$SPY November 13, 2024AMEX:SPY November 13, 2024
15 Minutes.
Nothing much to do. Waiting for retracement to 592 levels.
LH LL at place.
Flat price movement on top.
Converging moving averages.
200 averages around 589 levels.
So, I will wait. For the retracement to happen.
I will be tempted to sell 595 for 592 intraday. Provided no gap down at open.
I usually do not go long however strong the chart looks if 200 averages in 15 minutes have large gap to other averages. I will wait.
Moving Averages
ASHOKLEY NSE BULLISH FLAG&POLE DTF/WTF SWING/POSITIONAL ASHOKLEY NSE Stock Analysis
Trade Plan:
Entry: 50% of the total quantity at 216 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 242 DTF Close Price.
Stop Loss: 201
Target SWING: 264 ATH ,
Target 1: 275
Target 2: 310
Hold for a period of SIX months to TWO year or until the target 2 is reached.
Chart Pattern:
The stock had a nearly Four Month Bullish Run and now Retraced to 50% FIOBR in about a month Forming a Bullish Flag and Pole Pattern ,during the bull run it touched an all-time high (ATH) of 264. The Flag structure has been broken on the upside with a strong bullish candle a couple of days ago and a fair retracement yesterday.
Technical Indicators:
The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and below the 50-day EMA. The EMAs are in Transition stage of alignment. A potential bullish trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe.
Volume Analysis:
There has been a surge up of volumes on the buy side for a few weeks now. There Decline in the sell volume indicating a potential reversal shortly.
Prioritize Watch List:
Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities.
Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or Earlier basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions.
Technical Analysis Concepts:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA):
Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends.
Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation.
Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis.
All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart.
Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history.
Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses.
Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months.
Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly.
CHART PATTERNS
Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend.
Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level.
Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern
Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity.
Moving Averages:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data.
Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks.
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension:
Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements.
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
$AVGO PRE-EARNINGS DIP BUY Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) has an upcoming earnings report scheduled for Dec.5
This also happens to be a stock that investment power house Nancy Pelosi is currently holding a position in and with the rise of similar stock $NVDIA earlier today, I suspect NASDAQ:AVGO to have enough catalyst fuel to power this Daily time frame dip buy opportunity off of the 22EMA. I plan on entering this position tomorrow IF NASDAQ:AVGO goes green on the daily time frame AFTER a bearish start to the morning to take out any left over liquidity (previous-day lows, post-market lows, pre-market lows) and I plan to hold this buy position anywhere between 1-4 weeks depending on how the daily time frame CLOSES along the way... No Price targets.
BTC/USDTBased on the full chart of Bitcoin, every 4 years constitutes a recurring movement. This analysis shows the beginning of the launch of Bitcoin and also explains the period we are currently in. The beginning progress N4 of the Bitcoin will be in the middle of the four years, meaning that next August.
What can we see now?
The distance between all the red lines is approximately 1480 days. In the mid area we have reached the failer zone & end (Bear Market), and starting from the second middle, the other conflict and boom period begins (Bull Run). We are now heading to the middle area, but it is still in the beginning, so it is likely we see the price fall to the area 19 another times , and this will be during next three months, so we will be ready.
-failed Confluence at 26.2k region for EMAs and supply areas. weak purchase area, reasonable to see us work down there. Then a move back up to 20K till end of summer, followed by a look to push higher into the fall.
$USDT.D Has Fallen Off A CliffTrump's LANDSLIDE victory and Republican's controlling Congress has signaled full RISK-ON across the board in markets.
This has caused everyone to sell their stables for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and Alts.
Expect another 10% worth of CRYPTOCAP:USDT to be dumped into the market before we see a real correction.
This will put CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ~3.8% which was the local top in March.
The correction should be short-lived as we make our way back down to 2-2.5%
Reynolds Consumer Products | REYN | Long at $27.00Reynolds Consumer Products NASDAQ:REYN is a "boring" company with excellent fundamentals. P/E of 15x, 3.35% dividend yield, low debt, and a 53M float. The Director just scooped up $196,000 in shares and earnings are expected to growth (while slowly) over the next few years. It recently tested the low of my historical simple move average (teal and white lines on the chart) and it looks primed for a move up to fill the price gaps. Thus, at $27.00, NASDAQ:REYN is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $29.00
Target #2 = $31.00
Target #3 = $34.00
Potential Buying Zone (Daily)This might be a potential buying zone (small chunk) for the following reasons:
1. Target of H&S completed.
2. Weekly support.
3. EMA 144 - 200.
Note: I'm a learner and I'm reusing my learned tools after a very long time. Let me know if I can improve or if you have any suggestions.
UiPath: Gap Fill to the Upside?UiPath fell sharply in the spring after its CEO stepped down, but now some traders may look for a rebound.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish gap on May 30. The AI and automation stock ended yesterday inside that zone. Could prices fill the gap to the upside?
Second, PATH is above its 50- and 100-day simple moving averages. That may suggest its longer-term trend is trying to reverse upward.
Third, this year’s low of $10.37 near the trough in 2022 may confirm that support is in place.
Next, prices have cleared a falling trendline along the peaks of September and October. The lower study with our 2 MA Ratio also shows the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. Those points may suggest that its short-term trend has gotten more bullish.
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Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
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DIVISLAB NSE 3Y ATH-RBC BO DTF/WTF/MTF PositionalDIVISLAB Analysis WTF
TRADE PLAN
EARLY ENTRY -5580 WTF On Retest after BO ADD at 5700,5800
SL -5300 WTF
TARGET --01-6400
Hold For a Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK has recently broken its 3Yr ATH of 5580 forming a RBC on the DTF/WTF. Currently in a consolidation range above the Bo. closing the FVG on WTF 2nd Week Sept.
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EM above 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO E :
Given the last Impulse and FIBO /E After the Bounce-back from 38% FIBO Retracement Level, Price is currently trading above the 23.6% FIBO Retracement level of on DTF.
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume above the 20VMA on the Weekly Charts for2 Weeks
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC | CYCLE 4 ATH UPDATE The MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC is an excellent custom indicator developed to help investors to DCA in and out of underbought / overheated periods of the market. Applying principals with BTC's CYCLE 4 current progress if BTC remains within historic trends then this also supports the time periods discuss in the below post.
SP SETIA - SIDEWAYS with UPSIDE BIAS ?SP SETIA - Current Price : RM1.40
The stock is currently trading in sideways range. However, i considered it have a potential to UPSIDE movement as the price made a rebound yesterday after touching the 50-day EMA and price is also trading above ICHIMOKU CLOUD.
Supported by technical indicator in RSI above 50 (bullish) and stochastic oscillator at oversold zone, a rebound to higher price is expected.
Target Price : RM1.48 and RM1.54
Support : RM1.32 (17 OCTOBER 2024 lows)
Notes : SP SETIA is a property company and shariah compliant.
Direxion Small Cap Bull 3x | TNA | Long in the $30sMarkets are forward looking. When the Federal Reserve drops interest rates (perhaps in 2024?), I anticipate money to flow into the heavily beat-down small-cap market (filled with stocks most negatively impacted by high interest rates). TVC:RUT would rise rapidly, and my bet is on AMEX:TNA to follow.
From a technical analysis perspective, the fact there is a gap to close for AMEX:TNA in the low $90s is enticing. It may be a bumpy or speedy rise there, but the $30's have been a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $54.00
Target #2 = $92.00
TOTAL CRYPTO TICKER - moving average linesAll the moving average lines are in order and underneath the price of cryptocurrency, bitcoin too. If so, the signal would mean the price will maintain and continue forth onward to the new year. The potential for the market cap of cryptocurrency to double may be in the cards, the loftiness of trillions of dollars swelling cryptocurrency is a much tougher sell than Bitcoin, ideally. For all those active investors and active social viewers this post is of the utmost simplicity based on the simple method of keeping ideas useful.
Secrets of the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA)🔮Hi, everyone👋.
Today I want to tell you the secrets of 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) in the monthly time frame.
By reading this post, you might find an approximate target for Bitcoin before the 2024 Halving.
First of all, I suggest you read the following two posts, and maybe our strategy puzzles will be completed before the 2024 Halving.🧩
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🔮 Secrets of the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA):
Between two consecutive Halvings, Bitcoin must go below 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) once.
The duration of Bitcoin under the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA) is between 335-396 days (the movement between the two Halvings of 2022 and 2024 is very similar to the movement between the two Halvings of 2012 and 2016).
After the monthly candle closes above the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA), Bitcoin has never gone below 350-DMA again before the next Halving.
After the monthly candle closes above the 350-Daily Moving Average(350-DMA), Bitcoin starts its growth for a new All Time High(ATH).
Due to the similarity of the recent movement of Bitcoin to the movement of Bitcoin between the two Halvings of 2012 and 2016, if we use the Bar Pattern tool, Bitcoin can have a price of about $ 50,000 before the Halving of 2024 .
🎉 In the coming days, I will try to share other secrets with you, and maybe our puzzle will be completed soon.
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Bitcoin Analyze ( BTCUSD ), Monthly time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Everyone selling GOLD to buy Bitcoin???Hey guys! New trading week is here, and we're entering market with Bitcoin ATH.
Today I want to talk a bit about gold.
And here are some interesting moments. First time since April we finally can see MA cross on a daily chart, and price of Gold is reacting with a big red candle.
Also, as a confirmation, we can see that the volumes are descending and RSI is heading to low edge.
Seems like after BTC ATH some money are flowing from Gold to Bitcoin. The target by Fibo can be zones 0.5 and 0.618.
What you think, guys, is really people starting to reinvest money from real gold to digital gold? Let's discuss
PS. If you're planning to trade the movement, follow the risk ratio, which I marked.
Celsius Holdings | CELH | Long at $30.00Celcius Holdings NASDAQ:CELH suffered quite a drop over the last 5 months, but it was highly overvalued. While I still view it as fairly overvalued with a P/E of 28x, it's reporting itself as a healthy company, almost no debt, with a bright growth future. Going into earnings, it could have a nice run, but I am staying highly cautious.
From a technical analysis perspective, it fell through my selected long-term simple moving average (white line) and may have a nice bounce from here off the next major support level (blue lines) into earnings. If it does, I expect resistance near $40. Thus, at $30.00, NASDAQ:CELH is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $39.50
Target #2 = $43.00
Target #3 = $47.00
Target #4 = $72.00 (long-term view if no recession...)
Verizon: Weak in a Strong MarketThe S&P 500 just had its biggest weekly rally in a year, but Verizon Communications didn’t participate. Are the bears moving in?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the trio of drops following the last three quarterly reports. Those may reflect weakening sentiment towards the telecom’s fundamentals.
Second, VZ peaked below $45.55 in late September. That was a long-term low from May 2022, which may suggest old support has become new resistance.
Next, VZ has chopped around its 2023 high of $42.58 but is now below it. That could be a sign of resistance taking hold.
Fourth, last week’s slide below the 200-day simple moving average could mark an end to its longer-term uptrend.
Finally, MACD is falling.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Match Group | MTCH | Long at $32.00Match Group NASDAQ:MTCH is finally at an attractive valuation with ~13 P/E after a stunning rise that started in 2017. The amount of data this company has on its users in such a particular niche will be highly valuable as the world moves toward AI and AI matchmaking. Once large investors realize this, I (personally) feel this stock will 3x or more in the coming 2-5 years. However, it could be a bumpy road to get there since right now earnings growth is stagnant.
From a technical analysis perspective, the price was approaching its historical overall simple moving average (SMA, green and white lines). Typically, the closer the price gets to this SMA, there a jump to touch it and consolidate. After the most recent earnings drop, I believe it may be priming / consolidating itself further for a move up (although a dip to $25-$26 wouldn't surprise me). Thus, at $32.00, NASDAQ:MTCH is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 - $37.00
Target #2 - $43.00
Target #3 - $50.00
Target #4 - $62.00
USD/JPY Bullish Run SetupI’m currently monitoring USD/JPY for a strong bullish push, leveraging both HTF structure and 15-minute trend confirmation to guide my entry and trailing strategy.
🔹 Market Structure : The higher time frame (HTF) shows a bullish bias, and we’ve just witnessed a bullish shift on the 15-minute chart. This setup aligns well with my strategy, where I look for confirmation of market direction on both time frames.
🔹 Trade Objective : My goal is to ride this momentum to at least the previous 4-hour high, but with a trailing stop in place, I’m prepared to capture additional upside if the trend remains favorable.
🔹 Risk Management : Employing my trailing system with ATR-based stop loss, I’m managing risk at 1%, aiming for a steady risk-to-reward balance while allowing room for potential larger gains.
🔹 Stats : So far, the indicator has shown promising results with a net profit of 254.62 R and a profit factor of 4.18, based on my backtests. This approach helps me stay disciplined and make data-backed decisions.
Let’s see if USD/JPY continues to hold this momentum and pushes higher! 🚀
#USDJPY #Forex #TradingSetup #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M
Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95.
Key Observations:
Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼
Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧
Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈
Technical Indicators:
MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢
Target Levels:
🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15
🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10
🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00
Risk Management:
Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️
Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉
Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️
#Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bearish signals piling up for crude oil pricesA lack of direct stimulus measures in China likely contributed to the rough end for crude oil last week, with prices not only breaking minor uptrend support but also closing below the 50-day moving average.
It’s the latter that’s got me eyeing a potential short setup. The ratio of how often the price has traded through this level versus how often the break has stuck is notable over recent months. The uptrend in RSI (14) has been trashed, and MACD is on the verge of confirming a bearish signal, skewing risks lower.
However, I’d like to see a break and hold below $69.74 first, the low hit on US election night. The price bounced strongly from there, so it looms as potentially key level for near-term directional risks.
If that level breaks, shorts could be initiated with a stop above either the low or the 50-day moving average. Targets include $66.72 (October 29 low), with $66.33 and $65.27 next.
If the price reverses above the 50-day moving average and closes there, the bearish bias is negated, opening up potential bullish setups.
Good luck!
DS
1-800-Flowers.com | FLWS | Long at $8.001-800-Flowers.com NASDAQ:FLWS has been in price consolidation mode since 2022 and may be gearing up for an upward move as my historical selected simple moving average reconnects with the price. The company is expected to become profitable in 2025 and the holiday season is approaching. Historically, this is the period when the price begins to rise. With a 25 million float and 14.54% short interest, this ticker could get interesting if it takes off. But be cautious as the economy seems to be showing signs of slowing... At $8.00, NASDAQ:FLWS is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $9.20
Target #2 = $10.50
Target #3 = $20.50 (long-term if the economy is strong...)