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Moving Averages

CME Gap Fill IdeaShort until the gap, then long. Daily S&P E-mini futures chart, a failure to remain above the 200 EMA and failure to reach the 200 MA, now pushing on the 50 EMA and MA and a confirmed death cross. We have a CME gap between 5332-5355 (so approx 5345ish as a target). Scenario here is a move down to the gap to act as a springboard to get back above the 50/200 EMAs and MAs and have it cross back over. Resistance area aligns with 200 MA. Pattern formed looks like an inverted HS or possibly a quasimodo.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by dudebruhwhoa
Best Buy Bounces Toward GapBest Buy has rebounded from last month’s sharp drop, but some traders may expect another push to the downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the price zone between $67.16 and $73.28. That matches the bearish price gap on April 3, one day after hefty tariffs were announced. The electronics retailer’s recent peak has also occurred at its trough last May, which was the low for all of 2024. Has old support become new resistance? Next, the stochastic oscillator is turning down from an overbought condition. Third, BBY is near its 21-day exponential moving average. Slipping below it could suggest the short-term direction is getting less bullish. Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in January and has remained there since. Such an alignment may be consistent with a longer-term downtrend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:BBY
by TradeStation
BTC | WHY Bitcoin is BULLISH | 2021 Fractal5 reasons why I say BTC is on it's way to a new ATH (All Time High) : ✅1️⃣ Support zone reclaimed BTC has successfully reclaimed the support zone ABOVE the neckline resistance, a topic that I've been discussing over the past two weeks. If you'll recall, I pointed out either 70k or 90k. We have our answer: ✅2️⃣ Trendlines Trendlines are BULLISH as BTC continues to make highger lows, a key indication of bullish sentiment even when a pullback is present: ✅3️⃣ Moving Averages BTC has reclaimed ALL moving averages in the daily, a bullish indication: ✅4️⃣ Trend Based Indicators A bullish flash in the weekly is a strong sign: ✅5️⃣ Fractal It's possible that BTC plays out similarly to the previous ATH fractal from 2021: ________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
ADP Challenges ResistanceAutomatic Data Processing has moved sideways since the autumn, and now some traders may think it’s ready to move. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since early March. The payrolls-processing company closed above that falling trendline on Friday, which may suggest it’s breaking resistance. Next, prices tested and held their rising 200-day simple moving average (SMA). They’ve also fought back above the 50-day SMA. Those signals may be consistent with long- and intermediate-term uptrends. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) just crossed above the 21-day EMA. MACD also turned positive. Those signals may be consistent with short-term bullishness. Finally, ADP’s results and guidance beat estimates on April 30. The resulting bullish outside candle could also suggest buyers are taking charge. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:ADP
by TradeStation
1
MACD: More Than Just a Crossover ToolHello, traders! 🔥 The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is one of the most trusted tools in technical analysis — but often one of the most oversimplified. While many traders focus on signal line crossovers, the real power of MACD lies in its ability to visualize market momentum, subtle shifts in trend strength, and early signs of potential reversals. Let’s unpack how MACD behaves using the weekly BTC/USDT chart ✍🏻. 🔧 Understanding the Mechanics At its core, MACD is the difference between two exponential moving averages — typically the 12-period EMA and the 26-period EMA. The result is the MACD line (blue). The orange line represents a 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the MACD line, commonly referred to as the signal line. The histogram reflects the distance between them, helping to visualize when momentum is building or fading. 📊 MACD in Action — Weekly BTC Chart Breakdown Looking at the BTC/USDT weekly chart, several notable MACD behaviors stand out: 1. The Bullish Acceleration in Early 2023 In early 2023, MACD crossed above the signal line, accompanied by a sharp rise in the histogram. This indicated strong positive momentum, as the price began recovering from the 2022 lows. The histogram’s expansion confirmed increasing divergence between the short- and long-term EMAs — a classic sign of trend acceleration. 2. Peak Momentum in Late 2023 Around late 2023, the MACD line peaked while the histogram also reached maximum height. This wasn’t just a confirmation of strength — it also hinted that momentum may have reached a climax. Despite price continuing to rise slightly, the MACD curve started to flatten — an early warning of potential exhaustion in trend strength. 3. Bearish Convergence into Q1 2025 In early 2025, the MACD line turned downward and eventually crossed below the signal line, while the histogram flipped to red. This reflected a cooldown in bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. What’s notable is how price didn’t collapse sharply, but moved into a pullback phase — illustrating how MACD can show momentum softening before price visibly reacts. 📌 What This Can Tells Us The MACD indicator on this weekly BTC chart shows how momentum often shifts before the trend itself breaks. Each crossover, divergence, or histogram change is not a guarantee, but a cue to pay closer attention. Key takeaways: Strong Histogram Expansion = Confidence in the Current Move. Peaks in MACD Without Price Making New Highs = Potential Divergence. Shrinking Histogram + Converging Lines = Momentum Stalling. 🧠 Final Thought MACD isn’t just about “buy when it crosses” or “sell on red bars.” It’s a narrative tool, showing how the story of the price develops beneath the surface. On higher timeframes, such as the weekly chart, it can potentially highlight macro momentum shifts long before they become apparent in price action alone.
Education
by WhiteBIT
6
Using Moving Averages Like a ChaseHow Institutions May Be Using Moving Averages to Align Technicals with Fundamentals Are moving averages just for retail traders and chart watchers? Not if you're JPMorgan Chase. While many associate moving averages (MAs) with simple trading strategies, institutional giants like JPMorgan Chase likely use them very differently. Instead of relying on MAs to chase trends, they may use them as confluence tools—where technical signals meet macroeconomic insight, risk models, and long-term strategy. Here’s how JPMorgan might be using moving averages across their medium- to long-term investments—and what you can learn from it. 📊 1. Moving Averages as Investment Benchmarks At the institutional level, MAs aren’t just "buy/sell" triggers. JPMorgan likely treats the 50-day and 200-day moving averages as dynamic references that help answer broader questions: Is this trend aligned with the macro picture? Is this a real shift, or just short-term volatility? How do fund flows behave around these levels? Rather than acting on the average itself, JPMorgan probably uses it to validate investment theses and smooth out the noise. ⚙️ 2. Confluence: Where Technicals and Fundamentals Align In large portfolios, confluence is king. It’s not just about one indicator—but about multiple factors aligning to strengthen conviction. MAs might be used alongside: Macro trends (GDP growth, inflation, interest rates) Sector momentum (e.g. financials vs. tech rotation) Earnings growth and valuation models Liquidity flows and volatility data When a stock reclaims its 200-day MA and fundamentals improve, that’s a green light. When everything lines up, JPMorgan can move with more confidence. 📈 3. A Probabilistic (Not Predictive) Approach Institutions don’t deal in absolutes—they deal in probabilities. JPMorgan’s quant teams likely test how often certain MA setups lead to favorable outcomes under different market regimes. So instead of reacting to a crossover, they may ask: "How often does this setup succeed, given current economic conditions?" If the odds are strong, they’ll scale in. If not, they’ll wait or hedge. It’s a measured, data-driven approach to timing. 🛡️ 4. Risk Management and Strategic Timing Moving averages are also incredibly useful for managing portfolio risk. They offer: Clarity in volatile markets Timing cues for rebalancing Visual structure for entries/exits MAs help JPMorgan place guardrails around long-term positions—keeping strategy in check while avoiding overreactions to noise. 🔍 Final Thought: JPMorgan Isn’t Chasing Trends—They’re Refining Them The lesson for investors? Don’t treat moving averages as magic lines. Used well, they become tools of confirmation and control, not prediction. For JPMorgan Chase, MAs are likely just one piece of a much larger puzzle—blending technicals with fundamentals, data science, and market context to execute with precision. 💡 Pro Tip: You can apply the same idea to your own strategy—use moving averages to validate your thesis, not to drive it. Confluence is the key.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by CandelaCharts
Why I'm not holding Tesla Tesla was dropping! I got in at around 220. However, within three weeks, I sold for a small profit. BUT, why did I sell? This is why I'm not holding NASDAQ:TSLA It's time to buy! From a technical and historical point of view, buying Tesla right now makes perfect sense. The stock has a history of making significant price gains, is currently oversold, and is testing key support areas, such as the monthly 50 SMA. A trader or investor who is 100% technical-based, this stock looks like a dream. However, all the hype hits the floor when the fundamentals are considered... Meh... ✔ The company has been increasing sales and cash year-on-year until recently ✔ Tesla has plenty of cash and assets. A simple acid test ratio shows liabilities vs. assets around 1:2. ❌ The issue is profit. Both gross and net profit margins have been falling year-on-year. The net profit margin is down from 15% two years ago to 7% last year. ❌ Worse, the current forecasts predict decreased sales and other key financials. Poor and worsening financials are a clear red flag when buying stocks. Stay away. No matter how appealing the price looks. Don't get me wrong, I don't think Tesla is doomed, and it may still yield returns. However, I would not be surprised if the stock consolidates or moves lower from here. For me, Tesla is not the significant buy it once was.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
Aussie Perks Up As Asia NapsAUD/USD closed last week at the highest level of 2025 and has extended the move today, pushing above the key 200-day moving average. The rally coincides with further strength in the offshore-traded Chinese yuan, which also finished last week at 2025 highs against the U.S. dollar. While the price action is undeniably bullish—mirrored by strengthening momentum indicators—light turnover due to holidays across much of Asia warrants caution. The European open may offer a clearer read on whether this break above the 200DMA will stick. If there’s no immediate reversal during European trade, traders may consider establishing longs with a tight stop below the 200DMA, targeting resistance near .6550. Alternatively, a move back beneath the 200DMA—echoing Friday’s reversal—could open the door for shorts, with uptrend support around .6370 and the 50DMA below that as possible downside targets. Good luck! DS
by FOREXcom
BTC Building Strength – Breakout Ahead?$BTC/USDT Weekly Analysis Bitcoin continues to respect the 50 EMA on the weekly timeframe — a key dynamic support level that has consistently held throughout this bullish structure. Each time BTC corrected, it found support near the 50 EMA before bouncing back with strength. The current structure mirrors past price action, with price again rebounding from the EMA after a consolidation phase. We’re also seeing a pattern of lower highs forming a potential descending resistance line. A breakout above this trendline could trigger a fresh rally, possibly taking BTC to new highs. As long as Bitcoin stays above the 50 EMA, the mid-to-long-term bias remains bullish. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance could open the door for a strong upside continuation. DYOR, NFA Thanks for following along — stay tuned for more updates!
Long
by unichartz
33
TSLA Drill Team is Back Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, Tesla is facing significant headwinds as we approach its Q1 2025 earnings. A 13% year-over-year decline in deliveries, ongoing margin pressures from price cuts, and negative consumer sentiment tied to Elon Musk’s political involvement are weighing on the company. While the energy segment and potential updates on the affordable vehicle could provide some upside, the risk of a disappointing earnings report looms large, potentially exacerbating Tesla’s challenges in a competitive EV market. Technically We see that the price is consolidating near the lower boundary of the golden pocket on the FIBO channel on the 1-hour chart. For a few days now, the price has been holding just above the 240.00 support level, but the bearish trend remains dominant with 23 out of 26 technical indicators signaling bearish sentiment as of April 20, 2025. Entry SHORT around 240$ targeting 220$ Post-earnings, we could see a breakdown below 220.00, targeting the next support at 216.00, from which the future prospects will depend. Resistance levels: 270, 250, 240 Support levels: 220, 216, 210 The price is struggling to break above the resistance, consolidating over days. With earnings on Tuesday, there’s a high probability of a breakdown if the report misses expectations or lacks clear guidance on growth initiatives. A break and consolidation below 230.00 could lead to a decline toward 220.00 or even 210.00 in the coming week. However, if Tesla surprises positively—particularly with strong energy segment growth or clarity on the affordable vehicle—we might see a reversal. Still, the current setup suggests caution, and we’ll need to monitor the price reaction closely post-earnings. Keep your long term vision NASDAQ:TSLA
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by quantsignals
25
ALPHA Structure Analysis - 50-day EMA breakoutYesterday, BINANCE:ALPHAUSDT cleanly broke and closed above the 50-day EMA, which it hadn't been able to reclaim since December 2024. It also retested the previous $0.042-$0.052 demand zone, which acted as resistance. Check the weekly chart below for more context: Key Levels • $0.024-$0.034: Main demand zone, dating back to October 2020 • $0.042-$0.052: Previous demand zone and current resistance • ~$0.070: Previous key S/R, currently reinforced by 1-year EMA, and potential resistance • $0.115-$0.137: Main supply zone Trigger I am looking for a retest of the 50-day EMA (~0.035) as support for a long entry, with a clear invalidation below the recent $0.025 swing low, targeting the main supply zone with the other key levels outlined above as partial TP targets.
Long
by AliferCrypto
Berkshire Hathaway Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Berkshire Hathaway Stock Quote - Double Formation * (Anchored VWAP)) | Completed Survey * Wave Feature & Ongoing Wave (3)) | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (Uptrend Argument)) At 510.00 USD | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 512.00 USD * Entry At 540.00 USD * Take Profit At 585.00 USD * (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
PEPPERSTONE:BRK.BLong
by TradePolitics