MA Trading Strategies for Experienced TradersMA Trading Strategies for Experienced Traders
Despite their simplicity, moving average (MA) trading strategies remain popular with experienced traders looking to refine their market analysis. This article delves into various MA types and four advanced MA strategies, including moving average ribbons, envelopes, and channels, providing actionable insights to potentially boost trading performance.
Moving Average Indicators: Advanced Types
This is a short overview of moving averages (MAs). If you already know this, please scroll down and learn advanced types of MAs and comprehensive trading strategies.
Moving averages are fundamental tools used by traders to smooth out price data and identify trends. By averaging the price over a specified period, MAs help traders filter out the noise from random price fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the underlying market direction.
Traders use moving averages in various ways, such as determining trend direction, identifying potential support and resistance levels, and confirming other technical indicators. They can also help in spotting reversals and momentum changes. Below are the most notable moving averages that traders can use to construct a strategy.
To see how each works, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform to explore every tool described here and a world of more than 1,200 trading tools.
Types of Moving Averages
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
- Overview: The SMA calculates the average of a selected range of prices, typically closing prices, over a specific period.
- Usage: SMA trading is straightforward. The Simple Moving Average helps traders identify the direction of the trend by smoothing out short-term fluctuations.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
- Overview: The EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new information.
- Usage: It reacts more quickly to price changes than the SMA, which can be beneficial in fast-moving markets.
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
- Overview: The WMA assigns different weights to data points, with the most recent prices typically given more importance.
- Usage: Like the EMA, it reduces lag but in a slightly different manner by linearly increasing the weight of each successive data point.
Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
- Overview: The VWMA takes volume into account, giving more weight to price points with higher trading volumes.
- Usage: Useful in identifying price moves that are supported by high trading volumes, which can indicate stronger trends.
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
- Overview: The HMA aims to improve smoothness and responsiveness to the latest data. It’s calculated using a combination of WMAs.
- Usage: Known for its responsiveness and reduced lag, making it a favourite for trend analysis.
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA)
- Overview: The ALMA uses a Gaussian distribution to smooth data, reducing lag and improving the reliability of signals.
- Usage: It's designed to provide a balance between smoothness and responsiveness.
Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
- Overview: The VWAP calculation is based on volume and price. The indicator reflects the average price a security has traded at throughout the day.
- Usage: Widely used by institutional traders, VWAP helps determine the true average price of a security over a given period. It is crucial for understanding the market's intraday trend and for executing large orders efficiently without distorting the price.
Advanced Moving Average Indicators
Moving Average Ribbons
- Overview: This involves plotting multiple moving averages of different lengths on the same chart. The Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) is a popular example, using short-term and long-term MAs to analyse market behaviour.
- Usage: The spacing and interaction between these ribbons can indicate the strength and direction of a trend. Converging/tightening ribbons may signal a trend reversal while diverging/widening ribbons indicate a strong trend.
Moving Average Envelopes
- Overview: Envelopes consist of two bands plotted at a fixed percentage distance above and below a moving average (e.g., 2%).
- Usage: They help identify overbought and oversold conditions. Price movement outside the envelopes can indicate potential reversal points or the start of strong trends.
Moving Average Channels
- Overview: Channels are created by plotting a moving average of the highs and a moving average of the lows over a specified period.
- Usage: Traders use these channels to identify breakouts and confirm trends. Breakouts beyond the channel may signal the beginning of a new trend.
Four Advanced Moving Average Trading Strategies
Here are four advanced moving average trading strategies. You can test other settings to make the strategies more suitable for your trading approach and the timeframe you trade on.
Moving Average Ribbon Strategy
The Moving Average Ribbon Strategy leverages the Guppy Multiple Moving Averages (GMMA) alongside the ADX to identify potential breakout points. This strategy works by observing the convergence and divergence of multiple MAs to pinpoint moments of price compression and subsequent breakout, enhanced by confirming the trend strength with the ADX.
Indicators Used
- Guppy Multiple Moving Averages (GMMA): This indicator uses a series of short-term and long-term moving averages. The short-term MAs are sensitive to recent price changes, while the long-term MAs help identify the overall trend.
- Average Directional Index (ADX): This measures the strength of a trend, with values above 20 indicating a strong trend.
Entry
- Traders typically look for the long-term MAs in the GMMA (red) to converge and tighten, indicating a compressed range.
- Then they look for the price to break away from the long-term MAs with a series of closes beyond the short-term MAs - below in the downturn and above in the uptrend. Ideally, these are strong closes with minimal wicks, but a series of candles in the projected direction suffice.
-The price should remain beyond both the short-term and long-term MAs.
- The ADX should be above 20 and rising, indicating strong trending conditions. It shouldn’t be stalling or declining. Sometimes, the ADX crosses above 20 after the price has moved beyond the long-term/short-term MAs; this is also valid.
- Once these criteria are met, traders enter with a market order.
Stop Loss
- Stop loss is commonly set beyond the long-term MAs. This provides a buffer against minor fluctuations and potentially protects against false breakouts.
Take Profit
- Profits might be taken at key support or resistance levels.
- Alternatively, traders might look for the price to close beyond the short-term MAs in the opposite direction (e.g., a bullish close above the MAs in a short trade).
- A trailing stop loss positioned beyond the long-term MAs can also be used to capture sustained trends while potentially protecting gains.
Moving Average Envelopes Strategy
The Moving Average Envelopes Strategy leverages the EMA envelopes to identify potential reversal points by examining price interactions with the upper and lower bands. When combined with RSI, this stock and forex moving average strategy helps traders pinpoint overbought and oversold conditions, offering a robust method for trading reversals.
Indicators Used:
- Moving Average Envelopes: Uses an exponential moving average (EMA) set to a length of 20. The envelope percentage is adjusted based on asset volatility: 0.25%-0.5% for forex and 1%-2% for stocks might be good starting points, with a lower percentage creating more frequent opportunities but with greater false signals and vice versa. It forms an upper and lower band alongside a central EMA, similar to Bollinger Bands.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Set to a standard length of 14, indicating overbought conditions above 70 and oversold conditions below 30.
Entry
- Traders typically observe when the price crosses the moving average envelope bands, either upper or lower. Ideally, the price wicks through and then closes back inside the boundary, but sustained price action beyond these levels is also considered valid.
- The RSI should be above 70 for a potential short entry, indicating overbought conditions, or below 30 for a potential long entry, indicating oversold conditions.
- An entry might be made once the RSI crosses back into the normal range (between 70 and 30) and the price closes back inside of the bands.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses are generally set beyond the most recent swing point to potentially provide a buffer against minor fluctuations.
Take Profit
Profits might be taken at multiple points:
- The centerline EMA, which acts as a mean reversion target. This is the smallest target, which may be insufficient when considering the risk/reward ratio.
- The opposite envelope bound, capitalising on the price's full range movement.
- Significant support or resistance levels, providing predefined exit points.
- When the RSI crosses into the opposite territory (e.g., from overbought to oversold), indicating a potential reversal in the opposite direction.
Strategy with Three MAs
The strategy with three MAs combines the Hull Moving Averages (HMA) with the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) to identify potential trading opportunities. This strategy leverages the smoothness and responsiveness of the HMA and the momentum indications provided by the CCI to capture effective trade entries and exits.
Indicators Used
- Hull Moving Averages (HMA): Three HMAs with lengths of 13, 36, and 100.
- Commodity Channel Index (CCI): A momentum-based oscillator set to a standard length of 20. The CCI measures the difference between the current price and its average over a given period.
Entry
- Traders look for the price to be above the 100-period HMA for long positions and below it for short positions.
- Simultaneously, the CCI should be above 100 for long entries, indicating strong upward momentum, and below -100 for short entries, indicating strong downward momentum.
- Traders then watch for the 13-period HMA to cross above the 36-period HMA for long positions or below it for short positions. It should ideally be the first crossover after the price moves above or below the 100-period HMA. Occasionally, the CCI may move above 100 or below -100 shortly after this crossover occurs rather than before.
- Once these criteria are met, they enter with a market order.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses are typically set just beyond the 36-period HMA.
- Alternatively, traders may choose the 100-period EMA or a recent swing point.
Take Profit
- Profits might be taken once the price crosses back over the 100-period HMA, signalling a potential end to the current trend.
- Alternatively, traders may choose to take profits at significant support or resistance levels, providing predefined exit points based on market structure.
Moving Average Channel Strategy
The Moving Average Channel Strategy utilises the Moving Average Channel along with the Parabolic SAR and ADX to identify potential trading opportunities. This strategy helps traders capture breakouts by confirming trend strength and potential reversals, offering a robust approach to trading trending markets.
Indicators Used
- Moving Average Channel: Set to a length of 50, this channel uses the moving averages of the highs and lows to create two lines, forming a channel around the price.
- Parabolic SAR: An indicator that plots dots above or below the price to signal potential reversals.
- Average Directional Index (ADX): Measures the strength of a trend, with values above 20 indicating a strong trend.
Entry
- Traders look for the price to trade through the Moving Average Channel, either breaking from above to below (for a downtrend) or from below to above (for an uptrend), ideally with a series of strong candles.
- Simultaneously, the Parabolic SAR should plot dots above the price, indicating a bearish signal, and vice versa.
- The ADX should be above 20 and rising, not stalling or declining, confirming a strong and growing trend.
- All three signals (price breaking through the channel, Parabolic SAR, and ADX above 20 and rising) should occur relatively close to each other, typically within a few candles.
- Once all criteria are met, traders enter.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses are typically set just beyond the Moving Average Channel or at a nearby swing point.
Take Profit
- Profits might be taken when the price closes back through the other side of the Moving Average Channel, signalling a potential trend reversal. In this scenario, there is a risk of missing a part of potential profits in the solid trend.
- Alternatively, traders might choose to take profits at significant support or resistance levels, providing predefined exit points based on market structure.
Best Practices for Using Moving Average Indicators
Moving average indicators are essential tools in technical analysis. Here are some best practices to maximise their effectiveness:
Choosing the Right Type
Selecting the appropriate type of moving average is crucial. For example, an EMA is more responsive to recent price changes, making it suitable for short-term trading, while an SMA may be better for long-term trend analysis.
Choosing Suitable Lengths
It’s best to use a combination of short-term and long-term moving averages to get a comprehensive view of the market. For instance, combining a 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving average can help in identifying both short-term fluctuations and long-term trends.
Experimenting
There are various moving average types beyond the well-known SMA and EMA, such as the Hull Moving Average (HMA), Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), and more. Experimenting with different types can help you find the best fit for your MA strategy.
Combining with Other Analysis
You can potentially enhance your moving average strategy by combining it with other forms of analysis and indicators, such as those described in the strategies above. This will allow you to confirm signals and get a more comprehensive market picture.
Backtesting and Forward Testing
Before deploying any moving average strategy in real-time, traders typically backtest it with historical data to understand its performance under different market conditions. Then, when transitioning from backtesting to live trading, they forward test with a demo account to refine their strategy without risking real money.
Beware of False Signals
Moving average crossovers in choppy markets can generate false signals. Consider additional filters, such as trend confirmation from the ADX, to avoid whipsaws.
Following these best practices can help you effectively incorporate moving averages into your trading strategies, whether you're using a moving average crossover strategy or an EMA trading strategy.
The Bottom Line
Advanced moving average strategies can offer a route to potentially enhance your trading analysis and performance. As always, it’s best to experiment with different indicators and backtest strategies to find what works best. To start implementing these strategies, consider opening an FXOpen account. Use our robust tools and enjoy low commissions and tight spreads from 0.0 pips.
FAQs
How to Use Moving Averages?
Moving averages smooth out price data, helping to identify trends and potential support/resistance levels. Traders often use moving averages to determine trend direction, confirm breakouts, and identify reversals. Combining short-term and long-term moving averages provides a well-rounded market overview. For instance, a simple SMA strategy might see a trader watch for a crossover between a pair of long and short-term SMAs before entering.
What Is the Simple Moving Average?
The Simple Moving Average represents an asset’s average price over a specified period. It's a fundamental tool in trading, smoothing out fluctuations to highlight the underlying trend. An SMA trading strategy typically involves comparing SMAs of different lengths to identify crossovers and trend changes.
What Does EMA Stand For in Trading?
The EMA stands for the Exponential Moving Average. Unlike the SMA, the EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. This responsiveness makes the EMA popular in strategies that require quick reaction to market movements, such as an EMA crossover strategy.
What Moving Average Should Be Used for Day Trading?
In moving averages for day trading, shorter periods like the 9 or 21 are often used due to their responsiveness to recent price changes. These shorter EMAs help day traders quickly identify trend direction and potential entry/exit points.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Movingaveragestrategy
Big Runner - Running'Big Runner' - This pine script strategy is available in my scripts section and is fully open source, here it is performing algorithmic trades on SPX 4hour timeframe.
This strategy works seamlessly with any instrument, showing visuals on the chart for moving averages and ribbons to execute Long and Short trades.
I'm working to update it's script to further improve its use case.
Mastering the Moving Average: The Trendspotter for Every TraderTradingViewers, this one will take you back to basics. In this Idea we visit a tool that’s as essential as your morning coffee — the Moving Average (MA). This indicator is the market’s smoothing instrument, ironing out the noise and letting you see the trend for what it really is.
What’s a Moving Average?
Think of the Moving Average as the market’s highlight reel. It averages out price action over a specific period, showing you where the market’s been and giving you a clue about where it might be headed.
It’s the ultimate trendspotter, cutting through the daily chatter to reveal the bigger picture. Day traders and scalpers, don’t fret — it works on intraday time frames, too.
Types of MAs
Simple Moving Average (SMA): The old-school classic. It’s as straightforward as it gets — just an average of days you specify — 7, 9, 21, 50, 100, or even 200 days — that’s called “length”. This tool might be simple, but it’s a mainstay indicator for professional traders, institutional investors, and other big-shot money spinners.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The turbocharged version of the SMA. It gives more weight to recent prices, meaning it reacts quicker to the action. If the SMA is a steady cruise, the EMA is a sports car with a little more kick.
How to Use Moving Averages
Spotting Trends : The Moving Average is your trend-checking buddy. Prices above the MA? We’re in bull territory. Prices below? Looks like the bears are in control. Slap it on any time frame — it’s the same rules regardless of the time horizon.
Support and Resistance : MAs are like the guardrails of the market. They often act as support during uptrends and resistance during downtrends. When price bounces off an MA, it’s like a boxer bouncing off the ropes — watch for the counterpunch!
The Golden Cross & Death Cross : Now we’re talking setups that get traders buzzing. When a short-term MA crosses above a long-term MA, you get a Golden Cross – the market’s flashing a buy signal party. But when the opposite happens, it’s a Death Cross, and the bears start licking their lips.
Moving Average Crossover : Want some trading action? Watch for crossovers between short and long MAs. For example, throw in your chart a 50-day moving average and then top it up with a 100-day and a 200-day line. If they all cross over to the upside, you can expect a swing higher. And if they cross over to the downside, you can anticipate a swing lower.
Pro Tip: Tune Your Moving Average
Jot these numbers down — 20, 50, 100, 200 — these are the MA settings you’ll see most, but don’t be afraid to tweak them. A shorter MA (20 or 50) reacts quicker but can whipsaw you. A longer MA (100 or 200) is steadier but might be slower to catch reversals. It’s all about finding the balance that suits your trading style.
Bottom Line
The Moving Average isn’t about predicting the future — it’s about seeing the present more clearly. It’s the difference between getting lost in the noise and riding the trend with confidence. Whether you’re trend-following or looking for a noiseless entry, the MA is your go-to indicator.
So slap that Moving Average on your chart and let it take you beyond the clutter. Because when the market’s moving fast, it pays to have a steady hand guiding your trades. And as essential as MAs are, don't limit your analysis to just one tool: apply several indicators on your chart to spot trends more effectively and enhance your research with data from the economic calendar , screeners, heatmaps, and all kinds of tools available on TradingView to have a bigger picture of market activities.
Are you already using MAs in your charting and trading? Let us know in the comments below!
Bitcoin Must Show Decisive in its Move before im excitedHi guys. So i posted recently some crypto related stock ideas. I felt like i should do a BTC update as they are directly related. When BTC goes up, all related crypto assets move up.
So lets jump right in.
This is a 1 week analysis.
So we have established a consolidation range. Consolidation ranges is just a price range between which an asset moves up and down in.
The key is to observe a confirmation of a breakout either ABOVE or BELOW it.
The Key lvls are:
1. $61,000 as support
2. $71,000 as Resistance
FOr our Bull market to continue and move into the final supercycle phase of the crypto market we need a DECISIVE BREAK ABOVE 71,000.
This will in a short time print a blowoff top and end Bull market.
I have up a bunch of Moving averages in different colors.
What i'd love to see is from ascending order:
Purple 1st
Green 2nd
Blue 3rd
Red at the bottom
This order signifies that a Bull market is going on.
STOCH RSI has also crossed BUllish above the 20 lvl. If you look left, everytime we've done so We've moved higher.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on BTC in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
MCK a large cap medical supply company LONGMCK is a large cap medical supply company- it has experienced respectable earnings reports
and steady growth as medical entities including surgery centers and hospitals are busy catching
up on electric surgeries from the COVID era. It is rising ar or under the second upper VWAP
line. The dual time frame RSI indicator ( by Chris Moody) shows that every time the faster
RSI ( 1 hour) RSI drops down to the 50 level it rebounds with a corresponding price move up.
These episodes are shown as thin black vertical lines. One of them is at present. The
forecasting algorithm of Lux Algo predicts a further rise to the level of 575 in the next six
weeks. The last earnings was quite solid with the next earnings in 4 weeks.
I will take a long trade here. I will add to the position for any dips to or below the
running EMA 9 but not reaching the EMA100.
I will take a partial profit at 560 and cut the position down to 25% the day before earnings for
purposes of good risk management. If price crosses under the running EMA100 I will
close the trade and collect the unrealized profit.
Is the rest for AMZN short-lived LONGAMZN on the 60 minute chart since earnings shows the jump and the sideways consolidation
after that. Here the RSI is superimposed on the chart within its own 0-100 scale. It is currently
in what should be considered deep undervalued territory and at RSI support /demand. The
William's Alligator set of moving averages shows MA compression and so convergence.
AMZN's price is now in a tight range with volatility likewise compressed especially compared
with that at earnings. In short price is coiled, the potential energy is ready to get converted
to kinetic for those who have an understanding of classical physics.
All that said, I see AMZN as ready to roll. I will take long trades in shares and options as
AMZN is ready to hit the ground running.
Learn 4 Proven Methods of Applying Moving Average Indicator
Hey traders,
The moving average is one of the most popular technical indicators.
It is applied in stocks/forex/crypto trading and proved its high level of efficiency.
There are hundreds of trading strategies based on MA.
In this post, we will discuss the 4 most popular ways to apply the moving average.
1️⃣The first method is applied to identify the market trend.
While the price keeps trading above the MA, one considers the trend to be bullish and looks for buying opportunities.
Once the price starts trading below the MA, the trend is considered to be bearish and a trader is looking for shorting opportunities.
In the example above, Moving Average is applied for showing the identification of the market trend. Its upward climb signifies that the market is trading in a strong bullish trend.
2️⃣The second method applies the combination of 2 MA's: preferably a long-term one and a short-term one.
The point is that once a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term MA, with high probability, it signifies the initiation of a bullish trend.
Alternatively, a crossover of short-term and long-term MA's to the downside indicates a start of a bearish trend.
In the example above, there are 2 Moving Averages: short term and long term ones. Their cross signifies the bullish trend violation and initiation of a bearish trend.
3️⃣The third method applies MA as a structure.
While the moving average is lying above the price, it is considered to be a dynamic resistance.
Staying below the price, it serves as a strong dynamic support.
Perceiving MA as the structure, one applies that for trade entries.
In the picture above, Moving Average is applied as support on GBPJPY and the price starts growing after its test.
4️⃣The fourth method is aimed to track the crossover of the moving average and the price.
The idea is that a bullish violation of the MA by the price gives an early signal for a possible trend reversal.
While a bearish breakout of the MA by the market indicates a highly probable bullish trend violation.
In the example above, the crossover of the moving average and the price is a perfect indicator of coming bullish and bearish movements.
Backtest different MA's inputs and learn to apply that for predicting the future direction of the market and for trading it.
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
📈 4 Ways To Use The Moving Average📍 What Is a Moving Average (MA)?
In finance, a moving average (MA) is a stock indicator commonly used in technical analysis. The reason for calculating the moving average of a stock is to help smooth out the price data by creating a constantly updated average price.
By calculating the moving average, the impacts of random, short-term fluctuations on the price of a stock over a specified time frame are mitigated. Simple moving averages (SMAs) use a simple arithmetic average of prices over some timespan, while exponential moving averages (EMAs) place greater weight on more recent prices than older ones over the time period.
Common moving average lengths are 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200. These lengths can be applied to any chart time frame (one minute, daily, weekly, etc.), depending on the trader's time horizon. The time frame or length you choose for a moving average, also called the "look back period," can play a big role in how effective it is.
An MA with a short time frame will react much quicker to price changes than an MA with a long look-back period. In the figure below, the 20-day moving average more closely tracks the actual price than the 100-day moving average does.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Ahead? 📉📊In my analysis of AUD/USD on TradingView, I have identified several bearish signals that suggest the pair may be headed for a downward trend. The pair has been trading within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows. Additionally, the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, indicating a possible long-term bearish trend. The RSI is also hovering around the oversold territory, adding to the bearish outlook. 📉📊📉
#AUDUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishOutlook #DescendingChannel #MovingAverages #Oversold #ForexTrading
My three favourite Moving Averages on any chartI have three Moving Averages that I plot on any market.
7 MA
21 MA
200 MA
Here is the JSE ALSI 40 with the three moving averages.
In the above daily chart of the JSE you can see I’ve plotted the 7MA (Red), 21MA (Blue) and 200MA (Black).
Now I have two simple rules for when the market is in an uptrend or a downtrend.
Downtrend with the three Moving Averages
You know the market is in a downtrend when the price is below the 200 MA.
Also, 200MA is above the 21 Moving Average.
And the 21 MA is above the 7MA.
In other words.
7MA < 21MA < 200MA.
You can see on the left part of the chart where the trend is down (Red arrow).
This tells me that the momentum is bearish and the market is more likely to fall than rise.
I will then avoid buying the market and instead will only look to short (sell) and profit from a falling market.
Then we have the
Uptrend with the three Moving Averages
What tells me the market is in an uptrend is when the price is above the 200 MA.
Also the 7MA is above the 21MA.
And the 21MA is above the 200MA.
You can see on the right part of the chart where the trend turns up (Green arrow).
This tells me that the momentum is bullish and the market is more likely to continue to rise.
I will then only look for longs (buy) the market and avoid shorting or selling the market.
Now you have my favourite 3 Moving Averages in a bag for you to plot on your chart and master the trends.
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
Connect below with the socials...
Bulls to project first targets.Recent confirmation of leaving the bottom of 40W cycle behind has started fast pace of raise for BTC and other important altcoins.
As drawn on the chart we have got first estimation of local target, mid way of the bull run that has started just now.
By extending moving averages of recently confirmed cycles, we estimated the point where bitcoin should top off and have some retrace before next stage of this 40W.
We estimate the top at 33k by 26th of December along with the top of first 10W cycle.
Of course adding some standard deviation is essential for managing the risk level.
Bitcoin is getting more and more stable along with the influx of huge institutional funds.
It is getting out of being just a speculative asset but a serious instrument so we would not expect some 10k moves but rather a steady up trend.
Then we should see some trace back in January, that would lead us to the proper high of the major 40W cycle somewhere between February and March 23. Precise numbers we can estimate after we top off this first 10W cycle that we are riding now.
MOVING AVERAGE TRADING | ADVANCED LESSONHello traders 👋
Today im sharing my trading strategy with moving average.
What Is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?
An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average, but it's better than MA(Only my opinion. It is one of the most important things in forex trade. Because this gives you the best direction of the trend.
How to trade And Use moving average. 🧑🏫
When most traders use it moving average crossing. I don't think it's a good strategy. For me, when using it, looks at a trading setup.
1. Looking daily timeframe 👀
This is because you want to find the price action for a longer period and not just some light movement.
2. Draw ✏️
To draw a trend line ( if you don't know how to draw trendline watch my last lesson)
3. Add 50 EMA 📉
4. The Basics of Support and Resistance + key levels ✔️
the concept is applied in order to maximise the chances of winning trades.
5. Looking for entry + risk management 💰
Always wait for confirm example; trend line break + price making lower low + pullback + add indicators.
In this lesson, we expect EURJPY to fall below 134.50. Let's see what happens in the future.
🤲 If you are enjoying the lesson, please hit the like show your support. 🤲
Bullish BTC 05 May 2022We can estimate with a 90% confidence that the volatility for today is going to be below 3.82% based on the last 4267 Daily candles.
Having said that, lets take a look at the support and resistence points from this current position
BOT = 41000
TOP = 38000
From the fundamental point of view, yesterday we had the release of the interest rates, so I believe currently we are in a short relief moment, where we can have for some days/weeks a small bull trend
For today we have no big volatility news, so we cant expect big surprises.
From volume point, we can see that the point of concentration is around 39000-39500.
From technical analysis point, we can see that yesterday on 15min, we had a long entry alert around 38200
At the same time, on 30 min it happened the same around 38700
Lastly on 1h we had as well an entry around 39000.
So overall there is a very confidence that we are going to have a small bull moment period(days, weeks? )