Important Support and Resistance Zones: 18788.2-18898.9
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The StochRSI indicator has not escaped the oversold zone.
And, since StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, I think it is not a trading period.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above the left Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (18788.2) ~ the right Fibonacci ratio 0.786 (18898.9) and receive support.
If not,
1st: 17854.8-18250.3
2nd: Right Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (17141.4)
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
In the worst case, I think the final range is around 16123.5-16322.6.
-
If it rises above the left Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (18788.2) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 0.786 (18898.9) and receives support,
1st: 19582.6
2nd: 20313.8
You can trade depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
MS
Expected flow during this volatility period
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USDT, USDC seem to have gapped up as the weekend approaches.
I think the gapped up is a sign of funds flowing into the coin market.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a decline in the coin market.
However, since funds flow into the coin market through USDT, I think that USDT dominance will show an upward trend in the medium to long term when considering it from a medium to long term perspective.
When funds flowing into the coin market purchase coins and tokens, USDT or USDC flow back into the exchange, which is expressed as a decline in USDT dominance.
Therefore, I think that in order for a large bull market in the coin market to begin, USDT dominance will start to decline after a large rise.
In that sense, the 4.97 point of USDT dominance is expected to be an important turning point.
If USDT dominance rises above 6.39, the coin market is likely to show a large decline.
I think that if it rises above 6.39 and then falls to the 4.97-6.39 range, the coin market is likely to form a bottom range.
My personal hope is that it will fall after receiving resistance near 6.39 ~ Fibonacci ratio 0.75.
If that happens, I think the coin market will already be on an uptrend before it is recognized as a bottom.
We need to see whether individual investors will recognize it as a bottom and give them a buying opportunity, or whether they will not give them a buying opportunity.
In that sense, I expect the volatility period around September 13 to be a meaningful period.
In fact, this volatility period is the period set on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the actual volatility period is the week before and after September 16.
In other words, if expressed as a 1-day period, it corresponds to September 9-29.
The strong support zone is expected to be around 42K-43K.
I think this is the zone that most people are expecting.
Therefore, if we give individual investors a buying opportunity as I mentioned earlier, I think it will touch around 42K-43K.
If we do not give individual investors a buying opportunity, it is expected to turn upward near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
In other words, it is expected to touch around the Fibonacci ratio of 0.707 (48064.07) ~ 0.786 (51606.42) and turn upward.
-
When looking at the NAS100USD chart, we need to check if the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone again when a new candle is created.
The important zone is the 17854.8 point.
If it falls below this point, it is likely to touch the Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (17141.4) on the right.
Therefore, I expect the trend to form after the volatility period of BTC that I mentioned earlier.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after it rises above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important support and resistance zones touched
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ETH has touched an important support zone.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near 2159.0.
If it falls below 2159.0, you should check whether there is support near 1605.23-1783.0.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next Volatility Period: Around September 13
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The key is whether it can rise after receiving support around 56150.01-56950.56.
Even if it doesn't rise, if it doesn't fall below the short-term downtrend line, I think it has a chance of rising.
If it falls below 56150.01,
1st: 52137.67
2nd: M-Signal on the 1M chart
You should check for support around the 1st and 2nd above.
Due to the rise of USDC, the trend of the coin market is moving in line with the stock market.
I think the launch of ETF products is affecting the coin market.
Looking at the Nasdaq 100 futures chart, the key is whether it can be supported near the important section of 1.902 (18788.2) ~ 0.786 (18898.9).
If it is not supported in this section,
1st: 18250.3
2nd: 17854.8
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd sections above.
If the decline continues, it is expected to ultimately fall to around 16000-17000.
I think the launch of ETF products has laid the foundation for the coin market to transform into a sound investment market.
However, I think that this has led to irregular effects on the coin market, which had been reflecting the flow of indicators well.
The BW indicator touched the 0 point on the BTCUSDT chart.
And, with this decline, it was about to change to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, but it has changed back to the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Because of this, there is a possibility of movement after June 18, so caution is required when trading.
The next volatility period is around September 13, so if it moves sideways around 56K before that, it is judged that there is a possibility of a trend reversal.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported around the 56K-61K rangeHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
Although funds are flowing into the coin market, it seems that there are not many people willing to buy at high prices.
This movement can be seen as a period of buying by large capital forces.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
As a new month begins, a bearish candle is being created.
However, we need to check whether it can rise after receiving support near the 56K-61K section, which is the second section.
The StochRSI indicator appears to have entered the oversold section.
And, the StochRSI EMA indicator is located near the midpoint.
Therefore, it is thought that it will take time for StochRSI > StochRSI EMA to change to a state.
Since there is a possibility that the arrows shown on the TS - BW indicator will appear, even if it leads to an additional decline, the second section is expected to eventually become an important support and resistance section.
If the price is located near the second section, it is difficult to see it as a downward trend from a long-term perspective.
-
The strong support zone is the 3rd zone, i.e., around 42K-43K.
However, if USDT and USDC maintain a gap uptrend, it is not expected to fall to the 42K-43K zone.
It seems possible that it will touch the 0.707 (48064.07) area once again.
--------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
It is expected that the trend will be newly formed as volatility occurs around the week including September 16th.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 56K and rise above 61K.
If it falls below 56K after a period of volatility and shows resistance,
1st: M-Signal on 1M chart
2nd: 48K
3rd: 42K-43K
You need to check for support near the 1st-3rd above.
The key is whether you can continue the upward trend along the important rising channel.
-
You need to check whether the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone as a new candle is created.
------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The section formed by the upper line of the short-term falling channel and the lower line of the medium- to long-term rising channel can be seen as the trend reversal zone.
Therefore, the area around 56K is an important section.
-
The StochRSI indicator is showing a change in slope in the oversold zone.
Accordingly, if the StochRSI indicator breaks out of the oversold zone and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is expected to enter a period where a buy can be made.
The important thing in this movement is which support and resistance points are supported.
-
The 57937.19 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart.
Therefore, unless a new HA-Low indicator is created, the buy period is the 57937.19 section.
Therefore, when a new candle is created, I will update it again.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Check support near 59053.55Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
The StochRSI indicator is showing a shaky appearance as it falls below the midpoint.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check the movement of the StochRSI indicator when a new candle is created.
If the StochRSI indicator does not rise above the midpoint, the next volatility zone of the StochRSI indicator will be near the oversold zone.
-
With this decline, the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was touched again.
Therefore, if it is not supported near 59053.55, it is likely to touch near 56150.01-56950.56.
-
What is important in the current flow is whether it can rise along the medium- to long-term upward channel.
And if it does not re-enter the short-term downward channel, it is expected to eventually rise to near 61099.25.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Located in an important trend reversal zoneHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(1D chart)
USDT dominance is located in an important reversal zone.
It is an important point to watch whether it can meet resistance near the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and fall below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, creating a state where the M-Signal of the 1D chart < M-Signal of the 1W chart < M-Signal of the 1M chart.
Since the decline in USDT dominance is likely to show an upward trend in the overall coin market, if the M-Signal indicator reverses this time, a trend reversal is expected.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Accordingly, the 61099.25 point is an important support and resistance zone.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
Bearing trend turning point: 19250.0Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the left Fibonacci ratio 2 (19441.0) and rise above 20313.8.
If not, and it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has turned downward, it is important to see whether there is support at the current price position.
Since it has turned downward, it is likely to lead to further decline.
Therefore, if it does not receive support, it is likely to lead to further decline.
At this time, the important thing is whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
The final downtrend point is the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and the current HA-Low indicator point is 18250.3.
-
(Renko 1D chart)
As you can see from the Renko chart, the downtrend turning point is at 19250.
Therefore, in the general chart above, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator part of the 1D chart and bounce.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
The key is whether M-Signal can maintain its alignmentHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(Renko 1D chart)
Among altcoins, the number of coins showing upward movement as above is increasing.
In order for a block to be completed, it must rise by more than a block unit.
In the chart above, the rising block is completed only if it rises by more than 5.2.
Otherwise, if it falls below 4.8, the rising block disappears.
In this way, the Renko chart can be said to be a suitable chart for checking trends.
-
(SOLUSDT Renko 1D chart)
-------------------------------------------
(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
(1W chart)
(1D chart)
If you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts above, you can see that the 147.74, 168.41, and 179.89 points are important.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 168.41, it is important to find support near 147.74.
-
Due to this rise, it seems that the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart has changed.
Therefore, this time, it is important to see whether it can be supported near 147.74 and rise above 179.89.
-
Accordingly, it is a buying period depending on whether it is supported near 147.74, 168.41, and 179.89.
The stop loss point is the HA-Low indicator.
The current HA-Low indicator points are
1M: Not yet created
1W: 13.81
1D: 148.28
as above.
Since the HA-High and HA-Low indicators are created according to price fluctuations, it is recommended to check the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts together.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 0.6013Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(XRPUSDT 1D chart)
XRP is moving sideways, but I think it is rising along a long-term rising channel.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 0.6013 and rise above the long-term rising trend line -1.
-
If it falls below 0.6013, it is important whether it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If not, you should check whether it is supported near 0.5682.
If that happens, when the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart, I think it is highly likely that a full-scale uptrend will begin as it breaks through the long-term rising channel upward.
-
If it fails to rise and falls below the M-Signal indicators of the 1W and 1M charts, it is expected to fall near the HA-Low indicator (currently 0.5083) of the 1D chart.
-
If it rises above the long-term rising trend line-1,
1st: 0.5 (0.7144)
2nd: 0.618 (0.8121)
The 1st and 2nd areas above correspond to the support and resistance areas.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Point to break out of short-term downtrend channel (2851.75)
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above 2851.75 to break out of the short-term downtrend channel.
-
Currently, it has risen above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Therefore, from a long-term perspective, it is possible that the uptrend will continue.
However, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart must be in that state.
Therefore, we need to see if it can maintain the price by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart after the volatility period around September 8th.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, it is important at what point it finds support when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and becomes StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 2851.75 and falls, it is important to see if it can find support around 2621.99-2700.43.
If it finds support around 2621.99-2700.43 and switches to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise above 2851.75.
-
If the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart rises above, the HA-High indicator (3265.00) of the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator (3321.30) of the 1M chart are likely to be the first resistance zones.
-
The volatility period on the BTCUSDT chart is around September 13.
However, the volatility period on the ETHUSDT chart is expected to start around September 8.
Therefore, the key is whether it can escape the short-term downtrend channel after September 8.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
First support and resistance zone: 63118.62-64000.0Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
It is showing an upward trend along an important rising channel.
However, since the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart is 65920.71, it is possible that the upward trend will start if it receives support near this point.
Therefore, the area around 63118.62-64000.0 corresponds to the first support and resistance zone in this rise.
-
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The 61099.25 point is the HA-High indicator point of the 1M chart.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above 61099.25, it can be interpreted that a full-scale uptrend has begun in the long term.
A full-scale uptrend is because the HA-High indicator makes a stepwise rise.
However, since the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart for an actual full-scale uptrend to occur, it must eventually rise above 67614.25 and maintain the price.
-
The important volatility period is around September 13.
It is expected that a mid- to long-term trend will be formed after passing this volatility period.
Therefore, it is important to see in which direction it deviates from the 61099.25-70195.94 section after passing the volatility period.
------------------------------------------------------------
I think that as long as USDT continues to rise, the coin market is likely to continue to rise.
However, short-term fluctuations may occur depending on the flow of USDC.
If USDT and USDC gapped up, I think it means that funds have flowed into the coin market.
On the other hand, if they gapped down, it means that funds have flowed out of the coin market.
Therefore, the most important thing to look at is the movement of USDT.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
To turn into an uptrend...Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
The key is whether it can receive support in the 59053.55-61099.25 range and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
In order to turn into an uptrend, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart at least.
Therefore, whether or not there is support near 61099.25 is an important point for turning into an uptrend.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
Important section: 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.88)Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
The key is whether the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart can rise above and maintain the price.
To do so, we need to check whether it can rise along the rising trend line during the volatility period starting around the week of August 19.
If not, and it falls below 2531.05, there is a possibility that it will fall again to around 2159.0, so we need to think about a countermeasure for this.
-
Currently, the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone and is maintaining the status of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Therefore, it is important to see if it can be supported around the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.88) section.
Therefore, it is recommended to proceed with a purchase when the StochRSI indicator is out of the oversold section and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
However, since the current chart is a 1W chart, it is possible that it has shown a lot of increase when the above situation occurs.
Therefore, you should check whether there is support in the section (2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.88)) and see if you can proceed with a split purchase.
-
If you compare the current flow with the past flow, it seems to be showing a movement corresponding to around May 9, 2022.
However, the current situation is a bit different from that time.
When it was around May 9, 2022, there was a decline in USDT, but currently, USDT is showing an increase.
Therefore, I think it is showing a different flow than before in that it is time to find a time to buy even if it falls further than the current price, not a time to find a time to cut losses.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Need to check support near 57754.37-57937.19Hello, traders.
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
USDT is maintaining a gap uptrend.
What is unusual is that the upper tail is long.
I think the size of the candle is formed due to trading.
Therefore, we can see that there are currently many transactions.
-
(USDC 1D chart)
It rose near the important volume profile area of 32.435B and is currently moving sideways near 26.153B.
This suggests that USDC is very likely to turn upward.
I think that the gap increase of USDT or USDC is a sign of inflow of funds, so if the gap increase continues, I think it is a buying period and I should think about a response plan.
-
(BTC.D 1M chart)
(USDT 1M chart)
Money is flowing into the coin market, but it is still not a good trend for actual trading.
To trade altcoins, it is recommended to proceed when BTC.D shows a downward trend.
However, the USDT.D chart must show a downward trend.
---------------------------------------------------------
According to the Renko chart, it needs to fall below 56K to continue the downward trend.
It needs to rise above 59500 to turn into an upward trend.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The area around 56K corresponds to the 2nd section when viewed from the 1M chart.
Therefore, if it falls below 56K, I think it is highly likely to turn into a downtrend in the long term.
However, since the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1M chart) indicator is passing through the 0.707 (48064.07) ~ 0.786 (51606.42) section, it is expected to act as the 1st support section.
The strongest support section is 42K-43K.
-
What we should pay attention to is the location of the StochRSI indicator.
You can see that the price range is different when you touch the M-Signal on the 1M chart in 2022 and when you touch the M-Signal on the current 1M chart.
That much shows that the current trend is maintaining an upward trend.
Therefore, a trading strategy for an upward trend is needed in the long term.
You should also check if there is a lot of trading volume, like the candles that indicate a buy zone, but I think it is more important to purchase while maintaining the proportion of cash held compared to your investment funds.
From a spot trading perspective, the current movement, that is, when it shows a downward trend, can be said to be a good time to seize the opportunity.
The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator leaves the oversold zone and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, there is a high possibility that a long-term uptrend will begin.
However, since it is a 1M chart, it will have already risen a lot when the above phenomenon occurs.
---------------------------------------------
(1W chart)
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward high wave.
This means that the upward strength is weak.
Therefore, we can see that the downward strength is strong.
Therefore, the important key is whether it can rise along the important upward channel.
We can see that the area around 56K is an important support and resistance zone.
-
The important thing is that a full-fledged trend is expected to form around the week including September 16th.
Based on the current movement, it seems likely that the trend at that time will be a downward trend, but based on the flow of funds, it is likely that it will show an upward trend.
Therefore, we need to think about how to proceed with buying whenever the price falls.
-----------------------------------------------------
(1D chart)
To do that, you need to find a way to increase your holding ratio while appropriately performing buys and sells.
For this, you can also use the StochRSI indicator.
-
It re-entered the short-term downtrend channel as it fell below 59053.55.
Therefore, the possibility of further decline is increasing.
However, it is likely to show volatility after August 18.
At this time, the key is whether it rises along the mid- to long-term rising channel.
If it fails to rise along the mid- to long-term rising channel even after August 18, it is likely to touch the 49676.20-52137.67 area again.
-
If it shows support near the HA-Low indicator point (57754.37-57937.19) of the current 1D chart, it is time to proceed with a purchase.
Based on the current flow, it seems difficult to actually purchase, but I think you can proceed with the transaction depending on your average purchase price or cash holding ratio.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
SOL maintaining an upward trendHello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1M chart)
Due to this change, the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is showing signs of moving to the 147.74 point.
Accordingly, we need to check if it can receive support and rise around 0.707 (135.56) ~ 0.786 (149.62).
-
(1W chart)
We need to check if it can continue the upward trend along the upward trend line.
If not,
1st: 0.5 (98.71) ~ 0.618 (119.71)
2nd: 0.236 (51.71) ~ 0.382 (77.70)
You need to check the support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
(1D chart)
Unlike most other coins, it is one of the coins that is maintaining an upward trend.
Accordingly, if SOL is supported in this large downtrend, it is expected to create a new large upward wave.
-
A new buy zone is possible when support is confirmed near 134.96-147.74.
If it rises, the 168.41-179.89 zone will be the first sell zone.
Therefore, it is highly likely that a full-scale uptrend will begin when the price rises above 179.89 and holds.
The stop loss point is 112.24.
Since the stop loss point is far away, investment weight adjustment is necessary.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next Volatility Period: Around August 14th - 18thHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1M Chart)
You can see that the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) section is an important section.
If it falls in this section, it is likely to turn into a downtrend in the long term, so be careful when trading.
-
(1W chart)
If it falls in the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) range, it is likely to eventually touch the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, as the price falls, we need to check at what point the HA-Low indicator is generated.
If not, it is expected to fall to around 1340.12, where the HA-Low indicator is currently located.
However, we need to check for support near the 2159.00 point (the bottom point of the HA-High indicator box on the 1M chart) and the 1783.0 point (the top point of the HA-Low indicator box on the 1W chart).
If it rises, it is likely to face resistance near 3265.0-3321.30, so we need to check for support.
-
(1D chart)
It is a medium-term rising channel, that is, it has entered a short-term falling channel while falling from the rising trend line (1) ~ (2) section.
This short-term falling channel is a channel made up of high-point trend lines.
Therefore, if it falls from this channel, it is thought that it is likely to record another large decline.
That is why the key is whether there is support near the 1783.0-2159.0 section.
-
When making new purchases, it is recommended to check whether there is support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart if possible.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 3079.59 point.
However, since there is a high possibility that a new HA-Low indicator will be created depending on price fluctuations, I think it is better to wait for it to be created at some point.
-
The time to buy is when StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and the StochRSI indicator is out of the oversold zone, and you can proceed by checking whether there is support at the support and resistance points.
Currently, I think it is most likely to check whether there is support above the 2531.05 ~ 0.382 (2647.80) range.
If it falls,
1st: 2159.0
2nd: 1783.0
You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Need to check if this volume can change the trendHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1M chart)
-
(1W chart)
-
(1D chart)
With this large volume, I expect there to be a change in the trend.
Accordingly, I think there can be two expected movements.
1. If it rises to around 59053.55 after the volatility period around August 12th and re-enters the medium- to long-term rising channel.
At this time, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 61099.25.
2. If it falls along the short-term falling channel and starts to rise around 49676.20-52137.67 and breaks out of the short-term falling channel after the volatility period around September 13th.
At this time, the key is that it should show support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
-
If it falls in the short-term falling channel other than the above case and falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is possible that it will touch the 42K-43K area, which is forming a strong support zone.
In this case, it should show support while showing a similar trading volume to this time.
I will explain in detail when it shows up, because it is something that I hate to imagine.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The volatility period starting this time is important...Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The StochRSI indicator has fallen below the midpoint.
Therefore, when this month's candle closes, we need to see if it can close above the 1st.
If not, and it closes near the 2nd, the StochRSI indicator is expected to fall further.
However, if a new HA-High indicator (61099.25) is formed near the 2nd and it shows support near that area, I think it is highly likely that the StochRSI indicator will show an upward trend.
-----------------------------------
(1W chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, the volatility period is around the week of July 29th.
Therefore, it can be seen that it is currently in the volatility period.
Since the HA-High indicator is formed at 65920.71, trading is possible depending on whether there is support around this area.
The meaning of receiving support from the HA-High indicator and rising can be interpreted as meaning that there is a possibility of renewing the previous latest high.
Therefore, there is a possibility of rising above 71K.
However, since the first section is 1.13 (67031.36) ~ 69000, the key is whether it can break through this section upward.
In any case, the key is whether it can rise along the important rising channel after passing this volatility period.
If it does not, and falls below 56K and shows resistance, it is expected to turn into a downtrend.
This volatility period is expected to play an important role in determining the trend in the second half of this year, so it seems that we should closely watch the flow.
The trend that is about to form after this volatility period is expected to become full-fledged after mid-September.
Therefore, rather than rushing to start trading, I think it is better to start trading slowly when you have some confidence.
-
The StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is showing a strong downward trend.
However, the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart can be seen as showing a weak downward trend.
Therefore, we should check whether the StochRSI indicator rises above the midpoint when a new candle is created next week.
If it does not rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart and the StochRSI indicator does not rise above the midpoint, there is a possibility that the downward trend will become stronger again, so caution is required.
---------------------------------------
(1D chart)
The important volatility period is the volatility period shown on the 1W chart.
However, I think it is highly likely that a trend will gradually form after passing the volatility period shown on the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to check what kind of movement it shows after passing the volatility period around July 28 (July 27-29).
The 65920.71-67614.25 section is an important section made up of the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Since the creation of the HA-High indicator means that a high point section has been formed, the presence of support near the HA-High indicator is important.
Since the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the high point section, in most cases, the area near the HA-High indicator corresponds to the resistance section.
However, in order for a large uptrend, i.e. a step-up, to begin, the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator.
According to this correlation, the current average purchase price corresponds to the trading point.
-
After touching the HA-Low indicator and rising, the HA-High indicator showed a step-up, showing a large uptrend, and now it is touching the HA-Low indicator again and showing the same movement as the current one.
Therefore, if the price can be maintained by rising above the HA-High indicator this time, it is highly likely to show a new uptrend.
However, if it fails and falls, the HA-Low indicator is likely to show a step-down, so caution is required.
-
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator, it is highly likely to update the latest low, so caution is required when trading.
Therefore, it is recommended to start trading after confirming the support from the HA-Low indicator, that is, the rising pattern.
If the HA-Low indicator is supported and rises, there is a high possibility of obtaining high profits.
-
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising past the 62K level.
Therefore, after the volatility period around July 28, the key issue is whether there is support around 63118.62-64000.0.
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is showing a pattern of being created at the 61099.25 point, if it falls below this point and shows resistance, you should ask for a countermeasure for the stepwise downtrend.
Therefore, the direction in which it deviates from the 65920.71-67614.25 section in the 63118.62-64000.0 is something to check during this volatility period (around July 28).
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
A full-scale uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The next bull market is expected to touch 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
MS | SHORTNYSE:MS
Technical Analysis of Morgan Stanley (MS)
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
Price: $95.85
Recent Drop: -5.91 (-5.81%)
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: $93.99 (Bearish Line)
Further Supports: $92.66 (Target Price 1), $86.34 (Target Price 2), and $82.74 (Target Price 3)
Trendlines:
The price has broken below the upward trendline, indicating a potential shift from a bullish to a bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Current RSI: 52.21
The RSI shows a decline, indicating increasing selling pressure but still in a neutral zone.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: $92.66
This level is the immediate support and a potential first target for any continued downward movement.
Target Price 2: $86.34
If the price breaks below the immediate support, the next target is around $86.34, a previous support level.
Target Price 3: $82.74
Further downside could see the price reaching $82.74, another key support level.
Summary:
Morgan Stanley (MS) has experienced a significant drop, breaking below a key support level and its upward trendline. The next levels to watch are $93.99, $92.66, $86.34, and $82.74. The RSI is neutral, suggesting the potential for further declines if market conditions remain negative.
Expected Volatility Period: Around August 5 (August 4-6)Hello, traders.
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1M Chart)
The key is whether it can maintain an uptrend along the long-term rising channel.
To do so, it is necessary to check whether it is supported and rising around 0.382 (0.6166).
The most important support area is around 0.47.
If the price maintains above 0.47, XRP is expected to form an uptrend.
If the uptrend continues,
1st: 0.5 (0.7144) ~ 0.7460
2nd: 1.0409
The 1st and 2nd areas above are expected to act as resistance.
-
(1W chart)
A volume profile area has been formed in the 0.5455-0.6070 area.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise in the 0.5455-0.6070 area.
Therefore, whether it can be supported or not in the 0.382 (0.6166) area is important.
If it falls below the 0.47 point and shows resistance, I think it would be better to wait until it rises again without trading if possible.
If you want to buy, it is better to buy when it rises rather than when it falls.
The reason is that if it falls below 0.47, it will enter the mid- to long-term investment zone, so I don't know when it will rise.
We need to check whether it can break through the first resistance zone of 0.6810-0.7460.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 0.6296 and rise.
If not, we need to check which direction it deviates from the 0.6070-0.6296 zone and maintains the price after around August 5.
-
The fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that a high point zone has been formed.
Therefore, in most cases, it will not break through the box zone of the HA-High indicator and will fall.
If it does not and breaks through the box zone of the HA-High indicator upward, there is a high possibility that an upward trend will begin.
In this sense, the 0.5682-0.5979 section should be interpreted as an important support and resistance section for an upward trend.
Accordingly, if we look at it comprehensively, the 0.5455-0.6296 section is an important support and resistance section.
If we think about a trading strategy based on this section,
Buy section: 0.5682-0.5979, 0.6296
Stop loss section: 0.5455
1st sell section: 0.6810-0.7460
You should set it as above and think about whether you can proceed with the transaction according to your trading strategy.
The box section of the HA-High indicator of the current 1D chart is 0.5833-0.6379.
The box section of the HA-High indicator of the previous 1D chart is 0.5712-0.7077.
Therefore, there is a possibility that it will be restricted in its rise, but if it shows support near the HA-High indicator of the current 1D chart, it is expected that it will maintain its upward trend.
Therefore, the current wave can be said to be the beginning of a different wave from the previous wave.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale upward trend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Main Volatility Period: Around July 28thHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I'm back from vacation a little early and leaving some ideas.
---------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
USDT seems to be maintaining an uptrend.
It seems to have created a long tail this time.
We need to check if it can continue the gap uptrend.
-
(USDC chart)
We need to check if it can be maintained above 32.435B, which is considered an important point for USDC, or if it can continue the gap uptrend.
I think the gap uptrend of USDT or USDC is a trace of funds flowing into the coin market.
------------------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1M chart)
We need to check if it can meet resistance in the 55.01-62.47 range and fall.
If BTC dominance rises above 62.47, the coin market is expected to show a large downtrend.
If it is maintained below 55.01 or shows a downward trend, I think it is highly likely that the altcoin bull market will begin.
-
(USDT.D 1M chart)
However, USDT dominance must be maintained below 4.97 or show a downward trend.
Therefore,
- BTC.D: below 55.01,
- USDT.D: below 4.97
If the above conditions are met, the coin market is highly likely to show an upward trend.
----------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
The BTCUSD chart is an INDEX chart provided by TradingView.
Based on this chart, we can see that it has been in an upward trend for 3 years and in a downward trend for 1 year.
Therefore, if it follows these rules, it is expected to continue its upward trend until 2025.
Therefore, if it continues to rise until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 1.618 (89126.41).
If it rises to its maximum, it is expected to touch around 2 (106275.10).
------------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
According to the explanation of the BTCUSD chart above, there is a section that must be guarded in order to continue the upward trend.
That section is the 2nd section (56K-61K).
If not, if it falls below 56K and shows resistance, it should check whether it is supported in the very important section of 42283.58-43.160.0.
-
If you look closely at the 2nd section, you can see that it corresponds to the previous high section.
Therefore, if it receives support near the second section, I think it is highly likely that the buying force will increase and show an upward trend.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has fallen below the midpoint, we can see that the downward strength has increased.
Therefore, we can see that support near the second section is important.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The 65920.71 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart.
Therefore, a full-scale uptrend on the 1W chart can only begin if the price is maintained above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
If not, it will act as resistance.
-
The important rising channel corresponds to the channel where the rising wave started.
Therefore, if it falls below this important rising channel, it is highly likely to form a new trend, so we need to check if it can rise along this rising channel.
Therefore, if it falls below 56K, it should be interpreted as highly likely to create a downward wave.
--------------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, there is a period of volatility around the end of July.
Therefore, based on this, looking at the 1D chart, it corresponds to the main volatility period around July 28.
However, it is expected that volatility will begin around July 15 and full-blown volatility will appear around July 28.
Depending on the direction it moves during this volatility period, I think it is highly likely that a trend will be created around August 12.
-
What we need to check as we pass this period of volatility is what it looks like in the important support and resistance areas.
Important support and resistance areas are:
1. HA-High indicator point (65920.71) on the 1W chart ~ HA-High indicator point (67614.25) on the 1D chart
2. HA-High indicator point (61099.25) on the 56K ~ 1M chart
3. 42K ~ 43K
You should check what kind of movement is shown around 1 ~ 3 above.
-
Currently, the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend after touching the highest point of the overbought zone.
However, it is still in the overbought zone and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, so you can see that the upward strength is still strong.
Therefore, rather than judging that it will fall soon and proceeding with a trade in advance, I think it is better to take some time to check the situation.
The 61099.25 point is where the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart is about to be created, so if it receives support near this point, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend.
Therefore, you should consider your average purchase price, but if the average purchase price is formed below 61099.25, it is recommended to watch the situation a little longer.
-
Since it has just come out of the short-term downtrend channel, it is highly likely that a support zone will be formed.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that a pull back pattern will be shown.
Therefore, if a pull back pattern is formed, it is expected to be around 59053.55-61099.25.
This is because it will prevent it from re-entering the short-term downtrend channel.
-
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a low zone has been formed, and the fact that the HA-High indicator was created means that a high zone has been formed.
Therefore, in order to form a trend, it must fall below the HA-Low indicator or rise above the HA-High indicator.
If not, it will form a box section, i.e. a sideways section.
------------------------------------------------------
To summarize the above,
1. The start of a full-scale uptrend requires the price to be maintained above 67614.25, which corresponds to the last buying period and a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin.
2. If it fails to rise above the HA-High indicator, it is likely to fall near the HA-Low indicator, and if it falls below the HA-Low indicator (57754.37), a stepwise downtrend is likely to begin.
3. The main volatility period is around July 28, but volatility is likely to occur around July 15.
Depending on the direction of movement during this volatility period, it is likely to form a trend around August 12.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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