Moving Averages
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | REGN | Long at $502.28Regeneron Pharmaceuticals NASDAQ:REGN stock dropped more than 17% today due to mixed Phase 3 trial results for itepekimab, a potential COPD drug. However, the company has an extensive drug pipeline, raked in over $14 billion last year, and is currently trading at a price-to-earnings of 15x. Debt-to-equity is 0.09x (extremely healthy) and earnings are forecast to grow 7.5% per year. While 2025 is anticipated to be its "worst" earnings year, the outlook through 2028 looks like steady growth in revenue and cash flow.
From a technical analysis view, the stocks entered my "crash" simple moving average zone today (currently between $466 and $502). More often than not, this area signals a bottom in the near-term, but it's not guaranteed. I wouldn't be surprised if the $450s-$460s get hit before a reversal if the market shifts negatively - which will be another entry for me. If it moves into my "major" crash zone in the $300s to close more gaps on the daily chart, I will be piling into this stock heavily (like I did with NYSE:UNH ) for a longer-term hold - of course, unless fundamentals change. I'm going to keep my target small unless there is a "major crash" and eye the closing of the nearest price gap on the daily. There is another between $883-$914...
Targets:
$590 (+17.5%)
Golden Cross vs. Death Cross: What Do They Really Tell Us?Hello, traders! 🤝🏻
It’s hard to scroll through a crypto newsfeed without spotting a headline screaming about a “Golden Cross” forming on Bitcoin or warning of an ominous “Death Cross” approaching. But what do these classic MA signals can really mean? Are they as prophetic as they sound, or is there more nuance to the story? Let’s break it down.
📈 The Basics: What Are Golden and Death Crosses?
At their core, both patterns are simple moving average crossovers. They occur when two moving averages — typically the 50-day and the 200-day — cross paths on a chart.
Golden Cross: When the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA, signaling a potential shift from a bearish phase to a bullish trend. It's often seen as a sign of renewed strength and a long-term uptrend.
Death Cross: When the 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA, suggesting a possible transition from bullish to bearish, hinting at extended downside pressure.
📊 Why They Work (and When They Don't)
In theory, the idea is simple: The 50-day MA represents shorter-term sentiment, while the 200-day MA captures longer-term momentum. When short-term price action overtakes long-term averages, it’s seen as a bullish signal (golden cross). When it drops below, it’s bearish (death cross).
This highlights a key point: moving average crossover signals are inherently delayed. They’re based on historical data, so they can’t predict future price moves in real time.
🔹 October 2020: Golden Cross
On the weekly BTC/USDT chart, we can clearly see a Golden Cross forming in October 2020. The 50-week MA (short-term) crossed above the 200-week MA (long-term), marking the start of Bitcoin's explosive rally from around $11,000 to its then all-time high above $60,000 in 2021. This signal aligned with growing institutional interest and the post-halving narrative, reinforcing the bull case.
🔹 June 2021: Death Cross
Just months after Bitcoin’s peak, a Death Cross emerged around June 2021, near the $35,000 mark. However, this was more of a lagging signal: by the time it appeared, the sharp pullback from $60K+ had already taken place. Interestingly, the market stabilized not long after, with a recovery above $50K later that year, showing that Death Cross signals aren’t always the end of the story.
🔹 Mid-2022: Another Death Cross
In mid-2022, BTC formed another Death Cross during its prolonged bear market. This one aligned better with the broader trend, as price continued to slide towards $15,000, reflecting macro pressures like tightening monetary policies and the collapse of major players in the crypto space.
🔹 Early 2024: Golden Cross Comeback
The most recent Golden Cross appeared in early 2024, signaling renewed bullish momentum. This crossover preceded a significant rally, pushing Bitcoin above $100,000 by mid-2025, as seen in your chart. While macro factors (like ETF approvals or regulatory clarity) also played a role, this MA signal coincided with a notable shift in sentiment.
⚙️ Golden Cross ≠ Guaranteed Rally, Death Cross ≠ Doom
While these MA crossovers are clean and appealing, they’re not foolproof. Their lagging nature means they often confirm trends rather than predict them. For example, in June 2021, the Death Cross appeared after much of the selling pressure had already played out. Conversely, in October 2020 and early 2024, the Golden Crosses aligned with genuine upward shifts.
🔍 Why Care About These Signals?
Because they help us contextualize market sentiment. The golden cross and death cross reflect collective trader psychology — optimism and fear. But to truly understand them, we need to combine them with volume, market structure, and macro narratives.
So, are golden crosses and death crosses reliable signals, or just eye-catching headlines?
Your chart tells us both stories: sometimes they work, sometimes they mislead. What’s your take? Do you use these MA signals in your trading, or do you prefer other methods? Let’s discuss below!
Oil Bears May Look to PounceCrude oil futures have teetered for weeks, and the bears may be getting ready to pounce.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the sharp drop in early April after President Trump announced higher-than-expected tariffs. CL1! quickly broke the 65.27 level where it bounced in September and early March. Prices have stayed there since, which may reflect a lack of buying interest.
Second is the recent consolidation zone above the May 8 high of 60.29. Could a close below that level trigger selling?
Third, prices have remained consistently below their 50-day simple moving average since early February. That may suggest the intermediate-term trend is bearish.
Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) recently crossed below the 21-day EMA. That may suggest the short-term trend is getting bearish.
These patterns could be important to watch heading into this weekend’s OPEC+ meeting.
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Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
FET at a Make-or-Break Level... Will It Bounce or Break Down?Yello Paradisers, are you watching FET closely right now? If not, you might miss a textbook high-risk, high-reward setup that could play out very soon—just like we’ve been anticipating in our previous updates.
💎FETUSDT is currently respecting a bullish market structure, and price action is aligning for a potential inducement grab.
💎If this inducement occurs, and we start to see bullish confirmation signals from the Daily order block, backed by the 4H 200 EMA, then the probability of a strong bounce increases significantly. From a risk-reward perspective, this zone is shaping up to offer a solid long entry with clean invalidation.
💎But here’s the other side of the coin: if the price breaks down through the order block and closes a candle below our invalidation level, the bullish bias will be completely invalidated. In that case, patience becomes the strategy, and we’ll be waiting for more convincing and clearer price action to realign with a new setup.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
NVIDIA 1D — When “Head & Shoulders” Aren’t Just for the GymOn the daily chart, NVDA has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 50-day moving average (MA50), triggering a classic inverted head and shoulders formation. Price is now holding above the key $113–$114.50 zone, confirming a structural shift. As volume picks up, buyers are eyeing the next levels of resistance.
Near-term upside targets: – $119.80 (0.5 Fibonacci) – $127.62 (0.382) – $137.28 (0.236) — primary resistance zone – Extended target — $152.91 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical setup: — Breakout from channel + above MA50
— Inverted head and shoulders pattern completed
— $114.50–$118.00 now acts as buyer support
— EMA and MA convergence supports trend reversal
— Increasing volume on rallies supports bullish momentum
Fundamentals: NVIDIA remains the AI and semiconductor sector leader. Growing demand for high-performance GPUs in AI and data centers positions NVDA as a core tech play. Expectations of strong earnings and continued institutional accumulation support the bullish narrative.
The confirmed breakout and inverted H&S setup mark a clear structural reversal. As long as price stays above $114.50, the path toward $127–$137 remains the primary target zone, with $152.91 in sight if momentum continues.
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Ascending trendline breakdownCRYPTOCAP:BTC lost 50MA that may act as resistance now, retracement down to 200MA support seems next.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (19.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
107480.5
Entry Zone:
108234.7 - 109274.5
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 106010.9
2) 103944.6
3) 101878.3
Stop Targets:
1) 111050.5
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.9% | +84.0% | +120.1%
Possible Loss= -40.1%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Ironwood Pharmaceuticals | IRWD | Long at $0.61Ironwood Pharma NASDAQ:IRWD stock dropped ~89% in the past year due to disappointing Phase 3 Apraglutide trial results, FDA requiring an additional trial, weak Q1 2025 earnings (-$0.14 EPS vs. -$0.04 expected), high debt ($599.48M), and analyst downgrades. So why would I be interested in swing trading this company? The chart. The price has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone, which often results in a reversal - even if temporary. Also, Linzess (GI drug) revenue is steady, and I thoroughly believe that alone pushes the fair value near $0.95, if not higher. Thus, at $0.61, NASDAQ:IRWD is in a personal buy zone with the potential for additional declines before future rise.
Target:
$0.95 (+55.7%)
US 100 – Further Moves Await NVIDIA Earnings UpdateGlobal stock indices have reacted positively at the start of this new trading week to President Trump’s decision to extend a deadline which would impose a tariff of 50% on EU goods imported into the US from June 1st to July 9th.
Taken alongside a new willingness being signalled from the EU side to speed the negotiating process along in key areas, means trader hopes have increased that a deal between the first and third largest of the world’s economies can be agreed in principle within the allotted time.
Focusing on US stock indices, the US 100 has risen 2.4% this week, taking it only a small step away from its recent highs at 21493 seen on May 20th. However, later today, the rally is about to face possibly its biggest challenge of the week in the form of earnings from the second biggest company on the planet ($3.3 trillion mkt cap) and AI bellwether NVIDIA, which are released after the market close.
Traders will not only be looking to judge company’s actual performance against expectations but will be eager to receive updates on the impact of President Trump’s tariffs on future revenue, chip deals with the Middle East, competition and its outlook for AI demand moving forward.
Answers to these questions and others may well impact sentiment towards technology stocks and the US 100 moving into the end of the week, and month, on Friday.
With increased volatility a possibility, knowing the technical outlook can also be helpful.
Technical Update: Focus on the May Highs at 21493
While last week did see correction themes develop within the US 100 index, there appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift yet, as fresh buying developed above support provided by the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772 (see chart below).
However, looking forward, if the NVIDIA earnings prompt an increase in US 100 price volatility, what are the levels traders may be watching for clues to the next directional themes?
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772, represents a first support for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves while not a guarantee of declines, could lead to a deeper sell-off towards 20001, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 21st to May 20th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With this week seeing fresh price strength emerge from above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers currently being willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the May high at 21493 (May 20th), with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength might then be on the cards, towards what could prove to be the next potential resistance level at 22226, which is the February 18th 2025 all-time high.
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IBM: Sneaking Toward a Breakout?International Business Machines is the top-performing member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average this year, and some traders may think it will keep climbing.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the push above $269 last week. The IT company pulled back after hitting that record peak, but found support at its rising 21-day exponential moving average (EMA).
It also closed above its 8-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is additionally above the 21-day EMA. Those signals may be consistent with a short-term uptrend.
Next, IBM is above $261.64, the previous weekly closing high from early March. That may suggest a breakout is being attempted.
Third, MACD is rising.
Fourth, you have some longer-term patterns. The 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are in a potentially bullish sequence, with faster SMAs above the slower. IBM also held its January low in April, avoiding the deeper declines experienced by the broader market.
Those patterns may be consistent with long-term strength.
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TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Breakout is next?Shaded red looks like a tough nut to crack (being in a confluence of resist zone for some major channels), but with the majority of price action over the last 5 years below (shaded blue), and weekly EMA30 as the wind on its back (red line), it may look possible now. AMEX:SILJ #silver
SelectQuote | SLQT | Long at $2.18SelectQuote NYSE:SLQT is currently resting within my historical simple moving average zone. This often signals consolidation and a future move (in this case, let's hope up). Looking at the company's financials, NYSE:SLQT is currently profitable. For Q3 2025 (ended March 31, 2025), the company reported a net income of $26.0 million, up from $8.6 million in Q3 2024. This follows a strong Q2 2025 with a net income of $53.2 million. While like most companies there are likely headwinds in 2025 (earnings are projected at a loss of -$0.20 per share due to seasonal fluctuations and investments in 2025 (e.g., new Kansas facility)), profitability is likely to stabilize in 2026, with EPS forecasts of $0.05, supported by improved Medicare reimbursement rates and operational efficiencies. Ongoing Department of Justice allegations could pose risks... but SelectQuote’s recent $350M investment and cost management suggest profitability may continue if legal issues are resolved favorably.
Thus, at $2.18, NYSE:SLQT is in a personal buy zone. There is a potential for the price to dip to the bottom of the historical simple moving average channel (near $1.25) in the near-term, but time will tell.
Targets:
$2.64
$4.24
Krispy Kreme | DNUT | Long at $3.04Krispy Kreme NASDAQ:DNUT has entered and slightly exited my simple moving average "crash" indicator. More often than not, this zone (currently between $1.88 and $2.88) is a bottom indicator. However, this means there is a still a probability that stock could drop to a value less than $2 in the near future (and I wouldn't be surprised if it gets there). But predicting a "true" bottom is a fool's game. Building a position using data-driven decisions is the best strategy.
Fundamentally, NASDAQ:DNUT has many economic headwinds and a relatively high probably of bankruptcy in the next 24 months. It brought in $1.6 billion in revenue in 2024 and is a great target for takeover, but that requires a crystal ball. Earnings are anticipated to become positive by 2026, but growth is slow. The dividend yield, currently around 4.8%, may get cut in the near-term to help the company financially (again, crystal ball needed). Short interest is 30% with a float of 78 million... Debt to Equity = 0.90x. Essentially, if it can get through 2025, the company predicts it can turn things around into 2026 and beyond.
So, is this a good investment? Fundamentally, many better options are out there. From a technical analysis perspective, a potential opportunity. Thus, a gamble. I'm not betting the farm here, but at $3.04, NASDAQ:DNUT is in a buy zone - with a warning for potentially better entries to emerge in the near future in the $1-$2 range.
Targets:
$3.60
$4.20
Let's break down your Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart analysisBitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart analysis:
Chart Summary:
1. Descending Channel Formation:
Price is moving within a downward sloping channel (lower highs and lower lows).
Currently, price is testing the upper boundary of this channel near $109,800.
2. Liquidity Zone (Downside):
Clearly marked liquidity zone between ~$100,000–$102,000.
This suggests potential interest from large players in this area — stop hunts or accumulation possible.
3. Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 56, which is neutral-bullish. Not overbought, so there's still room for upside, but no strong momentum.
MACD: Bullish crossover is forming; histogram showing momentum shift to the upside.
Key Insights:
Price Rejection or Breakout: Price is at a critical point at the upper trendline. If it breaks above with strong volume, it could indicate a bullish continuation.
Bearish Case (High Probability for Now):
The descending channel is intact.
Price may get rejected and revisit lower bounds near $104,000 or even the liquidity zone near $100,000.
Bullish Case (Breakout Setup):
Break above the channel with a strong bullish candle and retest confirmation may trigger longs.
Target could be previous highs around $112,000–$114,000.
current price: 109580
Suggested Trade Plan:
1. Conservative Short Entry:
If price rejects the upper trendline (around $109,800–$110,000)
Stop-loss above $110,500
Target near $104,000 or $100,000
Chevron Corp Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Chevron Corp Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Entry Bias Hypothesis)) - *170.00 USD | Completed Survey
* Wave Feature - *ABC Entry| Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (EMA Settings)) - *146.00 USD | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 140.00 USD
* Entry At 136.00 USD
* Take Profit At 130.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
AVAX About to Nuke Longs Before Pumping to $30?Yello Paradisers — are you prepared for the next major #AVAX move, or will you once again fall into the trap smart money is setting right now? The chart is screaming probable bullish continuation, but not before one final trick to flush out weak hands. We warned you before — and now the game is unfolding exactly as expected.
💎#AVAXUSDT has clearly broken market structure by forming a higher high, confirming a potential trend shift. However, price failed to close above the 25.82–26.93 resistance zone, leaving the bullish breakout unconfirmed. This hesitation right at a critical level increases the probability of a fakeout or liquidity sweep before any continuation.
💎Right now, we are hovering just above the ascending trendline, and based on current structure, the most probable scenario is a sweep of that trendline liquidity, grabbing stops from impatient longs before the market forms a clean higher low and reverses aggressively to the upside.
💎The green zone around 22.00–23.00, which previously acted as resistance, has now flipped to support. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish probability remains dominant. However, if we see a temporary dip below the trendline toward the 19.08 region, where support lies, that would likely be a classic liquidity hunt — designed to trigger fear, force early exits, and then reverse powerfully into the next leg.
💎And while both scenarios favor upside, it is the path of maximum frustration — likely a wick into 19.00 — that has historically proven most probable before larger breakouts.
💎A sustained move above the 26.93 level, especially on a daily candle close, would significantly increase the probability of continuation toward the major resistance between 30.00 and 30.74. This zone remains the main upside target in the short to mid-term.
💎On the other hand, if price closes below 16.67, that would invalidate this bullish outlook and open the door to deeper downside. Until then, structure remains bullish, and the higher-probability outcome still favors upside after a potential short-term shakeout.
This is the point where the weak hands get shaken out and smart money reloads, Paradisers. If you're aiming for long-term success, wait for high-probability setups and protect your capital. Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴