty levels
Support – 48568
Resistance – 49334
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 48
Decline - 2
FII Sell – 5656.26 crores
DII Buy + 4555.08 crores.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NIFTY DAILY - 30/5/2024Fifth winning streak of bears with huge gap down.
Bears were aggressive from starting of the day and made day’s low which is 22417 level with almost 270 points.
Nifty has formed big body bearish candle with upper and lower shadow on daily chart.
Candle is trading below 9 Days Simple Moving Average line on daily chart.
22313 will work as support level with resistance of 22586 level.
Bank Nifty levels
Support – 48276
Resistance – 48832
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 10
Decline - 40
FII Sell – 3050.15 crores
DII Buy + 3432.92 crores.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
On the Fate of BitcoinIn the current image, BTC stands at the tip of a critical threshold. The price has currently been rejected from the 200-unit exponential moving average in the 4-hour time period.
Although attempts have been made 3 times to the falling channel resistance area we are in, there is no strong and significant sign of any breakout.
Currently, the target of an Inverse H&S pattern appears to be the previous high. However, the breakdown of the critical support area will clearly take us to a critical support area, which we will define as another bottom point within the golden pocket borders on the logarithmic fib scale. This means that we will fall below $50K.
NIFTY DAILY - 15/5/2024Nifty opens gap up and mad days high which is 22297 level but didn’t survive upper level and bear drag the nifty down to the 22151 points, after that index was in a consolidation and gave flat to bearish closing which is -17 points.
Index has formed red body candle with upper and lower shadow.
Candle is crossing 9 Days Moving Average Line on daily chart.
Nifty is able to hold 22200 level so, further resistance can be 22273 with support of 22166 level.
Bank Nifty levels
Support – 47305 Resistance – 48110
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 23
Decline - 27
FII Sell – 2832.83 crores
DII Buy + 3788.38 crores.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Bearish: If price moves below 111D MA - Could mean more PAINTypically, if the price falls below the 111D moving average for more than a few days, it signals a downtrend in price to come for the next significant period of time.
The 350D moving average (green) is still likely to trend upward for the next 2 years at least. Price will likely catch up to this 350 Day Moving Average (350D MA) in the coming years, probably at a price of around $150,000 - $250,000. It may take a while to reach that amount if the price falls below the 111D moving average for a significant period of time. Recently, the price bounced off of that MA, so we will see in the coming weeks if there is going to be a major trend shift in price or if the price will continue to bounce higher away from the 111D MA.
If there is a trend shift to the downside, we will see a divergence between the 111D MA and the 350D MA. If not, they will continue their path of convergence until they reach the Pi-Cycle Top. My guess is that the top is around $150,000 - $250,000 for this 4-year cycle.
What Is Flowing With The Market? We have all heard that it is a good idea to go with the flow of the market but what does that look like? It's not enough to just read about flowing with the market, it must be practiced and experienced. We must acquire the skill of following markets up and down through its changes seamlessly.
A disciplined trading plan will have an objective method and will objectively define entry, stop, exit, and management. Part of any good method is never wondering if the market is going up or down or about to turn, It's doing what it's doing. You want to independently know this information without having to check outside sources.
In the video, I show a simple way to practice using a 100-period moving average, but you can use anything you want as long as it is objective and follows the market. With just a few rules we can use the moving average to tell us if the market is up and we are looking for longs, or if the market is down and we are looking for shorts, or if it's neutral and we are neutral. This is a letting go practice, a learning to change with change.
Shane
BTC 4H 200 EMA BITCOIN is back at the 4H 200 EMA . The chart shows how since BTC flipped bullish above both the 50 & 200 4H EMA's , the moving averages have provided support when aggressively trending in the case of the 50 EMA (bounced twice). When BTC has a pullback/ranges we see that the 4H EMA provides support (bounced 4 times).
For the BTC rally to continue in the mid term this level must hold out to prevent further drawdown. With the halving only weeks away we have an decrease of supply and thus a a reduction in sellside pressure.
Greyscale do continue to sell but for how much longer we don't know. Once they do stop selling and the mining rewards halve we have a a very bullish environment for the rest of the year.
For now these are my thoughts on price action:
- Hold the 4H 200EMA, range between DAILY RESISTANCE and the moving average.
- Lose the 4H 200EMA, first support level is the DAILY SUPPORT, if that is lost then filling the wick at 59K could be on the cards and would offer a great place for long term holds.
Tilray approaching a swing trade and/or shorting opportunityNASDAQ:TLRY is approaching a resistance range and is at the top of a W pattern. It's rsi is also overbought above the 70 level. Volume is also trending upwards and has reached the level where the previous volume high (and price trend reversal) was.
The trading opportunity is around the 3 scenarios shown in the chart, with, due to the technical indicators mentioned above, scenario 2 and then 3 being the most likely.
Trading approach would be to wait until after the quarterly earnings are released and see if:
Scenario 1
The price breaks above the resitance range, apply a 3 day filter to ensure it's not a fakeout, and swing trade upwards to approx. $3.
Scenario 2
A more likely scenario, the price starts to decline and enter then enter into a short with a take profit at $1.60. Exact entry point for the trade might be difficult to determine, especially as the previous moves in price have been so explosive that there may not be an optimum tim eto enter, thus shorting would be a higher risk trade.
Scenario 3
Wait until the price reaches the support level since November 2023 (approx. $1.6) and enter a swing trade back up to the resistance range with an exit at approx. $2.5. To reduce risk, enter the swing with a combination of the RSI being at 30 and/or a 3 day filter to reduce the risk of the price breaking down from $1.6 to a new low.
Scenario 3.5
Same as scenario 3 but with the support level being around the DMAs and price range where the price movement faced some resistance on it's way up during mid-March 2024. A more likely scenario, the price starts to decline and enter then enter into a short with a take profit at $1.60. Exact entry point for the trade might be difficult to determine, especially as the previous moves in price have been so explosive that there may not be an optimum time to enter, thus shorting would be a higher risk trade.
NOTE:
Those with a risk appetite large enough may use the technical indicators mentioned in the first paragraph as enough of a comfirmation to enter a risky short trade:
Entry point: Now ($2.45)
Stop Loss: $2.70
Take Profit: $1.60
Risk:Reward ratio: 1:3
NIFTY DAILY - 28/3/2024Another gap up opening of Index and highly volatile session, Index has made days high that is 22516 level, there was profit booking in last hours of trading.
Third green body shaven bottom candle is formed on daily chart, which indicates todays open and low are same and buyers were buying from starting of the day.
Formation of last three candles are higher highs higher lows.
MACD is on an urge of Crossover. Candle is above 9 days Moving Average line on daily chart.
Today’s closing was below 22381 level so this will work as resistance with support of 22145 level.
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 45
Decline - 5
FII Buy + 188.31 crore
DII Buy + 2619.52 crore.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂