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Moving Averages

Failing VWAP RetestWe broke through our VWAP (pegged to 1/13/25) at the 102500 level today, retested once, we passed 101900, 101500, now retesting 101500 which is where the VWAP is for some BTC perpetuals. For them it is support as currently their price sits above this band, but as you can see here on the spot chart it is resistance for spot BTC. The high volume/compression candles colored purple and yellow-green show there is more leniency toward the downside. There is a demand zone the price could possibly rebound starting around 100500.
Short
by sadture
Cycle similarity according to Pi-Cycle Top Risk/DeflectionAligning the bottoms of the Pi-Cycle Top Risk (PCTR)/Deflection (PCTD) indicator shows that this cycle has shown more similar behavior to the 2016-2017 cycle than the 2020-2021 cycle. So far we have had two major waves of the PCTR/PCTD, just as in the 2016-2017 cycle. The 2020-2021 cycle only had one. The third larger wave in the 2016-2017 cycle led to the blow-off top. This is just one piece to the puzzle, but I think we are looking at a "smoother" cycle until the top (similar to 2016-2017), but I don't think we will get a blow-off top again in $BTC. I'm looking for more of a Wykoff distribution top like the first top in 2020-2021. --Da_Prof
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Da_Prof
3
WM Technology | MAPS | Long at $1.00WM Technology NASDAQ:MAPS provides ecommerce and compliance software solutions to retailers and brands in cannabis market in the United States and internationally. After it's de-SPAC in 2020, it soared to $29.50 and now can be found for around $1.00. It's been consolidating at these lows for almost two years, and it may be gaining algorithmic traction for a move soon based on my selected simple moving average (SMA). Often (but not always), when this SMA gets close to the price, there is a pop to the historical SMA. Currently, it is in a personal buy zone at $1.00. Target #1 = $1.50 Target #2 = $2.00
NASDAQ:MAPSLong
by WorthlessViews
Purple Innovation | PRPL | Long at $0.93Purple Innovation / Mattress NASDAQ:PRPL is facing a Nasdaq delisting if it can't stay above $1 by early 2025. However, a positive move up (from a technical analysis perspective) may be brewing. My historical simple moving average lines are approaching the price, which more often than not means a future price jump. But the question is, will it occur before the scheduled delisting? Google Trends shows the largest spike in the search for "Purple Mattress" occurred between June to December 2024. The CEO of NASDAQ:PRPL bought $203k worth of shares around this initial spike. The company is not expected to be profitable for some time, but I am more interested in the short-term move here vs the strength of the company, long-term. So, while this is a "risky" play, especially with the approaching Nasdaq delisting, it's interesting from a technical analysis end. At $0.93, NASDAQ:PRPL is in a personal buy zone through January 2025. Target #1 = $1.14 Target #2 = $1.30 Target #3 = $1.50 Target #4 = $1.63
NASDAQ:PRPLLong
by WorthlessViews
Liberty Latin America | LILA | Long at $6.37Liberty Latin America NASDAQ:LILA is a leading telecommunications company operating in over 20 countries across Latin America and the Caribbean under the consumer brands Flow, Liberty Communications, Más Móvil, BTC and Liberty Costa Rica. Insiders have been loading up shares after the recent drop post earnings, which got my attention. The company is expected to be profitable starting in 2025, but its stock has taken a tremendous hit over the past few years. On paper, the future looks bright for this large telecommunications company and it is trading at good value compared to peers and industry. From a technical analysis perspective, my selected historical simple moving average lines are connecting with the price (which often means a future breakout). The recent dip, based on the financials and insider buying, may be a hidden opportunity for a future run up and the stock consolidates. However, as always, stay cautious. Thus, at $6.37, NASDAQ:LILA is in a personal buy zone. Target #1 = $7.00 Target #2 = $8.00 Target #3 = $9.00 Target #4 = $10.00
NASDAQ:LILALong
by WorthlessViews
Lockheed Martin | LMT | Long at $472.00Lockheed Martin $NYSE:LMT. The war machine keeps turning... while there may some temporary "peace" with the new Trump administration, it is just never (unfortunately) permanent. The price has entered my historical simple moving average area. If there is a bounce, I expect it to be between the current price of $466.00 and $450.00. I've started a small position at $472.00 and will grab more shares if it hits $450. Now, if the aerospace and defensive industry goes through a downtrend with the new presidential administration, I expect the price to fill the daily price gap near the low $400s - which is only an even better bargain, in my opinion. Target #1 = $500.00 Target #2 = $535.00 Target #3 = $610.00
NYSE:LMTLong
by WorthlessViews
Semiconductor Index May Be Starting to MoveSemiconductors have outperformed by a wide margin since late 2023. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect the uptrend to continue. The first pattern on today’s chart of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is the series of higher lows and lower highs since the summer. Prices began the year escaping to the upside and are now approaching their October peak. Clearing that level could be viewed as a potential breakout. Second, the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages are essentially on top of each other after months of sideways movement. Could that convergence open the door to expansion? Speaking of sideways movement, Rate of Change (set to 21 bars) in the lower study illustrates how SOX has more or less stopped moving over the last month. Finally, the news flow may help chips after Broadcom (No. 2 in the index) and Taiwan Semiconductor (No. 3 in the index) rallied on strong earnings. Expectations could remain positive as industry leader Nvidia ramps Blackwell production. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:SOX
by TradeStation
SHOP Go Long! Will it break out this time?Recently SHOP has retraced and held the 50% Fib level and has been trading within a channel where it is about at the mid point of it. The King Trading Momentum Strategy yesterday issued a buy signal. This strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes. It has been forming a bull flag on the hourly and pre-market suggests this may be ready to break out. I followed the signal and bought a half position, looking to protect the trade at take-profit of 4%. During backtest this proved to be an optimum area and a stop-loss of 3% is warranted. SHOP and over 100 equities are built into this script. If trade protects at 4%, a trailing stop-loss of 2% will be adhered to in order to lock in as much profit as possible if this stock breaks out of the descending channel! I'm thinking its not too late for me to add to this position given typical morning volatility.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by KingTrading999
5
PHUN Long Trade Expecting Continuation PHUN is in the advertizing business specializing in targeting consumers with smart filterning of the ads tailored to their websurfing and data history. That said, it competes with Google, Facebook, Snapchat and all the rest. it is far more volatile than them as a small cap company. The trade is in capturing the volatility. On a 120-minute chart, PHU was in a state of dormancy and almost no range in late 2023 but awoke in the current year. The all-the-highs are in the 80 range back in 2022. From the highs of January to the recent low on March 1st, PHUN dropped more than 70% in 40 days or so. On the chart, it has broken out of deep undervalued territory and is not situated near the anchored mean VWAP and is at the POC line of the volume profile. It traded nearly 70 million shares about 20X the running average. I see this as an opportunity for a long trade at or near the VWAP where institutionally based traders are likely to trade. The volume and volatility make this obvious. A similar combination of volume and volatility last occurred about January 16 and propelled the price more than 250% in 4 days. While a similar move should not be expected, even 50% in 4 days is an excellent return for the risk taken. I will set a stop loss of 10% for this volatile stock while targeting 18 and 22 from the VWAP band lines on the chart.
NASDAQ:PHUNLong
by AwesomeAvani
13
"Look At The Gold Price...You Will Notice 3 Things"Honestly life is no fair.Sometimes you are trying to me something for yourself and you fail. Meanwhile you are feeling lonely because you are on this journey of capitalism alone. But there is hope if you don't give up. When you look at the price of gold TVC:GOLD You will notice 3 things: 👉The price is above the 50 EMA 👉The price is above the 200 EMA 👉The price has the #1 candlestick pattern What is The #1 Candlestick Pattern? Look close enough you will see 3 Green Candlesticks this pattern according To Steve Nissan's Book showing you candlestick patterns Is called the 3 white soldiers This candlestick pattern is a bullish pattern showing you a rally up This is what I called the rocket booster strategy. To learn more about it rocket boost This content. Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money. Also use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
TVC:GOLDLong
by lubosi
Running Out of Fuel - Retrace to Sub $20RKLB below the monthly EMA and RSI dipping below 50 is giving a big SELL signal after a massive runup in 2024 likely due to pressure from TNX and stop loss triggers. Why RocketLab skyrocketed in 2024: Rocket Lab's stock skyrocketed by over 360% in 2024, thanks to impressive achievements and solid growth. In Q3, they pulled in $104.8 million in revenue, beating expectations, though they still reported a small loss of $0.10 per share. Big wins like opening a new engine facility in California and landing a massive $515 million contract with the U.S. Space Force gave investors plenty to cheer about. Plus, they're expanding into new markets like carbon composite products and making progress on their reusable rocket, the Neutron. All this momentum has turned Rocket Lab into a rising star in the aerospace and defense world, with investors riding the wave of their success.
NASDAQ:RKLBShort
by Audacity618
8
Will Solana (SOL) Reach $1000? Positive Momentum Beyonds Memes Solana (SOL), known for its high transaction speeds and low fees, has experienced periods of significant growth and equally dramatic pullbacks. The question on many investors' minds is whether SOL can reach the ambitious target of $1000. While key technical indicators point to positive momentum, the network faces challenges that extend beyond the fleeting influence of meme hype. This article examines the factors influencing Solana's price trajectory, weighing its potential for significant growth against the hurdles it must overcome. Technical Indicators Paint a Bullish Picture (For Now) Currently, several technical indicators suggest positive momentum for SOL. The price consistently holding above both the 50 and 200-day moving averages is a bullish sign. These moving averages are widely used by traders to identify trends, with the 50-day MA representing short-term momentum and the 200-day MA indicating the long-term trend. When the price is above both, it suggests a healthy uptrend. Other technical indicators, such as Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), can provide further insights. If the RSI is trending upwards without reaching overbought levels (typically above 70), it suggests growing buying pressure. A bullish crossover on the MACD (where the MACD line crosses above the signal line) can also signal a potential price increase. However, relying solely on technical analysis can be misleading. While these indicators can identify trends, they don't account for fundamental factors like network performance, adoption, and competition. Beyond Meme Hype: Fundamental Strength and Adoption Solana's initial surge in popularity was partly fueled by meme coins and NFT projects built on its blockchain. While this generated significant interest and trading volume, it also created a perception of Solana being driven by hype rather than fundamental value. For SOL to reach $1000, it needs to demonstrate sustainable growth based on real-world adoption and utility. Several factors contribute to Solana's fundamental strength: • High Transaction Speed and Low Fees: Solana's architecture allows for significantly faster transaction processing and lower fees compared to networks like Ethereum. This makes it attractive for decentralized applications (dApps) requiring high throughput, such as decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms and NFT marketplaces. • Growing Ecosystem: Despite facing challenges, Solana's ecosystem continues to grow, with new projects and developers building on the network. This expansion is crucial for attracting users and driving demand for SOL. • Technological Advancements: Ongoing development and upgrades to the Solana network aim to improve its stability, scalability, and security. These advancements are essential for addressing past network outages and building trust among users. Challenges and Roadblocks Despite the positive momentum and fundamental strengths, Solana faces significant challenges: • Network Stability: Solana has experienced several network outages in the past, raising concerns about its reliability. Addressing these issues and ensuring network stability is crucial for attracting institutional investors and mainstream adoption. • Competition: Solana faces intense competition from other layer-1 blockchains like Ethereum, Cardano, and Avalanche. These networks are also developing and improving their technology, making it challenging for Solana to maintain its competitive edge. • Negative Perception: The past network outages and association with meme coin hype have created a negative perception of Solana in some parts of the crypto community. Overcoming this perception and building trust will be a key challenge. • Coinbase Withdrawal Delays: The recent criticism of Coinbase for delays in processing Solana withdrawals is a concerning development. Such issues can erode user confidence and negatively impact the network's reputation. While Coinbase has its own operational issues and this may not be solely a Solana problem, it still reflects poorly on the overall user experience. The $1000 Target: A Realistic or Distant Dream? Reaching $1000 would require a significant increase in Solana's market capitalization. This would necessitate widespread adoption of the network, sustained growth in its ecosystem, and overcoming the existing challenges. While the current technical indicators are positive, they are not a guarantee of future price appreciation. The success of Solana depends on its ability to: • Maintain Network Stability: Addressing network outages and ensuring consistent uptime is paramount. • Attract Developers and Users: Growing the ecosystem with innovative dApps and attracting a larger user base is crucial. • Overcome Negative Perception: Building trust and addressing concerns about network reliability is essential for mainstream adoption. • Compete Effectively: Staying ahead of the competition in the rapidly evolving blockchain landscape is vital. Conclusion Solana has the potential for significant growth, driven by its technological advantages and growing ecosystem. However, reaching the ambitious target of $1000 is a challenging task. While positive momentum is evident in current technical indicators, the network faces significant hurdles, including network stability issues, competition, and negative perception. Overcoming these challenges and demonstrating sustainable growth based on real-world utility will be crucial for Solana to achieve its full potential. The recent Coinbase withdrawal delays highlight the importance of smooth user experience and operational efficiency for any blockchain network aiming for mass adoption. Investors should carefully weigh these factors before making investment decisions.
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Downtrend in Devon Energy?Devon Energy has been sliding for more than two years, and now some traders may expect another downward thrust. The first pattern on today’s chart is the price area between $38.29 and $40.54. It was the range after the last earnings report on November 5. DVN mostly held the zone through early December before sliding to a four-year low. It’s now rebounded and could be pausing at the same spot. Has old support become new resistance? (It also roughly matches monthly lows from September and October.) Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has been under the 100-day SMA. Both are under the 200-day SMA. That’s potentially consistent with a longer-term downtrend in the oil-and-gas producer. Third, stochastics have reached an overbought condition. Finally, energy stocks have outperformed lately. Much of the strength resulted from moves by former President Biden. However incoming President Trump seems more focused on lower prices, which could pressure the sector again. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:DVN
by TradeStation