Looking to take profits on Microsoft that's severely overboughtThis summer most stocks will lose their momentum making it a great time to take profits. We got into NASDAQ:MSFT at an average of $$350-375, it's time to sell at least half to 75% of the stack then buy back around the 0.618 golden fibonacci at $400 after the gap is filled.
Microsoft (MSFT)
MSFT Weekly Chart Signals a $100 Move — Don’t Miss This BreakoutMicrosoft continues to show strong bullish behavior on the weekly chart. Historically, the stock has respected a well-defined upward channel, and the recent price action has further reinforced this trend. Notably, MSFT has broken through a key resistance level that had previously capped its upside for months. This breakout is significant as it suggests a shift in market structure, from consolidation to a potential new leg up.
The breakout area around $474–$479 has now turned into a short-term support zone. This region will play a critical role in maintaining bullish sentiment; any successful retest that holds above this zone confirms strength and invites further accumulation. The chart highlights a projected move toward $580, which lies near the upper red trendline—this aligns well with the historical resistance trajectory.
A bullish trade setup can be considered from the current levels around $478, with a stop-loss just below the $447–$435 zone. This range marks a previous congestion area and aligns with the lower side of the risk-reward box illustrated on the chart. The potential upside move is about 20.99%, offering a solid risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.27, assuming the price continues to hold above the breakout level.
While the trend remains firmly bullish, a weekly close below $447.50 would warrant caution. It could indicate a deeper retracement, potentially back into the broader green trend channel extending toward $400 or below. However, current momentum favors continuation to the upside, especially after clearing such a pivotal resistance.
In conclusion, Microsoft’s long-term chart structure, combined with the recent breakout and favorable price action, supports a bullish outlook. If price action remains above $474–$479, the stock is well-positioned to challenge the $580 resistance level in the coming weeks.
An Internet Disaster - NET & GOOGL FallAs of Thursday, June 12, 2025, a significant internet outage has disrupted services across multiple major platforms, including Google, Amazon Web Services (AWS), Spotify, YouTube, Discord, and Shopify. Cloudflare acknowledged experiencing intermittent failures and noted that some services were beginning to recover, though users may continue to encounter errors as systems stabilize.
The root cause of the disruption has been identified as an issue with Google Cloud's Identity and Access Management (IAM) service, which affected various services globally. While Cloudflare's core services were not directly impacted, some of its services relying on Google Cloud experienced issues.
Imagine how far Net could've fallen if IGV / Cloud stocks weren't strong today.
Microsoft - This might be the ultimate breakout!Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT - will break the all time high:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
If you wonder why Microsoft has been rallying +15% this month, market structure will give you an answer. In fact, the recent bullish break and retest was totally expected, and if we take into account the recent quite strong bullish behaviour, an all time high breakout will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $450
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Are The Markets Running Out Of Steam? SPY just cant seemed to hold above the 600 psychological level.
Are big players unloading into this positive market strength?
Are we due for a larger pullback?
There's a lot of mixed price action and we just cant seem to make a true breakout.
Some names are underperforming and other names are outperforming.
We remain tactically bullish while trimming keys positions into strength.
Being nimble in this market us key as were seeing large intra day swings.
Short term there is some risk of lower price so we have hedged in some individual names while still remaining bullish.
MSFT Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-09🧾 MSFT Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-09
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5–6 days
Catalysts: Overbought RSI, weakening momentum, technical divergences
Trade Type: Single-leg put option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence
Grok Bearish 457.50P $0.76 $1.14 $0.19 65%
Claude Bearish 460.00P $1.03 $1.55 $0.72 70%
Gemini Bearish 457.50P $0.75 $1.20 $0.38 65%
DeepSeek Bearish 470.00P $3.65 $5.48 $2.56 70%
Llama Slightly Bullish 472.50C $3.15 $3.78 $2.83 68%
✅ Consensus: Short-term bearish trade setup
📉 Core Setup: Reversal from overbought with MACD divergence
⚠️ Outlier: Llama prefers bullish call due to longer-term trend strength
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap
Trend: Overextended rally, RSI (78.2) = overbought
Momentum: MACD shows bearish divergence on daily; 5-min weak
Sentiment: VIX ~16.7 = stable but cautious; mixed AI news & max pain at $460
Max Pain: $460 implies gravitational pull; current price may pull back
Volatility: Option premiums reflect narrow range, but directional edge favors downside
✅ Final Trade Recommendation
Parameter Value
Instrument MSFT
Strategy Single-leg PUT (weekly)
Strike $457.50
Entry Price $0.76 (ask)
Profit Target $1.22 (~60% gain)
Stop-Loss $0.38 (50% premium loss)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 65%
🎯 Rationale: Near-term exhaustion of upside, short-term technical reversal, and profit-taking setup with favorable risk/reward.
⚠️ Risk Checklist
Strong trend continuation could invalidate pullback thesis
Low VIX may reduce option gamma/velocity
Sector-wide positive catalyst (AI or rate cuts) can cause rapid rebound
Watch for closes above 10-EMA (~$461) to exit early if invalidated
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: MSFT
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 457.50
💵 Entry Price: 0.76
🎯 Profit Target: 1.22
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.38
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: open
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-09 01:44:06 EDT
$META Short Swing - Fractal Repeat Play - Sub $600 Target@everyone 🔻 META Short Swing – Fractal Repeat Play 🔁
Entry Trigger: Week of June 10, 2025
Ticker: NASDAQ:META
Current Price: $697.71
Target Price: $593.66
Estimated Duration: ~3–4 weeks
Conviction: ★★★★★
🧠 Thesis:
This is a nearly perfect fractal repeat of META’s July 2024 top:
Identical weekly candle structure: topping wick into fib + supply zone
Weekly gap fill target lines up exactly again — same 15.5% drop
Wick gap fill = $593.66 (same confluence from 2024)
Bearish fib roadmap from 0.786 → 0.618 → 0.382
Volume and momentum exhausted on the run into $702
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry Range: $690–702 rejection zone
Stop Loss: Weekly close above $705
Primary Target: $593.66
This level completes the wick gap fill and matches 2024’s exact structure
Secondary Target (optional): $580.84 (full fib gap + demand retest)
🛠️ Options to Consider:
6/28 $650P or $640P – standard swing
7/5 $620P – for deeper move toward 0.382 and beyond
🔍 Setup Snapshot:
July 2024: -15.56% in 28 days
June 2025: Targeting -15.53% in 28 days
Same gap, same wick rejection, same fade roadmap
MICROSOFT Correction ahead of 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years?Microsoft (MSFT) is just below the $470 All Time High (ATH) and last technical Resistance, following the remarkable rally on the April 07 2025 bottom.
By the first week of June, it should technically form a 1D Golden Cross, which will be its first in more than 2 years (since March 17 2025). That Golden Cross was formed just after the price pulled-back on the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement Zone, finding support on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounding.
As a result, it is quite possible to see a short-term correction to at least $420 before the 1D Golden Cross restores the bullish sentiment. That previous structure eventually hit the -1.0 Fibonacci extension, before the next 1D MA50 test. We therefore expect to see $630 in 2025 before a 1D MA50 correction again.
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What Fuels Microsoft's Unstoppable Rise?Microsoft Corporation consistently demonstrates its market leadership, evidenced by its substantial valuation and strategic maneuvers in the artificial intelligence sector. The company's proactive approach to AI, particularly through its Azure cloud platform, positions it as a central hub for innovation. Azure now hosts a diverse array of leading AI models, including xAI’s Grok, alongside offerings from OpenAI and other industry players. This inclusive strategy, driven by CEO Satya Nadella's vision, aims to establish Azure as the definitive platform for emerging AI technologies, offering robust Service Level Agreements and direct billing for hosted models.
Microsoft's AI integration extends deeply into its product ecosystem, significantly enhancing enterprise productivity and developer capabilities. GitHub's new AI coding agent streamlines software development by automating routine tasks, allowing programmers to focus on complex challenges. Furthermore, Microsoft Dataverse is evolving into a powerful, secure platform for AI agents, leveraging features like prompt columns and the Model Context Protocol (MCP) server to transform structured data into dynamic, queryable knowledge. The seamless integration of Dynamics 365 data within Microsoft 365 Copilot further unifies business intelligence, enabling users to access comprehensive insights without switching contexts.
Beyond its core software offerings, Microsoft's Azure cloud provides critical infrastructure for transformative projects in highly regulated sectors. The UK's Met Office, for instance, successfully transitioned its supercomputing operations to Azure, improving weather forecasting accuracy and advancing climate research. Similarly, Finnish startup Gosta Labs utilizes Azure's secure and compliant environment to develop AI solutions that automate patient record-keeping, significantly reducing administrative burdens in healthcare. These strategic partnerships and technological advancements underscore Microsoft's foundational role in driving innovation across diverse industries, cementing its position as a dominant force in the global technology landscape.
ETH 2025 Bull Run Price Targets: PT1 $5,800 PT2 $8,725Pectra: Ethereum’s Most Ambitious Upgrade Yet
On May 7, 2025, Ethereum activated the Pectra upgrade, marking its most comprehensive enhancement since the 2022 Merge. This dual-layer upgrade, combining the Prague execution layer and Electra consensus layer, introduced 11 Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs) aimed at boosting scalability, usability, and staking efficiency .
Key features include:
EIP-7702: Introduces account abstraction, enabling wallets to function like smart contracts. This allows for batch transactions, gasless operations, and improved user experiences.
EIP-7251: Raises the staking cap per validator from 32 ETH to 2,048 ETH, streamlining staking operations and catering to institutional participants.
Enhanced Layer-2 Integration: Improves data handling and reduces costs for Layer-2 solutions, fostering greater scalability and efficiency across the Ethereum ecosystem.
These advancements position Ethereum to handle increased demand and support a broader range of decentralized applications, setting the stage for substantial growth.
Institutional and Governmental Embrace of Ethereum
Ethereum's adoption is accelerating among institutional investors and government entities:
Spot Ether ETFs: In May 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved the first spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), launched by major firms like BlackRock and Fidelity. This milestone has facilitated greater institutional investment and integration of Ethereum into traditional financial markets.
Tokenization of Assets: Financial institutions are leveraging Ethereum's blockchain to tokenize assets, including U.S. Treasury bonds, enhancing transparency and efficiency in asset management.
Federal Initiatives: The U.S. government is exploring the creation of a national digital asset reserve, potentially incorporating Ethereum, signaling a significant shift toward embracing blockchain technologies at the federal level.
These developments underscore Ethereum's growing role as foundational infrastructure in the evolving digital financial landscape.
Price Targets for 2025
Considering the technological advancements and increasing institutional adoption, Ethereum's price is projected to reach:
Price Target 1: $5,800 (1.618 Fib Line)
Price Target 2: $8,725 (Bull Flag PT and near the 2.618 confluence)
These targets reflect a bullish outlook based on Ethereum's enhanced capabilities and its expanding role in global finance.
Trade Idea: $MSFT Short to $418 and beyond into JuneTriple bearish divergence is evident on Volume, RSI, and Momentum. The 9-count sell signal on the daily chart further supports the likelihood of a sell-off at this point. If the price falls below $425, a swift decline to $418 is anticipated, where the true test of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) below will occur. The Fair Value Gap open is at $392.45. Stop would be above yesterday's high at $439.50 ...
Microsoft: Progress!Microsoft successfully completed the magenta wave (2) and made further progress during the subsequent wave (3). Imminently, this wave (3) has some more room to rise, and after a temporary pullback in the following wave (4), the price should eventually overcome the resistance at $456.16. On the other hand, our 31% likely alternative scenario envisions a new low for the green wave alt. and would include a detour below the support at $348.18. Primarily, we consider the regular wave as already completed (in our previous Target Zone).
Microsoft (MSFT) Becomes the World’s Most Valuable CompanyMicrosoft (MSFT) Becomes the World’s Most Valuable Company
According to financial data, Microsoft’s market capitalisation currently stands at approximately $3.24 trillion, while the valuations of Apple and Nvidia — second and third on the list respectively — remain below $3 trillion.
This follows a sharp surge in Microsoft’s share price (MSFT), which has risen by over 26% from its April low.
Why has Microsoft’s share price risen?
The main driver behind the MSFT stock rally was last week’s quarterly report, which outperformed analysts’ expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $3.46, forecast = $3.22;
→ Revenue: actual = $70 billion, forecast = $68.4 billion.
As reported in the media, investors responded positively to a notable increase in revenue from Azure cloud services.
Technical Analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) Shares
A wide bullish gap — over 7% — pushed the price above a key support line that had underpinned the 2024 uptrend in Microsoft stock.
However, following the report’s release, the price stabilised just below a resistance line drawn through previous key highs.
This provides grounds to interpret the current setup as a symmetrical triangle pattern with an axis around the $427 mark, suggesting short-term price consolidation within the defined boundaries.
Going forward, further key news related to Microsoft — a company less exposed to trade war impacts than Apple — could:
→ help maintain its status as the world’s most valuable firm;
→ support a potential bullish breakout through the resistance line and a continuation of the 2024 uptrend.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$MSFT BEST TRADE EVER? SUB $400 incoming by Mid JuneHey everybody, I hope that rally didn't kick your arses the way it did mine. You know, it's like I'm allergic to taking upside atm due to how bearish the MACRO is. Of course, with time, I'm going to assume I get most of my downside Price Targets in the next several years.
If you refer to the previous 23% Run to the 200DMA from the 50day in 2023 , NASDAQ:MSFT produced a 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL , RALLIED for a week, and then dropped to new lows. That is what I am expecting here.
NASDAQ:MSFT looks absolutely ripe for the taking. We just rallied 17% and got the 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL . Mind you, Gaps galore below. The Monthly and the Weekly both have Gaps . Charts do not like that, let me tell ya. I'm excited if you can't tell. NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:AVGO look great as well. I'm still cautious about a spike out but I figure if we continue higher, i will have opportunity to grab more for cheaper as I am very confident in this move. The price moved above the DEATH CROSS and above the 200DMA . Not ever a healthy move if it moves Vertically from the 50 day and Crosses above both MA's without a stop. Mid June NASDAQ:MSFT should be at new lows.