Moving Averages
AIOZUSD - Retrace completed. $1.5-$2 next?I look to the weekly timeframe to identify trends and continuation setups. AIOZ's price action has a degree of relative strength in the ALT market. We see the relative strength when we see the price bounce strongly off the 20DMA, compared to DOGE and BCH which sit just below the 20DMA. Strong support exists around $1, from the 20DMA to the horizontal support from the March 2024 peak. These signals suggest the $1 support will hold in this bull cycle and was a great buying opportunity for a new leg higher.
Observations from the Analysis
Relative Strength:
AIOZ's strong rebound off the 20-day moving average (20DMA) is a significant indicator of relative strength, particularly when compared to assets like DOGE and BCH that are underperforming relative to the 20DMA. This suggests stronger demand and bullish sentiment for AIOZ.
Support Around $1:
The $1 level is reinforced by multiple support factors:
20DMA proximity: Indicates dynamic support.
Horizontal support: Derived from a previous high in March 2024, highlighting historical significance. These overlapping supports increase the probability of this level holding during retracements in a bull cycle.
Continuation Setup:
If $1 holds and we see continued higher lows and strong volume, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend, offering a potential entry for the next leg higher.
Considerations
Volume Confirmation:
For the breakout to be validated, watch for a significant increase in volume as the price moves higher from support.
Market Conditions:
Given the overall altcoin market sentiment, external factors like BTC's dominance and macroeconomic trends should be monitored.
Next Steps
Monitor AIOZ’s behavior around $1 with weekly closes for confirmation of support.
Compare its performance with the broader altcoin index to ensure its relative strength persists.
Track for any divergences in RSI or other momentum indicators that could signal weakening.
If you'd like, I can provide real-time data or technical charts to supplement your analysis further.
$SPY December 11, 2024AMEX:SPY December 11, 2024
15 Minutes.
Short still on.
For the last fall 606.44 to 602.14 61.8% retracement is 604-605 levels.
I expect resistance on retracement around those levels.
Since price below 200 averages downtrend intact in 15 minutes time frame.
On downside 599- 600 is a good level to cover short.
It is also 100 averages in 60 minutes time frame
UMA 4 year long triangle violent breakout incomingIf you ever wonder what drives violent upward movement of altcoins when they make 30-50% daily gains for many days over the course of many weeks, this chart for UMA is a perfect example.
The coin that has only dumped for over 4 years after the initial massive rally in 2021 is poised to repeat a similar path in 2025.
Large volumes of desperate sell volume were registered earlier this year and marked the bottom and switch to macro uptrend for UMA. FA analysts gave up on the coin that powers Polymarket (the undisputed leader of onchain betting) assuming it will never pump. They simply ignored the fact that TA is the king and when you are in a downward movement, not bullish news will change the price action.
However, when markets turn bullish and altseason comes, the projects with the strongest FA shine. Watch that triangle violently break out, Ripple style soon
MOBILEUSD 12/10/2024MOBILEUSD Daily Chart Analysis
Timeline of Events:
• February 2024: MOBILEUSD launched on Coinbase.
• March–October 2024: The coin entered a prolonged downtrend.
• November 2024:
o Found support and consolidated sideways.
o Increased volume at the end of the month pushed the price to resistance, supported by the 20-day EMA.
• December 2024:
o A surge in volume led to a +149% breakout, confirming the sideways movement as an accumulation phase and signaling a potential uptrend.
Current Market Dynamics:
• The price has retraced and is testing support at the 20-day EMA.
• The MACD indicator remains in bullish territory, suggesting continued upward potential.
Trade Details:
• Entry Price: 0.001430
• Stop-Loss: 0.001093 (-23.57%)
• Target Price: 0.006597 (+361.33%)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 15.33:1
Analysis Summary:
MOBILEUSD is at a critical juncture, with the 20-day EMA acting as support. The MACD’s bullish position and the recent breakout suggest the potential for another strong rally if the price bounces off the EMA.
Is a massive correction for alt tokens about to print?This is a short term forecast affecting anything inside the TOTAL2 market cap. That is the entire crypto market excluding Bitcoin.
The crash is forecast to occur over the next 14-20 days.
In four days from now a “life cross” will print on the above daily chart, it is inevitable.
What is a life cross?
It is when the 50 day simple moving average (blue line) crosses up the 200 day simple moving average (red line)
AND
Price action is above the 200 day simple moving average.
The majority of market participants see this as a positive sign. A green light to enter long positions. However for you lucky what is it now wow 14,000 followers (thank you!), you’ll now know it is not what it seems. Like me you're scientific about all this and look left.
But before we look left, I want you memorise how far TOTAL2 market capital is above the 200 day SMA, about 30%
November 12th, 2023 life cross -10% correction
Price action was 20% above the 200 day SMA
February 18th, 2023 life cross -15% correction
Price action was 15% above the 200 day SMA
February 2020 and May 2020, -70% and -17% corrections
Price action was 57% and 20% above the 200 day sma
April 13th, 2019. Life cross -23% correction
Price action was 34% above the 200 day sma
In summary, the further price action was above the 200 day SMA the harder it dropped.
We can infer that a 15-20% correction should be expected across TOTAL2.
Use this low as an opportunity to collect your favourite token from emotional sellers.
Ww
Long $TSLAI am getting 100% of my exposure currently through NASDAQ:TSLL , I am very bullish on this setup for Tesla.
Bull catalysts:
Trump Victory - if this happens, I assume TSLA will pump just because of their close relationship
Federal EV Charging Re-compete - in the vein above, I don't see why Trump wouldn't open the failed federal funds of ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B to companies to recompute the contract- obviously Tesla could actually deliver the network of chargers more efficiently than GM et al.
QE - I overlaid the FFR on the bottom of this chart, since I think it is valuable information regarding the last time TSLA's face-melting rally began, it coincided with QE beginning.
Their humanoid robots also could be something, but I am not as versed with them. Any other catalysts I'm missing?
Eli Lilly: Is the Uptrend Fading?Eli Lilly has been one of the best-performing large-cap stocks in recent years. But now it may be showing signs of stalling.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish price gap on October 30 after earnings and revenue missed estimates. LLY has remained below the gap since, which may suggest that new resistance has been established.
Second, the recent bounce pulled stochastics into overbought territory.
Third, the drugmaker has remained below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). The 50-day SMA is also nearing a potential “death cross” below its 200-day SMA.
Finally, consider that LLY is up 578 percent in the five-year period ended last month. That’s the fourth-biggest gain in the S&P 500 over the period, according to TradeStation Data. (Nvidia, Tesla and Builders FirstSource have risen more.)
Given the magnitude of its run, many investors could be sitting on significant long-term gains. Could that open the door to profit taking?
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Plug Power's Trend May Be Reversing Upward: First Target at $5NASDAQ:PLUG has lost 98% of its value since the beginning of 2021. Despite three corrections during this period, a trend reversal has not occurred.
However, the demand seen since September 2024 indicates that the price might be in a trend reversal phase.
If this is the case, the first price target is expected to be $5. Should the upward trend continue, the second target could be $7.5.
Continued Pressure on NZD/USD Following a Brief Seller RespiteTechnical Outlook
The NZD/USD pair has resumed its downtrend following a brief consolidation phase. Sellers have aggressively pushed the pair toward the most recent low at 0.58217. A confirmed break below this level could open the door for further declines, with immediate support targets at 0.58177, 0.58126, and the psychological threshold of 0.58070.
The Bollinger Bands exhibit a pronounced downward slope, signaling heightened bearish volatility. Additionally, the moving averages are aligned in a bearish crossover, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the current market structure.
Alternative Scenario
To counter this bearish outlook, buyers would need to reclaim the immediate resistance at 0.58364.
Key Events to Watch
Market participants are closely monitoring US economic data, including non-farm productivity and unit labor costs, as well as a long-term Treasury bond auction. These reports are expected to influence USD strength, potentially impacting NZD/USD volatility further.
$SPY December 10, 2024AMEX:SPY December 10, 2024
15 Minutes.
605 as expected was done.
Downtrend confirmed as long AMEX:SPY is below 607 levels.
607 is 200 averages in 5 minutes and 61.8% retracement for the fall 609.07 to 604.08
This 606-607 is a level to short.
For the rise 597.28 to 609.07 61.8% retracement is 601-602 levels.
Soif 604 is broken today 599-600 is my target for today.
In daytime frame AMEX:SPY took support at 9 averages.
21 average is 598 levels.
For me usually downtrend in 15 minutes until 200 averages price is above current price in 5 minutes.
We have an oscillator divergence at close.
price made LL but oscillator did not support.
So, i expect a pull back at open.
GoPro | GPRO | Long at $1.35NASDAQ:GPRO is a strong brand name, but with a dying userbase / lack of growth. The company has no major turnaround planned, but the chart is interesting. The stock seems to be currently consolidating as the historical simple moving average (white line) is working its way down toward the price - which often leads to a jump. Another candidate for the Santa Claus rally? Or, will the "value" lead to an acquisition? Nothing is guaranteed, but something may be brewing. While not a long-term "buy and hold" candidate for me (personally, unless the business changes or growth seems relevant), it looks very intriguing from a technical analysis perspective. Thus, at $1.35, NASDAQ:GPRO is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1: $1.70
Target #2: $2.00
Target #3: $2.50
Target #4: $2.88 (if some good news emerges...)
Fastly Fills the GapWeb-acceleration company Fastly hit a record low over the summer, but now there could be signs of a rebound.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish price gap in May after the release of weak guidance. FSLY is now pushing into that gap, which could make some traders see potential for more upside.
Second are the lower lows and lower highs through August, followed by higher lows. That rounded bottom could suggest prices are done falling.
Third, MACD and the 50-day simple moving average are both rising. Is the direction turning more positive?
Finally, you have the bullish price gap on December 2 on an upgrade by Oppenheimer. (The analyst said FSLY may benefit from the recent bankruptcy of rival Edgio.) The surge pushed the stock above its May 14 high, the resistance level at the bottom of the May gap.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
$SPY December9, 2024AMEX:SPY December9, 2024
15 Minutes.
As can be seen in chart AMEX:SPY struggling around 608 609 levels.
The retracement i was expecting due to oscillator did not happen but it resulted in sideways movement.
For the rise 597.28 to 609.07 604.5 is approximately 38.2% retracement.
Also for the fall 609.07 to 607.07 to 608.38 605 is 1.618 times extension on reversals.
At the moment AMEX:SPY is converged in 3 moving averages 9,21,50.
We have 100 averages sat 606 levels.
That is my first target for the moment.
Day is still strong, and I have 635-640 as target.
We have 606 as 9 averages in day so that should give good support on a reversal.
Analyzing XRP: Will Technical Analysis and Whale Activity Lead tThis article analyzes the current state of the Ethereum market, focusing on its technical indicators and recent market trends. It discusses the potential for further price increases, highlighting the role of institutional investors and the overall market sentiment.
Key Points:
• Technical Analysis:
o Ethereum's price has formed a triple-top pattern, historically associated with potential downside.
o However, it has also broken above key moving averages and a rising trendline, signaling bullish momentum.
o The MACD indicator suggests a potential upward trend continuation.
• Institutional Demand:
o Increased institutional investment in Ethereum, particularly through ETFs, has contributed to its price rise.
o Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) has seen significant inflows, indicating growing institutional interest.
• Altcoin Season and Market Sentiment:
o The current altcoin season, characterized by strong performance of altcoins relative to Bitcoin, is favorable for Ethereum.
o The "extreme greed" level on the crypto fear and greed index suggests a risk-on sentiment, which often benefits Ethereum.
• Strong Fundamentals:
o Ethereum's leading position in DeFi, with a large total value locked and active DEX network, provides a solid foundation for its price.
o The dominance of stablecoins on the Ethereum network further strengthens its position.
o
Conclusion:
While the triple-top pattern raises some concerns, the bullish technical indicators, strong institutional demand, and positive market sentiment suggest that Ethereum has the potential for further price increases. However, investors should remain cautious and monitor the market closely for any signs of reversal. A drop below the $3,700 support level could invalidate the bullish outlook.
Is XRP Ready to Surge? A Deep Dive into Technical Analysis Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. It's crucial to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
XRP on the Rise: Technical Analysis and Whale Activity Point to Significant Gains
The XRP market has been steadily gaining momentum, with recent technical analysis and whale activity suggesting significant price increases in the coming days. It is predicted that XRP could surge to $5 within the next 72 hours, with a more conservative estimate of $8.00+ in the long term.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis of XRP's price charts reveals a strong bullish trend. Key indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) are signaling a potential upward breakout. The RSI, which measures the speed and change of price movements, is currently in the overbought zone, indicating strong buying pressure.
Furthermore, the MACD, which compares two moving averages to identify trend changes, has formed a bullish crossover, suggesting that the upward trend is likely to continue. These technical signals, combined with the recent surge in whale activity, have fueled optimism among XRP investors.
Whale Activity: A Sign of Confidence
Large-scale investors, often referred to as whales, have been actively accumulating XRP during recent price dips. This increased whale activity is seen as a positive sign, as it suggests that these experienced investors anticipate significant price appreciation in the future.
A recent transaction involving the purchase of $288 million worth of XRP by a single whale has further ignited speculation about a potential price surge. Such large-scale purchases can significantly impact the market, as they can help drive prices higher.
Expert Prediction: A Conservative Estimate
It is suggested that XRP could reach $8.00+ in the long term, as the cryptocurrency market continues to mature and gain wider adoption.
This conservative estimate is based on a number of factors, including the ongoing legal battle between Ripple Labs and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). While the outcome of this case remains uncertain, many investors believe that a favorable ruling could significantly boost XRP's price.
Maintaining the Momentum: Key Factors
To maintain the current price rally, several key factors will need to come into play:
• Positive Market Sentiment: Continued positive sentiment among investors and traders is essential for sustaining the upward trend.
• Favorable Regulatory Environment: A favorable regulatory environment, particularly in the United States, could significantly boost XRP's price.
• Increased Institutional Adoption: Increased adoption of XRP by financial institutions and corporations could further drive demand and price appreciation.
• Strong Fundamental Performance: Strong performance of the underlying technology and network will be crucial for long-term growth.
In conclusion, the combination of bullish technical indicators and increased whale activity has created a strong bullish case for XRP. While short-term price predictions may vary, the long-term outlook for XRP remains positive, as the cryptocurrency market evolves and matures.
52 Week High Breakout - Positional Trade - Long TermDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
52 Week Breakout. Stock has Crossed 52 week High. Keep in watch list. Buy above the high. Suitable for Positional Trade. Stop loss & Target Shown on Chart. Stop loss Trail by 30 SMA. Exit if Price Close below 30 SMA on Weekly Chart.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think.