Moving Averages
Support, Resistance and Bollinger Band suggest limited downside.I have just drawn Supports, Resistance, Mother, Father lines and added Bollinger band to Nifty chart. The indication is limited downside for now in Nifty unless the Chinese Virus is overplayed in the market by the bears and other forces. My discussion with medical fraternity and other knowledgeable people suggest that the threat of HPMV is overplayed and mortality rates might not be as high as COVID in the recent virus outbreak. This is the information I have however I advise utmost caution would wish you to verify the information with friends in the medical field in your knowhow. Currently Bollinger band is not suggesting a heavy downside. However things will be more clear by end of this week as the market plays out. Not more than 2 to 5% (max) down side is visible to me in the short term unless there is a global catastrophe of massive order. RSI has taken a turn hopefully soon it will embark towards bullishness.
Supports for Nifty Remains at: 23249, 23466, 23555. Below 23249 flood gates for further downside can open.
Resistances for Nifty: 23720, 23795, 23855 (Mother line or 50 Hours EMA), 23942 (Mid-Bollinger band level), 24061 (Father line or 200 Hours EMA), 24146, 24231 and finally 24326 (Bollinger band top).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NVDA closing above resistanceNvidia closed above resistance yesterday and I've placed my buy stop above Mondays high for entry on a continuation of the move higher, both short term and medium term trends are up according to the EMA's and rising lows. My stop will be just below the red candle after the Shooting Star that indicated the double top was in place.
My stop will trail up as price moves higher and forms new support levels.
This is a third entry for me on Nvidia as i continue to build the position.
Trade well and profits follow!
SUI is about to FLY HIGH!So, there was a lot of FUD about SUI being rejected at the $4.98 resistance level and yesterday it passed it. Today we are seeing a healthy test above $5.00 which means that support will now be $4.98 and an upward climb to $10.00 shall commence. Im loading up bags at the daily/weekly close today once the above is confirmed. as long as BTC doesn't go bearish then there is no reason SUI wont continue this climb. Definitely a great opportunity on a solid project. -This is not financial advice...
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
$SPY January 5, 2025AMEX:SPY January 5, 2025
My first post for the year 2025.
60 Minutes.
Downtrend intact.
For the fall 602.47 to 580.50 50% retracement done as there a divergence for the 2 lows 580.91 and 580.50.
So, for the rise 580.0 to 592.6 on Monday holding 587.5-589 levels we can expect 595 as initial target.
for the steep fall from 607 to 580 i would like some more consolidation.
Technically buy will be triggered only above 610 on closing basis in daily.
No trade for me on Monday. Not a good setup.
ADBE Bearish Price Target - $380ADBE has broken below the 200W and 50M EMAs. Further downside can be expected at this point with a potential bottom being at the 0.618 fib level, which is also around the 100M EMA.
A short entry would present itself should price recover to fill the gap around $493-$517
PT: $370-$380
Should price not reach the target, a bottom can be confirmed if the 5D, 10D, and 20D EMAs flip bullish
MDB: Daily Base Breakout with Clear Risk/Reward SetupANALYSIS:
MDB has formed a potential base after the December earnings gap down. Key technical factors align for a swing trade opportunity:
SETUP:
Base formation between 236-246 with increased volume
Clear breakout level with volume confirmation
Well-defined risk parameters with support at 238
ENTRY: 246
STOP: 238 (8 points risk)
TARGETS:
1️⃣ 254 (1R - Initial scale)
2️⃣ 265-267 (Primary target - major resistance zone)
3️⃣ 298+ (Extended target - aggressive)
TRADE MANAGEMENT:
Scale 1/3 at 1R (+8), move stop to entry
Scale 1/3 at primary target
Trail remaining position using 4H uptrend line
RISKS:
Weekly downtrend still intact
Unfilled earnings gap above
Resistance at December consolidation zone (270-280)
Always use proper position sizing and adapt the plan to your own risk management rules.
$MSTR appears to have broken the downtrendStill not 100% confirmed yet.
Price action dipped into the gap, although i would have liked to of seen a bit more time ~$275 to confirm
That would have shown a strong bounce off the .618 Fib as well, so I’m still bit skeptical.
It is very good that MSTR had a full 50% retracement tho from this move up.
I’m expecting it to range sideways at least for a few more days to confirm.
Volume has flipped bullish to suggest a trend reversal.
RSI fully reset to beginning of move.
Price closed above the EMA 9 & 21.
EMA 9 still has not crossed 21, so more hesitation.
Bulls need to step up BIG here for the Weekly Close.
Dogecoin's Potential Resurgence: A Technical and Market AnalysisDogecoin, the meme-inspired cryptocurrency that has captured the attention of investors and enthusiasts alike, has recently shown signs of a potential resurgence. With its weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching the Moving Average (MA) line and recent price action suggesting fresh highs, the question on everyone's mind is: can Dogecoin resume its uptrend and break its all-time high (ATH) of $0.74? This article delves into the technical analysis, market trends, and underlying factors that could influence Dogecoin's price trajectory.
Technical Analysis: RSI and Price Action
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. When the RSI approaches the MA line, it often signals a potential shift in momentum. In Dogecoin's case, the weekly RSI approaching the MA line suggests that the cryptocurrency may be transitioning from a period of consolidation or correction to a renewed uptrend.
Furthermore, recent price action has been encouraging for Dogecoin enthusiasts. The cryptocurrency has shown signs of strength, with price movements suggesting the possibility of breaking through resistance levels and establishing fresh highs above $0.75. This positive price action, coupled with the RSI approaching the MA line, paints a bullish picture for Dogecoin's near-term future.
Market Trends and Influencing Factors
Several factors could be contributing to Dogecoin's recent surge and potential for further growth:
1. Increased Adoption and Utility: Dogecoin has seen increased adoption as a form of payment by various merchants and businesses. This growing utility adds real-world value to the cryptocurrency and could drive demand.
2. Social Media and Community Support: Dogecoin's strong community and social media presence play a significant role in its price movements. Positive sentiment and viral trends can lead to increased buying pressure and price appreciation.
3. Broader Cryptocurrency Market Trends: The overall health of the cryptocurrency market can also impact Dogecoin's price. A bullish trend in the broader market often lifts the prices of various cryptocurrencies, including Dogecoin.
4. Celebrity Endorsements and Influencer Marketing: Dogecoin has benefited from endorsements by celebrities and influencers, which can generate significant buzz and attract new investors.
Can Dogecoin Break its ATH?
While technical indicators and market trends suggest a positive outlook for Dogecoin, breaking its ATH of $0.74 will require sustained momentum and overcoming key resistance levels. The cryptocurrency has faced significant volatility in the past, and it is essential to consider the risks involved.
However, if Dogecoin can maintain its current trajectory, capitalize on positive market sentiment, and continue to grow its adoption and utility, breaking its ATH is a realistic possibility.
Conclusion
Dogecoin's recent price action and technical indicators suggest a potential resurgence for the meme-inspired cryptocurrency. With its weekly RSI approaching the MA line and price movements indicating fresh highs, Dogecoin could be poised for a renewed uptrend.
While breaking its ATH of $0.74 will be a significant challenge, the cryptocurrency's strong community, growing adoption, and positive market trends could provide the necessary impetus. As always, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and exercise caution when investing in cryptocurrencies, considering the inherent risks and volatility of the market.
An additional argument for the alt season.Hi. I'll duplicate someone else's observation that a ‘bad cross’
of EMA 200 and EMA 50 has formed on the weekly chart of
the total dominance of USDT and USDC. And it was back in December.
This is a very good argument for TOTAL3 to start getting its share
of capitalisation in 2025.
Gosh, how many conditions are required. Market, political, sentiment, etc.
Will Gold Slide to $2,578 Amid Bearish Pressure?Gold (XAU/USD) shows strong bearish momentum across multiple timeframes, with the price consistently trading below key SMAs, reinforcing downward pressure. The rejection from the $2,640 resistance zone and the descending trendline aligns with the bearish continuation pattern within the ascending channel. A confirmed breakout below the channel’s lower boundary could drive the price to the $2,578 target, a critical support level.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: $2,640
• Support: $2,578
$TSLA - Long entry after earningsI think NASDAQ:TSLA will shock many in the coming months. People who are too focused on short term performance are overlooking the long term price potential, I think weak hands will be shaken out tomorrow on the somewhat-likely earnings miss.
With that, I expect smart buyers might be able to get an excellent long entry in the $19X.XX price-range tomorrow following a bad print.
I like NASDAQ:TSLL as well, and I think that that will be where I allocate a significant position to.
In an exponential age, prices will go much higher than people realize. This thesis is invalidated with a significant break lower than $190. Plan accordingly!
Possibly the best system I have ever come up with for BitcoinThis is for my wealth accumulation and it is not in any way financial advice. If you follow this and lose your shirt that's on you!
There is a cycle embedded into the Bitcoin space. We all know it and we all witness it.
The halving cycle is real and it is a feature not a bug.
For my sanity, I am sick of seeing people I know buying the FOMO tops and then selling on the way down to the bottom or holding through massive periods of drawdown. So I am not going to do that.
The system is simple.
Setup, wait for the next most likely top in the market before the next most likely drawdown period.
QT4 2013
QT4 2017
QT4 2021
QT4 2025 <-- Next possible top in the market
From October 2025 monitor the daily price action looking for a close below the 50-period SMA
When triggered Sell Everything.
QT1 2015
QT1 2019
QT1 2023
QT1 2027 <-- Next possible bottom in the market
From January 2027 monitor the daily price action looking for a close above the 50-period SMA
When triggered Buy Everything back.
Significance of the 100-Day SMA for CardanoCardano (ADA) has recently demonstrated a strong bullish trend, surging past its 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and fueling optimism among investors. This move signals a potential shift in momentum, with bulls now setting their sights on the $1.26 price target. This article delves into the significance of this breakout, the factors driving Cardano's resurgence, and the potential challenges that lie ahead.
Understanding the Significance of the 100-Day SMA
The 100-day SMA is a widely used technical indicator in financial markets, representing the average price of an asset over the past 100 days. It serves as a crucial trend indicator, helping traders and investors identify the overall direction of an asset's price movement.
When an asset's price crosses above its 100-day SMA, it is often seen as a bullish signal, suggesting that the asset is gaining positive momentum and may continue to rise in value. Conversely, a drop below the 100-day SMA is typically considered a bearish signal.
Cardano's recent breach of this key indicator is, therefore, a significant development, indicating a potential shift from a bearish or sideways trend to a more bullish outlook.
Factors Driving Cardano's Resurgence
Several factors appear to be contributing to Cardano's recent price surge:
1. Increased Network Activity: Cardano has seen a significant increase in network activity in recent months, with a growing number of projects building on its blockchain and a rise in transaction volume. This increased adoption and usage is a positive sign for the long-term health of the Cardano ecosystem.
2. Positive Developments and Upgrades: The Cardano development team has been actively working on improving the network, with several successful upgrades and developments implemented recently. These improvements enhance the network's scalability, security, and functionality, making it more attractive to developers and users.
3. Growing Institutional Interest: Cardano has also been attracting growing interest from institutional investors, with several major players expressing support for the project. This institutional backing provides further validation for Cardano's potential and can contribute to increased investment and adoption.
4. Overall Market Sentiment: The broader cryptocurrency market has also been experiencing a period of positive momentum, with Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies showing strong gains. This positive market sentiment can spill over on altcoins like Cardano, contributing to their price appreciation.
Potential Challenges and Resistance Levels
While the recent breakout above the 100-day SMA is a positive sign for Cardano, it is important to acknowledge that challenges and resistance levels may still lie ahead.
The $1.26 price target represents a key resistance level, and Cardano may face some resistance at this point. If the bulls can successfully push through this level, it could pave the way for further gains.
Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and sudden price swings are always possible. Investors must remain cautious and not get carried away by short-term price movements.
Conclusion
Cardano's recent rally above its 100-day SMA is a significant development, signaling a potential shift in momentum and fueling bullish optimism. The factors driving this resurgence include increased network activity, positive developments and upgrades, growing institutional interest, and overall market sentiment.
While challenges and resistance levels may still exist, the current trend suggests that Cardano is well-positioned for further growth. Investors and enthusiasts will be closely watching to see if the bulls can maintain this momentum and push Cardano towards the $1.26 target and beyond.
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M
Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95.
Key Observations:
Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼
Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧
Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈
Technical Indicators:
MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢
Target Levels:
🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15
🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10
🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00
Risk Management:
Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️
Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉
Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️
#Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
RIOT Gann Fan Moving Averages CrossNASDAQ:RIOT
Impressive chart history. Made this Gann Fan which is worth zooming in on to see the different lines it touches when at a high and zones it enters of consolidations. In addition made some trend lines to help point toward direction I see this stock moving. Moving averages look good. Going to go through what I see there as we are going to see the cross of 50 day moving average and 200 day moving average.
First trend line goes back to 2011 when we see the stock was 160. Looking at this line you can see the consolidation around this area before going down to new lows. This trend marks an important part of chart history as you can really make new high ranges beyond the point of 160 area. I use this important line to mark the potential to touch this line on a high.
Next Trend is great. 2015 is when you have 50 day moving average cross the 200 day moving average on a downward trend to go to new lows, which is a great starting point of the trend line. Connected this trend line to the top of each high at 2017 and 2021. This showed some improvement in what you can expect from this stock, to go and touch that trend line.
"Star" shows the area I am looking for in this stock. The trend lines show great connection and really points to what to look at when reaching this area. "Star" works so good as you can see the touch points on each line as well, which really just worked in our favor to show us what can happen. Watch for the "Star"
50 day moving average is black.
100 day moving average is purple.
200 day moving average is blue.
Moving averages on this stock show recently that the 50 day moving average recently crosses the 100 day moving average, which is bullish direction. Next looking for 50 day moving average to cross 200 moving average, which is very bullish. The momentum and volatility can pick up and start really moving like we have seen before. Zoom in to get a better look.
The range in the Gann Fan where the "Star" is, can be good to look at. This range is an important range which has seen consolidation before and I see this stock getting back there.
NASDAQ:RIOT COINBASE:BTCUSD
TSLA - Key Support/Bounce ZonesTSLA made a 'M' pattern which is typically seen when an asset has made a top (e.g. SPY, QQQ and BTC). Stock price has declined sharply since.
Key support zones in the short term are is between 354 and 345. This is because there is a fib retracement level of 38.2% and gap fill between 354 and 345. This is a high probability zone because this is coincides with the upper trendline of the parallel channel that started at the start of 2023 and price broke through the channel in Nov 2024 before reaching new highs. Furthermore, SMA 50 is also at 345.
Should the price pierce through 345 then there is also a secondary support zone between 320 and 312. This is because there is a fib retracement level of 50% (golden ratio) and gap fill between 320 and 312.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, price reverse and test all time highs.