50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
Moving Averages
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
Steel in Uptrend be in Stock
Plain&SimpleDax40 has formed a curvature which price has failed to penetrate to the upside. This has led price to fall under and face rejection by the 50 day moving average. Traders that are conditioned to chart pattern recognition will quickly notice that price structure has formed a textbook *inverted cup&handle*… And as we can all see, the 50 day moving average is looking to cross downward over the 200 day moving average. Experienced traders are aware what this phenomenon means…..
Based of previous held support and retracement, price is likely to hold major support for the pending falling at 19100-19080….
50ma{blue} 200ma{red}
comment, questions &concerns…
Dow to drop into bear market but first bounce at 36k H&S patternBearish case
Dow to drop 20% from ATH to be into a bear market
20% from ATH = weekly 200 EMA so banks will try and hold the price at 36k
I think it bounces here and then eventually fails and we get a big equity bear market
We have two H&S patterns that together take us below 36k if their targets are met
be a nice trade if it bounces at 36k off the 200 EMA to get in and out and add to short again without being slapped in the face. At which max bounce point off the (36k) look for the rest of the equities to go short on of stocks that have broken their key levels of support. Or look for dow stocks that are leading the way down because they already broke their weekly 200 EMA and are the weaker members of the pack.
BTC pullback before inauguration?Merryy Christmas guys and upcoming New Year!
Seems like we gonna meet New Year w BTC lower than100k...
Looks a bit scary, but here is in short what we have:
1) Daily MA cross. Which is bearish sign
2) Divergence between raising BTC channel and volumes
3) If the price will follow the red line move, it will form double top pattern 🥲
My expectations: I think we could correct to Fib zone around 0,236 (87k zone) and after we should check. But anyway seems like correction should happen before to continue growing and this we most likely gonna see after inauguration.
What you think guys? Help me dispel this scary picture 😅
$ETHBTC - Bottom is in.As I posted earlier in the week, I think BITSTAMP:ETHUSD is primed to run in the near term, here's the original post:
Building on top of that, we have more indication that ETHBTC may have found some bullish support, on the shorter time frames over the past few days you can see a clear double-bottom where I highlighted the yellow semi-circle. ETHBTC has even made a higher high now as of today, as BTC has tested support near 94k USD.
If ETHUSD rallies as we expect, it makes sense that through Jan-Feb BTC.D will see a steep correction along with this. This is not to say that I am bearish BTC- I don't think BTCUSD is done, but I do think there are better RR trades emerging in the market soon.
WDYT?
FTM/USDT – Rising Channel PlayThis setup aims to ride the momentum of a well-defined ascending channel while using the 200MA for risk management. If FTM holds in this channel, it could keep pushing higher. However, if it breaches the 200MA decisively, it may signal a deeper pullback or trend shift.
Rising Channel: FTM has been respecting a clear ascending channel on the daily timeframe, making higher highs and higher lows since mid-year. Prices are currently near the channel’s midpoint to upper half.
RSI Trend: The RSI on the daily timeframe is forming higher lows, confirming bullish momentum. However, RSI is not oversold or overbought yet, so there’s still room for an upside move, but watch for divergences.
200MA as Key Support: Our stop loss is set just below the 200-day moving average. This MA often serves as a significant support/resistance level, so a daily close below it would signal a potential trend reversal and trigger the stop.
RSI Trend: The RSI on the daily timeframe is forming higher lows, confirming bullish momentum. However, RSI is not oversold or overbought yet, so there’s still room for an upside move, but watch for divergences.
Trade Setup
Entry: Around current levels (0.84–0.90) within the channel.
Targets:
1.00–1.10 (shorter-term Fib resistance)
1.28–1.80 (longer-term Fib extension and channel’s upper boundary)
Stop Loss: Below the 200MA (around 0.63-0.65), indicating invalidation if price closes under this level on the daily chart.
BTCUSDBuyers repeatedly tried to push the price above $100,000.
The local maximum is $99,450.
The nearest key support zone comes in between $95,900 and $96,600.
While the price is moving above this zone, the primary scenario is continued growth.
The intermediate growth target is $102,000 - $102,757.
Further, we can assume based on the price reaction.
Below $94,300, this analysis is not current.
✍️It is important to note that the above post is general information and cannot be taken as specific investment advice. All investments involve high risk, especially in the volatile cryptocurrency markets. A thorough market analysis and consideration of one's own risk tolerance is essential when making any investment decision!
$SPY December 27, 2024AMEX:SPY December 27, 2024
15 Minutes.
As expected, 602 gave resistance and AMEX:SPY managed to hold 597-598 yesterday.
I expect a move today after 2 days consolidation.
I will go long above 603 for a 3 to 4 $ move towatds 608-609 levels.
Provided 597 is held today. A close below 597 will result i a 2$ trade. Possible.
I prefer to go long above 602.6 - 603 for the day.
Charter Communications | CHTR | Long at $353.00Charter Communications NASDAQ:CHTR has hit the bottom of my historical simple moving average band. It may consolidate for a while around the current price or dip in the near-term (potentially in the $270's), but dropping interest rates will be extremely beneficial for telecommunication companies in the long-term. There are two open price gaps on the daily chart ($700's) that will inevitably close - just a matter of when. With a 90M float and 12% short interest, it's a stock that could get interesting if upward momentum takes over. Earnings and cash flow growth are anticipated through 2027, so at $353.00, NASDAQ:CHTR is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $400.00
Target #2 = $500.00
Target #3 = $600.00
Target #4 = $700.00
Target #5 = $740.00
Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD A Comprehensive GuideMastering the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): A Comprehensive Guide
Understanding the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): A Beginner’s Guide
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular and powerful momentum and trend-following indicator used by traders across various markets. Developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s, MACD helps traders identify potential trend reversals, momentum strength, and buy or sell signals.
What is MACD?
MACD is based on the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price. It consists of three main components:
MACD Line:
Calculated as the difference between the 12-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 26-period EMA.
Signal Line:
A 9-period EMA of the MACD Line.
Serves as a trigger for buy or sell signals.
Histogram:
The difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line.
Visual representation of momentum changes.
How to Interpret MACD
Crossovers:
Bullish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it signals upward momentum and is often interpreted as a buy signal.
Bearish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line, it indicates downward momentum and is often seen as a sell signal.
Centerline Crossovers:
When the MACD Line crosses above the zero line, it indicates bullish momentum.
When the MACD Line crosses below the zero line, it signals bearish momentum.
Divergence:
Bullish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes lower lows, but the MACD makes higher lows. This can indicate a potential upward reversal.
Bearish Divergence: Occurs when the price makes higher highs, but the MACD makes lower highs. This can suggest a potential downward reversal.
Strengths of MACD
Versatile: Combines trend-following and momentum analysis.
Easy to Use: Simple to interpret for traders of all skill levels.
Effective in Trending Markets: Provides clear signals during strong trends.
Limitations of MACD
Lagging Indicator: Since it relies on moving averages, MACD may provide signals after a trend has already started.
False Signals: In sideways or choppy markets, MACD can produce misleading crossovers.
Best Practices for Using MACD
Combine with Other Indicators:
Use MACD with support and resistance levels, RSI, or Bollinger Bands for confirmation of signals.
Combine it with volume analysis to validate momentum strength.
Adjust Periods for Your Strategy:
Shorten the EMA periods (e.g., 8, 18, and 6) for more responsive signals in fast-moving markets.
Lengthen the periods (e.g., 21, 50, and 9) for smoother signals in slower markets.
Understand Market Context:
Avoid relying solely on MACD in range-bound markets where false signals are more common.
Example of MACD in Action
Imagine a stock is in an uptrend, and the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line while the histogram turns positive. This is a bullish signal suggesting that the upward momentum is strengthening. Conversely, if the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line during a downtrend, it signals that bearish momentum may continue.
Conclusion
The MACD is a robust indicator that helps traders identify trends, momentum shifts, and potential buy/sell opportunities. While it’s easy to use, its effectiveness improves when combined with other technical tools and a solid understanding of market dynamics. As always, backtest your strategies and practice using the MACD on historical data before applying it to live trades.
GREAVESCOT NSE 2Y11M RBCUP BO WTF -SWING/POSITIONAL Stock Analysis
Trade Plan:
Entry: 50% of the total quantity at 260 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 294 DTF Close Price.
Stop Loss: 228
Target 1: 312
Target 2: 341, TGT3 : 395
Hold for a period of 9 months to 2 year or until the target 3 is reached.
Chart Pattern:
The stock has formed a Rounding Bottom Cup in a time of THREE Years, there has been a Steady Bullish Copybook rise for the past 6months with a considerable volume buying
Technical Indicators:
The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 20-day EMA above the 50D EMA. This indicates an Ascending phase of alignment in the stock’s EMA. A bullish trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe.
Additionally, the current price is near the 23.6% Fibonacci Extension level. This level could serve as a potential entry point for investors, depending on their risk tolerance. More cautious investors might consider entering above the 38.2% retracement level.
Volume Analysis:
There has been a consistent buying volumes for a Month now. There is buying in the past. weeks are above the 20VMA.
Prioritize Watch List:
Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities.
Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or When 9EMA crosses Below 21EMA in DTF. Earlier too basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions.
Technical Analysis Concepts:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA):
Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends.
Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation.
Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis.
All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart.
Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history.
Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses.
Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months.
Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly.
CHART PATTERNS
Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend.
Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level.
Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern
Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity.
Moving Averages:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data.
Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks.
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension:
Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements.
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
$SPY December 26, 2024AMEX:SPY December 26, 2024
15 Minutes.
I had expected 200 averages in 15 minutes to be resisted. It broke and held on to that for more than 2 hours on the 24th of December.
For the rise 592.25 to 601.34 it is important to hold 597 levels for uptrend to continue. It is also 21 averages in 15 minutes.
For the larger rise 580.91 to 601.34 holding 593-594 is crucial to hold.
Above 603 I expect a 3 to 5 $ move which was resisted earlier before the fall.
At the moment I will sell only below 588 for good 10$ move. 575-578 is a crucial number to hold on downside.
In daily uptrend is intact.
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think