Corrective wave continuing in GoldGold is in corrective wave now gold should continue this move and give a good target for sellers.
5th impulsive wave has been completed and 2nd corrective wave also completed now 3rd corrective wave is coming, and this wave should be high sell in gold because it's 3rd wave of correction.
Moving Averages
Is Solana the Next Big Crypto to Watch Out For?
Solana's Resurgence: A Potential Bounce
Solana (SOL), the high-performance blockchain platform, has been making headlines as it exceeds a crucial demand level of approximately $157. This level has acted as a strong support zone, withstanding recent market volatility. As the cryptocurrency market braces for the upcoming U.S. election and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Solana's potential recovery has captured the attention of investors and traders alike.
A Strong Foundation at $157
The $157 level has proven to be Solana's significant psychological and technical support level. It represents a critical juncture where buying pressure has consistently outweighed selling pressure, preventing a deeper decline. This resilience underscores the underlying strength of the Solana network and its community.
Technical Analysis: Signs of a Bullish Reversal
A closer look at Solana's technical indicators reveals several promising signs of a potential bullish reversal:
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI, a momentum oscillator, has dipped below the oversold level, indicating that the selling pressure has waned. A rebound in the RSI could signal a shift in market sentiment and a potential upward trend.
• Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages have crossed below the price, a bearish signal known as a death cross. However, if the price manages to break above these moving averages, it could trigger a bullish crossover, potentially leading to a significant price increase.
• Volume: Increased trading volume often accompanies significant price movements. A surge in volume during a potential breakout above the $157 level could confirm the bullish momentum and attract more buyers to the market.
The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors
The upcoming U.S. election and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision are two major events that could significantly impact the cryptocurrency market, including Solana. A highly contested election or a hawkish stance by the Fed could lead to increased market volatility and potential downside risks for cryptocurrencies.
However, if the election results are clear-cut and the Fed adopts a more dovish tone, it could create a favorable environment for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. A potential rate cut or a pause in rate hikes could boost investor sentiment and drive demand for Solana and other cryptocurrencies.
The Future of Solana
Solana's ability to maintain its position above the $157 level and potentially break out to higher levels will depend on several factors, including:
• Network Performance: Solana's network performance, including transaction speed and fees, will continue to be crucial for attracting developers and users.
• Ecosystem Growth: The growth of Solana's ecosystem, including decentralized applications (dApps) and decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, will drive demand for SOL tokens.
• Institutional Adoption: Increased institutional adoption of Solana could provide significant price support and drive long-term growth.
• Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment towards cryptocurrencies will also play a role in Solana's price movement.
In conclusion, Solana's position above the $157 support level is a positive sign, and a potential bullish reversal could be on the horizon. However, investors and traders should remain cautious and monitor the impact of macroeconomic factors on the cryptocurrency market. As the U.S. election and the Fed's interest rate decision approach, heightened volatility is expected, and it's essential to have a well-defined trading strategy in place.
CF Industries Shows Signs of BottomingCF Industries has moved sideway for almost two years, but some traders may think the fertilizer stock is bottoming.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the rally between September 11 and October 4. That move established a new 52-week high. It was followed by a pullback to the September 20 weekly close of $81.61, where CF bounced.
Second, a falling trendline along the highs of March and August was broken. That old resistance apparently became new support last week.
Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) recently had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA. That may suggest its longer-term trend has turned bullish.
Finally, prices jumped after the last two quarterly reports. Those moves could reflect improving sentiment.
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$SPY November 5, 2024AMEX:SPY November 5, 2024
15 Minutes.
For the extension from 539 to 575 to 565 AMEX:SPY made 61.8% of the move at 586 levels.
For the fall 583.32 to 568.44 it retraced 50% to 575.5 levels.
Now we have a sideways in box range between 575 to 567.
Bias id down as AMEX:SPY below all moving averages.
The positive side we have is for the lows 568.44 and 567.86 in 15 minutes we have oscillator divergence.
Therefore, if I take the rise 539.95 to 586.12, I expect first target to be 563 being 50% of retracement for the move.
Bias is towards short side.
Hang Seng Short: Resistance at 20SMAFollowing my warning about Hang Seng on 2nd Oct regarding Hang Seng reaching an important price point, I have yet to publish another idea about this index. One of the reasons is to let the dust settles, the other is to observe what is happening in the US markets.
Now, I am convinced that the US market will be going down and it will pull global equities with it. Hang Seng is no exception. Technically speaking, I like to observe the 20 SMA. Hang Seng seems to be rejected at this SMA and thus I would say that any short will have a stop loss above the 20 SMA.
BKNG golden fibBKGN has rather quickly hit the golden fib, a rejection candle arises. The stochastic and daily RSI are overheated. I expect a pullback to 4160. This would be healthy for future reasonable growth. Volume is also falling on average. The 5 EMA is also vert far from current price, the stock needs to revisit. I have seen many a titan reject at the golden ratio including QQQ and SPX recently.
NZD/CHF: PAT + VPA 11/03/2024Good morning,
On this date, March 11, 2024, I will be conducting an analysis of the NZD/CHF currency pair.
Daily (1D): The daily timeframe has exhibited a bearish trend, initiating a downward movement from May 28, 2024, to August 5, 2024. During this period, the price encountered support at 0.494, subsequently rallying to 0.536. It is important to highlight that 0.536 represents the last swing low that was breached on the weekly chart. The price faced significant resistance at approximately 0.536 and subsequently tested the daily swing low at 0.519. Following this, the price entered a consolidation phase between 0.519 and 0.526, which persisted for 16 days before breaking below the daily swing low of 0.519.
The weekly and monthly moving averages (7EMA & 21EMA on the daily timeframe) indicate a sustained bearish trend. Presently, the support level is situated at 0.494. I anticipate that the price will trend towards 0.494 in the coming weeks.
I will be actively seeking trading opportunities targeting 0.494.
ThePipAssassin
Where to next with XAUUSD (GOLD) ?FX:XAUUSD
Monthly
So the big question is where is GOLD going next?! As shown on the Monthly chart GOLD has been extremely bullish throughout 2023/2024. My outlooks is mixed with current PA but mostly LONG GOLD, I can't see any real reason to short XAUUSD especially looking at this Monthly chart as we have dynamic support from the EMA's, strong bullish candles and consistent Higher highs however thorough analysis of the lower time frames is needed before any conclusions are met.
Weekly
Looking at the Weekly chart and candle close I would expect price to potentially pull back the slightest into structure to continue with its lovely trend of higher lows and higher highs. as demonstrated with arrow. I see this only happening with a breach & close below last weeks support at 2,708.62 along with LH and LL off structure (AOI) which will be shown on other charts.
Daily
Daily charts begin to decipher potential next moves as we have massive bearish engulfing nearly taking out the 2 before it. As shown Fridays price closed at an AOI which was a very significant level in the past weeks holding as strong resistance then support which took price much higher but as we can see the daily candle spiked through this level but did not close along with 10 EMA close dynamic support however the last daily candle especially closing below this AOI tells me we could definitely take the move lower if there is a bearish 4hr close somewhere around market open.
If price goes bearish and breaks both structure levels AOI then I see a deeper retracement into previous structure highs as shown below
4hr + Entry
4hr makes things clearer as explained before I wouldn't be making any moves until either a few 4hr closes at the beginning of market open or a daily close bullish or bearish, this is because we have EMA crossover to the downside and 50 EMA resistance but these can all be breached to the upside based on how gold has been moving and a close above 2,741.50 (4hr or daily) as shown with arrow heading to the upside.
the other option is price continues short term bearish based on ema confluence and PA along with structure resistance as shown after bullish pullback which failed and was engulfed. looking to the left price has already gone short from this AOI and if it does but doesn't reverse from the lower grey box AOI it will fall into Previous Structure highs as outlined.
Possible entries
I favour these in order. ;)
Drop after Election Pump with FOMCMy trading idea for next week is as follows. I will be watching the price action very closely on Monday, the day before the election. This will prepare the price for the volatility of the election. I expect the price to move to the EMA50 on the 1D time frame next week. That would be around $64k. Then there is the FOMC meeting on Thursday, which could lead to a significant rise in the price. Next week is very important. The use of leverage should be taken carefully.
EXIDE NSEEXIDE has corrected from its ATH by 36%, now bouncing back from the 50% FIBO has cloded above 38.2% FIBO. Early entry can be taken with 25% quantity now and safe Traders on Day close above 515. Maintain SL at 454 the current Swing Low.
The EMAs have indicated a reversal, price currently above 50EMA and add Quantities when 20EM crosses above 50EMA.
Hold up to Target
ASHOKLEY NSEASHOKLEY is in a bullish trend and has corrected @60% from its ATH of 264, currently in trading in a range with flat volumes. its trading between 50 & 61% FIBO. A flag and Pole Structure
Entry above 242 Day close, Entry with 25% qty on breakout and balance when retest is done, Target 1 264 and TGT 2-275, maintain SL 233.
HONAUT NSEHoneywell Automation after a 3Year Bearish Trend has Broken Out with a Bang and now corrected to its pervious all time High. The stock has currently retraced to the the 50% FIB level for its last Impulse on the WTF.
Stock is trading close to 200EMA and below 50EMA following is and early entry recommendation with 25% quantity and add progressively up to 52K WTF close
ENTY above 50400 WTF close. SL at 48600 WTF Close and Target 60000..
ATUL NSE 3Y BreakoutATUL LTD. in the chemicals business was in a bearish Trend for 2Y8M and broke out of the bear phase in July this year. ATUL has broken above the 52W high if 7225 in 1st week of July
Looking at the Monthly time Frame (MTF) chart it consolidating for 2months now after its breakout run after the bearish phase...
EMA 50 is above 200EMA and 20EMA above 50EMA confirming the Bullish trend
Price has pulled back from the 23.6% 7433 of the last Impulse move i ndicating a bullish continuation
Entry Stop Loss and Targets marked on charts, Trade using Weekly Time Frame for Entry and Add Quantity. wait for Breakout and reset of current consolidation
FINCABLES NSE BULLISH FLAGFINCABLES has broken out of a Bullish Flag on DTF
Price is above 200EMA. Currently Price is below 21EMA is below 50 suggesting a Flat Trend
CAMS is trading above the 38.2%% FIBO Retracement Range
FINCABLES is currently consolidating in a Range, Enter when Range is broken on WTF.
SL below the consolidation Range @1360. enter at current price with 25% Quantity ADD 25% when price closes above @1495 in WTF ..Add progressively. at higher Close and 21EMA crosses 50EMA in DTF
KEEP Strict SL