Microsoft (MSFT)
MSFT close negative for 5 weeksMSFT close negative for 5 weeks
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Microsoft stock for the past year. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of October 2022. As shown in the figure, the highest point of Microsoft's stock just hit the 3.000 level of the golden section at the bottom, while the recent low point hit the 2.000 level! Due to Microsoft's stock closing negative for 5 consecutive weeks since its recent peak, it has only rebounded in the past two weeks, not reversed! In the future, Microsoft's stock market is likely to continue to weaken. Let's explore the strong support below, with the bottom of the chart facing the 1.618 gold split!
✅ Daily Market Analysis - THURSDAY AUGUST 24, 2023Key events:
USA - Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jul)
USA - Initial Jobless Claims
The close of Wednesday's trading day witnessed a significant upsurge in US stocks, largely driven by the surging value of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares, as the company approached its quarterly financial disclosures. Nvidia's chips are widely utilized for artificial intelligence (AI) computing applications.
Nvidia's shares exhibited a noteworthy climb of 9%, building upon a prior increase of 3.2% during the regular trading session. The company proceeded to predict third-quarter revenue that surpassed the expectations of analysts on Wall Street. This positive momentum also had a ripple effect on other tech companies in after-hours trading. For instance, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) experienced a rise of approximately 2%.
Nvidia stock daily chart
Microsoft stock daily chart
Investors who hold a bullish outlook have nurtured expectations that Nvidia's favorable announcements could provide a further boost to the already robust surge in the value of tech stocks. Taking into account the cumulative movement, Nvidia's stock has soared by over 220% within the current year.
The imminent impact of Nvidia's statements during their conference call, specifically related to their financial performance and the landscape of artificial intelligence (AI), is predicted to exert a significant influence on the prevailing market sentiment.
Nvidia stands as a vital element within the well-recognized group of mega-cap stocks referred to as the "Magnificent Seven." This group includes prominent names such as Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA). These influential companies have played a pivotal role in driving the substantial upward trajectory observed in the S&P 500 index throughout the ongoing year.
S&P 500 daily chart
Currently, investors are closely monitoring the unfolding developments in China, with a particular focus on the measures taken by Beijing to safeguard its domestic currency. The proximity of the USD/CNY pair to the 7.30 level is causing heightened concern, as Chinese authorities are acutely aware of the potential implications associated with crossing this threshold. To address this, the People's Bank of China (PBoC), equipped with an array of effective tools, is resolute in ensuring that the rate of depreciation of the Chinese Yuan (CNY) remains under control.
Amidst this backdrop, a prevailing consensus among many foreign exchange traders is that the pace of CNY weakening will gradually ease. Despite this projection, given the prevailing decline in interest rates and the strategic management of volatility, the Yuan continues to retain its appeal as a favorable choice for funding carry trades.
USD/CNY daily chart
The upcoming Jackson Hole conference is set to host Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Ueda, who is expected to participate in the comprehensive panel discussion scheduled for Saturday. Notably, Governor Ueda's most recent public address took place during the ECB's Sintra conference in June, preceding the Yield Curve Control (YCC) adjustment carried out at the July BoJ meeting. This prominent platform offers him an initial opportunity to delve into the intricacies of the YCC modification and its potential ramifications for Japan's interest rates and foreign exchange markets.
Shifting focus, the month of July witnessed the UK's Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs) undergoing a more substantial decline than initially anticipated. Specifically, the services PMI, a gauge of the services sector's performance, contracted from 51.5 to 48.7, descending below the consensus projection of 51.0. Concurrently, the manufacturing PMI underwent a decline from 45.3 to 42.5, a deviation from the consensus forecast of 45.0.
UK Manufacturing PMI
This downturn signified a significant milestone: the services index dipped beneath the crucial threshold of 50, denoting a contraction within this sector. Additionally, the manufacturing PMI has retreated to levels reminiscent of those observed during the initial COVID-19 lockdown in May 2020.
In the realm of precious metals, today witnessed a climb in gold prices to a pinnacle not observed in two weeks. This surge was triggered by lackluster US business activity data, thereby sparking conjecture that the Federal Reserve might encounter limitations in its ability to sustain a trajectory of interest rate hikes.
XAU/USD daily chart
Extending their winning streak for the fifth consecutive session, gold prices continued their rebound from the earlier August dip that had driven them to a five-month low. This recovery gained momentum with the dollar's retreat and the easing of Treasury yields from their recent peaks. Notably, spot gold managed to reestablish itself above the significant benchmark of $1,900 per ounce.
Despite the encouraging climb, traders maintained a cautious outlook as the start of the Jackson Hole Symposium loomed on the horizon later in the day. This symposium is anticipated to furnish additional insights into the monetary policy stance of the United States, thus harboring the potential to exert influence on prevailing market dynamics.
MSFT Microsoft found support and bouncedMSFT Microsoft stock found support around $312, trading over 10sma and touching the 50sma, and RSI almost at the trigger level.
A little disappointed that volume did not pickup today (just slightly below it's 20 day average).
Stock is up 5% in aftermarket trading due to NVDA forecast.
$MSFT -Looking for Trades after TP- We had a good trade with OTC:MSTF last week, resulting to a 32% ROI.
For now, awaiting more confirmations to occurr in price action.
Regarding last weekly close bounce,
it appears to me it was more of Techncnical bounce nearing the *D-*W Support-Trendline.
Zooming in to Smaller time-frames,
price remains in a downtrend until price breaks-out from
descending channel pattern and key levels.
In case Support-Trendline fails to hold the price above it,
292.11$ would be the next downside target.
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𝗡𝗮𝘀𝗱𝗮𝗾 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $QQQ Daily. First real pullbackFirst real pullback in progress flagged by bearish divergence with RSI in July/August. Where does this end? Even the “crash callers” are looking for a bounce so maybe a little more to go before a B wave starts 🌊
$NQ_F TVC:NDQ NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX CBOE:VIX #Stocks 📉
Microsoft -> A Long Term Double Top?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Microsoft💪
On the monthly timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock once again retested the previous all time high at the $340 level and once again rejected it towards the downside.
You can also see that after the recent retracement on Microsoft, MSFT stock is approaching previous structure at the $320 level from which we could see a short term bullish bounce.
And last but not least I am just waiting for the daily timeframe to shift back to a bullish market before I then do expect a short term rejection away from the daily and weekly support area.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
The Illuminated Ascension of the Market.Since I presented my bearish prophecy, I've traversed the vast expanse of financial data in search of the Achilles' heel to counter my own narrative. The cosmos itself has conspired this evening to bestow upon me the final pieces of this intricate puzzle.
On the ominous date of 8-18, a staggering 70% of market contracts bow to the bearish sentiment. This, I postulate, is the very reason for a tight squeeze leading up into this date – a sly play to ensure the bears' demise, leaving their positions reduced to mere ephemeral memories. (Forgive my wickedness, for in the end, it's merely the cutthroat dance of commerce).
As the sands of time flow and we bid adieu to 8-18, expect a swift downturn; a mere blip, a hiccup if you will. But fear not, for the hungry wolves shall quickly gather to devour this dip, leading us into the waning days of August and the dawn of September.
Post the ritualistic dance of the wondrous blue moon, brace for a cosmic parabolic squeeze ascending towards the 9-15 expiration - ensuring the bears are banished into the void eternally.
Upon the ethereal touch of 17.2k, my machinations will recalibrate.
Godspeed on your cosmic journey, astral adventurers.
💜✨🌙✨🌌✨🌙✨💜