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Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft preparing for Q4 earnings - positive outcome?Hi guys , we are looking into one of the Magnificent 7 - and one of the biggest TECH giants - MSFT. Microsoft had a fantastic 2024 growth wise and stability / expansion wise. The stock remains a strong investment choice due to its diversified business model, consistent revenue growth, and leadership in key sectors like cloud computing (Azure), enterprise software, and AI innovation. With its robust balance sheet, steady dividend payouts, and adaptability in evolving markets, Microsoft is well-positioned for long-term growth, appealing to both growth and income-focused investors. I am expecting some great numbers from their Q4 earnings which would lead towards us reaching our targets. Entry: 429 Target: 456 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DG55Capital
MICROSOFT ahead of an expansion similar to the Internet BubbleMicrosoft (MSFT) has been practically neutral for half the year (last 6 months) as since the July 2024 High, it has been trading sideways, unable to catch a rally for a new All Time High (ATH). This consolidation is technically no different that the July - December 1995 sideways sequence (green circle). As you can see, the two fractals since their September 2014 and September 1987 starting points respectively, have been virtually identical, especially in terms of 1M RSI. The reason for these striking similarities is simple. The market is currently unfolding the A.I. Bubble just like it did with the Internet (Dotcom Bubble) in the 1990s. The two technological revolutions are not the same but the A.I. has the capacity to change the socioeconomic market structure just like the Internet did. Based on that analogy, the current 6-month consolidation technically serves as a Re-accumulation Phase following the first part of the A.I. Bubble just like July - Dec 1995 was after the first past of the Internet Bubble up to the 0.382 Time Fibonacci level. If those similarities are extended until the end, then we should not see such a long consolidation again until the 0.618 Fib, when the final past of the Bubble will begin. This chart comparison doesn't serve at giving us a specific Target for this Cycle but rather encourage investors that despite the seeming lack of direction these past 6 months, Microsoft is a strong buy opportunity long-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by TradingShot
1
Can Giants Maintain AI Dominance While Pursuing Independence?In the ever-evolving landscape of artificial intelligence, Microsoft stands at a fascinating crossroads that challenges conventional wisdom about technological partnerships and innovation. The tech giant's recent strategic moves present a compelling case study of how market leaders can simultaneously strengthen their AI capabilities while reducing dependencies on key partners. This delicate balance could reshape the future of enterprise AI. Microsoft's remarkable journey is highlighted by Wall Street's growing confidence, with Loop Capital's target price increase to $550 reflecting strong market optimism. This confidence isn't merely speculative – it's backed by substantial investments, including a staggering $42.6 billion allocated to cloud and AI infrastructure in Q3 2024 alone. The company's financial performance reinforces this positive outlook, with earnings consistently exceeding expectations and revenue growing at an impressive 16% year-over-year. What makes Microsoft's strategy particularly intriguing is its nuanced approach to partnerships and innovation. While maintaining its strategic alliance with OpenAI, the company actively diversifies its AI portfolio by developing internal models and exploring third-party integrations. This sophisticated balancing act, combined with strong institutional ownership and strategic insider movements, suggests a company that's not just adapting to change but actively shaping the future of AI enterprise solutions. The remaining question isn't whether Microsoft will maintain its market leadership, but how its strategic evolution will redefine the boundaries between partnership and independence in the AI era.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by UDIS_View
Microsoft - We Will See A Correction!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can actually create a correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Microsoft is one of the strongest stocks over the past decade and also over the past couple of months, there was no clear sign of weakness. Therefore, it is actually not extremely likely that a correction will happen, but if it does, this will offer a long term texbook trading opportunity. Levels to watch: $420, $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by basictradingtv
8
Microsoft - H&S Fake Out to Make Out! 16% Upside🖐️ H5 TRADE - NASDAQ:MSFT There was to much going on to call out my exact entry on this at the retest area but to be fair I put it on everyone's watchlist a few weeks ago and said a retest would be a perfect entry. This will be different once the H5 Community is up and running as I will have a whole trade alerts channel were I post my trades and buy/sell notis right as after execution! With this trade we still have over 16% to run upward from here. So, up to you friends! Them and other Mag7 names held up really well during that flash crash and that is very bullish to me! Also, to throw in a learning lesson for all: Just because a charting pattern forms (H&S on MSFT) doesn't mean it's a trade you should enter! Always wait for breakouts and retest! If you struggle with that then you better beat it into your head and tape you hands underneath your desk! -H5 indicator is GREEN -Symmetrical Triangle pattern breakout and retest -Launching off Volume shelf back to ATH and beyond -Bottom of the two year rising channel -Williams CB forming and believe we create support next week I consolidated the account yesterday into the best trades and saw this OLD SAFE n RELIABLE trade and chose to buy some options! 🔜🎯$466 🎯$512 ⏲️Before 05May2025 2 Contracts -$420 Calls for May 16th 2025 CB: $40.03 - Currently $43.75 Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by RonnieV29
Microsoft Update: Key Levels to WatchMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is at an important point right now, and here’s what to look out for: If we close above $442: There’s a good chance we’ll see targets at $453 or even $478 as buyers take control. If the price breaks down out of the current range: A correction to $422 or $415 becomes a strong possibility. Stay focused on these levels and let the market show you the way forward. No need to force it—patience pays. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Mindbloome-Trading
1
NVDA AI Revolution: Which Stocks Will Lead the Charge in 2025?AI Revolution: Which Stocks Will Lead the Charge in 2025? "AI isn’t the future; it’s the now, and it's flipping the investment world on its head like a rogue AI flipping through data." Introduction Artificial Intelligence is not just transforming industries; it's becoming the heartbeat of innovation. In 2024, Nvidia and Microsoft stand out, but diving into AI stocks requires a keen eye for both opportunity and jeopardy. Let's dissect their dominion, strategies, and financial health to guide your investment journey. Nvidia: The Engine of AI Nvidia’s GPUs are more than just hardware; they're the fuel driving the AI engine across sectors. Market Dominance: With an expected 64% of the AI server market, Nvidia's GPUs, particularly the H100, are the industry's gold standard for AI training. Financial Highlights: P/E Ratio: At 30.09, Nvidia's stock might be running on hype or genuine growth. Free Cash Flow: A staggering $33.73 billion, giving Nvidia the muscle to innovate relentlessly. Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 17.22, reflecting aggressive growth funding through debt. Future Outlook: The upcoming H200 chip could further cement Nvidia's lead, but at what cost to valuation? 💡 “Nvidia isn't just selling hardware; they're selling the future of AI computation.” Microsoft: AI's Silent Integrator Microsoft isn't just playing the AI game; they're changing the rules, embedding AI where you least expect it. AI Integration: Through Azure and tools like Copilot, Microsoft is making AI as ubiquitous as electricity. Financial Insights: ROIC: An astonishing 130%, showcasing unparalleled capital efficiency. Net Income Margin: 56% - Microsoft turns more than half its revenue into profit, a testament to its operational prowess. Cash Position: With $39 billion in cash, Microsoft is ready for any strategic move or shareholder reward. Strategic Alliances: Leveraging partnerships like OpenAI, Microsoft is pushing AI's boundaries. 💡 “Microsoft isn’t just adopting AI; it's making AI adopt us.” The Broader AI Ecosystem Google ( NASDAQ:GOOG ): Using AI to enhance search and cloud, potentially rivaling Microsoft's Azure. Meta ( NASDAQ:META ): Innovating with generative AI in social platforms and VR. IonQ ( NYSE:IONQ ): Bridging AI with quantum computing for groundbreaking computational power. 💡 “In the AI race, today's leaders could be tomorrow's followers.” Risks in the AI Investment Arena Overvaluation: Nvidia's high P/E might signal a bubble waiting to burst. Regulatory Challenges: As AI grows, so does the regulatory scrutiny, potentially slowing down innovation. Market Saturation: With AI becoming mainstream, distinguishing between real innovators and opportunists becomes crucial. 💡 “Investing in AI is like betting on tech; some will soar, others might crash and burn.” Conclusion Nvidia and Microsoft are pivotal in the AI landscape, but the field is broader and riskier than it seems. Understanding these nuances will be key to navigating 2025’s investment landscape.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DCAChampion
Microsoft (MSFT): What’s Next? Will It Break $455.34 Morning, Trading Family! Let’s Talk About Microsoft (MSFT): Will It Break $455.34 or Head Lower? Microsoft’s stock is at a key level, and the next move could set the tone for what’s ahead. The magic number right now is $455.34. Will we see a breakout to new highs, or could the price dip lower before bouncing back? Let’s break it down step by step so everyone’s ready! If Microsoft Breaks Above $455.34 If the stock moves above $455.34 and holds steady, it could signal that buyers are in control. What could happen? The price might head up toward $460 or even $465. These levels could be the next spots where the stock takes a breather. What should we watch? Look for strong movement above $455.34 with good trading volume (lots of action). If the price quickly dips back below, it could mean the breakout isn’t real yet. How can we trade it? If the price holds above $455.34, it might be a good time to think about buying with a target around $460. Just make sure to use a stop-loss in case the trade doesn’t go as planned. If Microsoft Drops Below $455.34 If the stock struggles to stay above $455.34, we could see a pullback. The first key level: Watch $449. This is the next area where buyers might step in to stop the price from falling. If $449 doesn’t hold: The price could drop further, landing somewhere in the $443–$438 range, where stronger support is likely. How can we trade it? Be patient! If the price dips, wait for signs that it’s stabilizing at a support level before making any moves. What If the Price Drops Below $438? If MSFT falls below $438, it could mean the stock is turning more bearish. At that point, we’ll need to step back and reassess the trend. Tips for Today’s Trading If you’re bullish: Wait for the price to break and hold above $455.34 before jumping in. If you’re bearish: Watch for a clean break below $449 for potential short opportunities. Always: Use stop-losses to protect yourself and trade with a plan! Bottom Line: The $455.34 level is the line in the sand. If we break above, it’s good news for the bulls. If not, we could see a dip to $449 or lower. Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
5
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades. QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low IWM - Green today but similar to DIA Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move. WATCHLIST: Bullish : NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2 Bearish : NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other" NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15): ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
AMEX:SPYShort
by Alanger17
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades. QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low IWM - Green today but similar to DIA Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move. WATCHLIST: Bullish : NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2 Bearish : NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other" NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15): ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
AMEX:SPYShort
by Alanger17
Watchlist (12/16-12/20) Using TheStratSPY Analysis: Month is 2U but back under previous M high and close to flipping red. Last week was 2D but failed to get to magnitude and closed red, but above the reversal trigger at previous week lows. Daily was 2D on Friday, so the daily actionable signal would be a 2D-2U reversal if buyers were strong enough to make a higher high on the daily come Monday. To get us lower, we have a 3-1 4HR setup as well as a shooter 2U Hourly candle. Trigger and target levels can be seen on the chart. Overall, we have some confliction as the D and W are red while the M is still green. This shows an attempt to flip the month red and we must view it this way until we see a daily higher high. If that were to happen, then we look to see the week flip red and then possibly make a higher high on the week for the weekly reversal back to the upside, which would re confirm the month being 2U and green. Traditional TA traders will see a wedge or bull flag on the daily/4HR, but as Strat traders, we know this is just a lack of strength from either side as we continue seeing failed attempts to make HHs and LLs. Although unconventional, if you check the 3 Day TF through the 8 Day TF, you will see they are all currently inside bars in formation still. We also know that inside bars restart the process of making broadening formations, so now its just a waiting game. We see the current attempt is to make lower lows on the daily since we failed to take highs out after the daily reversal, so we now either take out lows, or fail and move back through previous range to the upside. With conflicting situations like this, you just have to rely on timeframe continuity. Until the M, W, D, and 60 are all the same color, simply fall back on top down analysis and timeframe continuity to see what's really going on regardless of how the charts may look Weekly Watchlist: Bullish: ETSY - 2-1 Week, Failed 2D Day. FTFC Green, so looking for BF expansion on the weekly CRWD - 2-1 Hammer Week. 4HR inside bar. Monthly 3-2-2 still slowly compounding 2Us to Mag RBLX - MoMO Hammer 2U week. 2-1 Daily to trigger week RKLB - 3-2D Hammer Week. Relatively large ATR and high rVol Bearish: MCD - 3-1 Week, Shooter 2U Day PINS - 3-2U failed Week, No Daily AS. Weekly Motherbar issues so caution here PDD 1-2U failed week (Revstrat). No Daily AS. Going for large weekly BF magnitude ROKU - Failed 2U Week. At Monthly exhaustion risk. Daily PMG and gap fill potential OXY - 2-1 Shooter Week. Not much range, but clean weekly AS and all big oil names deep red DDOG - 2-1 Week (Huge red week), Daily 1-3. 2 Daily gap fills, and some weekly lows to target LVS - 2-3 Week. At Q exhaustion. Will be FTFC Red before W triggers the 3-2D Neutral: WMT - 2-1 Week, Daily 3-2D failed. Daily AS could send it back into ATH. Alternatively there is an 11 pivot PMG to the downside + a small gap to fill
AMEX:SPY
by Alanger17
(1D) MICROSOFT ANALYSIS (MSFT)Inspired by today's failed Bitcoin shareholders' vote, I've put up my prognosis for Microsoft MSFT for the next few months. MSFT is down almost 1.5% on the day, rejecting at the 78.8% retracement of the down move from the ATH. There are a couple possible scenarios going forward. Bullish case is that MSFT started a Bull Flag Correction (waves labeled in blue) with the pivot from the ATH in July. If so, we are completing Wave B of this flag (internal waves labelled in purple) , which may have completed already with this 78.6% rejection. However, we could still see it complete a 100% retracement instead and terminate as a Double Top, retesting and getting rejected at the ATH. This would signal the start of Wave C. We could expect this final wave to have a similar size to Wave A, giving us a short-term 17% Short play from the ATH before ultimately continuing the larger upside trend. Bearish case would be that Wave B described above (labelled in purple) is instead actually a Bear Flag for downside. This would have to be confirmed with a break below the $385 Support Range. **This analysis would be invalidated if we do indeed get a breakout above the current ATH, factoring in for some % overshoot (aka fake breakout).
NASDAQ:MSFT
by PHICAPITALINVESTMENTS