Moving Averages
Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern with Strong Momentum IndicatorsThis technical study relies on weekly timeframe observations, highlighting key technical patterns and volume dynamics that suggest a bullish outlook. As of today’s date (9:26pmAST), the 24-hour long volume stands at $28.59B, underscoring significant long interest in the market. With precise data from the weekly chart, the confluence of multiple bullish indicators suggests the potential for a retest or breakout beyond the all-time high.
Analysis:
Cup and Handle Formation : The first significant observation is the development of a classic Cup and Handle pattern, widely regarded as a bullish continuation pattern. This pattern, forming over a prolonged period, indicates a consolidation phase followed by potential upward momentum. The handle represents a minor retracement, which often precedes a breakout to the upside.
Parallel Channel and Key Levels : Starting from the previous peak at 73,777, a parallel channel has been drawn down to the recent bottom at 52,550. This channel defines the current price action, showing a well-respected range within which the price has oscillated. The recent price action has been bouncing within the lower bounds of this channel, signaling that the market may be gearing up for a decisive move. The current trajectory suggests that if momentum continues, we could see a breakout of this channel, potentially pushing the price back toward the all-time high.
EMA Support and Price Action : Another critical factor is the price's bounce off the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which serves as a key support level. Historically, the 50-day EMA is a strong indicator of trend direction, and the recent bounce suggests renewed buying pressure. This move reinforces the bullish outlook and could indicate a sustained push toward breaking or retesting the all-time high.
With the formation of the Cup and Handle pattern, the support from the 50-day EMA, and the market respecting the parallel channel, all signals point to a potential bullish breakout. The current long volume of $28.59B adds further confirmation of buying interest, aligning with the technical patterns that favor upside potential.
Short BTCAfter Bitcoin retraced nearly 19% from its recent highs, I believe it hasn’t yet reached the average cycle correction of around 22%, which could take the price down to about $57,500. In a more bearish scenario, the correction could deepen to 25%, or even extend toward $50,000.
Factoring in U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, will drive short-term volatility, it is likely that it will lead to market downturns before any stable recovery. Even if BTC does put higher and reach near $65,000,the short term upside would be capped as major selling pressure is likely to appear there. This makes the $60,500 level a reasonable point to short with a target of
around $59,000 at the 200EMA.
Split entries Protect and safeguard capital.Vishal Baliya is Author of the book: The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. (Available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version)
Split entries Protect capital and reduces losses:
Many times I get the question: What are the best friend of investors?
My answer here would be: Stop losses, trailing stop losses and Split entries.
We will talk about Stop loss and Trailing stop loss in a separate article but today we will talk about Split entries. On the onset let me clarify this is not a call of any company. The chart used below is to explain the process of Split entries in stock market. Breakouts are a great thing. Lot of people make money through breakout trading and lot of people make even more money through breakout investing. But even after selecting a stock after proper due diligence, consulting your financial advisor, reading intrinsically about the company, making charts, studying fundamentals there is a possibility that breakout still might fail. No one can be 100% sure otherwise all investors would be multi Billionaires.
This is because there is inherent risk in investment whether it is equity or any other form of investment. More so in equity as there are many macro and micro economic and factors at play. Some or most are beyond control of even the promoters of the company or mega investors. Thus when you are not 100% sure of a breakout and there are important resistances still at play, you can opt for split entries.
Now have a look at the chart below.
In the chart you can see how this stock took the support of 200 days EMA Father Line after making a bottom near 3311. Zone A to Zone B is the area where we feel that the stock has completed the process of bottom formation and is turning around. Say you want to invest Rs. 21,000 in this company. Your X here is 21000. X/2 = 10,500 and X/3 = 7000 and so on. (X being the money you want to invest in a particular company.) Instead of going all in between zone A and Zone B shown in the chart. You can go X/2 between zone A and B. Why so? Because there is an important hurdle of Mother line at 50 days EMA still to be crossed. Suppose the Mother line acts up and stops the rally and stocks turns bearish your X/2 capital is still intact. To protect remaining X/2 there is a stop loss. In case the stock turns bearish, your Rs. 10,500 is intact. Suppose you have kept stop loss at 10% of your capital deployed. 90% of your X/2 is safe plus 100% of your X/2 capital which you are yet to invest is also safe. Thus Split entry protects your capital. Now ideal scenario in my opinion would be X/2 entry between Zone A and B. Second X/2 entry between zone B and C where you got a breakout confirmation when the stock has confirmed its bullishness as the stock has given a closing above Mother line which is 50 days EMA. To know about the Mother, Father and the Small Child Theory please do read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation which is available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. Which explains in depth many such concepts which will help you as an investor.
The argument against such an investment would be: Ah! If I would invest my full capital between Zone A and B. And cruise till Zone D. I will make more money. Definitely you would. But there was a greater risk compared to split entry. Even if you take a split entry between Zone A and B and Second X/2 entry between zone B and C and cruise till Zone D, you will still make a good amount of money. The risk you would have taken in case of split entry would be much less compared to having invested all your capital in one go.
Pyramiding Split Entry Approach:
Another kind of split investment is Pyramiding. In Pyramiding you gradually increase your investment in an equity after every positive breakout. Usually at a price higher than the previous one. Like base of the pyramid is large your first investment is high and gradually decreasing the quantum of investment. I personally use split entry/pyramiding split entry approach in many of my equity related investments.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any
Indraprastha Gas Ltd-Bullish swing- Will this trend continue?
30.07.2024
Buy 553
Target 589.5
Stop Loss 517
Risk: Reward - 01:01
1. Inside candle breakout in day TF
2. Upward channel and previous resistance breakout
3. Retracement after breakout at good FVG and thus resistance turned to support
4. Oil & Gas sector is in good momentum
5. Good Volume breakout
6. Price rejection from 21 EMA NSE:IGL
Dollar Tree | DLTR | Long at $67.00Dollar Tree NASDAQ:DLTR has taken a massive hit to its stock price as low-income spenders are cutting back (recession red flag, anyone?). It recently touched my selected "crash" simple moving average area (white lines on the chart) and may take many years before true recovery occurs. However, the Director recently bought $150k+ in shares after this recent drop, showing confidence in the company as a whole. I don't think we'll see all-time highs again for some time, but I believe at $67.00 there is a longer-term opportunity into 2026 and beyond. This does not mean I feel the bottom has occurred yet. I wouldn't be surprised if it hits around the $50.00 mark with more bad economic news. No one truly knows. But, I personally choose to position build over time while using charts and fundamental information. At $67.00, NASDAQ:DLTR is in a personal buy zone. If it drops further and fundamentals don't nosedive, more shares will likely be added.
Target #1 = $81.00
Target #2 = $88.00
Target #3 = $94.00
Short Term - BTC LONG - Inside of chopCurrently still inside the consolidation area on LONG TIME FRAME.
Looking for 60,100 in near term.
Broken downtrend, volume, lets see if we can flip 58,500 to support.
This will be confirmation of the trade.
Invalid on lower lows or break of 100 EMA or 200 EMA.
Control your risk.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Liberty Media Corp | LSXMA | Long at $21.00Liberty Media Corp NASDAQ:LSXMA may have just double bottomed near $20. If so, it could mark the beginnings of a turnaround in price (especially during this political season). However, I am staying cautious. Warren Buffet was diving into this name a little too early for my taste, but now it is in a personal buy zone if it can stay above the $20 mark in the near-term.
Target #1 = $25.00
Target #2 = $30.00
Target #3 = $43.00 (long-term view...)
50 SMA Rising- Long Term - ETFDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Buy above the High of Last Trading Price. This is 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for long term Investment Exit if Price close below 30 SMA on Weekly chart.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
50 SMA Rising - Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
It 50 SMA Rising. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
50 SMA Rising - Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
It 50 SMA Rising. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
50 SMA Rising - Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
It 50 SMA Rising. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
50 SMA Rising - Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
It 50 SMA Rising. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
Darvas Box Startegy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss, best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Risk to Reward Ratio/ Target Ratio 1:2.
Stop loss can be Trail when it make new box.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
INTC swing tradeI have entered another swing trade on INTC this time a bit safer. I went with Jan 22.5$ strikes here on this small dip, the market is on fire right now and the stock is currently valued at about what net assets are valued at. The weekly stochastic is waking up, I have updated the fibs and my profit take will be tapping the 20 EMA (red moving average). I would not be surprised to see this entire gap fill in the coming months if the management team can continue to pay down debt, reign in the dividend, and focus on getting out of this mess.
NOSANA - 6 MONTHS OF GROWTH - TOP END TARGETS FOR ALTSEASONMany reasons to be bullish on Nosana!
Looking at the 3-day chart for NOS/USDT, we are currently at a critical support level that aligns with historical price action and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement of previous move at $1.7884.
The chart suggests a long from this zone, with a trajectory towards the upper resistance levels indicated by the Fibonacci extensions. Key targets are:
Important Level 1: $7.9474 (Previous Highs)
Sell Target 1: $13.5159 (1.272 Fibonacci extension) (7x from these levels)
Final Sell Target: $26.5585 (1.618 Fibonacci extension)
I’ve marked the Sell Zone in red between $13.5159 and $26.5585. This is where I plan to begin offloading positions and look for a retracement or consolidation period, as the asset could become overextended.
Volume is picking up, and momentum indicators suggest the start of a reversal. The blue curve illustrates a projected rise in price action as the market starts to recover. I'm anticipating a significant increase over the next 192 days, with a potential gains of +2,000% to the $24-$26 price zone.
It's important to monitor how the price behaves in this area and whether it can hold above critical support levels like $1.79 and $1.27, or if it retests the lower boundary.
Disclosure: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trades.