Prediction for BTC peak in 2025 ~ $245KThis prediction uses a serial trend line and the completeness of an oscillator.
The expected price of BTC peak in 2025 is $245K. It's really fascinating.
MSAP
BTC will reach ~$166K-290K in 2025Just use simple FR for uptrend in cycles.
2013 => 2.618
2017 => 2.618
They are impulses.
2021 => 1.618.
It is a apart of long correction, not impulse.
2025 => 1.618?
Then we can wait for $166K.
I don't think we can get max FR = 2.0 ~ $290K.
So Max = FR 1.786 ~ $213K.
Elliott wave count for Bitcoin full historyThis is the wave count that I am monitoring:
+ We are in a corrective wave lasting 8-13 years, or even 24 years;
+ Uptrend 2021 and 2025 are only X waves, so it is difficult to count waves accurately, they are just like a single wave instead of a recognizable 5-wave or 3-wave structure.
An Elliott wave count for VNINDEXIn this count, VNINDEX completed the Impulse with 5-wave structure and entered the Correction. Duration: about 20-25 years.
In this Elliott wave count, VNINDEX can adjust to 550 or even 300 points.
Elliott Wave count for BTC USD full cycle+ Ensure the nature of the cycle: 1 Halving cycle = 1 full price movement cycle;
+ Validate the 3-wave structure for the correction from 29K to 69K by the end of 2021;
+ Follow the extended flat corrective wave pattern with peak B higher than peak 5 and wave C with 5-wave structure;
BTC will reach 90K in 2024 cycle then 140K in 2028 cycleNew/Updated Elliott Wave
A modern Elliott approach is predicting BTC to $13.3K in the winter of 2023, then only to $90K in the next cycle ~2024 and then $140K in the next cycle ~2028.
BTCUSD - Harmonious Pattern - A-BatComparing with the standards of the A-Bat pattern, we see many matches (in %):
AB/XA = 38.2, exactly
BC/AB = 88.6 belongs to 38.2-88.6
It is expected that D will satisfy:
CD/BC = 333 belongs to 200-361.8
DA/XA = 113
DE/CD = 61.8
So D & E could be wave 1 & 2 Intermediate in the next cycle.
BTCUSD - Harmonious Pattern - 5-0Comparing with the standards of the 5-0 pattern, we see many matches (in %):
AB/XA = 113 belongs to 113-161.8
BC/AB = 161.8 belongs to 161.8-224
It is expected that D will satisfy:
CD/BC = 50
DE/CD = 61.8
So D & E could be wave 3 & 4 Minor of wave 1 Intermediate.
BTCUSD - Harmonic Pattern - ButterFlyComparing with the standards of the ButterFly pattern, we see many matches (in %):
AB/XA = 78.6, exactly
BC/AB = 78.6 belongs to 38.2-88.6
CD/BC = 223.6 belong to 161.8-261.8
CD/XA = 161.8 belongs to 127.2 - 161.8
DE/CD is about 45, belongs to 38.2-61.8.
BTC will recover to $51K at Fibo 78.6%I tested several ratios and found a coincidence of 78.6% in BTC's "recovery wave".
We have not only 61.8%, but the square root of 61.8%, which is 78.6%.
If this continues over this period, we could see BTC retrace to $51K before the next BTC Halving (2024).
BTCUSD - Harmony Pattern - BatComparing with the standards of the Bat pattern, we see many matches (in %):
AB/XA = 38.2, the min boundary of the range 38.2 - 50
BC/AB = 88.6 max boundary of the range 38.2 - 88.6 (not very nice, min >< max)
Expect a D at $43K to match the Bat pattern:
CD/BC = 261.8 max boundary of the range 161.8 - 261.8
CD/XA = 88.6 to be exact.
DE can be expected at the 38.2 ~ $31K or 61.8 ~ $25K retracement levels.
BTCUSD - Harmonic Pattern - Deep CrabComparing with the standards of the Deep Crab pattern, we see many matches (in %):
AB/XA = 88.6, exactly
BC/AB = 38.2 belongs to
Expect D at $4K that matches the Deep Crab pattern:
CD/BC = 300 belongs to
CD/XA = 161.8 to be exact.
DE can be expected at the 38.2 ~ $29K or 61.8 ~ $44K retracement levels.
I don't understand why it coincides, interesting, but there is still a problem that the price range is too large compared to the bottom price ($3.8K - $69K), the application of an arithmetic scale is not supported when considering the ratio wave.
BTCUSD - Harmony Pattern - CypherComparing with the standards of the Cypher pattern, we see many matches (in %):
AB/XA = 58.6 belongs to
BC/AB = 113 belongs to
CD/BC = 127.2 belongs to
CD/XC = 78.6 to be exact.
DE can be expected at the 38.2 ~ $37K or 61.8 ~ $50K retracement levels.
I don't understand why it coincides, interesting, but there is still a problem that the price range is too large compared to the bottom price ($3.8K - $69K), the application of an arithmetic scale is not supported when considering the ratio wave.
If following this pattern, C is the top of wave 5 of the last cycle.
1 USD > 30K VND, VND is losing value very strongly against USDI think that USDVND is in a new bull phase, it will soon surpass 30K VND per 1 USD.
Things get very interesting looking through the Fibonacci levels.
BTC is at the bottom priceA wave count with a view of the failed C5 wave.
I focus on harmonic ratios for waves and modification from Ian Copsey.
VNINDEX will fall to 862In my wave count, we are in wave c2. The decline will come quite slowly and last for more than 1 year. The ultimate goal will still be 862 in 2024.
Elliott: VNINDEX may fall to 900VNINDEX market may have completed wave 5 SuperCycle.
If VNINDEX corrects to Fibo Retracement 0.618, we will see VNINDEX at 900 in 2024.
Another possibility: 2021 is the top 1 of the extended (V) SuperCycle wave, however we do not see the end of the zigzag correction yet.
Time to start a new cycleToday we get some notable signals:
+ BTC price surpasses MA200W;
+ We have the first green histogram after 5 correction waves of MACD;
+ We are in the 17th month after the official peak of the previous cycle (Apr 2021);
I think we are really entering a new cycle with an uptrend that lasts until 2025.
BTC trajectory in the cycle 2024-2025Several trajectories for BTCUSD are presented to reach the next full cycle top. Some criteria for prediction:
+ BTC peaked at 18 months after BTC halving;
+ Pumping coefficients according to the golden ratio;
+ Functions are considered in their most basic form y = y0 + a*x^n.
Some comments:
+ The faster BTC is pumped, the lower the peak of BTC will be;
+ The graph can be just the average of the price line;
+ The graph of the quadratic function is considered the most feasible.
I really hope BTC can hit $160K in the next cycle.
BTC completed uptrend of super-cycle in MSAP model?In MSAP model, we can see: BTC completed the last harmonic and the big crypto winter is waiting for BTC and entire crypto market.
Hope 2011 season is not the wave 0-1 or we will have big distribution phase in 2024 season.
STRAX: 6 - 10 - 16 - 26 USD in MSAPMSAP shows: STRAXUSD is in wave 0-1.
There are important price levels for STRAX: 6-10-16-26 USD.
So STRAX can reach ATH again.
Best price to cash out: 16 USD.
GVT: 30 - 50 - 80 USD in MSAP modelMSAP shows: GVTUSD is completed wave 0-1-2 and will join wave 2-3 soon.
Expected price for wave 3: 50 USD
