Moving Averages
NZD/CHF: PAT + VPA 11/03/2024Good morning,
On this date, March 11, 2024, I will be conducting an analysis of the NZD/CHF currency pair.
Daily (1D): The daily timeframe has exhibited a bearish trend, initiating a downward movement from May 28, 2024, to August 5, 2024. During this period, the price encountered support at 0.494, subsequently rallying to 0.536. It is important to highlight that 0.536 represents the last swing low that was breached on the weekly chart. The price faced significant resistance at approximately 0.536 and subsequently tested the daily swing low at 0.519. Following this, the price entered a consolidation phase between 0.519 and 0.526, which persisted for 16 days before breaking below the daily swing low of 0.519.
The weekly and monthly moving averages (7EMA & 21EMA on the daily timeframe) indicate a sustained bearish trend. Presently, the support level is situated at 0.494. I anticipate that the price will trend towards 0.494 in the coming weeks.
I will be actively seeking trading opportunities targeting 0.494.
ThePipAssassin
Where to next with XAUUSD (GOLD) ?FX:XAUUSD
Monthly
So the big question is where is GOLD going next?! As shown on the Monthly chart GOLD has been extremely bullish throughout 2023/2024. My outlooks is mixed with current PA but mostly LONG GOLD, I can't see any real reason to short XAUUSD especially looking at this Monthly chart as we have dynamic support from the EMA's, strong bullish candles and consistent Higher highs however thorough analysis of the lower time frames is needed before any conclusions are met.
Weekly
Looking at the Weekly chart and candle close I would expect price to potentially pull back the slightest into structure to continue with its lovely trend of higher lows and higher highs. as demonstrated with arrow. I see this only happening with a breach & close below last weeks support at 2,708.62 along with LH and LL off structure (AOI) which will be shown on other charts.
Daily
Daily charts begin to decipher potential next moves as we have massive bearish engulfing nearly taking out the 2 before it. As shown Fridays price closed at an AOI which was a very significant level in the past weeks holding as strong resistance then support which took price much higher but as we can see the daily candle spiked through this level but did not close along with 10 EMA close dynamic support however the last daily candle especially closing below this AOI tells me we could definitely take the move lower if there is a bearish 4hr close somewhere around market open.
If price goes bearish and breaks both structure levels AOI then I see a deeper retracement into previous structure highs as shown below
4hr + Entry
4hr makes things clearer as explained before I wouldn't be making any moves until either a few 4hr closes at the beginning of market open or a daily close bullish or bearish, this is because we have EMA crossover to the downside and 50 EMA resistance but these can all be breached to the upside based on how gold has been moving and a close above 2,741.50 (4hr or daily) as shown with arrow heading to the upside.
the other option is price continues short term bearish based on ema confluence and PA along with structure resistance as shown after bullish pullback which failed and was engulfed. looking to the left price has already gone short from this AOI and if it does but doesn't reverse from the lower grey box AOI it will fall into Previous Structure highs as outlined.
Possible entries
I favour these in order. ;)
CHGP - Uptrend may EXTEND in near term ?CHGP - Current Price : RM2.27
CHGP is bullish as the price is above 50 & 200 days EMA . It is currently forming a Bullish Pennant Pattern. Chart Pattern traders may wait for a valid BREAKOUT this pattern to trigger a buy signal.
Based on ICHIMOKU CHART, the stock made a breakout above CLOUD on 22 OCT 2024 which provides a buy signal. CHIKOU SPAN already moving above candlestick (which indicates a bullish scenario). At current moment, CHIKOU SPAN is inside the CLOUD and heading towards its resistance (LEADING SPAN 2 - the upper side of CLOUD). If the CHIKOU SPAN make a new high above the CLOUD, it will strengthen more the BULLISH outlook for this stock. As such, ICHIMOKU CHART traders may wait for the CHIKOU SPAN to break above the CLOUD to trigger a good buy signal.
Notes : CHIN HIN GROUP BERHAD is the largest shareholder of CHGP. Approximately holding 54.94% stake.
Drop after Election Pump with FOMCMy trading idea for next week is as follows. I will be watching the price action very closely on Monday, the day before the election. This will prepare the price for the volatility of the election. I expect the price to move to the EMA50 on the 1D time frame next week. That would be around $64k. Then there is the FOMC meeting on Thursday, which could lead to a significant rise in the price. Next week is very important. The use of leverage should be taken carefully.
EXIDE NSEEXIDE has corrected from its ATH by 36%, now bouncing back from the 50% FIBO has cloded above 38.2% FIBO. Early entry can be taken with 25% quantity now and safe Traders on Day close above 515. Maintain SL at 454 the current Swing Low.
The EMAs have indicated a reversal, price currently above 50EMA and add Quantities when 20EM crosses above 50EMA.
Hold up to Target
ASHOKLEY NSEASHOKLEY is in a bullish trend and has corrected @60% from its ATH of 264, currently in trading in a range with flat volumes. its trading between 50 & 61% FIBO. A flag and Pole Structure
Entry above 242 Day close, Entry with 25% qty on breakout and balance when retest is done, Target 1 264 and TGT 2-275, maintain SL 233.
HONAUT NSEHoneywell Automation after a 3Year Bearish Trend has Broken Out with a Bang and now corrected to its pervious all time High. The stock has currently retraced to the the 50% FIB level for its last Impulse on the WTF.
Stock is trading close to 200EMA and below 50EMA following is and early entry recommendation with 25% quantity and add progressively up to 52K WTF close
ENTY above 50400 WTF close. SL at 48600 WTF Close and Target 60000..
ATUL NSE 3Y BreakoutATUL LTD. in the chemicals business was in a bearish Trend for 2Y8M and broke out of the bear phase in July this year. ATUL has broken above the 52W high if 7225 in 1st week of July
Looking at the Monthly time Frame (MTF) chart it consolidating for 2months now after its breakout run after the bearish phase...
EMA 50 is above 200EMA and 20EMA above 50EMA confirming the Bullish trend
Price has pulled back from the 23.6% 7433 of the last Impulse move i ndicating a bullish continuation
Entry Stop Loss and Targets marked on charts, Trade using Weekly Time Frame for Entry and Add Quantity. wait for Breakout and reset of current consolidation
FINCABLES NSE BULLISH FLAGFINCABLES has broken out of a Bullish Flag on DTF
Price is above 200EMA. Currently Price is below 21EMA is below 50 suggesting a Flat Trend
CAMS is trading above the 38.2%% FIBO Retracement Range
FINCABLES is currently consolidating in a Range, Enter when Range is broken on WTF.
SL below the consolidation Range @1360. enter at current price with 25% Quantity ADD 25% when price closes above @1495 in WTF ..Add progressively. at higher Close and 21EMA crosses 50EMA in DTF
KEEP Strict SL
QUESS NSE 6Yr Trend LINE Breakout WTF/MTF QUESS NSE , Price has Broken out of a 6Yr Trendline on the Weekly and Monthly time Frame (WTF/MTF)
Price is currently hovering above 50 EMA with 21EMA above 50 and 200 respectively in DTF suggesting a Corrective/Pullback of a Bullish Trend
QUESS is trading above the 50% FIBO Retracement Range on DTF
Enter when Price closes above High on WTF with 25% Quantity.
SL @720
Add progressively. at higher Close Add 50% when price closes above 1000 completing the RBC with a retest.
SIEMENS:NSE PRICE ACTION 52W HIGH DTF SWINGSIEMENS Analysis DTF
Chart Pattern :
STOCK has recently TOUCHED its ATH of 7968 with 8 month Bull run . FIBO Retracement bounce back from 61% FOBO and now hovering between 23 to38% indicating a Bullish continuation
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading below 20EMA, and 20EM crossed above 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO E :
After the Bounce back 61% FIBO Retracement Level, Price is currently trading near the 23.6% FIBO Retracement level of 6640 on DTF Impulse uptrend with ChoCH at 7260 on DTF
Volumes: are currently flat for the past few weeks..
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -above 7270 50% qty
ADD 50% above 7950 DTF close
SL -7100
TARGET --01-9400
Hold For a 3-6months
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk Apetite. Trail Your SL progressively. Wait for Retest after any Breakout in higher Timeframe Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
SEQUENT:NSE RBC&H 2Y-8M onDTF/WTF/MTF PositionalSEQUENT Analysis WTF
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -200-205 25%Qty, 25% Qty @ 190 Add further above 225
SL -187
TARGET --01-243 @27% gain, TGT02--335 @75% gain from 202
Hold For a Year or TGT 2
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Chart Pattern :
STOCK has recently broken its 52W HIGH of 202 forming a 2Y-8M RBC on the DTF/WTF/MTF. Currently on a Pullback to form a Handle ON DTF. The FVG on WTF, can get an Entry price of 190
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EM crossed above 50EMA in DTF/WTF early July. 50EMA came close to 200EMA in June in WTF then turned upwards confirming the Bullish Continuation. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 and moving apart indicating a bullish Trend continuation on DTF/WTF/MTF.
FIBO E :
After the Bounce-back from 61%FIBO Retracement Level, Price is currently trading near the 127% FIBO Extension level of 211 on WTF Impulse uptrend with ChoCH at 174 on DTF
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts for1 Weeks and currently in Pullback.
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk-apetite. Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
SAREGAMA:NSE ATH+RBC 3Y-8M BO on DTF/WTF/MTF PositionalSAREGAMA Analysis WTF
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -580-590
SL -550 DTF CLOSE
TARGET -01-817
Hold For a Year or TGT
Chart Pattern :
SAREGAMA has a clear 3Y-8M RBC&H completed
STOCK has recently broken its ATH of 581 forming a 3Y-8M RBC&H on the DTF/WTF/MTF. Pullback to form a Handle completed.
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EM crossed above 50EMA in DTF in Last Week of Sept. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF/MTF.
FIBO E :
After the Bounce-back from 50% FIBO/R Level, Price is currently trading near the 50% FIBO/E level of 597 on DTF Impulse uptrend with Bullish ChoCH at 550 on DTF
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts for3 Weeks after the BO & Retest..
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
AUROPHARMA NSE BULLISH FLAG /RBC&H 7M AUROPHARMA WTF Analysis
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -1510 -1550 On BO of Bullish Fage DTF Close
SL -1405 or Weekly Low Close Price
TARGET --01-1719 , TGT02--1931
Hold For a Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK has recently touched its LTH of 1592. Previously Impulse after forming a 2Y-7M RBC on the DTF/WTF. The recent 7Month Swing has now ripened to a Bullish Flag Pattern on a Pullback ready to BO above 1510. The Swing Target to the Recent ATH will give 12%+ return,
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading below 20EMA, and 20EM above 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO E :
After the Bounce-back from 23.6% FIBO Retracement Level, Price is currently trading near the 11490 on DTF Impulse uptrend
Volumes: There CURRENTLY not Encouraging Though on the Weekly timeframe
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH/ATH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
PPLPHARMA NSE POLE & FLAG BO DT/WTF SWING/POSITIONALPIRAMAL PHARMA STOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -230 50% Qty, Add 50% qty 243 DTF Close
SL -186 (Note: SL is deep below the Weekly Low since there is a FVG in WTF
TARGET --01-243 (Swing) , TGT02--306
Hold For a 06M-1 Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK had a 6 Month Streak to Touch an ATH of 243, Retracing in Equal time to 23.6% FIBO Level forming a Bullish Flag Pattern indicating a Bullish continuation..
INDICATORS EMA :
The STOCK Price has Trading above 50EMA, and bouncing up from 20EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in ascending alignment 20 to 200EMA where on 1th an 5.3%+ price rise with Volumes indicating start of a bullish Flag Breakout Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO/E :
Currently the price is above 20% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Traders Enter above 230.
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume above the 20VMA on the DTF & Weekly Charts for10-12 Weeks even during the Pullback.
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses...
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
IONEXCHANGE NSE FLAG&POLE BO WTF SWING/POSITIONALIONEXCHANGE STOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN (DTF Close Price for SWING)
ENTRY -687 25 to 50% Qty, Add 50% qty 710 DTF Close
SL -605
TARGET -SWING 768, 01-991
Hold For a 1-2 Year or TGT 01
Chart Pattern :
STOCK was in a BEARISH SUBTREND for 8M touching the previous ATH of 687, with 1Month Streak to Touch an new ATH of 768, after retracing and BO of the 8M RBC its showing signs of Recovery forming a Bullish Flag Pattern from in 50-61% FIBO Level .
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 50EMA, and 20EMM below 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in Transitional stage of alignment, indicating early start of a bullish reversal Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO/E :
Currently the price has recovered above 61.8 to 50% FIBO support Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Investors Enter above 686 with 25% Qty and Add progressively after a retracement.
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts since June and above the 20VMA.
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses in the direction of your POV...
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
MAZDOCK NSE BULLISH FLAG DTF/WTF 3.5M BO Soon. POSITIONAL TRADEMAZDOCK STOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -4518 50% Qty, Add 50% qty 4925 DTF Close
SL -3970
TARGET --01-5800 , TGT02--7600
Hold For a 1-2 Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK had a 3Month Streak to Touch an ATH of 5860, Retracing in Equal time to 50% FIBO Level forming a Bullish Flag Pattern.
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 50EMA, and 20EMa below 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in Transitional stage of alignment where today an 8%+ price rise with Volumes indicating start of a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO E :
Currently the price is below 50% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Traders Enter above 4925.
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts for1 Weeks after the 14 weeks Pullback.
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
GBPNZD LONGMonthly
Monthly PA is overall bullish, with last months candle continuation of bullish PA coming off morning star set up. I expect this months candle to continue bullish and likely fill out previous wick.
All EMA's are bullish and acting as dynamic support.
Weekly
Weekly PA has printed quite a large doji candle, Showing some indecision which is expected as GBP across the board did weaken through the middle of last week. However from following this PA since last Monday I would classify this as a healthy weekly pull back for price to go higher. This is demonstrated in strong move higher which broke out of weekly resistance key level (Large grey box AOI) and since staying above, following this bullish push to upside and recent pullback into the AOI price has failed to close below it making this previous resistance level now a level of support along with 50 EMA dynamic Support. Closer look on 2 charts below
Weekly chart
Daily chart
Daily
Daily PA is very similar to weekly description. Strong Bullish run up through the month of October up into level of around 2.1555 where we found some resistance for at least 2 trading weeks, this resistance ended with a very strong bullish candle going on to make HH & HL etc. Price found extra support for continuation of Bullish P.A at AOI shown with blue arrow which again turn from Resistance to Support. Also this AOI of interest has proved itself to be significant as pull back into it was also acting as support before broken. I now anticipate price will stay above this AOI bearish LH LL current PA. Price Currently sitting just above all EMA's PA above will be further confluence.
4hr chart for closer look
4hr
Currently in trade long anticipating continuation to upside especially anywhere above Areas of Interest and two strong bullish engulfing candles at the bottom of bearish move.
FX:GBPNZD
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think