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Moving Averages

Newmont Corp | NEM | Long at $48.00While gold prices have soared recently, gold mining stocks have lagged. Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM , the world's largest gold mining corporation, may be undervalued if the miners take off to catch up to the gold demand/price. Currently sitting near $48.00 and at a historical moving average that it will need to break to show a true trend reversal, NYSE:NEM is in a personal buy zone. Now, the price may break down at the simple moving average and test the patience of shareholders, but the long game may benefit those who can tolerate the volatility. Target #1 = $57.00 Target #2 = $71.00
NYSE:NEMLong
by NicksAnalysis
ServiceNow Sneaks HigherMany big technology stocks pulled back sharply in recent weeks, but ServiceNow could be sneaking higher. The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of July 5 and 23. Strong quarterly results pushed NOW above this resistance on July 25, and it has remained there since. Second, prices have stayed above the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The Nasdaq-100, in contrast, recently hit its 200-day SMA. That may reflect relative strength in the software company. Next, the shaded boxes highlight tight squeezes between the 50- and 100-day SMAs. Their current proximity is potentially reminiscent of late October, before the stock rallied to new highs. Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. (See our 2 MA Ratio custom script in the lower study.) That could suggest the short-term trend is getting bullish. Finally, $707.60 was the previous peak in November 2021 before rate hikes triggered a bear market in tech stocks. NOW has spent most of this year fluctuating around this level. Could it finally escape long-term resistance? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:NOW
by TradeStation
A Guide on How to Stay on the Right Side of Market RiskStaying on the right side of the market is the only thing that matters in investing. The goal is simple: be long the things that go up and avoid the things that go down. Although this sounds straightforward, investors often focus too much on the upside potential and forget about the downside. In reality, avoiding the downside is by far the most important factor that will have the biggest impact on your total returns. This is because a -50% loss will always require a +100% gain just to break even. Step 1: Follow the Trend The most effective method to stay on the right side of the market is by following the trend, primarily through moving averages. The two most common types are the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The EMA assigns more weight to recent price movements, making it more responsive and effective for signalling the start of a downtrend, while the SMA offers a clearer view of the longer-term trend. The simplest way to construct a trend-following indicator is to combine a short-term EMA with a long-term EMA. A buying signal is triggered when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, and a selling signal is triggered when it crosses below. This systematic approach ensures clear and actionable signals. Optimizing this strategy involves backtesting various EMA combinations to strike a balance between minimal trading frequency, lowest maximum drawdown, and highest profit factor. It’s also crucial to select assets that have historically adhered to trends, as these are more likely to continue doing so. Assets that typically adhere to trends, such as cryptocurrencies, fiat currencies, commodities, and tech stocks, are often driven by speculative or uncertain future expectations. By incorporating a longer-term SMA and adding a safety margin to the calculation, you can help minimize false signals from the EMAs. It’s advisable to compare asset performance not only against the USD pair but also against the safest investable asset in the selected asset class. This comparison helps determine if the additional risk is worth taking. Step 2: Draw the Lines Trend-following strategies are effective only with a clear market trend. Without it, prices may exhibit range-bound movements and generate false signals. Drawing trend lines and identifying horizontal support and resistance levels are crucial for enhancing the accuracy of these signals. The most reliable entry points typically follow a confirmed breakout from these lines, with older lines often indicating more significant breakouts. When drawing trend lines, it’s crucial to use both normal and logarithmic chart scales. The most reliable trend lines appear consistent across these scales, with a breakout observed on both further confirming the trend. Additionally, identifying reliable patterns like head and shoulders, inverse head and shoulders or double tops and bottoms can further validate trend breakouts. TradingView’s pattern recognition tools can automate this process and provide price targets, which can be helpful but are not always guaranteed. Step 3: Understand the Macro Following current macroeconomic conditions can enhance your understanding of the overall business cycle. The primary macro forces that influence asset markets are growth, inflation, and policy. These factors are subjective and not directly quantifiable, making them unsuitable for direct investment decisions. However, they are useful for assessing the market’s risk appetite, which should influence only your position size and not your systematic approach. The US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) is one of the most informative macroeconomic indicators, providing insights into potential economic growth trends and helping anticipate inflections in the business cycle. Monitoring the US inflation and unemployment rates is also beneficial, as they significantly influence monetary policy. While minor fluctuations may not provide much insight, sustained trends that align with the Federal Reserve’s targets of 2% inflation and low unemployment are indicative of a healthy economy. Furthermore, tracking global liquidity can reveal the real-time effects of monetary and fiscal policies implemented by major central banks and governments. This serves as a valuable tool to assess the market’s risk appetite. In conclusion, this guide helps investors stay on the right side of the market by adopting a systematic approach that captures bull markets while avoiding major downturns. Recognizing that the future is unpredictable and that markets are driven by momentum, this method can both preserve and grow your wealth in a less stressful way. A disciplined, systematic approach, executed dispassionately, is essential for navigating market uncertainties. All indicators discussed are publicly available or can be accessed on my profile. Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by ingeforberg
5
Why Trading FLOKI Doesn't Make Sense (Right Now)Similar to many other coins, Floki had been hit hard by the latest sell-off, recovered nicely, but lost steam in the end. As a result, Floki found itself in an indecisive position. Accordingly, opening a trade position is way too risky at this time. Let me explain: 1️⃣ Bearish Trend: Floki trades below the EMA200, 100, and 25 — in other words, Floki trades in a considerable downtrend. Since the trend is your friend, a long position doesn't make sense. 2️⃣ PSAR Turned Bearish: On top of that, the PSAR turned bearish again just a couple of hours ago, indicating more downturn pressure. Once again, a long position does not make sense in this case. ➡️ On the other side, Floki trades very close to a crucial support line at 0.00011. If the market doesn't go crazy, we can expect this level to hold. However, this also means that shorting doesn't make sense at this level. Ergo: There is no clear indication for a long and no clear setup for a short. We keep watching and monitoring but do not touch the trade button.
by ben_walther
BRETT Continues To Trade At Support LevelBrett has been trading in a bull flag for more than two months. During that time, the token made several unsuccessful attempts to breakout of the flag. Conversely, the latest sell-off temporarily pushed the price below the lower trend line. However, Brett moved back into the channel quickly. ➡️ Where are we now? Although Brett trades back in the bull flag, it hasn't been able to gain substantial momentum. Conversely, it remained close to the support line. Additionally, a break of the short-term downtrend (EMA25) was rejected. As a result, Brett trades in a clear downtrend on the 4H chart (price below EMA200, 100, and 25). 🧐 What to do? I am cautious with short-term long trades. Since the trend clearly shows a downtrend, you will only go short at this time. As the first promising signal, we need the price to move above the EMA25 and, even better, the EMA25 to move above the EMA100. Until then, I will keep my feet still. No trade position is a position, too!
by ben_walther
3
Walt Disney Co | DIS | Long at $84.00The Walt Disney Co NYSE:DIS is wrapped up in bad press and is predicting a future decline in theme park revenue (recession red flag...). However, the company has historically had tricks up its sleeve to return to prominence in an ever-changing entertainment environment (last was streaming). The potential of AI and robotic technology benefiting Disney is huge. The recent dip to $84.00 is a personal buy zone. A word of caution: there may be an amazing opportunity near $50.00 if the "recession" is announced and the company, like other entertainment industries, take a massive hit. That's where the true opportunity lies for this American staple. At $84.00, though, a "starter position" is my mindset until the stock rotates to an upward trend. Target #1 = $110 Target #2 = $127 Target #3 = $135 Target #4 = $182 (long-term view...)
NYSE:DISLong
by NicksAnalysis
2
Ethereum's Only Bullish Scenario (August 2024)Since the bullish move on Ethereum from June 2022 till March 2024 can never be counted as an impulsive wave; I expect ETH to face a challenging sell-off in the coming weeks. As long as the price is still below $4,000; many bearish analysis are valid (for instance ETH can go <$800) The invalidation of all the bearish ideas & the confirmation for the bullish continuation is basically passing $4,000. In the mean while, the only bullish idea that can be bet on is the scenario of a triangle. Whether the (c) of the triangle is in or the triangle gets bigger. As long as the price is above $1,000 and below $4,000, the idea of the bullish triangle is on. Bearish invalidation is breaking $1,000 Bullish confirmation is passing $4,000
FOREXCOM:ETHUSDLong
by MohamedSewid
$SPY August 11, 2024AMEX:SPY August 11, 2024 15 Minutes. AMEX:SPY made high around 534 as expected. If we draw a parallel channel form 510, we can see AMEX:SPY taking support at midline of channel. Hence making HH HL pattern. Connecting all the HL as a channel again we can see AMEX:SPY getting resisted at midline of this channel. We are having an oscillator divergence for the HH values 532.64 and 534.51. So, if we take the rise from 518.05 to 534.51, On Monday holding 528 levels we can expect an up move towards 534-540 levels. 528 is nearly 100 averages in 15 minutes. In 15 minutes 200 is sloping down and 50,10 are sloping upwards. Once this cross happens I expect a swift move to 540+. The Oscillator will get sorted out by that time. At the moment uptrend intact towards 540 levels. I will look for a sell only if 521 is broken on downside.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
7
Fantom FTMUPCOM:FTM is still in a bearish trend. A confirmation for a beginning of a wave C has happened in my view, therefore an impulsive wave with 5 inner waves shall happen. Passing above $1.2776 invalidates the idea. I expect the bearish move to end between $0.0772 : $0.0314 according to the Fibonacci retracements 50% & 61.8%, but precisely at $0.0606 due to the 100% Fibonacci's extension from the wave A up to wave B. - Note: Taking the Fibonacci retracements & extensions targets as accurate or precise numbers is wrong. They're just used as guides to where the price is expected to bounce from or to go to.
CRYPTO:FTMUSD
by MohamedSewid
NZD/USD Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn NZD/USD, it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.59570. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale