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Moving Averages

Time to Scoop up Small Caps?The Russell 2000 is down 17% from November highs. According to Bank of America, small caps are not pricing in a recession. Historical small-cap selloffs during recessions have been 35-40%, with forward P/Es dropping about 30%. Earnings are still 38% below their peak. Small caps trade at 14.2x earnings, slightly below the historical average, suggesting they reflect a mild manufacturing slowdown rather than a recession. P/E valuations suggest 9% annualized returns for the Russell 2000 over the next decade, compared to 5% for mid-caps and 1% for large caps. IWM Technicals: - Multi-year log trend support. - Vastly under the yearly average (yellow).
AMEX:IWMLong
by Audacity618
1
Shorting Gold!Gold has been on a TEAR through 2025. Overextended in ATH territory and more expensive than ever before in history. Logically, we should expect a return to historically normal (still expensive) prices. Daily chart is showing 3/3 sell signals 1. Price below 9 period MA 2. RSI bearish fanning beautifully from overbought levels 3. Average Daily Range expanding with volatility I'm aggressively watching for shorts on Gold, Silver, and Copper in the weeks ahead. I've outlined 3 possible entries IF we're lucky enough to see some kind of relief from last weeks selloff. Should price proceed to fall, preparing smaller time frame short trades. I strongly believe we will see 2800. Strategy is invalidated if price breaches ATH's
COMEX:GC1!Short
by GrayTrader01
Silver Could Be on Breakout Watch Before the FedSilver has been clawing higher as gold soars. Is the white metal ready to break out? The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of October, February and March. Traders could watch that resistance for evidence a move is starting. They may also notice the rally after a similar line was broken in January. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) just crossed above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. The alignment, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, may reflect increased bullishness over the long-term. Third, the low reading on Bollinger BandWidth reflects tight price action. Could that narrow range create potential for price expansion? Finally, silver has spent most of the last six months above its peak from early 2021. That is also potentially consistent with a longer-term breakout. All these points could make the commodity important to watch with initial jobless claims and producer prices tomorrow, retail sales Monday and the key Federal Reserve meeting on March 19. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by TradeStation
Stocks May Be OversoldThe S&P 500 has been falling swiftly, but it may be considered oversold. The first pattern on today’s chart is Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the lower study. RSI slipped below 30 for the first time since October 2023. That could make some traders think it’s due for a potential bounce. Next, the middle study includes our MA Distance custom script. It shows price dropped the furthest below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) since October 2022. That may also suggest it’s experienced a healthy pullback. Third is July 5’s last price of 5567, which was the first weekly close in the second half of 2024. It became resistance in early August and support in two subsequent weeks. SPX held that level again yesterday, so it may be reemerging as a meaningful area. If the index manages to stabilize here and rebound, how high might the bounce go? Traders could potentially look to the price zone between January 13's low of 5773 and the March 4 low of 5733. It’s also near the 200-day SMA. Investors with a longer-term view may expect further volatility given the sharpness of the recent drop and the uncertainty caused by tariffs. That may prompt them to eye a deeper low around 5402, where SPX held in early September before breaking out to new highs. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
Bitcoin Tests Resistance: Will the CME Gap Get Filled?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its downward trend as I expected in the previous post , but over the past 12 hours , Bitcoin has started to increase from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . The question is whether this upward trend will continue in the past few hours or not !? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- JOLTS Job Openings & Its Potential Impact on Bitcoin The JOLTS Job Openings report will be released today, March 11 . It provides key insights into the U.S. labor market . This data can influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance , impacting risk assets like Bitcoin. Potential Impact on Bitcoin : Higher-than-expected job openings : Signals labor market strength, increasing the likelihood of Fed tightening → Bearish for Bitcoin Lower-than-expected job openings : Suggests labor market weakness, increasing the odds of rate cuts → Bullish for Bitcoin Historical Influence : In previous months, JOLTS data has triggered volatility across financial markets, including crypto. For instance, a sharp decline in job openings last year led to a weaker dollar and Bitcoin rally. Conversely, stronger-than-expected job numbers have reinforced hawkish Fed expectations, pressuring Bitcoin. I believe there's a higher probability that the JOLTS report will come in weaker than expected, which could lead to a short-term rally in Bitcoin and gold. However, if the report is stronger than anticipated, we might see temporary selling pressure in the market. What is your idea!? Today's positive news was " Trump Plans Order to End Crypto Banking Restrictions ". In general, Trump's statements no longer affect the crypto market as much as before. Do you agree with me? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour timeframe and use technical analysis tools . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and near the 200_SMA(Daily) . According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed five down waves , and we should wait for the next up waves . One of the signs of the end of wave 5 is the presence of a Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys . According to the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) after a downward correction and attempt to fill the CME Gap($86,400_$84,200) . Note: If Bitcoin can move above $87,200, we can expect the start of an uptrend. Note: We should expect a bigger drop if Bitcoin falls below $72,000. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
Just like we drew it up. (Laser Eyes)2 different scenarios for bulls here. Sentiment is at a major low and many are giving up and waving the white flag... this makes me more bullish for the future. Forget "altseason" and the meme narratives, and focus solely on Bitcoin as the crypto market. It is still not done and has much more to run. See the similarities panning out currently from 2024. Could it be a coincidence or manipulation to make the chart look so similar? No one can be certain but either way, we can guess where this is heading regardless.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
#ZECUSDT #1D (Binance Futures) Descending channel breakoutZcash broke-out printing a morning star, looks good for recovery towards 100EMA resistance. ⚡️⚡️ #ZEC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (2.0X) Amount: 5.9% Current Price: 36.12 Entry Zone: 36.05 - 33.55 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 41.83 1) 47.12 1) 52.42 Stop Targets: 1) 28.92 Published By: @Zblaba SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ZEC BINANCE:ZECUSDT.P #1D #Zcash #Privacy z.cash Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +40.4% | +70.8% | +101.3% Possible Loss= -33.8% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
Long
by TradingOn
2
BTC | 4H - 1W | MACRO UpdateBTC has seen a clear bearish trend in the 4h timeframe, after the cup and handle pattern failed to play out. We also notice consecutive lower lows and lower highs, a key sign of a bearish trend. The technical indicators have turned bearish, and from a macro timeframe is shows a stairstep down may be on the cards. The moving averages in the daily has turned bearish as we lose the 200d MA. I hate to say it - but BTC is in full fledge bear mode 🐻 ________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by CryptoCheck-
How Long Can Micron Hang On?Micron Technology has remained above a key level despite weakness in the broader market. Is it vulnerable to a breakdown? The first pattern on today’s chart is the September 12 low of $84.12. MU has remained above that level, but would-be sellers may watch for a potential close below that support. Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is below the 100-day SMA. Both are under the 200-day SMA. That may suggest its longer-term trend has gotten more bearish. Third, our 2 MA Ratio script in the lower study shows the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed below the 21-day EMA. That may suggest bears are gaining an edge in the short term. Next, TradeStation data shows MU is the twelfth-busiest options underlier in the S&P 500. (Average volume in the last month is about 175,000 contracts per session.) That could make some traders look to position for moves with calls and puts. Finally, earnings after the closing bell on March 20 may serve as a potential catalyst for movement. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:MU
by TradeStation
‘Death Cross’ in Las Vegas SandsLas Vegas Sands has been trying to overcome weakness in travel stocks, but some traders may see downside risk. The first pattern on today’s chart is the December high around $56, slightly above the peak in February 2024. Its failure to break out could suggest the casino operator is trapped in a range. Second, the August low of $36.62 may be viewed as the potential bottom of the range. Does that create a potential space below Monday’s close of $45.34? Third, LVS has been unable to stay above either its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) or its 200-day SMA. Finally, the 50-day SMA just formed a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA. That may suggest its longer-term trend is weakening. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:LVS
by TradeStation