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Movingaveragestrategy

HBAR Bulls Nowhere in Sight – Where’s the Bottom?HBAR had an incredible bull run from November 2024 to mid-January 2025, rallying for 74 days and gaining +865%, moving from $0.0416 to a high of $0.40139. However, since then, the market has reversed, entering a 73 day downtrend and dropping -58% from its peak. Now, the big question is: where is HBAR heading next? Let’s break down the key resistance and support levels and map out potential high-probability trade setups. Current Market Structure – Bears in Control HBAR is trading at $0.16765, just below a key low at $0.17721, which it must reclaim to show any bullish strength. Several critical resistance levels lie ahead: 🔴 $0.18 - $0.20 Zone: Previously strong support, now acting as resistance 🔴 Weekly Level at $0.18375 – A significant resistance zone 🔴 Monthly Open at $0.21352 – Bulls must reclaim this to regain momentum 🔴 Weekly 21 EMA at $0.20 & 21 SMA at $0.2348 – Price is trading below both, a bearish sign 🔴 200 EMA/SMA Lost – Another bearish indicator 🔴 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.17904 – This level was lost, further confirming the bearish trend 📉 Conclusion: As long as price remains under $0.18-$0.20, the trend remains bearish, and there is no sign of reversal yet. Where Could HBAR Go Next? Finding the Next Support Levels If HBAR fails to reclaim the key resistance levels, price could continue dropping toward the next major support zone. Here’s where the next support zone is: 🟢 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.1186 – A key potential target 🟢 Weekly Support at $0.1259 – Close to the 0.786 Fib level, adding confluence 🟢 Monthly Support at $0.1145 – Further strengthening this zone 🟢 Log Scale 0.5 Fib Retracement at $0.12923 – From the full bull run, adding another layer of support 🟢 21 Monthly EMA at $0.132 & 21 Monthly SMA at $0.1079 – These levels align perfectly with the other supports 🟢 Fib Channel Lower Support (April 4th - 9th) – If price drops to $0.12 during this time window, it aligns with the lower channel support line 📉 Conclusion: A strong support zone lies between $0.132 - $0.1079, where buyers could step in for a potential bounce. Potential Trade Setups 📌 Long Setup (High Probability Reversal Zone) Entry: DCA around $0.12 Stop Loss: Below $0.098 Target: $0.166 Potential Gain: +40% R:R Ratio: 2:1 or better 🔹 If price regains $0.18-$0.20, we can look for long opportunities. 📌 Short Setup (For Those Already Shorting from Higher Levels) Take Profit Target: Between $0.14 - $0.12 Stop Loss: Above $0.20 Market Outlook With HBAR currently in a bearish trend, we have clearly defined key support and resistance zones and potential trade setups. The next few weeks will be crucial, as price either reclaims $0.18-$0.20 (bullish case) or drops further toward $0.12 (where a strong bounce could happen). 📢 Patience is key! Let the setup come to you and don’t force trades. Always manage risk properly. What are your thoughts on HBAR’s next move? Leave a comment below! 🚀
Long
by SiDec
4
Bitcoin’s Battlefield: Support, Resistance and Trade SetupsBitcoin’s price has been showing signs of a sustained downtrend after forming a double top pattern. The recent action, combined with low volume and failure to breach key resistance zones, points to a likely retest of lower levels. Over the weekend, the price couldn’t break past the 85K resistance, and the low trading volume around this level suggests that buyer interest is waning. 6H TF Chart: Big Picture vs. Short-Term Action On a higher timeframe (6H), my indicator neatly outlines the bear market of 2022 and the bull market that started in early 2023—when the “cloud” turned green, signaling a shift in momentum. The cloud's lower boundary is currently at $73,364, which is key. Imo, holding above 70K is critical for keeping that bullish vibe alive. 1H TF Chart: Switching over to the 1H chart, the picture shows a bearish structure. The upper resistance around 95K (which aligns with the yearly open near $93,455.85) is proving a solid resistance. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high also sits right at this level, adding more weight to the resistance. Bulls need to clear this yearly open to signal a true recovery. Key Levels & Confluence Zones 1.) Upper Resistance – 93K to 95K: The 95K zone aligns closely with the yearly open ($93,455.85) and the anchored VWAP from the all-time high, both acting as resistance. Daily moving averages (62 EMA at ~$91,316 and 62 SMA at ~$94,900) provide further confluence. Additional resistance between 85K-86K. 2.) Critical Support – 73K to 70K Zone: The lower edge of the cloud on the 6H timeframe sits around 73K. The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (from the low at $15,473.78 to the all-time high at $109,354) is at $73,492, while the 0.618 retracement (from $49,217 to the all-time high) is around $72,205. Moving Averages on Weekly Chart: The weekly 62 EMA ($72,919) and 62 SMA ($71,590) align well with this support region. Additional Support: A bullish monthly order block at $71,320 adds another layer of confluence. Psychological Importance: A hold above 70K is critical to maintaining bullish momentum. 3.) Monthly Open – $83,385.74: This level serves as a pivot: price is currently hovering below it. A reclaim by bulls would be a positive sign for higher price action, while a rejection reinforces the bearish setup. Trade Setups Long Trade Setup: Entry: Consider laddering in between 75K and 70K as the price retests support. Take Profit: Aim for the monthly open (~84K) initially, and if support holds and flips, a move toward 90K could be considered. Stop Loss: Set below 70K to protect against a further downturn. Short Trade Setup: Entry: A short setup can start at the monthly open, using a laddering approach between 84K and about 86.9K. Take Profit: Target the previous low or 74K. Stop Loss: Place just above 87K to keep risk in check. Thank you for taking the time to read through this technical analysis. I hope it provides valuable insights for your trading decisions. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by SiDec
9
SOL Trading Plan: Stacking Entries Like a ProSolana (SOL) has been in a slow uptrend over the past five days, after hitting the low at $112. The current price action looks like an ABC corrective pattern, which could mean we’re setting up for lower prices. To get the best trade execution, we'll use a laddered entry approach, meaning we’ll scale into positions gradually instead of going all in at once. This helps us get a better average entry price while managing risk effectively. By placing orders at key levels, we increase our chances of catching the right move without overcommitting too early. Resistance Zone ($136 - $143.80) A major resistance zone has formed between $136 - $143.80, where price is likely to struggle. This area contains multiple technical confluences that suggest a potential reversal or strong reaction: $136 – 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement $140.09 – 1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension $141.40 – Anchored VWAP from the $179.85 swing high $143.80 – Point of Control (POC) from the 19-day Fixed Range Volume Profile This makes $136 - $143.80 a prime area to consider short positions, especially if price starts showing weakness. Support Zone ($102.1 - $98.50) On the downside, a major demand zone is forming between $102.1 - $98.50, where buyers are likely to step in aggressively. This zone has multiple technical confluences, making it a high-probability long entry area: $102.1 – 2024 Yearly Open & Monthly Support $100 – Bullish Monthly Order Block & Anchored VWAP Support $98.50 – Final key demand zone This zone presents a solid long opportunity, allowing for gradual scaling into positions as price moves deeper into support. Short Trade Setup – Laddered Entry Approach Instead of entering all at once, we’ll ladder into the short position gradually, starting small and increasing size as price moves deeper into resistance. Short Entry Levels & Position Sizing Trade Details Average Entry Price: $140.12 Take Profit Target: slightly above $102.10 (Monthly Level) Stop Loss: slightly above $146.70 (Above POC) Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~6:1 Long Trade Setup – Laddered Entry Approach For the long setup, we start with small entries at higher prices and increase size as price moves deeper into support, ensuring a better average entry in a key demand zone. Long Entry Levels & Position Sizing Trade Details Average Entry Price: $102.72 Take Profit Target: slightly below $120.00 Stop Loss: slightly below $95.00 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~2.45:1 Market Outlook Short Bias: Until price reclaims $143.80, this remains a strong resistance zone for potential short trades. Short Setup: Laddering into resistance ensures better risk management and higher average entry efficiency. Long Setup: Starting small at $112 and increasing position size down to $98.50 ensures strong positioning in a high-confluence demand zone. By scaling into trades rather than committing at a single price, we increase flexibility, improve trade execution, and adapt better to price movements. 🚀 Weekly Timeframe - 200 EMA Support $100 coincides with the 200 EMA on the weekly timeframe, adding confluence to this area as strong support. If Solana decisively breaks above $144, it would invalidate the short thesis and suggest a potential move higher toward $150. Conversely, a strong rejection from the resistance zone would likely accelerate the move toward $112 to test demand at swing low.
Short
by SiDec
14
XLM Crashes Below Key Support – Is a Reversal Near?XLM has broken its previous low, raising the question: where is the next major support zone? To determine this, we will focus on fibonacci, moving averages, and order blocks to find a high-probability bounce area for a potential long position. 🔍 Fibonacci Retracement – Locating the Next Support Level Using the Fibonacci retracement tool from the low at $0.0757 to the high at $0.6374: 0.618 Fib Retracement → $0.2903 (Already Lost) ❌ Current Price: $0.248 Next Major Fib Level – 0.786 Retracement at $0.1959 Since the 0.786 Fib level is a key retracement point, we need further confluence factors to confirm its strength as a potential support zone. 🔗 Confluence Factors Strengthening the Support Zone ($0.1959 – $0.17179) 1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension High: $0.6374 A: $0.3179 B: $0.515 1:1 extension aligns at $0.1902 → Strong confirmation near 0.786 Fib retracement ✅ Wave A-B Fibonacci Extension 1.618 Fib extension from wave A to B is at $0.1875 → Aligns with the 1:1 trend-based extension ✅ Daily Support Level at $0.1962 Sits almost exactly at the 0.786 retracement ($0.1959) ✅ 21 EMA & 21 SMA for Moving Average Support 21 EMA at $0.20338 21 SMA at $0.17187 Order Block Between $0.2208 – $0.1964 Demand area aligns with the major support zone ✅ Key Takeaway: A high-probability support zone is now identified between $0.1959 and $0.17179, with multiple confluences suggesting a strong potential bounce. Trade Plan – Scaling Into a Long Position Given the strong confluence at the support zone, the best approach is scaling into a long trade. DCA Entry Strategy: Start scaling in at $0.22, as an order block exists between $0.2208 – $0.1964 Main focus remains on the support zone ($0.1959 – $0.17179) Stop Loss: Below the 21 SMA ($0.17187) for invalidation Take Profit Levels for Optimal R:R: First TP at $0.25 → Resistance area Next TP at $0.30 → Strong psychological & resistance level R:R Approximation: 2:1 R:R for first TP ($0.25) 3:1+ R:R if targeting $0.30 High-Probability Support Zone Identified ✔ Multiple confluences confirm a strong support zone at $0.1959 – $0.17179 ✔ Scaling into a long from $0.22 to $0.17179, with stop loss below the 21 SMA ($0.17187) ✔ Take profit levels set at $0.25 & $0.30 for a solid R:R trade Alternative bullish scenario: A reclaim of lost key low at $2526 with rising volume could signal a long opportunity, only on confirmation. 💬 Will XLM bounce from this key support? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀🔥
Long
by SiDec
2
Bitcoin: Mastering the Art of Resistance and SupportBitcoin recently broke below a 105‐day trading range, anchored by the critical 90K level. After the breakdown, it found support around 80K, prompting a sharp rebound back toward the previous range. This rebound, however, was short‐lived: BTC tested 95K, then quickly retraced, only to rally again toward 90K, where it trades at present. Overview of BTC’s 105‐Day Range Break and Retest: Yearly Open at $93,576: This is the single most important level to watch. Price currently sits below the yearly open, suggesting that, for now, bears hold the upper hand. If bulls cannot reclaim this threshold, the yearly candle remains vulnerable to turning red. 90K–95K Resistance Zone: With Bitcoin failing to sustain gains above 95K, this band becomes a natural focal point for potential short entries. Bears are expected to defend this region aggressively. The question: Where do we go next? Let’s break down both the resistance (short setup) and an upcoming support zone (long setup), incorporating a variety of confluences—from volume profiles and trend lines to Fibonacci retracements and pitchfork alignments. 1. Resistance Analysis & Short Thesis 1.1. Double Top Target at $72,800 A double top pattern has formed, suggesting a measured‐move target near $72,800. While not a guaranteed endpoint, this target serves as an early directional clue. Price could still find support at higher levels, so we use this only as one piece of a larger puzzle. Double Top Pattern with $72,800 Target: 1.2. The 105‐Day Trading Range & Retest Bitcoin spent over 100 days ranging between roughly 90K and 105K. The downside break turned that prior range into a new resistance zone—specifically 90K–95K, with an even stronger cluster up to $96,418 (Point of Control from that range). Fixed Range Volume Profile: The POC (Point of Control) from this 105‐day period lies at $96,418.05, further extending our resistance zone. Price retesting anywhere between 90K and the POC around 96K sets up potential short entries. Fixed Range Volume Profile Showing POC at $96,418.05: Stop Loss Guidance: Given the possibility of wicks or “stop hunts,” a safer invalidation point sits above 98K. That buffer allows the trade room to breathe without prematurely stopping out on minor spikes. 1.3. Daily & Weekly Moving Averages In addition to the above factors, both the daily 21 EMA/SMA and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA are converging in the 90-92K region, acting as additional resistance. 1.4. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Alignment Bearish Trend Line: Connecting the all‐time high at $109,588 and the swing high at $106,457.44 yields a downward sloping line. This trend line has already acted as resistance near 100K on February 21. Pitchfork (Modified Schiff): Anchoring from the all‐time high (109,588) to the swing low (97,777.77) and back up to 106,457.44 confirms the same bearish trajectory, aligning neatly with the trend line around 95K. Bearish Trend Line & Pitchfork Convergence Around 95K: 1.5. Monthly Order Block & Fibonacci Confluence Monthly Order Block: Spanning from the yearly open (93,576) up to the POC (~96,418), this monthly order block forms a substantial supply zone. Price often gravitates toward the median line of an order block, which sits near 94–95K. Fibonacci Retracement (0.786): From the swing high at 99,475 (Feb 21) down to the low at 78,258.52, the 0.786 retracement is at 94,934.67—almost exactly the median line of the monthly order block. Monthly Order Block, Median Line, and 0.786 Fib at ~94,934.67: When price rallies swiftly to the 0.786 for the first time, it often presents an ideal short entry—especially under a confluence of bearish signals: 2. Short Trade Setup: Laddering In & Out 2.1. Scaling In (Entries) We allocate $25,000 (from a $100,000 account) and ladder our entries from 89,736 up to 96,206: Short Trade Laddered Entries: Stop Loss: $97,560 (slightly below the higher “breathing room” area of 98K). Max Risk: Approximately $1,028.16 (about 4.11% of the GETTEX:25K position, or 1.03% of the $100k account). 2.2. Scaling Out (Exits) We plan to take profits in increments as price drops, aiming for an average exit around $79,822.10: Potential Profit: Approximately $3,704.16 on a $25,000 position, which is +14.82% (or +3.70% of the $100k account). Risk‐to‐Reward Ratio: 3.60, an attractive R:R for a swing trade. 3. Support Analysis & Long Thesis Having addressed the downside retest and short scenario, let’s turn to potential support where Bitcoin might reverse for a long trade. 3.1. Double Top Target & 5‐Wave Structure The double top projected target near $72,800 aligns with a broader Elliott Wave possibility, where BTC may have completed a 5‐wave structure from the low at $15,476 to the all‐time high at $109,588. A typical Fibonacci retracement of this 5‐wave move suggests the 0.382 level at $73,637.22, which sits near a notable swing high of $73,777—coincidence? 5‐Wave Structure & 0.382 Fib Retracement at ~$73,637: 3.2. Monthly Bullish Order Block & Further Fib Confluence Monthly Bullish Order Block: Located around $71,280, historically a place where buyers have stepped in. Fib Retracement (49K to 109K): The 0.618 retracement lands at $72,144.62, adding further confluence around the 72–73K zone. Taken together, we begin to see a support band forming between $73,777 and $71,280. Monthly Bullish Order Block & 0.618 Fib ~$72,144.62: 3.3. Fib Speed Fan & Bullish Trend Line Fib Speed Fan (0.7): On higher timeframes, the 0.7 fan lines up with the same 71–73K region if BTC dips this month. Bullish Trend Line: Connecting the lows at 49K and 52,550 also aligns with this zone, reinforcing the idea that a cluster of support awaits if price slides that far. Bullish Trend Line & Fib Speed Fan ~$71–73K: 3.4. Potential Long Trade Setup Entry Range: Ladder in from 76K down to 71K (or adjust according to personal risk appetite within that 73–71K zone). Stop Loss: Below 70K, providing sufficient buffer. Target: At least the monthly open ($84,350), or higher if momentum supports a stronger bounce. Risk‐to‐Reward (R:R): Aim for 2:1 or better, depending on exact entries and the final target. 4. Summary Short Trade: Resistance Zone: 90K–95K, extending up to $96,418 (POC) and with the daily/weekly 21 EMA/SMA acting as additional resistance in the 90-92K region, plus a stop‐hunt buffer above 98K. Laddered Entry: GETTEX:25K allocated, averaging around $93,706, with a stop near $97,560. Scaling Out: Average exit near $79,822, netting a +14.82% gain on the position (+3.70% on account). R:R: 3.60—solid for a swing setup. Long Trade: Support Zone: Between $73,777 and $71,280, with multiple Fibonacci and structural confluences. Laddered Entry: Potential DCA from around 76K down to 71K, with a stop under 70K. Target: At least $84,350 (monthly open), likely offering a 2:1 or better risk‐to‐reward. Sharp moves up or down have been the norm lately, often gravitating to the 0.786 fib retracement on each leg, so remain vigilant for sudden volatility. Ultimately, flexibility is key. If Bitcoin reclaims the yearly open at $93,576 and pushes decisively above 95–98K, the bearish case weakens. Conversely, a significant drop below 80K brings the deeper support zone near 73–71K into sharper focus. Always be prepared for shifts in market conditions—confirm each setup with multiple indicators and chart patterns before entering any trade. Stay up to date with evolving market dynamics and adjust your strategy accordingly. Happy trading! P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next technical analysis.
Short
by SiDec
8
Coffee Futures Outlook: Potential Corrections Ahead After HistorCoffee futures have experienced a strong upward movement, breaking their all-time high and unlocking Fibonacci-based mirroring and projection targets. However, the manner in which the price reached this level—overextended and distanced from its moving averages—combined with last month’s candlestick signaling selling pressure, suggests a high probability of corrective movements in the coming months. Should a pullback occur, it will be crucial to monitor how the price reacts upon testing the 20-period moving average.
BMFBOVESPA:ICF1!
by Luiz_soares
Major Levels – Is Sonic Ready to Pump?After reaching the daily resistance level ($0.7818), price faced strong rejection. The anchored VWAP, acting as dynamic resistance just below the daily level, provided additional confluence for a low-risk short opportunity. Additionally, a key high at $0.7891 further reinforced this resistance zone. Following the rejection, price sharply declined -13%, retracing back into the previous trading range. Support Confluence Price is now approaching a well-defined support zone: Bullish Order Block: $0.6816 Key Level Near Order Block: $0.6803 Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.65): 0.618 at $0.6793 & 0.65 at $0.6739 Monthly Open: $0.6732 Point of Control (POC): $0.6732 (aligning with Monthly Open) Daily 21 EMA/SMA: 21 EMA at $0.6835 & 21 SMA at $0.6790 Fib Speed Fan 0.7 (from $0.615 to $0.7818): Providing additional support in this zone Long Trade Setup Entry Zone: $0.6816 – $0.6732 Stop Loss: Below the Monthly Open ($0.6732) Take Profit Zone: $0.7111 – $0.7201 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 R:R setup, offering a high-probability trade Take Profit Targets & Resistance Zones Previous Swing Low: $0.7111 (untested) Value Area Low (VAL): $0.7152 Anchored VWAP (from $0.615 low): $0.7137 Fib Retracement 0.382 (from $0.7818 high to current low): $0.7201
Long
by SiDec
DEEP - Finding The Next Trade SetupDEEP recently took out the January 13, 2025 low at $0.12345 with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), followed by a successful retest. This led to a bounce that hit a key level at $0.12141, presenting a solid long opportunity with minimal risk. After this, the market turned bullish, forming a 5-wave structure and rallying to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.18643 (measured from the $0.20473 high to the $0.11922 low). This was a key take-profit zone for longs and a great short opportunity. Adding confluence, the anchored VWAP also acted as resistance just above at $0.19, offering another low-risk short setup. Additionally, a key resistance level at $0.1809 further reinforced the rejection zone. Current Price Action & Short Setup From the 0.786 Fib retracement, DEEP retraced 20% downward, nearly touching the 0.618 retracement of the 5-wave structure before bouncing. Now, price is finding resistance at the golden pocket (0.618 at $0.17347 and 0.666 at $0.17534) of the recent drop, aligning perfectly with the daily 21 EMA ($0.1757) and daily SMA ($0.17347). This setup suggests an ABC corrective move is forming. Using the trend-based Fibonacci extension, the 0.786 extension aligns with the 0.618 retracement at $0.1457, creating a strong short setup. Short Entry: Between $0.17347 - $0.17534 Target: $0.1457 (0.786 trend-based Fib extension / 0.618 retracement) Stop Loss: $0.1845 Risk/Reward: 2.5:1 There’s also potential to extend the target to the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension at $0.13733, but this would depend on price action. Potential Long Setup If price reaches the $0.1457 support zone, this could present a high-probability long opportunity. Entry: Around $0.1457 Risk/Reward: 2:1 or better, but confirmation is needed before executing the trade
Short
by SiDec
4
SOL on the Slide: Is a Bounce from $150 in the Cards?Solana has been in a downtrend for over 30 days after reaching its ATH at $295.83. For the past two weeks, SOL was stuck in a trading range that formed a descending triangle (a bearish pattern) which eventually broke down, confirming the downtrend. Additionally, SOL lost its yearly support level at $189.31. Where is SOL heading next? Let's find out! Key Support Zone Our main long opportunity is around the $150 level, where several confluences align: Fibonacci Levels: The 0.5 fib retracement of the entire 5-wave structure sits at $151.92. The 0.786 fib retracement from the 5th wave is at $149.77. A fib extension 1.618 of the descending triangle is at $148.65, which is very close to the $150 mark. Volume Profile: The Point of Control (POC), highlighted by the red horizontal ray, is around $144, adding another layer of support. Trade Setup Currently waiting for SOL to reach the support zone between $152 and $144. An alarm is set when price nears these levels for a long opportunity.
Short
by SiDec
BNX - Finding Support, Resistance and Trade SetupsAfter yesterday's push to test the $1 level, BNX got hit with some rejections. Following the swing high SFP (Swing Failure Pattern), the price is down about 10%. Let's update our analysis with some key levels that clearly outline our support and resistance zones, and then we'll dive into the trade setups. Support & Resistance Criteria Resistance Levels BNX faced rejection around the $1 mark, with the resistance zone clearly defined between $1.0137 and $1.0263 A short trade could have been initiated from this zone, with a stop loss placed just above $1.03 The Fibonacci retracement highlights key resistance levels at: 0.618 retracement at ~$0.9774, 0.786 retracement at ~$0.9952 The Point of Control (POC) of the current trading range sits around 0.786, and the daily open is at $0.9966 The pitchfork upper resistance trend line further reinforces this area Moving Averages Adding Resistance: 15-minute 200 SMA: Currently at $0.9836, aligning with the fib retracement 0.618 and adding extra resistance 1-hour 55 SMA: Currently at $0.98085, further supporting the resistance Note: These SMAs are expected to move down in price over time Support Levels Primary Support for Long Trade Opportunity: The overall short trade target remains at around $0.8, supported by multiple Fibonacci confluences: -0.6 negative Fibonacci retracement at $0.7912 Trend-based Fibonacci extension 1.272 at $0.7914 The previous key high at $0.7801 and Fibonacci extension 0.133 at $0.7924 These levels give us a strong support window between $0.8 and $0.78. If the price reaches this level by 17th February, the pitchfork's lower support trendline adds even more strength. Moving Average for Support: Daily 200 SMA: Currently at $0.7786, which confirms the support zone Note: This SMA is expected to move up as time passes, reinforcing support over time Additional Support Zone: Another key support region lies between $0.72 and $0.7075, with a key level at $0.7177 supported by a weekly bullish order block, trend-based Fibonacci extension 1.618 at $0.7075, and the anchored VWAP (yellow line) just below. Trade Setups Short Trade Setup Entry Strategy: Look for short entries between $0.981 and $1 as the price tests the resistance area. Confirm entry through order flow and rejection candles Stop Loss (SL): Place the SL just above the recent high at around $1.018 Target: Aim to reach $0.8, where our confluence of Fibonacci levels and moving averages align Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers an amazing risk/reward ratio of approximately 5:1! Potentially up to 9:1 with effective DCA (dollar-cost averaging) into the short trade Long Trade Setup Entry Strategy: If price drops decisively and reaches the support window between $0.8 and $0.78, consider a long trade on confirmation Stop Loss (SL): Place the SL below $0.77 Target: Aim for a profit target at $0.85 Risk/Reward Ratio: This setup offers an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2.5:1 Keep an eye on the charts, set your alarms to the key support and resistance zones, and wait for a solid signal before jumping in. Be ready to tweak your strategy as the market shifts. Happy trading!
BShort
by SiDec
6
Analysis of Moving average stock (26/Nov/2024)Analysis of Moving average stock (25/Nov/2024) follow for more updates and information Understanding and analysing moving averages is vital when executing technical analysis on stocks and finding ideal stocks to invest in that match the investment strategy. However, finding stocks that fulfil the set moving average criteria is difficult as it requires taking stocks individually and determining if their moving average matches the criteria included in the investment strategy. The process is highly time-consuming and may lead to manual errors, forcing investors to make the wrong investment decisions. A moving average screener is an ideal tool that assists investors in filtering thousands of stocks based on their moving averages to produce a list of stocks that have the same moving averages as the criteria set by the user. Investors can customise moving average stock screeners to meet specific criteria based on the trader's or investor's preferences. For example, some traders may use moving average crossovers to identify entry and exit points in a trade, while others may use moving average trends to identify long-term investment opportunities. However, investors must use the screeners along with other technical indicators and tools to make informed investment decisions.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by ARROWINDEX
MA Trading Strategies for Experienced TradersMA Trading Strategies for Experienced Traders Despite their simplicity, moving average (MA) trading strategies remain popular with experienced traders looking to refine their market analysis. This article delves into various MA types and four advanced MA strategies, including moving average ribbons, envelopes, and channels, providing actionable insights to potentially boost trading performance. Moving Average Indicators: Advanced Types This is a short overview of moving averages (MAs). If you already know this, please scroll down and learn advanced types of MAs and comprehensive trading strategies. Moving averages are fundamental tools used by traders to smooth out price data and identify trends. By averaging the price over a specified period, MAs help traders filter out the noise from random price fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the underlying market direction. Traders use moving averages in various ways, such as determining trend direction, identifying potential support and resistance levels, and confirming other technical indicators. They can also help in spotting reversals and momentum changes. Below are the most notable moving averages that traders can use to construct a strategy. To see how each works, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform to explore every tool described here and a world of more than 1,200 trading tools. Types of Moving Averages Simple Moving Average (SMA) - Overview: The SMA calculates the average of a selected range of prices, typically closing prices, over a specific period. - Usage: SMA trading is straightforward. The Simple Moving Average helps traders identify the direction of the trend by smoothing out short-term fluctuations. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) - Overview: The EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new information. - Usage: It reacts more quickly to price changes than the SMA, which can be beneficial in fast-moving markets. Weighted Moving Average (WMA) - Overview: The WMA assigns different weights to data points, with the most recent prices typically given more importance. - Usage: Like the EMA, it reduces lag but in a slightly different manner by linearly increasing the weight of each successive data point. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) - Overview: The VWMA takes volume into account, giving more weight to price points with higher trading volumes. - Usage: Useful in identifying price moves that are supported by high trading volumes, which can indicate stronger trends​. Hull Moving Average (HMA) - Overview: The HMA aims to improve smoothness and responsiveness to the latest data. It’s calculated using a combination of WMAs. - Usage: Known for its responsiveness and reduced lag, making it a favourite for trend analysis​. Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) - Overview: The ALMA uses a Gaussian distribution to smooth data, reducing lag and improving the reliability of signals. - Usage: It's designed to provide a balance between smoothness and responsiveness. Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) - Overview: The VWAP calculation is based on volume and price. The indicator reflects the average price a security has traded at throughout the day. - Usage: Widely used by institutional traders, VWAP helps determine the true average price of a security over a given period. It is crucial for understanding the market's intraday trend and for executing large orders efficiently without distorting the price. Advanced Moving Average Indicators Moving Average Ribbons - Overview: This involves plotting multiple moving averages of different lengths on the same chart. The Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) is a popular example, using short-term and long-term MAs to analyse market behaviour. - Usage: The spacing and interaction between these ribbons can indicate the strength and direction of a trend. Converging/tightening ribbons may signal a trend reversal while diverging/widening ribbons indicate a strong trend. Moving Average Envelopes - Overview: Envelopes consist of two bands plotted at a fixed percentage distance above and below a moving average (e.g., 2%). - Usage: They help identify overbought and oversold conditions. Price movement outside the envelopes can indicate potential reversal points or the start of strong trends. Moving Average Channels - Overview: Channels are created by plotting a moving average of the highs and a moving average of the lows over a specified period. - Usage: Traders use these channels to identify breakouts and confirm trends. Breakouts beyond the channel may signal the beginning of a new trend​. Four Advanced Moving Average Trading Strategies Here are four advanced moving average trading strategies. You can test other settings to make the strategies more suitable for your trading approach and the timeframe you trade on. Moving Average Ribbon Strategy The Moving Average Ribbon Strategy leverages the Guppy Multiple Moving Averages (GMMA) alongside the ADX to identify potential breakout points. This strategy works by observing the convergence and divergence of multiple MAs to pinpoint moments of price compression and subsequent breakout, enhanced by confirming the trend strength with the ADX. Indicators Used - Guppy Multiple Moving Averages (GMMA): This indicator uses a series of short-term and long-term moving averages. The short-term MAs are sensitive to recent price changes, while the long-term MAs help identify the overall trend. - Average Directional Index (ADX): This measures the strength of a trend, with values above 20 indicating a strong trend. Entry - Traders typically look for the long-term MAs in the GMMA (red) to converge and tighten, indicating a compressed range. - Then they look for the price to break away from the long-term MAs with a series of closes beyond the short-term MAs - below in the downturn and above in the uptrend. Ideally, these are strong closes with minimal wicks, but a series of candles in the projected direction suffice. -The price should remain beyond both the short-term and long-term MAs. - The ADX should be above 20 and rising, indicating strong trending conditions. It shouldn’t be stalling or declining. Sometimes, the ADX crosses above 20 after the price has moved beyond the long-term/short-term MAs; this is also valid. - Once these criteria are met, traders enter with a market order. Stop Loss - Stop loss is commonly set beyond the long-term MAs. This provides a buffer against minor fluctuations and potentially protects against false breakouts. Take Profit - Profits might be taken at key support or resistance levels. - Alternatively, traders might look for the price to close beyond the short-term MAs in the opposite direction (e.g., a bullish close above the MAs in a short trade). - A trailing stop loss positioned beyond the long-term MAs can also be used to capture sustained trends while potentially protecting gains. Moving Average Envelopes Strategy The Moving Average Envelopes Strategy leverages the EMA envelopes to identify potential reversal points by examining price interactions with the upper and lower bands. When combined with RSI, this stock and forex moving average strategy helps traders pinpoint overbought and oversold conditions, offering a robust method for trading reversals. Indicators Used: - Moving Average Envelopes: Uses an exponential moving average (EMA) set to a length of 20. The envelope percentage is adjusted based on asset volatility: 0.25%-0.5% for forex and 1%-2% for stocks might be good starting points, with a lower percentage creating more frequent opportunities but with greater false signals and vice versa. It forms an upper and lower band alongside a central EMA, similar to Bollinger Bands. - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Set to a standard length of 14, indicating overbought conditions above 70 and oversold conditions below 30. Entry - Traders typically observe when the price crosses the moving average envelope bands, either upper or lower. Ideally, the price wicks through and then closes back inside the boundary, but sustained price action beyond these levels is also considered valid. - The RSI should be above 70 for a potential short entry, indicating overbought conditions, or below 30 for a potential long entry, indicating oversold conditions. - An entry might be made once the RSI crosses back into the normal range (between 70 and 30) and the price closes back inside of the bands. Stop Loss - Stop losses are generally set beyond the most recent swing point to potentially provide a buffer against minor fluctuations. Take Profit Profits might be taken at multiple points: - The centerline EMA, which acts as a mean reversion target. This is the smallest target, which may be insufficient when considering the risk/reward ratio. - The opposite envelope bound, capitalising on the price's full range movement. - Significant support or resistance levels, providing predefined exit points. - When the RSI crosses into the opposite territory (e.g., from overbought to oversold), indicating a potential reversal in the opposite direction. Strategy with Three MAs The strategy with three MAs combines the Hull Moving Averages (HMA) with the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) to identify potential trading opportunities. This strategy leverages the smoothness and responsiveness of the HMA and the momentum indications provided by the CCI to capture effective trade entries and exits. Indicators Used - Hull Moving Averages (HMA): Three HMAs with lengths of 13, 36, and 100. - Commodity Channel Index (CCI): A momentum-based oscillator set to a standard length of 20. The CCI measures the difference between the current price and its average over a given period. Entry - Traders look for the price to be above the 100-period HMA for long positions and below it for short positions. - Simultaneously, the CCI should be above 100 for long entries, indicating strong upward momentum, and below -100 for short entries, indicating strong downward momentum. - Traders then watch for the 13-period HMA to cross above the 36-period HMA for long positions or below it for short positions. It should ideally be the first crossover after the price moves above or below the 100-period HMA. Occasionally, the CCI may move above 100 or below -100 shortly after this crossover occurs rather than before. - Once these criteria are met, they enter with a market order. Stop Loss - Stop losses are typically set just beyond the 36-period HMA. - Alternatively, traders may choose the 100-period EMA or a recent swing point. Take Profit - Profits might be taken once the price crosses back over the 100-period HMA, signalling a potential end to the current trend. - Alternatively, traders may choose to take profits at significant support or resistance levels, providing predefined exit points based on market structure. Moving Average Channel Strategy The Moving Average Channel Strategy utilises the Moving Average Channel along with the Parabolic SAR and ADX to identify potential trading opportunities. This strategy helps traders capture breakouts by confirming trend strength and potential reversals, offering a robust approach to trading trending markets. Indicators Used - Moving Average Channel: Set to a length of 50, this channel uses the moving averages of the highs and lows to create two lines, forming a channel around the price. - Parabolic SAR: An indicator that plots dots above or below the price to signal potential reversals. - Average Directional Index (ADX): Measures the strength of a trend, with values above 20 indicating a strong trend. Entry - Traders look for the price to trade through the Moving Average Channel, either breaking from above to below (for a downtrend) or from below to above (for an uptrend), ideally with a series of strong candles. - Simultaneously, the Parabolic SAR should plot dots above the price, indicating a bearish signal, and vice versa. - The ADX should be above 20 and rising, not stalling or declining, confirming a strong and growing trend. - All three signals (price breaking through the channel, Parabolic SAR, and ADX above 20 and rising) should occur relatively close to each other, typically within a few candles. - Once all criteria are met, traders enter. Stop Loss - Stop losses are typically set just beyond the Moving Average Channel or at a nearby swing point. Take Profit - Profits might be taken when the price closes back through the other side of the Moving Average Channel, signalling a potential trend reversal. In this scenario, there is a risk of missing a part of potential profits in the solid trend. - Alternatively, traders might choose to take profits at significant support or resistance levels, providing predefined exit points based on market structure. Best Practices for Using Moving Average Indicators Moving average indicators are essential tools in technical analysis. Here are some best practices to maximise their effectiveness: Choosing the Right Type Selecting the appropriate type of moving average is crucial. For example, an EMA is more responsive to recent price changes, making it suitable for short-term trading, while an SMA may be better for long-term trend analysis. Choosing Suitable Lengths It’s best to use a combination of short-term and long-term moving averages to get a comprehensive view of the market. For instance, combining a 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving average can help in identifying both short-term fluctuations and long-term trends. Experimenting There are various moving average types beyond the well-known SMA and EMA, such as the Hull Moving Average (HMA), Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), and more. Experimenting with different types can help you find the best fit for your MA strategy. Combining with Other Analysis You can potentially enhance your moving average strategy by combining it with other forms of analysis and indicators, such as those described in the strategies above. This will allow you to confirm signals and get a more comprehensive market picture. Backtesting and Forward Testing Before deploying any moving average strategy in real-time, traders typically backtest it with historical data to understand its performance under different market conditions. Then, when transitioning from backtesting to live trading, they forward test with a demo account to refine their strategy without risking real money. Beware of False Signals Moving average crossovers in choppy markets can generate false signals. Consider additional filters, such as trend confirmation from the ADX, to avoid whipsaws. Following these best practices can help you effectively incorporate moving averages into your trading strategies, whether you're using a moving average crossover strategy or an EMA trading strategy. The Bottom Line Advanced moving average strategies can offer a route to potentially enhance your trading analysis and performance. As always, it’s best to experiment with different indicators and backtest strategies to find what works best. To start implementing these strategies, consider opening an FXOpen account. Use our robust tools and enjoy low commissions and tight spreads from 0.0 pips. FAQs How to Use Moving Averages? Moving averages smooth out price data, helping to identify trends and potential support/resistance levels. Traders often use moving averages to determine trend direction, confirm breakouts, and identify reversals. Combining short-term and long-term moving averages provides a well-rounded market overview. For instance, a simple SMA strategy might see a trader watch for a crossover between a pair of long and short-term SMAs before entering. What Is the Simple Moving Average? The Simple Moving Average represents an asset’s average price over a specified period. It's a fundamental tool in trading, smoothing out fluctuations to highlight the underlying trend. An SMA trading strategy typically involves comparing SMAs of different lengths to identify crossovers and trend changes. What Does EMA Stand For in Trading? The EMA stands for the Exponential Moving Average. Unlike the SMA, the EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. This responsiveness makes the EMA popular in strategies that require quick reaction to market movements, such as an EMA crossover strategy. What Moving Average Should Be Used for Day Trading? In moving averages for day trading, shorter periods like the 9 or 21 are often used due to their responsiveness to recent price changes. These shorter EMAs help day traders quickly identify trend direction and potential entry/exit points. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
Mastering the Moving Average: The Trendspotter for Every TraderTradingViewers, this one will take you back to basics. In this Idea we visit a tool that’s as essential as your morning coffee — the Moving Average (MA). This indicator is the market’s smoothing instrument, ironing out the noise and letting you see the trend for what it really is. What’s a Moving Average? Think of the Moving Average as the market’s highlight reel. It averages out price action over a specific period, showing you where the market’s been and giving you a clue about where it might be headed. It’s the ultimate trendspotter, cutting through the daily chatter to reveal the bigger picture. Day traders and scalpers, don’t fret — it works on intraday time frames, too. Types of MAs Simple Moving Average (SMA): The old-school classic. It’s as straightforward as it gets — just an average of days you specify — 7, 9, 21, 50, 100, or even 200 days — that’s called “length”. This tool might be simple, but it’s a mainstay indicator for professional traders, institutional investors, and other big-shot money spinners. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The turbocharged version of the SMA. It gives more weight to recent prices, meaning it reacts quicker to the action. If the SMA is a steady cruise, the EMA is a sports car with a little more kick. How to Use Moving Averages Spotting Trends : The Moving Average is your trend-checking buddy. Prices above the MA? We’re in bull territory. Prices below? Looks like the bears are in control. Slap it on any time frame — it’s the same rules regardless of the time horizon. Support and Resistance : MAs are like the guardrails of the market. They often act as support during uptrends and resistance during downtrends. When price bounces off an MA, it’s like a boxer bouncing off the ropes — watch for the counterpunch! The Golden Cross & Death Cross : Now we’re talking setups that get traders buzzing. When a short-term MA crosses above a long-term MA, you get a Golden Cross – the market’s flashing a buy signal party. But when the opposite happens, it’s a Death Cross, and the bears start licking their lips. Moving Average Crossover : Want some trading action? Watch for crossovers between short and long MAs. For example, throw in your chart a 50-day moving average and then top it up with a 100-day and a 200-day line. If they all cross over to the upside, you can expect a swing higher. And if they cross over to the downside, you can anticipate a swing lower. Pro Tip: Tune Your Moving Average Jot these numbers down — 20, 50, 100, 200 — these are the MA settings you’ll see most, but don’t be afraid to tweak them. A shorter MA (20 or 50) reacts quicker but can whipsaw you. A longer MA (100 or 200) is steadier but might be slower to catch reversals. It’s all about finding the balance that suits your trading style. Bottom Line The Moving Average isn’t about predicting the future — it’s about seeing the present more clearly. It’s the difference between getting lost in the noise and riding the trend with confidence. Whether you’re trend-following or looking for a noiseless entry, the MA is your go-to indicator. So slap that Moving Average on your chart and let it take you beyond the clutter. Because when the market’s moving fast, it pays to have a steady hand guiding your trades. And as essential as MAs are, don't limit your analysis to just one tool: apply several indicators on your chart to spot trends more effectively and enhance your research with data from the economic calendar , screeners, heatmaps, and all kinds of tools available on TradingView to have a bigger picture of market activities. Are you already using MAs in your charting and trading? Let us know in the comments below!
Education
by TradingView
11
Bitcoin Must Show Decisive in its Move before im excitedHi guys. So i posted recently some crypto related stock ideas. I felt like i should do a BTC update as they are directly related. When BTC goes up, all related crypto assets move up. So lets jump right in. This is a 1 week analysis. So we have established a consolidation range. Consolidation ranges is just a price range between which an asset moves up and down in. The key is to observe a confirmation of a breakout either ABOVE or BELOW it. The Key lvls are: 1. $61,000 as support 2. $71,000 as Resistance FOr our Bull market to continue and move into the final supercycle phase of the crypto market we need a DECISIVE BREAK ABOVE 71,000. This will in a short time print a blowoff top and end Bull market. I have up a bunch of Moving averages in different colors. What i'd love to see is from ascending order: Purple 1st Green 2nd Blue 3rd Red at the bottom This order signifies that a Bull market is going on. STOCH RSI has also crossed BUllish above the 20 lvl. If you look left, everytime we've done so We've moved higher. _________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on BTC in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SafofAllTrades
MCK a large cap medical supply company LONGMCK is a large cap medical supply company- it has experienced respectable earnings reports and steady growth as medical entities including surgery centers and hospitals are busy catching up on electric surgeries from the COVID era. It is rising ar or under the second upper VWAP line. The dual time frame RSI indicator ( by Chris Moody) shows that every time the faster RSI ( 1 hour) RSI drops down to the 50 level it rebounds with a corresponding price move up. These episodes are shown as thin black vertical lines. One of them is at present. The forecasting algorithm of Lux Algo predicts a further rise to the level of 575 in the next six weeks. The last earnings was quite solid with the next earnings in 4 weeks. I will take a long trade here. I will add to the position for any dips to or below the running EMA 9 but not reaching the EMA100. I will take a partial profit at 560 and cut the position down to 25% the day before earnings for purposes of good risk management. If price crosses under the running EMA100 I will close the trade and collect the unrealized profit.
NYSE:MCK
by AwesomeAvani
Is the rest for AMZN short-lived LONGAMZN on the 60 minute chart since earnings shows the jump and the sideways consolidation after that. Here the RSI is superimposed on the chart within its own 0-100 scale. It is currently in what should be considered deep undervalued territory and at RSI support /demand. The William's Alligator set of moving averages shows MA compression and so convergence. AMZN's price is now in a tight range with volatility likewise compressed especially compared with that at earnings. In short price is coiled, the potential energy is ready to get converted to kinetic for those who have an understanding of classical physics. All that said, I see AMZN as ready to roll. I will take long trades in shares and options as AMZN is ready to hit the ground running.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by AwesomeAvani
Learn 4 Proven Methods of Applying Moving Average Indicator Hey traders, The moving average is one of the most popular technical indicators. It is applied in stocks/forex/crypto trading and proved its high level of efficiency. There are hundreds of trading strategies based on MA. In this post, we will discuss the 4 most popular ways to apply the moving average. 1️⃣The first method is applied to identify the market trend. While the price keeps trading above the MA, one considers the trend to be bullish and looks for buying opportunities. Once the price starts trading below the MA, the trend is considered to be bearish and a trader is looking for shorting opportunities. In the example above, Moving Average is applied for showing the identification of the market trend. Its upward climb signifies that the market is trading in a strong bullish trend. 2️⃣The second method applies the combination of 2 MA's: preferably a long-term one and a short-term one. The point is that once a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term MA, with high probability, it signifies the initiation of a bullish trend. Alternatively, a crossover of short-term and long-term MA's to the downside indicates a start of a bearish trend. In the example above, there are 2 Moving Averages: short term and long term ones. Their cross signifies the bullish trend violation and initiation of a bearish trend. 3️⃣The third method applies MA as a structure. While the moving average is lying above the price, it is considered to be a dynamic resistance. Staying below the price, it serves as a strong dynamic support. Perceiving MA as the structure, one applies that for trade entries. In the picture above, Moving Average is applied as support on GBPJPY and the price starts growing after its test. 4️⃣The fourth method is aimed to track the crossover of the moving average and the price. The idea is that a bullish violation of the MA by the price gives an early signal for a possible trend reversal. While a bearish breakout of the MA by the market indicates a highly probable bullish trend violation. In the example above, the crossover of the moving average and the price is a perfect indicator of coming bullish and bearish movements. Backtest different MA's inputs and learn to apply that for predicting the future direction of the market and for trading it. Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
14
📈 4 Ways To Use The Moving Average📍 What Is a Moving Average (MA)? In finance, a moving average (MA) is a stock indicator commonly used in technical analysis. The reason for calculating the moving average of a stock is to help smooth out the price data by creating a constantly updated average price. By calculating the moving average, the impacts of random, short-term fluctuations on the price of a stock over a specified time frame are mitigated. Simple moving averages (SMAs) use a simple arithmetic average of prices over some timespan, while exponential moving averages (EMAs) place greater weight on more recent prices than older ones over the time period. Common moving average lengths are 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200. These lengths can be applied to any chart time frame (one minute, daily, weekly, etc.), depending on the trader's time horizon. The time frame or length you choose for a moving average, also called the "look back period," can play a big role in how effective it is. An MA with a short time frame will react much quicker to price changes than an MA with a long look-back period. In the figure below, the 20-day moving average more closely tracks the actual price than the 100-day moving average does. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
6
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Ahead? 📉📊In my analysis of AUD/USD on TradingView, I have identified several bearish signals that suggest the pair may be headed for a downward trend. The pair has been trading within a descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows. Additionally, the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, indicating a possible long-term bearish trend. The RSI is also hovering around the oversold territory, adding to the bearish outlook. 📉📊📉 #AUDUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishOutlook #DescendingChannel #MovingAverages #Oversold #ForexTrading
Short
by ss7trader
My three favourite Moving Averages on any chartI have three Moving Averages that I plot on any market. 7 MA 21 MA 200 MA Here is the JSE ALSI 40 with the three moving averages. In the above daily chart of the JSE you can see I’ve plotted the 7MA (Red), 21MA (Blue) and 200MA (Black). Now I have two simple rules for when the market is in an uptrend or a downtrend. Downtrend with the three Moving Averages You know the market is in a downtrend when the price is below the 200 MA. Also, 200MA is above the 21 Moving Average. And the 21 MA is above the 7MA. In other words. 7MA < 21MA < 200MA. You can see on the left part of the chart where the trend is down (Red arrow). This tells me that the momentum is bearish and the market is more likely to fall than rise. I will then avoid buying the market and instead will only look to short (sell) and profit from a falling market. Then we have the Uptrend with the three Moving Averages What tells me the market is in an uptrend is when the price is above the 200 MA. Also the 7MA is above the 21MA. And the 21MA is above the 200MA. You can see on the right part of the chart where the trend turns up (Green arrow). This tells me that the momentum is bullish and the market is more likely to continue to rise. I will then only look for longs (buy) the market and avoid shorting or selling the market. Now you have my favourite 3 Moving Averages in a bag for you to plot on your chart and master the trends. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader Connect below with the socials...
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
3
Bulls to project first targets.Recent confirmation of leaving the bottom of 40W cycle behind has started fast pace of raise for BTC and other important altcoins. As drawn on the chart we have got first estimation of local target, mid way of the bull run that has started just now. By extending moving averages of recently confirmed cycles, we estimated the point where bitcoin should top off and have some retrace before next stage of this 40W. We estimate the top at 33k by 26th of December along with the top of first 10W cycle. Of course adding some standard deviation is essential for managing the risk level. Bitcoin is getting more and more stable along with the influx of huge institutional funds. It is getting out of being just a speculative asset but a serious instrument so we would not expect some 10k moves but rather a steady up trend. Then we should see some trace back in January, that would lead us to the proper high of the major 40W cycle somewhere between February and March 23. Precise numbers we can estimate after we top off this first 10W cycle that we are riding now.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bartekhl