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Moving Averages

Bitcoin's Wobbly Recovery: Death Cross Looms LargeBitcoin (BTC) has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent days, with a 4% price rebound following a sharp decline that sent shivers down the spines of investors. The digital currency's volatility has been exacerbated by the ominous specter of a "triple death cross," a technical indicator that often precedes significant price drops. The triple death cross occurs when three key moving averages converge, signaling a bearish trend. While not a definitive predictor of market movements, it has historically been associated with downturns. This technical pattern, coupled with negative funding rates and a general risk-off sentiment among traders, has fueled concerns about a potential plunge below the critical $50,000 level. Funding rates, a measure of market sentiment, have dipped into negative territory, indicating that traders are increasingly bearish on Bitcoin's short-term prospects. This pessimism is likely influenced by a combination of factors, including macroeconomic uncertainties, regulatory concerns, and the overall crypto market's volatility. Despite the recent price recovery, Bitcoin's inability to capitalize on positive news, such as strong economic data, has raised eyebrows among analysts. Some experts believe that the cryptocurrency's underperformance compared to other assets like gold highlights a broader loss of investor confidence. However, not all analysts are convinced that a catastrophic price drop is imminent. Some point to Bitcoin's historical resilience and argue that the current weakness could be a buying opportunity for long-term investors. They emphasize the importance of maintaining a long-term perspective and avoiding panic-selling. As the crypto market remains highly volatile, traders and investors alike are closely monitoring Bitcoin's price movements. The formation of the triple death cross and the accompanying negative sentiment have undoubtedly created a challenging environment, but the ultimate direction of Bitcoin's price remains uncertain. Only time will tell whether the digital currency can weather the storm and resume its upward trajectory or if it will succumb to the bearish pressures and plunge below the crucial $50,000 support level. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
6
Kraneshares China Internet ETF | KWEB | Long at $26.00The "beginnings" of a change in the downward trend of China's tech stock market may be starting to unfold. The price of Kraneshares China Internet ETF AMEX:KWEB has finally reconnected with my selected simple moving average (SMA) which often means further price consolidation or future price breakout from the overall mean. I'm not saying this will happen immediately and this particular SMA likes to be tested to "fake out" buyers and sellers (sometimes over months or years). Plus, there are price gaps in the low BER:20S on the daily chart that often get filled before a run. But for the early birds out there, like myself, AMEX:KWEB at $26.00 is in a personal buy zone as a starter position. Target #1 = $30.00 Target #2 = $37.00 Target #3 = $49.00 Target #4 = $100.00 (very long-term view...)
AMEX:KWEBLong
by NicksAnalysis
Alibaba Group | BABA | Long at $80.00Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA has the potential for massive growth. From a technical analysis perspective (and using my selected simply moving averages (SMAs)), the price of NYSE:BABA is reconnecting with its primary SMA. It could ride this area for a while as it consolidates further, but this often means a future reversal of the downward trend. Thus, at $80.00, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone. Target #1 = $89.00 Target #2 = $94.00 Target #3 = $107.00 Target #4 = $116.00 Target #5 = $305.00 (very long-term view...)
NYSE:BABALong
by NicksAnalysis
Intel | INTC | Long at $20This is going to be purely about technical analysis since Intel NASDAQ:INTC has a 90x P/E and has not proven themselves to be a viable challenger in the semiconductor market (yet...). Bad news could continue to destroy this ticker, but without that news, there could be some recovery in the near term. The NASDAQ:INTC chart is in an overall downward trend. However, based on a few of my selected simply moving averages (SMAs), there is some predictability around support/resistance areas. Some of my favorite setups are a nice bounce on the lowest (green) selected SMA, occurring in October 2022 for a "rip then dip" to the second lowest (blue) - which it hit now. Often, but not always (I can't stress this enough), this green to blue SMA bounce represents a very strong support area during a downward trend. The other move is a further dip to retest the green SMA, but I suspect that would come with tremendously bad news for Intel... let's hope not, though. Currently, NASDAQ:INTC is in a personal buy zone at $20.00 based on technical analysis only. A stop has been set if it drops below the blue SMA (which is may further test). Target #1 = $28.00 Target #2 = $32.00 Target #3 = $60.00+ (very long-term, but high-risk unless fundamentals change)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by NicksAnalysis
Crypto Total Market Cap ~ 14 months of bull run remaining?Crypto - CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap Another month has passed since I shared this chart. We are now past the half way point for this bull run. Over the next 3 months, this is typically were the market starts to reach escape velocity. ✅ Month 15 of 29 month bull run (past halfway now) ✅ Month 15 of prior cycles (green boxes) were followed by major upward price movements. ✅ An ascending triangle or compression of the market cap can be seen via a series of higher lows held up by a diagonal support line, market cap is also contained by the overhead all time highs. ⚠️What's interesting is the TOTAL market cap has not made an all time high yet 👀 ⏳The 10 month moving average is at $2.06T, we are presently under it at $2.04T however there are 16 days left in August before we have a candle close. Something to watch. It not definitive, but if we could hold above the 10 month it would be very encouraging. The 10 month moving average is still sloping up the way too which is telling. ⏳ Given the unavoidable recession concerns, I have included a Black Swan Line. I do not see this as the most likely outcome however its worth having a back the truck up line in the event of mass panic. This would be a great level for long term hodlers to enter, and could always use a level under the line as a stop for CRYPTOCAP:BTC price. Summary I remain bullish mainly due to where we are in the bull market cycle as per the chart timing above. We are fighting the 10 month moving average and it remains upward sloping. We have an ascending triangle of sorts forming and an underside diagonal support line we can watch as an increased risk level (if lost). The monthly candle presently looks like a hammer reversal candle. Patience is the name of the game here for long term hodlers. Typically Aug/Sept are thee worst months for CRYPTOCAP:BTC price performance, so we should expect consolidation, sideways and a possible churn slightly lower before the market continues its ascent towards the end of Sept, start of Oct 2024. Looking ahead, the Christmas season often brings renewed excitement to the market. That all starts with the "Halloween effect" in October. All will be revealed with 60 days. Stay busy folks 🙌 PUKA
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by PukaCharts
MDLZ: +17% or Bye Bye BullsTechnical Analysis of Mondelez Internation, Inc (MDLZ) From Left to Right (Monthly - Weekly - Daily - Hourly) First of all, this was discovered as potentially interesting using the Screener to identify assets with ADX moving above 15 on the Weekly chart. "Some of the best buy signals are found when ADX is below 15 and begins to rise." - Chuck Le Beau (Author of 'Technical Traders Guide to Computer Analysis of the Futures Markets') All Timeframes View : Monthly : Here a pattern repeats 2 times previously and I expect it may happen again now. The price is trending up with SMA 10 above EMA 30. Price pulled back into the Sweet Spot between the two and provides a buying opportunity to Swing Traders. The Stochastics (5,3,3) go low and cross bullish while creating a bullish candlestick reversal pattern. RSI (5) crosses above 50. Weekly : A Fibonacci Channel connects the first two shown uptrend lows and the highest high between them (all candlestick reversal patterns). The circled areas on the Weekly chart are the same ones on the Monthly. Notice that they all occur on the 200 period EMA. Note: What is different this time around is the black candle of sellers at the 0.236 Fibonacci level. This did not happen the previous two times. Perhaps this is indicative that price will not this time hit the 0.618 level as it did the previous two times. If that's the case we have an important bearish clue here. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) just had a Weekly TD Sequential 9 Sell signal which precipitated the market turning around and this was further reflected in chart patterns on stocks like Apple (AAPL) which showed a Head & Shoulders on the Daily chart (not illustrated). The recent large gap down (Falling Window) patterns across the market coincided with the shoulder line. In any case, you may have observed like I have that price has steadily and with continued bullish vigor risen above the shoulder line. Steve Nison quoted someone saying, "There's nothing more bullish than a failed Head & Shoulders". What is a failed Head & Shoulders if not one which promptly regains the shoulder line as AAPL is demonstrating. In that case, if things are as bullish as they may appear, then the black candle on the Weekly Mondelez chart simply captures this market experience but will not negate repeating the pattern of now heading to target the 0.618 price area around $82. Daily : The white circles on this chart are the current and previous circles on the Weekly and Monthly charts. Note the Falling Window on the left. This was supposed to be an area of resistance but bulls broke out of it and then pulled back to test it for support (first circle). The current up move started with the Bullish Engulfing Pattern at this confirmed Falling Window resistance-turned-support level (Change of Polarity). Price gapped up after that and later pulled back to test the new Rising Window for support. This behavior led the crossing of the moving averages. Price broke out of the green rectangle which was previously resistance. It was tested multiple time for support and buyers were present in numbers to carry price up to the previous pink polarity resistance level. You can see the long upper shadow confirming sellers at this level. Hourly : So what do you see? A buying opportunity in the Sweet Spot between the moving averages on a new Pivot Low or does this represent the final hopes and delusions of bulls? :)
NASDAQ:MDLZLong
by zerocashcool
US small cap bounce unconvincing despite risk revival The recovery in US small caps has been unconvincing over the past fortnight, struggling for upside unlike mega-cap rivals. Russell 2000 futures have been capped below the 50-day moving average for much of this period, running into sellers constantly above this level. Wednesday’s rejection above 2132.6 warns of building reversal risk, putting a potential break of uptrend support on the cards should US slowdown fears return. If the price were to break the uptrend, traders could enter shorts with a tight stop either above the level or the 50-day moving average for protection, depending on your target. On that subject, the 200-day moving average or 1920 are levels to consider. If the price were to hold the uptrend, a close above the 50-day moving average would negate the bearish setup. MACD and RSI continue to generate bearish signals on momentum, making selling rallies the preferred strategy near-term. Good luck! DS
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by FOREXcom
Will Ether Rebound After the August 7th Death Cross?Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets, and investing in them carries significant risks. On August 7th, 2023, Ethereum (ETH) experienced a death cross, a technical indicator where the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crosses below the 200-day SMA. Historically, this pattern has often signaled bearish trends, leading many investors to question the future trajectory of Ether. Understanding the Death Cross Before delving into the potential rebound, let's clarify what a death cross signifies. It is a technical analysis tool that suggests a potential downward price movement. However, it's essential to remember that it's not a definitive predictor of future price action. Market conditions, fundamental factors, and other technical indicators should be considered alongside the death cross. Factors Influencing Ether's Recovery Several factors could influence whether Ether can rebound from the August 7th death cross: 1. Market Sentiment: The overall cryptocurrency market sentiment plays a crucial role. If the broader market experiences a bullish trend, Ether might benefit from the positive momentum. Conversely, a prolonged bearish sentiment could hinder its recovery. 2. Regulatory Environment: Regulatory clarity and favorable policies can significantly impact cryptocurrency prices. Positive developments in the regulatory landscape could boost investor confidence and drive Ether's value upward. 3. Network Developments: Ethereum's network upgrades and advancements, such as the transition to proof-of-stake, can influence investor sentiment and demand for ETH. Positive developments in this area could support a price rebound. 4. Institutional Adoption: Growing institutional interest in Ethereum can provide price support and drive demand. Increased adoption by large financial institutions could contribute to a bullish trend. 5. Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic conditions, interest rates, and inflation can impact investor risk appetite and cryptocurrency prices. Favorable macroeconomic factors could create a positive environment for Ether's recovery. Technical Analysis: Beyond the Death Cross While the death cross is a notable technical indicator, it's essential to consider other technical analysis tools to assess Ether's potential rebound. These may include: • Support and Resistance Levels: Identifying key support and resistance levels can help determine potential price targets for a rebound. • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI can indicate whether Ether is oversold, which could suggest a potential buying opportunity. • Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD can provide signals about changes in momentum, helping to identify potential trend reversals. Cautious Optimism It's important to approach any prediction about Ether's rebound with caution. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. While a rebound is possible, it's equally likely that Ether could continue its downward trend or experience sideways consolidation. Investors should conduct thorough research, consider their risk tolerance, and diversify their portfolios before making any investment decisions. Stay informed about market developments, technical analysis, and fundamental factors to make informed choices. Ultimately, the success of a rebound depends on a combination of technical, fundamental, and market factors. While the death cross is a significant event, it's just one piece of the puzzle. By carefully analyzing various indicators and considering the broader market context, investors can make more informed decisions about their Ether holdings.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by bryandowningqln
1
BTC $38-$40k low before macro upsideSorry to break it to y'all, but the BTC chop isn't finished yet. I expect a drop to around the $40ks which coincides with the Nov 22 low from a momentum perspective, unlocking another 10 months of upside like we previously experienced. CAPITALCOM:US500 is the main cause of this, which will cause another capitulation event before assets break correlation and boom. Timeframe can be forecasted using the resistance fan lines. I am a MAXI so trust the analysis, I want $300k+ just as much as you all do. Kappa.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by JamesSpindler
Is Pfizer Trying to Turn?Pfizer has struggled for years, but some traders may see signs of a turn. The first pattern on today’s chart is the pair of positive moves after stronger-than-expected earnings reports. Those may reflect improving fundamentals for the drugmaker. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA last month. Has the longer-term trend improved? Next, PFE made a lower low on Tuesday versus Monday and a higher high. That “outside day” may be viewed as a potentially bullish reversal pattern. Finally, stochastics turned up after hitting an oversold condition. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:PFE
by TradeStation
1
The 3 Steps To The Rocket Booster Strategy AdvancedNow am a huge fan of the rocket booster strategy but there is another strategy called the Rocket Booster Strategy Advanced - This is where I show you a more advanced technical analysis tools to use for your trend analysis. - For for this advanced session am showing you one of my favourite tools It is called the MACD - Basically, the following 3 steps have to happen - The 10 MA should be above the 30 MA - The 10 MA should cross the 30 MA - The price should gap up in a trend - This is the Rocket Booster Strategy Advanced - To learn rocket boost this content - Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose money whether you like it or not.Please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by lubosi
#XAUUSD/H4 Model 2 peaks appear, gold's correction rhythmAnalysis of the gold trend in the Asia-Europe session on 14/08/2024: After forming a double bottom pattern at 2380, gold experienced a nearly 100-point increase. Yesterday, the PPI did not help gold break through the resistance zone of 2473-2475. If gold breaks the area of 2458-2460, it will officially confirm the double top pattern. However, today's CPI is still a mystery. Is this a correction phase or just a fake breakout? The long-term trend remains a BUY, but short-term SELL trades can be made at the peak area. Key price levels to watch: 2473-2475, 2444-2447, and 2430-2434. Recommended orders: Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2473 - 2475 SL 2479 TP 2468 - 2458 - 2445. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2444-2447 SL 2441 TP 2455 - 2468 - 2485 - 2509. Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2430-2433 SL 2427 TP 2444 - 2458 - 2468 - 2509.
FX:XAUUSD
by wetdyerap
$SPY August 14, 2024AMEX:SPY August 14, 2024 15 Minutes. The extension drawn from 510 to 531.59 to 518 achieved its target of 540 today. As said it was a no trade day for me as i had no setup in 15 minutes. AMEX:SPY held the gap today and as written many times gaps need not get filled. In fact, unfilled gaps denote strength. If we consider the fall 554.86 to 510.28 AMEX:SPY today has retraced 61.8% around 538 levels. Also, for the last rise 531.76 to 542.28 537-538 is 38.2 and 50% retracement. So, for the day holding 537-538 i will have a target 544-546 levels. I will look for a sell only below 535 for only couple $ as 200 is around 530. Hence i will not short today.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
3
NZD/USD looking bullish before RBNZ rate decisionNZD/USD has reversed the downside break sparked by US recession fears, smashing through the downtrend it had been trading in since early June on Tuesday. With RSI and MACD providing bullish signals on momentum, risks are skewing towards further gains ahead of today’s RBNZ interest rate decision. While economists are evenly split on whether the bank will cut rates by 25 basis point, I’m with market pricing that marginally favours a reduction in the cash rate to 5.25%. If that eventuates, we could see the Kiwi pull back initially. However, it will be the rate track path from the RBNZ that will likely drive direction beyond the actual decision, providing clues as to how fast and much the RBNZ expects it will have to cut rates this cycle. Whatever that indicates, NZD/USD finds itself back at the 50-day moving average, a level it has often respected over the course of this year. That creates a great setup opportunity depending on how the Kiwi performs post RBNZ. Buy a break above the level with a stop below for protection, targeting a push towards .6150. Alternatively, if the price can’t break or hold above the 50DMA, sell below the level with a stop above for protection. .6050 would be one target with .5985 after that. Good luck! DS
by FOREXcom
Bitcoin: A Confluence of Bullish and Bearish SigCurrently, on the daily timeframe, we observe the formation of a "death cross," traditionally considered a potent bearish signal. Since the beginning of August, Bitcoin has been trading below the 200-day moving average, and we are currently seeing attempts to test it from below. This reinforces the bearish sentiment in the market. 📈🐂 For a return of market optimism, it is necessary to: Secure a strong foothold above the $62,500 level on the weekly timeframe. Maintain trading above this threshold for at least 2-3 weeks. ❗ If Bitcoin fails to consolidate above this level, or worse, drops below $51,600, it would pave the way for a correction down to $42,000. Such a scenario would indicate that the wave theory predicting a fifth wave of growth was incorrect and would start a correction of the entire previous impulse. 💡 What does this mean for altcoins? If the bearish scenario plays out, altcoins could fall even lower, and investors who entered the market from December might find themselves just breaking even at the peak of the altseason. 🔗 Current Resistance: Between $63,000 and $62,000. Breaking through this barrier on impulse, followed by a test from the upper side and continuation of the rise, could potentially reverse the situation and sketch a positive five-wave growth pattern on the daily timeframe.
by Goldfinch_song
1