The importance of explanation of the basis
(Title) The important thing in chart analysis is the explanation of the basis.
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You need to read the explanation below to understand the points, sections, and volatility periods that I'm talking about.
However, for those who don't need that, I'll briefly explain it first.
Support section
1st: 65920.71-67414.39
2nd: 61099.25-62540.0
Resistance section
68955.88-72078.1
The next volatility period is around November 7th, so the point to watch is which section of the section I mentioned above it is located in after passing this volatility period.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend after approaching the highest point (100).
The StochRSI indicator used in this chart is an indicator created by changing the formula of the general StochRSI indicator, so there may be a slight difference from the StochRSI indicator you are actually using.
The setting values of the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
In any case, since the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend, it seems likely to lead to an additional decline.
However, if the StochRSI indicator has not fallen from the overbought zone, there is a possibility of a rebound, so it is necessary to check the support and resistance points formed at the current price position.
The current price seems to be located near the Mid (50) indicator and the HA-HIgh indicator is about to be newly created.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 67414.39 point, the support around that point is an important issue.
Since the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is formed at the 65920.71 point, we can see that the important section is around 65920.71-67414.39.
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If the HA-HIgh indicator of the 1D chart is newly created, the HA-High of the 1D chart > HA-High of the 1W chart > HA-High of the 1M chart, so the regular array of the M-Signal indicator, which is a trend perspective, is expected to create a regular array from the post-trading perspective as well.
If this regular array state is created, it is more likely to create a new upward wave, so it is more advantageous to look at the market from a long (LONG) perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that the important point of observation will be where support is received at this initialization of the StochRSI indicator.
The initialization of the StochRSI indicator means moving from the overbought section -> oversold section, oversold section -> overbought section.
When this initialization process is performed,
- When falling from the overbought section,
- When located in the middle point,
- When rising from the oversold section,
Volatility is likely to occur when passing through the three areas above.
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Considering the importance of support and resistance points, the movement of the StochRSI indicator, and the M-Signal indicator, it is expected that the upward trend will continue if the price is maintained above 62540.0.
If possible, we should check if it can be supported and rise near 65920.71-67414.39.
If the BW (100) indicator on the 1D chart is not regenerated, it is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin only when it rises above 72078.1.
Therefore, from the current price position, it is expected that how it will break through the 68955.88-72078.1 range will have a major impact on the future trend.
The next volatility period is around November 7.
-
(1W chart)
If you look at the 1W chart, you can see a clearer movement than the 1D chart.
------------------------------------------
I think trading is classifying the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts according to importance and creating a trading strategy accordingly.
This is what I said in the previous idea about why support and resistance points are important.
In order to classify the importance, you need to look at how densely the candles are arranged.
In other words, you need to look at how many sideways sections are created.
You can also use the Renko chart for this.
If you share and use this chart, the HA-High, HA-Low, BW (100), and BW (0) indicators form the most important support and resistance points when trading.
And the next important indicators are the Mid (50) and OBV 0 indicators.
To check this, draw the indicators formed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, and they will immediately act as support and resistance points.
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Although the coin market is a market that follows trends, you cannot know everything from the trend.
In other words, you need support and resistance points and the StochRSI indicator to check volatility.
If you don't check this, I don't think it's easy to check volatility.
I explained how to check trend lines and volatility periods with the previous idea.
I'll take the time to explain it again next time.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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MS
Configuring channeling between indicators
Configuring channeling between indicators (StochRSI, BW reference)
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
From September 22 to 28, the StochRSI indicator was maintained at the highest point (100).
Since October 16, the StochRSI indicator has risen above 99.
Accordingly, there may be additional increases.
At this time, the point of observation is whether it can rise to the vicinity of 71280.01-72078.1.
It is expected that the StochRSI indicator will have to rise above 68955.88 to touch the highest point (100).
I think that the longer the StochRSI indicator stays in the overbought zone, the stronger the downward pressure becomes.
Therefore, this pressure is likely to appear as a sharp change in the StochRSI indicator.
The StochRSI indicator cannot tell the fluctuation range.
Therefore, we can only make predictions by referring to the important support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
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In order for BTC to continue its full-scale upward trend, the price must be maintained above the HA-HIgh indicator.
Accordingly, from the current perspective, the price must be maintained above 61099.25-65920.71.
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(1M chart)
It seems that the change started on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to look at the section where a new candle is created.
From the current perspective, the BW (100) line is created at 68955.88, 71280.01, and 72078.1.
Therefore, these points may correspond to resistance sections.
Breaking through this point upward means renewing the high section, which increases the possibility of creating a new wave.
-
New indicators called OBV Up and OBV Down have been added.
These indicators also display the high and low sections.
It is expected to be useful when creating detailed trading strategies and response strategies.
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The HA-Low, HA-High, BW (0), and BW (100) indicators display the low and high sections, respectively.
Therefore, the basic trading method is to buy at the HA-Low, BW (0) point and sell at the HA-High, BW (100) point.
Therefore, the HA-Low ~ HA-High, BW (0) ~ BW (100) section can be considered as the box section.
A trend can be considered to be formed only when this section is exceeded.
The box section consisting of the HA-Low ~ HA-High, BW (0) ~ BW (100) section can be considered as channeling in a broad sense.
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(Renko 1D chart)
If the price is maintained above 68K, it is highly likely to create a new wave.
This makes it more likely to break out of the downward sideways movement.
If it falls below 68K, it is necessary to check whether it is supported around 58K-62K.
----------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
The key to futures trading is forced liquidation.
Therefore, I think how to close the transaction before being forced liquidated is an important issue.
In order to make a big profit, you need to set the leverage or investment ratio high.
However, you need to make a careful decision because the forced liquidation point is getting closer.
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If you traded as a sell (SHORT) at the 69001.8 point, and the price rises, and the forced liquidation point is formed above the 72153.8 point, I think you can maintain the sell (SHORT) position.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone and is close to the highest point (100).
In this situation, I think the term used is rising short (increasing the proportion of SHORT positions when the price rises).
The opposite is falling long (increasing the proportion of LONG positions when the price falls).
You need to respond according to your forced liquidation point.
If possible, in futures trading, it is good for your mental health to start trading with one buy (LONG) and sell (SHORT) and cut your loss when the opposite movement occurs.
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Currently, the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart, that is, a regular array.
In this case, it is better to trade with a buy (LONG) position.
However, when the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone as it is now, it is not the time to start trading with a buy (LONG) position.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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The start of a new wave: 2630.0-2772.42
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The support and resistance points are likely to have changed due to changes in the indicator formula.
Please note this.
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Fibonacci-related chart tools are used for chart analysis.
Therefore, you should be aware that the support and resistance points drawn using the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are different.
-
(ETHUSDT 12M chart)
ETH is one of the coins expected to show a larger increase than BTC.
Therefore, I think it is a coin that is worth investing in long term along with BTC.
The most important volume profile section on the 12M chart is 736.42.
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(1M chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is formed at 3321.30.
Therefore, in order for a full-fledged uptrend to begin, the price must be maintained above the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
The current point of interest is whether it can be supported and rise near the MS-Signal indicator.
If the MS-Signal indicator falls,
1st: 2159.0
2nd: 1.585.33
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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(1W chart)
Since there are many lines, it can be dizzying, so I marked important support and resistance zones with circles.
Therefore, you can create chart analysis or trading strategies centered on the zones marked with circles.
The current 2630.0-2772.42 zone is supported, and the key is whether it can rise above 3014.05.
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(1D chart)
I think you can see if the current zone, that is, the 2630.0-2772.42 zone, is an important support and resistance zone.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above the current zone.
However, since the current StochRSI indicator is located near the highest point (100) of the overbought zone, the pressure for a decline will increase over time.
Therefore, the point to watch is how the StochRSI indicator is initialized.
In other words, when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone to the oversold zone or rises from the oversold zone to the overbought zone, it is called initialization.
If the price is maintained around 2630.0-2772.42 when initialization is performed like this, it is expected to create a new rising wave.
To do so, it is possible that it will rise to around 3014.04 and then fall, or fall below 2630.0-2772.42 and then rise again.
Of course, it can move sideways like this.
In any case, the price position is an important key point when the StochRSI indicator is initialized.
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Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1W, 1M chart is passing through the 2630.0-2772.42 section, it is expected that a new rising wave will be created if the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart rises above the 2630.0-2772.42 section.
Therefore, I think it is highly likely that it will be the last buying section before the new wave starts.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Why Support and Resistance Points Are Important
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(APEUSDT.P 1M chart)
Usually, the arrangement of candles is used to indicate support and resistance points.
Basically, indicators are used to indicate support and resistance points.
However, I feel like support and resistance points are needed in the 1.9101-6.7780 range.
So, there is a possibility that support and resistance points are drawn near where the fingers are pointing.
The price is currently under 1.9101, so let's check it out on another time frame chart.
In any case, the point to watch is whether it can rise after receiving support in the 1.3270-1.9101 section.
-
(1W chart)
When drawing support and resistance points using indicators, it is best to draw indicators that are currently marked with candles.
This is because it means that the current point is acting as support and resistance.
Other than that, you can mark indicators that are thought to have a longer horizontal line than other horizontal lines.
If you check the chart above, I think you'll understand what I mean.
Since the important support and resistance points are indicators that are currently marked with candles, you can create a trading strategy targeting the corresponding horizontal lines.
The sections marked as Support and Resistance on the chart correspond to those.
You can think of the remaining lines as lines that can be used for detailed strategies that allow you to conduct split transactions when conducting transactions.
In that sense, the 1.4870 point can be used for detailed trading strategies, that is, response strategies.
Accordingly, you can proceed with buying or selling.
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(1D chart)
The support and resistance points to be used for detailed trading strategies are indicated in the 1.320-1.9101 section.
That is, the points 1.3929 and 1.6755 are applicable.
These two points correspond to the HA-Low and HA-High indicator points.
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If you have indicated support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts as above, you can mark them according to the importance of the support and resistance points and create chart analysis or trading strategies for them.
Important support and resistance points are
1st: 0.5841-0.7505
2nd: 1.0670
3rd: 1.3270
4th: 1.9101-2.1090
You can use the points or sections above to create chart analysis or trading strategies.
When marking support and resistance points, do not draw them while thinking about chart analysis or trading strategies.
The reason is that if you do so, you will likely mark support and resistance points while reflecting your subjective thoughts and psychology.
Therefore, when marking support and resistance points, it is important to focus only on the arrangement of candles without thinking about anything else.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Example of conditions for Chase the Rally
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-------------------------------------
(SUIUSDT.P 1D chart)
It is necessary to check whether it can fall from the 2.2492 point and rise with support near the HA-High indicator (2.0299) on the 1D chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, it is showing a strong downward trend.
Therefore, it is highly likely that it will continue to fall further, so caution is required when trading.
If it falls below 2.0299,
1st: 1.8735-1.9073
2nd: 1.6124
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, from a short-term and medium-term perspective, if the price is maintained above 1.6124, it is a time for additional purchase.
In other words, I think it is a time when Chase the Rally is possible.
At this time, if the Mid (50) line or HA-Low indicator is created and shows support, it will give you strength to proceed with additional purchase.
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The important thing to proceed with Chase the Rally is that the long-term moving average line is in a regular array.
If not, it should be considered as a purchase, not Chase the Rally.
In this chart, the M-Signal line of the 1W and 1M charts corresponds to the medium- to long-term moving average line.
--------------------------------------------
(1h Chart)
If you touch the 5EMA of the 1D chart or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W, 1D chart, there is a high possibility of volatility.
Therefore, you can start trading depending on whether there is support around here.
However, since the 5EMA of the 1D chart or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W, 1D chart is for viewing trends, you should draw support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, 1D charts and check whether there is support around those points and respond.
Since the current chart is a 1h chart, if there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, 1D charts, you can start trading with the support and resistance points of the 1h chart.
However, a short and quick response is required.
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The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of forming a double top.
Therefore, if it falls below 2.088-2.0238, it is likely to touch around 1.8735-1.9073.
If the StochRSI indicator is reset while falling to the oversold zone, and the price maintains around the M-Signal line on the 1D chart, I think it is highly likely to turn upward.
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Reflecting this movement, it is expected that the trend will be formed depending on which direction it deviates from the box range (1.9752-2.0761) of the HA-Low indicator.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The Coin Market is Different from the Stock Market
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The coin market discloses a lot of information compared to the stock market.
Among them, it discloses the flow of funds.
Most of the funds in the coin market are flowing in through USDT, and it can be said that it currently manages the largest amount of funds.
Therefore, unlike the stock market, individual investors can also roughly know the flow of funds.
Therefore, you can see that it is more transparent than other investment markets.
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USDT continues to update its ATH.
You can see that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market through USDT.
USDC has been falling since July 22 and has not yet recovered.
The important support and resistance level of USDC is 26.525B.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 26.525B, I think there is a high possibility that funds will flow in.
If you look at the fund size of USDT and USDC, you can see that USDT is more than twice as high.
Therefore, it can be said that USDT is the fund that has a big influence on the coin market.
USDC is likely to be composed of US funds.
Therefore, if more funds flow in through USDC, I think the coin market is likely to develop into a clearer investment market.
But it is not all good.
This is because the more the coin market develops into a clearer investment market, the more likely it is to be affected by the existing investment market, that is, the watch market.
This is because large investment companies are working to link the coin market with the coin market in order to make the coin market an investment product that they can operate.
In order for the coin market to be swayed by the coin-related investment product launched in the stock market, more funds must flow into the coin market through USDC.
Otherwise, it is highly likely that it will eventually be swayed by the flow of USDT funds.
Therefore, USDC is likely to have a short-term influence on the coin market at present.
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As mentioned above, the most important thing in the investment market is the flow of funds.
The flow of funds in the coin market can be seen as maintaining an upward trend.
Therefore, there are more and more people who say that there are signs of a major bear market these days, but their position seems to be judging the situation from a global perspective and political perspective.
As mentioned above, the funds that still dominate the coin market are USDT funds, which are an unspecified number of funds.
Therefore, I think that the coin market should not be predicted based on global perspectives and political situations.
The start of the major bear market in the coin market is when USDT starts to show a gap downtrend.
Until then, I dare say that the coin market is likely to maintain its current uptrend.
------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The StochRSI indicator is approaching its highest point (100), and the uptrend is reaching its peak.
Accordingly, the pressure to decline will increase over time.
-
(1W chart)
The StochRSI indicator is also in the overbought zone on the 1W chart.
-
(1M chart)
On the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the overbought zone, but it is not expected to enter the oversold zone due to the current rise.
The movement of the 1M chart should be checked again when a new candle is created.
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You can see that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart is the most unusual among the three charts above.
In the finger area on the 1M chart, the StochRSI indicator was in the overbought zone, but it is currently showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Therefore, you can see that the current movement is different from the past movement.
Therefore, I think it is not right to predict the current flow by substituting past dates.
------------------------------------------
I wrote down my thoughts on the recent comments from famous people who say that the coin market will enter a major bear market along with the stock market.
-
Have a good time. Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
No matter what you do, the basic chart is the 1D chart
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
In order to analyze the chart, you will use various chart tools.
However, if there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you will find that it is difficult to conduct actual trading.
In order to explain how the trend changes when there is a certain movement at the support and resistance points shown on the chart, I provided a basis by using chart tools.
However, if you trust the support and resistance points drawn on the chart, you do not need to use various chart tools separately to find such basis.
--------------------------------------
The 64748.70-65920.71 section is formed by the HA-High indicator of the 1D, 1W charts.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises in this section, it is highly likely to show a stepwise uptrend.
If it falls in the 64748.70-65920.71 section, it is highly likely to touch the HA-Low indicator.
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BW (100) point of the 1W chart: 68393.48
BW (100) point of the 1M chart: 71280.01
BW (100) point of the 1D chart: 73072.41
BW (100) lines are formed at the above points.
The formation of the BW (100) line means that the MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators are showing strength.
Therefore, just like the HA-High indicator, the BW (100) point can be said to have shown a high point range.
Therefore, if it rises above the BW (100) point, it can be seen that there is a high possibility of a strong upward trend.
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In this sense, we can see that the current high point range is the 61099.25-73072.41 range.
Since the HA-High indicator or the BW (100) point moves and is created by volatility over time, we should carefully observe when there is a change in the high point range.
This is because at that time, there is a high possibility of creating a new wave.
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The lines that make up the MS-Signal indicator are M-Signal and S-Signal.
Of these two lines, the important line is M-Signal.
Therefore, the M-Signal lines on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts serve to indicate trends.
It was created so that you can see the overall trend on any time frame chart.
Therefore, the current indicator (HA-MS) can be said to be an indicator that expresses everything.
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You can mark the HA-Low, HA-High, BW (0), BW (100), and Mid (50) points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and use them as support and resistance points on the time frame charts you mainly trade.
As I mentioned earlier, you can check the arrangement of the M-Signal lines on the MS-Signal indicator and create a trading strategy that matches the trend.
It is recommended to start trading when the price is maintained above the M-Signal line on the 1M chart at least.
If possible, it is better to start trading when the price is maintained above the M-Signal of the 1W chart when the M-Signal of the 1W chart > the M-Signal of the 1M chart.
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
Therefore, ETH is currently not a good state to trade.
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The StochRSI indicator seems to be showing a downward trend.
However, it has not yet fallen from the overbought zone or has not yet turned into a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, so it should be interpreted that the current upward strength is strong.
Therefore, caution is required when trading because there is a possibility of further increase.
In any case, the 64748.70-65920.71 range is formed at the current price position, so the key is whether it can be supported and rise near this range.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The start of a new wave: 68447.9
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-------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1M chart)
BTC dominance is rising above 58.
The point to watch is whether it can face resistance in the 55.01-62.47 range and fall.
If it rises above 62.47, a strange market where only BTC rises may be formed.
Most altcoins are expected to gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
---------------------------------------
(USDT.D 1M chart)
A decline in USDT dominance is likely to lead to a rise in the coin market.
However, as I mentioned in the explanation of BTC dominance, I think that most coins in the coin market will show an upward trend only when BTC dominance also declines along with USDT dominance.
If USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to enter a bull market.
The point of interest is whether a market where only BTC rises or a bull market where altcoins also rise will be created.
------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
- The 68447.9 point is the BW (100) point of the 1W chart,
- The 71363.0 point is the BW (100) point of the 1M chart,
- The 73127.6 point is the BW (100) point of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we should consider the above points as forming support and resistance points.
If the price rises above the downtrend line (2) and maintains, it is expected to create a new wave.
Therefore, whether there is support near 68447.9 is an important key point.
-
The StochRSI indicator is approaching the highest point (100) and the slope is becoming gentle.
Accordingly, the pressure for a downtrend will increase over time.
In order to overcome this downward pressure and create a new upward wave, it is expected that it will be possible to show a sideways movement in the 68447.9-71363.0 range.
Therefore, the point of interest is how the StochRSI indicator performs the initialization process.
(The initialization process of the StochRSI indicator refers to moving from the overbought range to the oversold range, and also from the oversold range to the overbought range.)
-
(1h chart)
The BW (100) point is formed at the 67800.5 point and is showing a downward trend.
The Mid (50) point is formed at the 67064.5 point.
Therefore, we need to check whether there is support near 67064.5-67349.7.
If it falls below 67064.5, it is likely to touch 5EMA on the 1D chart or around 65568.1-65922.3.
If it touches 5EMA on the 1D chart and M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts, it is highly likely to cause volatility.
Therefore, caution is required when trading as there is a possibility of creating a new wave.
-
The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the oversold zone.
Accordingly, when it rises after entering the oversold zone, it is necessary to check at what point it is receiving support and resistance.
In that sense, whether there is support around 67064.5-67349.7 is important.
-
If the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone while the BW indicator does not fall below the midpoint (50), it is likely to show a decline such as a pullback or price adjustment and rise again, so it is good to note.
The most ambiguous part in interpreting the BW indicator is when it is at the midpoint (50).
Therefore, when the BW indicator is at the midpoint (50), it is better to think about a response plan for the coin you are currently trading rather than conducting a new transaction.
------------------------------------
I placed a reservation order to liquidate a buy (LONG) position at the 68447.9 point, but it was not executed.
I think this is a part where you can see that the downtrend line (2) is an important trend line.
If you do not break through the trend line (2) strongly, it is expected that the breakout will fail.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Support Zone: 64748.70-65920.71
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W chart is formed in the 64748.70-65920.71 zone.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above this zone, there is a high possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it rises along the trend line (1) and maintains the price above 68393.48 after around November 4th.
If it rises above that, you should check for support near 71280.01.
-
The StochRSI indicator has currently entered the overbought zone.
The rise to the overbought zone means that the upward trend is strong.
Therefore, you should be careful when trading because there is a possibility that the upward trend will continue until it falls from the overbought zone.
However, if the slope of the StochRSI indicator becomes gentle, the possibility of a downward turn increases, so you should think about a response plan for the decline.
When this movement is shown, you should check if there are support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, and if so, whether they are supported or resisted at those points.
If you do not have support and resistance points drawn by yourself, there is no need to draw additional support and resistance points and create a response strategy.
The reason is that additional support and resistance points or various chart tools drawn after the start of trading are likely to reflect your own psychological state.
Then, there is a high possibility that it will be drawn according to the price volatility, so there is a high possibility that you will conduct the transaction incorrectly.
It is important to start trading right now and make a profit, but I think it is most important to conduct the transaction according to the trading strategy that you originally planned.
-
If your psychological state has become unstable due to the price volatility, you need to make an effort to make your psychological state as stable as possible by selling in installments.
If you do not, and continue to maintain an unstable state, you may end up suffering a large loss at one time, so you need to be careful.
-
How the StochRSI indicator is initialized, that is, whether it touches the oversold zone, is a point of observation to check the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
Since the BW indicator fell from the highest point (100) on March 13, it has not touched the highest point (100) yet.
This can be considered evidence that the upward strength is not strong.
This time, the BW indicator will touch the highest point (100), so it is a point to watch whether the trend will change.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Chart with trend(MACD), momentum(DMI), and market strength(OBV)
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-------------------------------------
BW+ indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators.
Therefore, knowledge of MACD, DMI, and OBV indicators is required.
I added the existing HA-Low and HA-High indicators to express the section to start trading more clearly.
-
The indicators have changed and been supplemented a lot over the past 6 years of using TradingView.
It was not easy to express my trading method as an indicator.
Because of this, I think there are people who unintentionally interpret my writing differently from what I think.
So, to narrow this gap, I am explaining the indicators used in my article.
Since these indicators are automatically generated by a formula, no one can change them.
Therefore, I think anyone can look at the chart and interpret it from the same perspective.
However, there may be differences in interpretation depending on one's investment style or average purchase price.
However, since everyone talks about the same point, there will be no confusion.
-
When talking to each other in the community, if you talk with the chart tool you drew, you may talk differently and there may be room for misunderstanding.
So, I think the conversation often goes in a strange direction because the conversation ends up talking about whether it is LONG or SHORT right now.
I think that charts drawn with chart tools are not very meaningful because they only show a part of the person's thoughts through chart analysis.
This is because they do not tell you the selection point using the chart tool, so interpretation or understanding is lacking.
Therefore, you cannot apply such content to your own chart.
So, since it can't be used as a trading strategy, I can't help but just say, "Oh, that could be possible."
However, if there is a chart that everyone can see and no one can change, I think it would be easier to talk and reflect each other's thoughts on my trading strategy.
I think that because of that, I can find out what I lacked and supplement it.
Not everyone sees the same thing and thinks the same, but if the basic point of the thought is the same, I think it can help me make other people's thoughts my own.
-
Anyway, I hope that this chart change will help you create a clearer analysis or trading strategy.
-
The MACD indicator added to the chart is an indicator with a modified formula from the existing MACD indicator, but the interpretation method is the same.
That is,
- If MACD > Signal, it is interpreted as an upward trend,
- If MACD < Signal, it is interpreted as a downward trend.
-
The DMI indicator added to the chart simplifies the interpretation of the existing D+, D- indicators by expressing them as lines on the ADX line.
That is,
- The section expressed in Aqua color means a downward section,
- The section expressed in Orange means an upward section.
- When ADX is above 25, it means that the strength of the upward or downward movement is strong,
- When it is below 25, it means that there is a high possibility of forming a box section or sideways section.
-
The OBV indicator added to the chart means an upward trend when each line is broken upward, and a downward trend when it is broken downward.
-
The indicator that expresses the contents explained above is the BW v1.0 indicator.
In order to see this more intuitively, the BW (100), BW (0), and Mid (50) indicators were added so that they can be expressed in the price candle section.
In addition, there are also High (80 Down), Low (20 Up) indicators.
-
It is never easy to interpret each indicator and evaluate it comprehensively.
It is especially difficult when trading in real time.
-
When interpreting the BW v1.0 indicator, it is basically divided into rising and falling based on the 50 point.
Therefore, passing the 50 point increases the possibility of a significant change in the trend.
Therefore, it seems that trading can be done based on whether there is support near the Mid (50) line generated when the BW indicator passes the 50 point, but this is not the case.
The reason is that volatility is likely to occur when a change in trend occurs.
When volatility occurs, your trading point will go up and down, so psychological pressure will increase and you may proceed with an inappropriate trade.
Therefore, a good point to start trading is the BW (0), BW (100) or HA-Low, HA-High point.
Since these indicators are generated at the boundary of the low or high point range, if you start trading based on whether there is support, you are more likely to get good results.
-
In any case, you should think in line with your average purchase price.
Otherwise, if you trade incorrectly due to psychological pressure when you get close to the average purchase price, you may end up with little profit or even a loss.
This means that when you start a new trade, it is better to start near the BW (0), BW (100), HA-Low, and HA-High indicators as mentioned above.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
Just before turning into an uptrend
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-------------------------------------
(AVAXUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 21.39 and rise.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether it can be supported above 27.29, in the box area of the HA-High indicator (29.24-54.14), and rise above 45.36.
If the price stays above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, there is a possibility that it will turn into an uptrend.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise after receiving support around 27.29-28.64.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, we need to look at where it will receive support when it falls from the overbought zone.
If it falls below 27.29,
1st: 24.8
2nd: 21.39
We need to check whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd above.
-
AVAX is just now showing a movement to turn into an uptrend.
Accordingly, the 28.64-31.75 zone can be considered a buy zone.
If you bought in the 28.64-31.75 range, the BW (100) line is the time for a split sell.
If the price rises a little more, the BW (100) line is likely to be created, so the first split trading point may be close.
If the price stays above the BW (100) line or the HA-HIgh indicator, a stepwise uptrend is likely to begin.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
A full-scale uptrend is expected to begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether there is support near 2621.99
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-------------------------------------
ETH is in a reverse array.
Therefore, it is not attractive to start trading.
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it can turn into a regular array when the price is maintained above 2621.99.
Based on the current price position, it is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin only if it rises above the 3265.0-3321.30 range.
Therefore, the 2621.99-3321.30 range can be considered a buy range.
So, rather than rushing to buy, I think it would be better to wait until the chart is at a level where you can trade.
-
The Mid (50) line is showing signs of being newly created.
Accordingly, the support near the Mid (50) line is the key.
Since the Mid (50) line is expected to be created near the M-Signal indicator of the 1W and 1M charts, near 2621.99, this section is becoming more important.
Therefore, if the price is located near 2621.99 when the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart rises above 2621.99, then I think it would be a good time to buy.
-
If you bought near the BW (0) line or the HA-Low indicator, the area near 2621.99 is the first split trading area.
As I mentioned above, if you bought around 2621.99 when the chart was created, the BW (100) line or the HA-High indicator is the split trading area.
Currently, the BW (100) line is formed at 2627.76, and the HA-High indicator is formed at 3787.59.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Start of full-scale uptrend: 64748.70-65920.71
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
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-------------------------------------
In order to use the BW+ indicator in chart analysis, the existing HA-MS_BW+ indicator has been integrated and modified.
--------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above the trend line (1).
The StochRSI indicator seems to be entering the overbought zone.
The fact that the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone means that the upward strength is strong.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will show an upward trend until it falls from the overbought zone, so you should look at the movement at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart.
---------------------------------------
We need to check if the price can be maintained above 65618.80, which is the upper point of the HA-HIgh indicator box.
The 65920.71 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above 65920.71, there is a high possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, it is expected to show a downward trend, so it is expected that support will be important around 65920.71.
-
The BW (100) line is currently formed at 73072.41.
If the price rises a little more and a new BW (100) line is created, that area will be the split trading point.
Otherwise, the current BW (100) line position, 73072.41, will be the split trading point.
-
If it falls below 64748.70-65920.71, the most important support and resistance point is 61099.25.
However, before that, we need to check whether there is support near 62856.30, the lower point of the HA-HIgh indicator box.
-
The point of interest is whether the price can be maintained near the 64748.70-65920.71 range even after the next volatility period, around November 4th.
If not, we need to check whether it is located near 56204.13.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Forget everything after studying the chart
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise along the trend line (2).
When a new candle is created, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator enters the overbought zone.
The zone marked with a circle corresponds to the important support and resistance zone.
-
(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
When the Mid (50) line is created, whether there is support near it is the key.
The Mid (50) line is a position conversion line, so the trend is likely to be formed depending on whether the price is maintained above or below the Mid (50) line.
-------------------------------------------
When I learned about patterns while studying charts, I was amazed and thought I could stop studying charts.
However, as I traded, I realized that patterns are just the past appearances of charts.
You should forget all the studies you have done on charts after you finish studying them.
Otherwise, if you try to apply what you have studied to the current chart, you will likely end up analyzing charts or trading incorrectly.
So why should you study charts?
I think it is the same as studying in school as we grow up.
It is not necessary when you are living in real life, but it is the same reason you should study them.
Therefore, if you have studied and understood the arrangement or patterns of candles, forget them all.
If you are stuck in the framework of knowledge gained from studying charts, you may try to fit the pattern rather than respond to real-time movements.
Then, it may become a trade that you regret.
- How well you indicate support and resistance points,
- How much you trust those points,
- How much you can create a response strategy for those points are the things that remain after studying charts.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
HA-High Box Range: 62856.30-65618.80
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-------------------------------------
Since this is a chart for trading, there is nothing to analyze.
However, since the chart has been released, I think it is necessary to explain how to actually use it, so I will spend a few more times explaining this chart in the future.
-
(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
In this chart, M-Signal indicators for 1M, 1W, and 1D charts have been added to check the trends necessary for chart analysis.
The 5EMA line of the 1D chart has been added for scalping and day trading.
- Basically, the point where you start trading is the BW (0), BW (100) line.
- Mid (50) line is the position conversion line.
- Low (20 UP), HIgh (80 Down) line are split trading points because they indicate the low and high points.
Since the Mid (50) line is showing signs of rising and being created, the key is whether the Mid (50) line can be supported around this area and rise above the High (80 Down) line.
-
(1h chart)
If the price is maintained above the BW (100) line, it is likely to lead to a stepwise uptrend.
If it falls below the BW (0) line, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend.
Since 5EMA on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart, if it is supported near the BW (100) line, it is expected to lead to additional rise.
However, if the StochRSI indicator enters the overbought zone, it is likely to decline over time.
In that case, you should check whether there is support near the High (80 Down) line.
Also, if the Mid (50) line is created near the price, you need to check whether you should switch the position.
------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D Renko chart)
You can see that the 63000 point is an important support and resistance point.
-
The point to watch is whether it can rise along the rising trend line (2) and receive support near 63515.05-64538.39.
-
The 62856.30-65618.80 section is the box section of the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
Accordingly, if it receives support near 62856.30, it is highly likely that it will attempt to rise to the 64748.70-65618.80 section.
If it falls below 62856.30,
1st: 61099.25
2nd: HA-Low on 1D chart (currently 56204.13)
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
The next volatility period is around November 4th.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Check if it is a regular array before trading
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-------------------------------------
Since ETH is in a reverse array (M-Signal on the 1D chart < M-Signal on the 1W chart < M-Signal on the 1M chart), I don't think it's time to trade.
However, since it is located near the HA-Low indicator and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, if it receives support, it can be considered an aggressive buying period.
Such aggressive buying requires a short and quick response.
From this perspective, if ETH maintains its price around the 2555.38-2646.97 range and switches to a regular array (M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart), it is ready for trading.
If you are familiar with day trading, you can start with aggressive buying and move on to full-scale trading, but if you are not, it is better to pass on aggressive buying.
If you make an aggressive purchase and it fluctuates up and down, you will not be able to hold on and sell when you need to make a full-scale transaction, which will reduce your profits or you will likely suffer losses even if the price rises.
-----------------------------------------
Currently, the only coin recognized for its value after BTC is ETH.
You can argue this, but this is a fact.
Several coins are making efforts to be recognized for their value.
Namely, XRP, SOL, etc.
Therefore, I think that long-term investments are BTC and ETH, and the remaining coins and tokens are trading coins that earn profits through trading in the medium term or less.
----------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 12M chart)
When drawing a parallel channel, the most important trend is the trend line (1) created by the first and second selection points.
Therefore, if the first and second selection points are selected incorrectly, an incorrect channel may be created.
The next important thing is the third selection point, which determines the width of the channel.
If this is also selected incorrectly, it can be interpreted incorrectly, so caution is required.
Therefore, trend line (2) is the important trend line.
The next important thing is trend line (3) created between (1) and (2).
Therefore, if trend lines (1), (2), and (3) are passed, there is a high possibility that a change in the trend will occur.
The Fibonacci ratio is displayed as a Trend-Based Fib Extension tool with the selected candlestick of the parallel channel.
Accordingly, the drawing for basic chart analysis is completed.
Fibonacci ratio or parallel channel is for chart analysis, not for trading, so do not confuse them.
If you think of Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance points and there are no support and resistance points drawn separately on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, I think the transaction is likely to fail.
Therefore, in order to proceed with the transaction, you must mark the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
If you drew an ascending parallel channel on the 12M chart, you drew a descending parallel channel on the 1W chart.
The 1M chart is drawn as an ascending parallel channel like the 12M chart, so it was not drawn.
This allows for a more accurate analysis when looking at just one parallel channel.
The Fibonacci ratios shown on the left were drawn on the 1W chart.
We found that a change in trend can occur by passing through the area indicated by the circle.
-
(1D chart)
The price made an uptrend and then started to make a downtrend.
As you can see in the 1D chart above, there are two downtrends.
The first wave of the downtrend provides important information.
Therefore, if possible, it is better to draw a trend line on the first wave where the change in wave occurred.
The second downtrend is connected to the current wave, so this also provides important information.
If you mark important areas according to the current price position, it is the same as the order of the circles marked on the chart.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because we think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next Volatility Period: Around November 4th
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-------------------------------------
The next volatility period is around November 4th.
At this time, the point to watch is in which direction it deviates from the range of (54.7K-56.1K) ~ (64.7K-66.6K).
-
This volatility period is about to end.
We need to check if it can be supported around 62856.30.
If it receives support near 62856.30, it will enter the box section of the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart, so it is expected to lead to an upward trend to break through the 64748.70-65920.71 section.
Otherwise, if it falls, we should check whether there is support near 61099.25.
In particular, if the price is maintained above 61759.99, it is expected to show an additional upward trend as it will maintain the state of M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart.
In any case, in order for a full-fledged upward trend, a stepwise upward trend, to begin, the price must be maintained above 64748.70-65920.71.
Since the BW indicator is expected to create a horizontal line at the lowest point (0), the point of observation is whether there is support at the BW line point that is created this time.
-
(Chart under test)
(BTCUSDT.P 1D chart)
This is a chart for use below 1D charts, but the trend of the 1D chart is important, so be sure to check it before starting a trade.
The mandatory items in the BW+ indicator are BW 100, BW 0, and Mid (50).
The High (80 Down), Low (20 UP) indicators are optional.
The core interpretation method of the BW+ indicator is
1. Buy (LONG): Start trading at the BW 0 line and end trading at the BW 100 line.
2. Sell (SHORT): Start trading at the BW 100 line and end trading at the BW 0 line.
3. The Mid (50) line is the position conversion line.
Therefore, since the current BW 100 line has been created, it is time to liquidate the long position entered at the BW 0 line.
However, you can decide whether to completely close the transaction by selling 100% or to sell in parts and watch the situation.
-
Since the BW 100 line has been created, you can proceed with selling (SHORT) as the second key interpretation method.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the trend of the 1D chart is important.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart has risen above the level and is showing signs of turning into an upward trend.
Therefore, a short and quick response is required when entering a short (SHORT) position.
This is because you will be trading against the trend of the 1D chart.
-
Since it is a futures transaction, you may think that you should trade on a low time frame chart, but that is not necessarily the case.
The lower the time frame chart, the more frequent the fluctuations, making it difficult to maintain a position.
Therefore, it is important to select an appropriate time frame chart according to the leverage and funds you have chosen.
--------------------------------------
A gap down occurred in USDT.
We need to check if the gap down occurs continuously.
We need to check if USDC is maintained above 26.153B and if the gap downtrend stops.
Although the coin market is trend-following, the volatility caused by the movement of funds has a great influence on forming a trend.
Therefore, I think that chart analysis should not be done only with trends.
----------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
BW line was created at 20287.1.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 20313.8, it is expected to fall.
The important support and resistance area in the decline is around 19582.6.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The full-scale uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Misconceptions and Truths about Paper Trading
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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-------------------------------------
TradingView also supports Paper Trading.
For more information, please click the link below. www.tradingview.com
More flexibility: change your Paper Trading account currency :
www.tradingview.com
Even more seamless order design — directly on chart :
www.tradingview.com
---------------------------------------
Paper Trading is thought to support trading practice for beginners.
However, this is a wrong idea.
If you lack prior knowledge about trading or have no concept of trading strategy, you should not do paper trading.
The reason is that the psychological burden is different.
The success or failure of a trade is thought to be the result of trading strategy or response ability, but in reality, it can be said that it is determined by the battle with oneself and psychological state.
This means that psychological state has a significant impact on trading.
Therefore, paper trading should be considered as a transaction that is conducted to confirm one's trading strategy and response strategy after completing chart analysis.
If you have completed some verification of your trading strategy or response strategy, you should continue to conduct actual trading even if you suffer a loss.
The reason is that you should not forget that you can only gain know-how in trading through actual trading.
Therefore, paper trading should not be used to practice mid- to long-term trading, but should be used to verify trading strategies or response strategies for short-term trading or day trading.
In order to do so, you must close the transaction by selling or cutting your loss.
-------------------------------------------
For more information on trading orders in paper trading, please refer to the explanation through the link above.
-
You can proceed with Paper Trading by clicking the Trading Panel at the bottom menu of the TradingView chart.
If you connect to a Paper Trading account, you can start with an initial fund of 100,000.
If the Buy/Sell button is not activated, activate the chart settings to activate the Buy/Sell button before proceeding with the trade.
Right-click on the space in the price candle area to activate the window, and then hover your mouse over the Trade section to check the trading order or trading settings (when you click the Trading menu in the Chart Settings window).
-
In addition, TradingView is linked to a real exchange and supports real trading.
It supports various exchanges, so I recommend you to check if there is an exchange that you are trading on.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above 61K
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Please also click "Boost".
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It was created using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool based on the candlestick of the selected point used when drawing the parallel channel.
Therefore, from a short-term trend perspective, you can see that the area around the right Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (59369.59) ~ 0.5 (60650.13) is an important support area.
-
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 61099.25 after October 11.
If not, and it falls, it is possible that it will finally touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising around 52K.
The expected crossover area is expected to be around 56K (56150.01-56950.56).
-
(Chart under test)
If the M-Signal on the 1W and 1D charts breaks through the convergence area (1), it is expected to create a new rising wave.
If not, we need to check whether there is support in the area (2).
-
BW v1.0 indicator's BW is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates DMI, OBV, and MACD.
The interpretation method is
1. The horizontal line created by touching the 100 point becomes the trading reference line.
2. When it falls below the 80 point, the high point section is displayed.
3. The position is switched around the 50 point.
4. When it rises above the 20 point, the low point section is displayed.
5. The horizontal line created by touching the 0 point becomes the trading reference line.
2, 3, 4. are likely to have volatility, so the corresponding lines are the sections that must be responded to.
In other words, they correspond to the time when split trading is conducted.
---------------------------------------
The point to watch is whether USDC can be maintained above 26.153B as the gap decline decreases.
The important support and resistance area for USDC is 32.435B.
If the selling volume of BTC confiscated by the US government decreases and USDT gaps up, I think the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
If not, it may not be able to digest the selling volume and lead to further decline.
----------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
We need to check whether there is support near 20313.8.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, even if it rises, it will eventually fall.
At this time, the point of interest is whether it can receive support near 20313.8.
The most important support zone at the current location is 19582.6.
----------------------------------------
The chart consisting of parallel channels and Fibonacci ratios is a chart for chart analysis.
Therefore, if your trading strategy is not properly established when trading with the support and resistance points confirmed by the Fibonacci ratio, you need to be careful because the transaction may proceed in the wrong direction.
Therefore, you must mark the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
The chart that has been used since the past is the chart that shows the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
I think the support and resistance points shown on this chart are the most accurate among the charts I am introducing.
However, it is difficult to see because it is too complex a chart to use for publishing as an idea.
-
I am testing whether I can trade with the trend, momentum, and market strength by comprehensively evaluating MACD, DMI, and OBV.
I am testing it for use on time frame charts below 1D charts.
When using it on time frame charts below 1D charts, you can disable indicators corresponding to 2 and 4 and use it.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Support around 61099.25 is the key point
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a decline below the important section of 61099.25.
Accordingly, it is important to see whether it can rise above 61099.25 and receive support.
If not, and it falls below 60672.0,
1st: 59053.55
2nd: 56150.01-56950.56
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
This volatility period is until October 11th.
-
(Chart under test)
We are testing a new tradable chart by changing the existing DMI+OBV indicator to the BW indicator format.
We will provide a detailed explanation after the test is completed.
--------------------------------------
USDC is showing a short-term downtrend as a gap decline occurs.
--------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
It is supported near 19582.4 and then rose again to near 20313.8.
We need to check whether there is support near 20313.8.
(Chart under test)
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The expected range to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
This volatility period is until October 11thHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is until October 11th.
Therefore, after this volatility period, we need to check in which direction it deviates from the 61099.25-65920.71 range.
Since it shows that funds are flowing in through USDT, if the price maintains above 61099.25, it is expected to lead to an attempt to break through the 64748.70-65920.71 range upward.
If it falls below 61099.25,
1st: 58697.01
2nd: 56204.13
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-----------------------------------------
USDT is showing a gap up.
USDC is showing a gap down.
If we interpret this, we can interpret that there may be a short-term decline, but it will eventually rise.
The reason is that USDT has a broader market than USDC.
In other words, it means that USDT has a stronger influence on the coin market than USDC.
-----------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
With this rise, the BW indicator seems to have touched the highest point (100).
Therefore, when the candle is created tomorrow, we need to check the price position.
The current key is whether it can rise above 20313.8.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently located near the midpoint, there is a possibility of volatility.
Accordingly, we need to check whether the price can be maintained above 19852.4.
------------------------------------
(IBIT 1D chart)
We need to check whether the BTC spot ETF is supported near 35.40 and can rise above the 36.32-36.64 range.
If it falls below 35.40, you should check for support near 34.18.
If the price is maintained above the middle point of the parallel channel, I think it is likely to rise.
--------------------------------------
(12M chart)
To draw a parallel channel on a 12M chart,
- There must be at least 2 bearish candles in an uptrend.
- There must be at least 2 bullish candles in a downtrend.
(1M chart)
To draw a parallel channel on a chart where waves have formed, we use the StochRSI indicator that was used to draw the trend line.
That is, we capture the trend by specifying the candle at the point where the StochRSI indicator entered the overbought or oversold section and formed a low or high point.
And, the third point of the parallel channel is selected as the lowest or highest point of the wave.
Parallel channels are a tool for analyzing charts, so you can't create a trading strategy with them alone.
Therefore, you definitely need support and resistance points drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
(1D chart)
The reference line for drawing a parallel channel is line 1.
Therefore, I think that passing line 1 means that there is a possibility of a change in trend.
Therefore, we need to see if the price can be maintained by rising above line 1.
Line 2 is also a reference line, and if it passes this, there is a high possibility of a change in trend.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 5878.7-6119.3
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-------------------------------------
I think this is the first time I've written an idea for the SPX500USD futures chart.
I'll give you an example of how to actually use it using the parallel channel that I introduced.
No matter how good an indicator or chart tool is added, if you don't know how to use it, chart analysis can be done in the wrong direction, so it is recommended that you familiarize yourself with the core interpretation method and how to use it before using it.
There are many examples of how to draw a trend line or how to draw a parallel channel, so you need to study how to draw it.
-----------------------------------------------
(SPX500USD 1M chart)
It is rising near the upper black line of the parallel channel.
Therefore, it is likely to face resistance near the black line and fall.
Accordingly, we need to check for support near 1 (5878.7) drawn with the right trend period Fibonacci Extension (Trend-Based Fib Extension) tool.
If it falls, we need to check if it can rise along the middle point (black dotted line) of the parallel channel.
However, since the section pointed to by the finger is an important support and resistance section, if it receives support near this section, it is highly likely that the upward trend will continue.
-
The left trend period Fibonacci Extension (Trend-Based Fib Extension) is drawn as the first rising wave on the 12M chart.
The trend-based Fibonacci extension on the right is drawn as the last rising wave on the 1M chart.
-
The section drawn as a square box corresponds to an important section among the Fibonacci ratios drawn on the chart, and when viewed as a parallel channel, it passes near the upper black line, so you can see that it corresponds to an important section.
-
(1D chart)
Since it is a futures chart, it is right to explain it on a time frame chart that can actually be traded, but since an idea can become useless as soon as time passes after publishing it, I will explain it based on the 1D chart.
I think the most important trend in futures trading is the trend of the 1D chart.
Therefore, when trading in the opposite direction of the trend of the 1D chart, you need to respond quickly and briefly.
-
A parallel channel was also drawn on the 1D chart.
The first point is designated as the point that is supported and rises from the middle point of the parallel channel drawn on the 12M chart, and the point that the finger points to is designated to draw the parallel channel.
The HA-MS indicator was used to draw the support and resistance points.
However, as shown in the chart above, the HA-MS indicator may be distracting when viewing the chart, so I am explaining it by disabling it.
-
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above 5741.6.
The 5741.6 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1D chart, meaning that anything above this point is in the high range.
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the oversold range, it is more likely to lead to an additional decline.
Therefore, if the price falls, the key is whether it can be supported near the middle point of the parallel channel on the 1D chart, which is the section indicated by the circle.
That said, I don't think it's a good idea to enter a sell (SHORT) position right now.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold section.
Therefore, if you want to trade with a sell (SHORT) position through scalping and day trading, you need to respond quickly and quickly.
Although the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold section, the BW indicator is still rising.
Therefore, you should consider that there is a high possibility of a fake or sweep that pretends to fall.
Therefore, in order to make a big profit with a sell (SHORT) position, the BW indicator should be in a horizontal line at the highest point (100) and the StochRSI indicator should be falling in the overbought section.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
New wave start section: 61099.25-65920.71
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-------------------------------------
USDT is sideways, and USDC is showing a slight downtrend.
--------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
NAS100USD is sideways near 19852.4.
If it is supported and rises near 19252.4, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise above 20313.8.
If not, and it falls, it should check for support near 19582.6, which is an important support and resistance area.
--------------------------------------
(IBIT 1D chart)
IBIT is the stock with the highest trading volume among spot ETFs.
Since the current chart was created not long ago, the role of support and resistance points may be weak, so caution is required when trading.
The key is whether it can rise above the 36.32-36.64 area and receive support.
If not,
1st: 35.40
2nd: 34.18
It is necessary to check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above.
In particular, the M-Signal indicator of the 1W, 1D chart is passing near 35.40, so it is important to check whether there is support near this area.
From a trend perspective, the area near 34.18 is near the midpoint of the parallel channel, so it is an important support and resistance point.
-
With the launch of investment products related to BTC in the stock market, the movement of the stock market cannot be ignored.
Therefore, caution is required as the movement of the coin market may follow the movement of the stock market.
However, if more funds flow into the coin market, there is a possibility that it will show an upward trend regardless of the movement of the stock market.
In other words, there may be cases where investment products in the stock market rise while other stocks fall.
Therefore, there is no need to pay much attention to the movement of the stock market.
Currently, when the movement of BTC is slowing down, that is, when it is moving sideways, it is only worth referring to the movement of the stock market.
--------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As mentioned above, the USDT and USDC movements are weak sideways, so it seems that there is a limit to the increase.
Therefore, if USDC does not fall any further, it is expected to maintain the current level or rise slowly.
Otherwise, if USDC continues to gap down, we need to check for support near 61099.25.
-
The points 64748.70 and 65920.71 correspond to the HA-High indicator points on the 1W and 1D charts.
Therefore, it can be interpreted that a high point section is formed across the 64748.70-65920.71 section.
The HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart is formed at 61099.25, so it has already risen to the high point range from a long-term perspective.
Currently, the HA-HIgh indicators are arranged in a straight line.
That is, HA-High on the 1D chart > HA-High on the 1W chart > HA-High on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if it continues to rise and maintains the price above 65920.71, a full-scale uptrend, that is, a stepwise uptrend, is likely to begin.
-
To do this, it is recommended that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M and 1W charts is not in the overbought or oversold range.
This is because I think it will receive great strength if the value of the StochRSI indicator is in the 20 to 80 range when the first uptrend begins and shows an upward trend.
Currently, the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart has entered the overbought zone.
Therefore, even if it rises right now, it will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, I think it is important to maintain the price above 61099.25 after this period of volatility.
--------------------------------------
The most important thing when trading spot is whether the price moving averages are aligned.
If the short-term to long-term moving averages are aligned, the upward trend is likely to continue.
Currently, the price moving averages of BTC are aligned.
However, the short-term and medium-term moving averages are converging.
Therefore, if the current price level is maintained, an upward trend is expected to begin.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising near 52K.
Therefore, if it falls as much as possible, it is expected to fall to the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
In any case, from the perspective of the trading particle, the 61099.25-65920.71 section is the high point section, so whether there is support in this section is very important.
It is the last buying section before the full-scale uptrend begins, but it can also be the starting section of the downtrend.
Therefore, depending on which direction the price deviates from the 61099.25-65920.71 section and maintains it, a new wave will be created.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------