The technical analysis of DOGS >>> Buy LongNow that the selling pressure on SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS has been lifted, it’s a good opportunity to buy, as the price of SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS has reached its bottom, and there’s little chance it will drop any further. This is when to expect a price increase over the next 2 to 3 days. So, it’s better to make a purchase and wait for the price to rise.
Moving Averages
$SPY September 4, 2024AMEX:SPY September 4, 2024
15 Minutes
AMEX:SPY opened gap down.
Since close was not good in that bar buy was not possible.
I did not short for the day.
I need AMEX:SPY below moving averages 9,21 to short.
That came only around 556 levels with 559 as SL.
So, i was not sure of R:R hence no short.
Now for the day the rise from 518 to 564 has 546 -547 as 38.2% retracement.
It is also 200 averages in 60 minutes.
So, 546-548 is the next target.
Already achieved 549.5 yesterday.
Hence for the fall 564.2 to 549.5 a retrace around 556 - 558 will be a good placed to short today.
Having seen multiple tops near 564 levels i will go long only above 565 levels.
No long today as AMEX:SPY below all moving averages in 15 minutes.
Channel Exit Momentum Sell SignalThe sell signal is triggered when the price falls below the lower bounds of both channels, indicating strong bearish pressure. Specifically:
Channel 1 and Channel 2: These are based on a Simple Moving Average (SMA) with a range adjusted by a multiplier. These channels represent dynamic support zones.
Breaking the lower bound: When the price breaks below the lower bound of both channels, it means the price has fallen below the support levels defined by these moving averages. This suggests that the bullish trend has lost strength and a bearish continuation is likely.
Confirmation: To avoid false signals, the condition requires the price to stay below these bounds for two consecutive candles, reinforcing the likelihood of a sustained bearish trend.
50 SMA Rising - Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
It 50 SMA Rising. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
50 SMA Rising - Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
It 50 SMA Rising. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. As stop loss is Big Risk to reward Ratio / Target - 1:1.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Risk to reward Ratio / Target - 1:2.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. As stop loss is Big we keep Initial Target Ratio 1:2.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Darvas Box Strategy - Breakout StockDisclaimer: I am Not SEBI Registered adviser, please take advise from your financial adviser before investing in any stocks. Idea here shared is for education purpose only.
Stock has given break out buy missed by one day. Keep this stock in watch list.
Buy above the High and do not forget to keep stop loss best suitable for swing trading.
Target and Stop loss Shown on Chart. Risk to reward Ratio / Target - 1:2.
Be Discipline, because discipline is the key to Success in Stock Market.
Trade what you See Not what you Think.
Fractal Proximity and MA Confirmation + Partial Exit StrategyFractal Analysis
Fractals in trading help identify potential reversal points by marking significant price changes. Our strategy calculates a "fractal value" by comparing the current price to recent high and low fractal points. This is done by evaluating the sum of distances from the current closing price to the recent highs and lows. A positive fractal value suggests proximity to recent lows, hinting at upward momentum. Conversely, a negative value indicates closeness to recent highs, signaling potential downward movement.
Moving Averages for Confirmation
We use a series of 20 moving averages ranging from 5 to 100 to confirm trend directions indicated by fractal analysis. An entry signal is considered bullish when shorter-term moving averages are all above a long-term moving average, aligning with a positive fractal value.
Exit Strategy
The strategy employs dynamic stop-loss levels set at various moving averages, allowing for partial exits when the price crosses below specific thresholds. This helps manage the trade by locking in profits gradually. A full exit might be triggered by strong reversal signals suggested by both fractal values and moving average trends.
This open-source strategy is available for the community to test, adapt, and utilize. Your feedback and modifications are welcome as we refine the approach based on collective user experiences.
IMG LongIMG entry for a run to the 382, been looking at gold miners with the Gold price rallying, haven't been able to find one which is not highly over extended. Having said this I may suffer a SL run here if the Gold price pulls back. Usual SL management of moving weekly behind HK candles. Will take partial profit in 3 stages and try to run remainder to the 50% retrace.
BTC getting Triple SqueezedOverlaying Micro and Macro time frames =
"Rare Triple Price Channel Squeeze" coming up before Friday the 13th, September 2024.
Don't Be Scared!
*BTC been in its main, slightly descending parallel channel
(Gold Lines) since its last peak end of July.
*Also moving up in a slight Ascending Channel (Green Lines)
*At the same time it's also in a Descending Wedge (Blue Lines)
Sort of crazy for all 3 to be currently occurring all at the same time.
Bullish outcome could be a push back up to next Fibonacci near $69K or a very possible bearish move back down to Fib level at $49K.
We shall all know the answer in less than 10 days!!
50 SMA Rising - Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
It 50 SMA Rising. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
Gold forecast: What now for gold after scoring 7 monthly gain?I expect gold to rise further and continue to attract buying activity on any dips. One reason is that the overall trend remains bullish, which should deter bearish speculators from acting too forcefully unless there are clear signs of a reversal.
Gold finished higher for the 7th consecutive month in August, meaning that the precious metal is now up a solid 21% year-to-date. Will it be able to rise further in September or take a breather? The gold forecast will now depend at least partly on incoming US data and interest rate expectations. I continue to maintain a bullish view on the metal thanks to a favourable macro backdrop and its steady-as-she-goes price action.
Gold forecast: Can XAU/USD continue rising?
I expect gold to rise further and continue to attract buying activity on any dips. One reason is that the overall trend remains bullish, which should deter bearish speculators from acting too forcefully unless there are clear signs of a reversal. Additionally, there are few fundamental reasons to short sell gold at the moment. In fact, some argue that gold is still undervalued, considering the significant devaluation and loss of purchasing power of fiat currencies worldwide due to high inflation, which remains persistent in some regions. While disinflation is evident in the US and other areas, it's not the same as deflation. Prices are still increasing, just not as rapidly as before. Demand for gold as an inflation hedge should continue to offer support. Moreover, the sharp decline in bond yields in the last couple of months, driven by expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is likely to benefit low or zero-yield assets like gold. As long as we don’t see a reversal in the that trend, lower yields should argue against a sustained period of weakness for gold and silver.
Dollar in focus ahead of busy week
The US dollar is facing a key test this week with the release of several market moving data releases, including the August jobs report.
Following today's US Labor Day holiday, the US data schedule becomes busier, featuring ISM manufacturing data on Tuesday, JOLTS job openings on Wednesday, ADP employment data, jobless claims, and ISM services on Thursday, and culminating with the key event of the week, the August jobs report on Friday.
Out of all of these data releases this week, the nonfarm jobs report should be a key determinant of whether the dollar’s two-month dollar bear trend extends or whether range bound price action will return.
Gold bulls will need to a weaker number to send the metal sharply higher. But if the consensus is correct regarding Friday's jobs report, which predicts 165,000 job gains and a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.2% from 4.3%, then the market will likely solidify expectations for a 25-basis point rate cut to start the Fed's easing cycle on September 18. In this scenario, I would expect to see a modest weaker reaction in gold at least.
However, if payrolls only increase slightly, say by around 100,000 or so, with the unemployment rate potentially rising too, then in this scenario, the dollar could resume lower, sending gold sharply higher as expectations shift back toward a 50-basis point Fed rate cut in September.
China concerns linger
Meanwhile we have had some mixed PMI readings from China’s manufacturing sector in the last couple of days, leaving investors guessing about the health of the world’s second largest economy. While the official manufacturing PMI fell further into contraction at 49.1 in August from 49.4 in July, the Caixin PMI improved to 50.4 from 49.8 the month before. Meanwhile, the official non-manufacturing PMI ticked up to 50.3, suggesting that perhaps the Chinese economy may have bottomed out.
We will need to see further evidence of a Chinese recovery. If so, this will help raise hopes that elevated demand from the world’s top gold consumer nation can sustain precious metals prices at these levels or even push them higher.
Gold forecast: technical analysis and trade ideas
The steady grind higher is precisely what the bulls would like to see, keeping the technical gold forecast bullish. Shallow dips, higher highs, higher lows are characteristics of strong bullish trends.
So, the trend is clearly bullish and will remain that way until we see a lower low form. Dips are likely to find support around broken levels such as around the old record high from July at $2483, where we also have the 21-day exponential moving average converging. The bullish trend line that has been in place since February, comes in around $2450, representing another short-term support level to watch.
On the upside, there is only one prior reference point to watch given that the metal is trading near its all-time high. And that level is the all-time high itself, hit last month at $2531.
-- Written by Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst