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Moving Averages

BNB 15M Reversal PlayLook how the market reversed and the day's sentiment shifted. 📉📈 You can see this in the charts, of course, but I now track sentiment with numbers. The scores "UP and DOWN" before the ">" reflect the start of the day, while those after the ">" show the current sentiment. This shift means I’ll focus on searching for shorts instead of longs (for now)- which make this day a potential ''reversal play'' for me. All intraday. But also, this is typical End OF Year chop, for example watch DOGE 15M trend, reversed 4 times which make this very bad to trade on for me with a 15M system. BNB Numbers, factual structure: - Structure: 1D: UP | 4H: UP | 1H: UP | 15M: DOWN > UP | - First 2H (15M): UP - 15M Sentiment: EMA's: UP > DOWN > UP | ATR: UP > DOWN > UP - Up score 4/7 > 7/7"
Long
by NickSeversG
2
Trading Plan: WTI Crude OilBased on my proprietary indicators, I maintain a bearish view on WTI Crude Oil. I am anticipating a downside target of ₹5800 (target open until 15th January 2025). Current Position: Holding short positions in MCX Crude Oil January 2025 expiry futures from ₹6025 levels. Intend to add more shorts if prices move to higher levels. Risk Management: Stop-loss and risk parameters are carefully planned but not disclosed here for strategic reasons. Position sizing is aligned with my overall risk appetite and trading capital. Disclaimer: This trading plan represents my personal views and trading decisions and is shared for informational purposes only. Trading in crude oil futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Readers should not consider this as financial advice and must conduct their own research or consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Past performance of proprietary indicators is not indicative of future results.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by IndexAce
Nifty analysis for intraday 31/12/2024.Nifty has been trading in a range for the last 7 trading sessions. Index is trading around the 20 EMA and giving sharp recovery on both sides. Today it has closed below the moving averages. If the market starts trading below the No trading zone, bearish entry can be created for next support levels. On the upper side the break out 23900 can clear the round number figure and test the Daily 20 EMA. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
Hidden Risk: How to Uncover and Control Before You Click 'Buy'As seasoned traders, we understand that risk management isn't just a beginner's concept; it's the bedrock of sustainable profitability. We've moved beyond the rudimentary rules and are fluent in position sizing and stop-loss orders. But in the dynamic landscape of TradingView, where opportunities arise and vanish in the blink of an eye, even intermediate traders can fall prey to impulsive decisions that erode our hard-earned capital. The solution? Systematizing our risk assessment with a pre-trade risk profile. It isn't about reinventing the wheel but refining our approach to ensure that every trade aligns with our overall strategy and risk tolerance. It gives us an edge by keeping us disciplined. The Pitfalls of Complacency It's easy to become complacent when we've got a few winning trades under our belt. We start to feel invincible precisely when we're most vulnerable. We might skip steps, loosen our stop-losses, or increase our position sizes beyond our predefined limits. We are often driven by emotions rather than logic, and it's a slippery slope. Remember, even a well-defined risk management plan is useless if it's not consistently applied. Each trade carries unique risks influenced by factors beyond our standard calculations. Creating a Pre-Trade Risk Profile: A Refresher Before hitting that buy or sell button, click on TradingView to create a simple risk profile for the specific trade. Ask yourself a series of critical questions: 1. The Asset's Volatility: What's the current Average True Range (ATR)? How does it compare to the asset's historical ATR? Higher volatility demands wider stop-losses and potentially smaller position sizes. Are there any upcoming news events or economic releases that could impact volatility? Factor these in, as they can significantly alter the risk landscape. Be aware of, for instance, earning reports. 2. The Trade Setup: What's your entry point, and why? Is it based on an explicit technical signal, or are you chasing a move? Where's your stop-loss, and what is your rationale behind it? Is it placed below a key support level or based on a multiple of the ATR? What's your target price, and is it realistically achievable given the current market conditions? Avoid setting overly ambitious targets that expose you to unnecessary risk. 3. The Correlation Factor: How does this asset correlate with other positions in your portfolio? Are you inadvertently increasing your exposure to a specific sector or market trend? Could a single event trigger losses across multiple positions? Diversification is key, but it requires careful consideration of correlations. 4. The Time Factor: What's your intended holding period for this trade? The longer the timeframe, the greater the potential for unforeseen events to impact your position. Does your stop-loss need to be adjusted based on the timeframe? A wider stop-loss than a day trade might be necessary for a swing trade. 5. The "Gut Check": Are you comfortable with the potential loss on this trade? If the answer is no, it's a red flag. Either reduce your position size or reconsider the trade altogether. Are you trading based on a well-defined plan, or are emotions driving your decision? Be honest with yourself. From Profile to Action: Implementing Your Assessment Once you've answered these questions, you have a clearer picture of the trade's risk profile. Use this information to: Fine-tune your position size: Ensure it aligns with your pre-determined risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of your capital). Set your stop-loss: Place it strategically based on the asset's volatility and your chosen support/resistance levels. Determine your risk/reward ratio: Is the potential profit worth your risk? Aim for at least a 1:2 or 1:3 risk/reward ratio. Bonus Tip: Develop Your Risk Score System Consider creating a simple risk score system to streamline your risk assessment further. Assign points to different risk factors based on their potential impact. For example, here is the Trade Impact Estimator (T.I.E): Volatility: Low Volatility (Below Average ATR): +1 point Average Volatility (Within Average ATR): 0 points High Volatility (Above Average ATR): -1 point News Events: Major News Event Scheduled: -2 points Minor News Event: -1 point No News Event: +1 Point Correlation: High Correlation with Existing Positions: -1 point Low Correlation: +1 point Timeframe: Day Trade: +1 point Swing Trade: 0 points Long-Term Trade: -1 point Trade setup: Good Risk/reward ratio: +1 point Neutral Risk/Reward ratio: 0 points Bad Risk/Reward ratio: -2 points Set Thresholds: Total Score of +3 or higher: Potentially a lower-risk trade, consider proceeding as planned. Total Score between 0 and +2: Proceed cautiously; consider reducing position size. Total Score of -1 or lower: Re-evaluate the trade, widen your stop-loss, significantly reduce position size, or avoid the trade altogether. Disclaimer: This is a simplified example. You can customize your risk score system to include additional factors and adjust the point values based on your own trading style and risk tolerance. You can also assign more points to factors that have historically impacted your trading results. It's crucial to backtest and refine your system over time. The Takeaway Mastering risk management is a continuous journey. By incorporating a pre-trade risk profile into our routine, we elevate our trading from reactive to proactive. We transform ourselves from gamblers to calculated risk-takers. On TradingView, where information flows ceaselessly, this disciplined approach is not just an advantage; it's a necessity. So, refine your process, stay vigilant, and make your trades profitable.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by hydtie
Purely TechnicalOn the close of last week Friday, nasdaq found support at 21,300-21,280… A closer examination of the 15-30min timeframe chart shows a *double bottom* chart pattern formation… Going into Monday, we’re looking of price to slightly pullback to the support zone at for buy entry. Price will be retracing to for profit taking . If price does consolidate at this lvl sell positions can be entered for further continuation of the pending fall to 50 day moving average 200 day moving average
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by ronyneverlies
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think
NSE:GOKULAGRO
by AnsariTV
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. 50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 30 days SMA if price close below 30 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks. Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
NSE:FSL
by AnsariTV
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think
NSE:CHOICEIN
by AnsariTV
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think
NSE:FORTIS
by AnsariTV
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think Steel in Uptrend be in Stock
NSE:SHARDACROP
by AnsariTV
Plain&SimpleDax40 has formed a curvature which price has failed to penetrate to the upside. This has led price to fall under and face rejection by the 50 day moving average. Traders that are conditioned to chart pattern recognition will quickly notice that price structure has formed a textbook *inverted cup&handle*… And as we can all see, the 50 day moving average is looking to cross downward over the 200 day moving average. Experienced traders are aware what this phenomenon means….. Based of previous held support and retracement, price is likely to hold major support for the pending falling at 19100-19080…. 50ma{blue} 200ma{red} comment, questions &concerns…
FPMARKETS:GER40Short
by ronyneverlies
1
Dow to drop into bear market but first bounce at 36k H&S patternBearish case Dow to drop 20% from ATH to be into a bear market 20% from ATH = weekly 200 EMA so banks will try and hold the price at 36k I think it bounces here and then eventually fails and we get a big equity bear market We have two H&S patterns that together take us below 36k if their targets are met be a nice trade if it bounces at 36k off the 200 EMA to get in and out and add to short again without being slapped in the face. At which max bounce point off the (36k) look for the rest of the equities to go short on of stocks that have broken their key levels of support. Or look for dow stocks that are leading the way down because they already broke their weekly 200 EMA and are the weaker members of the pack.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by William_Playfair
BTC pullback before inauguration?Merryy Christmas guys and upcoming New Year! Seems like we gonna meet New Year w BTC lower than100k... Looks a bit scary, but here is in short what we have: 1) Daily MA cross. Which is bearish sign 2) Divergence between raising BTC channel and volumes 3) If the price will follow the red line move, it will form double top pattern 🥲 My expectations: I think we could correct to Fib zone around 0,236 (87k zone) and after we should check. But anyway seems like correction should happen before to continue growing and this we most likely gonna see after inauguration. What you think guys? Help me dispel this scary picture 😅
Short
by SheTradesHub
$ETHBTC - Bottom is in.As I posted earlier in the week, I think BITSTAMP:ETHUSD is primed to run in the near term, here's the original post: Building on top of that, we have more indication that ETHBTC may have found some bullish support, on the shorter time frames over the past few days you can see a clear double-bottom where I highlighted the yellow semi-circle. ETHBTC has even made a higher high now as of today, as BTC has tested support near 94k USD. If ETHUSD rallies as we expect, it makes sense that through Jan-Feb BTC.D will see a steep correction along with this. This is not to say that I am bearish BTC- I don't think BTCUSD is done, but I do think there are better RR trades emerging in the market soon. WDYT?
Long
by httpz