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Moving Averages

Sleepless Ai InsightSleepless Ai Insight 1d timeframe, as you can see on the chart, we had 2 bearish patterns that ultimately led to a downtrend move. 1st is the Head 'n Shoulder pattern then followed by a bearish continuation pattern which is the Bearish Flag. We take and mark the OBs on both of this area to classify as potential Supply Zones. Price continue downward making an ATL around $0.26 then move sideways. Lined-up all flip zones made along the way and we can see reactions on this levels. If price will be able to breakout from the 0.80 level, next target will be the Bearish Flag Supply Zone. There is also a Golden Crossover of the MA100/200 following the up candle.
Long
by phyrix
Short term Bitcoin warning: multiple bearish signalsShort term #bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD warning: - price is retesting the 50-day moving average, which is now resistance since we broke it to the downside - price is bumping into the average volume levels of this top - there is no volume behind this push (there is a price/volume divergence) - we formed a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern - we didnt liquidate enough leveraged LONGs Bitcoin cán ignore all this and just PUMP through but just keep it in mind. Happy trading! 🥸
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by PenkeTrading
Understanding Bollinger Bands: A Comprehensive GuideBollinger Bands are a versatile and widely used technical analysis tool that helps traders assess market volatility and identify potential price levels. Developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, this indicator consists of three lines plotted on a price chart: the middle band, the upper band, and the lower band. What Are Bollinger Bands? Bollinger Bands are constructed using a simple moving average (SMA) and standard deviations of price data. The bands expand and contract based on market volatility. 1. Middle Band: - A simple moving average, typically set to a 20-period SMA. 2. Upper Band: - Plotted at a distance of two standard deviations above the middle band. 3. Lower Band: - Plotted at a distance of two standard deviations below the middle band. How Bollinger Bands Work The distance between the upper and lower bands reflects market volatility: - Wide Bands: Indicate high volatility. - Narrow Bands: Suggest low volatility, often preceding significant price movement. Key Concepts and Applications 1-Squeeze: - A "squeeze" occurs when the bands narrow significantly, indicating low volatility and the potential for a breakout in either direction. Traders often look for confirmation from other indicators to predict the breakout direction. 2. Price Touches and Reversions: - When the price touches the upper band, it may signal overbought conditions. - When the price touches the lower band, it may indicate oversold conditions. - However, these are not standalone signals and should be used in conjunction with other analysis. 3. Trend Following: - In strong trends, prices can "ride" the upper or lower band without immediate reversals. 4. Double Bottoms and Tops: - A double bottom near the lower band or a double top near the upper band can signal a potential trend reversal. How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading 1. Identify Entry and Exit Points: - Use the bands to spot potential entry and exit levels. For instance, consider buying near the lower band during an uptrend or selling near the upper band during a downtrend. 2. Combine with Other Indicators: - Pair Bollinger Bands with RSI or MACD to confirm signals. - Use candlestick patterns near the bands for additional validation. 3. Set Custom Parameters: - While the default setting is a 20-period SMA with bands set at two standard deviations, adjust these parameters to suit your trading style and market conditions. Strengths of Bollinger Bands - Adaptable to All Markets: Applicable across different asset classes and timeframes. -Dynamic Nature: Automatically adjusts to market volatility. - Visual Representation: Easy to interpret and use in combination with other tools. Limitations of Bollinger Bands - Lagging Indicator: Based on historical data, Bollinger Bands may not always predict future movements. - False Signals:In sideways markets, Bollinger Bands may generate misleading signals. - Dependency on Context:The effectiveness of Bollinger Bands depends on the trader’s understanding of market trends and conditions. Example of Bollinger Bands in Action Imagine Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a range between $90,000 and $105,000. During a period of low volatility, the bands contract, signaling a potential breakout. Shortly after, the price breaks above the upper band, supported by rising volume and a bullish RSI. This could indicate a strong upward move, presenting a buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower band, it might signal a downward move, suggesting a selling opportunity. Conclusion Bollinger Bands are a valuable tool for analyzing market conditions, identifying potential trading opportunities, and managing risk. While they are easy to use, their effectiveness improves when combined with other indicators and sound risk management practices. Always test your strategies with historical data and adapt them to your specific trading goals and market conditions.
Education
by CobraVanguard
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think
NSE:EIDPARRY
by AnsariTV
BGB IdeaBGB Update 1h Timeframe Market Structure Overall structure has been bullish since the start of December following a Golden Crossover of the MAs'. Looking on the far left chart, price made a stopover at 4.9 and form a TLres with ma200 acting as dynamic support. Upon breakout of the TL, price rally upwards creating series of HHs&HLs with NATH at 8.5. Exhausted, price makes a LH, breaks last HL then retrace to make the next LH, this structure validates the shift. Lined LHs to make the TLresistance. Upon breakdown from ma100, ma200 acts as support again, then price recover a bit but face rejection on the ma100+TL and this forms the next LH. Little conso on the ma200 line then drop a bit, take out LQ and make new LL. Price moves up but this time face rejection on the ma200 and make the latest LH, price range until bouncing on the TLres again follows by MA Death Crossover. Nearest untested Demand Zone would be the OB at $5 area. With inducement sitting at prev LL, the ideal move for now is to mitigate this zone.
Long
by phyrix
Bitcoin 1D Pitchfork & Correlating Tops Where To Next For $BTC Basic little draw up from now just checking market sentiment with the MACD providing great analytical insight into where we are NOW and were we were MID bull run from $75k ATH to $109k. See the bearish MACD over the ATH of 75k and the same over the 109k ATH. We are back to zero on MACD we should see small dips or sideways movement but more volatile as price is higher. It will always seem more volatile as %s of BTC price are larger. So 10% drop or gain now on $93k is $9.3k where when 1 CRYPTOCAP:BTC was 9.3k 10% drop or gain was only $930! Yes same % loss or gain but more capital required to make or loose hat 10%. Still you can always order less but this is just a sentiment driver when you look at the % math of now and back in the day even 4 years ago or pre covid. Currently we sit at $93,250 USD at time of writing. Up from the down turn to $91k. IF we keep the market moving up growing and more $ flow in to longs and or buying bitcoin the better. I think also as its in a DIP phase people WONT be selling who brought in at or between 50k-80k. At least I wouldn't be. Even if it goes to any price pre Covid so under 25k~ This will take a while to occur with many chances to exit before or you will see much increase from where we are now. The market sentiment is good. Its down but its still dominant and will be for another 10 - 100 years plus. It's almost perfect and the coins doing other things BTC can mostly achieve but in directly. However it is no1 and will stay that way for some time. Love you Holders let us know you thoughts on this projection to upward of $200k within a few 6 months ? Not finical advice I trade on my own and use my own methods the post here isn't method to trade its just an assumption of what could happen with little degree of success. Thanks for reading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk
SEi's Points of Interest.SEi 1d Price is currently sitting on the ma200 acting as support, it is also in the flip zone where price had a multiple reactions. 5 wave count marking the start from the lowest low, it is now down by 45% from the last swing high. MA100 + bullish OB on the breakout of wave3 fails to hold as support and in turn become a breaker/resistance when price made a turn upwards. Connected swing lows to form the trendline support. Possible scenarios would be: 1. Inducement taken out around 0.37, fill small gaps & mitigate demand zone of wave 4. 2. Raid wave 4 lows, fill gaps and mitigate demand zone of wave 2. 3. Bounce on the ma200+trendline support
by phyrix
BNB 15M Reversal PlayLook how the market reversed and the day's sentiment shifted. 📉📈 You can see this in the charts, of course, but I now track sentiment with numbers. The scores "UP and DOWN" before the ">" reflect the start of the day, while those after the ">" show the current sentiment. This shift means I’ll focus on searching for shorts instead of longs (for now)- which make this day a potential ''reversal play'' for me. All intraday. But also, this is typical End OF Year chop, for example watch DOGE 15M trend, reversed 4 times which make this very bad to trade on for me with a 15M system. BNB Numbers, factual structure: - Structure: 1D: UP | 4H: UP | 1H: UP | 15M: DOWN > UP | - First 2H (15M): UP - 15M Sentiment: EMA's: UP > DOWN > UP | ATR: UP > DOWN > UP - Up score 4/7 > 7/7"
Long
by NickSeversG
2
Trading Plan: WTI Crude OilBased on my proprietary indicators, I maintain a bearish view on WTI Crude Oil. I am anticipating a downside target of ₹5800 (target open until 15th January 2025). Current Position: Holding short positions in MCX Crude Oil January 2025 expiry futures from ₹6025 levels. Intend to add more shorts if prices move to higher levels. Risk Management: Stop-loss and risk parameters are carefully planned but not disclosed here for strategic reasons. Position sizing is aligned with my overall risk appetite and trading capital. Disclaimer: This trading plan represents my personal views and trading decisions and is shared for informational purposes only. Trading in crude oil futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Readers should not consider this as financial advice and must conduct their own research or consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Past performance of proprietary indicators is not indicative of future results.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by IndexAce
Nifty analysis for intraday 31/12/2024.Nifty has been trading in a range for the last 7 trading sessions. Index is trading around the 20 EMA and giving sharp recovery on both sides. Today it has closed below the moving averages. If the market starts trading below the No trading zone, bearish entry can be created for next support levels. On the upper side the break out 23900 can clear the round number figure and test the Daily 20 EMA. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
Hidden Risk: How to Uncover and Control Before You Click 'Buy'As seasoned traders, we understand that risk management isn't just a beginner's concept; it's the bedrock of sustainable profitability. We've moved beyond the rudimentary rules and are fluent in position sizing and stop-loss orders. But in the dynamic landscape of TradingView, where opportunities arise and vanish in the blink of an eye, even intermediate traders can fall prey to impulsive decisions that erode our hard-earned capital. The solution? Systematizing our risk assessment with a pre-trade risk profile. It isn't about reinventing the wheel but refining our approach to ensure that every trade aligns with our overall strategy and risk tolerance. It gives us an edge by keeping us disciplined. The Pitfalls of Complacency It's easy to become complacent when we've got a few winning trades under our belt. We start to feel invincible precisely when we're most vulnerable. We might skip steps, loosen our stop-losses, or increase our position sizes beyond our predefined limits. We are often driven by emotions rather than logic, and it's a slippery slope. Remember, even a well-defined risk management plan is useless if it's not consistently applied. Each trade carries unique risks influenced by factors beyond our standard calculations. Creating a Pre-Trade Risk Profile: A Refresher Before hitting that buy or sell button, click on TradingView to create a simple risk profile for the specific trade. Ask yourself a series of critical questions: 1. The Asset's Volatility: What's the current Average True Range (ATR)? How does it compare to the asset's historical ATR? Higher volatility demands wider stop-losses and potentially smaller position sizes. Are there any upcoming news events or economic releases that could impact volatility? Factor these in, as they can significantly alter the risk landscape. Be aware of, for instance, earning reports. 2. The Trade Setup: What's your entry point, and why? Is it based on an explicit technical signal, or are you chasing a move? Where's your stop-loss, and what is your rationale behind it? Is it placed below a key support level or based on a multiple of the ATR? What's your target price, and is it realistically achievable given the current market conditions? Avoid setting overly ambitious targets that expose you to unnecessary risk. 3. The Correlation Factor: How does this asset correlate with other positions in your portfolio? Are you inadvertently increasing your exposure to a specific sector or market trend? Could a single event trigger losses across multiple positions? Diversification is key, but it requires careful consideration of correlations. 4. The Time Factor: What's your intended holding period for this trade? The longer the timeframe, the greater the potential for unforeseen events to impact your position. Does your stop-loss need to be adjusted based on the timeframe? A wider stop-loss than a day trade might be necessary for a swing trade. 5. The "Gut Check": Are you comfortable with the potential loss on this trade? If the answer is no, it's a red flag. Either reduce your position size or reconsider the trade altogether. Are you trading based on a well-defined plan, or are emotions driving your decision? Be honest with yourself. From Profile to Action: Implementing Your Assessment Once you've answered these questions, you have a clearer picture of the trade's risk profile. Use this information to: Fine-tune your position size: Ensure it aligns with your pre-determined risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of your capital). Set your stop-loss: Place it strategically based on the asset's volatility and your chosen support/resistance levels. Determine your risk/reward ratio: Is the potential profit worth your risk? Aim for at least a 1:2 or 1:3 risk/reward ratio. Bonus Tip: Develop Your Risk Score System Consider creating a simple risk score system to streamline your risk assessment further. Assign points to different risk factors based on their potential impact. For example, here is the Trade Impact Estimator (T.I.E): Volatility: Low Volatility (Below Average ATR): +1 point Average Volatility (Within Average ATR): 0 points High Volatility (Above Average ATR): -1 point News Events: Major News Event Scheduled: -2 points Minor News Event: -1 point No News Event: +1 Point Correlation: High Correlation with Existing Positions: -1 point Low Correlation: +1 point Timeframe: Day Trade: +1 point Swing Trade: 0 points Long-Term Trade: -1 point Trade setup: Good Risk/reward ratio: +1 point Neutral Risk/Reward ratio: 0 points Bad Risk/Reward ratio: -2 points Set Thresholds: Total Score of +3 or higher: Potentially a lower-risk trade, consider proceeding as planned. Total Score between 0 and +2: Proceed cautiously; consider reducing position size. Total Score of -1 or lower: Re-evaluate the trade, widen your stop-loss, significantly reduce position size, or avoid the trade altogether. Disclaimer: This is a simplified example. You can customize your risk score system to include additional factors and adjust the point values based on your own trading style and risk tolerance. You can also assign more points to factors that have historically impacted your trading results. It's crucial to backtest and refine your system over time. The Takeaway Mastering risk management is a continuous journey. By incorporating a pre-trade risk profile into our routine, we elevate our trading from reactive to proactive. We transform ourselves from gamblers to calculated risk-takers. On TradingView, where information flows ceaselessly, this disciplined approach is not just an advantage; it's a necessity. So, refine your process, stay vigilant, and make your trades profitable.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by hydtie
Purely TechnicalOn the close of last week Friday, nasdaq found support at 21,300-21,280… A closer examination of the 15-30min timeframe chart shows a *double bottom* chart pattern formation… Going into Monday, we’re looking of price to slightly pullback to the support zone at for buy entry. Price will be retracing to for profit taking . If price does consolidate at this lvl sell positions can be entered for further continuation of the pending fall to 50 day moving average 200 day moving average
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by ronyneverlies
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think
NSE:GOKULAGRO
by AnsariTV
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. 50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks. Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
NSE:FSL
by AnsariTV
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think
NSE:CHOICEIN
by AnsariTV
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think
NSE:FORTIS
by AnsariTV