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Moving Averages

XAUUSD: Short gold again to expand profits.The real-time plan of 2892 was announced in the analysis circle. The gold price fell to a low of 2833 with my instructions.The decline was more than 60 points. Although I didn’t get all the points, I gained at least 50 points. Last week’s gold price trend has become a foregone conclusion. Whether this week’s trading will be improved depends on whether you can accurately follow the real-time trading opportunities. The winning rate of trading XAUUSD last week exceeded 96.36. If you are in the analysis circle, you can check it very intuitively. The current gold price is quoted at 2863. From the news perspective, there is no major news to boost the gold price. So the overall trend is still mainly short selling. XAUUSD jumped slightly in the Asian market, but after falling back, it has been oscillating, which is enough to show that the bullish momentum is not strong. So you need to pay attention to the following in trading: short selling is the current theme, and the risk of going long is very high. This is a very critical point. First pay attention to whether the position of 2940 can stabilize, and then consider whether to buy long orders in the short term. If you always lose money in trading, remember to continue to pay attention to the real-time trading opportunities in the analysis circle. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message at any time.
MARKETSCOM:GOLDShort
by Confident_Step
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
1
Follow me to short gold and earn your first pot of gold this weeThis week, Trump's latest tariff speech overshadowed the impact of signs of economic slowdown, boosted the US dollar, and caused gold prices to continue to fall. If tariff measures trigger a full-scale trade war, the global economy may fall into recession, and gold as a safe-haven asset will also be supported in the long term. Today, Monday, gold rebounded to a high of around 2877 at the opening, and then fell to 2865 and fluctuated. Over the weekend, we gave an analysis strategy for today's opening. Over the weekend, we analyzed that the upper short-term suppression was around 2880. If you followed my trading strategy, you would short gold around 2875-2877. I believe you have now made more than 100pips in profit. Congratulations on successfully getting your first pot of gold in this week's transaction! Regarding the next trading rhythm, short-term suppression at the top will focus on the area around 2880. If gold does not break through 2880, then we will still focus on shorting gold. Finally, whether you are a novice entry-level trader, or you want to maintain a stable trading win rate to obtain more generous returns, or you want to create a valuable and free life through trading, or you are now deeply troubled by losses, you can find what you need at the bottom of the article, and I wish all of us all the best in trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldKing_Allen
$BTC Critical Support Retest at 50WMA - Must Read!50WMA is a CRITICAL SUPPORT to watch for ₿itcoin. Historically, if CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes below it for more than one week, it signals the beginning of the BEAR MARKET. We’ve only seen BTC close beneath the 50WMA once in its history during a Post-Halving year, and that was in 2021, but then rallied to a new ATH. People often ask me what would invalidate my bull market thesis; this is one of them. I’ll be watching this support very closely, and if BTC closes below it for more than 2 weeks, i’m probably selling a good portion of my stack until we get more clarity in the market. However, this could very well have been the bottom of this correction. BTC is known to have a big Q1 drawdown in Post-Halving years. 2013 was a massive -82% correction over a week. 2017 gave us two. January -34% over 7 days. March -33% over 14 days. January 2021 gave us -31% over 14 days. The current correction we’ve seen with BTC has been the longest over 35 days with -28%. $75k would be a -31% correction, which would line up perfectly with the previous cycle. That’s the line in the sand for me. If we did see the bottom with this 28% correction, that would line up with the diminishing return theory.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
4
XAUUSD: Sell in advance and wait for a huge drop.On the eve of the opening of the New York market. The gold price has been fluctuating in a narrow range around 2983-2892. Combined with the current bearish sentiment, it is observed that the gold price will soon see a large decline after the opening of the New York market. In terms of operation, it is still sold in the range of 2898-2892 tp2875 sl2905 With the successful completion of the previous short order. Whether this order can successfully achieve the goal, we will wait and see. If you don’t know how to trade, you can follow. If you want to pay attention to subsequent analysis and real-time trading opportunities. Remember to check the precise guidance in the analysis circle. MCX:GOLD1! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:USOIL COINBASE:BTCUSD
MARKETSCOM:GOLDShort
by Confident_Step
GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:** This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**. #### **Key Observations:** 1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:** - The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points. - Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation. 2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):** - The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory. - This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely. 3. **Price Projection:** - The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones. - If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**. 4. **Possible Trading Strategy:** - **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity. - **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside. ### **Conclusion:** Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment. #### **Key Levels to Watch:** - **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780 - **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880 📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
How I Secured 100+ Pips on NZDUSD Sell This WeekHey Rich Friends, Happy Friday. Today, I will dive deep into the NZDUSD sell I took this week. Fortunately, my analysis was correct, and with patience, I was able to secure 100+ pips. Here is what I did: First, I used session breaks on the 1HR time frame to help me identify the previous days' high and low. This is important because based on how the market reacts in these areas, it will help me determine what to do. For example: - rejection at PDH = SELL, break out above PDH = BUY - support at PDL = BUY, break out below PDL = SELL In this case, there was a break below the PDL which was my first indicator to go short. Next, I used horizontal lines to mark additional lows for potential TPs since I was selling and I used a previous high for my SL. The only indicator that I used was the stochastic. You can find a very detailed breakdown of how I use the Stochastic in my previous Editors' Pick video here: www.tradingview.com I hope this was helpful. If you made it this far, comment a "7" and let me know what you've learned. Peace and Profits, Cha
Short
by MoneyMantraCha
4
S&P 500 Drops Below 100-Day Moving Average The S&P 500 has broken below its 100-day simple moving average (SMA), a key technical level that many traders and institutions use to gauge trend strength. Historically, when the price falls below this moving average, it often signals a potential shift in market sentiment. What This Means: 🔹 Potential Trend Reversal? If the index fails to recover above this level, we could see increased selling pressure, leading to further downside. 🔹 Bearish Confirmation: A sustained close below this moving average might attract more short sellers, reinforcing a downward move. 🔹 Buying Opportunity? If buyers step in and reclaim the 100-day SMA, this could be a temporary dip before resuming the uptrend. Are we looking at the start of a deeper correction or just a pullback before new highs? Let’s see how the market reacts! #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #TradingStrategy
VANTAGE:SP500
by SmartSignalss
Bear Flag in Adobe?Adobe trended lower most of 2024, and now some traders may expect another push to the downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher lows since mid-January. The software company recently slid below that line, which may be viewed as a bear flag breakdown. Second, bearish gaps after the last two earnings reports could reflect weak sentiment. Third, ADBE has been unable to get above its falling 50-day simple moving average (SMA). That may indicate a negative intermediate-term trend. Also notice how the 50-day SMA is under the 100-day SMA and both are below the 200-day SMA. That configuration, with faster SMAs below slower ones, may indicate a negative long-term trend. Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) just crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD is falling as well. Those patterns may be consistent with bearishness in the short term. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:ADBE
by TradeStation