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Moving Averages

Unveiling Crypto Market Insights - Wen PumpGM, Bitstampers! In today’s update, we’re diving into Bitcoin’s recent price action, analyzing its current trend, and identifying key support and resistance levels . Bitcoin Market Commentary Bitcoin reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $109.4K on January 20, 2025, on Bitstamp. Since then, the price has been in a sustained downtrend, marking 50 consecutive days without a meaningful trend reversal. On March 9, BTC broke below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and had repeatedly failed to reclaim it—until yesterday, when it made a conclusive close above it, indicating a potential trend reversal. We’re closely watching key support and resistance levels: March 11 low – Bitcoin touched 76K, and established short-term support. Next major support – Around 73K, aligning with the March 2024 high. A drop to this level would mark a >30% correction from ATH. With Bitcoin reclaiming the 200-day SMA, indicating a potential trend reversal, levels around 90K could act as an important line of resistance. If Bitcoin bottomed on March 11, that would mark an almost 30% correction lasting 50 days. What’s next for Bitcoin? Has it bottomed, or is further downside in play? When do you think Bitcoin will trade above 100K again? Share your thoughts in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Bitstamp
2
Is Chevron Attempting a Breakout?Chevron has gone nowhere for more than a year, but some traders may think that’s changing. The first pattern on today’s chart is the $162.30 level, the highest weekly close since last May. The energy giant challenged that resistance a few times without success -- but yesterday may have broken it decisively. CVX also apparently escaped a falling trendline that began in September 2023. Next, you have the series of lower weekly lows, followed by higher weekly lows (marked with yellow arrows). That may be viewed as a long-term basing pattern. Last, the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) recently crossed above the 200-day SMA. The 50-day SMA crossed above both. Such an alignment, with faster SMAs above slower ones, may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:CVX
by TradeStation
Bearish Scenario If FOMC News Favors BearsFOMC interest rate news is due in less than 2hours . I Stayed out of the market waiting since last Thursday just to wait for FOMC news because the market will almost always goes into consolidation days before this news due to its significant impact. So its usually a good idea to avoid getting chopped in the sideways action unless you like donating money to the market instead of waiting for a new trend to emerge or a continuation of the on-going trend. After todays fomc news, we will know if we will resume dumping everything, or we'll evaluate potential short term bullish scenarios. For now, my recent BTC short analysis is still intact. I already took profit on all 8 short positions i was in on various coins i shorted along side BTC. If the FOMC news favors the bears, i'll be looking to re-enter shorts in the range 86.4k to 91k.
Short
by ExoProtocol
GBP/USD: ID50 Setup Bullish Trade Opportunity1. **ID50 Setup Formation:** - The market appears to have formed a **peak formation low**, followed by a reversal into an upward trend. - The price retraced to the **50 EMA (blue line)**, which aligns with the **ID50 trade entry zone** in BTMM. - A bounce off this moving average suggests **bullish continuation**. 2. **Market Structure & Momentum:** - Higher highs and higher lows are evident, confirming an uptrend. - The **red EMA (13 EMA)** remains above the **50 EMA**, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. - Price recently tested the **50 EMA support**, indicating a potential **buying opportunity**. 3. **Key Levels to Watch:** - The nearest **resistance zone** is around **1.29700**, which might serve as the next target. - Support is currently around **1.29000**, aligning with the 50 EMA. **Conclusion:** If the price maintains support above the 50 EMA, the **bullish ID50 setup** suggests a continuation of the uptrend. A break above recent highs could lead to further gains. However, traders should watch for potential **stop hunts** before a strong move occurs.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
GBP/USD Intraday Market Analysis: Potential Upside ReversalThe GBP/USD 15-minute chart suggests a possible bullish reversal following a period of consolidation near the 200-period moving average. Price action formed multiple rejection wicks at a key support level, indicating buying interest. A bullish engulfing candle has emerged, confirming a potential shift in momentum. The risk-to-reward setup highlights a long position, with stop-loss protection just below the recent lows and a target towards previous liquidity zones. The stochastic-based momentum indicator shows a crossover in oversold territory, further supporting potential upside movement. If price sustains above the 200 EMA and breaks through immediate resistance, further bullish continuation is likely. However, failure to hold above the entry level could invalidate the setup, leading to further downside pressure.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
INTEL Bullish Reversal and Continuation NASDAQ:INTC is showing a strong rebound from a well-established support zone, as indicated by multiple price bounces. Currently, the stock is testing a downward trendline resistance and is attempting to stay above the 200-day SMA, signaling a bullish trend shift. It might be time for Intel to fill that gap! In my eyes, there are two options: A confirmed close above $26.2 could indicate further upside potential, with buyers gaining control. Volume has increased, suggesting growing bullish momentum. However, failure to break resistance could lead to another pullback first towards the 200 SMA and, if failed again, back to the lower demand zone. Watch closely for this breakout confirmation in order for us to continue higher with a target of $30.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Gxbee
Hess Could Be Turning HigherEnergy is emerging as one of the stronger sectors this year, and some traders may see an opportunity in exploration-and-production company Hess. The first pattern on today’s chart is the January 17 weekly close of $151.35. Prices have challenged this level but not yet closed above it. Could it now serve as a trigger for a breakout? Second is the series of lower highs between last April and late November. HES began 2025 with a push above the falling trendline and it’s mostly stayed there since. That may indicate a period of downward movement has ended. Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) was below the 100-day SMA in November and both were under the 200-day SMA. The order flipped in subsequent months, with the faster SMAs now above the slower ones. The new alignment could reflect longer-run bullishness. Finally, the lower study includes our 2 MA Ratio custom script. It shows the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) pushing above the 21-day EMA, which is potentially consistent with short-term bullishness. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:HES
by TradeStation
Target | TGT | Long at $105.75Target NYSE:TGT Strengths: P/E: 11.82x Earnings are forecast to grow 4.95% per year Dividend: 4.24% Better "value" compared to others (i.e. NYSE:WMT ) Insiders recently awarded options May have double-bottomed (see weaknesses below...) Weakness Economic headwinds / recession concerns Debt-to-equity: 1.09x (slightly high) Several price gaps on the daily chart are open below the current price. If recession fears are valid and news to messages "tighter consumer spending", these gaps will likely be filled (all the way down to the GETTEX:50S ). One day these will be filled, but that would be a huge opportunity for long-term investors... Thus, at $105.75, NYSE:TGT is in a personal buy zone. Targets $119.75 $137.00 $150.00
NYSE:TGTLong
by WorthlessViews
AUD/JPY: Testing Key Downtrend as Bulls Eye 50DMA BreakAUD/JPY is testing downtrend resistance established in November, with a potential retest of the 50DMA in play. Momentum indicators, including RSI (14) and MACD, are flashing bullish signals, favouring an upside bias near-term. If we see a break of the downtrend and minor horizontal support at 95.35, longs could be established above the latter with a stop beneath for protection. The 50DMA has repeatedly capped bullish attempts recently, making it a key hurdle—those entering should be prepared to cut if the price fails to break and close above it. If cleared, 97.33 emerges as a potential target, with 97.96 and 99.10 as other topside levels to watch. A failure to sustain the breakout would invalidate the bullish bias. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
Why the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Indicator will not trigger this cycleIn this post, we’ll take a closer look at the Pi Cycle Indicator and explain why we believe it is unlikely to trigger in this cycle. Instead, we present an alternative signal that may better indicate the true Bitcoin top. Understanding the Pi Cycle Indicator The Pi Cycle Indicator has historically been highly accurate in predicting Bitcoin cycle tops. It consists of two simple moving averages: The 111-day simple moving average (SMA) (blue) The 350-day simple moving average (SMA) multiplied by two (green) A signal is generated when the 111-day SMA crosses above the multiplied 350-day SMA, which is marked by a red vertical line. Why This Signal Alone Isn’t Enough While this signal has been useful in the past, we believe it doesn't provide the full picture—specifically, it doesn’t indicate how strong the crossover is. By transforming this indicator into an oscillator that measures the ratio between these two moving averages, we gain a more nuanced perspective: In the chart, the green line represents the ratio between the two moving averages. When it crosses above the red horizontal line (ratio > 1), a Pi Cycle signal occurs (marked by a red vertical line). Notably, the 2017 signal was significantly stronger than the 2021 signal, suggesting a pattern of diminishing returns. We highly recommend checking out our post on diminishing returns and the overall timeline for the current cycle here . Additionally, we've developed our own Bitcoin model that factors in the effects of diminishing returns. Check it out here . The TRUE cycle top signal The key question is whether this diminishing return is strong enough to prevent a signal from forming in this cycle. Based on our analysis, we believe it is. By extrapolating this trend into the future using a white diagonal trend line, it becomes clear that the ratio will likely remain below 1, meaning no crossover is expected this cycle. Instead, we anticipate that the next Bitcoin top will occur at a ratio of approximately 0.9 , as indicated by the orange area on the chart. In summary, while the Pi Cycle Indicator has been a reliable tool in previous cycles, its diminishing strength suggests that it may not trigger this time. Rather than relying solely on this metric, we suggest considering looking deeper into the true value of this indicator instead.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Cryptonerds
Global ETF Nears Potential BreakoutRecent weeks have seen a dramatic shift toward global stocks as U.S. markets decline. Now traders may be looking for a breakout in a key ETF tracking the group. The iShares MSCI EAFE fund, which focuses on developed markets like Europe and Japan, had a quick advance from mid-January through early March. There are at least four takeaways from the rally. First, it resulted in historic outperformance against the S&P 500. (This is highlighted by relative strength in the lower study with a 21-day period.) The current reading of 13.8 percent points compares with July 2002, when EFA began a five-year run of outpacing SPX. (The only two other times that relative strength was higher was late 2008 and March 2020, abnormal moments of extreme volatility.) Second, the recent rally pulled the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) toward a potential “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA. Third, a pullback on February 28 was quickly bought. That potentially established support above the December high of $80.63. (See yellow arrows.) Fourth, EFA has remained well above a 50 percent retracement of the advance. That may confirm bulls are still in control. Next, the fund just completed an inside week. That tightness may reflect a lack of selling pressure. Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA. Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) 1-year: +5.61% 5-years: +31.07% 10-year: +25.31% (As of February 28, 2025) Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:EFA
by TradeStation
The Crossroads of Decision of BRENT Alex had been sitting in front of his computer for several days, the glow of the screen illuminating his anxious face. He was a novice trader, and the world of forex felt both exhilarating and overwhelming. Today, his focus was on Brent crude oil, a commodity that had captured his attention and his curiosity. As he stared at the chart, he noticed that resistance was firmly set at 70.60. The price had flirted with that level multiple times but had failed to break through. To make matters more complicated, the chart also displayed a bearish wedge pattern, a formation that suggested potential downside movement. Alex felt his stomach tighten as he tried to decipher the conflicting signals. "What to do next?" he thought, biting his nails nervously. He had read countless articles and watched numerous tutorials, but the information seemed to swirl in his mind without offering any clarity. Each time he thought he had a grasp on the market, new doubts crept in. He glanced back at the chart, heart racing. Should he take a position now, betting that the price would drop, or wait for confirmation? He felt the weight of uncertainty pressing down on him. Trading was supposed to be about making informed decisions, but all he felt was confusion. In a moment of frustration, Alex pushed back from his desk and took a deep breath. He remembered the advice he had read: "Stay calm and stick to your strategy." He had promised himself that he would not rush into trades based on fear or anxiety. Instead, he needed to focus on what the data was telling him. Returning to the screen, he pulled up a few indicators—momentum oscillators and moving averages. He wanted to see if they aligned with the bearish wedge pattern and the resistance level at 70.60. As he analyzed the data, a clearer picture began to form. The indicators suggested a weakening momentum, reinforcing his sense that a pullback might be imminent. Feeling a bit more confident, Alex decided that patience would be his ally. He would watch for the price to approach the resistance level again, looking for signs of weakness before making any move. He would set alerts to notify him if Brent approached 70.60, keeping his emotions in check while waiting for the right moment. With a newfound sense of determination, Alex refocused on his screen. Trading was a journey, and he was learning that sometimes the best action was no action at all. The market would always be there, and he was committed to becoming a smarter, more strategic trader, one decision at a time.
BLACKBULL:BRENT
by Rix1113