Moving Averages
EUR/USD Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.10400. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
The downtrend combined with the strong volume area with Weekly POC are my main reasons for this short trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
Negative signals on Microsoft as AI plumet on the wayWe identify a negative shoulder-head-shoulder formation which at it's end touches the 200 day line, all ahead of today's news that the chip maker's market is plumeting. Additional put/sell signals are triggered when the trend lines confirm or the price won't come back over 200D.
Microsoft is renown for its involvement in AI products, especially in OpenAI. The demand for chips halted when NVIDIA recently postponed the release of Blackwell, the next generation of AI-propelling chips. Data centers equipping for future demands on AI business withhold investments as they won't run with the current generation of chips for the short period of time until Blackwell is launching, but with the latest generation and cutting-edge technology for the maximum time possible.
Meanwhile the think tank and advisor to U.S. Military and Government, RAND Corporation , surveyed why AI projects in the industry fail:
Miscommunication or misunderstanding what problems need to be solved using AI, following a false perception of what AI can actually do - beginning with the impression the term "AI" makes to non-tech persons.
Organizations lack the necessary data to adequately train effective AI models. The necessary amount of data might never be acquired due to diverse obstacles on collecting them.
Organizations focus more on using the latest and greatest technology than on solving real problems for their intended users. Therefore, the circle of problems where AI solutions are applicable, might not be as big as initially thought. This is what happened to the blockchain.
Organizations might not have adequate infrastructure to manage their data and deploy completed AI models, which increases the likelihood of project failure. Infrastructure for serious AI is exhaustive and needs up to 300-times bigger databases and hardware equipment than for regular software services. Then again, you have to feed it all with the required amount of data, of which, as pointed out earlier, is not enough there.
AI projects fail because the technology is applied to problems that are too difficult for AI to solve. This is a general problem on the current generation of AI, as it lacks the required spark of creativity to originate ideas which are not based on patterns earlier learned. In other terms, generative, LLM-based AI, which is the current generation, would never be able to be a pioneer in anything, because it remixes mash-ups from earlier experience, at best!
The current dips of chip makers, combined with the problems of sourcing sufficient data and industry becoming more and more disenchanted with AI, might trigger another tech bubble burst, which, if it happens, would be imminent right now.
$SPY September 12, 2024AMEX:SPY September 12, 2024
15 Minutes.
AMEX:SPY managed to hold recent low of 539.44 by making a low 539.95 and reversing.
So again it touched top of channel as seen and bounced back.
Even the close of 539.95 bar was good being at top of bar, we have oscillator making LL for the two lows 543.4 and 539.95.
Hence i expect a retracement first.
Considering the rise 539.95 to 553.36 if AMEX:SPY holds 548+ levels uptrend continues.
So as long as 545 is not broken we can expect one more move towards 560-563.
I will not short as ass values above moving averages.
Yesterday covered short at 540.5.
My stochastic indicator has turned from red to green bar as seen. Hence any retracement is a buy for me until any change.
50 SMA Rising - Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
It 50 SMA Rising. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss, best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Risk to Reward Ratio/ Target Ratio 1:1 & 1:2.
Stop loss can be Trail when it make new box.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss, best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Risk to Reward Ratio/ Target Ratio 1:2.
Stop loss can be Trail when it make new box.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss, best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Risk to Reward Ratio/ Target Ratio 1:2.
Stop loss can be Trail when it make new box.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
$AKTUSD massive bull flagThematic Investment Narrative:
COINBASE:HNTUSD , easily the most successful DePIN Network to date, has been leading the altcoin market as a performant outlier-- with subscription count steadily increasing for their SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:MOBILE network, this is a project that is generating legitimate business flows from real-world customers, and that makes it a standout alt to hold-- few protocols can make a (substantiated) claim like that.
With that context, it's not as surprising that HNT has been leading the way over the past few weeks as markets have been experiencing sideways volatility at large. Investors love altcoins because it is basically decentralized VC-- and while mom and pops can get exposure to these VC-esc exponential returns-- they are also sometimes not prepared for that same potential downside involved in such illiquid markets. The DePIN companies/projects/protocols with more 'meat on the bone' (i.e. paying customers), will be the ones that are safer to hold through this potentially brutal market VOL.
So AKT: With equally solid growth and adoption/user statistics, AKT may be primed to become the second-in-class DePIN 'Blue chip'.
Leases & USD spend are up, Compute, Memory, and Storage are also trending up and to the right. I feel that investors seeking outsized returns from #DePIN 's next macro leg up might look down the risk curve from HNT and see AKT as another gem in the rough
Technical Analysis:
- Massive Bull Flag Pattern identified
- Daily Candle 1D RSI Breakout test is imminent (bottom chart purple arrow)-- perfectly aligning with the September 18th FED Rate cut decision**
If we do get a surprise 50 bps cut, it might present an excellent 'last stop before moon' buy-opportunity for higher risk assets, ultimately the economic stimulus will come back steeper than it did in 2021.... hang on
**25 BPS Likely, 50 BPS will probably be bearish honestly
NFA DYOR
High Timeframe Analysis of the Dollar Index DXY - Short IdeaDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only, showing how I intend to participate in this market. Trading involves significant risk. Do your own due diligence.
Utilizing my Multi Timeframe strategy, I have identified that I would like to look for SHORTS on DXY. To clarify, I'm not saying I'm blindly shorting this market. If I see price action that checks the boxes for this strategy, I will take the short. Until then, I do NOTHING.
SETUP - > TRIGGER - > FOLLOW THROUGH.
Feel free to shoot me a message with any questions.
Have a great week!
Marvell Pulls Back After Earnings RallyMarvell Technology surged on strong results last month. Now some traders may think the chip stock will continue higher.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap on August 30 after the quarterly numbers. That may reflect positive sentiment in the name -- especially given its potential datacenter AI exposure.
Second is the series of lower highs since March. MRVL has remained near that falling trendline recently, which could suggest resistance is breaking.
Third, listless sideways movement this year has produced close proximity between its 50-, 100-day and 200-day simple moving average (SMAs). Does that create potential for prices to expand?
Finally, stochastics could be turning up from an oversold condition.
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Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss, best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. As Stop loss is Big, Risk to Reward Ratio/ Target Ratio 1:1.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Buy above high. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss, best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Risk to Reward Ratio/ Target Ratio 1:2.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
#CAKE/USDT ANALYSIS T:F - 3H#CAKE has continued its Bearish mood since the beginning of April 2024, buyers tried to push the price of #CAKEUSDT higher a couple of times, however, it looks like sellers are determined to offload!
If the Buyers can't break up above the resistance, which puts selling pressure on the top of the price, then we will see #CAKEUSDT continue its journey to $1.200. The price action could show us a few possible scenarios, please refer to the chart for a clear understanding.
Hit 🚀 & Share if you guys like my Crypto Pairs analysis.
#CAKEUSDT #crypto #analysis #thesoumyoroyanalysis
Dividend Paying Stock - Long TermI am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
This is One of the Dividend Paying Stock for Long Term Investors and Right Now in Good Position to take Entry.
Always take entry near the Support to Moving average.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
USD/CAD Bullish Turnaround After One-Month DowntrendUSD/CAD is signaling a bullish reversal after a month-long bearish trend. The pair is expected to reach 1.36140 as its first target in this upward movement. Additionally, the RSI indicator failed to pull the price back from its overbought condition, providing extra strength to this bullish rally
Investment in DOMS Industries Limited with Technical AnalysisIntroduction
DOMS Industries Limited, a leading player in the branded stationery and art material products market in India, has been making significant strides in its industry. With over five decades of experience, the company has established itself as a trusted brand, known for its excellence and innovation. This blog post will delve into the company's background, industry growth, financial performance, and what drives investor interest in DOMS, along with a technical analysis of the historical price data.
Company Overview
**History and Milestones:**
- **Inception:** DOMS was originally incorporated as Writefine Products Private Limited in 2005. Over the years, it has undergone strategic partnerships, acquisitions, and expansions to become the entity it is today .
- **Key Milestones:** The company has marked significant milestones, including the acquisition of R.R. Industries and S. Tech Industries, entry into the back-to-school segment with Skido Industries, and backward integration through Micro Wood Private Limited .
**Product Portfolio:**
- **Diverse Offerings:** DOMS boasts a wide range of products, including scholastic stationery, art materials, paper stationery, kits and combos, office supplies, hobby and craft items, and fine art products. The company has over 4,000 SKUs and a strong presence in 28 states and 8 union territories in India, as well as in more than 50 countries worldwide .
Industry Growth Across the Globe
**Stationery and Art Materials Market:**
- **Global Demand:** The global stationery and art materials market is driven by increasing demand from educational institutions, offices, and hobby enthusiasts. India, with its young population and emphasis on education, presents a particularly attractive market .
- **Market Share:** DOMS has a significant market share in India, with approximately 12% market share overall and dominant positions in specific categories such as pencils (~29%) and mathematical instrument boxes (~30%) .
Feature Growth
**Research and Development:**
- **Innovation:** DOMS places a strong emphasis on research and development, with a state-of-the-art R&D facility equipped with modern equipment. This focus on innovation has enabled the company to introduce high-quality, concept-driven products that meet evolving consumer preferences .
**Manufacturing Excellence:**
- **Backward Integration:** The company has backward-integrated manufacturing facilities, producing essential components in-house to enhance efficiency, quality control, and profitability. This approach minimizes dependence on third parties and ensures superior product quality .
**Distribution Network:**
- **Multi-Channel Distribution:** DOMS has a robust distribution network that includes general trade, modern trade, and e-commerce channels. This network, supported by advanced inventory and sales management systems, ensures effective market penetration and growth .
Financial Performance
**Revenue and Profitability:**
- **Revenue Growth:** During the financial year 2023-24, DOMS achieved an operational revenue of ₹153,714 lakhs, representing a substantial growth of 26.8% compared to the previous year. The company's EBITDA margin increased to 17.7%, with EBITDA of ₹27,273 lakhs. Net profit after tax stood at ₹15,966 lakhs, with a healthy margin of 10.4% .
- **Consolidated Financials:** Consolidated revenue from operations increased by 26.84% to ₹153,714.18 lakhs, with domestic sales increasing by 33.32% and export sales by 3.93% .
**Financial Ratios:**
- **EBITDA Margin:** The EBITDA margin for the financial year 2023-24 was 17.7%, indicating strong operational efficiency .
- **PAT Margin:** The profit after tax margin was 10.4%, reflecting healthy profitability .
- **Return on Equity (ROE):** The ROE for the financial year 2023-24 was 27.75%, indicating strong returns for shareholders .
Technical Analysis of Historical Price Data
**Trend Analysis:**
1. **Overall Trend:**
- The historical price data from January 2024 to September 2024 shows a general upward trend with some volatility. The stock price has moved from around ₹1,277 in January 2024 to approximately ₹2,732 in September 2024, indicating a significant increase over the period .
2. **Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **Support Levels:** Key support levels can be identified at around ₹1,800 (seen in April and May 2024) and ₹2,200 (seen in June and July 2024). These levels have acted as strong support during the price movements.
- **Resistance Levels:** Resistance levels are observed at around ₹2,600 (seen in August and September 2024). This level has been tested multiple times and has shown some resistance to further price increases.
3. **Price Action Movement:**
- **Bullish Movements:** There have been several bullish movements, notably from ₹1,500 in March 2024 to ₹1,800 in April 2024, and from ₹2,200 in July 2024 to ₹2,600 in August 2024. These movements indicate strong buying interest and positive sentiment towards the stock.
- **Volatility:** The stock has experienced volatility, especially during periods of economic uncertainty or significant market events. For example, the price dropped from ₹2,300 in June 2024 to ₹1,900 in July 2024, only to recover and reach new highs.
4. **Important Indicators:**
- **Moving Averages:** The 50-day and 200-day moving averages can be used to gauge the trend. As of the latest data, the stock price is above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a strong uptrend.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** The RSI has fluctuated between 30 and 70, indicating periods of overbuying and overselling. Currently, the RSI is around 60, suggesting that the stock is not overbought and has room for further upside.
5. **Volume Analysis:**
- **Trading Volume:** The trading volume has been significant during key price movements, indicating strong participation from investors. For instance, the volume was high during the price increase from ₹1,500 to ₹1,800 in April 2024 and during the recent rally to ₹2,700 in September 2024.
What Drives Investor Interest
**Growth Prospects:**
- **Capacity Expansion:** DOMS is expanding its manufacturing capacity, including the construction of a new facility on a 44+ acre land parcel in Umbergaon, Gujarat. This expansion is expected to significantly increase production capacity and drive future growth .
- **Strategic Acquisitions:** The company has made strategic acquisitions, such as the acquisition of Micro Wood Private Limited and a stake in ClapJoy Innovations Private Limited, to enhance its product portfolio and manufacturing prowess .
**Strong Brand Positioning:**
- **Brand Recognition:** DOMS has been recognized for its achievements, including being honored as ‘India’s Most Trusted Brand’ and ‘Asia’s Most Trusted Brand’ .
- **Market Penetration:** The company's strong brand positioning and extensive distribution network enable it to influence consumer decisions and improve pricing strategies .
**Corporate Governance and Sustainability:**
- **Robust Governance:** DOMS has a strong corporate governance structure, with a board comprising experienced directors and a robust committee system. The company has also implemented various policies, including a dividend distribution policy and a nomination and remuneration policy .
- **Sustainability Initiatives:** The company is committed to sustainability, with initiatives focused on reducing emissions, managing waste, and utilizing eco-friendly materials. DOMS also engages in social responsibility activities, such as contributing to the construction of a hospital and providing educational scholarships .
Conclusion
DOMS Industries Limited presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong brand presence, diversified product portfolio, robust manufacturing and distribution capabilities, and commitment to innovation and sustainability. The company's impressive financial performance, coupled with its growth prospects and strategic initiatives, make it an attractive choice for investors looking to capitalize on the growing stationery and art materials market. The technical analysis of the historical price data indicates a strong uptrend with significant support levels and potential for further growth, making DOMS a promising investment for those looking to benefit from its upward trajectory.
SPY regains but still in bearish zoneSPY bounces back after Friday sell off, still inside downward trend
comparing against 1h and 2h timeframe we see that ema remains below sma for both
This also holds true for RSI between 1 and 2h. RSI remains remains below sma
stock remains inside the downward trend after bounce back
SPY still shows signs of bearishness and more selling to come. Not looking like we are out of the woods yet.
False move monday on BitcoinWe are currently sitting at the EMA50 on the 4hr timeframe. It looks like we are doint a mean reversion here again. The top was quick and formed a wick but I couldn't finde any vector candle that could be liquidity pools to recover. We also have a CME GAP at $54.2k which will be recovered soon in my opinion. We had the retest of the $58k level which was very important but I expected it to happen on wednesday. Lets observe price action but my observation leans towards shorting.