Monthly Expected Trading StrategyHello traders!
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
What we need to keep an eye on is the movement in April 2021.
This is because at this time, the StochRSI indicator began to decline from the peak of the overbought range.
We need to check whether the upcoming month of April looks the same as April 2021 and seek ways to respond.
If not, there is a possibility that you will be embarrassed by the volatility and not be able to do anything.
(USDT 1M chart)
It appears that more funds have flowed into the coin market since April 2021.
And, the period when funds began to leak out of the coin market in earnest began in May 2022.
This phenomenon is different from what I have said so far, which is that in order for the coin market to show a downward trend, USDT must show a gap decline.
What I wanted to say was that a full-blown downtrend would eventually occur when funds began to flow out of the coin market.
Therefore, I think you understand how a full-fledged decline progresses.
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When you look at the BTCUSDT chart, you can see that the full-fledged decline began in May 2022, and it continued to fall below the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, it can be inferred that even if the decline continues in the coming April, the full-fledged decline will eventually proceed only when the price falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, you need to think about what trading strategy can maximize your profits until the price falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
(1M charts)
Accordingly, let us explain an example trading strategy as follows.
It is essential to have a trading strategy on how to respond when the price falls below the 59K (56K-61K) range where the movement occurred in April 2021.
This is because the most important section is the second section.
Before that, we need to select a section where we can respond in advance and buy time to maximize profits as much as possible.
To do this, you need to create a trading strategy to respond depending on whether you receive support or resistance in the first section (67K-69K).
Therefore, I think it is necessary to proceed with a split sale if the price rises above 1.27 (73308.95).
The expected target this time is around 1.618 (88913.24), but there is a possibility that it will fall around 1.414 (79765.89).
The reason is that the M-shaped pattern was created from April to November 2021.
If it rises to around 1.414 (79765.89) this April, the bottom section of the M-shaped pattern is expected to be the second section.
If there is no support in the second section and a further decline occurs, there is a possibility that it will touch around 42K-43K.
The reason is that an important volume profile section is formed around 42283.58.
However, there is one variable.
That is, when the price starts to fall, there is a high possibility that a new HA-High will be created.
Accordingly, I think there is a high possibility that a new HA-High indicator will be created when the price falls below the first range and shows a downward trend.
I think the approximate location will be around the second section.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that the created point is the boundary point of the high point.
In other words, anything above the HA-High indicator corresponds to the high point, and anything below it means that there is a high possibility of a sharp drop.
Therefore, if you first touch the HA-High indicator, you should check whether it is supported or resisted before any interpretation and create a trading strategy.
Therefore, you need to think ahead and create a trading strategy beyond what I mentioned above.
The HA-Low indicator has not yet been created on the BTCUSDT 1M chart.
What this means is that BTCUSDT has not yet made a bottom.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is created and supported on the 1M chart, it is a very important buying time from a long-term perspective.
Let me say this again, if a full-fledged decline begins, no one knows how far it will fall.
However, you don't need to worry too much.
This is because BTC has already been launched as an investment product in the stock market.
Have a good time.
thank you
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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MS
The key is whether it can receive support around 0.5682 and riseHello traders!
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(XRPUSDT 1M chart)
If the price remains above 0.47, it is expected to continue its upward trend.
Since the volume profile section is formed around 1.0409, it is expected that a new wave will be created only if it rises above 1.0409.
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator is formed at 0.5682.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 0.5682 and rise.
If not,
1st: 0.5236
2nd: 0.47
You need to check if you receive support near the first and second levels above.
Since a psychological volume profile section is formed around 0.618 (0.8121), in order to continue the upward trend, the price must rise above the psychological volume profile section formed around 0.618 (0.8121).
(1D chart)
As prices fall, the likelihood of a new HA-Low indicator being created increases.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point is formed.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is touched, support is an important issue.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at 0.5145.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator plummets to around 0.5145 before a new indicator is created, you should check to see if it shows support.
If support is confirmed, it is time to buy.
Falling below the HA-Low indicator means that there is a high possibility of renewing the low point, so a stepwise decline may occur, so you need to think about how to respond.
Since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 0.6405 point, it must rise above 0.6405 to continue the upward trend.
Have a good time.
thank you
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Touching the HA-Low indicator means...Hello traders!
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(TRXUSDT 1M chart)
It appears that a new HA-High indicator is about to be created.
Accordingly, we need to check whether the HA-High indicator is generated at the 0.10447 point.
If the HA-High indicator is created at the 0.10447 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around that area.
(1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by receiving support in the current section and rising above 0.13052.
If not, and it falls below 0.786 (0.11732), it is likely to fall to around 0.618 (0.10288).
If it falls like that, there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downward trend, so you need to think about ways to respond to the decline.
(1D chart)
The HA-Low indicator was first touched on August 20, 2023, and then again on March 21, 2024.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around 0.12002, which is the point where the HA-Low indicator is currently formed.
The HA-Low indicator is an indicator that indicates the boundary of the low point section.
Accordingly, support from the HA-Low indicator can be said to mean that a bottom section is forming.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, it means that the low point is renewed, and a cascading decline is likely to continue.
Therefore, a trading strategy should be created depending on whether support or resistance is found around 0.12002, which is the currently formed HA-Low indicator point.
Since the MS-Signal indicator is formed around 0.12296, the key is whether it can rise above 0.12296.
If that happens, there is a high possibility that it will rise near the HA-High indicator, so there is a possibility that it will rise to around 0.13997, which is the point where the HA-High indicator is currently formed.
However, as the price rises, there is a possibility that a new HA-High indicator will be created, so if a new HA-High indicator is created, support must be received near it to continue the upward trend.
TRX is one of the coins that is expanding the coin ecosystem.
I think it will be a good textbook for expanding the coin ecosystem I selected and understanding the trend as the first coin to touch the HA-Low indicator.
Have a good time.
thank you
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- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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The key is whether it can receive support at 70231.38 and riseHello traders!
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(BTCUSD 1M chart)
We need to see if we can break the new high (ATH) by rising above the previous high.
It has been two months since the StochRSI indicator hit the highest point in the overbought range.
Looking at the historical charts, the time when it was maintained at the highest point of the overbought range was February-March 2021.
Therefore, it is necessary to confirm whether the same movement will be seen this time as before.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Accordingly, when the price falls below 67K-69K and shows resistance, a first installment sale is required.
The second split sale occurs when the price falls below 64K.
I think it is best to proceed with the last sale when the price falls below 59K (56K-61K).
(1W chart)
The MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1W chart) indicator is showing an increase above 53256.64.
Accordingly, if it falls below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator, it is expected to fall sharply.
However, as the decline progresses, there is a possibility that a new HA-High indicator will be created, so if the HA-High indicator is created, whether or not there is support around it will be an important issue.
Therefore, since there is a possibility that the HA-High indicator may be created in the selling section described in the BTCUSDT 1M chart, we need to consider how to set the split selling proportion.
Considering the current position of the HA RSI indicator, the section where the HA-High indicator is likely to be generated is expected to be around 64K.
Accordingly, it is recommended that the selling proportion in the first split sale range, 67K-69K, as explained above, be sold at a level that can reduce psychological anxiety that may occur when the price falls.
Although it is a difficult problem, I think it is usually a good idea to sell in installments of 10% to 20%.
So, I don't think you will be too disappointed if the split sale leads to an increase.
When the decline progresses and shows support near the next selling section or HA-High indicator, the average purchase price will not increase significantly even if you buy it again with the sold amount.
If you sell and then buy again when the price has not fallen much, you may think that it is a loss because the quantity you hold decreases, but I don't think it is a big loss because it has reduced your psychological anxiety to some extent.
The reason is that if you continue to trade while feeling psychologically anxious, you will be unable to do anything when important transactions need to be made, and you are likely to suffer greater losses.
Therefore, the most important thing to consider in trading is knowing what your psychological state is.
Next, you need to create a trading strategy using the information (support and resistance points) obtained through chart analysis.
Only then will you be able to suppress changes in chart analysis and interpretation based on your psychological state.
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the HA-High indicator and rise above 1.27 (73308.95).
This is because if it is supported by the HA-High indicator and rises, there is a high possibility of renewing the previous high point.
Expected target is 1.618 (88913.24).
However, since there may be resistance and decline around 1.414 (49468.89), you should also think about countermeasures against this.
In the end, when the reported price (ATH) is updated, you will need to sell in installments.
Since BTC and ETH are coins that allow for long-term investment, from a long-term investment perspective, it is recommended to increase the number of coins held for the long term by selling them for the amount of principal purchased and leaving the number of coins equivalent to the profit.
Since the average purchase price for the number of coins corresponding to profit is 0, if these coins are continuously increased, long-term investment in any coin (token) will be possible.
Purchase principal
If you sell it in installments equal to the selling amount calculated as above, you can get the principal and some cash profit.
Secondary indicators are based on 1D charts.
Therefore, it may not fit well on charts other than 1D charts.
Therefore, the explanation of the StochRSI indicator in the BTCUSD 1M chart may be incorrect.
Therefore, it is recommended to use it to check at which support and resistance points the movement of secondary indicators is inflected.
When the new high (ATH) is being updated, it is not easy to identify important support and resistance points, so I think the key is how well the split selling is carried out.
The next volatility period for BTC will be on March 31 (March 30-April 1).
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
An increase above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart means..Hello traders!
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If there is a coin (token) that appears to be rising above the M-Signal (MS-Signal) indicator on the 1M chart, you need to pay attention and keep a close eye on its movements.
To explain this, let's take the WAVESUSDT chart as an example.
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(WAVESUSDT 1M chart)
It is rising above 3.426 and showing signs of rising above the MS-Signal indicator.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 2.676-3.426.
(1W chart)
If you look at the chart as a whole, the movements are difficult to discern.
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
However, since the M-Signal (MS-Signal) of the 1W chart < M-Signal of the 1M chart, in order to continue a large upward trend, the M-Signal (MS-Signal) of the 1W chart must be > M-Signal of the 1M chart. This is expected to be possible if the price is maintained above the M-Signal on the 1W chart.
You can think of this concept as the price moving average line when studying charts.
The price moving average line is very useful in chart analysis, but from a trading perspective, it has significant disadvantages, so it is recommended to draw support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
(1D chart)
Accordingly, the price will be maintained above 3.767, the HA-High indicator point, and volatility will occur or movement will appear to slow down until the M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart.
The occurrence of volatility means that there is a force trying to form a trend more quickly, so caution is needed when trading coins (tokens) that are showing this type of behavior.
A slowdown in movement can be interpreted as buying in progress.
However, it can be interpreted that there are forces that are trying to ensure stable purchases by preventing individual traders from taking interest in coins (tokens) that show this behavior.
No matter what it looks like, maintaining the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart will ultimately lead to a continued upward trend.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Need to check in which direction it deviates based on 66.4K-69KHello traders!
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
Since the 67K-69K section is located as shown in the picture, I believe it corresponds to the psychological resistance section.
Therefore, if support is reached around 67K-69K, it is expected to lead to a further rise.
If not, and it falls, you should check for support around 56K-61K.
The HA RSI indicator is an indicator created based on the closing price of Heikin Ashi.
Therefore, when the price falls, the HA RSI indicator may fall from the overbought range and a new HA-HIgh indicator may be created.
If a new HA-High indicator is created, the important thing is whether it can be supported around it.
(1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above 69K.
If that happens, it is expected to rise to the next target of 1.618 (88913.24).
(1D chart)
In order to continue the upward trend, it must eventually rise above 70231.38.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 69K-70.2K.
Because the MS-Signal indicator was touching and rising, the area around 66.4K was the first buying period.
The second buying time is when it shows support around 70.2K, as mentioned above.
It was expected that we would be able to find out what direction the trend would take from March 16th to 18th.
Accordingly, you need to check in which direction it deviates based on the 66.4K-69K section.
The next period of volatility is around March 31st.
Therefore, it is expected that the trend created will accelerate or a major reversal will occur around March 17th.
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I think it is risky to forecast the coin market trend only through BTC charts.
Therefore, I think we should also know the movement of coin market funds.
As an individual trader, it is quite difficult to know the financial situation of the coin market.
I think you can refer to the USDT and USDC charts to understand the trend of funds, even if it is limited.
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
Funds flow into or out of the coin market through USDT or USDC.
This is because in order to trade in the coin market, you need funds to form a trading pair.
I think most trading is taking place in the USDT market.
Therefore, it can be said that USDT's movement has a great influence on the coin market.
If you interpret the USDT chart or USDC chart considering this situation,
- The occurrence of a gap can be seen as the basis for funds flowing into or out of the coin market.
- Candlesticks on the USDT chart or USDC chart can be seen as expressing increases and decreases due to trading.
Therefore, if USDT does not show a downward trend in the gap, it is highly likely that the coin market will maintain an upward trend due to the funds flowing into the coin market.
(USDT.D chart)
In that sense, I think the movement of USDT dominance is a chart that shows the funding trend in the actual coin market.
As long as USDT dominance does not rise above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to remain bullish.
Therefore, if USDT dominance rises above 4.97 and USDT begins to show a downward trend, I think it is highly likely that the coin market is in a downward trend.
If you think you have found such an important point or section, you need a trading strategy that matches the current trend until you break away from that point or section.
(BTC.D chart)
I think this bull market is centered around BTC or ETH.
Accordingly, I believe that most altcoins are not showing a significant increase.
Although, I believe that BTC dominance is currently maintained at the current level due to the rise of several coins (tokens).
If BTC dominance does not fall below 50, there is a high possibility that there will be a large decline due to the decline of BTC, so caution is required when trading.
-----------------------------------
In summary, the decline in BTC provides a buying opportunity until USDT switches to a gap decline.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Examples of criteria for creating a trading strategyHello traders!
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Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
We analyze charts in a variety of ways to determine trends.
I think the important thing is how to create a trading strategy using these analysis methods, not whether you can match the trend or not.
Therefore, even if you know the trend, if you do not create a trading strategy properly, you may end up with small profits or even losses.
Therefore, I think it is extremely important to find support and resistance points that can ultimately create a trading strategy and how to create a trading strategy based on those points.
(Heikin Ashi 1D chart)
(Renko 1D chart)
I think the Heikin Ashi chart and Renko chart supported by TradingView charts are good charts for identifying trends.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators created using the Heikin Ashi chart are implemented, we will not talk about the Heikin Ashi chart.
The advantage of Heikin Ashi charts and Renko charts is that they reduce fakes and whipsaws.
However, it is not easy to actually trade with only two charts.
That's because it's so difficult to see.
In particular, Renko charts can be more esoteric than Heikin Ashi charts.
The reason is that the price is expressed in certain blocks.
However, if you look at the way the chart is drawn, you can see that fakes and whipsaws have been reduced more than the Heikin Ashi chart.
So, just as I created the HA-Low and HA-High indicators using the Heikin Ashi chart, I am trying to create a standardized trading strategy using the Renko chart.
We added the TS-BW auxiliary indicator used in the existing chart to verify the basic direction.
The overall direction can be verified by whether the BW indicator is in an upward or downward trend.
Additionally, you can verify more detailed direction through the movements of the StochRSI indicator and the StochRSI EMA indicator.
We added the MS-Signal indicator to the price chart section to help you see the chart trend more intuitively.
With the addition of the MS-Signal indicator, I don't think there is a need to add the superTrend indicator.
Since the MS-Signal indicator is a curve, we wanted to help create a trading strategy by adding the superTrend indicator, which is expressed as a line.
Next, in order to create a more confident trading strategy, various indicators are displayed on the price chart so that you can intuitively check support and resistance points.
By doing this, I believe that the Renko chart, which was used as a trend chart, was expressed as a tradable chart.
No matter how good an analysis technique you know, if you cannot create a trading strategy that suits you, your trading is likely to ultimately fail.
Therefore, once you have found an analysis technique that suits you, you should focus on reducing your psychological burden by investing more time in creating a trading strategy rather than trying to develop the analysis technique.
The trading strategy is
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method
I think it consists of the three things above.
Steps 1 and 2 are steps to begin with a broader observation of the coin (token, item) you want to trade rather than the chart.
Therefore, in the coin market, it is necessary to check whether the coin ecosystem is expanding and which themes it is included in.
If you decide to trade a coin (token, item) that has been confirmed in this way, you must look at the chart of the coin (token, item) and create a trading strategy.
The decisions made in steps 1 and 2 of the trading strategy are classified into intraday and medium-term investment, short-term and day trading, etc., and the appropriate investment size is determined. Accordingly, actual purchases, sales, stop losses, etc. are made in step 3. You decide.
When purchasing, it is important to try to estimate the average purchase price as much as possible.
To do this, it is recommended to proceed with split purchases at the support and resistance points expressed in the chart above.
Selling for profit is also recommended through split sales.
However, you should try to sell when the price is rising.
This is because if you sell while the price is rising and falling, it can be quite difficult to create a follow-up trading strategy.
Therefore, when selling, it is recommended to conduct split sales using auxiliary indicators such as the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator.
I think stop-loss is something that should be done when there is a possibility that the price will fall further and cause larger losses.
Therefore, how to sell at the stop loss point is very important.
I believe that you can quickly learn a clear way to practice stop loss by conducting futures trading.
I believe that the overall rate of return is ultimately determined by how well you do your stop loss.
However, if possible, it is important to confirm your profit in advance before taking a stop loss.
Therefore, I think that when deciding buy, sell, or stop-loss points, you should not rely on price issues other than the chart.
This is because issues other than charts add subjective thoughts and can interfere with creating a proper trading strategy.
Therefore, when deciding on step 3 of your trading strategy, it is best to look at the charts first and then read various articles afterwards.
Whatever the method, if you have a trading strategy standard that suits you, that standard is the best trading strategy standard.
No matter how good the trading strategy standard is, if it does not fit your investment style, there is a high possibility that the transaction will ultimately fail.
When studying charts, it is best not to try to memorize the names of patterns or various indicators.
Those names are not helpful at all in creating a trading strategy.
Therefore, when studying charts or analysis techniques, you should try to find out what the key is.
Once you understand the core content, you need to think deeply about how you can use it to create a trading strategy.
You may have difficulty understanding this article because it contains a description of what you learned while conducting the transaction.
Also, it may sound abstract.
However, since it is information obtained through actual trading, I think it can be a way for those studying charts to learn more quickly.
Have a good time.
thank you
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The key is whether it can rise above 3900.73-4294.78Hello traders!
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(ETHUSDT 12M chart)
The BW indicator is an indicator expressed by combining MACD, StochRSI, CCI, superTrend, and PVT indicators.
By displaying this BW indicator on the price chart, we made it intuitive to understand.
Therefore, points marked with the BW indicator can be used as support and resistance.
The key is whether it can rise above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (5005.30) and renew the new high (ATH).
If the price holds above 5005.30, the next target is expected to be 1.618 (7362.80).
(1M charts)
It has broken through the upper part of the box section of the HA-High indicator and is rising.
Accordingly, if the price stays above 3900.73, it is expected to start rising to renew the new high (ATH).
If not, and it falls, you need to check if it is supported around 3321.30 or 0.618 (3548.07).
(1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise in the 3962.19-4294.78 range.
If it falls, you should check for support around 3503.68, the bottom point of the box section of the HA-High indicator.
(1D chart)
The next period of volatility will be around March 25th.
However, you need to check which direction you can deviate from the 3503.68-4294.78 range.
If it receives support around 9300.73-3962.19, it is expected to rise above 4294.78.
Therefore, if it falls below 9300.73 and shows resistance, there is a possibility that it will turn into a short-term downtrend.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
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The overall picture is as follows.
(BTCUSD 1M chart)
Looking at the TradingView INDEX chart, it appears that the new high (ATH) has been updated.
To date, the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart has been maintained at the highest point of the overbought zone for up to 2 months.
Accordingly, the key question is whether the StochRSI indicator can maintain its peak in April.
If not, I'll have to prepare for a decline.
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
If the decline begins, the key is whether support can be found around 59053.55 (56090.42-61202.17).
If it falls below this range, it is expected to fall to around 42K-47K (44200-47600).
If there is support near 69000, the next target is expected to be around 1.618 (88913.24).
---------------------------
The reason why there are expectations that BTC will rise again even if it falls is because USDT and USDC continue to maintain a rising gap.
This is because we believe that the fact that USDT or USDC shows a rising gap is evidence that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I believe that the increase in USDT or USDC through transactions is expressed through candles.
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
Therefore, I think that for the coin market to show a downward trend, USDT must show a gap decline.
Therefore, I believe that the decline of BTC in these fund flows will actually increase buying power.
(BTC.D 1M chart)
In order for the altcoin trend to begin, I believe BTC dominance must fall below 50 and remain there.
However, if possible, I think BTC dominance should rise in the 55.01-62.47 range or higher and then decline.
Otherwise, if BTC shows signs of falling at a critical point, the fall in altcoins is expected to be large.
Accordingly, when trading altcoins, it is necessary to recover the purchase price as quickly as possible from a day trading perspective.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
As USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to enter a bull market.
Accordingly, if USDT Dominus rises above 4.97, the coin market is expected to see a significant decline.
In order for this downtrend to become a full-fledged downtrend, USDT must show a gap decline.
-------------------------------------------------- -------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
As BTC renews its new all-time high (ATH), I think the likelihood of increased selling is increasing.
Accordingly, it is important to determine where the key support and resistance points are within the current price position.
Currently, the 66401.82-69000 area is considered to be an important support and resistance area.
To confirm this, you can check the movement of altcoins when BTC falls to the 66401.82-69000 range.
The StochRSI indicator is expected to touch the top of the overbought zone.
Accordingly, the 66401.82-69000 section is expected to be an important section.
(1D chart)
If the new high (ATH) is renewed and the upward trend is maintained, there is no way to know what will happen in the future.
Accordingly, a predictable picture is drawn using the chart tool.
A representative charting tool is the Fibonacci ratio.
The 1.27 (73308.95) and 1.414 (79765.89) points indicated by the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool are likely to serve as resistance zones.
However, since the ratio that has an important meaning in the Fibonacci ratio is 0.618, it is believed that if the price surges, it is highly likely to touch around 1.618 (88913.24).
To maintain this upward trend, we need to see if we can find support near the previous high point of 69000 and rise further.
This volatility period lasts until March 11th.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained above 66401.82.
The next period of volatility is around March 31st.
However, it is necessary to check the movement around March 17 (March 16-18).
This is because there is a possibility that a trend will slowly form around March 17th (March 16th-18th).
As of now, the short-term downtrend turning point is 1 (61202.17).
Accordingly, it is important whether there is support or resistance around 56150.01-61202.17.
----------------------------------------
The gist of the above is
- If USDT maintains its gap upward trend, it is expected to eventually maintain its upward trend even if BTC falls.
- In order to see a major uptrend in altcoins, BTC dominance must fall below 50.
However, it is thought that it is highly likely that the altcoin bull market will be maintained only if BTC dominance rises in the 55.01-65.47 range or higher and then falls.
If not, you need to be careful when trading as altcoins are likely to see a large decline when BTC appears to be falling at a critical point.
- If BTC falls below 61202.17, it is highly likely to turn into a short-term downtrend.
Accordingly, it is important whether support or resistance is received around 56150.01-61202.17.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether the reported price (ATH) can be renewedHello traders!
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(BNBUSDT 1M chart)
It has risen above 533.9 and continues to rise to renew the new high (ATH).
Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise above 1 (730.5).
If not, and it falls, you should check if it is supported around 533.9.
(1W chart)
I believe that the 573.0-649.5 section corresponds to the psychological volume profile section.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above 649.5.
(1D chart)
If the price maintains above 573.0-649.5, it is expected to rise above 730.5.
If it falls,
1st: 522.0
2nd: 427.2
You need to check if you receive support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
If the price holds above Fibonacci 1 (730.5), the next target is expected to be 1.618 (1057.2).
It may swing up and down to rise to around 1057.2, but I think it is highly likely that it will eventually touch it.
BNB is one of the coins whose circulation volume is reduced through periodic buybacks.
Therefore, I think it is a coin that can be used for mid- to long-term investment.
These mid- to long-term investment coins can be purchased at a low price and held as is.
However, if possible, when a large upward trend appears to be coming to an end, I think it is a good idea to increase the number of coins corresponding to profit by selling only an amount equivalent to the purchase principal.
If you sell the amount of the purchase principal, the average purchase price of the remaining coins is 0, so there is no risk of long-term holding.
Therefore, purchase principal * 1.1 = amount to sell
(Example) If you multiply the purchase principal by 1.1, you will sell 10% more of the purchase principal.
As above, it is recommended to multiply it by about 1.1 and cash out more than the purchase principal.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
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-------------------------------------
(ADAUSDT 1M chart)
The upward trend began when the MS-Signal indicator rose above.
Additionally, since the MS-Signal indicator has switched to a bullish sign, it is expected to continue its upward trend if the price holds above 0.236 (0.6024).
(1W chart)
If the upward trend continues,
1st: 0.9250
2nd: 1.3678
3rd: 1.9655
It is expected to rise to around the 1st to 3rd levels above.
We need to check whether the price can be maintained above the top of the box of the HA-High indicator.
(1D chart)
The (1) section is the psychological volume profile section.
Accordingly, the key is whether the (1) section can be broken upward.
To do that, we need to make sure the price stays above 0.6984.
If it falls below 0.6984 and shows resistance, there is a possibility that it will turn into a short-term downtrend.
The important point to continue the upward trend is around 0.236 (0.6024).
Looking at the Renko chart, it shows that an upward trend is about to begin.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
weekly outlookHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It appears to be breaking upward through the 0.886 (56227.18) to 1 (61338.93) range, which was considered a resistance range.
Accordingly, it has become important to be able to maintain the price above 1 (61338.93).
The next target is around 1.618 (89050.0).
The key is whether it will rise like this and touch, or whether it will create a pull back pattern and rise.
To date, the maximum period for which the StochRSI indicator remained at the top of the overbought zone was two months.
(1W chart)
Looking at the 1W chart, the maximum resistance area is around 66401.82.
Therefore, it is judged that the upward trend will continue only when it breaks above 66401.82.
If it fails to break above 66401.82 and falls below 59035.55, it is likely to turn into a downtrend.
However, there is a possibility that the downtrend will continue only if it falls further below 53256.64, so you should think about a response plan for the 53256.64-59035.55 range.
If the downtrend that started like this is truly a downtrend, it is expected to fall below 44200-47600 and show resistance.
Otherwise, if it receives support around 44200-47600 and rises, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and continue the upward trend.
--------------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1M chart)
In order to achieve a big bull market, BTC dominance must show a decline.
Otherwise, if it becomes a bull market in which only BTC and ETH rise, or if BTC appears to be about to fall slightly, altcoins will see a large decline.
Therefore, it is believed that BTC dominance must fall below 50 and be maintained to create a stable bull market.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
USDT dominance is expected to remain below 4.97 for the coin market to remain bullish.
However, if it falls below 4.16 and then rises above 4.16 to around 4.97, the coin market as a whole is expected to see a large decline.
At this time, you need to check whether BTC dominance has risen to the 55.01-62.47 range or higher, or is maintained around 50.
This is because it is thought that if BTC rises in the 55.01-62.47 range or higher and is supported around 44200-47600 and rises, there is a high possibility that a major bull market will begin.
If BTC dominance remains around 50 and then declines, the coin market will also see a large increase.
Unlike previous BTC halvings, this time BTC and ETH are maintaining an upward trend alternately.
Accordingly, it is believed that BTC dominance shows no direction and shows sideways movements.
However, it is thought that it is unlikely that the bull market will continue while maintaining the current level of BTC dominance, so it is necessary to check the direction of BTC dominance.
----------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
We talked about the mid- to long-term perspective with the 1M chart and 1W chart, but the immediate movement, that is, the short-term perspective, may be more important.
The reason is that it rose near the new high (ATH).
It is currently supported around 1 (61338.93) and is showing an upward trend.
However, since StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, I think we need to hold the price above 63660.11 to break out of this situation.
If it shows resistance around 63660.11, it will fall back to around 1 (61338.93).
Therefore, from a short-term perspective, the key is which direction it deviates from the 1 (61338.93) to 63660.11 range and maintains it.
If it breaks above 63660.11, it can be purchased through day trading and the target is around 66401.82.
If it falls below 1 (61338.93), you should check for support around 59053.55.
The next period of volatility will be around March 10 (March 9-11).
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Entering the sphere of influence of BTC halvingHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
The stablecoin that has a great influence on the coin market is USDT.
USDC is believed to have a short-term impact on the coin market.
Currently, as funds begin to flow into USDC, BTC is moving to renew its all-time high (ATH).
Therefore, we need to create a trading strategy based on the belief that the coin market will continue its upward trend until USDT or USDC continues to show a decrease in the gap and shows an outflow of funds.
(USDT.D chart)
As USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to enter a bull market.
However, we will have to look at the movement of BTC dominance to determine what kind of bull market this will be.
(BTC.D chart)
For a major bull market to begin, it is likely to begin with a rise in the 55.01-62.47 range or higher and then a decline below 50.
A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins (tokens) renew their new highs (ATH).
Accordingly, there is a possibility that altcoins will rise significantly from the time they begin to decline around 55.01-62.47.
If that happens, BTC's movement will slow down and naturally move sideways.
-------------------------------------------------- -
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
BTC is located near Fibonacci 1 (61338.93).
If it does not fall below 59053.55, I think there is a good chance that the upward trend will continue.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is located at the highest point of the overbought range, its rise may be limited.
(BTCUSD 1M chart)
Accordingly, looking at the BTCUSD INDEX chart provided by TradingView, it is expected that there will be difficulty breaking through the range between the left Fibonacci ratio 1 (61383.23) and the right Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (65056.39).
Similar to the BTCUSDT chart, a drop below 59103.77 is likely to lead to further declines.
1st: Left Fibonacci Ratio 3 (54512.93)
2nd: Right Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) ~ Left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (47995.77)
You need to check if you receive support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
Judging from previous movements, the longest time the StochRSI indicator has stayed at the peak of the overbought zone is about 2 months, so it is possible that the StochRSI indicator will remain at the peak of the overbought zone until up to March.
If not, and the StochRSI indicator shows a downward turn, you should look for ways to counter the decline.
(1W chart)
I believe that the 59053.55 point, which is the point explained in the 1M chart, corresponds to psychological support and resistance points.
Therefore, if resistance is seen at the 59053.55 point, there is a high possibility that selling pressure will increase and lead to a further decline.
However, the area where the current upward trend is broken is 0.786 (51743.19) ~ 53256.64.
If it falls below this range and enters the rising channel, it is expected to eventually touch around 44200-47600, near the bottom of the rising channel.
At this time, if it is supported and rises around 44200-47600, a rally toward around 1.618 (89050.0) is expected to begin.
If the StochRSI indicator touches the highest point of the overbought range, there is a possibility that the indicator will show a large decline even with a small decline.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator shows such a decline, it is important to know where support or resistance is found.
(1D chart)
This period of volatility runs until March 2nd.
However, since the next volatility period is around March 10th, this volatility period may be extended until March 11th, so we need to set support and resistance points in the big picture and respond accordingly.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
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-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
The flow of funds appears to be flowing into the coin market.
In particular, the rise of USDC is expected to bring great vitality to the coin market.
However, USDC can still be seen as having a weaker influence on the coin market than USDT, so it is necessary to check whether USDT continues to maintain the gap upward trend.
(BTC.D chart)
(USDT.D chart)
In order to utilize fund flow information in trading, I think it is a good idea to check the movements of BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
When USDT dominance falls below 4.97, the coin market is expected to begin a bull market.
In order for this bull market to lead to an altcoin bull market, it is expected that BTC dominance will begin when it falls below 50.0.
An altcoin bull market means a bull market in which you can make a profit no matter what altcoin you buy.
In order for a major bull market to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must rise in the 56.78-62.47 range or higher and then begin to fall.
A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins (tokens) renew their new highs (ATH).
-------------------------------------------------- ---
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising to the 53256.64-66401.82 range, which is the box range of the previous HA-High indicator.
In particular, the previous HA-High indicator point, 56150.01-59370.07, is expected to be an important resistance area.
Accordingly, if it rises above 53256.64 and then falls below 53256.64, it is expected to form a pull back pattern.
The reason why it is not said to have turned into a downward trend is because the flow of USDT or USDC mentioned earlier is maintaining a gap upward trend.
The most important zone when the decline began is 42141.24-43823.59.
This is because this section is where the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart and the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart were formed.
Therefore, if it shows support around 44200.0-47600.0, it is expected to form the bottom of a pull back pattern.
In order to continue the upward trend, the StochRSI indicator must be moved out of the overbought zone.
If that happens, it is expected to see a bigger rise.
(1D chart)
If it shows support around 51686.94, it is expected to rise.
Accordingly, buying is possible when it breaks upward through the 51686.94-52137.67 range.
To do this, we need to make sure that the StochRSI indicator is out of the oversold range and arranged as StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
For purchases made around 51686.94-52137.67, the stop loss point is 50585.0, which is the bottom point of the HA-High indicator box.
If it falls below 50585.0, it is expected to touch around 49686.20, so you need to think about how to respond.
The next period of volatility is around March 1st.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
need to find the criteria that fits your trading strategyHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The criteria on which you proceed with trading will depend on your trading strategy.
Therefore, it is most important to set standards that suit your trading strategy.
1. Trend line: Drawn using the StochRSI indicator
2. HA 5EMA: (opening price of Heikin Ashi candle + closing price of Heikin Ashi candle) / 2 5EMA line drawn as one value
3. MS-Signal: Indicator using MACD indicator formula
4. HA-High: An indicator created using the characteristics of Heikin Ashi candles and the RSI indicator
You can respond by creating a trading strategy based on the above.
When the StochRSI indicator of the TS-BW secondary indicator and the StochRSI EMA indicator intersect and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a buying time.
Accordingly, you can create a trading strategy based on one of numbers 1-4 above.
Currently, we need to confirm support based on the HA-High indicator and then respond.
Therefore, the key is whether it receives support or resistance based on the 51686.94 point.
A trend is expected to be formed depending on which direction it deviates from the 49676.20-53256.64 range.
(1W chart)
(1M charts)
However, since both the StochRSI indicators on the 1W and 1M charts have entered the overbought zone, there is a high possibility of a price adjustment, that is, a pull back pattern.
The resistance area at this time is expected to be around 56150.01-59370.07.
If the price fails to maintain its upward trend after rising above 53256.64 and shows resistance around 53256.64, there is a possibility of creating a pullback pattern, so a response is needed.
Therefore, I believe that securing adequate cash will allow us to seize good opportunities during price adjustments.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next volatility period: around March 1stHello traders!
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
BTC is located near the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.786 (51743.19).
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 0.786 (51743.19).
If not,
1st: 0.707 (48200.83)
2nd: 0.618 (44210.08)
It is expected to fall to around the 1st and 2nd levels above.
Since the StochRSI indicator is located at the highest point of the overbought range, support around 0.786 (51743.19) is expected to be an important issue.
(1W chart)
Since it is above the rising channel, it falls into a period of volatility around the week of February 26th.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise and receive support around 0.786 (51743.19) ~ 53256.64.
Otherwise, if it enters the rising channel, there is a possibility of touching the bottom line of the rising channel, so a countermeasure is needed.
Therefore, we need to check whether this week's candlestick maintains the price in the 0.786 (51743.19) ~ 53256.64 range or higher.
(1D chart)
If the closing price falls below HA 5EMA, caution is needed as it may lead to a further decline.
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at the 51686.94 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 51686.94.
If it receives support this time and rises, it is important whether it can be supported around 53256.64.
If not, there is a possibility that it will lead to a further decline and fall to around 49676.20.
The MS-Signal indicator is passing around 49676.20, so if support is confirmed around 49676.20, it is time to purchase additional.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, it is necessary to check whether it is showing signs of turning upward.
The next period of volatility is expected to be around March 1st.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next volatility period: around February 15-20Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
If you can't predict the direction of BTC, if you don't know whether it will rise further or fall in the future, why are you analyzing charts?
Through chart analysis, we are traders trying to make a profit by trading.
In order to trade, you need to create a trading strategy and react to price movements.
At this time, the important thing is that you need a trading strategy to reduce losses, not a trading strategy to gain greater profits.
A trading strategy created to gain greater profits will act as a disadvantage in psychological warfare, and if these psychological instability factors accumulate, you will eventually end the transaction with a loss.
---------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT chart)
I think what you need to pay close attention to in the charts above is the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
Currently, only the 1W chart has failed to enter the overbought section.
When next week's candle is created, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart enters the overbought zone.
When the StochRSI indicator falls from an overbought zone, you need to check at which point or zone it is supported or resisted.
---------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
USDT and USDC are still on the rise.
Although USDC has been showing a gap decline since February 11, it is expected to eventually maintain an upward trend if it remains above 26.525B, which was an important point.
A rise in the gap between USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market.
Conversely, a falling gap means that funds are flowing out of the coin market.
Therefore, this rise shows that funds are flowing out through USDC.
Since I believe that the increase or decrease of USDT or USDC through trading is expressed as a candle, I believe that the meaning of the gap is the inflow and outflow of funds.
I think that if you know the fund flow in the coin market, you can ultimately know the movement of the coin market.
Accordingly, the movement of the USDT or USDC chart can be said to be an important chart for individual traders to view the fund flow in the coin market.
Among them, I think it is especially important to check the movement of USDT because USDT has the greatest influence on the coin market.
-------------------------------------------------
Once you have confirmed the flow of funds in the coin market, that is, the inflow and outflow of funds, you need to check how the funds flowing into the coin market are moving.
(BTC.D chart)
(USDT.D chart)
Such movements should be confirmed by movements in BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
BTC dominance lets you know whether funds are concentrated towards BTC or altcoins.
Accordingly, a rise in BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards BTC.
To know the overall trend of the coin market, you can find out to some extent by checking the dominance of USDT, which has a great influence on the coin market.
What is important in USDT or USDC charts is that the gap rise continues to occur.
This is because funds will flow into the coin market.
If funds continue to flow in this way, the corresponding dominance will inevitably rise.
Therefore, when looking at the BTC dominance or USDT dominance chart, you should look at whether the current candle is a falling candle or a rising candle rather than the trend.
Otherwise, if you judge the dominance chart as a trend, there is a high possibility of getting incorrect forecasts, so be careful.
The coin market is showing an upward trend as USDT dominance falls below 5.89.
If it falls below 4.97, I think there is a high possibility that the coin market will show a major upward trend.
However, in order for the mainstream upward trend to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must rise in the 56.78-62.47 range or higher and then begin to decline.
If not, it is expected that an altcoin bull market will begin rather than a mainstream bull market.
An altcoin bull market means a bull market in which you can ultimately make a profit no matter what altcoin you buy.
A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins are likely to hit new highs (ATH).
Therefore, it is necessary to see what BTC dominance looks like in the future.
For an altcoin bull market to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must fall below 50.
-------------------------------------------------- ------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It is showing a significant rise, rising above the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.618 (44210.08).
The resistance area of this rise, that is, the area that will determine the trend again, is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886-1.0.
(1W chart)
If you check this in more detail, it is expected to be in the range 53256.64 -66401.82.
However, if it enters the 53256.64 -66401.82 section, the 59370.07 point is expected to be the critical point.
Caution is needed because there is a possibility that the price will rise around 53256.64 and then shake up to break above it.
(1D chart)
What is important to look at in this shakeup is whether there is support around 49676.20.
If it rises around 53256.64 and then falls below 49676.20 and shows resistance, caution is needed as it could lead to a further decline.
The most important indicator to look at in my charts is the MS-Signal indicator, that is, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
If the price stays above this indicator, it will eventually continue its upward trend, otherwise it will show a downward trend.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart shows short-term trends,
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts indicates mid- to long-term trends.
Therefore, you need to identify trends and create a response strategy that matches your trading strategy, that is, your investment period.
Since the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, the M-Signal indicator, passes through the 45135.66-46431.50 range, if it falls to around 46431.50, you should check for support and respond in the short term.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 41253.4, so an appropriate response is needed.
Both the StochRSI indicator and the BW indicator hit their highest points.
Accordingly, if the price shows a slight decline, it will show a reversal.
However, if the StochRSI indicator does not fall below the overbought range, it means that the strength of the rise is strong, so you must check and respond to support and resistance at the support and resistance points or sections.
In other words, how well you find support and resistance on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is the most important factor required for trading in chart analysis.
No matter how much you can tell the trend through chart analysis, if you ultimately fail to find support and resistance points, trading may proceed in the wrong direction.
Therefore, support and resistance points should be points that anyone can understand and predict.
If you do not explain the interpretation of support and resistance points, it will be difficult to utilize the support and resistance points, so although it may be a good article for chart analysis, it will be an analysis that cannot be used for trading purposes.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Rise above 42151.24-43823.59 is importantHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
An important selling zone is formed around 42283.58.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 42283.58 and rise above 43823.59.
(1W chart)
The important section containing the psychological resistance zone is the 42151.24-43823.59 section.
Therefore, I think it is highly likely that a trend will form based on this important section.
However, when viewed from the overall flow of the chart, the 37253.82-46431.5 section can be considered to be the starting boundary section of the high point section.
Therefore, if it rises above 46431.5, it can be said that it has entered the high point in the overall trend of the chart.
Based on the current price and trend, if it falls below 37253.82, the trend is expected to turn to the downside.
The 32917.17-35045.0 section is a strong support zone, and if it falls below this zone, it is expected to enter the bottom zone.
(1D chart)
This period of volatility will last until around February 7th (February 8th).
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Important section : 42141.24-43823.59Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new candle has been created.
The 42283.58 point is an important point and forms the volume profile section.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 42283.58 and rise above 43823.59.
If that happens, the next resistance area is expected to be the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886-1.0.
If it falls below 42283.58, it is expected to maintain an upward trend only if it receives support around 37253.81.
(1W chart)
What is important to look at in the 1W chart is whether the price can be maintained above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
The HA-High indicator is currently at 42141.24.
Accordingly, it can be seen that the section 42141.24-42283.58 corresponds to an important point.
As the price moves, trend lines are created, and you can see that it is moving within the rising channel of the rising trend lines (2)-(3).
Channeling doesn't actually have any special meaning, so it's best not to worry about it too much.
I think it just applies to the display method in chart analysis.
By combining this rising channel with the points mentioned above, we can calculate a period of volatility to some extent.
In that sense, the period of volatility on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of March 11th.
(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the psychological resistance zone of 43160.043823.59.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether the downward trend line (1) and (1-1) can be broken upward.
An upward trend line (2) is formed near the important point of 42141.24-42283.58, so it is important not to fall below this trend line.
If it falls below 41732.35, you need to check whether it can rise with support in the 39845.44-42053.66 range.
In any case, what is important is which direction it deviates from the 42141.24-43823.59 range, which is the range located during the period of unusual volatility (until February 8).
Even if it rises beyond the psychological range, there is a possibility of resistance in the 44200.0-47600.0 range, but if it rises this time, it is expected that it will succeed in breaking upward.
The reason is that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market.
If altcoins rise along with the price of BTC, it means that they have risen above a critical point.
In that case, if BTC dominance shows a decline, altcoins are expected to continue their upward trend.
On the other hand, if BTC dominance shows an upward trend, altcoins are likely to gradually sideways or decline.
Therefore, if you buy wrongly when an altcoin is rising, you may suffer, so it is better to buy before it rises or wait until BTC dominance shows a decline.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
A preview of February’s trendsHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The movement from August 17-23, 2023, and the current movement from January 22-26, 2024, are different.
This is because the movement in 2023 occurred near the HA-Low indicator, and the current movement occurred near the HA-High indicator.
Accordingly, there is a high possibility that the current rise will not continue and will fall.
The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is located at the 43450.03 point, so the important question is whether it can be supported and rise around 43450.03.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall until the HA-Low indicator is created, so you need to think about a countermeasure.
If today's candle closes above 42283.58 and shows support there, it is expected to rise above 43450.03.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, it is necessary to check whether it is supported near the channel consisting of trend lines (1) and (2) when it leaves the overbought zone.
(1M charts)
Soon, a new candle will be created on the 1M chart.
Since the BW indicator is recording a strong upward trend, you should check whether the BW indicator continues to show a strong upward trend when a new candle is created.
You should also check if the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of turning into a bearish indicator.
You will understand if you compare it with the past StochRSI indicator.
When next month's candle is created, it is a good idea to check to what point the HA 5EMA line will rise and be created, and to think about a response plan for the possibility of it falling to the vicinity of the HA 5EMA.
If the price holds above 42283.58, the next resistance zone is expected to be the Fibonacci ratio 0.886-1.0 zone.
I think there is a high possibility that it will touch this section and plummet, but if the price is maintained above 42283.58, it is expected to maintain an upward trend and lead to a movement to renew the new high (ATH).
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Examples of how to draw and use trend linesHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(1W chart)
Usually, the way to draw a trend line is to connect the high point and the high point where the trend changes, or to connect the low point and the low point to display the trend line.
Then, a channel is formed to express movement within that channel.
It is a relatively simple analysis tool that anyone with a good understanding of charts can draw trend lines.
However, I think whether you can use it in actual trading depends on how much you trust the trend line.
However, due to the nature of the trend line, it is expressed as a diagonal line, so it has a fundamental problem that it is not easy to respond even if it deviates from the trend line.
So, in order to trade with information obtained from chart analysis, you must draw support and resistance points close to the horizontal line.
Therefore, in chart analysis, you must have a basic understanding of the candle arrangement.
In my chart, the StochRSI indicator is
1. Use the waves of the StochRSI indicator to check support and resistance at support and resistance points.
2. Used to draw trend lines.
When drawing a trend line with the StochRSI indicator, the oversold section is below 20, the overbought section is above 80, and the trend line is drawn by connecting the points where the vertices are created.
However, the trend line drawn between high points is drawn based on the opening price of the falling candle.
Therefore, draw a trend line by selecting the peak of the StochRSI indicator or the opening price of the nearest bearish candle.
You can draw a trend line by connecting the low points of candles corresponding to the vertices of the trend line, which is drawn by connecting the low points.
For detailed instructions, please refer to the trend line displayed on the chart.
Among the trend lines drawn on the chart, I think that the trend line drawn almost horizontally is actually important.
Otherwise, I think it is a trend line drawn for chart analysis because it is difficult to use diagonal trend lines for trading.
In order to utilize a trend line expressed as a diagonal line, support and resistance points must be displayed together to be considered a trend line that can be used for trading.
When using various chart tools that are used by specifying a selection point, how the selection point is specified is very important.
Therefore, if the criteria are not clear when specifying the selection point, what is drawn using various chart tools cannot be trusted.
To solve this problem to some extent, we used the StochRSI indicator to draw a trend line.
(1D chart)
If you look at the trend lines drawn on the 1D chart, you can see that the two trend lines at the current price position are drawn close to the horizon.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained by breaking above the trend line of 1.
If this is not the case and it falls below trend line 2, it can be seen that there is a high possibility that it will lead to a further decline.
In that sense, the key is whether it can rise above the HA-High indicator, that is, above 43K.
If it falls, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator, so it is important to check for support near the HA-Low indicator when it is generated.
When drawing a trend line using the StochRSI indicator, vertices formed outside of oversold or overbought areas are excluded.
The reason is that the upward or downward intensity is weak.
This is to prevent confusion because if the rising or falling strength is weak, it is likely to be a fake or whipsaw.
It is important to draw in a way that has a solid basis so that you can trust the tools you draw on the chart.
StochRSI settings : 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
39845.44 The importance of branchesHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The trend shifted from USDT to an upward gap faster than expected.
Accordingly, I think the coin market has gained the strength to rise again.
However, it is necessary to check whether the HA-Low indicator can be newly created and rise while moving sideways in the current section.
In order for the HA-Low indicator to be created, the price must be maintained below 39845.44 to cause the HA RSI indicator to enter the oversold zone.
If that is not the case and it rises, I think there is a high possibility that it will meet resistance by touching the MS-Signal indicator.
Currently, the MS-Signal indicator is located around 42141.24.
The key is whether the HA-Low indicator can be generated and rise before the next volatility period around January 30th.
If BTC rises above the 42141.24-43823.59 range, altcoins are expected to rise in unison.
This is because I believe that the 42141.24-43823.59 range corresponds to the psychological resistance range.
However, for altcoins to continue their upward trend, BTC dominance must fall below 50.
If this is not the case and BTC dominance rises, altcoins are likely to gradually sideways or decline.
The BW indicator is recording a strong downward trend.
Additionally, the StochRSI indicator is also located in the oversold zone.
Therefore, if you wait, you will see that the StochRSI indicator is trying to break out of the oversold zone.
At that time, you can proceed with the installment purchase.
However, as mentioned above, there is a possibility that resistance will be encountered when touching the MS-Signal indicator, so that is the first selling period.
It is time to buy when the BW indicator shows an upward trend and rises above the MS-Signal indicator.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------