CrowdStrike: Member of a Small ClubThe broader market has been tumbling for months, but CrowdStrike has stood its ground.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 10 low of $303.79. While the Nasdaq-100 has revisited levels from over a year ago, CRWD has held lows from a month prior. Support at such a recent level may reflect positive sentiment.
Second, Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) made a higher low as the cybersecurity company made a slightly lower low. That positive divergence could also be viewed as a bullish signal.
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in November and has stayed there since. Is a longer-term uptrend still in effect?
Speaking of SMAs, CRWD is above its 20- and 200-day SMAs. That puts it in relatively elite clubs: Only 104 members of the S&P 500 are above their 20-day SMAs and just 138 are above their 200-day SMAs, according to TradeStation data.
Those points may also suggest sellers have been less active in the name.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
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TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Moving Averages
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Shares Rally Amid AI Sector OptimismShares of Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) have gained over 3% on Friday 11th April. The positive results come after U.S. markets rallied on tariff news. President Trump announced a 90-day pause on new tariffs. Reciprocal tariffs for most countries dropped to 10%, sparking investor optimism.
Major U.S. indices rose sharply following the announcement after being under pressure from rising trade tensions. The pause was seen as a welcome shift toward calmer negotiations.
However, Trump excluded China from this relief. Instead, he stated that tariffs on Chinese goods would increase to 125%. This came after China announced new retaliatory tariffs on U.S. imports. The tough stance toward China contrasted with the softened approach to other countries.
Despite the relief, market uncertainty remains. Investors are unsure whether the rally will last. Ongoing trade disputes, especially with China, could disrupt momentum.
Nvidia's price rose to $110.78, gaining $14.99 on Friday's session. The stock reached an intraday high of $111.53 and a low of $107.48. The current resistance sits at $153.13 high.
Technical Analysis
Nvidia bounced sharply off the $92 support zone, highlighted by strong buying pressure. The RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum. A clear resistance lies near $153.13 high. If Nvidia breaks this level, a move toward $180 is likely. If it fails, price may revisit the $92 zone. Two scenarios are possible. The stock could either continue upward to $180 or face rejection and fall back. Watch the $153 level closely for confirmation.
Ishares 20+ Treasury Bond | TLT | Long in the $90sIshares 20+ Treasury Bond NASDAQ:TLT are particularly sensitive to interest rates: the price moves up when they are lowered and down when they rise. Locally, I'm witnessing banks lower their interest rates for CDs and shorten the duration for those with high-yielding returns. The general political rhetoric, especially due to the election cycle, is a push for the Federal Reserve to drop them. Now, despite the possible negative economic implications of lowering interest rates too soon if inflation is high, there is a good probability they may be lowered (even slightly) in 2024... perhaps September?
This analysis isn't to time the bottom perfectly, though. Instead, it's a probability assessment. Personally, TLT in the low $90s is in a long-term "buy-zone".
Target #1 = $104
Target #2 = $122
Target #3 = $170+ (very long-term view / economic crash... let's hope not, though)
AvalonBay Inc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Avalon Bay Communities Inc Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) At 205.00 USD | Completed Survey
* (Downtrend Argument)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 0.5 Retracement Area | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 200.00 USD
* Entry At 189.00 USD
* Take Profit At 170.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
Chips May Have Broken DownThe Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has been skidding lower, and some traders may think it’s broken support.
The first pattern on today’s chart is last April's low of 4288. SOX bounced at that level last August and on March 11. But the index slid below it last week and this week peaked near the same zone. Has old support become new resistance?
Second, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is under the 21-day EMA. That may reflect a bearish short-term trend.
Wednesday’s high was near the 21-day EMA. The index stalled at that line and quickly fell back below its 8-day EMA.
Next, the recent high was near a 50 percent retracement of the selloff that began in late January. That may also confirm its downward trend.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Silver at a Crossroads: More Pain or a Rally Above 34?Silver is undergoing a potential trend change. The previous yellow uptrend channel has been broken, and a new, nearly flat-slightly downward channel (marked by blue lines) appears to be forming. While it may be too early to confirm this as an established trend, the structure is developing with increasing clarity.
Silver is now at a crossroads. The former trendline is being retested, and just above it lies a confluence of resistance: a previous demand zone and the 200-day moving average. These former support levels have now merged into a strong resistance area.
Unless this resistance zone is broken, downward pressure is likely to persist. However, a breakout could open the door for a medium-term move toward the 34 level.
Please check gold/silver chart for longer term understanding:
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"Disbelief Rally" back to 52 week HighsPrior plunges below this custom weekly Keltner channel have a good track record of highlighting buying opportunities. In simile terms.. when markets plunge too much and too fast, a great accumulation occurs with wild oscillations. After the accumulation will come a "disbelief rally" where the market will continue to rip higher in a concave down curve to the previous 52 week high leaving market participants in disbelief that we didn't retest the plunge levels again. Each dip in this "disbelief rally" becomes a great opportunity for long-style trades.
USD/CAD bears eyeing deeper downside flushUSD/CAD bears will be eyeing a meaningful downside flush with the pair breaking and closing beneath the 200-day moving average on Thursday, hitting fresh year-to-date lows in the process.
The price now finds itself below 1.3947, the high set in August last year. The break may encourage others to join the bearish move, generating a setup where shorts could be established with a stop placed above the level for protection.
1.38115 screens as an initial target, with other minor levels such as 1.3748, 1.3700 and 1.3647 also in play. Momentum indicators favour retaining a bearish bias, with RSI (14) trending strongly lower but not yet oversold. MACD further bolsters the bearish signal.
If the price were to reverse back above the 200DMA, the overall bearish bias would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
U.S. Steel (X) Shares Drop 10% Following Presidential CommentsUnited States Steel Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:X ) shares dropped sharply after remarks from former President Donald Trump. He opposed the company's potential sale to Japan's Nippon Steel. Trump said he admired Japan but opposed the sale of an iconic American steel company.
He described U.S. Steel as “a very special company” and tied it to national interests. His statement caused a wave of uncertainty in the market. The stock dropped 15% shortly after the news. During extended trading, it fell as much as 16%.
As of 11:41 AM EDT, the stock trades at $42.03, down $3.11 (6.89%), as trading volume hits 19.7 million shares. Investors are concerned about the deal's future. U.S. Steel is central to U.S. economic and industrial discussions.
The takeover deal has raised questions about manufacturing and national security. The company is expected to report earnings between April 30 and May 5, 2025.
Technical Analysis
The 3-day chart shows a long-term uptrend. Price respects an ascending trendline starting at$16 in June 2022. Support lies above the 200-day moving average at $34.44. The 50-day and 100-day moving averages sit at $37.51 and $38.76, respectively.
The stock recently broke above $45 but pulled back after Trump's comments. Resistance lies at $50.20 and a breakout above this level could lead to further gains. The 3-day RSI sits at 55.89, suggesting neutral momentum that has room for the price to cover without reading an overbought reading.
However, a sharp drop could push it lower. Volume surged on the sell-off, confirming a strong market reaction. Adding to the bullish momentum is a complete head and shoulder pattern that signals potential recovery.
The short-term outlook depends on deal clarity and upcoming earnings. However, the trend remains intact above $34, and a move below could signal further downside.
Nickel Commodity Quote Settings | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Nickel Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* ((Triangle Structure)) | Completed Survey
* 012345 Wave Feature & Ongoing Wave (3)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 17.100 USD
* Entry At 14.600 USD
* Take Profit At 10.900 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
This 3 Step System Say Gold Is A Good BuyWhen you look at this chart you will notice that
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$BTC Not Out Of The Weeds Yet - Must Break $84kIf CRYPTOCAP:BTC can break back above ~$84k then we could continue to follow my OG setup (yellow) and rip,
but since PA dumped slightly below the 50WMA it technically invalidated my inverse h & s idea.
A rejection of $84k would dump us back to ~$78k to form the right shoulder (red) and complete the setup.
nonetheless, i believe we've seen the bottom 👋
I'm coloring outside the lines today - Long at 1.64In times of duress (and we can all agree this qualifies, I think), go back to a classic - the 200d MA. Not many stocks these days are trading above their 200d MA. Fewer still are in a business that is a built in hedge for inflation. I think these tariffs will be even more inflationary than they are recessionary and gold itself isn't quite a buy, so it's this small miner I'm trading today. I don't intend to hold it very long, but it's always nice to have a reason besides technicals in your back pocket in a trading environment like this one. There is some support nearby and the 200d MA as well.
As an added bonus, low priced stocks tend to generate outsized moves. I don't know about your portfolio, but after today, mine could use an outsized move in the upward direction. 5 down days in a row improves the odds as well. Now for the juicy part.
This is a new method I've been working on for the past few months and it has done PRETTY well in all environments, at least relative to buy and hold. It isn't foolproof and if a stock goes straight down it can be a way to amass a handful of garbage (see 10/25 - 12/5 on the chart).
Overall, though, it does extremely well, as you can see from the yellow arrows on the chart, representing past trade setups with this stock.
28 trades: 27 wins, 1 open - the most recent one.
-Average gain = +6.01%
-Average hold period = 10.3 trading days
-Average gain/lot/day held = +0.58% (roughly 13x the average long term daily return of the S&P)
Depending on the market conditions and what the stock does, I MAY do a FPC close, I may not. I will add as necessary, but hopefully this will be a one and done trade.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
USDCHF and back down to the zone around 0.84000USDCHF continues its bearish trend since mid-January and all indications are that we will see a return back down to the zone around 0.84000. The pair failed to break above the EMA 200 weekly moving average, which further increased the pressure on the dollar.
$DOG broke down major support levels After a double bottom DOG broke down the major support level of $0.002 hitting an ATL of $0.001
DOG is heavily being manipulated by the same wallets on Magic Eden (CEX) that keep selling.
RSI shows signs of DOG being heavily oversold.
If DOG loses $0.001 we could go all the way down to $0.005 and nobody knows where the bottom is. I will place buy orders between $0.008 and $0.005.
Fundamentals on DOG are still strong:
- Largest memecoin on Bitcoin
- DOG did 8 billion volume in a year without T1 listings
- No T1 listings
- Project total domination (expansion to multiple blockchains)
- Various projects are being build to improve Bitcoin memecoins trading (backed by draper / coinbase ventures)
- Bitcoin defi still a very young ecosystem
- If we compare DOG to memecoins on SOL and ETH, it should be valued at least between 1 and 3 billion market cap.
Macroeconomics look bad for the short term so it offers a lot of opportunity to wait in stables and accumulate DOG for a bargain.
Nio Limited Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Nio Limited Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (EMA Settings)) | Completed Survey
* (Reversal Argument)) At 8.00 USD | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* ABC Wave Feature | Short Set Up | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 3.50 USD
* Entry At 3.00 USD
* Take Profit At 2.50 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
Oil Futures Moving into Bear Market?Oil futures recently broke down from a long-term wedge, following a failed breakout at the start of the year, and a recent death cross of its 50/200 weekly EMAs and MAs.
It looks to flip long-term bearish here unless we see a rapid recovery of the wedge, the EMAS/MAs and a subsequent breakout.
It could lose half its value or even 2/3rds if it hits TP 1 and then TP 2 over the next weeks and months to come.
Is DOGE About to Crash Hard From This Trap Zone? Read Before LONYello Paradisers — could this be the perfect bull trap setting up before a bigger drop? Our previous analyses warned about these kinds of setups, and once again, DOGEUSDT is flashing multiple signals that suggest a high-probability reversal could be just around the corner.
💎Currently, DOGEUSDT is trading right inside the golden Fibonacci retracement zone, a level that often acts as a powerful area of rejection. What makes this zone even more significant is the confluence of additional bearish indicators aligning at the same point. Both the 100 and 200 EMAs are present, reinforcing dynamic resistance, and there are clear Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) visible on both the 4H and Daily timeframes. On top of that, a bearish divergence has now formed, signaling early exhaustion in bullish momentum and further reinforcing the potential for a downside move.
💎When these elements align, the probability of a rejection increases substantially. However, we’re not jumping in blindly. If DOGEUSDT starts to bounce from here and shows weakness—such as stalling below resistance—then we’ll be closely watching for confirmation patterns like a double top or a head and shoulders. These would not only validate the bearish narrative but also offer significantly better risk-to-reward ratios for short setups.
💎That said, every setup has its invalidation. If price breaks and closes candle above our invalidation level, then the entire bearish scenario must be considered void. In that case, the best approach would be to stand aside and wait for a cleaner structure to form before taking any action. There’s no reason to force a position in uncertain conditions.
If you want to be consistently profitable, you need to be extremely patient and always wait only for the best, highest probability trading opportunities.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Gold is Bullish, Target 3030-3060At the market open today, we signaled a buy opportunity near the 2980 level for gold. Since then, the price has surged over $30, and those who followed the strategy have already secured solid profits.
Gold is now approaching a short-term resistance, so a minor pullback may occur. However, the overall uptrend for the day remains intact, and our strategy continues to favor buying on dips.
Based on the current chart pattern, there's potential for the price to rise toward the 3030–3060 zone later today.
Stay alert for retracement opportunities, manage your position size wisely, and trade with discipline.
If you missed this entry, don’t worry — the next opportunity is just around the corner!