Moving Averages
EURUSD and return above EMA50EURUSD has stabilized on the bullish side after returning above the EMA 50 moving average. This brought the pair back above 1.04000, and we are closer to the resistance zone at around 1.04500. If we see a break above, we could move back above 1.05500. Failure of EURUSD to hold above 1.04500 will trigger another pullback down towards the EMA 50.
what is the most effective indicator?There isn’t a single "most effective" trading indicator that works for everyone, as effectiveness depends on your trading style, strategy, and the market conditions. However, some indicators are considered more versatile or reliable when used correctly. Here's a breakdown to help you choose:
Most Effective for Trends:
Moving Averages (EMA or SMA):
Simple and effective for identifying trends.
Works well in trending markets but less reliable in sideways or choppy markets.
Pro Tip: Combine short-term and long-term moving averages for crossovers.
Ichimoku Cloud:
A comprehensive indicator that provides trend direction, support/resistance, and momentum.
Effective but requires practice to interpret correctly.
Most Effective for Overbought/Oversold Levels:
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
One of the most popular and effective indicators for spotting overbought or oversold conditions.
Works well in both trending and range-bound markets when combined with other tools.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Similar to RSI but includes %K and %D lines for crossovers.
Effective for momentum confirmation.
Most Effective for Volatility:
Bollinger Bands:
Great for identifying periods of high or low volatility and potential breakout zones.
Useful for sideways (range-bound) markets and trend reversals.
Average True Range (ATR):
Excellent for setting stop-loss levels and identifying market volatility trends.
Works well in conjunction with trend indicators.
Most Effective for Momentum:
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
Ideal for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts.
Effective when used with a confirmation indicator like RSI.
Parabolic SAR:
Simple for identifying trend direction and potential exit points.
Works best in trending markets.
Combination for Higher Effectiveness:
Trend + Momentum: Combine EMA with MACD to identify trends and entry/exit points.
Overbought/Oversold + Volume: Use RSI with Volume Indicators (e.g., OBV) to confirm breakouts or reversals.
Volatility + Trend: Use Bollinger Bands with Ichimoku Cloud to spot breakout opportunities with clear trend guidance.
#GODFRYPHLP Price Action Update ---TheBarBellTrader📊 Price Action Update: GODFRYPHLP
TheBarBellTrader
🔍 Stock Analysis
Price from ATH: The stock is trending down from its All-Time High (ATH).
Key Observations:
Oct 22 & 23, 2024: Second Demand Zone (DZ) was broken, confirming a daily downtrend.
Post-October: WSZ action at the 125-minute time frame—a Lower Time Frame (LTF) zone worked, further pushing the price down.
November 11, 2024: The price fell sharply, losing -10%.
January 13, 2025: All Daily Supply Zones (DSZ) have worked; no Weekly Demand Zones (WDZ) were broken until the last trading session (LTS).
January 23, 2025: Price entered the August 12, 2024 WDZ and simultaneously re-entered a Monthly Demand Zone (MDZ). Interestingly, the WDZ coincides with the MDZ distal line, creating a confluence zone for potential reversal.
📈 Trade Plan
Long Entry Points:1️⃣ ₹4063–₹40652️⃣ ₹3985–₹3990
Average Entry Price: ₹4025–₹4030
Stop Loss: ₹3865–₹3869
Total SL: ₹150–₹165
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: ₹5100
🎯 Target 2: ₹5190–₹5200
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 6:1
🚀 Strategy Insights:This trade setup shows a high potential for upside with a disciplined reward-to-risk ratio. Utilize precision entries and maintain strict risk management for optimal outcomes.
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always conduct thorough research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
Anticipating $ESH2025 to drop below 6070 by February 7All the usual disclaimers:
1. I am not registered with FINRA. I am not a financial advisor.
2. Prior performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
3.This post is not and is not intended as financial advice. Instead, this post shares speculation upon hypothetical possible future outcomes.
4. This post uses purely doodling and technical analysis. It is not based to any extent upon education from news sources, information releases from underlying firms, nor upon microeconomic nor macroeconomic principles.
A. The purple rectangle captures the recent downturn movement between December 5-January 14.
B. The green rectangle is a clone of that, based at the golden cross on January 14.
C. The orange rectangle is sized at 100 point range for 1 CME day, centered on last closing price.
D. The rectangle is sized at the 155 point range of December 18, 2024 for 1 CME day, centered on last closing price, starting from the opening bell.
E. Some downturn indicators arrowed to for discussion reference.
CME_MINI:ESH2025 is in the local zone of contention, which has been magnetic since Thanksgiving. It appears that it is more likely than not that CME_MINI:ESH2025 will remain within the local zone of contention for at least the next few days, returning repeatedly to 6130-6135. But, CME_MINI:ESH2025 is also far away from the 90 minute time frame's MA200 trendline, and since November CME_MINI:ESH2025 has dropped below that trendline four times. From that, I anticipate MA200 CME_MINI:ESH2025 to drop below 6070 by February 7.
Both downturn and upturn trends on the 90 minute time frame commonly have durations of either around 1-2 CME days. On the 90 minute time frame, a few downturn indicator dots accumulated at the end of the CME day on Friday, January 24. It's likely that the downturn trend will continue until at least pre-opening bell on Monday, January 27.
The range should be within 50 points, to an anticipated floor of 6080. For comparison, the total range was 85 points on Monday, January 20. If the downturn range extends to that of December 18, the anticipated floor is 6005.
If range turns bullish, the anticipated ceiling is 6185, with an outside ceiling at 6250.
PI looks like it may continue to fall until August 2025All the usual disclaimers:
1. I am not registered with FINRA. I am not a financial advisor.
2. Prior performance is not a guarantee of future performance.
3. This post is not and is not intended as financial advice. Instead, this post shares speculation upon hypothetical possible future outcomes.
4. This post uses purely doodling and technical analysis. It is not based to any extent upon education from news sources, information releases from the underlying firm, nor upon microeconomic nor macroeconomic principles.
Copying-and-pasting rectangles that capture downturns in one-month timeframe, NASDAQ:PI looks like it may continue to fall until August -- a month or two after it falls below monthly MA50 (4 years ave).
How To Trade META Using this 3 Step systemMeta should be on your watchlist
because during this bear
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capitalise
Meta NASDAQ:META is the opportunity
to capitalise Because:
The price is above the 50 ema,
the price is above the 200 ema
and finally, the price has gapped up
or is in a rally upwards
This is what I call the
rocket booster strategy
This is the 3 step system
you want to learn about
If you want to learn more about
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Disclaimer: Trading is risky, please learn
risk management and
profit-taking strategies.Also
feel free to use a simulation trading account
Will CVCUSDT Rebound or Continue to Decline?Can the Bulls Revive Momentum, or Will the Bears Rule?
With the current price of $0.14603, CVCUSDT has deviated nearly -54% from its all-time high of $0.31737, set back in March 2024. The market has been hovering in a zone of indecision, with its RSI at 52.7, signaling a neutral stance—neither overbought nor oversold.
Recent patterns, such as the "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st," suggest potential upside, supported by the MA50 of $0.14429 acting as dynamic support. However, resistance looms at $0.15543, testing the resolve of buyers. Meanwhile, macroeconomic headwinds and a cooling momentum in MFI at 45.57 underscore a challenging road ahead.
The question remains: Will the bulls manage to overcome resistance, or is this the setup for a further leg downward?
In this pivotal moment, traders must assess whether the recent upward flickers signal a recovery or merely a pause in the ongoing decline. Stay tuned for further insights!
Let me know if you'd like me to expand or adjust the tone.
Roadmap of Recent Patterns: CVCUSDT’s Price Movements Decoded
This roadmap dives deep into the chain of verified patterns shaping CVCUSDT’s recent price movements. Only the patterns with confirmed trigger points and validated main directions are included, ensuring we focus on actionable insights for traders.
January 23, 21:00 UTC – Buy Volumes Takeover (Sell Direction)
At this point, the price closed at $0.14092, signaling a potential sell-off. The next pattern confirmed this direction as the subsequent bars pushed the price down further, reaffirming the sell bias.
January 24, 04:00 UTC – Increased Buy Volumes (Buy Direction)
Here, the market showed a rebound with a close at $0.14366, above the key low of $0.14080. This directional shift was validated by the subsequent upward momentum, demonstrating the effectiveness of this buy setup.
January 24, 06:00 UTC – VSA Sell Pattern 2 (Sell Direction)
Price action confirmed this sell direction as the next few bars pushed the price downward, with a close at $0.14566, validating the pattern’s prediction. The previous buy trigger point around $0.14366 acted as temporary resistance.
January 24, 13:00 UTC – VSA Sell Pattern 4 (Sell Direction)
This was a textbook example of follow-through. The price closed lower at $0.14765, maintaining the bearish momentum. Trigger zones from earlier patterns remained untested as the market adhered to the bearish outlook.
January 25, 00:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (Buy Direction)
Closing at $0.14281, this pattern marked a shift to bullish momentum. The price moved upward in the next sessions, confirming the buy direction and establishing support around the $0.14268 zone.
January 25, 12:00 UTC – Current Status
The most recent patterns suggest a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, with $0.15543 resistance as the critical level to watch. Future confirmation of buy or sell zones will depend on whether the market respects the established supports and resistances.
This sequence highlights a dynamic interplay between bullish and bearish setups, with actionable confirmation points aligning with broader market movements. Traders should remain vigilant, especially around the resistance zones, to capitalize on potential breakout opportunities.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels in Focus
In this section, we break down the major support and resistance levels currently shaping CVCUSDT. These levels are not just markers—they’re the battlegrounds where buyers and sellers duke it out. If these levels don’t hold, they will flip roles and become strong resistance zones to watch for potential pullbacks.
Support Levels
0.14009 – A critical level where buyers have stepped in before. If it doesn’t hold, expect it to act as resistance on the next push upward.
0.13301 – The last line of defense before the bears take full control.
Resistance Levels
0.15543 – First big hurdle for the bulls. A clean break here could open the door to higher highs.
0.16423 – Momentum needs to stay strong to clear this zone.
0.17641 – A key level that could act as a magnet if momentum continues.
0.18664 – Breaking this will be a significant milestone for bulls, confirming mid-term strength.
0.18997 – The final major resistance before potential new highs. Watch for exhaustion here.
Powerful Support Levels
Currently absent—suggesting the market may lack the deep buyer conviction needed for a solid base.
Powerful Resistance Levels
0.11096 – A fortress of resistance; if tested and rejected, it could send the price spiraling downward.
0.08804 – A distant, but highly significant, ceiling that could come into play in a bear-dominated market.
These levels will define the next moves. Bulls need to lock and hold support levels, while bears are waiting for resistance to falter. Stay sharp—levels that break could flip roles and become the next hotspots for action.
Concept of Rays: A Precise Framework for CVCUSDT Trading Strategies
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept relies on Fibonacci-based principles to create dynamic levels that predict potential price movements. These rays adapt to new trends and corrective phases, offering a unique advantage in forecasting interaction zones. Combined with Moving Averages (MA) and VSA rays visible on the user’s chart, they provide actionable insights for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
How Rays Work in Practice
Fibonacci Rays : Built from the inception of a price movement, these rays define the potential movement boundaries and key zones of interaction.
Dynamic Support and Resistance : Moving Averages such as MA50 ($0.14429), MA100 ($0.14601), and MA200 ($0.15353) act as dynamic factors, confirming trend direction and interaction points with the rays.
Adaptive Levels : Rays adjust with new patterns, ensuring relevance even as trends evolve. Price movement from one ray to the next defines key trade targets.
Entry Points : Enter trades only after price interaction with a ray and confirmation of a move’s direction. This reduces noise and increases precision.
Trading Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario
In this scenario, bullish momentum dominates after price interacts with ascending rays and key Moving Averages.
Entry: On a breakout above $0.14601 (MA100).
First Target: $0.15543 (first ray-resistance interaction).
Second Target: $0.16423 (next ray level).
Third Target: $0.17641 (extension target).
Rationale: Ascending rays combined with bullish MA crossovers indicate strength, and the price is likely to travel from one ray to the next before pausing.
Pessimistic Scenario
If bearish factors take over, the price is expected to interact with descending rays, forming resistance and initiating a move downward.
Entry: On a breakdown below $0.14429 (MA50).
First Target: $0.14009 (first ray-support interaction).
Second Target: $0.13301 (deeper ray support).
Third Target: $0.11096 (extension to powerful ray resistance).
Rationale: Interaction with descending rays and Moving Averages confirms the bearish continuation, with prices likely moving systematically through descending ray levels.
Proposed Trades
Breakout Trade: Enter above $0.14601 with targets $0.15543, $0.16423, and $0.17641.
Comment: Watch for a strong bullish MA cross and ray interaction for confirmation.
Pullback Trade: Enter on rejection near $0.14429 with targets $0.14009 and $0.13301.
Comment: Ensure interaction with descending rays to validate bearish momentum.
Trend Continuation: Enter on sustained movement within ray boundaries, aiming for the next ray level in sequence.
Comment: Use VSA and price-volume signals for additional confirmation.
In both scenarios, patience and adherence to ray interactions are crucial. These dynamic zones act as guides, helping traders navigate from ray to ray with calculated precision.
Let’s Keep the Conversation Going!
Hey, traders! If you’ve got any questions or thoughts, drop them right in the comments—I’d love to hear from you. Whether it’s about this analysis or another asset you’d like to see marked up, I’m here to help. Your feedback and ideas keep the trading community sharp!
If you found this roadmap useful, don’t forget to hit that Boost button and save this post. Come back later to see how the price respects the levels and rays in the markup. This isn’t just a forecast; it’s an opportunity to learn how key zones define trading opportunities.
By the way, the rays and levels you see here are drawn automatically using my private indicator-strategy. If you’re interested in exploring it for your own trades, feel free to reach out via direct message—I’ll share the details on how it works.
Need analysis for a specific asset? I’ve got you covered. Let me know in the comments or DMs. Some ideas I can publish publicly for everyone to benefit, and if you prefer a personal breakdown, we can arrange that too. Rays work on any asset, and I can tailor them to your needs.
Make sure to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated. This is where I post all my articles, ideas, and insights to keep you ahead in the market. Let’s build better trades together!
50 SMA Rising - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
50 SMA Rising strategy. Suitable for Swing Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade for 2 to 4 weeks.
Target & Stop loss shown on Chart. Do not Forget to Exit if Stop loss Hit.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
50 SMA Rising- Positional TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser.
This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser.
Its 50 SMA Rising Strategy. Suitable for Positional Trading Initial Stop loss lowest of last 2 candles and keep trailing with 50 days SMA if price close below 50 SMA then Exit or be in the trade some time trade can go for several months.
Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market.
Trade What you see not what you Think
GBPUSD Weekly: Retracement or Just Playing Hard to Get?Halamakkkk, I thought I was going to have a nice 2-3 weeks break from looking at the chart! But clearly, the weekly chart is playing with me. The weekly chart really confused me because last week the market closed with a so-called "Inverted Hammer," meaning the seller momentum is still there to push it further downward. But at the same time, the market is also showing that it closed below the Bollinger Band, which means it's oversold! Think, think, think.
But but but buuuuttttt, the risk-reward for this to be a BUY is too good to ignore. So, on Monday I’ll set a pending order with Entry point on 1.21700, SL on 1.19411 and TP on 1.26000. The TP might change if it doesn't hit by end of Friday.
Entry 1.21700
SL 1.19411 (Weekly fibo 1.414)
TP 1.26000 (Weekly REE point)
Weekly chart
Silver May Be Attempting a BreakoutSilver has squeezed into a tight range recently, and some traders may expect a breakout.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since October. Prices have challenged this falling trendline for the last week while staying above December’s lows. Is the resistance fading?
Next, XAGUSD is trying to hold its rising 200-day simple moving average (SMA). That may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend.
Also note how the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMAs are close to each other. A similar convergence appeared in late March as prices began a rally.
They then climbed to their pandemic high around $30 and have remained there since. That may create additional potential for a breakout through long-term resistance.
Finally, MACD is rising.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Projected 2025 bitcoin cycle topTaking the 200 SMA on the weekly chart, intersecting with a horizontal line from the previous cycle's highest peak yeilds a near perfect projection of the following cycle's top. It does not project cycle top price, it only projects cycle top time.
2025 market to end in November 2025 with a 1-9 week error rate.
CAD/CHF - Long Trade Idea : Limit Order @ 0.631I have a strong Analysis for this Trade. Higher Time frames suggests a BOS.
We are currently in a pullback stage making a swing low that was protected by the strong Daily Low. In smaller Time frames Ive notice a CHoCH and seen a shift in the market assuming that smaller time frames are now making bullish movements to suit Higher Time frames.
For added confluences we have crossed lines on the EMA and seeming to respect above the 50EMA telling us short time price action is now Bullish
Im entering a Limit Order at the Oder Block on the most recent movement, I would like to see the Imbalance on that movement get filled before tapping into that Order Block which also happens to be at the 61.8% level being a strong OTE zone.
Good Luck to all the traders that decide to Follow
Hims & Hers - Cheap Health saftyNYSE:HIMS is a platform in the US that takes care of peoples health. They help with everything from skincare to mental or physical treatment. The app provides free licensed providers consultations. Which i think is a gamer breaker in the US, since the cost from going to the doctors is so high, after what i have heard.
The price has broken through two old tops, one in 2021 and one in 2024, and now those tops are used as a bottom. Plus the RSI is turning just a little lower then the SMA. This indicates a bull run.
The Q3 earnings was doubled the expected, and since the price can go a lot over the indicators as seen in 2021 it could go on the rocket ship again
ConocoPhillips May Be Trending LowerConocoPhillips has made lower highs since last spring, and some traders may think the oil driller is poised for another move to the downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the October 31 low of $106. COP tried to hold that level in late November before sliding into the double digits. Prices rebounded to stall around the same location last week. Has old support become new resistance?
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in July. The 100-day SMA is in between. That kind of sequence, with faster SMAs below slower SMAs, may reflect a downtrend.
Third, stochastics have reached an overbought condition.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.